Tag Archive | "Silver"

Turn $250 into $51,888… in Four Years or Less


A special offer from Gary Scott… on the 50th anniversary year of writing and speaking about investing globally.

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Gain from my 50 years of experience to see, understand and profit from long stock market and currency cycles.

For example, in 1986 I wrote: “Turn $250 into $51,888… in Four Years or Less”.   If someone offers you this, I would normally say “run from them as fast as you can”.

Yet that is exactly what I wrote in a report that told how to borrow British pounds to buy silver.  I have to admit.  I was wrong.  Readers who followed the report made that type of profit but in less than four years.

Here is a photo of that ad in 1986.

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Screen Shot 2015-08-01 at 9.53.41 AM

Last year, conditions for silver’s recovery and the pound’s fall turned similar to those in 1986.

The offer in 1986 was for a report called the Silver Dip that showed how to borrow 12,000 British pounds (US$18,600) and use the loan to buy 3835 ounces of silver at around US$4.85 an ounce.

Within a year of that 1986 report, silver’s price soared from $4.85 in May 1986 to over $11 an ounce.  The silver value grew from $18,600 to $42,185.

The loan was in pounds and the dollar pound rate had dropped from 1.55 dollars per pound to 1.40 dollars per pound.  The loan that created $18,600 was paid off  for $13,285.  This added an extra $5,314 profit.  So the profit grew to $47,499 ($42,185 on silver and $5,314 of forex) in just a year.

This was extra profit, all made without putting up a single penny of cash.  That’s remarkably close to the promise made in 1986, but it was earned in one year instead of four.

Multicurrency loans are just one of numerous investment strategies I have been using for decades and I want to share three reports (worth $127) about such investing tactics in a special offer to you.

It’s All About Safety

The Silver & Gold Dip may sound like a high risk speculation, but it’s actually a risk reducing hedge derived from holding one of the safest global investment portfolios in the world.  How to gain the safety and the profit with this type of investment is explained in my Purposeful investment Course (Pi).   Pi studies real time portfolios to learn how to create the safest, good value portfolios in the world.

What’s more important Pi shares strategies based on 50 years of global investing experience repeatedly find special profit opportunities that enhance safety as they increase profit.

Take that Silver Dip again as an example.  The experience of 30 years ago revealed similar conditions in 2015.  In November 2015, I sent Pi subscribers a special report about a silver based stock selling at US$13.60 per share.

The report explained how to get a margin loan in British pounds when the dollar/pound parity was US$1.54 per pound.

A pound margin loan of 6,500 pounds converted to US$10,000, purchased 735 shares of the silver based stock.

Over the next eight months the price of that share rose to US$16.49, worth US$12,125.

By June 2016 (within eight months), the pound crashed from 1.54 to 1.36 dollars per pound.  Paying off the 6,500 pound margin loan costs US$8,840 and left a profit of US$3,285 for each $10,000 of margin employed.

That profit in eight months was approximately US$3,285 or 32.85% of extra profit.

Profitable Hedges Based on Safety

There is also another, much safer, once every 30 year opportunity that I have described in a second short, but powerful report “Three Currency Patterns For 50% Profits or More”.  This report shows how to hedge a safe portfolio and earn an extra 50% from currency shifts with even small,  good value investments.

In the 1980s, a remarkable set of two economic circumstances helped anyone who spotted them become remarkably rich.  Some of my readers made enough to retire.  Others picked up 50% currency gains.  Then the cycle ended.

Warren Buffett explained the importance of this pattern that 1980s pattern in a 1999 Fortune magazine interview.  He said:  Let me summarize what I’ve been saying about the stock market: I think it’s very hard to come up with a persuasive case that equities will over the next 17 years perform anything like—anything like—they’ve performed in the past 17!

My investments did well then, but I always thought, “I should have invested more!”  Now those circumstances have come together and I am investing in them again.  The circumstances that created fortunes 30 years ago were an overvalued US market (compared to global markets) and an overvalued US dollar.

The two conditions are in place again!   There are currently ten good value (non US) developed markets,  plus six good value emerging markets that are better value than the US.  We study all 16 in Pi.

This is the most exciting opportunity I have seen since we started sending our reports on international investing ideas so many decades ago.  The trends are so clearly outlined in the short, but powerful report “Three Currency Patterns for 50% Profits or More.”   This report shows how to earn an extra 50% from currency shifts with even small investments.  I kept the report short and simple, but included links to 153 pages of  Good Value Stock Market Research and Asset Allocation Analysis.

The report shows 16 good value investments and a really powerful tactic that shows the most effective and least expensive way to accumulate these bargains in large or even very small amounts (less than $5,000 for all 16 shares).

This report sells for $29.95 but you’ll receive the report, “Three Currency Patterns For 50% Profits or More” FREE when you subscribe to Pi.

Improve Safety – Increase Profits

Learn how to improve the safety and profit of your savings and investments by creating a diversified, good value portfolio of a multi-currency investments.

I am celebrating my 50th anniversary in the investing business and 48th year of writing about global investing.  Our reports and seminars have helped readers have better lives with less stress yet make fortunes during up and down markets for decades.  This information is invaluable for investors large and small because even small amounts can easily be invested in the good value shares we cover in the Pi course.

Stock and currency markets are cyclical.  These cycles create extra profit for value investors who invest when everyone else has the markets wrong.  One special Pi lesson looks at how to spot value from cycles.  Stocks rise from the cycle of war, productivity and demographics.  Cycles create recurring profits.  Economies and stock markets cycle up and down around every 15 to 20 years as shown in this graph.

stock-Charts

Pi is based on what I am doing with my good value portfolio.  My personal investment portfolio comes from a continual analysis of international stock markets and a comparison of their value based on current book to price, cash flow to price, earnings to price, average dividend yield, return on equity and cash flow return.

Markets currently included in this portfolio are:

Norway
Australia
Hong Kong
Germany
Japan
Singapore
United Kingdom
Taiwan
South Korea
China

These markets have been chosen based on four pillars of valuation.

• Absolute Valuation
• Relative Valuation
• Current versus Historic Valuation
• Current Relative versus Relative Historic Valuation

Pi lessons are based on how to use Country ETFs to easily construct a diversified, risk-controlled, equally weighted representative country portfolios in all of these good value countries.

To achieve this goal my portfolio consists of Country Index ETFs that track an index of shares in a specific country.  These country ETFs provide diversification into a basket of equities in the good value countries.  The expense ratios for most ETFs are lower than those of the average mutual fund as well so such ETFs provide diversification and cost efficiency.

This is an easy, simple and effective approach to zeroing in on value because little management and guesswork is required.

Reduce Investing Costs

Pi also investigates how to keep costs down.  In one study we used an $80,000 share purchase cost test that found the least expensive way to invest in good value.  The keys to this portfolio are good value, low cost, minimal fuss and bother.  Plus the savings of time.  Trading is minimal, usually not more than one or two shares are bought or sold in a year.  I wanted to find the very least expensive way to create and hold this portfolio so I performed a test.

The Test for Low Cost Trading

Research put every part of this portfolio in place, except knowing the best, easiest and least expensive way to buy.  A search for an optimal way to buy and hold boiled down to two methods.  One tactic to test was to use a unique online broker that appeared to offer the lowest cost deal.  The other approach was to use a community bank in Smalltown USA.  The small town bank that I use looks after my 401K trust account and the service is first class.  The benefit of small banks is that they still treat us as human beings (instead of a number) and when we need, it’s easy to go right to the top to answer a question or get a problem resolved.  There are no call centers and the bank and the person looking after my account is just around the corner.

I created a test to see which offered the least expensive service.

Working with my banker in Smalltown USA,  I created two accounts, one at the online broker and the other at the bank. I placed $40,000 in each.

I set up the order for the country ETFs online, while my trust manager set up orders for the identical amounts of the same shares in his system.  Then we got on the phone, coordinated our timing and on a count of three each pushed the button “BUY”.

I share the results of this test in the seminar.  The savings that can be gained on any purchase of country ETFs has the potential to be more than the cost of the Pi course.

Pi is a course that does not end.  Pi studies markets throughout the year so we learn basics and then let our knowledge evolve.  Pi opens insights to numerous long term cycles that most investors miss because they have not been investing long enough to see them.  The research for Pi seeks to continually unearths new opportunities created by long term cycles that I cashed in on decades ago.

For example a third report from Pi research  updates what to do next after Brexit.  Britain’s decision to exit the European Union creates another new special investing opportunity in both the UK and China.

I have prepared a report on how to build profitable hedges from a safe portfolio. This report “How to Grab Sequential Value Profits” shows a current, special profit potential in China and how to take advantage of the British exit from the EU.

I send all three reports to subscribers of the Purposeful investing Course (Pi).

The annual fee for Pi is $299.  In this special offer  have reduced the first years course fee to $197.  You receive the $29.95 report “Three Currency Patterns For 50% Profits or More”.  You receive the $39.95 report “Silver Dip 2016”.  You also receive the $49 report “How to Grab Sequential Value Profits” plus $102 off the subscription to Pi for a total savings of $347.90.

Triple Guarantee

Enroll in Pi.  Get the first monthly issue of Pi, the first five “Golden Rules of Investing” and the report “Three Currency Patterns For 50% Profits or More” and “How to Grab Sequential Value Profits” right away.

#1:  I guarantee you’ll learn ideas about investing that are unique and that can reduce stress as they help you enhance your profits through slow, worry free, purposeful investing.

If you are not totally happy, simply let me know within 60 days.

#2:  I guarantee if you are not totally happy n that time to cancel your subscription and refund your subscription fee in full, no questions asked.

#3:  I guarantee you can keep all three reports the “Silver & Gold Dip” and “Three Currency Patterns For 50% Profits or More” and “How to Grab Sequential Value Profits” as my thanks for trying.

You have nothing to lose except the fear, the stress, the worry and the high costs of trading shares.  You have the ultimate form of financial security and profit potential to gain.

Subscribe to Pi now. Learn how to easily increase safety and profit and save $347.90.

Subscribe to the Pi for $197.

Gary

Leverage Profits


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Here is how subscribers to our Purposeful investing Course (Pi) recently earned 98.68% profit in eight months.

Last November 2015, silver had dropped to a special low price.  The gold-silver spread had reached a historic high.

The iShares Silver Trust ETF ( symbol “SLV”) was priced at US$13.60 per share.

The British pound parity was US$1.54 US dollars per share.

We issued a special report (Silver Dip 2015) to Pi subscribers showing how a 30 year cycle and the risk reward ratio had tipped towards using a British pound margin account to invest in “SLV”.

Here is what happened to an investment of US$10,000 with an additional margin loan of  6,500 pounds.  The 6,500 pounds were converted to US$10,000.  The total $20,000 was invested in SLV at US$13.60.  This purchased 1,470 shares of the “SLV” ETF.

Eight months later, due in part to Brexit, “SLV” shares reached $19.22.  Those shares were worth US$28,253.

Paying off the 6,500 pound loan cost only US$8,325 because the pound has crashed to $1.29.  After the loan payoff, the balance is US$19,868.

The profit in eight months is $9,868 or 98.68% of the original $10,000 invested.

Here is the chart at www.finance.yahoo.com showing the horrendous drop in the pound as it plunged to 1.29 dollars per pound.

Screen Shot 2016-07-10 at 12.06.57 PM

The chart below shows the price of the silver ETF SLV (recommended in the Silver Dip Report) which spiked up to US$19.22.

Screen Shot 2016-07-10 at 12.06.27 PM

There has been such great profit potential in the Silver Dip I updated the report in the “Silver Dip 2016” report.

This is not the first time Pi subscribers made profits off leverage.

Earlier, subscribers received a report entitled “Multi Currency Sandwich” that showed how shorting the Japanese yen and investing the loan in dollars and euro could also bring a fast profit with minimal risk.

What a ride!  The dollar appreciated over 12% versus the yen in just three monthsThe Dow Jones Industrial average rose 9.5% in the same period.  Those who borrowed yen and invested in the Dow Jones industrial average earned both the 9.5% and 12% profit or 21.5% in three months.

Earlier, we helped readers earn up to 266.3% in one year using Swiss franc and yen margin loans.   Then we recommended getting out of all the shares and investing in Danish & Swedish bonds before the 2007 to 2009 global stock market crash.

Yet our Purposeful investing Course (Pi) is NOT about fast moving, speculative stock and currency trading.  Pi is about slow, worry free, good value investing from finding good value.  Our purpose is to invest for profit, not pride. 

This means there are only three reasons why we should invest.  We invest for income.  We invest to resell our investments for more than we had invested.  We should invest to make the world a better place.

We should not invest for fun, excitement or to get rich quick.

This is why the core Pi model portfolio (that forms the bulk of my own portfolio) consists of 19 shares and this position has not changed in over two years.  During these two years we have been steadily accumulating the same 19 shares and have not traded once.

This good value portfolio is based entirely on good value financial information and math.

The Pifolio is a theoretical portfolio of MSCI Country Benchmark Index ETFs that cover all the good value markets developed using my 50 years of investing experience and study of the mathematical market analysis of Michael Keppler and his company, Asset Management.

In my opinion, Keppler is one of the best market statisticians in the world.  Numerous very large fund managers, such as State Street Global Advisers, use his analysis to manage over $2.5 billion of funds.

The Pifolio analysis begins with Keppler who continually researches international major stock markets and compares their value based on current book to price, cash flow to price, earnings to price, average dividend yield, return on equity and cash flow return.  He compares each major stock market’s history.

Fwd: keppler

Michael Kepler CEO Keppler Asset Management.

Michael is a brilliant mathematician.  We have tracked his analysis for over 20 years.   He continually researches international major stock markets and compares their value based on current book to price, cash flow to price, earnings to price, average dividend yield, return on equity and cash flow return.  He compares each stock market’s history.  From this, he develops his Good Value Stock Market Strategy and rates each market as a Buy, Neutral or Sell market.  His analysis is rational, mathematical and does not cause worry about short term ups and downs.  Keppler’s strategy is to diversify into an equally weighted portfolio of the MSCI Indices of each BUY market.

This is an easy, simple and effective approach to zeroing in on value because little time, management and guesswork is required.  You are investing in a diversified portfolio of good value indices.

A BUY rating for an index does NOT imply that any stock in that country is an attractive investment, so you do not have to spend hours of research aimed at picking specific shares.  It is not appropriate or enough to instruct a stockbroker to simply select stocks in the BUY rated countries.  Investing in the index is like investing in all the shares in the index.  You save time because all you have to do is invest in the ETF to gain the profit potential of the entire market.

To achieve this goal of diversification the Pifolio consists of Country Index ETFs.

Country Index ETFs are similar to an index mutual fund but are shares normally traded on a major stock exchange that tracks an index of shares in a specific country.  ETFs do not try to beat the index they represent.  The management is passive and tries to emulate the performance of the index.

A country ETF provides diversification into a basket of equities in the country covered.  The expense ratios for most ETFs are lower than those of the average mutual fund as well so such ETFs provide diversification and cost efficiency.

Here is the Pifolio.

70% is diversified into Keppler’s good value (BUY rated) developed markets: Australia, Austria, France, Germany, Hong Kong, Italy, Japan, Norway, Singapore and the United Kingdom.

30% of the Pifolio is invested in Keppler’s good value (BUY rated) emerging markets: Brazil, Chile, China, Colombia, the Czech Republic, South Korea, Malaysia and Taiwan.

The Pifolio consists of iShares ETFs that invested in each of the MSCI indicies of these BUY markets.

For example, the iShares MSCI Australia (symbol EWA) is a Country Index ETF that tracks the investment results the Morgan Stanley Capital Index MSCI Australia Index which is composed mainly of large cap and small cap stocks traded primarily on the Australian Stock Exchange mainly of companies in consumer staples, financials and materials. This ETF is non-diversified outside of Australia.

iShares is owned by Black Rock, Inc. the world’s largest asset manager with over $4 trillion in assets under management.

The Pifolio is the main portfolio we study in our Purposeful investing Course.  Then we add spice with leveraged speculations that offer additional profit potential often using leverage.

My fifty years of global investing experience helps take advantage of numerous long term cycles that are part of the universal math that affects all investments.

For example in the 1980s, a remarkable set of two economic circumstances helped anyone who spotted them become remarkably rich.  Some of my readers made enough to retire.  Others picked up 50% currency gains.  Then the cycle ended.  Warren Buffett explained the importance of this ending in a 1999 Fortune magazine interview.  He said:  Let me summarize what I’ve been saying about the stock market: I think it’s very hard to come up with a persuasive case that equities will over the next 17 years perform anything like—anything like—they’ve performed in the past 17!

I did well then, but always thought, “I should have invested more!”  Now those circumstances have come together and I am investing in them again.

The circumstances that created fortunes 30 years ago were an overvalued US market (compared to global markets) and an overvalued US dollar.

The two conditions are in place again!  There are currently the ten good value non US developed markets and none good value emerging markets mentioned above.

Pi shows how to easily create a diversified, worry free portfolio that includes each or all of these countries with Country Index ETFs.

The current strength of the US dollar is a second remarkable similarity to 30 years ago.  Three decades past, in 1985 the dollar rose along with Wall Street.  Profits came quickly over three years.  Then in 1988 the dollar dropped like a stone, by 51%  in just two years.  A repeat of this pattern is growing and could create up to 50% extra profit if we start using strong dollars to accumulate good value stock market ETFs in other currencies.

This is the most exciting opportunity I have seen since we started sending our reports on international investing ideas more than three decades ago.  There is so much more to write and the trends are so clear that I have created a short, but powerful report “Three Currency Patterns For 50% Profits or More.”  This report shows how to earn an extra 50% from currency shifts with even small investments.  I kept the report short and simple, but included links to 153 pages of Keppler Asset Stock Market and Asset Allocation Analysis so you can keep this as simple or as complex as you desire.

The report shows 20 good value investments and a really powerful tactic that allows you to accumulate these bargains now in large or even very small amounts (less than $5,000).  There is extra profit potential of at least 50% so the report is worth a lot.

Research shows that most people worry about having enough money if they live long enough.  This powerful profit wave can eliminate that concern.  My experience of the 17 years in the 1980s and 90s combined with mathematical science can make the next 17 years so rich, you’ll always be rich.

You can order this report Three Currency Patterns For 50% Profits or More” for $29.95.  Order the report here $29.95

Or you can have the report free when you subscribe to Pi.

Leverage

Here is a ratio that can make us rich….1.6 to 1.  Leverage in this amount has helped build one of the greatest fortunes in history.  This ratio is one of three secrets in the science of everlasting wealth.

Research published at Yale University’s website shows the actual science of using this ratio to become and remain rich.

A research paper shows how Warren Buffett used leverage to amass his $50 billion dollar fortune.  The researchers found that the returns from Buffett’s investment company, Berkshire Hathaway, far outweighed those achieved by any rival that has operated for 30 years or more.  The research shows that neither luck nor magic are involved.  Instead, the paper shows that Buffet’s success hinges on using leverage at this Golden Ratio of 1.6 to make large purchases of “cheap, safe, quality stocks”.

Buffett has amassed an amazing fortune by leveraging a good strategy for very long periods of time, surviving rough periods where others might have been forced into a fire sale or a career shift.

The study found that Buffett applies a leverage of about 1.6 to 1, boosting both his risk and excess return in that proportion.  He uses this in his borrowing, not too little, not too much.

The 50 years of experience the Pi course shares also explains when leverage provides extra potential.   For example in 1986 I issued a report called The Silver Dip that showed how to borrow 12,000 British pounds (at almost 1.6 to 1 dollars per pound the loan created US$18,600) and use the loan to buy 3835 ounces of silver at around US$4.85 an ounce.

silver chart

Imagine investing in a spike like this… with leverage!

Silver had crashed, I mean really crashed from $48 per ounce.   As prices decreased from early 1983 into 1986, total supply had fallen to 449.7 million ounces in 1986.  Mine production was restricted by the low prices at this time, with silver reaching a low for this period of $4.85 in May 1986.  Secondary recovery also was constricted by these low prices.

Then silver’s price skyrocketed to over $11 an ounce within a year. The $18,600 loan was now worth $42,185.

The loan was in pounds and in May 1986 the dollar pound rate was 1.55 dollars per pound.  So the 12,000 pound loan purchased $18,600 of silver.  The pound then crashed to 1.40 dollars per silver.  The loan could be paid off for $13,285 immediately creating an extra $5,314 profit.  The profit grew to $47,499 in just a year.

Conditions for the silver dip returned 30 years later.  The availability of low cost loans and silver were at an all time low.

With investors watching global stock markets bounce up and down, many missed two really important profit generating events.

slv share chart

The price of silver has crashed all the way from nearly $50 an ounce to below $14 an ounce as did shares of the iShares Silver ETF (SLV).  (Click on chart from Google.com  (1) to enlarge.)

At the same time the silver gold ratio hit 80, a strong sign to invest in precious metals.

I prepared a special report “Silver Dip 2015” about a leveraged silver speculation that can increase the returns in a safe portfolio by as much as eight times.  The purpose of the report is to share long term lessons gained through 30 years of speculating and investing in precious metals.  While working on the report, when the gold silver ratio slipped to 80 and the price of silver dropped below $14 an ounce, I knew I needed to share this immediately.

I released a new report “Silver Dip 2015” so readers could take advantage of these conditions and leverage 1.6 times as a speculation.  The speculation was so time sensitive with such fast profit (but also loss) potential that I only offer it for a short time.   As explained above, that report helped create a 98.68% profit in just eight months.

There is still plenty of potential in the Silver Dip 2016 but a new even bigger opportunity has arrived.  A Chinese stock and currency distortion has created a new leverage opportunity.  This potential caused me to rush out another report “Safe Speculations in Currency Profits”.

This new report shows how there is a sequence that the appreciation or decline of currencies and stock markets always follow.  After 50 years of global business and investing, I have learned to watch for aberrations in this sequence.  Sometimes a rare quirk, such as we saw with the yen loan and the Silver Dip offers potential for a quick, fast profit, but almost no risk of long term loss.

The newest such quirk is a Chinese stock and currency distortion that recently came together.  This anomaly has really captured my attention because it offers extra potential for those who act now.

Investors who jump in at the correct breaks in the sequence can make fortunes.  Success is almost guaranteed.  In fact an 89 year study showed a 99% change of success when sequence distortions are worked in a certain way.

Some Facts about Currency Opportunity

My new report “Safe Speculations in Currency Profits” shows how to cash in on a distorted cycle in the sequence of China’s stock market and currency that has interfered with the US dollar’s fall.

The economic expansion you’ll learn may be one of the most important social, economic phenomena since the original Industrial Revolution two and a half centuries ago.  Upon completion the sequence will triple the number of poor who will have been lifted from poverty.  This is such a huge change that Chinese growth is not going away because China has discovered a secret economic recipe.  This recipe will make those who invest in it rich, maybe overnight, certainly over time.  (Supporting China’s economy will help the world be a better place as well).

To order the new report “Safe Speculations in Currency Profits” that shows how to gain a special short term opportunity in China and in Britain with little long term risk, $49 click here.

Save $207.95

Subscribe to the first year of The Personal investing Course (Pi). The annual fee is $299, but to introduce you to this online course that is based on real time investing, I am knocking $102 off the subscription.  Plus you receive the $29.95 report “Three Currency Patterns For 50% Profits or More” and the $27 report “The Silver Dip 2016” and $49 report “Safe Speculations in Currency Profits” free for a total savings of $207.95.

Triple Guarantee

Enroll in Pi.   Get all issues of Pi, and the report “Three Currency Patterns For 50% Profits or More” and “The Silver Dip 2015” and “Safe Speculations in Currency Profits” right away.

#1:  I guarantee you’ll learn ideas about investing that are unique and can reduce stress as they help you enhance your profits through slow, worry free purposeful investing.

If you are not totally happy, simply let me know.

#2:  I guarantee to cancel your subscription and refund your subscription fee in full, no questions asked.

#3:  I guarantee you can keep “Three Currency Patterns For 50% Profits or More” and “The Silver Dip 2106” and “Safe Speculations in Currency Profits” reports as my thanks for trying.

You have nothing to lose except the fear.  You have the ultimate form of financial security to gain.

Save $158.95.   Subscribe to the Pi for $197.

Gary

SLV Remains Low


The price of silver and silver ETFs remain low.   SLV’s price has even dropped .51 cents since I wrote the note below last September.

silver chart

This means there is still opportunity in the Silver Dip 2015.

Gary

Why Leverage Silver ETFs

Turn $250 into $51,888… in Four Years or Less?

I first spotted an opportunity in 1986.   Two short term distortions (in the price of silver and the strength of the British pound) created potential for huge profits.  I wrote in a report (called the “Silver Dip”) that told how to borrow British pounds to speculate in silver and earn over $50,000 profit.  That’s the headline I used then in 1986, “Turn $250 into $51,888… in Four Years or Less”.

The report showed how to take borrow overpriced British pounds and invest the loan in under priced silver.   $250 was required to set up the loan.  No other cash was needed to borrow the pounds.

Readers who followed the report made $46,299 on the no cash investment in only one year

Then in 2015 I spotted the same distortion again.  The British pound was overvalued.  Silver was undervalued. 

I quickly issued a report… the “Silver Dip 2015” that looked at how similar conditions to 1986 had fallen into place.  The price of silver had reached a six year low.  The British pound strength was rising.  The dollar per pound rate was $1.55 per pound, exactly the same as in 1986 and the silver/gold ratio rose over 80 just as in 1986.

That report revealed the iShares Silver Trust, a silver ETF  and during the year after issuing this report, the share price rose from $13.57 per share to $19.60 in 2015.

The rise in the silver price created a nice profit.   The currency and leverage tactics within the strategy turned the nice profit into a very nice profit.

A $10,000 (6,451 British pounds) loan purchased 736 shares at $13.57.  In 2015 the shares rose to $19.60 and were worth $14,425 (up 44.25%).

Those profits were spectacular by any stretch of the imagination but turned out even better because the profits above excluded the forex profit.

In 2015-2016 , the British pound dropped almost exactly as it did 30 years ago!  The British pound fell from $1.55 per pound to $1.33 per pound.

At $1.33 per pound, the 6,451 pound loan only required $8,575 to pay back the loan.  This created an extra $1,425 forex profit.

When the opportunity appeared again last year, I updated the report to  “Silver Dip 2018”.

The 2018 report showed how the opportunity for this speculation was even better than it was in 2015.

Yet the profits have not yet arrived.  This allows me to make an amazing no-risk guaranteed offer to you.

Silver Dip 2019 includes profit calculations for 2019 and I offer you the report “Silver Dip 2019” with a year long guarantee.

“If the profits recommended in the report don’t arrive by the end of the year, I’ll give you a complete and full refund”.

That’s right if the tactic described in Silver Dip 2019 do not hit their target, you don’t have to pay a thing for the report.

Investing in silver ETFs leveraged with margin loans may create extraordinary profits in 2019.

The “Silver Dip 2019”  shows how to easily make an ideal speculation for almost any amount.   The report shows when and how to get margin loans in dollars, British pound, Japanese yen or euro.

In fact you learn how to borrow in 23 different currencies, even Russian rubles, so you can choose the weakest currency with the lowest interest rates.

Low Interest Loans

Interest on the loan won’t eat up profits.  The “Silver Dip 2019” shows how to borrow many currencies right now for less than 2%.

The Silver Dip is only exercised when conditions are absolutely ideal.  Value investors never push this rule.  Investment and speculative markets are full of rumor, conjecture (a lot of it false) and hidden agendas.  The Silver Dip relies instead on a really simple theory… that the price of gold should rise about the same rate as other basic goods and the rise and fall of silver’s price should maintain a parity with gold.  When that parity is out of balance (as it has been since August 2018) silver’s price is ready to explode.

The “Silver Dip 2019” explains how to speculate in silver ETFs plus outlines the following:

  • How to use the Silver Dip strategy without adding a penny of cash if you already have investments.
  • How to invest as little as a thousand dollars in silver if you do not have a current investment portfolio.
  • Why this is a speculation, not an investment:  who should and should not speculate and how to limit losses and take profits.
  • Three reasons why conditions are excellent for better for a Silver Dip now.
  • Three different ways to invest in the US or abroad.
  • How to buy gold and silver or platinum with or without dollar leverage margin accounts.

The “Silver Dip 2019” also contains four matrices that calculate profits and losses so investors can determine cut off positions in advance to protect profits and/or losses.  The report also looks at how to switch time horizons for greater safety.

Rising interest rates make the stock market highly dangerous in the short term. “The Silver Dip 2019” shows how to create a safe, diversified good value stock portfolio and use it to generate much higher returns with a little controlled speculation in silver.

Learn how to beware of certain brokers and trading platforms, how to choose a good bank or broker and how silver profits are taxed.

The report includes a complex comparison of silver’s price with other costs of living from 1942 to today to help determine its real value.

Finally, learn why and how to use advisers to manage profits from silver dips.

Current circumstances could cause the price of silver to rise rapidly at any time.  Do not delay reading this report.

The Silver Dip sold for $79 in 1986.  Due to savings created by online publishing (we have eliminated the cost f paper and postage), we are able to offer this report for $39.95.

Order now by clicking here.  Silver Dip 2019  $39.95

The benefit of 50 years experience in watching markets, metals, bonds, interest rates and currencies, I have learned many special pricing situations to watch for.

These special opportunities do not appear every day.  That’s why they are special.

Unless you have seen them come and go, it’s hard to see them coming again.

That is why I was willing to wait for years for silver to be in a special pricing position.

Our courses and reports are about finding good value and they have been helping astute readers find value investments, again and again for 50 years.

The “Silver Dip 2019” report shows a current huge opportunity.  I continuously watch for aberrations in currency and precious metal markets.   Sometimes a rare quirk, such as the currency distortions, low cost loans and low silver price  offer potential for profit, with very little risk of long term loss.

Investors who speculate on these aberrations at the correct time can make fortunes.

The time is now.

Success is almost guaranteed.  In fact an 89 year study showed a 99% change of success when sequence distortions are worked in a certain way.

We are stalking precious metal opportunity now.

The trap is set. We are waiting…

This opportunity is explained in the report “Silver Dip 2019”.

You can order the Silver Dip 2019 here for $39.95

Here is why there is no risk for you.  The report is 100% guaranteed.

I do not sell book, reports and courses.  I offer benefits.  If  the Silver Dip 2019 does not bring you the benefits you expect, just let me know any time in 2019 and I’ll send you a quick, no questions asked, full refund.

I can’t promise that silver’s price will rise in 2019 but  I can guarantee you’ll be fully satisfied with the report or… you can have your money back in full.

You can order the Silver Dip 2019 here for $39.95

Gary

 

 

How to Prosper in the Worst Times


Many readers send me notes about our political system that sounds like sour grapes (frustrated).  Other notes I receive are more like the grapes of wrath (angry).   Many readers are angry, many are frustrated and most are a little afraid.

Let’s remind ourselves of some basics and remember even rotten grapes can be turned into sweet wine.  See below a way to earn extra profit with a falling US dollar.

grape pie

Concord grapes from our little vineyard at Merrily Farms.

A reader sent this note:  Hi Gary,  If the USD is replaced as the world’s “go to” currency, we’ll have a major crash in this country.  I believe it’s inevitable.  So what references can you offer to help us prepare for the worst?  Your input will be greatly appreciated.  Please tell Merri hello and give her our best.

My reply:  First, a weak dollar is not a bad thing for Americans.  Imports cost more but the US still has the largest domestic economy in the world by far.  Here are the stats from the IMF for 2014 (1).

Rank   Country                 GDP   $ Millions

1          United States           17,418,925
2         China                         10,380,380
3         Japan                          4,616,335
4         Germany                    3,859,547
5         United Kingdom      2,945,146
6         France                        2,846,889
7         Brazil                          2,353,025

Right now there is a very good case for diversifying out of the US dollar into the Euro.  This ten year chart of the Euro shows how it has been dropping in waves versus the US dollar since 2008.  The dollar’s strength since late 2013 suggests that the green back is very overbought.  The Euro zone has lower debt as a percent of GDP, a smaller deficit and a much better trade balance.  All of these fundamental strengths give the euro a good reason to surge.

US dollar

Chart from www.xe.com (1)

Our reports  “3 Economic Conditions for 50% Profits or More” and  “Silver Dip 2015”  both show how to to profit when the US dollar falls.

The loss of purchasing power of all currencies are a growing global problem.  The US dollar has been losing purchasing power since I began traveling and investing in the late 1960s.  Today almost every currency is under pressure because almost every government has used the same overspending tactics as has the US.

Winston Churchill outlined the crux of the problem when he said: “If the Almighty were to rebuild the world and asked me for advice, I would have English Channels round every country.  And the atmosphere would be such that anything which attempted to fly would be set on fire.

The opposite has evolved.  Modern communications and technology have allowed a growing population that is increasingly connected.

Technology creates greater wealth.  Communications allow even the poorest to know about (and desire) this wealth.  As always, the extra wealth is not distributed equally or fairly but in the modern world technology allows the poor to express their frustration in deadly ways, if they don’t get enough of the added affluence.

This is why no one is isolated from the Syrian problem.  This is why a very small number of people at ISIS can affect most of us wherever we are in the world.  This is why no one country can (or should) be allowed to crash.

Inflation is one way of creating soft landings to these equality distribution problems.

Here are some of the steps we have taken to reduce the effects of inflation and gain from currency fluctuations..

First, we have expanded our investments in rental real estate.   We reduced our equity position, almost totally eliminated bonds and added rental income property.  Rental property is a lot more work than investments in CDS or bonds (not enough return) or buying US shares (hard to find value).

We aimed for a sweet spot, two and three bedroom houses that rent for about $1000 a month.  Our renters are mostly working professionals, teachers, police, foremen and retired couples.  The reasoning is that these are stable renters and rents will rise with inflation and provide a sufficient income.

In stock investing we are investing in value markets outside the USA  (explained in the report “3 Economic Conditions for 50% Profits or More” and  and speculating in precious metals as in our report “Silver Dip 2015”.

Second, we have moved to remote places away from the madding crowd and more out of harms way from traffic jams, noise, pollution, riots and such.  I want to point out that this decision was not made because we think the world or the US dollar is coming to an end.  Life is just better out here in nowhere for us.  If we loved shopping and concerts, theater, socializing, dining in restaurants. etc. our decision might be different, but we do not. We love land, fresh air, lots of water and space and we like to stay at home or with our children and grandchildren.

Third, we stay away form the US medical system as much as we can and work at maintaining good natural health.  Fortunately, we really like to garden so I get good exercise growing some of our own food.  This provides a double benefit, the exercise and truly ripe, organic food picked right off the vine eaten with fish from the creek or lake.

grape pie

Finally, I am very picky about reading the news, never at night and only looking at specific items that might relate to what we are doing.  So much of the global medias is aimed at instilling and/or enhancing fear.  What a shame to live in more fear than is required!

The world, governments and the currencies they issue have changed a lot in the last 45 years that I have been multi currency investing.  The almighty may not have listened to Winston Churchill for evolutionary planning, but we have been given two key economic essentials, that are the very basics of all economics, more demand, (a growing population) and  more supply (increased productivity).

There are plenty of distortions and displacements caused by unequal distribution of wealth.  These errors remain and will remain cause of concern and of inflation.  The overall trend however is of greater wealth. When we achieve mastery at selecting currencies and live in a peaceful healthy way, we can increase our share of this wealth.

grape pie

Grape pie we recently baked from grapes off our vines at the farm.  It was not sour. Nor was there any wrath involved!

To help you gain mastery over all your important goals in life, this week only Amazon.com has a countdown special on the Kindle edition of Bob Gandt and my new book MASTERY for only $2.99.   The print list price $13.99, the Kindle regular price $6.99.  Download it directly to your Kindle reader or onto your PC, Mac or tablet on an app from the Amazon page.

mastery

Order MASTERY (this week only) at Amazon.com for $2.99

Gary

Gain From Election Volatility

Here we are again… another election on its way… all the robo calls from politicians… the dirty tricks and the innumerable amounts of nonsense this vital process brings.

However America’s politics turn out, one thing is sure.  There will be volatility in stock markets during the election process.

The first reason markets will bounce has nothing to do with politics or policies.   A market correction is due regardless of the party or the person in office.

Second the new politics has created an uncertain era.  Everyone has been shaken over the past three years whether they are pleased with the government or not.

Nothing frightens markets like uncertainty.

Third if we see rising interest rates, this will push markets down.

Despite these pitfalls, there is a way to profit using the strong US dollar and undervalue non dollar stock markets to pick up good value shares.

During nearly five decades of global investing I have noticed found that good value strategies are the best way to profit long term, through good politics and bad.  The steps to take are simple.

The first tactic is to seek safety before profit.

We can look at Warren Buffett’s investing strategy as an example.  Buffett success is talked about a lot, but rarely does anyone explain how he make so much money.  That was the fact until some researchers really stripped his operation bare.  They looked at everything and learned the deepest of Buffett’s wealth management secrets.  Fortunately they published all in a research paper at Yale University’s website. that reveals important truths about extending wealth.

This research shows that the stocks Buffett chooses are safe (with low beta and low volatility), cheap (value stocks with low price – to – book ratios), and high quality (stocks of companies that are profitable, stable, growing, and with high payout ratios).

The second tactic is to maintain staying power.  At times Buffet’s portfolio has fallen, but he has been willing and able to wait long periods for the value to reveal itself and prices to recover.

A 45 year portfolio study shows that holding a diversified good value portfolio (based on a  good value strategy) for 13 month’s time, increases the probability of outperformance to 70%.

However those who can hold the portfolio for five years gain a 88% probability of beating the bellwether in the market and after ten years the probability increases to 97.5%.

Time is your friend when you use a good value strategy.  The longer you can hold onto a well balanced good value portfolio the better the odds of outstanding success.

The Buffett strategy integrates time and value for safety and profit.

A third tactic is using limited leveraging, tactic in the strategy boosts profit.  Buffett leverages his portfolio at a ratio of approximately 1.6 to 1.   The Yale published research paper shows the leveraging methods used by Warren Buffett to amass his $50 billion fortune.  The researchers found that the returns from Buffett’s investment company, Berkshire Hathaway, far outweighed those achieved by any rival that has operated for 30 years or more.  The research shows that neither luck nor magic are involved.  Instead, the paper shows that Buffet’s success hinges on using leverage at the rate of 1.6.

To sum up the strategy, Buffet uses limited leverage to invest in large purchases of “cheap, safe, quality stocks”.  He limits leverage so he can hold on for very long periods of time, surviving rough periods where others might have been forced into a fire sale or a career shift.

Stated in another way buffet uses logic (buy good value) to have the conviction, wherewithal, and skill to invest with leverage over many decades.

What do we do when we are not Warren Buffett?

May I introduce the Purposeful Investing Course (Pi) for those who want to invest like Warren Buffet, but know they are not.  This course is based on my 50 plus years of investing experience combined with wisdom gained from some of the world’s best investment managers and economic mathematical scientists.

Enjoy Extending Wealth

Pi’s mission is to make it easy for anyone to create a three point strategy, like Buffett’s even though they do not have a lot of time for or knowledge about investing.

Pi reveals investing secrets and the sciences that make investing easy, safer, less time consuming and increases the chances of profit.

One secret is to invest with a purpose beyond the cash.  One tactic as mentioned is staying power.  This means not being caught short and having to sell during a period of loss.  This also means having enough faith in a strategy that we stick to the plan.  When we invest with purpose, doing what we love, we enjoy the process more and are more likely to hold on during down times, when most poor investors panic and sell.

Slow, Worry Free, Good Value Investing

Stress, worry and fear are three of an investor’s worst enemies.  They create the Behavior Gap, a trait exhibited by most investors, that causes them to underperform any market sector they choose.  The behavior gap is created by natural human responses to fear.   Pi helps create profitable strategies that avoid losses from this gap.

Spanning the Behavior Gap

Behavior gaps are among the biggest reasons why so many investors fail.  Human evolution makes fear the second most powerful motivator.  (Greed is the third.)  Fear creates investment losses due to behavior gaps.  Fear motivates us more strongly than desire.  By nature investors are risk adverse.

Winning investors though embrace risk because they have a plan based on good value.

Purpose is the most powerful motivator,  stronger than fear and greed, so a strategy with purpose is the most powerful of all.

Combine your needs and capabilities with good value secrets and the math to back up your value selections through the Pifolio – The Pi Model Portfolio

Lessons from Pi are based on the creation and management of a Primary Pi Model Portfolio, called the Pifolio.  There are no secrets about this portfolio except that it ignores the stories (often created by someone with vested interests) and is based entirely on good math.

The Pifolio is a theoretical portfolio of MSCI Country Benchmark Index ETFs that cover all the good value markets using my (almost) 50 years of global experience and my study of the analysis of four mathematical investing geniuses (and friends).

The Pifolio analysis begins with a continual research of international major stock markets that compares their value based on:

#1:  Current book to price

#2: Cash flow to price

#3: Earnings to price

#4: Average dividend yield

#5: Return on equity

#6: Cash flow return.

#7: Market history

We follow this research of a brilliant mathematician and have tracked this analysis for over 20 years.    This is a complete and continual study of international major and emerging stock markets.

This analysis forms the basis of a Good Value Stock Market Strategy.   The analysis is rational, mathematical and does not worry about short term ups and downs.   This strategy is easy for anyone to follow and use.  Pi reveals the best value markets and provides contacts to managers and analysts and Country Index ETFs so almost anyone can create and follow their own strategy.

A country ETF provides diversification and cost efficiency by spreading one simple, even small investment into a basket of equities in a good value stock market.  The costs are low and this type of ETF is one of the hardest for institutions to cheat.  Expense ratios for most ETFs are lower than those of the average mutual fund.

Little knowledge, time, management or guesswork are required.  The investment is simply a diversified portfolio of good value indices.  Investments in an index are like investments in all the shares of a good value market.

Pi matches this mathematical certainty with my fifty years of experience. This opens insights to numerous long term cycles that most investors miss because they have not been investing long enough to see them.

For example in the 1980s, a remarkable set of two economic circumstances helped anyone who spotted them become remarkably rich.  Some of my readers made enough to retire.  Others picked up 50% currency gains.  Then the cycle ended.  Warren Buffett explained the importance of this ending in a 1999 Fortune magazine interview.  He said:  Let me summarize what I’ve been saying about the stock market: I think it’s very hard to come up with a persuasive case that equities will over the next 17 years perform anything like—anything like—they’ve performed in the past 17!

I did well then, but always thought, “I should have invested more!”  Now those circumstances have come together and I am investing in them again.

The circumstances that created fortunes 30 years ago were an overvalued US market (compared to global markets) and an overvalued US dollar.

The two conditions are in place again!  There are currently ten good value (non US) developed markets,  plus 10 good value emerging markets.

Pi shows how to easily create a diversified, worry free portfolio in some of these good value markets using Country Index ETFs.

The current strength of the US dollar is a second remarkable similarity to 30 years ago.   The dollar rose along with Wall Street.  Profits came quickly over three years.  Then the dollar dropped like a stone, by 51%  in just two years.  A repeat of this pattern is growing and could create up to 50% extra profit if we start using strong dollars to accumulate good value stock market ETFs in other currencies.

This is the most exciting opportunity I have seen since we started sending our reports on international investing ideas more than three decades ago.  There is so much more to write and the trends are so clear that I have created a short, but powerful report “Three Currency Patterns For 50% Profits or More.”   This report shows how to earn an extra 50% from currency shifts with even small investments.  I kept the report short and simple, but included links to 153 pages of  Good Value Stock Market research and Asset Allocation Analysis.

The report shows 20 good value investments and a really powerful tactic that shows the most effective and least expensive way to accumulate these bargains in large or even very small amounts (less than $5,000).  There is extra profit potential of at least 50% so the report is worth a lot.

This report sells for $29.95 but you’ll receive the report “Three Currency Patterns For 50% Profits or More” FREE when you subscribe to Pi.

Leverage

Pi also explains when leverage provides extra potential without undo risk.  For example in 1986 I issued a report called “The Silver Dip” that showed how to borrow 12,000 British pounds (at almost 1.6 to 1 dollars per pound the loan created US$18,600) and use the loan to buy 3835 ounces of silver at around US$4.85 an ounce.

Silver had crashed, I mean really crashed from $48 per ounce.  As prices decreased from early 1983 into 1986, total supply had fallen to 449.7 million ounces in 1986.  Mine production was restricted by the low prices at this time, with silver reaching a low for this period of $4.85 in May 1986.  Secondary recovery also was constricted by these low prices.

Then silver’s price skyrocketed to over $11 an ounce within a year.  The $18,600 loan was now worth $42,185.

The loan was in pounds and in May 1986 the dollar pound rate was 1.55 dollars per pound.  So the 12,000 pound loan purchased $18,600 of silver.  The pound then crashed to 1.40 dollars per silver.  The loan could be paid off for $13,285 immediately creating an extra $5,314 profit.  The profit grew to $47,499 in just a year.

Conditions for the silver dip have returned.  The availability of low cost loans and silver are at an all time low.  The price of silver has crashed from nearly $50 an ounce to below $14 as did shares of the iShares Silver ETF (SLV).

finance.yahoo.com chart SLV

iShares Silver Trust (symbol SLV) from www.finance.yahoo.com

Imagine investing in a spike like this… with leverage!

At the same time the silver gold ratio hit 80, a strong sign to invest in precious metals.

I have updated a special report “Silver Dip 2019” about a leveraged silver speculation that can increase the returns in a safe portfolio by as much as eight times.  The purpose of the report is to share long term lessons gained through 30 years of speculating and investing in precious metals.  While working on the report, when the gold silver ratio slipped to 80 and the price of silver dropped below $14 an ounce, I knew I needed to share this immediately.

I released a new report “Silver Dip 2015” so readers were able to take advantage of these conditions and leverage 1.6 times as a speculation.  That report generated profits as high as 212% and a revised 2019 issue has been produced.

“The Silver Dip 2109”  sells for $39.95 but  you receive  “Silver Dip 2019” FREE when you subscribe to Pi.

Save

Subscribe to the first year of The Personal investing Course (Pi).  The annual fee is $299, but to introduce you to this online, course that is based on real time investing, I am knocking $102 off the subscription.  Plus you receive the $29.95 report “Three Currency Patterns For 50% Profits or More” and the $39.95 report “The Silver Dip 2019” free.

Triple Guarantee

Enroll in Pi.   Get the first monthly issue of Pi, and the report “Three Currency Patterns For 50% Profits or More” and “The Silver Dip 2019” right away.

#1:  I guarantee you’ll learn ideas about investing that are unique and can reduce stress as they help you enhance your profits through slow, worry free purposeful investing.

If you are not totally happy, simply let me know.

#2:  I guarantee you can cancel your subscription within 60 days and I’ll refund your subscription fee in full, no questions asked.

#3:  I guarantee you can keep “Three Currency Patterns For 50% Profits or More” and “The Silver Dip 2109” report as my thanks for trying.

You have nothing to lose except the fear.   You have the ultimate form of financial security to gain.

Subscribe to the Pi for $197.   You Save $158.95.

Your subscription will be charged $299 a year from now, but you can cancel at any time.

Gary

 

 

 

(1) IMF GDP Stats

(2)  Euro Dollar Chart at www.xe.com

What Are the Odds?


What are the odds that we are what we are, where we are?   What incredible number of unlikely events had to take place for each of us to exist-the chance meetings, the lucky misses, the good and the bad fortune and all the millions of forks in the road that our forefathers and mothers had to make for us to be in the here and now!

How lucky we are that this here and now is such a golden era in such an incredibly rich place.  There is so much positive goodness in today’s  creation, yet the news focuses instead on what seems bad.  For some reason the brain likes to dwell so much on the unlikely in the horizon, that we trip on the likely wrinkle in the rug.

Think about how much this focus on unlikely bad events costs.  Jeffrey S. Rosenthal, who wrote the book “Struck by Lightning” – The Curious World of Probabilities” (1) says:  “People often have a rather inaccurate sense of the relative danger of things.  More people are killed by elephants than sharks, but people don’t worry about being killed by elephants.”

Even more we drive on freeways where we are far more likely to be killed than by sharks, elephants, lions, snakes and probably anything  animate.    Throw in death by airplane crash as well.

Yet we do not tremble in fear when we get in the car.

economist chart

Graphic from a recent Wall Street Journal article “What are the Odds?” (2). The article says “Big news events stir worries, but chances of dying in plane crashes or shark attacks are slim.” When an airplane crashes into a mountain or a mountain slides down over a bunch of homes, or a shark eats a surfer, this is big news.   The article tells how the news reacted to a lightning-strike survivor winning the lottery.  News mayhem, but really, what were the odds?  Next time you are struck by lightening don’t rush to buy a ticket!

What are the odds of being ruined financially by a global financial collapse? Or attacked by a shark?  Or struck by lightening?

The odds are low, if we use a little common sense.

garyascott self publishing

Kisses from Mah while I write under the maple tree.

Last year this maple, my favorite tree on the farm, died.   This beauty was over 100 years old and stood majestically in the middle of a large meadow.  On hot days I used to sit in its shade reading and writing.  To make lemons out of lemonade,  today I made plans for the beautiful wood and cut the tree down.  We will mill the logs and make great maple tables and offer them for sale at our rental cabins.  Plus I’ll keep one 6′ by 3′ foot table on my front porch to honor this grand tree.

Right now, every day or two I clear a limb or two for fire wood.  Last week I was there, sawing away, when very dark afternoon clouds drew in and the sky began to rumble.  This typical afternoon thunderstorm brings a short heavy refreshing rain, deep, black purple clouds and often powerful lightening.  Two years ago that lightening hit a poplar near our house.  Not only did the strike shatter the tree, blowing wood shrapnel fifty feet, it fried the electronics in my Honda minivan.

There I was standing, me and the tree the highest conductors in the meadow with the thunder moving in.  I hopped in my John Deere Gator and skedaddled it back to the farmhouse.

The odds of being struck by lightening are minuscule, but I do not stand tall in a meadow during a lightening storm.  I do not recommend getting in shark infested waters with a bloody wound either.

This is why I maintain precious metals in my overall portfolio. I do not expect a global economic or currency collapse any time soon, if at all in our lives.  Yet gold and silver can add protection against this tiny risk.  Good value metal speculation can also increase the performance of a safe and sane investment portfolios.

The odds that inflation, rather than an economic collapse, will ruin our purchasing power are very different than shark attacks and lightening strikes.  The odds of inflation are very high, almost assured.

Some events, like shark attacks, lightening strikes and global economic collapse evoke extra fright, even though the odds are very much against them.   Far greater dangers to our health and wealth, such as inflation,  create far greater risk.   Somehow it’s easier to ignore the worst dangers but we should not.   Precious metals and using the odds to find good value investments and sane ways to protect  against both the long and short odds risks.

Gary

struck by lightening

(1)  Learn about Struck by Lightening – The World of Curious Probablilities

(2) http://www.wsj.com/articles/what-are-the-odds-long-most-likely-1439544600?tesla=y

The Silver Dip Portfolio is one of the portfolios we will feature at our Value Investing Seminar.

Gain From Election Volatility

Here we are again… another election on its way… all the robo calls from politicians… the dirty tricks and the innumerable amounts of nonsense this vital process brings.

However America’s politics turn out, one thing is sure.  There will be volatility in stock markets during the election process.

The first reason markets will bounce has nothing to do with politics or policies.   A market correction is due regardless of the party or the person in office.

Second the new politics has created an uncertain era.  Everyone has been shaken over the past three years whether they are pleased with the government or not.

Nothing frightens markets like uncertainty.

Third if we see rising interest rates, this will push markets down.

Despite these pitfalls, there is a way to profit using the strong US dollar and undervalue non dollar stock markets to pick up good value shares.

During nearly five decades of global investing I have noticed found that good value strategies are the best way to profit long term, through good politics and bad.  The steps to take are simple.

The first tactic is to seek safety before profit.

We can look at Warren Buffett’s investing strategy as an example.  Buffett success is talked about a lot, but rarely does anyone explain how he make so much money.  That was the fact until some researchers really stripped his operation bare.  They looked at everything and learned the deepest of Buffett’s wealth management secrets.  Fortunately they published all in a research paper at Yale University’s website. that reveals important truths about extending wealth.

This research shows that the stocks Buffett chooses are safe (with low beta and low volatility), cheap (value stocks with low price – to – book ratios), and high quality (stocks of companies that are profitable, stable, growing, and with high payout ratios).

The second tactic is to maintain staying power.  At times Buffet’s portfolio has fallen, but he has been willing and able to wait long periods for the value to reveal itself and prices to recover.

A 45 year portfolio study shows that holding a diversified good value portfolio (based on a  good value strategy) for 13 month’s time, increases the probability of outperformance to 70%.

However those who can hold the portfolio for five years gain a 88% probability of beating the bellwether in the market and after ten years the probability increases to 97.5%.

Time is your friend when you use a good value strategy.  The longer you can hold onto a well balanced good value portfolio the better the odds of outstanding success.

The Buffett strategy integrates time and value for safety and profit.

A third tactic is using limited leveraging, tactic in the strategy boosts profit.  Buffett leverages his portfolio at a ratio of approximately 1.6 to 1.   The Yale published research paper shows the leveraging methods used by Warren Buffett to amass his $50 billion fortune.  The researchers found that the returns from Buffett’s investment company, Berkshire Hathaway, far outweighed those achieved by any rival that has operated for 30 years or more.  The research shows that neither luck nor magic are involved.  Instead, the paper shows that Buffet’s success hinges on using leverage at the rate of 1.6.

To sum up the strategy, Buffet uses limited leverage to invest in large purchases of “cheap, safe, quality stocks”.  He limits leverage so he can hold on for very long periods of time, surviving rough periods where others might have been forced into a fire sale or a career shift.

Stated in another way buffet uses logic (buy good value) to have the conviction, wherewithal, and skill to invest with leverage over many decades.

What do we do when we are not Warren Buffett?

May I introduce the Purposeful Investing Course (Pi) for those who want to invest like Warren Buffet, but know they are not.  This course is based on my 50 plus years of investing experience combined with wisdom gained from some of the world’s best investment managers and economic mathematical scientists.

Enjoy Extending Wealth

Pi’s mission is to make it easy for anyone to create a three point strategy, like Buffett’s even though they do not have a lot of time for or knowledge about investing.

Pi reveals investing secrets and the sciences that make investing easy, safer, less time consuming and increases the chances of profit.

One secret is to invest with a purpose beyond the cash.  One tactic as mentioned is staying power.  This means not being caught short and having to sell during a period of loss.  This also means having enough faith in a strategy that we stick to the plan.  When we invest with purpose, doing what we love, we enjoy the process more and are more likely to hold on during down times, when most poor investors panic and sell.

Slow, Worry Free, Good Value Investing

Stress, worry and fear are three of an investor’s worst enemies.  They create the Behavior Gap, a trait exhibited by most investors, that causes them to underperform any market sector they choose.  The behavior gap is created by natural human responses to fear.   Pi helps create profitable strategies that avoid losses from this gap.

Spanning the Behavior Gap

Behavior gaps are among the biggest reasons why so many investors fail.  Human evolution makes fear the second most powerful motivator.  (Greed is the third.)  Fear creates investment losses due to behavior gaps.  Fear motivates us more strongly than desire.  By nature investors are risk adverse.

Winning investors though embrace risk because they have a plan based on good value.

Purpose is the most powerful motivator,  stronger than fear and greed, so a strategy with purpose is the most powerful of all.

Combine your needs and capabilities with good value secrets and the math to back up your value selections through the Pifolio – The Pi Model Portfolio

Lessons from Pi are based on the creation and management of a Primary Pi Model Portfolio, called the Pifolio.  There are no secrets about this portfolio except that it ignores the stories (often created by someone with vested interests) and is based entirely on good math.

The Pifolio is a theoretical portfolio of MSCI Country Benchmark Index ETFs that cover all the good value markets using my (almost) 50 years of global experience and my study of the analysis of four mathematical investing geniuses (and friends).

The Pifolio analysis begins with a continual research of international major stock markets that compares their value based on:

#1:  Current book to price

#2: Cash flow to price

#3: Earnings to price

#4: Average dividend yield

#5: Return on equity

#6: Cash flow return.

#7: Market history

We follow this research of a brilliant mathematician and have tracked this analysis for over 20 years.    This is a complete and continual study of international major and emerging stock markets.

This analysis forms the basis of a Good Value Stock Market Strategy.   The analysis is rational, mathematical and does not worry about short term ups and downs.   This strategy is easy for anyone to follow and use.  Pi reveals the best value markets and provides contacts to managers and analysts and Country Index ETFs so almost anyone can create and follow their own strategy.

A country ETF provides diversification and cost efficiency by spreading one simple, even small investment into a basket of equities in a good value stock market.  The costs are low and this type of ETF is one of the hardest for institutions to cheat.  Expense ratios for most ETFs are lower than those of the average mutual fund.

Little knowledge, time, management or guesswork are required.  The investment is simply a diversified portfolio of good value indices.  Investments in an index are like investments in all the shares of a good value market.

Pi matches this mathematical certainty with my fifty years of experience. This opens insights to numerous long term cycles that most investors miss because they have not been investing long enough to see them.

For example in the 1980s, a remarkable set of two economic circumstances helped anyone who spotted them become remarkably rich.  Some of my readers made enough to retire.  Others picked up 50% currency gains.  Then the cycle ended.  Warren Buffett explained the importance of this ending in a 1999 Fortune magazine interview.  He said:  Let me summarize what I’ve been saying about the stock market: I think it’s very hard to come up with a persuasive case that equities will over the next 17 years perform anything like—anything like—they’ve performed in the past 17!

I did well then, but always thought, “I should have invested more!”  Now those circumstances have come together and I am investing in them again.

The circumstances that created fortunes 30 years ago were an overvalued US market (compared to global markets) and an overvalued US dollar.

The two conditions are in place again!  There are currently ten good value (non US) developed markets,  plus 10 good value emerging markets.

Pi shows how to easily create a diversified, worry free portfolio in some of these good value markets using Country Index ETFs.

The current strength of the US dollar is a second remarkable similarity to 30 years ago.   The dollar rose along with Wall Street.  Profits came quickly over three years.  Then the dollar dropped like a stone, by 51%  in just two years.  A repeat of this pattern is growing and could create up to 50% extra profit if we start using strong dollars to accumulate good value stock market ETFs in other currencies.

This is the most exciting opportunity I have seen since we started sending our reports on international investing ideas more than three decades ago.  There is so much more to write and the trends are so clear that I have created a short, but powerful report “Three Currency Patterns For 50% Profits or More.”   This report shows how to earn an extra 50% from currency shifts with even small investments.  I kept the report short and simple, but included links to 153 pages of  Good Value Stock Market research and Asset Allocation Analysis.

The report shows 20 good value investments and a really powerful tactic that shows the most effective and least expensive way to accumulate these bargains in large or even very small amounts (less than $5,000).  There is extra profit potential of at least 50% so the report is worth a lot.

This report sells for $29.95 but you’ll receive the report “Three Currency Patterns For 50% Profits or More” FREE when you subscribe to Pi.

Leverage

Pi also explains when leverage provides extra potential without undo risk.  For example in 1986 I issued a report called “The Silver Dip” that showed how to borrow 12,000 British pounds (at almost 1.6 to 1 dollars per pound the loan created US$18,600) and use the loan to buy 3835 ounces of silver at around US$4.85 an ounce.

Silver had crashed, I mean really crashed from $48 per ounce.  As prices decreased from early 1983 into 1986, total supply had fallen to 449.7 million ounces in 1986.  Mine production was restricted by the low prices at this time, with silver reaching a low for this period of $4.85 in May 1986.  Secondary recovery also was constricted by these low prices.

Then silver’s price skyrocketed to over $11 an ounce within a year.  The $18,600 loan was now worth $42,185.

The loan was in pounds and in May 1986 the dollar pound rate was 1.55 dollars per pound.  So the 12,000 pound loan purchased $18,600 of silver.  The pound then crashed to 1.40 dollars per silver.  The loan could be paid off for $13,285 immediately creating an extra $5,314 profit.  The profit grew to $47,499 in just a year.

Conditions for the silver dip have returned.  The availability of low cost loans and silver are at an all time low.  The price of silver has crashed from nearly $50 an ounce to below $14 as did shares of the iShares Silver ETF (SLV).

finance.yahoo.com chart SLV

iShares Silver Trust (symbol SLV) from www.finance.yahoo.com

Imagine investing in a spike like this… with leverage!

At the same time the silver gold ratio hit 80, a strong sign to invest in precious metals.

I have updated a special report “Silver Dip 2019” about a leveraged silver speculation that can increase the returns in a safe portfolio by as much as eight times.  The purpose of the report is to share long term lessons gained through 30 years of speculating and investing in precious metals.  While working on the report, when the gold silver ratio slipped to 80 and the price of silver dropped below $14 an ounce, I knew I needed to share this immediately.

I released a new report “Silver Dip 2015” so readers were able to take advantage of these conditions and leverage 1.6 times as a speculation.  That report generated profits as high as 212% and a revised 2019 issue has been produced.

“The Silver Dip 2109”  sells for $39.95 but  you receive  “Silver Dip 2019” FREE when you subscribe to Pi.

Save

Subscribe to the first year of The Personal investing Course (Pi).  The annual fee is $299, but to introduce you to this online, course that is based on real time investing, I am knocking $102 off the subscription.  Plus you receive the $29.95 report “Three Currency Patterns For 50% Profits or More” and the $39.95 report “The Silver Dip 2019” free.

Triple Guarantee

Enroll in Pi.   Get the first monthly issue of Pi, and the report “Three Currency Patterns For 50% Profits or More” and “The Silver Dip 2019” right away.

#1:  I guarantee you’ll learn ideas about investing that are unique and can reduce stress as they help you enhance your profits through slow, worry free purposeful investing.

If you are not totally happy, simply let me know.

#2:  I guarantee you can cancel your subscription within 60 days and I’ll refund your subscription fee in full, no questions asked.

#3:  I guarantee you can keep “Three Currency Patterns For 50% Profits or More” and “The Silver Dip 2109” report as my thanks for trying.

You have nothing to lose except the fear.   You have the ultimate form of financial security to gain.

Subscribe to the Pi for $197.   You Save $158.95.

Your subscription will be charged $299 a year from now, but you can cancel at any time.

Gary

 

 

 

Never Give Up Service


Never give up the ability to serve.   This is the number one way to guarantee you’ll never run out of money.  By the way, this is also the best way to happy, healthy and content as well.  Stock markets rise and fall.  Gold and silver reach bubbles that burst.  Recessions and depressions drain pensions and the ability of governments at every level to keep their promises.

grandfather economic report

See the deadly impact of faltering stocks and a dangerous dollar below.  Chart from economic report on inflation (1)

For example Illinois has a very poor A- credit rating, the same as Botswana, Latvia and Slovenia, and even then is on a credit watch with negative implications.  This state has a $111 billion pension shortfall, $7 billion in unpaid bills and by 2013 had just 39.3 percent of assets needed to meet promises to retirees.

Pension funds all over the world face this type of problem.  Pensions have too many promises, too little cash and too little time until increased demand.   They have been forced to increase risk to fulfill growing obligations to retirees.  So far these pensions have seemed to mitigate the problem because they are heavily linked to the rise and fall of global stock markets.  These markets were on the rise.

No more!  As markets fall, a shift is taking place that creates a self reinforcing, downwards spiral.

For example, the board of America’s second-largest pension fund, California State Teachers’ Retirement System, is considering a significant shift away from some stocks and bonds.  The fund of $191 billion is considering a significant shift away from some stocks and bonds, because it currently has about 55% of its portfolio in stocks.

Hawaii Employees’ Retirement System, is also thinking of taking 10% to 20% of its $14.4 billion in assets out of stocks and certain bonds into what it considers to be safer bets of U.S. Treasurys.

What happens when an already weak market is faced with huge sell offs like this?  Even worse, what happens when these pensions shift into seemingly safe U.S. Treasuries and the US dollar crashes?  Maybe the pensions will be able to deliver promised numbers.

Advertisement:  “See How to Profit From Silver When the Stock Markets Dips

However, the question we must grapple with is do these numbers have any purchasing power?

Never give up the ability to serve.   That ability is the one value that is most likely to overcome the ravages of inflation.

bob gandt

Order Mastery by Bob Gandt and Gary A. Scott $6.99 at Amazon.com

This is why I was so happy to contribute to Bob Gandt’s book “Mastery, A Mission Plan for reclaiming a Life of Purpose, Fitness and Achievement”.

“Mastery”  provides a step by step plan for recovering the ability to restore health, restore enthusiasm and restore action.

“Mastery” points out an even more important reason why you should never give up the ability to serve.  Giving yourself over to the care of others can destroy the body as well as the soul.

Yesterday’s Wall Street Journal article “Seven VA Home Residents in Illinois Die of Legionnaires” (2) shows what can happen when people let others take over their care.  The realities of overworked, underfunded agencies is often far different than the promises of the past that politicians made.

A reader of Mastery sent this note that highlights the importance of  having missions and fulfill a purpose:

Bob, Got your email on Mastery and ordered in in print and downloads in Kindle.  Working in ministry to military, veterans and families, I view this as a valuable resource.  The suicide rate of my generation of fellow Vietnam Vets is staggering.  Despite the negative Hollywood portrayal, Vietnam vets were highly productive, educated and lived full and rewarding lives.  So why kill themselves after retirement? I’ve been speculating that it is because of lack of mission and purpose.  As kids going into the military, most quickly learned about mission and purpose.  That learning translated into the knowledge and tools that made them successful in civilian life.  Now retired, they have no mission and no purpose, allowing some of the horrors of war and the like, to flood their minds.  Mastery provides a guide to finding a mission and regaining a purpose in life.  The VA and ministries to veterans will find your book a great aid to regaining a full, productive and meaningful life. Bravo Zulu!

Never give up the ability to serve.  Have a purpose. Create missions.  You’ll live longer, happier and be more fulfilled.  You’ll have the best inflation fighter too.

Order “Mastery” By Bob Gandt and Gary A. Scott $6.99 at Amazon.com

Gary

Learn how to make value investments that earn at our October 17-18 Value Investing Seminar.

Gain From Election Volatility

Here we are again… another election on its way… all the robo calls from politicians… the dirty tricks and the innumerable amounts of nonsense this vital process brings.

However America’s politics turn out, one thing is sure.  There will be volatility in stock markets during the election process.

The first reason markets will bounce has nothing to do with politics or policies.   A market correction is due regardless of the party or the person in office.

Second the new politics has created an uncertain era.  Everyone has been shaken over the past three years whether they are pleased with the government or not.

Nothing frightens markets like uncertainty.

Third if we see rising interest rates, this will push markets down.

Despite these pitfalls, there is a way to profit using the strong US dollar and undervalue non dollar stock markets to pick up good value shares.

During nearly five decades of global investing I have noticed found that good value strategies are the best way to profit long term, through good politics and bad.  The steps to take are simple.

The first tactic is to seek safety before profit.

We can look at Warren Buffett’s investing strategy as an example.  Buffett success is talked about a lot, but rarely does anyone explain how he make so much money.  That was the fact until some researchers really stripped his operation bare.  They looked at everything and learned the deepest of Buffett’s wealth management secrets.  Fortunately they published all in a research paper at Yale University’s website. that reveals important truths about extending wealth.

This research shows that the stocks Buffett chooses are safe (with low beta and low volatility), cheap (value stocks with low price – to – book ratios), and high quality (stocks of companies that are profitable, stable, growing, and with high payout ratios).

The second tactic is to maintain staying power.  At times Buffet’s portfolio has fallen, but he has been willing and able to wait long periods for the value to reveal itself and prices to recover.

A 45 year portfolio study shows that holding a diversified good value portfolio (based on a  good value strategy) for 13 month’s time, increases the probability of outperformance to 70%.

However those who can hold the portfolio for five years gain a 88% probability of beating the bellwether in the market and after ten years the probability increases to 97.5%.

Time is your friend when you use a good value strategy.  The longer you can hold onto a well balanced good value portfolio the better the odds of outstanding success.

The Buffett strategy integrates time and value for safety and profit.

A third tactic is using limited leveraging, tactic in the strategy boosts profit.  Buffett leverages his portfolio at a ratio of approximately 1.6 to 1.   The Yale published research paper shows the leveraging methods used by Warren Buffett to amass his $50 billion fortune.  The researchers found that the returns from Buffett’s investment company, Berkshire Hathaway, far outweighed those achieved by any rival that has operated for 30 years or more.  The research shows that neither luck nor magic are involved.  Instead, the paper shows that Buffet’s success hinges on using leverage at the rate of 1.6.

To sum up the strategy, Buffet uses limited leverage to invest in large purchases of “cheap, safe, quality stocks”.  He limits leverage so he can hold on for very long periods of time, surviving rough periods where others might have been forced into a fire sale or a career shift.

Stated in another way buffet uses logic (buy good value) to have the conviction, wherewithal, and skill to invest with leverage over many decades.

What do we do when we are not Warren Buffett?

May I introduce the Purposeful Investing Course (Pi) for those who want to invest like Warren Buffet, but know they are not.  This course is based on my 50 plus years of investing experience combined with wisdom gained from some of the world’s best investment managers and economic mathematical scientists.

Enjoy Extending Wealth

Pi’s mission is to make it easy for anyone to create a three point strategy, like Buffett’s even though they do not have a lot of time for or knowledge about investing.

Pi reveals investing secrets and the sciences that make investing easy, safer, less time consuming and increases the chances of profit.

One secret is to invest with a purpose beyond the cash.  One tactic as mentioned is staying power.  This means not being caught short and having to sell during a period of loss.  This also means having enough faith in a strategy that we stick to the plan.  When we invest with purpose, doing what we love, we enjoy the process more and are more likely to hold on during down times, when most poor investors panic and sell.

Slow, Worry Free, Good Value Investing

Stress, worry and fear are three of an investor’s worst enemies.  They create the Behavior Gap, a trait exhibited by most investors, that causes them to underperform any market sector they choose.  The behavior gap is created by natural human responses to fear.   Pi helps create profitable strategies that avoid losses from this gap.

Spanning the Behavior Gap

Behavior gaps are among the biggest reasons why so many investors fail.  Human evolution makes fear the second most powerful motivator.  (Greed is the third.)  Fear creates investment losses due to behavior gaps.  Fear motivates us more strongly than desire.  By nature investors are risk adverse.

Winning investors though embrace risk because they have a plan based on good value.

Purpose is the most powerful motivator,  stronger than fear and greed, so a strategy with purpose is the most powerful of all.

Combine your needs and capabilities with good value secrets and the math to back up your value selections through the Pifolio – The Pi Model Portfolio

Lessons from Pi are based on the creation and management of a Primary Pi Model Portfolio, called the Pifolio.  There are no secrets about this portfolio except that it ignores the stories (often created by someone with vested interests) and is based entirely on good math.

The Pifolio is a theoretical portfolio of MSCI Country Benchmark Index ETFs that cover all the good value markets using my (almost) 50 years of global experience and my study of the analysis of four mathematical investing geniuses (and friends).

The Pifolio analysis begins with a continual research of international major stock markets that compares their value based on:

#1:  Current book to price

#2: Cash flow to price

#3: Earnings to price

#4: Average dividend yield

#5: Return on equity

#6: Cash flow return.

#7: Market history

We follow this research of a brilliant mathematician and have tracked this analysis for over 20 years.    This is a complete and continual study of international major and emerging stock markets.

This analysis forms the basis of a Good Value Stock Market Strategy.   The analysis is rational, mathematical and does not worry about short term ups and downs.   This strategy is easy for anyone to follow and use.  Pi reveals the best value markets and provides contacts to managers and analysts and Country Index ETFs so almost anyone can create and follow their own strategy.

A country ETF provides diversification and cost efficiency by spreading one simple, even small investment into a basket of equities in a good value stock market.  The costs are low and this type of ETF is one of the hardest for institutions to cheat.  Expense ratios for most ETFs are lower than those of the average mutual fund.

Little knowledge, time, management or guesswork are required.  The investment is simply a diversified portfolio of good value indices.  Investments in an index are like investments in all the shares of a good value market.

Pi matches this mathematical certainty with my fifty years of experience. This opens insights to numerous long term cycles that most investors miss because they have not been investing long enough to see them.

For example in the 1980s, a remarkable set of two economic circumstances helped anyone who spotted them become remarkably rich.  Some of my readers made enough to retire.  Others picked up 50% currency gains.  Then the cycle ended.  Warren Buffett explained the importance of this ending in a 1999 Fortune magazine interview.  He said:  Let me summarize what I’ve been saying about the stock market: I think it’s very hard to come up with a persuasive case that equities will over the next 17 years perform anything like—anything like—they’ve performed in the past 17!

I did well then, but always thought, “I should have invested more!”  Now those circumstances have come together and I am investing in them again.

The circumstances that created fortunes 30 years ago were an overvalued US market (compared to global markets) and an overvalued US dollar.

The two conditions are in place again!  There are currently ten good value (non US) developed markets,  plus 10 good value emerging markets.

Pi shows how to easily create a diversified, worry free portfolio in some of these good value markets using Country Index ETFs.

The current strength of the US dollar is a second remarkable similarity to 30 years ago.   The dollar rose along with Wall Street.  Profits came quickly over three years.  Then the dollar dropped like a stone, by 51%  in just two years.  A repeat of this pattern is growing and could create up to 50% extra profit if we start using strong dollars to accumulate good value stock market ETFs in other currencies.

This is the most exciting opportunity I have seen since we started sending our reports on international investing ideas more than three decades ago.  There is so much more to write and the trends are so clear that I have created a short, but powerful report “Three Currency Patterns For 50% Profits or More.”   This report shows how to earn an extra 50% from currency shifts with even small investments.  I kept the report short and simple, but included links to 153 pages of  Good Value Stock Market research and Asset Allocation Analysis.

The report shows 20 good value investments and a really powerful tactic that shows the most effective and least expensive way to accumulate these bargains in large or even very small amounts (less than $5,000).  There is extra profit potential of at least 50% so the report is worth a lot.

This report sells for $29.95 but you’ll receive the report “Three Currency Patterns For 50% Profits or More” FREE when you subscribe to Pi.

Leverage

Pi also explains when leverage provides extra potential without undo risk.  For example in 1986 I issued a report called “The Silver Dip” that showed how to borrow 12,000 British pounds (at almost 1.6 to 1 dollars per pound the loan created US$18,600) and use the loan to buy 3835 ounces of silver at around US$4.85 an ounce.

Silver had crashed, I mean really crashed from $48 per ounce.  As prices decreased from early 1983 into 1986, total supply had fallen to 449.7 million ounces in 1986.  Mine production was restricted by the low prices at this time, with silver reaching a low for this period of $4.85 in May 1986.  Secondary recovery also was constricted by these low prices.

Then silver’s price skyrocketed to over $11 an ounce within a year.  The $18,600 loan was now worth $42,185.

The loan was in pounds and in May 1986 the dollar pound rate was 1.55 dollars per pound.  So the 12,000 pound loan purchased $18,600 of silver.  The pound then crashed to 1.40 dollars per silver.  The loan could be paid off for $13,285 immediately creating an extra $5,314 profit.  The profit grew to $47,499 in just a year.

Conditions for the silver dip have returned.  The availability of low cost loans and silver are at an all time low.  The price of silver has crashed from nearly $50 an ounce to below $14 as did shares of the iShares Silver ETF (SLV).

finance.yahoo.com chart SLV

iShares Silver Trust (symbol SLV) from www.finance.yahoo.com

Imagine investing in a spike like this… with leverage!

At the same time the silver gold ratio hit 80, a strong sign to invest in precious metals.

I have updated a special report “Silver Dip 2019” about a leveraged silver speculation that can increase the returns in a safe portfolio by as much as eight times.  The purpose of the report is to share long term lessons gained through 30 years of speculating and investing in precious metals.  While working on the report, when the gold silver ratio slipped to 80 and the price of silver dropped below $14 an ounce, I knew I needed to share this immediately.

I released a new report “Silver Dip 2015” so readers were able to take advantage of these conditions and leverage 1.6 times as a speculation.  That report generated profits as high as 212% and a revised 2019 issue has been produced.

“The Silver Dip 2109”  sells for $39.95 but  you receive  “Silver Dip 2019” FREE when you subscribe to Pi.

Save

Subscribe to the first year of The Personal investing Course (Pi).  The annual fee is $299, but to introduce you to this online, course that is based on real time investing, I am knocking $102 off the subscription.  Plus you receive the $29.95 report “Three Currency Patterns For 50% Profits or More” and the $39.95 report “The Silver Dip 2019” free.

Triple Guarantee

Enroll in Pi.   Get the first monthly issue of Pi, and the report “Three Currency Patterns For 50% Profits or More” and “The Silver Dip 2019” right away.

#1:  I guarantee you’ll learn ideas about investing that are unique and can reduce stress as they help you enhance your profits through slow, worry free purposeful investing.

If you are not totally happy, simply let me know.

#2:  I guarantee you can cancel your subscription within 60 days and I’ll refund your subscription fee in full, no questions asked.

#3:  I guarantee you can keep “Three Currency Patterns For 50% Profits or More” and “The Silver Dip 2109” report as my thanks for trying.

You have nothing to lose except the fear.   You have the ultimate form of financial security to gain.

Subscribe to the Pi for $197.   You Save $158.95.

Your subscription will be charged $299 a year from now, but you can cancel at any time.

Gary

 

 

 

(1)  Grandfather Economic Report on Inflation

(2) www.wsj.com seven-va-home-residents-in-illinois-die-of-legionnaires

A Dip for the Silver Dip


Because of a dip in the price of silver, let me introduce you to the Silver Dip.

silver chart

Imagine investing ahead of a spike like this.

With investors watching global stock markets bounce up and down, many missed two really important profit generating events.

The price of silver dipped below $14 an ounce as did shares of the iShares Silver ETF (SLV).  Click on chart from www.finance.yahoo (1) to enlarge.

At the same time the silver gold ratio hit 80, a strong sign to invest in precious metals.

I have been preparing a special report “Silver Dip 2015” about a leveraged silver speculation that can increase the returns in a safe portfolio by as much as eight times.  The purpose of the report is to share long term lessons gained through 30 years of speculating and investing in precious metals.  While working on the report, when the gold silver ratio slipped to 80 and the price of silver dropped below $14 an ounce, I knew I needed to share this immediately.

The low price of silver offers special value now.

The Silver Dip has been written to show how to determine good value in precious metals and ways to diversify silver in a portfolio.  This report is based on my 35 plus years of investing and speculating in silver.  In fact the Silver Dip of 1986 was the first specific investment report I ever published.  Circumstances relating to precious metals were similar in 1986 to now.

Silver had crashed in 1986, I mean really crashed, from $48 per ounce.  As prices decreased from early 1983 into 1986, total supply had fallen to 449.7 million ounces.  Mine production was restricted by the low prices at this time, with silver reaching a low for this period of $4.85 in May 1986. Secondary recovery also was constricted by these low prices.

Then silver’s price skyrocketed to over $11 an ounce within a year.  The Silver Dip described in the 1986 report turned an $12,000 ($18,600) British pound loan (investors only had to put up $250) into $42,185.

In May 1986 the dollar pound rate was 1.55 dollars per pound.  The 12,000 pound loan purchased $18,600 of silver.  The pound then crashed to 1.40 dollars per silver.   The loan could be paid off for $13,285 immediately creating an extra $5,314 profit or total profit of $47,499 in just a year.

The British pound is remarkably worth $1.55 again, 29 years later!

If history repeats itself, expect silver prices to rise sharply in the next one to three years.  Investors can again expect to double, triple, even quadruple their speculation in as little as a year.

This is why the “Silver Dip 2015” will be one of the seven portfolios, the most speculative, we will study at our October 17-18 Investment Seminar in Jefferson, North Carolina.  Because conditions are so ideal, I cannot wait to send the Silver Dip and have rushed to finish this report.  Merri concluded her edit last night.

The Silver Dip 2015 explains:

  • How to use the Silver Dip without adding a penny of cash if you already have investments.
  • How to invest as little as a thousand dollars in the Silver Dip if you do not have a current investment portfolio.
  • Why this is a speculation, not an investment and who should and should not speculate and how to limit losses and take profits.
  • Three reasons conditions are so ripe for the Silver Dip now.
  • Three different ways to invest and speculate in silver, in the US or abroad.
  • How to buy silver straight or with dollar leverage or with leverage in the British Pound (and why the pound now).
  • How to protect against a falling silver price.

The Silver Dip 2015 also contains four matrices that calculates profits and losses so investors can determine cut off positions in advance to protect profits and/or losses.  The report also looks at how to switch time horizons for greater safety and how this eliminates silver contracts and options.

silverdipchart02

One of the four matrices in the Silver Dip 2015.  Click on image to enlarge.

Low interest rates and high inflation of life’s basics (like food) mean that safe investments such as deposits and bonds are no longer safe.  The stock market is highly dangerous in the short term.  The Silver Dip 2015 shows how to take a safe investment and use it to generate much higher returns that combat inflation.

Learn how to get silver loans for as low as 1.58%.   See why to beware of  certain brokers and trading platforms, how to choose a good bank or broker and how silver profits are taxed.

The report includes a complex comparison of gold and silver with other costs of living from 1942 to today to help determine the real value of silver.

Finally learn why and how to use advisers to manage profits from the Silver Dip.

Remember these key numbers: Silver 6,700 ounces at $14.75.  Pound loan $100,000 dollars worth of pounds (64,500 pounds)  at $1.55 per pound.  They can add up to as much as $61,359 of extra profit in the Silver Dip.

The “Silver Dip 2015” will be one of the portfolios, we study at our October 17-18 Value Investment Seminar, but because conditions are so ideal, I am rushing this report to you now.

This silver speculation is so time sensitive with such fast profit (but also loss) potential that October may be too late.

Order now by clicking here.  Email me the Silver Dip $27.00

Enroll in  our October 17-18, 2015 Value Investing Seminar and I’ll immediately email  you the Silver Dip 2015 at no charge. 

Gary

Gain From Election Volatility

Here we are again… another election on its way… all the robo calls from politicians… the dirty tricks and the innumerable amounts of nonsense this vital process brings.

However America’s politics turn out, one thing is sure.  There will be volatility in stock markets during the election process.

The first reason markets will bounce has nothing to do with politics or policies.   A market correction is due regardless of the party or the person in office.

Second the new politics has created an uncertain era.  Everyone has been shaken over the past three years whether they are pleased with the government or not.

Nothing frightens markets like uncertainty.

Third if we see rising interest rates, this will push markets down.

Despite these pitfalls, there is a way to profit using the strong US dollar and undervalue non dollar stock markets to pick up good value shares.

During nearly five decades of global investing I have noticed found that good value strategies are the best way to profit long term, through good politics and bad.  The steps to take are simple.

The first tactic is to seek safety before profit.

We can look at Warren Buffett’s investing strategy as an example.  Buffett success is talked about a lot, but rarely does anyone explain how he make so much money.  That was the fact until some researchers really stripped his operation bare.  They looked at everything and learned the deepest of Buffett’s wealth management secrets.  Fortunately they published all in a research paper at Yale University’s website. that reveals important truths about extending wealth.

This research shows that the stocks Buffett chooses are safe (with low beta and low volatility), cheap (value stocks with low price – to – book ratios), and high quality (stocks of companies that are profitable, stable, growing, and with high payout ratios).

The second tactic is to maintain staying power.  At times Buffet’s portfolio has fallen, but he has been willing and able to wait long periods for the value to reveal itself and prices to recover.

A 45 year portfolio study shows that holding a diversified good value portfolio (based on a  good value strategy) for 13 month’s time, increases the probability of outperformance to 70%.

However those who can hold the portfolio for five years gain a 88% probability of beating the bellwether in the market and after ten years the probability increases to 97.5%.

Time is your friend when you use a good value strategy.  The longer you can hold onto a well balanced good value portfolio the better the odds of outstanding success.

The Buffett strategy integrates time and value for safety and profit.

A third tactic is using limited leveraging, tactic in the strategy boosts profit.  Buffett leverages his portfolio at a ratio of approximately 1.6 to 1.   The Yale published research paper shows the leveraging methods used by Warren Buffett to amass his $50 billion fortune.  The researchers found that the returns from Buffett’s investment company, Berkshire Hathaway, far outweighed those achieved by any rival that has operated for 30 years or more.  The research shows that neither luck nor magic are involved.  Instead, the paper shows that Buffet’s success hinges on using leverage at the rate of 1.6.

To sum up the strategy, Buffet uses limited leverage to invest in large purchases of “cheap, safe, quality stocks”.  He limits leverage so he can hold on for very long periods of time, surviving rough periods where others might have been forced into a fire sale or a career shift.

Stated in another way buffet uses logic (buy good value) to have the conviction, wherewithal, and skill to invest with leverage over many decades.

What do we do when we are not Warren Buffett?

May I introduce the Purposeful Investing Course (Pi) for those who want to invest like Warren Buffet, but know they are not.  This course is based on my 50 plus years of investing experience combined with wisdom gained from some of the world’s best investment managers and economic mathematical scientists.

Enjoy Extending Wealth

Pi’s mission is to make it easy for anyone to create a three point strategy, like Buffett’s even though they do not have a lot of time for or knowledge about investing.

Pi reveals investing secrets and the sciences that make investing easy, safer, less time consuming and increases the chances of profit.

One secret is to invest with a purpose beyond the cash.  One tactic as mentioned is staying power.  This means not being caught short and having to sell during a period of loss.  This also means having enough faith in a strategy that we stick to the plan.  When we invest with purpose, doing what we love, we enjoy the process more and are more likely to hold on during down times, when most poor investors panic and sell.

Slow, Worry Free, Good Value Investing

Stress, worry and fear are three of an investor’s worst enemies.  They create the Behavior Gap, a trait exhibited by most investors, that causes them to underperform any market sector they choose.  The behavior gap is created by natural human responses to fear.   Pi helps create profitable strategies that avoid losses from this gap.

Spanning the Behavior Gap

Behavior gaps are among the biggest reasons why so many investors fail.  Human evolution makes fear the second most powerful motivator.  (Greed is the third.)  Fear creates investment losses due to behavior gaps.  Fear motivates us more strongly than desire.  By nature investors are risk adverse.

Winning investors though embrace risk because they have a plan based on good value.

Purpose is the most powerful motivator,  stronger than fear and greed, so a strategy with purpose is the most powerful of all.

Combine your needs and capabilities with good value secrets and the math to back up your value selections through the Pifolio – The Pi Model Portfolio

Lessons from Pi are based on the creation and management of a Primary Pi Model Portfolio, called the Pifolio.  There are no secrets about this portfolio except that it ignores the stories (often created by someone with vested interests) and is based entirely on good math.

The Pifolio is a theoretical portfolio of MSCI Country Benchmark Index ETFs that cover all the good value markets using my (almost) 50 years of global experience and my study of the analysis of four mathematical investing geniuses (and friends).

The Pifolio analysis begins with a continual research of international major stock markets that compares their value based on:

#1:  Current book to price

#2: Cash flow to price

#3: Earnings to price

#4: Average dividend yield

#5: Return on equity

#6: Cash flow return.

#7: Market history

We follow this research of a brilliant mathematician and have tracked this analysis for over 20 years.    This is a complete and continual study of international major and emerging stock markets.

This analysis forms the basis of a Good Value Stock Market Strategy.   The analysis is rational, mathematical and does not worry about short term ups and downs.   This strategy is easy for anyone to follow and use.  Pi reveals the best value markets and provides contacts to managers and analysts and Country Index ETFs so almost anyone can create and follow their own strategy.

A country ETF provides diversification and cost efficiency by spreading one simple, even small investment into a basket of equities in a good value stock market.  The costs are low and this type of ETF is one of the hardest for institutions to cheat.  Expense ratios for most ETFs are lower than those of the average mutual fund.

Little knowledge, time, management or guesswork are required.  The investment is simply a diversified portfolio of good value indices.  Investments in an index are like investments in all the shares of a good value market.

Pi matches this mathematical certainty with my fifty years of experience. This opens insights to numerous long term cycles that most investors miss because they have not been investing long enough to see them.

For example in the 1980s, a remarkable set of two economic circumstances helped anyone who spotted them become remarkably rich.  Some of my readers made enough to retire.  Others picked up 50% currency gains.  Then the cycle ended.  Warren Buffett explained the importance of this ending in a 1999 Fortune magazine interview.  He said:  Let me summarize what I’ve been saying about the stock market: I think it’s very hard to come up with a persuasive case that equities will over the next 17 years perform anything like—anything like—they’ve performed in the past 17!

I did well then, but always thought, “I should have invested more!”  Now those circumstances have come together and I am investing in them again.

The circumstances that created fortunes 30 years ago were an overvalued US market (compared to global markets) and an overvalued US dollar.

The two conditions are in place again!  There are currently ten good value (non US) developed markets,  plus 10 good value emerging markets.

Pi shows how to easily create a diversified, worry free portfolio in some of these good value markets using Country Index ETFs.

The current strength of the US dollar is a second remarkable similarity to 30 years ago.   The dollar rose along with Wall Street.  Profits came quickly over three years.  Then the dollar dropped like a stone, by 51%  in just two years.  A repeat of this pattern is growing and could create up to 50% extra profit if we start using strong dollars to accumulate good value stock market ETFs in other currencies.

This is the most exciting opportunity I have seen since we started sending our reports on international investing ideas more than three decades ago.  There is so much more to write and the trends are so clear that I have created a short, but powerful report “Three Currency Patterns For 50% Profits or More.”   This report shows how to earn an extra 50% from currency shifts with even small investments.  I kept the report short and simple, but included links to 153 pages of  Good Value Stock Market research and Asset Allocation Analysis.

The report shows 20 good value investments and a really powerful tactic that shows the most effective and least expensive way to accumulate these bargains in large or even very small amounts (less than $5,000).  There is extra profit potential of at least 50% so the report is worth a lot.

This report sells for $29.95 but you’ll receive the report “Three Currency Patterns For 50% Profits or More” FREE when you subscribe to Pi.

Leverage

Pi also explains when leverage provides extra potential without undo risk.  For example in 1986 I issued a report called “The Silver Dip” that showed how to borrow 12,000 British pounds (at almost 1.6 to 1 dollars per pound the loan created US$18,600) and use the loan to buy 3835 ounces of silver at around US$4.85 an ounce.

Silver had crashed, I mean really crashed from $48 per ounce.  As prices decreased from early 1983 into 1986, total supply had fallen to 449.7 million ounces in 1986.  Mine production was restricted by the low prices at this time, with silver reaching a low for this period of $4.85 in May 1986.  Secondary recovery also was constricted by these low prices.

Then silver’s price skyrocketed to over $11 an ounce within a year.  The $18,600 loan was now worth $42,185.

The loan was in pounds and in May 1986 the dollar pound rate was 1.55 dollars per pound.  So the 12,000 pound loan purchased $18,600 of silver.  The pound then crashed to 1.40 dollars per silver.  The loan could be paid off for $13,285 immediately creating an extra $5,314 profit.  The profit grew to $47,499 in just a year.

Conditions for the silver dip have returned.  The availability of low cost loans and silver are at an all time low.  The price of silver has crashed from nearly $50 an ounce to below $14 as did shares of the iShares Silver ETF (SLV).

finance.yahoo.com chart SLV

iShares Silver Trust (symbol SLV) from www.finance.yahoo.com

Imagine investing in a spike like this… with leverage!

At the same time the silver gold ratio hit 80, a strong sign to invest in precious metals.

I have updated a special report “Silver Dip 2019” about a leveraged silver speculation that can increase the returns in a safe portfolio by as much as eight times.  The purpose of the report is to share long term lessons gained through 30 years of speculating and investing in precious metals.  While working on the report, when the gold silver ratio slipped to 80 and the price of silver dropped below $14 an ounce, I knew I needed to share this immediately.

I released a new report “Silver Dip 2015” so readers were able to take advantage of these conditions and leverage 1.6 times as a speculation.  That report generated profits as high as 212% and a revised 2019 issue has been produced.

“The Silver Dip 2109”  sells for $39.95 but  you receive  “Silver Dip 2019” FREE when you subscribe to Pi.

Save

Subscribe to the first year of The Personal investing Course (Pi).  The annual fee is $299, but to introduce you to this online, course that is based on real time investing, I am knocking $102 off the subscription.  Plus you receive the $29.95 report “Three Currency Patterns For 50% Profits or More” and the $39.95 report “The Silver Dip 2019” free.

Triple Guarantee

Enroll in Pi.   Get the first monthly issue of Pi, and the report “Three Currency Patterns For 50% Profits or More” and “The Silver Dip 2019” right away.

#1:  I guarantee you’ll learn ideas about investing that are unique and can reduce stress as they help you enhance your profits through slow, worry free purposeful investing.

If you are not totally happy, simply let me know.

#2:  I guarantee you can cancel your subscription within 60 days and I’ll refund your subscription fee in full, no questions asked.

#3:  I guarantee you can keep “Three Currency Patterns For 50% Profits or More” and “The Silver Dip 2109” report as my thanks for trying.

You have nothing to lose except the fear.   You have the ultimate form of financial security to gain.

Subscribe to the Pi for $197.   You Save $158.95.

Your subscription will be charged $299 a year from now, but you can cancel at any time.

Gary

 

 

 

The Golden Pet


What is silver?  What is gold?   Are they investments… or what?  Yesterday’s message looked at how readers used the “Silver Dip” to  turn $250 into $51,599 in three years.   The message outlined an idea for speculating in silver and currencies.  Huge profits can be made in this type of speculation, but it is really, I mean really, important to also understand the risks and precautions required, as well as the potential rewards.

The Silver Dip is an investment in silver, or is it?  Are gold and silver, investments or just speculations, or something different?

gold

One of my worst investments, why do I keep them?

I am one of the original gold bugs, who began investing in gold and silver in the 1970s.  I made, by pure luck, some nice profits.  Then I gave more of the profits back thinking that I understood silver and gold.

A great part of investing globally for 50 years, is that one gets a feel for thirty year trends.  Feeling a trend is important because researching helps you know a trend, while not understanding the emotions that go with the numbers.   Feeling makes the difference between how prices move and what investors do.

There are many stories that explain why gold and silver are good investments, but the logical mathematics do not support these tales.   The chart below from Keppler Asset Management’s “2015 Asset Allocation” review tells the tale.

asset allocation review

89 year comparison of asset growth from Keppler Asset Management.

The reality is that over 89 years, US bonds have outperformed gold.  Gold is not really a good investment.

A Wall Street Journal article: “Let’s Get Real About Gold: It’s a Pet Rock” points this out when it says:  Since 1975, the beginning of the period in which private ownership of gold has again been legal in the U.S., the metal has returned an average of 0.8% annually after inflation, compared with 5% for bonds, 8.3% for stocks and even 1.1% for cash, according to Christophe Spaenjers, a finance professor at HEC Paris business school. “It can be very difficult to rationalize the price movements of gold, even with the benefit of considerable hindsight,” he says.

Yet I keep gold coins as insurance, even though I have to pay storage fees.  

Gold is a commodity and a currency but unlike stocks and bonds, it is extremely difficult to determine its real value because it does not generate income.  It is essentially worthless unless someone wants to use it (in jewelry or industry) or because of its rarity.  One can try to understand the supply and demand of silver and gold, but the main input to value are stories and imagination.

There are even limitations to its value as insurance.  If the global financial system world as we know it comes unglued, we probably cannot carry gold bars around to do our shopping.   If a dollar weakness turns into a downwards rout, there is plenty of precedence to assume that gold hoarding could become illegal.  Today’s government control over banks, pawn shops and metal dealers would make sure a ban more effective than in past times.   One could hoard goal, but how could one sell it?

Gold is a store of value and a great speculation.  There is still sense in holding some gold and silver as insurance, especially if you know that there will be bubbles where you can take profit.

Two ways to speculate.   The first approach is to buy gold and silver.  Hold it.  Wait.  The next bubble may take years.  When the spike comes, take profit.  The chart below from FXstop (2)  shows that we have enjoyed two of these bubbles in 50 years.  If the pattern remains true, the next bubble will be in 204o.  I have let my kids (who I hope will inherit Merri’s and my gold and silver) know this.

historic silver chart

The second way to speculate in gold and silver is to speculate in the intermediate spikes. We can see these spikes in the chart above.   Leveraged speculations in these spikes that appear every few years can be highly profitable, as was the silver dip when a $18,600 loan (that cost $250 to set up) turned into $51,599.   History suggests we are about to see one of these spikes shortly which is why I am releasing the report “Silver Dip 2015” in about two weeks.

Huge Profits Include Great Risk

I am only releasing this report to our Purposeful investment Course subcribers because that course outlines the risk and how to mitigate loss potential.

Currency speculation involves high risk as is evidenced in a Wall Street Journal article that shows how highly experienced, well funded specialists turned $2 billion into $50 million.   The article “Carlyle Fund Walloped in Commodities Rout” (3)  says:  Selloff has helped drive down holdings in its hedge-fund firm’s flagship fund from about $2 billion to less than $50 million.   Three years after private-equity giant Carlyle Group LP touted its purchase of a hedge-fund firm, a rout in raw materials has helped drive down holdings in its flagship fund from about $2 billion to less than $50 million, according to people familiar with the matter.  At one point, two of Carlyle’s co-founders, David Rubenstein and William Conway, put tens of millions of dollars of their own money in the fund and left it in amid the losses and redemptions, according to people familiar with the matter.  A collapsing market for raw materials is spreading pain well beyond commodities specialists to some of the heaviest hitters on Wall Street.  Commodity firms lost money for three years in a row before 2014, HFR said.  Commodities are one of the most challenging markets to invest in, because of their complexities and penchant for volatility.  Commodity prices have plunged due to a combination of factors, including a stronger dollar, an anticipated increase in U.S. interest rates and an expectation that cooling economic growth in China will undermine the country’s voracious appetite for resources.

Gold and silver can be many things.  Merri has told me a wonderful family gold story many times.  Her father was an entrepreneur and times were mostly good but, as in most endeavors, once in awhile a sticky path would occur.   When times seemed threatening her father would pull a bar of gold out of a storage drawer and remind the family, “If everything turns bad, we always have this gold to rely on”.

Years later on his passing Merri was cleaning out the storage drawer and pulled out the bar of gold.  It was a fake, a paperweight painted a gold color and of almost no value!  The weight had served its purpose though.  Providing a feeling of  security and comfort when needed most, a simple paper weight was as good as gold!

That’s what we all need, the feeling that no matter how events unfold, we’ll have some security and comfort.   If having gold stored away brings these feelings, go for it!  If hopes of a great and fast profit, with risk of loss, brings these feelings, go for it.  Gold and silver bring comfort.  So does petting our dogs!  Understand what history tells us. Gold is a pet. Gold and silver can bring profit, but be sure that the way you go about using gold and silver is suited to your finances and you.

Gary

Due to history,  I am releasing a new “Silver Dip 2015” report in the next two weeks.

This report is exclusively available to subscribers of the Purposeful investment Course.

The speculation is so time sensitive with such fast profit (but also loss) potential that I will not offer it to readers who have not received the education in Pi on when and who should and should not speculate and how to limit losses and take profits.

Subscribers to Pi also learn the 50 golden rules of investing.  The Purposeful investment  Course (Pi) looks at how to protect against shady investment advice, unreasonable and hidden fees.  This is especially true when it comes ot trading in currencies and metals.

Pi examines how to gain the ultimate form of financial security, investments with purpose and profit.  When you subscribe to Pi, we will include you in the “50 Golden Rules of Investing Program,” without any additional cost or obligation.  Each month in “Pi” we’ll delve more deeply into four or five “Golden Rules of Investing”.

Pi subscribers will receive Silver Dip 2015 on September 1, 2015.

There is also another, much safer, once every 30 year opportunity that I have described in a short, but powerful report “Three Currency Patterns For 50% Profits or More.”  This report shows how to earn an extra 50% from currency shifts with even small  good value investments.

The report also shows how to reduce trading costs and gain protection from unethical banks and investment advisers.  The report shows 22 good value investments and a really powerful tactic to use that allows you to accumulate these bargains now even in small amounts (even $5,000).  There is extra profit potential of at least 50% so the report is worth a lot.

The report “Three Currency Patterns For 50% Profits or More” is $29.95 but you get it free when you subscribe to Pi, the Purposeful investment Course.

Triple Guarantee

Enroll in Pi.  Get the first monthly issue of Pi, the first five “Golden Rules of Investing” and the report “Three Currency Patterns For 50% Profits or More” right away.

#1:  I guarantee you’ll learn ideas about investing that are unique and that can rescue stress as they help you enhance your profits through slow, worry free purposeful investing.

If you are not totally happy, simply let me know.

#2:  I guarantee to cancel your subscription and refund your subscription fee in full, no questions asked.

#3:  I guarantee you can keep the golden rules of investing you have received and “Three Currency Patterns For 50% Profits or More” report as my thanks for trying.

You have nothing to lose except the fear.  You have the ultimate form of financial security to gain.

Order the report “Three Currency Patterns For 50% Profits or More”  $29.95

Subscribe to Pi and save $102 (Pi is priced at $299 per year but we have an introductory discount available now; only $197 for the first year), plus received the “50 Golden Rules of Investing” and “Three Currency Patterns For 50% Profits or More” report” free.

Save $131.95.   Subscribe to the Pi for $197.

(1) Wall Street Journal Let’s Get Real About Gold: It’s a Pet Rock

(2)  Fxtop pound dollar historical charts

(3) Wall Street Journal Carlyle Fund Walloped in Commodities Rout

Gain From Election Volatility

Here we are again… another election on its way… all the robo calls from politicians… the dirty tricks and the innumerable amounts of nonsense this vital process brings.

However America’s politics turn out, one thing is sure.  There will be volatility in stock markets during the election process.

The first reason markets will bounce has nothing to do with politics or policies.   A market correction is due regardless of the party or the person in office.

Second the new politics has created an uncertain era.  Everyone has been shaken over the past three years whether they are pleased with the government or not.

Nothing frightens markets like uncertainty.

Third if we see rising interest rates, this will push markets down.

Despite these pitfalls, there is a way to profit using the strong US dollar and undervalue non dollar stock markets to pick up good value shares.

During nearly five decades of global investing I have noticed found that good value strategies are the best way to profit long term, through good politics and bad.  The steps to take are simple.

The first tactic is to seek safety before profit.

We can look at Warren Buffett’s investing strategy as an example.  Buffett success is talked about a lot, but rarely does anyone explain how he make so much money.  That was the fact until some researchers really stripped his operation bare.  They looked at everything and learned the deepest of Buffett’s wealth management secrets.  Fortunately they published all in a research paper at Yale University’s website. that reveals important truths about extending wealth.

This research shows that the stocks Buffett chooses are safe (with low beta and low volatility), cheap (value stocks with low price – to – book ratios), and high quality (stocks of companies that are profitable, stable, growing, and with high payout ratios).

The second tactic is to maintain staying power.  At times Buffet’s portfolio has fallen, but he has been willing and able to wait long periods for the value to reveal itself and prices to recover.

A 45 year portfolio study shows that holding a diversified good value portfolio (based on a  good value strategy) for 13 month’s time, increases the probability of outperformance to 70%.

However those who can hold the portfolio for five years gain a 88% probability of beating the bellwether in the market and after ten years the probability increases to 97.5%.

Time is your friend when you use a good value strategy.  The longer you can hold onto a well balanced good value portfolio the better the odds of outstanding success.

The Buffett strategy integrates time and value for safety and profit.

A third tactic is using limited leveraging, tactic in the strategy boosts profit.  Buffett leverages his portfolio at a ratio of approximately 1.6 to 1.   The Yale published research paper shows the leveraging methods used by Warren Buffett to amass his $50 billion fortune.  The researchers found that the returns from Buffett’s investment company, Berkshire Hathaway, far outweighed those achieved by any rival that has operated for 30 years or more.  The research shows that neither luck nor magic are involved.  Instead, the paper shows that Buffet’s success hinges on using leverage at the rate of 1.6.

To sum up the strategy, Buffet uses limited leverage to invest in large purchases of “cheap, safe, quality stocks”.  He limits leverage so he can hold on for very long periods of time, surviving rough periods where others might have been forced into a fire sale or a career shift.

Stated in another way buffet uses logic (buy good value) to have the conviction, wherewithal, and skill to invest with leverage over many decades.

What do we do when we are not Warren Buffett?

May I introduce the Purposeful Investing Course (Pi) for those who want to invest like Warren Buffet, but know they are not.  This course is based on my 50 plus years of investing experience combined with wisdom gained from some of the world’s best investment managers and economic mathematical scientists.

Enjoy Extending Wealth

Pi’s mission is to make it easy for anyone to create a three point strategy, like Buffett’s even though they do not have a lot of time for or knowledge about investing.

Pi reveals investing secrets and the sciences that make investing easy, safer, less time consuming and increases the chances of profit.

One secret is to invest with a purpose beyond the cash.  One tactic as mentioned is staying power.  This means not being caught short and having to sell during a period of loss.  This also means having enough faith in a strategy that we stick to the plan.  When we invest with purpose, doing what we love, we enjoy the process more and are more likely to hold on during down times, when most poor investors panic and sell.

Slow, Worry Free, Good Value Investing

Stress, worry and fear are three of an investor’s worst enemies.  They create the Behavior Gap, a trait exhibited by most investors, that causes them to underperform any market sector they choose.  The behavior gap is created by natural human responses to fear.   Pi helps create profitable strategies that avoid losses from this gap.

Spanning the Behavior Gap

Behavior gaps are among the biggest reasons why so many investors fail.  Human evolution makes fear the second most powerful motivator.  (Greed is the third.)  Fear creates investment losses due to behavior gaps.  Fear motivates us more strongly than desire.  By nature investors are risk adverse.

Winning investors though embrace risk because they have a plan based on good value.

Purpose is the most powerful motivator,  stronger than fear and greed, so a strategy with purpose is the most powerful of all.

Combine your needs and capabilities with good value secrets and the math to back up your value selections through the Pifolio – The Pi Model Portfolio

Lessons from Pi are based on the creation and management of a Primary Pi Model Portfolio, called the Pifolio.  There are no secrets about this portfolio except that it ignores the stories (often created by someone with vested interests) and is based entirely on good math.

The Pifolio is a theoretical portfolio of MSCI Country Benchmark Index ETFs that cover all the good value markets using my (almost) 50 years of global experience and my study of the analysis of four mathematical investing geniuses (and friends).

The Pifolio analysis begins with a continual research of international major stock markets that compares their value based on:

#1:  Current book to price

#2: Cash flow to price

#3: Earnings to price

#4: Average dividend yield

#5: Return on equity

#6: Cash flow return.

#7: Market history

We follow this research of a brilliant mathematician and have tracked this analysis for over 20 years.    This is a complete and continual study of international major and emerging stock markets.

This analysis forms the basis of a Good Value Stock Market Strategy.   The analysis is rational, mathematical and does not worry about short term ups and downs.   This strategy is easy for anyone to follow and use.  Pi reveals the best value markets and provides contacts to managers and analysts and Country Index ETFs so almost anyone can create and follow their own strategy.

A country ETF provides diversification and cost efficiency by spreading one simple, even small investment into a basket of equities in a good value stock market.  The costs are low and this type of ETF is one of the hardest for institutions to cheat.  Expense ratios for most ETFs are lower than those of the average mutual fund.

Little knowledge, time, management or guesswork are required.  The investment is simply a diversified portfolio of good value indices.  Investments in an index are like investments in all the shares of a good value market.

Pi matches this mathematical certainty with my fifty years of experience. This opens insights to numerous long term cycles that most investors miss because they have not been investing long enough to see them.

For example in the 1980s, a remarkable set of two economic circumstances helped anyone who spotted them become remarkably rich.  Some of my readers made enough to retire.  Others picked up 50% currency gains.  Then the cycle ended.  Warren Buffett explained the importance of this ending in a 1999 Fortune magazine interview.  He said:  Let me summarize what I’ve been saying about the stock market: I think it’s very hard to come up with a persuasive case that equities will over the next 17 years perform anything like—anything like—they’ve performed in the past 17!

I did well then, but always thought, “I should have invested more!”  Now those circumstances have come together and I am investing in them again.

The circumstances that created fortunes 30 years ago were an overvalued US market (compared to global markets) and an overvalued US dollar.

The two conditions are in place again!  There are currently ten good value (non US) developed markets,  plus 10 good value emerging markets.

Pi shows how to easily create a diversified, worry free portfolio in some of these good value markets using Country Index ETFs.

The current strength of the US dollar is a second remarkable similarity to 30 years ago.   The dollar rose along with Wall Street.  Profits came quickly over three years.  Then the dollar dropped like a stone, by 51%  in just two years.  A repeat of this pattern is growing and could create up to 50% extra profit if we start using strong dollars to accumulate good value stock market ETFs in other currencies.

This is the most exciting opportunity I have seen since we started sending our reports on international investing ideas more than three decades ago.  There is so much more to write and the trends are so clear that I have created a short, but powerful report “Three Currency Patterns For 50% Profits or More.”   This report shows how to earn an extra 50% from currency shifts with even small investments.  I kept the report short and simple, but included links to 153 pages of  Good Value Stock Market research and Asset Allocation Analysis.

The report shows 20 good value investments and a really powerful tactic that shows the most effective and least expensive way to accumulate these bargains in large or even very small amounts (less than $5,000).  There is extra profit potential of at least 50% so the report is worth a lot.

This report sells for $29.95 but you’ll receive the report “Three Currency Patterns For 50% Profits or More” FREE when you subscribe to Pi.

Leverage

Pi also explains when leverage provides extra potential without undo risk.  For example in 1986 I issued a report called “The Silver Dip” that showed how to borrow 12,000 British pounds (at almost 1.6 to 1 dollars per pound the loan created US$18,600) and use the loan to buy 3835 ounces of silver at around US$4.85 an ounce.

Silver had crashed, I mean really crashed from $48 per ounce.  As prices decreased from early 1983 into 1986, total supply had fallen to 449.7 million ounces in 1986.  Mine production was restricted by the low prices at this time, with silver reaching a low for this period of $4.85 in May 1986.  Secondary recovery also was constricted by these low prices.

Then silver’s price skyrocketed to over $11 an ounce within a year.  The $18,600 loan was now worth $42,185.

The loan was in pounds and in May 1986 the dollar pound rate was 1.55 dollars per pound.  So the 12,000 pound loan purchased $18,600 of silver.  The pound then crashed to 1.40 dollars per silver.  The loan could be paid off for $13,285 immediately creating an extra $5,314 profit.  The profit grew to $47,499 in just a year.

Conditions for the silver dip have returned.  The availability of low cost loans and silver are at an all time low.  The price of silver has crashed from nearly $50 an ounce to below $14 as did shares of the iShares Silver ETF (SLV).

finance.yahoo.com chart SLV

iShares Silver Trust (symbol SLV) from www.finance.yahoo.com

Imagine investing in a spike like this… with leverage!

At the same time the silver gold ratio hit 80, a strong sign to invest in precious metals.

I have updated a special report “Silver Dip 2019” about a leveraged silver speculation that can increase the returns in a safe portfolio by as much as eight times.  The purpose of the report is to share long term lessons gained through 30 years of speculating and investing in precious metals.  While working on the report, when the gold silver ratio slipped to 80 and the price of silver dropped below $14 an ounce, I knew I needed to share this immediately.

I released a new report “Silver Dip 2015” so readers were able to take advantage of these conditions and leverage 1.6 times as a speculation.  That report generated profits as high as 212% and a revised 2019 issue has been produced.

“The Silver Dip 2109”  sells for $39.95 but  you receive  “Silver Dip 2019” FREE when you subscribe to Pi.

Save

Subscribe to the first year of The Personal investing Course (Pi).  The annual fee is $299, but to introduce you to this online, course that is based on real time investing, I am knocking $102 off the subscription.  Plus you receive the $29.95 report “Three Currency Patterns For 50% Profits or More” and the $39.95 report “The Silver Dip 2019” free.

Triple Guarantee

Enroll in Pi.   Get the first monthly issue of Pi, and the report “Three Currency Patterns For 50% Profits or More” and “The Silver Dip 2019” right away.

#1:  I guarantee you’ll learn ideas about investing that are unique and can reduce stress as they help you enhance your profits through slow, worry free purposeful investing.

If you are not totally happy, simply let me know.

#2:  I guarantee you can cancel your subscription within 60 days and I’ll refund your subscription fee in full, no questions asked.

#3:  I guarantee you can keep “Three Currency Patterns For 50% Profits or More” and “The Silver Dip 2109” report as my thanks for trying.

You have nothing to lose except the fear.   You have the ultimate form of financial security to gain.

Subscribe to the Pi for $197.   You Save $158.95.

Your subscription will be charged $299 a year from now, but you can cancel at any time.

Gary

 

 

 

Turn $250 into $51,888… in Four Years or Less


Turn $250 into $51,888… in Four Years or Less.   If someone offers you this, I would normally say “run from them as fast as you can”.

Yet in 1986.  This is exactly what I wrote in a report that told how to borrow to buy silver.  I have to admit.  I was wrong.  Readers who followed the report made more than that amount in less than four years.

Here is a photo of that ad in 1986.

Screen Shot 2015-08-01 at 9.53.29 AM

Screen Shot 2015-08-01 at 9.53.41 AM

Conditions for silver’s recovery are similar to 1986 now.

The offer in 1986 was for a report called the Silver Dip that showed how to borrow 12,000 British pounds (US$18,600) and use the loan to buy 3835 ounces of silver at around US$4.85 an ounce.

This chart from Kitco (1) tells the story.

Kitco Silver Chart

Silver had crashed, I mean really crashed from $48 per ounce.   As prices decreased from early 1983 into 1986, total supply had fallen to  449.7 million ounces in 1986.  Mine production was restricted by the low prices at this time, with silver reaching a low for this period of $4.85 in May 1986. Secondary recovery also was constricted by these low prices.

Then silver’s price skyrocketed to over $11 an ounce within a year. The $12,000 was now worth $42,185.

The loan was in pounds and in May 1986 the dollar pound rate was 1.55 dollars per pound.  So the 12,000 pound loan purchased $18,600 of silver.  The pound then crashed to  1.40 dollars per silver.  the loan could be paid off  for  $13,285 immediately creating a $5,314 profit.  So the profit grew to $47,499 in just a year.

12,000 pounds gets US$22,800  Then the pound crashed again to $1.50 and could be paid off at $15,700 for another $7,660 profit or a total profit of $55,099 in only three years.  Of course there was interest on the 12,000 pound loan, but this was less than 10% or $3,600 for the three years.  In other words there was $51,599 profit in three years.  That’s remarkably close to the promise.

Yet there is a really big question.  Would we have made this profit, had we taken the loan and invested in the silver.   There was plenty of potential  for loss as well as profit.  After rising from $4.85 to $11 per ounce, the silver price crashed again, clear back to below $5.00 an ounce and the investment was again worth about $12,000.  The British pound fluctuated dramatically against the US dollar so there was plenty of room for loss as well as profit in the currency shifts.

historic silver chart

This historical chart of silver shows why conditions may be set for a spike in the price of silver.   Note in the chart above that the huge profit in 1986 came from the second spike in a head and shoulders pattern.   The bubble peaked in the late 1970s, but traders and commodity conditions sucked speculators back in for what is called a “Dead Cat Bounce”.  This type of price recovery comes for no reason other than the price has fallen so much.

The dead cat bounce created huge and quick profits in 1986.  We have the same scenario for silver prices now.

silver price 5 years

The price of silver reached a speculation driven historical high (over $50 an ounce) about four years ago and has since plummeted to rices that are almost back to 1987 levels.

If history repeats itself, expect silver prices to rise sharply in the next one to three years.  Then it will crash again.  Investors can again expect to double, triple, even quadruple their speculation in as little as a year.

Investors need to know WHEN to take that profit!

This is why our Purposeful investment Course (Pi) studies 7 portfolios in real time to learn which type portfolio is best… for who.  One of the seven portfolios, the most speculative, includes silver.

This is also why I am releasing a new “Silver Dip 2015” report next week.

This report is exclusively available to subscribers of the Purposeful investment Course.

The speculation is so time sensitive with such fast profit (but also loss) potential that I will not offer it to readers who have not received the education in Pi on when and who should and should not speculate and how to limit losses and take profits.

Subscribers to Pi also learn the 50 golden rules of investing.  The Purposeful investment  Course (Pi) looks at how to protect against shady investment advice, unreasonable and hidden fees.  This is especially true when it comes ot trading in currencies and metals.

Pi examines how to gain the ultimate form of financial security, investments with purpose and profit.  When you subscribe to Pi, we will include you in the “50 Golden Rules of Investing Program,” without any additional cost or obligation.  Each month in “Pi” we’ll delve more deeply into four or five “Golden Rules of Investing”.

Pi subscribers will receive Silver Dip 2015 on September 1, 2015.

There is also another, much safer, once every 30 year opportunity that I have described in a short, but powerful report “Three Currency Patterns For 50% Profits or More.”  This report shows how to earn an extra 50% from currency shifts with even small  good value investments.

The report also shows how to reduce trading costs and gain protection from unethical banks and investment advisers.  The report shows 22 good value investments and a really powerful tactic to use that allows you to accumulate these bargains now even in small amounts (even $5,000).  There is extra profit potential of at least 50% so the report is worth a lot.

The report “Three Currency Patterns For 50% Profits or More” is $29.95 but you get it free when you subscribe to Pi, the Purposeful investment Course.

Triple Guarantee

Enroll in Pi.  Get the first monthly issue of Pi, the first five “Golden Rules of Investing” and the report “Three Currency Patterns For 50% Profits or More” right away.

#1:  I guarantee you’ll learn ideas about investing that are unique and that can rescue stress as they help you enhance your profits through slow, worry free purposeful investing.

If you are not totally happy, simply let me know.

#2:  I guarantee to cancel your subscription and refund your subscription fee in full, no questions asked.

#3:  I guarantee you can keep the golden rules of investing you have received and “Three Currency Patterns For 50% Profits or More” report as my thanks for trying.

You have nothing to lose except the fear.  You have the ultimate form of financial security to gain.

Order the report “Three Currency Patterns For 50% Profits or More”  $29.95

Subscribe to Pi and save $102 (Pi is priced at $299 per year but we have an introductory discount available now; only $197 for the first year), plus received the “50 Golden Rules of Investing” and “Three Currency Patterns For 50% Profits or More” report” free.

Save $131.95.   Subscribe to the Pi for $197.

Gary

(1)  Kitco historic silver charts

(2)  Fxtop pound dollar historical charts

(3) 100 year silver chart at macrotrends.net

Learn how to use the Silver Dip at our Oct. 17-18 Investment seminar

Gain From Election Volatility

Here we are again… another election on its way… all the robo calls from politicians… the dirty tricks and the innumerable amounts of nonsense this vital process brings.

However America’s politics turn out, one thing is sure.  There will be volatility in stock markets during the election process.

The first reason markets will bounce has nothing to do with politics or policies.   A market correction is due regardless of the party or the person in office.

Second the new politics has created an uncertain era.  Everyone has been shaken over the past three years whether they are pleased with the government or not.

Nothing frightens markets like uncertainty.

Third if we see rising interest rates, this will push markets down.

Despite these pitfalls, there is a way to profit using the strong US dollar and undervalue non dollar stock markets to pick up good value shares.

During nearly five decades of global investing I have noticed found that good value strategies are the best way to profit long term, through good politics and bad.  The steps to take are simple.

The first tactic is to seek safety before profit.

We can look at Warren Buffett’s investing strategy as an example.  Buffett success is talked about a lot, but rarely does anyone explain how he make so much money.  That was the fact until some researchers really stripped his operation bare.  They looked at everything and learned the deepest of Buffett’s wealth management secrets.  Fortunately they published all in a research paper at Yale University’s website. that reveals important truths about extending wealth.

This research shows that the stocks Buffett chooses are safe (with low beta and low volatility), cheap (value stocks with low price – to – book ratios), and high quality (stocks of companies that are profitable, stable, growing, and with high payout ratios).

The second tactic is to maintain staying power.  At times Buffet’s portfolio has fallen, but he has been willing and able to wait long periods for the value to reveal itself and prices to recover.

A 45 year portfolio study shows that holding a diversified good value portfolio (based on a  good value strategy) for 13 month’s time, increases the probability of outperformance to 70%.

However those who can hold the portfolio for five years gain a 88% probability of beating the bellwether in the market and after ten years the probability increases to 97.5%.

Time is your friend when you use a good value strategy.  The longer you can hold onto a well balanced good value portfolio the better the odds of outstanding success.

The Buffett strategy integrates time and value for safety and profit.

A third tactic is using limited leveraging, tactic in the strategy boosts profit.  Buffett leverages his portfolio at a ratio of approximately 1.6 to 1.   The Yale published research paper shows the leveraging methods used by Warren Buffett to amass his $50 billion fortune.  The researchers found that the returns from Buffett’s investment company, Berkshire Hathaway, far outweighed those achieved by any rival that has operated for 30 years or more.  The research shows that neither luck nor magic are involved.  Instead, the paper shows that Buffet’s success hinges on using leverage at the rate of 1.6.

To sum up the strategy, Buffet uses limited leverage to invest in large purchases of “cheap, safe, quality stocks”.  He limits leverage so he can hold on for very long periods of time, surviving rough periods where others might have been forced into a fire sale or a career shift.

Stated in another way buffet uses logic (buy good value) to have the conviction, wherewithal, and skill to invest with leverage over many decades.

What do we do when we are not Warren Buffett?

May I introduce the Purposeful Investing Course (Pi) for those who want to invest like Warren Buffet, but know they are not.  This course is based on my 50 plus years of investing experience combined with wisdom gained from some of the world’s best investment managers and economic mathematical scientists.

Enjoy Extending Wealth

Pi’s mission is to make it easy for anyone to create a three point strategy, like Buffett’s even though they do not have a lot of time for or knowledge about investing.

Pi reveals investing secrets and the sciences that make investing easy, safer, less time consuming and increases the chances of profit.

One secret is to invest with a purpose beyond the cash.  One tactic as mentioned is staying power.  This means not being caught short and having to sell during a period of loss.  This also means having enough faith in a strategy that we stick to the plan.  When we invest with purpose, doing what we love, we enjoy the process more and are more likely to hold on during down times, when most poor investors panic and sell.

Slow, Worry Free, Good Value Investing

Stress, worry and fear are three of an investor’s worst enemies.  They create the Behavior Gap, a trait exhibited by most investors, that causes them to underperform any market sector they choose.  The behavior gap is created by natural human responses to fear.   Pi helps create profitable strategies that avoid losses from this gap.

Spanning the Behavior Gap

Behavior gaps are among the biggest reasons why so many investors fail.  Human evolution makes fear the second most powerful motivator.  (Greed is the third.)  Fear creates investment losses due to behavior gaps.  Fear motivates us more strongly than desire.  By nature investors are risk adverse.

Winning investors though embrace risk because they have a plan based on good value.

Purpose is the most powerful motivator,  stronger than fear and greed, so a strategy with purpose is the most powerful of all.

Combine your needs and capabilities with good value secrets and the math to back up your value selections through the Pifolio – The Pi Model Portfolio

Lessons from Pi are based on the creation and management of a Primary Pi Model Portfolio, called the Pifolio.  There are no secrets about this portfolio except that it ignores the stories (often created by someone with vested interests) and is based entirely on good math.

The Pifolio is a theoretical portfolio of MSCI Country Benchmark Index ETFs that cover all the good value markets using my (almost) 50 years of global experience and my study of the analysis of four mathematical investing geniuses (and friends).

The Pifolio analysis begins with a continual research of international major stock markets that compares their value based on:

#1:  Current book to price

#2: Cash flow to price

#3: Earnings to price

#4: Average dividend yield

#5: Return on equity

#6: Cash flow return.

#7: Market history

We follow this research of a brilliant mathematician and have tracked this analysis for over 20 years.    This is a complete and continual study of international major and emerging stock markets.

This analysis forms the basis of a Good Value Stock Market Strategy.   The analysis is rational, mathematical and does not worry about short term ups and downs.   This strategy is easy for anyone to follow and use.  Pi reveals the best value markets and provides contacts to managers and analysts and Country Index ETFs so almost anyone can create and follow their own strategy.

A country ETF provides diversification and cost efficiency by spreading one simple, even small investment into a basket of equities in a good value stock market.  The costs are low and this type of ETF is one of the hardest for institutions to cheat.  Expense ratios for most ETFs are lower than those of the average mutual fund.

Little knowledge, time, management or guesswork are required.  The investment is simply a diversified portfolio of good value indices.  Investments in an index are like investments in all the shares of a good value market.

Pi matches this mathematical certainty with my fifty years of experience. This opens insights to numerous long term cycles that most investors miss because they have not been investing long enough to see them.

For example in the 1980s, a remarkable set of two economic circumstances helped anyone who spotted them become remarkably rich.  Some of my readers made enough to retire.  Others picked up 50% currency gains.  Then the cycle ended.  Warren Buffett explained the importance of this ending in a 1999 Fortune magazine interview.  He said:  Let me summarize what I’ve been saying about the stock market: I think it’s very hard to come up with a persuasive case that equities will over the next 17 years perform anything like—anything like—they’ve performed in the past 17!

I did well then, but always thought, “I should have invested more!”  Now those circumstances have come together and I am investing in them again.

The circumstances that created fortunes 30 years ago were an overvalued US market (compared to global markets) and an overvalued US dollar.

The two conditions are in place again!  There are currently ten good value (non US) developed markets,  plus 10 good value emerging markets.

Pi shows how to easily create a diversified, worry free portfolio in some of these good value markets using Country Index ETFs.

The current strength of the US dollar is a second remarkable similarity to 30 years ago.   The dollar rose along with Wall Street.  Profits came quickly over three years.  Then the dollar dropped like a stone, by 51%  in just two years.  A repeat of this pattern is growing and could create up to 50% extra profit if we start using strong dollars to accumulate good value stock market ETFs in other currencies.

This is the most exciting opportunity I have seen since we started sending our reports on international investing ideas more than three decades ago.  There is so much more to write and the trends are so clear that I have created a short, but powerful report “Three Currency Patterns For 50% Profits or More.”   This report shows how to earn an extra 50% from currency shifts with even small investments.  I kept the report short and simple, but included links to 153 pages of  Good Value Stock Market research and Asset Allocation Analysis.

The report shows 20 good value investments and a really powerful tactic that shows the most effective and least expensive way to accumulate these bargains in large or even very small amounts (less than $5,000).  There is extra profit potential of at least 50% so the report is worth a lot.

This report sells for $29.95 but you’ll receive the report “Three Currency Patterns For 50% Profits or More” FREE when you subscribe to Pi.

Leverage

Pi also explains when leverage provides extra potential without undo risk.  For example in 1986 I issued a report called “The Silver Dip” that showed how to borrow 12,000 British pounds (at almost 1.6 to 1 dollars per pound the loan created US$18,600) and use the loan to buy 3835 ounces of silver at around US$4.85 an ounce.

Silver had crashed, I mean really crashed from $48 per ounce.  As prices decreased from early 1983 into 1986, total supply had fallen to 449.7 million ounces in 1986.  Mine production was restricted by the low prices at this time, with silver reaching a low for this period of $4.85 in May 1986.  Secondary recovery also was constricted by these low prices.

Then silver’s price skyrocketed to over $11 an ounce within a year.  The $18,600 loan was now worth $42,185.

The loan was in pounds and in May 1986 the dollar pound rate was 1.55 dollars per pound.  So the 12,000 pound loan purchased $18,600 of silver.  The pound then crashed to 1.40 dollars per silver.  The loan could be paid off for $13,285 immediately creating an extra $5,314 profit.  The profit grew to $47,499 in just a year.

Conditions for the silver dip have returned.  The availability of low cost loans and silver are at an all time low.  The price of silver has crashed from nearly $50 an ounce to below $14 as did shares of the iShares Silver ETF (SLV).

finance.yahoo.com chart SLV

iShares Silver Trust (symbol SLV) from www.finance.yahoo.com

Imagine investing in a spike like this… with leverage!

At the same time the silver gold ratio hit 80, a strong sign to invest in precious metals.

I have updated a special report “Silver Dip 2019” about a leveraged silver speculation that can increase the returns in a safe portfolio by as much as eight times.  The purpose of the report is to share long term lessons gained through 30 years of speculating and investing in precious metals.  While working on the report, when the gold silver ratio slipped to 80 and the price of silver dropped below $14 an ounce, I knew I needed to share this immediately.

I released a new report “Silver Dip 2015” so readers were able to take advantage of these conditions and leverage 1.6 times as a speculation.  That report generated profits as high as 212% and a revised 2019 issue has been produced.

“The Silver Dip 2109”  sells for $39.95 but  you receive  “Silver Dip 2019” FREE when you subscribe to Pi.

Save

Subscribe to the first year of The Personal investing Course (Pi).  The annual fee is $299, but to introduce you to this online, course that is based on real time investing, I am knocking $102 off the subscription.  Plus you receive the $29.95 report “Three Currency Patterns For 50% Profits or More” and the $39.95 report “The Silver Dip 2019” free.

Triple Guarantee

Enroll in Pi.   Get the first monthly issue of Pi, and the report “Three Currency Patterns For 50% Profits or More” and “The Silver Dip 2019” right away.

#1:  I guarantee you’ll learn ideas about investing that are unique and can reduce stress as they help you enhance your profits through slow, worry free purposeful investing.

If you are not totally happy, simply let me know.

#2:  I guarantee you can cancel your subscription within 60 days and I’ll refund your subscription fee in full, no questions asked.

#3:  I guarantee you can keep “Three Currency Patterns For 50% Profits or More” and “The Silver Dip 2109” report as my thanks for trying.

You have nothing to lose except the fear.   You have the ultimate form of financial security to gain.

Subscribe to the Pi for $197.   You Save $158.95.

Your subscription will be charged $299 a year from now, but you can cancel at any time.

Gary

 

 

 

Polish Copper & Silver Investing Idea


Polish Copper. Here is a Copper & Silver Investing Idea.

copper-silver

Silver and…

copper-silver

copper have appreciated… a lot!

Silver & Copper Prices

Current news and chatter on the internet suggests that the price of both silver and copper are now high.

However inflation is a likely scenario in our future.   Plus I have a reputation… getting in really early and out way ahead of the top.  My concerns about a breaking commodities bubble may just be my nerves.  Many investors just hate leaving money on the table.  I am very happy taking my slice of profit and exiting early as soon as a price of anything stops making much sense.

Plus I am not a trader. I do not buy options or contracts nor try to make fast turns on short term price developments.

Instead I plod along looking for value in five good places that I believe will  protect against and gain from inflation… equities, multi currency investments, commodities, real estate and my own micro business.

This means I am questioning the immediate value of these two commodities right now.  They’ll rise long term… I’m really convinced of this.  For the short term I ask, “Are the rewards of further strong appreciation worth the risk of a downwards correction?”

In some instances my investments are leveraged (when markets are not bubbly)… but not now.

This message looks at a commodities idea, because some investments can benefit from two or three inflation fighting ideas at once. One example that I hold in my portfolio is linked to silver… provides a multi currency play… plus offers an emerging equities opportunity and is a commodities investment in copper.    This is an investment in a Polish mining company that gives me a play in the Polish Zloty, emerging market equities, copper and silver. 

One of the few shares I hold in my portfolio is KGHM Polska Miedz, a Polish mining company that mines copper and silver.

I bought this share for several reasons… first because I used to be a gold bug…. and held a lot of gold for decades.  That was a really lousy investment.   Now with gold near its all time high… this may not be such a good time to invest in the yellow stuff either.

I believe in gold as insurance and have enough (plus some junk silver) stored in case the world falls apart.

I rarely invest in gold as a speculation any more.

Yet I believe we’ll see inflation and that the price of commodities will rise.  I also believe that in emerging markets offer the highest potential for appreciation.

The shares in KGHM represent a commodity and Eastern Europe.

When I purchased the shares, a year ago the Polish Zloty was weak versus the US dollar.

dollar-zloty-chat

Since it has risen nicely.  That’s profit part 1!

Copper prices had fallen.  Now they are up nicely.

copper-price

Silver prices had fallen but now are up nicely.

silver-chart

So this is an income earning alternative to gold and silver… the share price rose 43% this last year according to this Bloomberg Review.

share price

Right now I am wondering…. should I take a profit or not.  However buy, hold or sell, you can be sure that I’ll keep an eye on this share. Any time there is a quadruple shift down… in the Polish stock market… the Zloty… and in copper and silver… then I’ll be looking to see if this share makes sense in my portfolio.

Inflation is the most likely global scenario for the world’s near term future.  Five good places to invest to protect against and gain from inflation are… equities, multi currency investments, commodities, real estate and your own micro business.  An investment in KGHM Polska Miedz, a Polish mining company represents an investment in three of these asset classes.

Gary

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See my current portfolio. What I have invested in recently and sold and why at our February 11-13 Mt. Dora International Investing & Business Course… PLUS SAVE.