Tag Archive | "natural gas"

International Investing Clue


A recent New York Times article gives us an international investing clues.

Here is an excerpt:

WASHINGTON — Reacting to the violent swings in oil prices in recent months, federal regulators announced on Tuesday that they were considering new restrictions on “speculative” traders in markets for oil, natural gas and other energy products.

The move is a big departure from the hands-off approach to market regulation of the last two decades. It also highlights a broader shift toward tougher government oversight under President Obama.

When a government becomes heavily involved in commerce we can expect a loss somewhere. In this case the loss will be in the value of the US dollar.

One way to beat a falling dollar is to but real estate.  Merri and I are always searching for more real estate to but in Ecuador… like this. We (and two of our daughters) have six of these units just 133 steps to the beach.

international-investments

History has proven that governments do not run businesses well.

Take for example, the recent US government commercial decision to bailout numerous failed US businesses.

The bailout was the first error.

The idea of profit, loss and accountability is to weed out businesses that are not productive, competitive or are no longer needed due to change.

When governments invest in infrastructure… this can be okay… even productive for a nation as a whole.

When governments interfere in commerce and spend billions on losers… expect little good.

As soon as those current bailouts began… the question of bonuses and high salaries of the bailed out executives arose.  Is it fair for executives of failed companies to get big bonuses?

Of course not.

This is why failed businesses normally go broke… so the executives do not get paid at all.

Since the government provided bailouts… the executives who led the business into disaster are still employed.  They have all this government money and since many of them are by definition, losers…  they’ll use the losing strategy of spending that money in unproductive ways…  like with big, personal bonuses.

That’s wrong… unless the government once again steps in.

But is further involvement right?

The current solution has been to create a pay czar.

The word Czar is derived from the name Caesar and originally an meant Emperor in European medieval times. The word has since been used to define rulers with a rank like a Roman emperor… a title with an imperial connotation like a King.

Most of modern North America and Europe are nations founded on revolutions that struck down people like that, who claimed to be czars and kings.

Why do we now let our government create new ones?

This cannot be good economic news.

The US has war czar Lute, energy czar Browner… and now pay czar Feinberg.

In fact a recent Fox news article entitled “Obama’s Czars Draw Criticism From Both Sides of the Political Aisle” says: By some accounts, Obama has nearly three dozen czars in his administration, managing everything from closing the Guantanamo Bay detention facility to ending the genocide in Darfur.

So many Czars… all spending US dollars.

Government spending is the least productive type of of expenditure… because Czars  spend taxpayer’s money… not their own.

international-investments

Merri and I are look for more real estate in Florida as well. Values are getting better. One lake front property that was listed at $799,000 two months ago is now offered at $349.

Lots of unproductive spending by a government will cause its currency (in this case the US dollar) to fall.

This is my belief… in the continued long term fall of the US dollar.

If you also believe that the greenback will weaken from current levels, this could be a good time for you to borrow US dollars and invest the loan in other major currencies like the euro, Norwegian, Swedish and Danish kroner, British pound and Canadian, Australian and new Zealand dollars.

You can do this at Jyske Bank or Jyske Global Asset Management.

When using leverage with an advisory account clients living in the US are limited to currencies and US registered securities.

Such investors can use ADRs and ETFs.   These US securities have a collateral value (equities have a 67% value i.e. 2x leverage).  When using US securities JGAM requires a W9.

ETF’s traded on the NYSE can be used as collateral if Jyske bank accepts the paper and allocates an collateral value (normally not a problem but this can depend on liquidity).

US citizens living outside of the US have no limitations whatsoever and can buy any security with leverage as long as the bank has a collataral value associated with the security.

Gary

Merri and I are also looking for more property in Ashe County North Carolina where there is plenty of fresh water.

international-investments

There are several large tracts (40 to 100 acres) near our farm now for sale. A broker up here recently sent me this note.

“I am convinced that someone will make some money on this property. The Bank is eager to sell and will consider all offers.

Also, concerning other properties — right now there are entire subdivisions just sitting there unsold, with roads and underground power in place, that are being offered at steep discounts by developers who need to get out from under their mortgage commitments.

Some of these are river front properties that will be quite valuable in the future.

There are also some larger undeveloped tracts available for pretty good prices compared to two years ago.”

Our 2009 course and tour schedule.

Sept. 17-21 Ecuador Spanish Course
Sept. 23-24 Imbabura Real Estate Tour
Sept. 25-28 Ecuador Coastal Real Estate Tour

Oct. 9-11 IBEZ North Carolina

Oct. 21-24 Ecuador Import Export Tour

Nov. 6-8 IBEZ Ecuador
Nov. 9-10 Imbabura Real Estate Tour
Nov. 11-14 Ecuador Coastal Real Estate Tour

Attend any two Ecuador courses or tours in a calendar month…$949 for one.  $1,349 for two.

Attend any three Ecuador courses or tours in a calendar month…$1,199 for one.

Multi Currency Investing Value in Change


Multi currency investing in change creates opportunity if you stick to value as well.

We have a great rooster here at the farm.   Beautiful.

Blue-Ridge-rooster

So now we also have some new chicks!

Blue-ridge-chick

What fun!

Watching them started me thinking about multi currency investing cycles and evolution.

If we look, we can see mankind and our multi currency, global economy evolve in ways that make sense.

Yet the shift are often hard to see.

On a recent trip Merri and I were stuck next to a TV (we do not have this at the farm) and the show was called Mad Men…about ad men in the 50s.  The smoking everywhere, three martini lunches, incredible sexual harassment, gender, religious and racial bias.

Wow, consider how much we have progressed!  Perfection now? No.  Better than before…I think so and we are making progress.

How can we spot, and position ourselves for change?

The economic doldrums of today will create the life styles of tomorrow. High rising costs of energy…food and essentials are creating a more spiritual world.

People are learning to look within for their fulfillment rather than relying on the shopping cart of the material market place to bring them joy.

They are more likely to spend more time in their church, mosque, synagogue or other place of religious worship than in Wal Mart.

Is this bad?

They may enjoy more friends, family and their social community.  Perhaps spend more time hiking and in nature or contemplating…slowing down to enjoy life more.

Think, if nothing, else of the environmental good.

How do we prepare our lives, our business, our finances for this new way?

During the 40 years I have been investing abroad, I have observed seven golden investing trends.

#1: 1970s Gold & Silver.

#2: Japan , Germany , Switzerland , England , Australia and Hong Kong .

#3: 1980s. The Tigers, Taiwan , Singapore Malaysia and South Korea , & Turkey .

#4: Early 1990s. South America (which led me to Ecuador).

#5: Late 1990s and 2000s. China , India and Eastern Europe .

#6: Invest in Real Estate Throughout.

#7: Bet Against the US Dollar Throughout

Now an eighth powerful green trend is in force.

How do we tap into this new economic wave?

Good value investments in water, alternate energy and environmental salvation offer incredible opportunity…if you maintain a good sense of value.

Like with all huge shifts, there will be scams and over priced investments.

An article by Alex Williams entitled, “That Buzz in Your Ear May Be Green Noise” touches on this when it says:

“DESPITE the expense and the occasional back strain, Mary Burnham, a public relations consultant in San Francisco, felt good about the decision she made a few years ago to buy milk — organic, of course — only in heavy, reusable glass bottles. For the sake of the environment, she dutifully lugged them back and forth from the grocery store every week. Cutting out disposable paper cartons, she reasoned, meant saving trees and reducing waste.

“Or not. A friend, also a committed environmentalist, recently started questioning her good deed. ‘His argument was that paper cartons are compostable and lightweight and use less energy and water than the heavy bottles, which must be transported back to a plant to be cleaned and reused,’ she said. “I have no idea which is better, or how to find out.”

“Ms. Burnham, 35, recycles religiously, orders weekly from a community-supported farm, buys eco-friendly cleaning products and carries groceries in a canvas bag. But she admits to information overload on the environment — from friends, advice columns, news media, even government-issued reports. Much of the advice is conflicting.

“To say that you are confused and a little fed up with the often contradictory messages out there on how to live lightly on the earth is definitely not cool,” she said in an e-mail message. “But, heck, I’ll come out and say it. I’m a little overwhelmed.”

“She is, in other words, a victim of ‘green noise’ — static caused by urgent, sometimes vexing or even contradictory information played at too high a volume for too long.”

Green is good but as mankind learns and evolves, there will be plenty of spin. There will be more than enough turmoil and confusion about what is best and what will succeed.

The true guide that can guide you through the noise that is created during new economic waves is value.

For example investments in wind power make sense. T.  Boone Pickens has just announced that he will make a huge investment in wind power.

An NPR article said: “After decades investing in oil, T. Boone Pickens is now pouring billions of dollars into what he calls America’s biggest wind farm. Pickens envisions putting up 2,500 turbines in Texas to generate 4,000 megawatts of energy — enough to power 1.3 million homes.

“Pickens says America is living with oil prices of more than $140 per barrel and gasoline topping $4 per gallon because it didn’t plan for its energy future.

“The mistake was made because we didn’t have the leadership that stepped up and said, ‘We cannot continue to import foreign oil,'” Pickens tells Steve Inskeep.

“Wind currently generates a relatively small percentage of the nation’s power, with most coming from coal, nuclear and natural gas.

“Pickens says he would like to use more wind for power generation and shift natural gas for use as a transportation fuel.

“We’ve got plenty of natural gas,” he says. “That’s the beauty of it. Natural gas is cleaner, it’s cheaper, it’s abundant and it’s domestic.”

“He notes that the United States, with just 4 percent of the world’s population, uses 25 percent of the world’s oil supply — most of it imported.

“Pickens says he wants the government to extend a production tax credit for wind power for a period long enough to encourage investment in the technology.

“The federal government recently issued a report forecasting that 20 percent of U.S. power generation could come from wind energy by the year 2030. Pickens says that’s too long from now — he’ll be 102 years old.

“This has to happen quicker than that,” he says. “We’ll be broke if you wait for this to all take place by 2030.”

Wind investments may be good, but not all wind investments all the time. Yet not all wind investments may be good.

Jyske Bank recently placed a sell recommendation on one of the most successful recent shares we have tracked, Vestas, the wind and turbine maker. See why here.

Green is good now. Paying too much for an investment, regardless of its color is never good.   Even when you ride the wave always keep your eye on value.

Learn more about how to spot good value investments at

Until next message may all you values always be good.

Gary

Join us, stay at our farm and learn about intuitive investing for Susan Rotman’s business intuition course.
Or join me with Jyske Global Asset Management to learn more about value investing.

International Investing and Business Made EZ North Carolina

International Investing and Business Made EZ Ecuador