Tag Archive | "Peter Conradsen"

Multi Currency Ideas


Multi currency solutions to inflation are needed.

Inflation will certainly come from the current global economic bailout.

Every multi currency investor needs to mold a personal multi currency solution to meet their specific needs. Whatever individual tactic is used, it will normally work better if it includes multi currency diversification based on a search for multi currency value.

Yesterday’s message Multi Currency Warning looked at seven economic fundamentals that we can relay on during this downwards correction and stated:

The current rush to the US dollar and yen create a monumental opportunity! There will be a time to invest in the very currencies that are tumbling now.

Why am I sure of inflation?

One of the seven multi currency fundamentals (#2) is that: Government involvement in global economics and business may dampen the sharper acceleration of the natural financial rhythm but eventually makes the corrections worse.

A recent article in USA Today covering Alan Greenspan’s testimony to the US Congress said: that the “Former Federal Reserve chairman Alan Greenspan told angry lawmakers” about his shock.

I wonder? We these angry OR frightened lawmakers? I suspect that a few weeks from election day the better word would have been SCARED.

Fear destroys reason if one is not trained to deal with it. Most of Western society is not trained to deal with fear. William James aptly put it this way.

“In civilized life it has at last become possible for large numbers of people to pass from the cradle to the grave without ever having had a pang of genuine fear. Many of us need an attack of mental disease to teach us the meaning of the word.”

Since politicians are also human beings they too lose reason when they give way to fear. They seem to definitely get a mental disease!

For example what is the cause of today’s economic crisis? Too much debt.

Yet yesterday’s BBC article entitled “Brown defending higher borrowing” says:

“Gordon Brown is defending his plans to increase government borrowing in order to tackle the economic downturn in a speech in London.

The prime minister is telling business leaders it is the right time to boost demand with government spending.

Opposition parties have attacked the current levels of debt, saying Britain is inadequately prepared for recession.

Leading economists have also criticised the government over its spending plans and called for tax cuts instead.

In a letter to a Sunday newspaper, a number of economists warned against an expansion of government spending as a way of stimulating the economy.

They described a focus on public works projects and higher spending as “misguided and discredited”.

The latest quarterly public debt figures hit a record £37.6 billion – higher than the whole of the previous year. Yet Brown said: The responsible course is to borrow now to maintain growth and output.”

I have little doubt that England’s debt will grow…as will America’s, and Europe’s and Japan’s because of…fear.

The borrowed money will be spent by government’s to, as Brown says, “kick start the economy”. The economy will recover but if the fundamental about government inefficiency remans true, it will not recover as it could and should.

The price of this borrowing will be inflation…the loss of purchasing power.

Now here is where frightened politics and politicians get involved.

The same BBC article also said:

“Over the weekend, Mr Brown paid a brief visit to Glenrothes in Scotland as part of a by-election campaign and made predictions food and fuel bills would begin to come down next year.

He also hinted falling oil prices could lead to further co-ordinated interest rate cuts.

“Now inflation is actually coming down over the next few months and that will mean that it gives scope to all the monetary authorities, including the Bank of England, round the world to make a decision about interest rates,” he told the BBC.”

Brown is probably wrong. Inflation will not come down…which is okay for those who know what to do.

Do not be misled. Chances are that Western governments will borrow more than they should. Inflation will follow.

If this belief is correct then the best investments will be shares, commodities and real estate in a diversified basket of strong currencies.

What will make a currency strong?

Fundamentals of currency value (purchasing power potential) include:

A: Interest rate.
B: Inflation rate a three levels – labor – wholesale and consumer prices.
C: Trade balance.
D: Current account.
E: Debt as % of GDP.
F: Debt as % of government income and spending.
G: Amount and velocity of direction in government deficit.

Ideally we want to invest in currencies of countries that offer an interest rate above the local inflation rate, that have a positive trade balance, current account, falling government debt and deficit versus government income.

This combination of qualities in a currency are as rare as hen’s teeth and will become even harder to find during and after this downturn.

As the Western economies stall, their imports will slow. This will slow growth in emerging economies. Governments everywhere will be pressed. Fear will grow. Reason will diminish and government borrowing will increase everywhere.

Inflation will grow. Multi currency investing will become increasingly a relative process….looking for the currencies that are least bad.

I hope to help you fight this inflation with multi currency investing!

Gary

We are studying three multi currency solutions to inflation in our multi currency course. You can subscribe to gain access to these ideas here.

Join us at one of our next to International investing courses in Cotacachi Ecuador this winter.

Learn more about economic safety this November. Join Merri, me, Steve, Kjetil Haugan or Thor Anderson of Vistazul and Peter Conradsen of Jyske Global Asset Management in Cotacachi Ecuador. We’ll review economic conditions, Ecuador real estate, my entire portfolio and investing and business ideas for the months ahead.

Nov 7-9 2008 International Investing and Business Made EZ Ecuador
https://www.garyascott.com/catalog/international-business-made-ez-ecuador

Feb. 13-15 International Business & Investing Made EZ

See the wonderful balconies in the Primavera condos at for sale at $46,000 in Cotacachi.

multi-currency-Ecuador-condo-interior

Nov 10-11 Imbabura Real Estate tour
https://www.garyascott.com/catalog/ecuador-real-estat

Feb. 16-17 Imbabura Real Estate Tour

Then travel to the coast. Enjoy the Vistazul swimming pool on Ecuador’s Pacific.

Picture 9

November 12-15, 2008 Ecuador Coastal Real Estate Tour; Quito Real Estate Tour
https://www.garyascott.com/catalog/ecuador-coastal-real-estate-tour

See discounts for two or more of these courses and tours

Enjoy Ecuador’s music.

Ecuador-music

Enjoy flowers and beauty.

Ecuador-flowers

Enjoy the friendly staff at our hotel.

international-club

Better still join us all year in Ecuador! See our schedule of 26 courses, tours, mingos and expeditions we’ll conduct in 2009.

Multi Currency Investing Ahead


Multi currency investments fight inflation and can enhance wealth but require a long view .

There is a screech owl that lives in our barn and the way I watch him is sort of how I invest.

Can you see the owl?

To begin, an investing idea starts with a speck of thought…seeing the whole picture, but without many details.

Then it’s time to connect dots to see a closer picture.

Then we begin gathering information so the focus is closer…

until we can finally zoom in.

At this stage when we have zeroed in, we can act.

One big idea I have been tracking and investing in, is water. Now I am zeroing in on a new sub interest…water desalination.

An article sent by a reader entitled “Australia Turns to Desalination Amid Water Shortage” by Michael Sullivan first piqued my interest.

The article told how the Kwinana Desalination Plant, near Perth, produces 40 million gallons of drinking water per day from the Indian Ocean.

The article says:

Perth, with a population of about 1.7 million, is growing 3 percent a year — about 750 families a week move to the city, says Gary Crisp of the Western Australia Water Corp.

The Kwinana Desalination Plant south of the city opened two months ago. The facility, the first of its kind in Australia, covers just a few acres in an industrial park next to the ocean.

The water is sucked in through a pipe about 650 feet offshore in Cockburn Sound, at a rate of about 0.1 meters per second, says project manager Simon McKay.

That is slow enough to let the fish escape, but fast enough to provide nearly 40 million gallons of drinking water each day — roughly 20 percent of Perth’s daily consumption. That makes the plant the single largest source of water for the city.

McKay says it doesn’t take very long for the seawater to be ready for the tap — about a half-hour from the time it comes out of the ocean until it’s processed and distributed.

Desalination plants have been around in places like the Middle East for decades. But they’ve always been expensive to build and expensive to run. New technology has made them cheaper and more efficient, but they still consume a large amount of energy.

Environmentalists in Perth balked at the idea of using coal-fired plants to provide power for the one here, forcing the Water Corp. to find a non-polluting, renewable alternative. It found that alternative — wind energy — near the town of Cervantes, a three-hour drive north of Perth.

The Emu Downs Wind Farm houses 48 wind turbines, each as high as a 15-story building.

Kerry Roberts, the facility’s general manager, says Emu Downs is among the top 10 or 20 sites for this type of energy alternative in Australia.

“If you look at the combined output of the wind farm at maximum wind speeds — 24 to 28 miles per hour — you’re looking at an output of close to 80 megawatts,” Roberts explains. That’s enough power to run Perth’s desalination plant, 160 miles to the south.

This successful marriage of renewable technology and necessity has Crisp, of the Western Australia Water Corp., thinking big: “I predict that desalination will account for at least half of Perth’s water in the next 30 years.”

Other water-stressed seaside cities in Australia are taking a serious look at desalination, as traditional water sources dry up because of lack of rain. Sydney, on Australia’s southeast coast, is expected to commission a plant even larger than Perth’s in the next few months.

Nonetheless, the desalination boom extends far beyond Australia’s shores. McKay — the man in charge of getting Perth’s plant running — will soon be off to Muscat, Oman, to build another. His company’s order book is filling up quickly, he says, and he doesn’t expect that to change in his lifetime. Neither does Crisp.

“The world is going reverse osmosis,” he says, naming projects proposed from California to Spain.

Looking around, I found that one of the largest desalination plants is not far from where I lived (Naples) for years, Tampa Florida. The Tampa Bay Seawater Desalination facility is an integral part of the Tampa Bay region’s drinking water supply. This is claimed to be a drought-proof, alternative water supply that provides up to 25 million gallons per day of drinking water to the region.

There are large desalination projects underway in California as well. However a look at the top 50 desalination projects show that the majority of them are in the Middle East.

Desalination is a sector that is bound to grow. It is estimated that 2.8 billion people live in areas of high water stress and this number is expected to increase by 50% over the next 20 years.

Areas of greatest concern include India, China and the Middle East.

There are two forms of desalination, evaporation and reverse osmosis (salt water forced through a filter under high pressure). There are already over 10,000 desalination plants going, mostly in the Middle East.

There are huge expenditures underway for desalination and wastewater purification and a number of companies are cashing in on this fact.

General Electric may be in the lead. It purchased Ionics, which builds desalination plants and makes filter membranes.

The French company Veolia Environnement (VE) is a major desalination plant and membrane supplier. This company earns over a third of its revenue from water businesses. The Japanese chemical company Nitto Denko (6988.T) is a large membrane supplier as is Dow Chemical (DOW), DuPont (DD), and GE.

Desalination plant builders include Italian Impreglio (IPGOF), South Korea’s Doosan Heavy Industries & Construction (DOHIF), French Suez (SZEZY), German Siemens (SI), and Spanish construction companies Acciona (ACXIF) and Abengoa (ABGOF).

We have written often about Singapore-listed Hyflux (HYFL) which makes filter membranes used to purify water and builds desalination plants. Hyflux is building a 500,000-cubic-meter per day desalination plant in Algeria, which, when completed in 2011, will be the world’s largest. Hyflux is also building 40 water treatment plants in China, where it gets 81% of its revenue. This share is in our Green portfolio as is Japan’s Kurita Water Industries (6370.T) which builds desalination plants and sells other water purification equipment, getting all of its 205 billion yen [$2 billion] in revenue from water-related businesses.

Canadian H2O Innovation (HEO) makes filtration membranes for wastewater treatment. Austria’s Christ Water Technology (CRSWF) sells desalination and other water purification equipment. American Water (AWK), is in New Jersey and ran the desalination plant in Tampa, which is the largest in the U.S. Energy Recovery in San Leandro, Calif. has also sold shares to investors.

Desalination plants are expensive and create local opposition for several reasons.

First, they produce a waste of highly concentrated salt water that can destroy the surrounding ocean habitat. Second they require a lot of energy which if created by coal, creates air pollution.

The third concern, perhaps the biggest is concern for the organisms that are killed by the process of withdrawing seawater. Tiny fish larvae and plankton are killed in process.

Te nature of our existence is such that we cannot eliminate our foot print entirely. very solution to environmental problems seems to create others. Let’s hope that technology will help make desalination one of humanity’s solutions…not problems. Since desalination can produce fresh water where there is none, and water is one of the few items in daily life that has no substitute, I be looking to invest in companies that provide fresh water with minimal impact on the environment.

Once I find such a  company,  will have identified one of many filters we should use when we review value.  We look for shares of companies that have a product or service in a wave of the future…such as desalination.

Then there are still many questions to answer to determine if the share offers a good value or not.  The questions include:

#1: Are the shares traded in a good value market?
#2: Does the share trade at fair Price to Earnings and Price to Cash Flow ratios?
#3: Does the share pay a good value dividend?
#4: Do the shares have a good value relative to their previous price?
#5: Does the company have rising earnings?
#6: Has the share price been rising?
#7: Is the company’s management good.

My feeling is that desalination will grow especially, that which is provided by wind energy, which is often available at the ocean and in semiarid parts of the world.  Shares in companies that answer yes to the questions above  will be interesting places to invest.

Until next message, good global investing to you.

Gary

Learn more about economic safety this November. Join Merri, me, Steve, Kjetil Haugan or Thor Anderson of Vistazul and Peter Conradsen of Jyske Global Asset Management in Cotacachi Ecuador. We’ll review economic conditions, Ecuador real estate, my entire portfolio and investing and business ideas for the months ahead.

Nov 7-9 2008 International Investing and Business Made EZ Ecuador
https://www.garyascott.com/catalog/international-business-made-ez-ecuador

See the wonderful balconies in the Primavera condos at for sale at $46,000 in Cotacachi.

multi-currency-Ecuador-condo-interior

Nov 10-11 Imbabura Real Estate tour
https://www.garyascott.com/catalog/ecuador-real-estat

Then travel to the coast. Enjoy the Vistazul swimming pool on Ecuador’s Pacific.

Picture 9

November 12-15, 2008 Ecuador Coastal Real Estate Tour; Quito Real Estate Tour
https://www.garyascott.com/catalog/ecuador-coastal-real-estate-tour

See discounts for two or more of these courses and tours

Economic Safety in Troubled Times


Learn about economic safety in Ecuador, the Blue Ridge and North Dakota.

These troubled economic times create wonderful, investment opportunity. The corrections in the stock market and depressed real estate prices combined with global inflationary pressures are developing a lush field of investing values.

Yet investors looking for economic safety need to exercise care in how they harvest this financial crop.

Troubled times create distortions. Distortions create problems. Problems create opportunity. Opportunity creates economic safety and financial profit, if you look carefully for value and make sure your liquidity remains safe during the search.

This is one reason why Merri and I love Ecuador. The people are peace loving. The people are independant. Ecuador’s population have a history of caring for themselves. They know how to farm. The food supply is abundant. Ecuador is oil rich. Ecuadorians do not have the expectation that the government should supply their every want, need and desire. There is less likely to be violent civil unrest in troubled times.

Here in the Blue Ridge there is also a history and connection to independence. Heating and food is plentiful. People know how to survive tough times.

One great pleasure in our International Investment and Business Courses are the people we meet and friends made. People always enjoy each other. Merri and I do as well. Some delegates have been coming to our courses for decades, so we were delighted at our course last weekend when one delegate and good friend from North Dakota who has attended many times over the past 20 years was with us.

He told me a some things about North Dakota that started me quickly searching.

First, the Bank of North Dakota, located in Bismarck, ND, is the only state-owned bank in the nation. The bank has over $160 million in capital and is in partnership with over 100 other North Dakota financial institutions. More important because the bank is owned by the state, it has a credit rating of AA.

The main deposit base of the bank is the state itself. Sate law requires all state funds and funds of state institutions to be deposited there. However deposits are accepted from any source, including private citizens.

The bank is not a member of the Federal Depository Insurance Corporation. The State of North Dakota guarantees all deposits regardless of amount (over $100,0000) in the bank. So this is quite a safe place to hold liquid funds.

Do not expect free irons, dinner plates or special incentives to open accounts. Though individuals can open accounts at the bank, this is not the main business so it offers fewer retail services than most commercial banks. The bank only has one office and does not try to compete in consumer banking.

So, how good is the guarantee of the State of North Dakota?

According to an October 7 2008 article at KXMCTV in Minot, North Dakota, the
state has a pile of money. North Dakota is one of the few states with a budget surplus, estimated at a billion dollars.

The state also has some good economic fundamentals. First it is rich in agriculture, beef cattle, milk, hogs and honey producers rank North Dakota among the leading producers.

Wheat is the leading farm product in North Dakota, ranking second in production only behind Kansas. North Dakota grows more durum wheat (used for pasta) than any other state.

North Dakota also leads all other states in the production of barley and sunflower seeds and is a leader in the production of flaxseed (linseed oil).

North Dakota is among the leading states in the production of canola seed, honey, navy beans, oats, pinto beans, rye, soybeans and sugar beets.

Hay is important, grown for livestock feed.

That bodes well for the state in inflationary times…but there is more…energy.

Just beneath its surface North Dakota has a 1,000-year supply of coal. The third largest gasification plant in the world is here. This is the only commercial-scale coal gasification plant in the United States. North Dakota power plants have 4.5 gigawatts of electric generating capacity and are some of the most efficient and reliable in the nation. Energy, real estate costs and taxes are some of the lowest in the country.

Then there is oil. North Dakota has a lot of it. Brigham Exploration Company alone says discoveries suggest 42 million to 71 million barrels of oil.

Brigham shares sell on Nasdaq under the code BEXP.

North Dakota could become one of America’s leaders in energy production. The state has near limitless supply of coal, incredible potential for wind, ethanol and biodiesel production, and increasingly productive oil fields.

Congress has extended several renewable energy tax credits for wind and biodiesel projects, small ethanol and biodiesel producers that will help North Dakota’s economy.

North Dakota is the sixth-largest energy producing and exporting state and has more potential for renewable energy growth.

According to North Dakota’s Department of Energy’s Wind Energy Program, “North Dakota has the potential to supply 36% of the electricity of the lower 48 states through its wind supply alone.” Wind development in North Dakota is taking off, over the past year throughout the state.

North Dakota’s Senator Kent Conrad recently met with T. Boone Pickens as he has developed a New Energy Reform Act, which includes some of Picken’s ideas. The Pickens plan aims to reduce dependence on oil by increasing the amount of clean energy like wind power and solar power.

An ABC news article entitled, “The Backyard Economy: North Dakota
A Look at the Peace Garden State’s Economic Issues” by Christine Byun says:

“Surging commodity prices and a weaker dollar have enhanced North Dakota’s economic strength, leading to stronger growth and continued investment throughout the state.

‘The chances of a state recession are incredibly low,’ said David Flynn, an economist at the University of North Dakota. ‘The most likely scenario would be for North Dakota to continue to grow.’ State Fiscal Management Director Sheila Peterson said state revenues are 13 percent ahead of forecasts, which she partially attributes to ‘solid growth’ in the tourism, energy and agriculture sectors. The state’s bountiful crops play a big part of its exports; agricultural products pulled about $170 million into North Dakota in 2006. Last year, the state’s fertile farmlands produced the most wheat and barley in the nation, according to the United States Department of Agriculture.

North Dakota is not solely dependent on agriculture. It also exports machinery and crude oil products. The energy industry — both oil and alternative sources — is expanding, according to state labor market analyst Kevin Iverson. The natural resources and mining sector added 4,000 jobs to their payrolls since last March.

“Oil is an absolutely booming industry in the state,” Iverson said, noting that the western portion of the state has benefited as companies direct their attention to the Bakken rock formation as a potential oil reservoir.

“The dollar’s declining value to foreign currencies has is also spurring economic activity in North Dakota. While the state sells almost half its exports to Canada, savvy shoppers from north of the border are crossing in to Grand Forks and Minot to take advantage of what are essentially reduced prices for them and in the process, driving up retail trade.

“A potential weak spot for North Dakota is the state’s lower than average unemployment rate. Economists worry with fewer people looking for work, companies interested in doing business in North Dakota could potentially bypass the state because of the tight labor market and lack of available workers.”

Bank of North Dakota’s website is www.banknd.com

There you have it…places that may be safer than most…places that may offer more opportunity and economic safety in troubled times.

Gary

Learn more about economic safety this November.  Join Merri, me, Steve, Kjetil Haugan and Peter Conradsen of Jyske Global Asset Management in Cotacachi Ecuador. We’ll review economic conditions, Ecuador real estate, my entire portfolio and investing and business ideas for the months ahead.

Nov 7-9 2008 International Investing and Business Made EZ Ecuador
https://www.garyascott.com/catalog/international-business-made-ez-ecuador

See the wonderful balconies in the Primavera condos at for sale at $46,000 in Cotacachi.

multi-currency-Ecuador-condo-interior

Nov 10-11 Imbabura Real Estate tour
https://www.garyascott.com/catalog/ecuador-real-estat

Then travel to the coast. Enjoy the Vistazul swimming pool on Ecuador’s Pacific.

Picture 9

November 12-15, 2008 Ecuador Coastal Real Estate Tour; Quito Real Estate Tour
https://www.garyascott.com/catalog/ecuador-coastal-real-estate-tour

See discounts for two or more of these courses and tours

Vilcabamba Ecuador Real Estate


Merri and I first visited Vilcabamba, Ecuador while looking for business and investing opportunities in Ecuador.

This tiny South American country contains such diversity that its Pacific coast to Andean peaks terrain has the same bio-diversity as all the territory ranging from the equator to the Arctic Circle. This and its equatorial location also means it is the closest source to North America of maximum daily direct sunlight.

Vilcabamba has been attracting many residents since we visited. They are moving to communities like CLUB HACIENDA EL ATILLO, RESORT & SPA.

vilcabamba-ecuador-ad

Vilcabamba has great beauty. This is a view from the Club Hacienda El Atillo gated community in Vilcabamba.

vilcabamba-ecuador-lawn]

This photo was taken from the LA MOLIENDA DE EL ATILLO lodge which has three apartments that can be rented (two to four people) on a daily or monthly basis.

Here is a house in the community.

vilcabamba-house

and plaza.

vilcabamba-plaza

Merri and I visited Vilcabamba over a decade ago because during our initial research the Ecuadorian consul told of Vilcabamba’s great beauty and he explained that the residents had great longevity.

After our first two journeys to Ecuador, I became increasingly fascinated with the fact that some of the valleys including Vilcabamba have special qualities, which enhance longevity. Residents in these valleys had a history of reaching extreme ages.

Imagine sitting round this pool in your back yard as you view the mountains of Vilcabamba Ecuador.

vilcabamba-ecuador-pool

Further research brought me to an article written in the January 1973 National Geographic entitled, “Every Day Over 100 is a Gift” written by Dr. Alexander Leaf. This article was written about the three valleys-one in Georgia (then USSR), one in Pakistan (Hunza) and the valley of Vilcabamba, where 1,080 people per 100,000 lived on average to be 100. The article compared this to three per 100,000 in the United States. More important those who reached a ripe age (even over 100) remained vital, sexually active, still work and participate regularly in the community.

This National Geographic article shows pictures of some of the world’s oldest people. For example, a picture featured one of Vilcabamba’s patriarchs, Miguel Carpio, getting a haircut. Carpio was aged 123 and Said, “I would not like to be young again, but if I could take 15 years from my age (be 108 again)- wonderful!” Another picture showed Hermelinda Leon, aged 94, who labors at the Vilcabamba bakery. The cover picture was a trim Jose Roa who at 87 years slogs daily through Ecuadorian ooze to make adobe.

There are plenty of ways to enjoy healthy exercise at the Club Hacienda El Atillo gated community in Vilcabamba.

vilcabamba-ecuador-tennis

Tennis courts at LA MOLIENDA DE EL ATILLO lodge.

These valleys offered not only ideal living conditions, but also special waters acclaimed in many global scientific journals.

This greatly peaked our curiosity and we started looking for ways to visit this valley. We found one reason these people lived so long was because they were isolated from the rest of society. Everyone in Ecuador knew of Vilcabamba but few knew how to get there.

Finally we drove the spine of the Andes and visited this special place and enjoyed its exquisite beauty. Due to its remoteness we never returned, but times have changed and I know that many readers now visit their and love it. You can see why in the pictures below…the wonderful views…the amazing landscapes like this at LA MOLIENDA DE EL ATILLO lodge.

vilcabamba-ecuador-landscaping

Because of this, when Manuel Vivanco Riofrio asked me to place an advertisement for the Club Hacienda El Atillo gated community in Vilcabamba, after just a little checking, I agreed to do so.

Here is what Manuel originally wrote about Vilcabamba.

“I am the developer of a project in Vilcabamba Loja Ecuador Which we feel is an excellent place for those who wish to enjoy the magic of this valley but also wish convenience. Our project is only two blocks from the center of the village.

We have great experience in this area as our family has owned the farm “EL ATILLO” for 200 years. We now wish to share this experience with those who wish to live in our longevity valley. We offer land parcels, houses and suites. we have developed 36 lots and 25 have been sold, ten to Americans, four Europeans and eleven to Ecuadorians.

Club Hacienda El Atillo is in an advanced state of construction, Our condominiums are almost finished, our club area is 65% complete and we feel that the project is very special.”

Here are some more photos taken at Club Hacienda El Atillo in Vilcabamba Ecuador.

Wonderful flowers.

vilcabamba-ecuador-landscape-views

Great landscaping.

vilcabamba-ecuador-views

Scenic views.

vilcabamba-ecuador-back-yard

CLUB HACIENDA EL ATILLO, RESORT & SPA has 24/7 Security, Swimming Pool, Tennis Court, Library, Restaurant, Bar, Chapel, Spa., Gym, Equestrian Club, Gallery, Gardens, Cascades, Walking paths, sidewalks and Roadways,club house, Plaza, 360 degree panoramic and breath taking view of the Valley and more.

You can get more information, prices, a full brochure and site plan of Club Hacienda El Atillo Resort & Spa in Vilcabamba Ecuador from Manuel Coriofrio by email  at elatilloclubhacienda@hotmail.com or manuelvivancoriofrio@hotmail.com

Or call his mobile phones at: 092.772546 or 099.444495

Until next message, may every nook and valley of yours have such beauty as well.

Gary

Learn more about Vilcabamba and Ecuador this November. Join Merri, me, Steve, Kjetil Haugan and Peter Conradsen of Jyske Global Asset Management in Cotacachi Ecuador. We’ll review economic conditions, Ecuador real estate, my entire portfolio and investing and business ideas for the months ahead.

Nov 7-9 2008 International Investing and Business Made EZ Ecuador

Stay on for our Imbabura real estate extension. See wonderful condos for sale at $46,000 in Cotacachi with beautiful hardwood kitchens like this.

multi-currency-Ecuador-condo kitchen

Nov 10-11 Imbabura Real Estate tour

Then travel to the coast. Enjoy Ecuador’s coast and see condos for $89,000 on Ecuador’s Pacific with views like this.

Ecuador-beach-condo-sunset view

November 12-15, 2008 Ecuador Coastal Real Estate Tour;

The coastal tour includes a free one day Quito Real Estate Tour November 16, 2008.

See discounts for two or more of these courses and tours

We can also arrange Ecuador real estate guided tours to Vilcabamba.

vilcabamba-ecuador-mountains

Enjoy Vilcabamba Ecuador.

vilcabamba-ecuador-rainbow

Here is the brochure for Club Hacienda El Atillo Resrot & Spa

vilcabamba-Brochure

and site plan

vilcabamba-blueprints

You can get full size brochures and site plans emailed by emailing Manuel Coriofrio at elatilloclubhacienda@hotmail.com or manuelvivancoriofrio@hotmail.com

Economic Correction Opportunity


The current economic correction is creating some great investment opportunity. Here are three economic correction opportunity ideas I have seen already.

Economic correction opportunity #1: Recent messages mentioned that a golf course on Lake Yaguarcocha, just five minutes north of the city of Ibarra is for sale. This is just a little more than half hour drive along main highways north from Cotacachi. Here is the lake.

Ecuador Day 3 089

There is a ridge which runs between the lake and the city of Ibarra and from a local lookout point you get the view of the lake above and also the city below.

Ecuador Day 3 087

Here is a picture of our last real estate course delegates eating lunch at the course.

P1030417

There is 22 acres in total and room to build townhouses along the course. Steve just posted a full report abut this.  Here’s a shot of one of the fairways with the lake and mountains in the background.

P1030463

The course includes 44 seat restaurant. (The patio can seat a further 100 people).

P1030525

Steve Marchat has posted a full report on the details of the sale for Ecuador Living subscribers.

Learn how to subscribe here.

Economic correction opportunity #2: We just finished our International investing and business course in North Carolina and I outlined why I am now looking at foreclosure property for sale in Portland Oregon. Property prices are down but the potential in Portland is up.

An October 5th Oregon Live article by Eric Mortenson entitled Look our, oregon, for a global warming land rush says: By 2060, a Metro economist said, the seven-county Portland area could grow to 3.85 million people — nearly double the number here now.

Then Lorna Stickel, a planner with the Portland Water Bureau, stood to ask a question. Does the population projection, she asked, account for the possibility of climate change refugees?

That article uses Rebecca Niday, a Realtor from Florida, as an example. She moved to Rhododendron for Oregon’s more moderate weather. Experts speculate that such migration could become more common if climate change causes other areas to dry up, brown out or get increasingly hammered by storms.

The article continues: What if the American Southwest dries up, browns out, and those people now misting their patios in Arizona head to the still-green Pacific Northwest? What if Californians hit the road north in numbers far surpassing the 20,000 who now move to Oregon each year? What if the polar ice melts, oceans rise and millions living along coastal areas — or ravaged by Katrina-like storms — have to move?

What happens, as Oregon becomes more attractive and other places become less attractive?

Property prices will rise and those who buy wisely now will see prices like we will never see again. Look for places that will thrive due to global warming.

Economic correction opportunity #3: Illiquid bonds offer unusual returns. Take a look at lower quality bonds now. Take for example the US dollar 8.5% TITAN PETRO issue that matures 18/03/2012 .  This bond was recently selling at a discounted price of 59.00 so its yield was 26.93%.  Then that discount dropped even more so the issue had a 45% yield. The risk premium is way out of line…much more than the risk.

Some General Motors bonds are paying 70% interest.

We are creating a complete report about these bondsfor our Multi Currency Course subscribers.

Learn how to subscribe to our Multi Currency Portfolios Course here.

This time of economic correction was predictable. So too are the profits that will be made from this shift.

I look forward to sharing the opportunity with you.

Gary

Merri and I love our lives in North Carolina’s mountains but autumn’s frosty bite has arrived. The trees along the creek are golden now.

Ecuador-exports-reason

Instead of sitting in the cold and gray we move to Ecuador’s Pacific coast and Cotacachi, enjoying warm, sunny weather at unbelievably low prices.

Many who join us pay for their trips with Ecuador products they buy and export. One delegate who just visited told us he bought 150 Ecuador shawls at $1.50 and exported them to sell at $19.95. He paid for his entire trip and made a small profit.

At our Ecuador exports course we look at how to combine ideas and products to make them worth more. For example here I combined Ecuadorian carpets with Ecuadorian carved wood frames to make Ecuadorian art.

Ecuador-exports-art

Our Oct 14-18 Ecuador Import Export Course is a great place to do your Christmas shopping and learn how to have an Ecuador export business in the process. The course has one space left. See more here.

Learn this November more about Ecuador and emerging bonds. Join Merri, me, Steve, Kjetil Haugan and Peter Conradsen of Jyske Global Asset Management in Cotacachi Ecuador. We’ll review economic conditions, Ecuador real estate, my entire portfolio and investing and business ideas for the months ahead.

Nov 7-9 2008 International Investing and Business Made EZ Ecuador

Stay on for our Imbabura real estate extension. See wonderful condos for sale at $46,000 in Cotacachi with beautiful hardwood interiors like this.

multi-currency-Ecuador-condo-bedroom

Nov 10-11 Imbabura Real Estate tour

Then travel to the coast. Enjoy Ecuador’s coast and see condos for $89,000 on Ecuador’s Pacific with views like this.

Ecuador-exports-view

November 12-15, 2008 Ecuador Coastal Real Estate Tour;

The coastal tour includes a free one day Quito Real Estate Tour November 16, 2008.

See discounts for two or more of these courses and tours

Multi Currency Trends


We see multi currency trends everywhere when we look and think.

For example, I love a naturally healthy lifestyle and do not endorse the concept of using pharmaceuticals. Yet I do not let my personal beliefs blind me to the multi currency investing trends that I see developing.

This is why why several months ago, we looked at the idea of investing in shares of Novo Nordisk in an article entitled “Multi currency investing beats inflation.”

A much as I hate the fact, conditions suggest that we will see a trend away from healthy and organic eating. I believe this trend will shrink because a larger segment of the population will be hard pressed to pay for what they eat even if it is not the healthiest.

Food price will outweigh quality.

Sales of fast, cheap high carb, high fat food will rise…as will blood sugar problems and diabetes.

Novo Norsk is the largest maker of insulin so it makes sense that this company will do well.

Jyske Bank agrees and has given a buy signal on Novo Norsk shares.

Jyske recently set this memo to me.

Novo Nordisk (BUY): Capital-markets day confirms potential

On Friday 26 September, Novo Nordisk held its capital-markets day. The day did not bring any important news but it confirmed our assumptions that the market is underestimating the company”s growth potential within the diabetes business. We particularly have a more optimistic view of the launch of liraglutide compared with the market. Therefore, we maintain our BUY recommendation with a 12-month price target of DKK 380.”

You can read more about these shares in my multi currency portfolios course. You can subscribe to our multi currency portfolios course.

Until next message, good global investing to you.

Gary

Merri and I love our lives in North Carolina’s mountains but autumn’s gold is here

multi-currency-leaf change

Instead of sitting in the cold and gray we move to Ecuador’s Pacific coast and Cotacachi, enjoying weather and views like this.

multi-currency-views

Join us in Ecuador and enjoy the festivals.

multi-currency-festivals

Our Oct 14-18 Ecuador Import Export Course has two spaces left.
https://www.garyascott.com/catalog/ecuador-import-and-export-tour

Enjoy the colors…

multi-currency-colors

and the grace of the people.

multi-currency-grace

Learn this November more about Ecuador and emerging bonds. Join Merri, me, Steve, Kjetil Haugan and Peter Conradsen of Jyske Global Asset Management in Cotacachi Ecuador. We’ll review economic conditions, Ecuador real estate, my entire portfolio and investing and business ideas for the months ahead.

Nov 7-9 2008 International Investing and Business Made EZ Ecuador
https://www.garyascott.com/catalog/international-business-made-ez-ecuador

See the wonderful balconies in the Primavera condos at for sale at $46,000 in Cotacachi.

multi-currency-Ecuador-condos

multi-currency-Ecuador-condo-bedroom

multi-currency-Ecuador-condo office

Nov 10-11 Imbabura Real Estate tour
https://www.garyascott.com/catalog/ecuador-real-estat

Then travel to the coast. Enjoy the Vistazul fresh seafood caught in front of the hotel by these fishermen on Ecuador’s Pacific.

San Clemente Fishermen

November 12-15, 2008 Ecuador Coastal Real Estate Tour; Quito Real Estate Tour
https://www.garyascott.com/catalog/ecuador-coastal-real-estate-tour

See discounts for two or more of these courses and tours

Multi Currency Problems


Multi Currency problems will grow as 60 million baby boomers have begun to retire. Pensions and Social Security will be paid in US dollars but our import crazy nation will be spending multi currencies. A falling US dollar and inflation will severely squeeze these retirees into one of five options.

#1: Keep working
#2: Move to less expensive areas within the US
#3: Export their retirement
#4: Live in near poverty
#5: Die

A fun multi currency business that helps retirees to continue earning multi currencies is a great alternative.

Merri and I are now applying for our Social Security. See why at Multi Currency Investment Forces.

Yet we are busier than ever. I try to answer all my personal email almost every day, though this often runs into the hundreds messages. One reader upon getting a prompt response wrote:

“Thanks, Gary! I’m not sure how you manage to be so responsive to emails, but I certainly appreciate it! Thank you!

My reply may help you develop your own multi currency business.

It is a simple three step formula,

#1: I put in long hours.
#2: I answer 70% of the emails each day with a pre prepared reply since 70 % of the emails people ask the same question.
#3: I love what I do and love helping people.

The first step is easy due to the third step.
When you are having fun working it isn’t really work. We have fun every day! Merri and I do what we love and have learned that through our global business we can accomplish far more important goals, gain self fulfillment and be of service to our community. In short we can help make ourselves and the world a better place.

Most important, we can give as well as receive. Among our greatest thrills is being able to help others through foundations that help the environment and the poor. Learn more about this and our multi currency business course at International Business Made EZ

Tomorrow’s message looks at more Ecuador pictures and at an important multi currency trend.

Until next message, may all of your work be a joy.

Gary

Merri and I love our lives in North Carolina’s mountains but after autumn’s gold, the weather looks like this!  This may get our herd of horses excited but it just makes Merri and me shiver!

multi-currency-horses

Instead of sitting in the cold and gray we move to Ecuador’s Pacific coast and Cotacachi, enjoying weather and views like this sunrise shot from our bedroom.

multi-currency-Ecuador-condos-dawn

Our Oct 14-18 Ecuador Import Export Course has two spaces left.
https://www.garyascott.com/catalog/ecuador-import-and-export-tour

Learn this November more about Ecuador and emerging bonds. Join Merri, me, Steve, Kjetil Haugan and Peter Conradsen of Jyske Global Asset Management in Cotacachi Ecuador. We’ll review economic conditions, Ecuador real estate, my entire portfolio and investing and business ideas for the months ahead.

Nov 7-9 2008 International Investing and Business Made EZ Ecuador
https://www.garyascott.com/catalog/international-business-made-ez-ecuador

See the wonderful balconies in the Primavera condos at for sale at $46,000 in Cotacachi.

multi-currency-Ecuador-condo kitchen

Nov 10-11 Imbabura Real Estate tour
https://www.garyascott.com/catalog/ecuador-real-estat

Then travel to the coast. Enjoy the Vistazul surf with me on Ecuador’s Pacific.

Gary in Surf

November 12-15, 2008 Ecuador Coastal Real Estate Tour; Quito Real Estate Tour
https://www.garyascott.com/catalog/ecuador-coastal-real-estate-tour

See discounts for two or more of these courses and tours

Multi Currency Financial Crisis


The multi currency multi market financial crisis has hit the equity markets everywhere. To my surprise emerging markets have turned out to be very resistant to this crisis compared with other asset classes.

Look at the multi currency major markets year to date as of last week. The German DAX stock market index is down by 27% year to date! The Japanese Nikei 225 is down from 16,500 to 11,500. The Dow in the US has dropped from 13,000 to below 11,000.

Yet the diversified multi currency emerging market index was up +3.67% year to date.

This is an error I made in my personal portfolio. When I reduced my equities last year, I sold my good value emerging markets fund and kept my major markets good value equity fund.

I knew that emerging markets outperform major markets. I knew that emerging markets recover faster than major markets. Yet my belief was that emerging markets would drop faster than major markets in turbulent times. This belief was wrong as the indices above and fund performance below shows.

The stronger emerging markets can be seen via mutual fund performance as well. Look at the return for year to date, three and five years for Jyske Invest’s global and emerging market equity funds.

Multi Currency Fund
Performance 1 year 3 years 5 years
Jyske Invest Global Equities -15.92% 23.67% 67.73%
Jyske Invest Emging Mkt Eqt. -12.57% 70.75% 181.31%

The shift continues from the old world to the new. The United States is in the doldrums and is not the only industrialized country feeling strain. Remember this is the era when small and new is good!

Here is the multi currency investing point. As the current economic cleansing evolves, the rebound may be better in emerging equity markets countries than in major equity markets.

You can learn better ways to invest in emerging equity markets in our multi currency portfolios course. You can subscribe to our multi currency portfolios course.

Tomorrow’s message looks at how to cash in on this multi currency business opportunity.

Until then, good global investing.

Gary

Merri and I love our lives in North Carolina’s mountains but after autumn’s gold, the weather looks like this! Here I am with Ma feeding the birds in front of our house.

multi-currency-cold

We won’t make that mistake again! Instead we move to Ecuador’s Pacific coast and Cotacachi, enjoying weather and views like this one shot of Ma an me looking at birds on a sunshine filled hike instead.

multi-currency-Ecuador-condos-hike

Tomorrow’s message looks at more Ecuador pictures and the benefits of a multi currency business.

Until then, good multi currency investing.

Gary

Our Oct 14-18 Ecuador Import Export Course has two spaces left.
https://www.garyascott.com/catalog/ecuador-import-and-export-tour

Learn this November more about Ecuador and emerging bonds. Join Merri, me, Steve, Kjetil Haugan and Peter Conradsen of Jyske Global Asset Management in Cotacachi Ecuador. We’ll review economic conditions, Ecuador real estate, my entire portfolio and investing and business ideas for the months ahead.

Nov 7-9 2008 International Investing and Business Made EZ Ecuador
https://www.garyascott.com/catalog/international-business-made-ez-ecuador

See the wonderful balconies in the Primavera condos at for sale at $46,000 in Cotacachi.

multi-currency-Ecuador-condo-interior

Nov 10-11 Imbabura Real Estate tour
https://www.garyascott.com/catalog/ecuador-real-estat

Then travel to the coast.  Enjoy  the Vistazul swimming pool on Ecuador’s Pacific.

Picture 9

November 12-15, 2008 Ecuador Coastal Real Estate Tour; Quito Real Estate Tour
https://www.garyascott.com/catalog/ecuador-coastal-real-estate-tour

See discounts for two or more of these courses and tours

Multi Currency Emerging Bonds


Multi currency emerging bonds denominated in the US dollar and euro can increase yields by 50% to 100%.

Two recent multi currency messages about multi currency bonds showed how to get numerous governments to guarantee dollar and euro denominated bonds. They pay 50% to 100% more than local government bonds of the same maturity.

However if you can accept some forex risk, multi currency bonds in emerging currencies can shoot yields into the stratosphere and more than triple what you earn from a US dollar treasury bond.

For example this portfolio of multi currency emerging bonds yields

Egypt EGP Pound 2012 10.81%
Eur Inv Bnk ZAR Rand 2009 11.51%
Hungary HUF Florin 2009 8.49%
RABOBANK RON Leu 2010 10.48%
Gazprom RUB Ruble 2010 7.00%
Eur Inv Bnk TRY Lira 2010 17.25%
Brazil BRL Cruzero 2016 11.13%
Mexico MXN Peso 2009 8.24%

The average yield is 10.61% and this portfolio is guaranteed by four governments and four top quality (still) borrowers.

We are reviewing how to enhance this profit even more with multi currency loans in our multi currency portfolios course. You can read this and learn how to buy these bonds as a multi currency portfolios course subscriber.

The financial crisis has hit the international capital markets in earnest. Emerging markets have turned out to be very resistant to the crisis compared with other asset classes.

See in tomorrow’s message why emerging market equities have been safer than major markets this year and may recover better as well.

Until then, good global investing to you.

Gary

Merri and I love our lives in North Carolina’s mountains but after autumn’s gold, the weather looks like this! Here we were one year at the entrance of our farm.

multi-currency-winter

We won’t make that mistake again! Instead we move to Ecuador’s Pacific coast and Cotacachi, enjoying weather and views like this one shot of sunrise in Cotacachi from our bedroom.

multi-currency-Ecuador-cotacachi-dawn

Tomorrow’s message looks at more Ecuador pictures and the benefits multi currency emerging equities.

Until then, good multi currency investing.

Gary

Our Oct 14-18 Ecuador Import Export Course has two spaces left.
https://www.garyascott.com/catalog/ecuador-import-and-export-tour

Learn this November more about Ecuador and emerging bonds. Join Merri, me, Steve, Kjetil Haugan and Peter Conradsen of Jyske Global Asset Management in Cotacachi Ecuador. We’ll review economic conditions, Ecuador real estate, my entire portfolio and investing and business ideas for the months ahead.

Nov 7-9 2008 International Investing and Business Made EZ Ecuador
https://www.garyascott.com/catalog/international-business-made-ez-ecuador

See the wonderful balconies in the Primavera condos at for sale at $46,000 in Cotacachi.

multi-currency-Ecuador-condo-balcony

Nov 10-11 Imbabura Real Estate tour
https://www.garyascott.com/catalog/ecuador-real-estat

Then travel to the coast. See the Vistazul sunset on Ecuador’s Pacific.

Palmazul Sunset

November 12-15, 2008 Ecuador Coastal Real Estate Tour; Quito Real Estate Tour
https://www.garyascott.com/catalog/ecuador-coastal-real-estate-tour

See discounts for two or more of these courses and tours.

Multi Currency Penny


The multi currency penny drops as the dollar…and the euro fall.

Multi currency investors should ask. Is the US running out of wealth…figuratively as well as literally? Plus should the penny be dropped?

Multi currency investors also know that the penny literally should be dropped. Actually even the nickel should be dropped as well.

At the end of 2007, when metal prices were high, it cost 1.67 cents to mint a penny and nearly a dime to make a nickel.

The US mint estimates that striking these two coins created a loss for US taxpayers of about $100 million last year. Drop the penny and nickel and perhaps US tax payers would only have to spend $699 billion on the bail out.

Plus these are pretty meaningless coins realistically speaking. What can you buy for a nickel or a penny? They are only worth something figuratively.

Yet no administration will dare drop them…which is a point that we, as multi currency investors, should note. The US administration and most investors continue to live in a figurative world they cannot afford. Realistic multi currency investors can make literal profits from the majority’s inability to shift from the figurative to the real world.

The US has joined Japan and Europe as part of the old world, and the old world is not where the action is, even during these difficult economic times.

The shift continues from the old world to the new. The United States is in the doldrums and is not the only industrialized country feeling strain. This is the era when small and new is good!

This is why I have not been surprised to see emerging markets hold up better than
major markets during the current crisis.

A recent message about Multi Currency Risk Premium showed how to increase yields by 50% by investing in euro using emerging bonds.

Yet the euro can (and has) dropped against the US dollar, so emerging dollar bonds make sense as well as euro emerging bonds….especially because these dollar bonds can double the yield of Treasury dollar bonds.

We just sent our multi currency portfolios course an emerging dollar bond portfolio guaranteed by five governments that yields 5.79%.

You can see this portfolio when you subscribe to our Multi Currency Portfolios Course

A reader just shared a refrain about emerging markets that I am hearing, more and more, when she wrote:

“Gary, I just wanted to let you know how very much I’m enjoying all the information on Ecuador. For the past year or two I’ve been telling friends and family that I’d much prefer to live in an established 3rd world country on its way up, than the new 3rd world country I fear the US is becoming. Until yesterday, everyone thought I was nuts! I adore Ecuador! I had the priviledge of spending 2 months there a mere 29 yrs ago and have often dreamed of returning. Next Nov I’ll turn 50 and will be returning to Ecuador for another extended stay. I can’t wait! On that trip 29 yrs ago, my friend and I talked about importing the beautiful handicrafts we found in the Otovalo market and in the surrounding mountain villages. I’m looking forward to revisting that idea. Thanks for all that you and Merri do!”

This is how we feel about Ecuador. This country is on its way up as North Americans move south. One great benefit Ecuador has is warm weather. Merri and I love our lives in North Carolina’s mountains but after autumn’s gold, the weather looks like this! Here we were one year at the entrance of our farm.

multi-currency-snow

We won’t make that mistake again!  Instead we move to Ecuador’s Pacific coast and Cotacachi, enjoying weather and views like this one shot we shot ovelooking San Pablo Lake and Otavalo which are near our hotel.

Tomorrow’s message looks at more Ecuador pictures and a multi currency bond portfolio that can triple your income!

Until then, good multi currency investing.

Gary

Our Oct 14-18 Ecuador Import Export Course has two spaces left.
https://www.garyascott.com/catalog/ecuador-import-and-export-tour

Learn this November more about Ecuador and emerging bonds.  Join Merri,  me, Steve, Kjetil Haugan and Peter Conradsen of Jyske Global Asset Management in Cotacachi Ecuador.  We’ll review economic conditions, Ecuador real estate, my entire portfolio and investing and business  ideas for the months ahead.

Nov 7-9 2008 International Investing and Business Made EZ Ecuador
https://www.garyascott.com/catalog/international-business-made-ez-ecuador

See these condos at for sale at $46,000 in Cotacachi.

multi-currency-Ecuador-condos

Nov 10-11 Imbabura Real Estate tour
https://www.garyascott.com/catalog/ecuador-real-estat

Then travel to the coast.  See the Vistazul, Ecuador Pacific views like this.

ecuador-beach-condo-sunset-view

November 12-15, 2008 Ecuador Coastal Real Estate Tour; Quito Real Estate Tour
https://www.garyascott.com/catalog/ecuador-coastal-real-estate-tour

See discounts for two or more of these courses and tours.