Tag Archive | "Japan"

Ecuador & Coffee Distortions


This message looks at how to take advantage of micro sector booms and Ecuador coffee.

We begin with an excerpt from a recent multi currency lesson on coffee.

When one becomes involved in things that are of interest, discipline comes more naturally.

For example… I should have seen this micro sector boom investment opportunity coming, because…

I love coffee.

Ecuador-coffee

Here I am with Merri at our Cotacachi hotel, working in the courtyard… with our coffee.

Sometimes… really simple, in our face things…. can give us investing clues.  Warren Buffet for example made fortunes from shaving, ice cream and Coca Cola.

The Coffee Micro sector has been caffeine fueled!

A recent USA Today article by by Matt Krantz entitled Coffee stocks are piping hot these days shows why simple ideas… that create micro sector booms… combined with value… create opportunity.

Here are excerpts from this  article:

Looks like coffee is starting to perk up on Wall Street.

While the broad market is struggling to hold its recent gains, shares of five of the largest publicly traded coffee companies are on a high boil.

Shares of Diedrich Coffee (DDRX) are up 4,525% this year, Green Mountain (GMCR) has doubled and even Starbucks (SBUX) is up 50%.

That shows that investors think consumers, despite the recession, still crave their coffee fix, though they’re looking for ways to spend less, says Michael Podhorzer of research firm Sidoti. “Coffee is recession-resistant,” he says. “Whether they go out for it or go to a grocery story, people will still buy their coffee.”

Behind the coffee stock boom:

• Do-it-yourself. Green Mountain is at the center of the make-your-own trend, as it makes popular single-serve coffeemakers under the Keurig brand name. Consumers drop a small coffee-filled pod in a machine, and coffee flows into a cup.

• Cost control and better store traffic.  Starbucks rose 3.3% to $14.16 Tuesday after Robert W. Baird analyst David Tarantino upgraded it to outperform, saying advertising helped boost coffeehouse visits. And a close eye on cutting costs improved profit upside for Starbucks, says Cowen analyst Colin Guheen.

• Low share prices. It didn’t take much confidence to make investors willing to take a shot on the stocks, because they were priced for disaster. Diedrich and Caribou Coffee (CBOU), for instance, started this year at less than $1.50 a share.

This does not mean that you should rush out and buy coffee shares now. The article also goes on to say:

Some fear investors are in a caffeine-induced frenzy. Podhorzer is neutral on Peet’s Coffee & Tea, (PEET) saying, “We don’t really see any big problems, but we think it’s fairly to slightly overvalued.”

ecuador-coffee

I like coffee so much I bring back Intag organic coffee from Ecuador to enjoy when we are at our farm  in North Carolina. More on Intag and Ecuador coffee in a moment.

We’ll see in a moment why Peet’s shares may be poor value, but the point is not that we should invest in coffee shares… or coffee at all. The shares mentioned above may or may not offer good value.

The lesson here is that we can look around our home, our office or place of work. We can assimilate what we see in our travels… what we do each day… what we are involved in.  This observation can give us obvious clues.

We do not have to invest in rocket science to make money either.   Often the big money is in the mundane.

We need to spot ideas about things that we know… that make sense from our perspective… before they become a hot trend in the market place.

Then, if we get lucky, the trend will catch on.  If we are not lucky… but have invested in value… the shares will rise anyway… but in a longer term.

The coffee mania coffee shares may be caffeine charged, but too much caffeine makes the hands jittery and… perhaps… makes share prices shaky as well.

Let’s use this micro sector boomlet to see what to do to take advantage of micro sector booms.

Keep in mind the way these micro sector spurts work.

First, one coffee share takes off.  Maybe the share is  a good one.  Maybe not.

Then, the second and maybe a third share takes off.  Then even bad value coffee company shares begin to rise.

Peet’s (the coffee & tea company) can give us an idea of how one can think these micro sector booms through.

The first valuations of a share’s value  always relate to management skill and experience,  market share, PE ratios… price to cash flow… return on dividend and yield, business plan and future of the market, etc.

Then look at the history of the share price.  Peet’s shares, despite the caffeine boom are in a longer term on a down trend… even though it was bucked up by the coffee boom.  Here is a two year chart of Peet’s price.

coffee-share-price

Then look at volatility.  Here we see a bit of a roller coaster.

Next look at the currency in which the  share is denominated.   Peet’s of course is a US dollar denominated share.  A look at an 18 month dollar euro  chart shows that if you jumped in March 2009 exactly when the Peet’s price was starting its most recent climb you lost a third of the profit, in euro terms, due to the US dollar’s fall.

The Peet’s share price went from $20 to $27, a 35% jump.

However the greenback tumbled from $1.25 per euro to $1.40 per euro, about a 12% loss, in the same period.

US dollar versus euro January 2008 – June 2009.

dollar-euro

Next look at the currency stability factor of the share.

All the coffee companies have a fairly high currency stability risk because the expense of their main commodity is a big part of their cost in relationship to overall income.   The cost of silicon is low in relationship to the cost of a computer, etc.   The cost of coffee in relation to the price of a cup of coffee is high.

Coffee companies sell a refined commodity… i.e. coffee.   In times of inflation, their main ingredient cost is likely to rise enough to have a direct bearing on the sales price of the product.

Next look at sales. If a company is doing business around the world, it has greater commodity stability. The income is in dollars, yen, sterling, euro etc.

Starbucks for example has about 12,000 stores, almost 4,000 of which are in 36 countries outside the U.S.    US consumers drink only about  20% of the world’s coffee.   Starbucks aggressively sells its offerings in countries that already have dedicated coffee or tea drinkers and international revenues have been jumping  over 30% a year.   Nearly 30% of total company revenues now originate outside America, up sharply from only 9% in 1997.

Peet’s Coffee & Tea Inc. (PEET) on the other hand expands mainly in the US by using targeted advertising, such as direct mail and email.  Peet’s has multiple channels to sell its products, including retail stores; home delivery; food services; office; and grocery stores. Peet’s coffee is currently sold in over 3,500 grocery stores… leaving it much more vulnerable to a drop in the buck.

Peet’s has some good points.  Sales rose by 14% in 2008.  Corporate executives agreed to a management salary freeze for 2009, while increasing salaries for hourly workers.  Starbucks’ heavily reliance on expanding stores to increase sales, requires more capital and risk than Peet’s approach to grow at a more measured pace and focus more on grocery store alliances to sell coffee beans.

Peet’s strategy paid off in the down turn, but is this the most dynamic approach wen the recovery comes.

Peet’s share price has risen 35% on sales growth of 14% and lower profits.  This does not make sense from a value point of view.

There are many factors to judge when trying to find value either in a likely trend (that has not happened) or in a micro sector boom like coffee.

The two factors that make consistent success in this investing process more likely are sticking to what you know and always looking… hard…  for signs of good value.

This research led me to find a company that earns a sixth of its income from coffee… has paid a dividend every quarter for the past 60 years, has earnings from over 50 countries,  yet its shares are down 30%.

I have just sent our multi currency email course subscribers a report on these coffee related shares now have a strong technical analysis showing that their price is in an upward trend now. Learn how to subscribe to our emailed multi currency course and receive this coffee share report here.

Join us July 24-26 in the Blue Ridge and save $249.

You can have the $175 multi currency subscription free when you enroll in our upcoming July 24-26 International Business and Investing Seminar.  You save $175.  More details are below.

Intag Ecuador Coffee

Few know that  just 15 miles from  Meson de las Flores in Cotacachi lies the tropical Intag Valley.   This is where I get our Ecuador coffee.  Though close in miles, Intag is a two and a half hour ride by car.

Apuela is the first town of any size in the Intag.  As you enter the Intag valley the village presents a remarkable view stretching into the distance. Far below, on a spur of land above the valley floor Apuela is hemmed in by green cliffs on both sides. Here is this view of Apuela.

The valley floor has been carved by the waters of River Intag rushing headlong towards the Pacific.  This valley appears to be no more than a quarter of a mile wide and much less in places.

Here is the Intag River .

Apuela itself is a mix of concrete and rustic buildings situated in a low canyon on the main road into town. Local produce spills from little stores. Now and again a sign offers accommodations or lunch.

Apuela is the home of the Intag Coffee Company.

We serve only the delicious, organic coffee from Intag at our hotel Meson de las Flores. One of  our readers who stayed at Meson tested Intag coffee for acidity and it scored a remarkable 6.7 on the ph scale!  Unbelievable!  Most coffee is truly acidic.

Intag Coffee Company is a cooperative located in a small cement and wood construction just off the main square.  You can  smell the coffee roasting as you enter the main door.

Here is one of our trusted taxi drivers, Isaak, looking at the huge bags of raw beans brought to the roasting house by the farmers of this cooperative.

Though a small operation, Intag coffee sales are steadily growing and demand often exceeds supply. The cooperative’s aim is fair trade and they pay far higher prices to local farmers than the Ecuador norm. The coop grades the beans in the roasting and packing center. Then begins the roasting procedure. In Intag one can buy wholesale or retail, with packaging or without. Raw, white beans are available to roast or roasted whole or ground coffee is sold. There is a selection of three roasts; expresso, medium or fine. Here is the roaster machine and the beans.

Intag Coffee has a very efficient operation that exports to Spain and Japan though not yet to the USA or Canada. Here´s a picture of their Japanese Intag, fair trade, organic coffee packaged and ready to go.

The raw organic coffee for the coop comes from small farms settled around Apuela and scattered throughout the Intag.  Here is an Intag farmer picking coffee.

Sadly, many of the restaurants and cafes throughout Ecuador serve Nescafe instant coffee.  Not us at Meson de las Flores.

Here is Consuelo and Eduardo serving coffee and a high protein welcome quinoa cake to delegates at a recent tour…. always Intag organic coffee.

ecuador-coffee

We brought back Intag coffee to serve to our delegates at our July 24-26 North Carolina course, so whether you are thinking Ecuador coffee to drink or about coffee shares to own,  you can know more about it from our North Carolina course.

Gary

Join us July 24-26 in the Blue Ridge and save $175.

Merri and I love our life in the Blue Ridge… the rushing streams and…

ecuador-banks

the mountain flowers peeking into our kitchen.

ecuador-banks

We love our life in Florida here is a view from one of the houses on our recent house buying trip there.

ecuador-banks

Plus we’ll look at investing and living in the Andes. Here we are with our Andean family at our hotel Meson de las Flores.

ecuador-banks

and the majestic mountain views from our condo there.

ecuador-banks

We also look at Ecuador beach investing.

ecuador-banks

We review tax and asset protection benefits from global business and investing as well.

Plus we’ll look at coffee shares.

We hope you’ll share our beautiful lifestyle in the cool Blue Ridge with us this summer. July 24-26 IBEZ North Carolina

I have just sent our multi currency email course subscribers a report on coffee related shares that now have a strong upward trend.

Enroll in our July 24-26 seminar and I will enroll you in our multi currency course and send this coffee investing report free. You save $175.

July 24-26 IBEZ North Carolina

Beating the Multi Currency Debt


Beating the multi currency debt in the era ahead will be one of the most important financial tasks you have.

This is the fifth message in this series on Ecuador and business opportunity.See the first message at Ecuador organic cheese and wine. The second article in the series is at Ecuador organic wine and cheese II and Ecuador wine & Cheese III and Internet business ideas.

We are in Cotacachi conducting our Shamanic Mingo tour.  Here is the group visiting the Shamana of Zuleta.

shaman

The shamana.

shaman

These shamanic tours are important because they look at how to alter one’s lifestyle… eat and exercise better… reduce stress and have better health naturally. This is important as I explain in this serious… though I hope light hearted warning.

This series began with this point:

We are enjoying a quantum shift and the way we work, live, invest and do business will never be as before.

Governments globally are trying to slow this needed economic transition and their stimulation efforts will most likely cause the loss of purchasing power in most currencies… global inflation.

The best ways to gain opportunity in this scenario is to own real estate, commodities, stocks and your own business.

The greatest asset we can have in the economic era ahead is an ability to serve… to produce a product or service that adapts to the new ways.

As this series was being written a USA Today article by Dennis Cauchon entitled “Leap in U.S. debt hits taxpayers with 12% more red ink” appeared that underscored perfectly what this series is about.

The old order is done.  Here is an excerpt from this article that explains why:

Taxpayers are on the hook for an extra $55,000 a household to cover rising federal commitments made just in the past year for retirement benefits, the national debt and other government promises, a USA TODAY analysis shows.

I showed these charts in yesterday’s message but am repeating them because they are of such importance.

ecuador-tickets

The 12% rise in red ink in 2008 stems from an explosion of federal borrowing during the recession, plus an aging population driving up the costs of Medicare and Social Security.

That’s the biggest leap in the long-term burden on taxpayers since a Medicare prescription drug benefit was added in 2003.

USA TODAY used federal data to compute all government liabilities, from Treasury bonds to Medicare to military pensions.

Bottom line: The government took on $6.8 trillion in new obligations in 2008, pushing the total owed to a record $63.8 trillion.

Here is the crunch… in the past it was easy to profit from the overspending by Uncle Sam.  All one had to do was invest in ther currencies for the long term. The chart from Grandfather.com come shows how in the 41 years I have been working and investing abroad, the US dollar has fallen versus the Japanese yen, Swiss franc and other major currencies.

multi-currency-debt

The problem is that about 20 years ago other governments caught on!  Now Japan, Germany, England and many other matured countries have huge amounts of debt and large deficits and aging populations as well.

This means that many currencies will lose purchasing power and create rising, global inflation.

One way to combat this is to move to countries with lower costs, younger populations and less social obligation. 

This is why living in Ecuador makes sense.

However the move to a lower cost base country alone may not be enough.

I reiterate.

The greatest asset we can have in the economic era ahead is an ability to serve… to produce a product or service that adapts to the new ways.

Merri and I look forward to sharing how we do this in the years ahead with you.

multi-currency-debt

Here is a shot taken by a delegates of Merri and me at one of our International business and Investing courses as we headed to our seminar center in the Blue Ridge.

Gary

Learn how to enroll in our emailed internet business course here.

Join us at an upcoming July and October North Carolina seminars. We have invited our  web master to speak on the future of  internet business and will have extended sessions on how to develop an internet business.

Learn more about these July 24-26  and Oct. 9-11 courses at IBEZ North Carolina

You can read the entire article “Leap in U.S. debt hits taxpayers with 12% more red ink” at www.usatoday.com/news/washington/2009-05-28-debt_N.htm

Brazil Multi Currency Opportunity


See how my multi currency course subscribers have been able to gain up to 50% in Brazil during 2009.

Many readers at this site know me best as Mr. Ecuador.  However recently some of our subscribers have enjoyed the biggest profits as multi currency investors in Brazil.

Though Merri and I have been investing, living and working in Ecuador for over a dozen years now, our greatest expertise is as multi currency investors as we are in our 41st year.

See below how multi currency investing brought us to Ecuador and how your interest in Ecuador can now bring you a free subscription to our multi currency course as I present a survivors guide to currency and market turmoil.

Those interested in Ecuador do not have to change currencies when they travel here because Ecuador’s currency is the US dollar.

This means they need to learn how to make your money go up as the US dollar and stock markets go up and down…

The US dollar has fallen… badly against major currencies like the yen, euro and Swiss franc for 37 years.  You can see this long term, steady decline of the US dollar in this chart from Grandfather.com.

multi-currency-debt

One reason for this fall is the growing debt in the USA.

Now this debt is even worse. Here is a picture from USA Today that shows how the US public debt  has just grown 12%.

ecuador-tickets

Even minor currencies such as the Colombian peso, and Brazilian real have risen steadily versus the US dollar… 25%, 50% since the early 2000s and more.

Until.. in 2008, the greenback suddenly zoomed up… as stock markets collapsed around the world. Now the dollar is falling again.

Sideways motion like this destroys most investors.

Yet there is a way to earn even in these worst times…by learning how to spot value…that turns turmoil and currency shifts into profit.

This is not just a problem for Americans either. The dollar’s downfall affects currencies all over the world and creates global economic turmoil. For the modern economy to operate in its current fashion some reserve currency is required.

Yet what currency would you choose…the Chinese yuan…the euro…gold, oil? Would you trust your life savings to speculate on that?

Of three things we can be sure.

First, The US dollar will fall more…much more.

Second, there will be confusion. Many…in fact most uninformed investors will lose…a lot.

Third there will be inflation…worldwide due to the excessive spending in the current global financial bailout.

Smart investors who know how to spot value in multi currency portfolios at some of the world’s safest banks have already earned 57%…120% …263% so even with the doom and gloom, they are still ahead.

More important these same investors have learned how to survive through turmoil.

My name is Gary Scott. I have been writing and publishing information about the falling greenback and how to earn from it though international investing for over forty years (since May 1968 to be exact).

Fortunately I stumbled across multi currency investing at an early stage and wrote a book about this clear back in the 1970s when the US dollar was first beginning to erode.

Since that time my books and reports have helped hundreds of thousands of investors find hot areas of value in every decade.

In the 1970s we helped our readers  find investments in gold & silver as well as investments  in the currencies of Japan, Germany, Switzerland, England, Australia and Hong Kong.

In the 1980s, the Tigers, Taiwan, Singapore Malaysia and South Korea, & Turkey were the places where our readers gained value.

The 1990s saw South America (which led me to Ecuador) as the place to invest.

The early 2000s offered great value in China, India and Eastern Europe.

We have helped readers find good value real estate throughout this time, first in Hong Kong, then London, Switzerland,  Isle of Man, Dominican Republic and now Ecuador as well as in Small Town USA.

We have also helped readers bet against the US dollar throughout these decades which as the chart above shows has worked well.

Finally in the early 200os we began helping readers find good value green investments.

I would like to offer you a valuable real time emailed course that teaches how to invest in multi currency portfolios plus how to sometimes use leverage in these portfolios to create extra profits.

Sleepy Safe Portfolios Can Earn Over 100% Per Year

Multi currency investing does not require any fast trading techniques.  Multi currency portfolios are normally slow and sleepy investments…not currency contracts or futures speculations.  Most multi currency positions are aimed with a five year horizon…pretty sleepy compared to people who trade currencies (an entirely different and far riskier technique).  For most of us, slow and sleepy means SAFE!

Yet multi currency portfolios can be really profitable as well.

How sleepy and how safe?

Let’s look first at sleepy.

In 2006 we created an Asian multi currency portfolio consisting of just five award winning mutual funds.

We did not touch the entire portfolio for an entire year. Then after one year we made just five changes…dropping two mutual funds and adding three other mutual funds. Then we did not make another single change. That’s pretty sleepy, choosing a handful of mutual funds and making only five changes in two years.

How safe?

The portfolio was chosen with the help of one of the world’s safest banks and the mutual funds were held at that bank at all times.

Okay. Here is the big question. How profitable?

In the first year (2006) this portfolio rose 114.16%. Then we made the five changes mentioned (two funds dropped and three added). In 2007 this portfolio rose 122.62%. 2008 was a disaster year which we will look at in a moment.  But when your portfolio is over 200% in two years, it takes a lot of disaster to lose.

Suppose we get more specific.

That safe bank is a Danish bank. That’s good because in recent years Denmark has been rated by Standard & Poor’s as one of the safest country in the world in which to bank

The bank is Jyske Bank…well established with a history of over 100 years. Jyske is Denmark ’s second largest bank, with 450,000 clients in Denmark and over 30,000 abroad.

Jyske Bank has over 23 billion euros in assets and also happens to be one of the leading currency traders in the world. The Danes have always been big currency traders because as a small naval country surrounded by England, Sweden, Finland, Russia, Germany, Norway and other countries…they have always had to deal in many currencies.

This historically gained expertise means that unlike most banks (that trade only eight hours a day) Jyske maintains a 24 hour global currency and commodity dealer service. Many other large banks use Jyske to handle their off hour currency positions. This means that Jyske is huge when it comes to multi currency activity. In fact their turnover reaches $50 billion dollars a day.

Let’s address this issue of safety in more detail. Normally this is a pretty moot point. Right now everyone is concerned. Is a bank safe or not? I like Jyske from a bank safety point of view because there are three bank safety points, from the top down.

Bank Safety Point #1: A recent Yahoo Canada article shows a survey by the World Economic Forum listed five safest countries in which to bank.

Canada
Sweden
Luxembourg
Australia
Denmark

So Denmark is a safe place to bank. Now let’s look at Jyske Bank’s safety rating.

Bank Safety Point #2: Jyske Bank is Denmark’s second largest bank.
On October 10 2008, Moody’s affirmed Jyske Bank’s long-term Aa2 rating stable rating. This decision came despite the deteriorated economic prospects in Denmark, particularly in respect of the property market.

Bank Safety Point #3: Also on Friday 10 October 2008, the Danish Parliament passed a bill that secured all deposits and unsecured claims against losses in Danish financial institutions.
The rating of the Kingdom of Denmark is Aaa/AAA with Moody’s and Standard & Poor’s respectively.

That’s safe!

I happen to know Jyske Bank because I began using them (as my bank) over 20 years ago. They are one of the few banks that offers a special multi currency portfolio service for investors from almost anywhere in the world.

I was one of the first writers and publishers to begin writing about multi currency investing. Jyske bank was one of the first banks to offer a multi currency portfolio service…and they were my bank.

Not surprising we got together and have created a strategic alliance that can help you learn how to create multi currency portfolios that suit you.

My multi currency course helps readers learn how to find good value and develop multi currency portfolios that suit their specific circumstances.

Before I explain how you can use this course, let’s look at both the up and down side of these high performing portfolios?

The course provides two levels of education. Part one gives readers an extensive beginner’s guide to developing multi currency portfolios.

Part two is unusual and neat.  Part two educates in real time. We create multi currency portfolios and track them real time.  The education comes from dissecting and discussing the portfolio results.  This is a totally novel way to learn…real time from real portfolios created by some of the best investment managers in the world as these portfolios rise or fall in the market place…in the here and now.

Jyske Bank assists by providing all the portfolio details.   Our symbiotic relationship allows me to combine my experience with this bank’s incredible knowledge, real time capability and expertise so course subscribers can learn in a most practical way from some of the greatest multi currency experts in the world.

Here is our educational performance over the past few years.

We created five portfolios for educational purposes on November 1, 2005. One of the five multi currency portfolios was the Asian Emerging Multi Currency Portfolio. The portfolio started with a $100,000 investment and a $200,000 loan in Japanese yen (more on the loans in a moment).

This gave us $300,000 to invest in this portfolio.

Amount

Currency

Investment

75,000

Rupee

Jyske Invest Indian Equity Mutual Fund

75,000

Yuan

Jyske Invest Chinese Equity Mutual Fund

75,000

Yen

Jyske Invest Japanese Equity Mutual Fund

75,000

Multiple

Jyske Invest Emerging Market Bond Fund

Investments Total Value 300,000.00

Invested $100,000

Loan $200,000 100.00% JPY at 1.63%

Loan cost for one year $3,260.

This portfolio diversified into bonds and equities throughout Asia ..very multi currency.

Chinese yuan, Indian rupee, Japanese yen and more.

Twelve months later the portfolio was worth $417,420. Paying off the loan cost $203,260 leaving $214,160 or $114,160 (114.16% profit) on the $100,000 originally invested.

On November 1, 2006 we made the five changes mentioned above. We dropped the Japanese equities and emerging market bond mutual funds and added an Eastern European, Far Eastern and Turkey equity mutual funds. This is how the rearranged portfolio stood.

Amount

Currency

Investment

75,000

Rupee

Jyske Invest Indian Equity Mutual Fund

75,000

Yuan

Jyske Invest Chinese Equity Mutual Fund

75,000

EUR

Jyske Invest Eastern European Equities

50,000

Asian

Jyske Invest Far Eastern Equities

25,000

Lira

Jyske Invest Turkish Equities

Investments Total Value 300,000.00

Invested $100,000

Loan $200,000 100.00% Czech Koruna at 3.875%

Loan cost for one year $7,750.

As promised this portfolio only had five changes. We swapped the Japanese equity fund for a Eastern European equity fund and dropped the bond fund replacing it with a Far Eastern and Turkey equity fund.

May I, at this point, interject a note about Jyske Invest fund managers. They are a Danish firm and are the investment management affiliate of Jyske Bank. This rock solid organization uses a good value system have been rated #1 by Morningstar. They use this value system to select shares in their mutual funds and we place these funds in our multi currency portfolios because they are strictly regulated by the Danish government and have such an excellent record…because they focus on finding value, not market timing.

So how did this new updated portfolio do? From November 1, 2006 to October 31, 2007 the fund rose in value from $300,000 to $430,370. The loan payoff of $207,750 leaves a profit of $222,620 or a rise of 122.62%.

There you have it, a safe sleepy portfolio created at and held in one of the world’s safest banks. With only three trades in two years the performance has been up 114.16% in year one and up 122.62% in year two.

I am sure that when looking at performance like that you are thinking “how did the other portfolios do?” Good question and your suspicions are correct…some of the other portfolios did not rise this much.

Yet believe it or not some portfolios did even better.

For example the 2007 Green Portfolio consisted of six shares and rose 266.30%!

Here is the exact performance of all five portfolios for the last two years.

2006 Portfolio

US Dollar Long

9.04%

US Dollar Short

10.43%

US Dollar Hedge

11.46%

Emerging Market

42.93%

Asia Emerging Market

114.16%

2007 Portfolios

Dollar Neutral

38.67%

Dollar Short

48.19%

Swiss Samba

53.32%

Asia Emerging Market

122.62%

Green

266.30%

You can imagine with performance like this attracted quite a bit of attention…and it did.  However these high returns are not the important benefit you gain with our multi currency course.

Our course does not recommend nor manage portfolios.  We did not suggest that any single reader invest in any of these portfolios. The portfolios are educational and designed to help readers work with their own investment manager to create their own multi currency portfolio that suits their own special, individual needs.

Our multi currency investment course helps readers learn how to manage their manager… nothing more.

Yet this is incredibly valuable because Jyske Bank can provide a stable and safe institution for those who wish to employ a multi currency strategy.

The course helps guide readers so they can direct any investment adviser or investment manager who understands how to invest in more than one currency.

The course also helps you manage risk. The incredible portfolio performance above was achieved because the portfolios were leveraged using a tactic we call a multi currency sandwich. Investors borrow low and invest in yielding or growth portfolios. The portfolios used loans in Japanese yen and Swiss francs to magnify profits in good times.

The course teaches how these loans can magnify losses in bad times as well.

For example look at the performance of the leveraged portfolios we created to study from November 2007 through September 2008.

2008 Portfolios

Infrastructure Portfolio

-112%

Blue Chip Portfolio

-79%

Danish Health Portfolio

-92%

Asia Emerging Market

-73%

Green

-56%

Leverage in 2008 caused the portfolios to lose badly…in one instance the total portfolio was lost!

The multi currency course is useful because it helps investors not to expect rising markets all the time.

The power of studying markets real time, as they unfold, wards off false expectations.

The course helps subscribers learn how to look ahead and act rather that react (after the fact when it is too late).

The sad fact is…we all have to become multi currency investors.  Trusting your fate to any one currency now can destroy your purchasing power.    Every investor needs to know what to do!

The course helps spot when to leverage good times and when to retract for the bad.  he idea is to cash in when the going is good and then withdraw.

For example in early August 2007…well before the market crash….our study of the market began to show increased risk.  Our first warning lesson said:  “We have enjoyed two years of enormous growth.  Periods of high growth are normally followed by periods of low growth.”

August 17, 2007 a lesson said: “The numbers are close enough that we could be entering the fourth sub cycle down (similar to 1976 to 1978). If so expect a sustained drop in markets for two to three years.”

On September 21, 2007, a lesson said: “equity markets dropped again violently last month. Now these markets have recovered again. Yet this may be a last gasp party.”

An October 14, 2007 lesson stated:  “We never know for sure when an upwards cycle will stall. Fundamentals look good for a bright 2008 in emerging and equity markets, but this can change quickly so to give our readers a better perspective, this year we are reducing leverage and adding a sixth portfolio with no leverage to study”.

The October 15, 2007 lesson reviewed how leveraged investments rise and fell faster than investments without leverage.

The lesson on Oct 26, 2007  saved many investors as it was entitled Leveraged Investments Gone.  Just before markets started to head south this lesson warned: “I have had only about 10% of my portfolio leveraged. Compare this to 200% for the Green Portfolio (which is up 265% this year). Now I have none.

So a lot of my portfolio investments are basically in a multi currency portfolio of bonds…mostly in pounds, Swedish and Danish kroner. The equities I hold are mainly in Europe and I do not leverage equities…especially after markets have risen so much. Periods of high returns are normally followed by periods of low returns. These facts, plus my belief that numerous economic woes are rising and my recollection of Oct 1987 leave me wanting to reduce risk in my equity portfolio. So now I have eliminated all my leverage.”

The next lesson warned again: “Okay it’s time to turn the burner down.”

A November 8, 2007 Black Friday lesson reviewed  all the warnings above again and more.

The course also helps readers find ways to spot unusual distortions that profit even in bad times.

For example  lessons  on April 18 and April 27 2009 looked at the benefit of investing in Brazilian currency bonds.

This lesson led to a quick profit.

Here is an excerpt from our June 12, 2009 lesson:

Based on these ideas and those presented in the April 18 and April 27 lessons we looked at why Brazilian bonds made good sense in the LONG TERM.

Sometimes we get lucky though in the short term… as we have now.

Brazilian bonds have made a sudden jump up!   Those who have invested in them have made as much as 50% (in US dollar terms) this year.

Yet the distortion we’ll review below shows how there is even more dollar denominated profit potential ahead.

Last week the Brazilian central bank lowered key interest rates to 9.25%.  This will likely send the price of  Brazilian real denominated bonds up.

The central bank has stated that there could be more rate cuts, but they will be smaller.

This is positive news plus Brazilian inflation has declined to 5.2% from 5.53% in April 2009.

When you take into account the high interest of the real, the rise in value of bonds and the rise of the real you can see the potential.

Brazilian real bonds have risen nearly 30% since the beginning of the year…  in terms of Euro!

This is where there is another huge distortion.  The real has not risen anywhere near this much versus the dollar.

The charts from finance.yahoo.com below show the distortion.

In the last three months the US dollar has dropped from $1 = 2.30 BRL to $1 = $1.97 (- 14.3%) versus the Brazilian real as this chart shows.

brazil-distortion

In the last three months the euro has dropped from 1 euro = 3.05BRL to 1 euro = 2.60 BRL (-13.5%).   This correlation of the euro and dollar would seem normal except…

brazil-distortion

as the chart below shows, the euro has risen from $1 euro = $1.28 to 1 euro =$1.40 a 9.27% rise versus the US dollar.

brazil-distortion

In addition the Brazilian central bank has had to intervene several times in recent months to avoid the Brazilian real being too strong against the euro.

Traditionally the real has had a strong correlation with the dollar but the recent weakening of the buck versus the dollar has not spilled over into the Brazilian real.

In other words. The real is up against the euro almost 10% more than against the dollar.  This is called a cross rate distortion and means that one of two things is likely to happen.  The dollar will rise versus the euro or  the dollar will fall versus the Brazilian real.

Given the fundamental US fiscal weaknesses that could push the dollar down, I am bullish on the real rising more versus the dollar and this makes me bullish about Brazilian real denominated bonds.

Always remember the basic rule though is to never speculate more than you can afford to lose.   A US dollar – Brazilian real sandwich is worth discussing with your portfolio manager or adviser now but could creates losses as well as profits.

I have not leveraged my Brazilian bond investment. Based on this data I instructed JGAM to increase me Brazilian bond holdings.

If you are using Jyske Bank, and are a non US citizen or resident, or a US citizen living abroad, you can simply have the bank purchase Brazilian bonds and lend you the funds (within the bank’s loan to asset restrictions).   Non US citizens contact Rene Mathys for more details at mathys@jbpb.dk

US citizens should contact Thomas Fischer at fischer@jgam.com

If you are a US citizen resident in the US and have an advisory account with JGAM, they may not be able to buy Brazilian bonds for you.  They could  buy the US traded ETF “The WisdomTree Dreyfus Brazilian Real Fund.” (BZF)

These three lessons (April and June 2009) helped many readers cash in on an unusual value!

I would like to invite you to enroll in our multi currency investment course and to also receive a nine lesson report that covers basics and fundamentals of  multi currency investing.

This nine lesson report has been read by tens of thousands of investors over the years.   This report sells on its own as a survivor’s hand guide to currency turmoil for $79.  I’ll email it to you free when you enroll in our online course.

The course is emailed to you regularly and studies stock, bond and currency markets worldwide, real time, as they unfold.

I believe, from the response of tens of thousands of readers over the last 20 years, that you will gain enormously from the course.

Our course helps you learn  why and where to invest and learn why and how currencies and interest rates rise and or fall.

The initial nine lesson report I’ll email you free also shows how to calculate and manage leveraged risk and how to decide if and when to leverage or not.

Is this course for you?

Everyone needs to know how to have multi currency diversification. But in case this course does not help you, we provide a 30 day “completely satisfied or your money back” guarantee that we have offered our hundreds of thousands of readers for more than 20 years.

Our Multi Currency Educational Service is a mere $175 for a very long and educational year! Won’t you share this exciting world of wealth accumulation with us and our readers around the world? Multi Currency Educational Service

Gary Scott

Multi Currency Portfolios Course. Subscribe

Or enjoy this multi currency course for a year free!  Here is how you can save $175.

We enhance our emailed courses with regular international investing and business seminars that I conduct in coordination with Jyske Bank and Jyske Global Asset Management.

Here I am at our last seminar in Naples Florida (may 2009).

multi-currency-debt

The speakers at the Naples seminar discussed prospects for the economic future.  Left to right: Samuel Rachlin,  Rich Checkan, Steve Blumenthal, Joe Cox, John Mauldin, Gary Scott, Lars Stouge. Thomas Fischer Moderating.

The 115 delegates reported that they really gained from listening to what we had to say and…

brazilian-bond-distortion

talking among themselves during the coffee brakes and at meals.

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One benefit of these seminars is talking to an overseas banker.  Here I am at the Naples  seminar  with my Jyske account executive Anders Nielsen.

brazilian-bond-distortion

Thomas Fischer of Jyske Global Asset Management will join us for the July North Carolina seminar.

I invite you to attend this July course. If you enroll between now and July 1st, I’ll also enroll you in  our emailed multi currency course free. You save $175.

Enroll in our July 24-26 International Investing and Business Made EZ course here

Here is Thomas speaking to our delegates at a previous course.

brazilian-bond-distortion

Enroll in our emailed Multi Currency Portfolios Course for $175  here.  Subscribe

Save $175!  Receive the emailed course free when you Enroll in our July 24-26 International Investing and Business Made EZ course here

Here is what a few others from around the world have said about our services and reports on international investing.

“ Gary , I am a long time subscriber in various media, and while cleaning out my files today I found some old ‘Gary A. Scotts World Reports’. In particular, the April 1988 issue provided the info that made me over a million dollars. Just wanted to say a belated ‘thank you’ and please continue the excellent work. Warm regards,”

From an Unknown Reader

“Dear Gary, I would like to give thanks to you for introducing me to Jyske Bank two years ago.

“I have been a long-time client of Merrill Lynch, but am in the process of re-evaluating my relationship with the largest brokerage company in the world. My problem is that when I compare Merrill to Jyske, Jyske outshines Merrill (or other major U.S. brokerage firms) in most categories as follows:

“1) Even though Jyske is much smaller, it has a much more global perspective which is critical in an evermore global investment environment.

“2) In order to maximize their own individual revenue, the brokers at Merrill prefer to outsource the day-to-day management of their accounts to various fund managers and hence, ‘manage the managers’. In contrast, I can call my Account Manager at Jyske and he can discuss every aspect of my account in detail with me.

“3) I attribute this difference in #2 to the fact that Jyske’s employees are not compensation driven, but instead are focused on satisfying their customers. That is why Jyske’s clients stay with the Bank on average for 12 years, which is phenomenal by Wall Street standards.

“4) Jyske’s security is far more stringent than that of Merrill’s. In addition to the standard account code and password, to pass through Jyske’s security one has to enter a Key Card number and also a randomly-generated 4-digit number from said Key Card.

“5) Having an account offshore allows me to sleep better given the anxious times we live in. Since I report the existence of the account and pay all taxes due, I am fully compliant with the law. However, such an account gives me and my family a ‘financial life boat’ should events in our own country ever get out of hand.

“As Dorothy Parker once said, ‘You can lead a horse to water, but you can’t make them THINK’. Jyske is a thinking person’s bank. My only complaint is the time zone difference since I live in California . However, since I am an early riser and my Account Manager is very responsive to my emails, this problem is very small relative to the HUGE benefits.

“Again, many thanks for introducing me to Jyske Bank. Given the ‘dumbing down’ that occurs in the popular media today, your ezine and its recommendations are ever more important. Please continue your good work to enlighten your readership.

“Warm regards,”

C.M. CALIFORNIA Businessman

“I was so overwhelmed with information I received I had to spend several days reading, sorting and filing it! I have decided to move my modest investment capital overseas.”

B.W. MONTREAL CANADA Professor

“Send me your report on safe banks lending at 7% for redeposit at 13% or more.” B.V. ADDIS ABADA ETHIOPIA Economic Commission United Nations

“A number of new and significant contacts were made. It would be extremely helpful if you could supply us with WORLD REPORTS.” I.M. TORONTO , CANADA Banker

“You are as good as your word which is rare these days. I look forward to attending one of your seminars.” C.K. GENEVA , SWITZERLAND Banker

“In spite of my marketing experience, your information really got me going!” M. C. LONDON, ENGLAND Marketing Consultant

“Thanks for the three reports. They are very interesting and should find many readers here in Japan .” M.A. Tokyo , JAPAN Computer Programmer

“I would like to say how much I enjoyed the information I received.” A.B. Providenciales TURKS & CAICOS Accountant

“First let me say how much we enjoyed the investment seminar.” W.J. SAUDI ARABIA Oil Engineer

“Once again thanks for all the great information.” G.K. PERTH , AUSTRALIA Insurance Executive

“Your letter of November 8th warned me to beware of the market just a week before the 120 point crash on November 15th!” T.G. N. CAROLINA Pilot”

Won’t you join us as we learn from our Multi Currency Educational Service? Just a mere $175 for a full 12 months of valuable, wealth building education.

Enroll in our emailed Multi Currency Portfolios Course for $175  here.  Subscribe

Save $175!  Receive the emailed course free when you Enroll in our July 24-26 International Investing and Business Made EZ course here

Ecuador Shaman Tip for Spring


Ecuador shamans are not all that aware of the impact of seasons on health.

ecuador-shaman-health-tip Candace Newman is an expert in essential oils has spend considerable time with us and the shamans and yatchaks in Ecuador. Here she is at the indigenous market checking spices and oils.

In Ecuador there are not seasons as we know it.  Once an Ecuador shaman visited Merri and me in North Carolina during the winter. This was his first trip out of Ecuador and when he saw the trees, his eyes really opened. “They are all dead!” he exclaimed in horror. “No, just asleep” I told him.

Slowly he understood.

However, the shamans are very aware of differences in altitude, dryness and wetness and what these differences can mean to health.

Ecuador has this all when it comes to lifestyles, mountains, valleys, deserts and rain forests.  The biodiversity in Ecuador equals a range from the Arctic Circle to the Equator.

Here is Candace with our daughter, Francesca, a Taita Yatchak and friends at Machu Pichu.

ecuador-shaman-health-tip

So Ecuador shamans know about wetness and the dark side of weather we know as spring. The dark side to this time of rapid growth is an upswing in suicides.

Here is Candace at Lake Titicaca (dry) and…

ecuador-shaman-health-tip

Here she is at our Hacienda Rosaspamba…

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a damp cloud forest.

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Lifestyles in each place require different foods, spices and oils.

Despite popular myths that suicides are highest in the winter, particularly around the holidays, statistics show that suicides are highest in Spring.

“In one study of suicide in 28 countries, suicide deaths were lowest in winter and highest in spring. They reached a peak in May in the Northern Hemisphere.

“But the researchers found that the peak existed only in temperate climates — places with distinct seasonal changes in weather. The link was strongest in agricultural societies and weakest in urban areas.”

winter-sun

Spring depression is not such a problem in Ecuador because there is little seasonal change. Here I am with Ma in the dead of winter!   Yet there are rainy seasons and there are places where is is continually damp and spring like.

Extra depression in spring or continually damp places is not surprising.

Ancient  disciplines of health view good health as  a balance between three physical elements “air and motion”,  “material and physical”  and “digestion and fire”…air, water and fire.

These disciplines also view the seasons as an important factor in this air, water and fire balance.

Winter is dry and brittle and aggravates air.  Summer is hot and increases fire.

Spring is wet and increases depression.

Our farm is beautiful in spring….but wet!

farm-spring-shot

Imbalances in these elements affect emotions.   Excessive anxiety suggests an air imbalance. Too much anger means too much fire.

Too much water creates depression.

Fortunately the wisdom of the ancients also tells us what to do to maintain balance in the face of seasonal change.

Here are three balancing tips for spring.

Tip #1: Categorize foods into six categories, sweet, salt, bitter, astringent, sour and pungent.

Each category either pacifies or aggravates an element.  For example sour and pungent aggravates fire (the digestive element) which is sensitive to heat. Sweet and bitter on the other hand pacify air.

So during the depressive days of spring take additional care to live and eat in a way that stops a buildup of water.   Pungent and astringent flavors help resist  water imbalances.

During this sluggish time our bodies need to be stimulated and warmed up. Light, dry, warm foods reduce water. Use minimal amounts of fats and oils. Sweeten foods with honey, but never cook or bake with it. Grains such as barley, buckwheat, and rye are the best during this time, as are light, dry fruits, such as apples and cranberries. Low or nonfat milk is good, but minimize cultured dairy products. Eat more spices and herbs but be cautious with salt. Pumpkin and sunflower seeds and all beans, with the exception of the soybean, are excellent.

Tip #2: Exercise more.  Yoga and walking (best after meals) can especially be helpful at this time.

Tip #3: Use water reducing essential oils such as lemon oil.

A scientific study on this oil says:

“Lemon oil vapor causes an anti-stress effect via modulating the 5-HT and DA activities in mice”

This was written by Migiwa Komiyaa, and Takashi Takeuchib, graduates of the  School of Veterinary Science  at Yamaguchi University in Japan.

The abstract of the article says:

“We examined the anti-stress action of the essential oils of lavender, rose, and lemon using an elevated plus-maze task (EPM), a forced swimming task (FST), and an open field task (OFT) in mice. Lemon oil had the strongest anti-stress effect in all three behavioral tasks.  Moreover, the lemon oil significantly accelerated the metabolic turnover of DA in the hippocampus and of 5-HT in the prefrontal cortex and striatum. These results suggest that lemon oil possesses anxiolytic, antidepressant-like effects via the suppression of DA activity related to enhanced 5-HTnergic neurons.”

In short, one’s mood may be improved simply by using lemon oil.

Upon reading this, I immediately contacted our friend Candace Newman and asked her to tell us more. Candace  wrote:

Lemon Essential Oil – Citrus limonum

Sometimes I call Lemon the “Good Morning Oil”. It is bright and uplifting like the sun. What a great essential oil for springtime and summer…cooling and refreshing. There are hundreds of essential oils, and I place Lemon in the top ten for its ability to help us feel better and be balanced in so many ways. Its clean, clear scent helps relieve fatigue and mental overload. It is uplifting to the mental and physical state, so it can also help with depression.

Lemon is stimulating and energizing and helps move the rivers in the body. It is great to use when we feel fatigued, congested, and slow. This is one of the best oils for improving circulation, and can relieve aches and pains. Lemon’s clean “cut-to the quick aroma” is good for concentration and focus. Inhaling directly from the bottle of pure essential oil, can assist in coffee and cigarette withdrawal. It has been known to help with addictions.

In Aromatherapy it is well-known for its antiseptic, anti-rheumatic, anti-gout, and anti-arthritic qualities. It serves as a tonic for the nervous system, promotes a healthy immune system, and simply lifts the spirit with its cheerful aroma which can also help with depression.

How to Use: Use it straight for inhalation and in a diffuser. Combine it with a base oil (like Jojoba) to rub on your skin. A palm-full of base oil and 1-2 drops of Lemon is a good start….or add this palm-full to your bath after you get in the water. Lemon oil straight on the skin can irritate and burn. Lemon is photo-sensitive, so should not be used directly on the skin prior to sun exposure. Dark brown spots may occur. Enjoy the freshness of this joyful oil!

Candace offers exquisite pure Lemon Essential Oil from Italy
10 ml (1/3 oz) is $11.95.
lemon-oil

You can order this lemon oil from Candace here.

Until next message, may your spring be successful and bright.

Gary

Learn more Ecuador shaman health tips on our Shamanic Mingo Tour.

June 12-14 Shamanic Mingo Tour

June 16-17 Imbabura Real Estate Tour

June 18-21 Ecuador Coastal Real Estate Tour

Attend any two Ecuador courses or tours in a calendar month…$949 for one.  $1,349 for two.

Attend any three Ecuador courses or tours in a calendar month…$1,199 for one.  $1,799 for two.

Other 2009 Ecuador Courses & Tour

July 4-8  Ecuador Export Tour

July 8-9 Imbabura Real Estate Tour

July 10-13 Ecuador Coastal Real Estate Tour

July 24-26 IBEZ North Carolina

Sept. 17-21 Ecuador Spanish Course

Sept. 23-24 Imbabura Real Estate Tour

Sept. 25-28 Ecuador Coastal Real Estate Tour

Oct. 9-11 IBEZ North Carolina

Oct. 21-24 Ecuador Import Export Expedition

Nov. 6-8 IBEZ Ecuador

Nov. 9-10 Imbabura Real Estate Tour

Nov. 11-14 Ecuador Coastal Real Estate Tour

Attend any two Ecuador courses or tours in a calendar month…$949 for one.  $1,349 for two.

Attend any three Ecuador courses or tours in a calendar month…$1,199 for one.  $1,799 for two.

Global Investing and Ecuador


My global investing and business began 41 years ago May 2, 1968 and eventually led me to Ecuador.

My background as son of a zoo keeper did not leave me prepared.

ecuador-global-investing

Here is a newspaper clipping of my sister Sandra and me feeding a baby lion we kept at home… one of many lions and tigers we raised.

Let me share 41 years of multi currency investing and a couple of important facts I learned that may help you… including what’s happening with the swine flu in Ecuador.

I arrived in Hong Kong in the night, the tropical air so soft it was a velvet mist.   Thick evening scents in the fragrant harbor and mellow insects purrings in rhythm with the cacophony of the great city!  What a an exotic adventure.

Kai Tak was Hong Kong’s airport then and being American born and bred, I knew nothing about investing aboard.

That was my first airplane trip, first time out of Oregon. Portland to Vancouver, Tokyo to Hong Kong.  I melted in my heavy woolen blazer, was weary and afraid but excited too. An incredible global investing journey had begun… and continues to this day.

Here I was, 21 years old.

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Here is the first stamp in that first passport. That stamp you might say was my first international investment.

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That first stamp makes a point by the way about how to enter and initially work or invest in a country.  That first stamp was issued May 2, 1968 and allowed me to stay in Hong Kong until June 2, 1968.

I worked in Hong Kong for quite some time on tourist stamps… coming in for a month at a time.   I was developing sales teams in Japan, Korea, Taiwan, Thailand, Indonesia, Indonesia, Singapore and the Philippines at the same time so a month was plenty of time before I exited.

ecuador-global-investing

Here is one of my first sales teams… this one in Hong Kong led by John So Kwok Kee (far left – you can guess which one I am).

I built teams from the north in Japan down through Thailand.  One of the salesmen we worked with in Thailand, Brian Tracy, returned later to Canada and has had great success in the sales education field.

Starting a business, investigation or residence with a tourist visa is a pretty good idea. This is usually the easiest, most efficient, practical way to begin so you can be sure what you are doing and how you’ll develop a more permanent stay if you want one.  In many cases… such as mine… a permanent tourist system is simply the easiest and best.

I began my business in Hong Kong this way and for years I also lived and worked in England on tourist stamps before obtaining my permanent residence there.

A reader recently sent me this note about Ecuador tourist visas.

“Gary, When I was staying at the Hotel, someone mentioned that you do not
have a residential visa for Ecuador.  Is this correct?  How do you
spend as much time in the country as you do?”

Here is my rely:

“I spend less than 6 months a year in Ecuador.

“We have heard from others who come stay for 90 days, leave for just a day or two (especially just over the border in Peru or Colombia)  and come right back that there are difficulties.

“Our experience is that every time we come to Ecuador we are given a 90
day visa.  However we do not stress this system. For example we may stay 70 days and then be away for weeks or even a month or so.  Then return for 20 days or so.. then leave for another month etc.   The immigration officers look carefully at the total number of days by the end of the year and to help them, I keep a list of each day we have arrived and departed and the page number in our passport… so they can efficiently see we have not been in more than 180 days the maximum allowed on a T-3 tourist visa).

Be careful not to overstay. One reader reported that having done so he was denied entrance upon his return and were not allowed to return to Ecuador for one year.

We have a full report on Ecuador visas and an immigration attorney who helps our Ecuador Living subscribers.

I am also preparing a report for Ecuador Living subscribers to answer this question from a reader yesterday.

“Hi Gary, Wonderful timing, we had tickets to fly from Guadalajara to Quito yesterday, but were stymied by the fact that Ecuador (and Peru) are refusing passengers from Mexico.  We understand Ecuador’s borders  will be closed for a month to non-residents flying in from Mexico.

We had thought about flying back to the States and then flying to Ecuador, but an electronic scan of our passports would show we’d been in Mexico and we’re not sure what would happen.  Any insights?   Thanks!

You can obtain these reports and answers as an Ecuador Living subscriber. Learn how to subscribe to Ecuador Living here.

Back to Hong Kong.  I began there selling US mutual funds.

When arriving there 41 years ago there is no way I could have known how exciting the next decades would be, how much information, facts, figures, ideas and insights on how to invest globally would be gained. Had I known the mistakes to be made I would probably have run!

Then I moved east again to England and Europe… trying many things.

Thankfully all the trials, tortures and errors were mitigated by much fun and an earnest endeavor to live right and learn.

ecuador-global-investing

Here is a newspaper clipping of me  with a business partner in my London office on Artillery Row selling square inches of Graceland… not really a very good idea.

Later I imported Rolls Royces and Bentleys from England to the US… a better idea.

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One goal at this site is to share basics of global investing and living an international life learned over these 41 years. Global investing has changed so much during this time and is changing even faster now.  I am continually forced to rearrange my thinking strategy and tactics at a faster pace.

We offered health courses at our North Carolina farm. Here I am with our son, Jake, with one tactic we taught… a morning dip in a cold creek after exercise… yes that is snow on the banks and no… this not surprisingly did not sell very well either.

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Our food as medicine courses taught by Merri in her teaching kitchen at the farm had better attendance!

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For almost 15 years now we have been conducting courses in Ecuador. Here I am this year in the meeting room at the Cotacachi museum next to Meson de las Flores on an Ecuador export tour.

ecuador-global-investing

This continual evolution has helped Merri and me, our readers and our income continually grow… through good times and bad.

Yesterday April 2009 for example ended with anoter record month for our internet sales.  Our 2009 sales (April month on month) were up 48.01% over April 2008, which in turn were up 24.04% over April 2007 sales.

Our sales in the first four months of 2009 were up 81.75% over Jan through April 2008 which was up 26.20% over 2007.  Learn how to develop an internet business that can grow like this here.

The reason we have survived and progressed amidst this never ending update is that the little stuff shifts and evolves, but the fundamentals remain immutable.

Investing globally is not a panacea, but expanded horizons are. Life is a trip and we have an entire globe to enjoy the ride.

Two years ago on May 2, 2007, I wrote:

History suggests that this is a time when chances are increased for panic and sudden drops in investment markets. Investors who have proven themselves nervous short term thinkers are highly leveraged, in thin, over purchased markets that are easily sinkable boats treading the dangerous waters of May though October when tradition says the currents will most likely be treacherous and surrounded with lots of storms.

Now, that this risk has proven true, history also suggests that we have a once in a life time opportunity.

The way to cash in on this incredible opportunity is the same way I suggested avoiding the collapse two years ago. I wrote then: “One way to get good international investments is to take a long term, expansive international view.”

My first trip abroad 41 years ago was significant because 1968 was the beginning of a new era for world stock markets. When I arrived in Hong Kong the world of investing was dominated by Wall Street. That was about to end. 1968 was the year when the Hong Kong Stock Market began to explode upwards along with Tokyo’s market. What a ride!

The Heng Seng Index was then 100 and rose to 18,000. Anyone who steadily committed money to this market then made a fortune.

I can sum up my investment basic investing and advice in seven sentences.

#1: 1970s. Invest in real estate, gold, silver Japan, Germany, Switzerland and Hong Kong.

#2: 1980s. Invest in real estate, the Tigers, Japan, Taiwan, Singapore Malaysia and South Korea as well.

#3: 1990s. Invest in real estate South America (which led me to Ecuador).

#4: 2000s. Invest real estate, China, India and emerging markets including Ecuador real estate.

#5: Always have an expansive view.

#6: Use stop losses during peaks.

#7: Have an international investment view. Never overextend. Don’t trade too much, just hang on.

This philosophy has reaped millions for Merri and me. Had we been more expansive, we would have an extra $20 million or so.  However our conservative approach to business and investing also protected us during the recent melt down of 2007 and 2008.

This may be time to begin taking advantage of the recovery. Panic is subsiding but values are still high. The huge excesses of the US and other government’s will at some stage begin to seriously erode the purchasing power of currencies.

I remain highly diversified from a currency point of view.  Here is my current currency breakdown in my liquid portfolio that represents 43% of my total portfolio.

An excerpt from a recent Multicurrencyinvesting.com lesson explains why when I wrote about the currency distribution of investments:

Here is my currency distribution:

Danish kroner    24%
Euro                     24%
British Pound      8%
US Dollar            12%
Canadian Dollar 3%
Norway kroner   4%
NZ Dollar             3%
Sweden kroner    7%
Brazil real             3%
Hungary Forint   6%
Turkey Try            6%

With more than a third of my liquid position in Danish, Swedish and Norwegian kroner, my Scandinavian  position is seriously over weighted in terms of global market size.

One reason is because these are such small countries located on the sea.  This means that their histories are composed of  travel and trade.

A nation’s heritage reflects in the value of its currency strength. This fact helped me answer this question from a reader.

“Gary, Will  future strength in DKK be bad for equities denominated in that currency?”

Here is my reply.

Most of the Danish companies you would buy are global companies.

Because Denmark is such a small market any large Danish company is doing most of its business out of Denmark  so a lot of their success depends on the type of business business and where the company actually manufactures and sells its products.

Plus look at the margins built into the product.

One benefit in Scandinavia is their very highly educated population. A recent Time magazine article shows that Finland (not Scandinavian but Baltic and Finland’s currency is the euro – otherwise I would have Finmark in my portfolio as well) ranked number one for educational performance of 15 year olds in math. Denmark was number 10, Sweden number 15 and Norway number 23… all ahead of the US (number 25).

Finland was number one for reading performance of 15 years olds as well.  Sweden number seven, Norway number 10 and Denmark number 16. The US was number 15.

This means that the products produced in these nations will tend to be high value.

For example, Novo Norsk makes insulin.  I suspect that the margins are substantially high.

Ditto for novozymes that makes enztymes for environmental purification.  These are firms where there is likely to be a great deal of value added into their product.

Vestas, makes wind turbines. and may be more affected by a strong kroner if they do a lot of manufacturing in Denmark but are having and sales in the US and especially if their competitors manufacture in the US or other countries where the currency is weak.

I am updating the value of major and emerging markets now at multicurrencyinvesting.com and will be revaluing our green and Danish portfolios in upcoming lessons.  You can subscribe to our Multi Currency Portfolios Course here.

I have increased my Ecuador real estate to 22% of my total property.  The balance is in US property and I am looking to add more US property now in Florida and or Savannah.

If you have real estate in central Florida or Savannah that you would like to swap for real estate in Ecuador… let me know.

I have held a high cash position for over a year but now agree with Warren Buffet who recently wrote about business and opportunity:

Clinging to cash equivalents or long-term government bonds at present yields is almost certainly a terrible policy if continued for long. Holders of these instruments, of course, have felt increasingly comfortable – in fact, almost smug – in following this policy as financial turmoil has mounted. They regard their judgment confirmed when they hear commentators proclaim “cash is king,” even though that wonderful cash is earning close to nothing and will surely find its purchasing power eroded over time.

Now is the time to convert cash into investments that will appreciate with the loss of cash’s loss of purchasing power… stocks… commodities… real estate or your own business.

This leaves all of us with a lot to do after 41 years of a global life.

I feel healthier and more energetic then 41 years ago.   Maybe I am not wiser… but I am more experienced and seem in a better position then when I took that first trip.

Merri and I look forward to the next 41 years… and we look forward to sharing them with you!

Gary

This is the schedule of Gary our 2009 Ecuador information tours, courses and seminars.

May 16-17 Ecuador Coastal Tour

May 20-21 Imbabura Real Estate Tour

May 22-24. Ecuador Amazon Herbal Tour

June 12-14 Shamanic Mingo Tour

June 16-17 Imbabura Real Estate Tour

June 18-21 Ecuador Coastal Real Estate Tour

July 4-8  Ecuador Export Tour

July 8-9 Imbabura Real Estate Tour

July 10-13 Ecuador Coastal Real Estate Tour

July 24-26 IBEZ North Carolina

Sept. 17-21 Ecuador Spanish Course

Sept. 23-24 Imbabura Real Estate Tour

Sept. 25-28 Ecuador Coastal Real Estate Tour

Oct. 9-11 IBEZ North Carolina

Oct. 21-24 Ecuador Import Export Expedition

Nov. 6-8 IBEZ Ecuador

Nov. 9-10 Imbabura Real Estate Tour

Nov. 11-14 Ecuador Coastal Real Estate Tour

Attend any two Ecuador courses or tours in a calendar month…$949 for one.  $1,349 for two.

Attend any three Ecuador courses or tours in a calendar month…$1,199 for one.  $1,799 for two.


Cotacachi Real Estate Upgrades


Cotacachi real estate upgrades  can create extra profit. Here are thoughts about thought from readers around the world and we hope that this helps your international investing.

Yesterday’s message, a thought on thought was about change  and upgrades and readers sent an overwhelming response from all over the world. We’ll look at that in a moment, but here is another shot of the Barro Viejo renovation and upgrades in Cotacachi. We’ll see what a magnificent job they did on the indoor swimming pool later in this message. First…

Change.

See more of this Cotacachi real estate at Cotacachi real estate rejuvenation.

This message shared a theory about how seven year cycles may change the way we process information in each cycle. This is vital stuff. Nothing affects our wealth, health and happiness as much as the way we process information.

Some readers found the theory helpful. For example, one reader from Alabama shared this idea:

Gary,

Your messages are resonating with me — especially this one. It explains so much of my spiritual searching since ‘rewiring’ from my Orthodontic practice 3 years ago. And I can’t wait to meet Blaine Watson for perhaps a further explanation of where I am headed. Thank you so much for your newsletter and see you soon for the celebration at El Meson and the course.

Others were confused. One reader from California shared this:

Gary,

Great thinking on thoughts. Hmmm. So, 7 x 7 = 49. 7×9 = 63. So even with 9 Chakras, emerging every 7 years that only takes us to 63. Then you shift to 2 year 50 cycle thoughts. Add in a couple of Chakras at 7 years each you get 114 not 119. First 50 plus second 50 = 100 + 2 seven year Chakra cycles and we get 114. Even if we repeat the 7 Chakra cycles, that is 7×7 (2) = 98 + the 8th and 9th = 112. Huh? So why do none of these formulas add up to what you are saying.??? What am I missing here? Love reading you thoughts. Just looking for clarity.

Hopefully my reply clarified the confusion and yours if you have as much as I do. I wrote:

There are nine chakras in Andean thinking . Nine X 7 years gets us to age 63. This is pretty close to what we call retirement age.

The second eight 7 year cycles takes us another 56 years and makes us 119 years of age. That’s pretty close to 120 which is about the length Vedic Astrology suggest we should live. Perhaps then we enter the second ninth chakra stage (the ninth chakra relates to the ultimate being). In this stage, perhaps if we have advanced as much as we should, we easily join with the ultimate being. A theory? Guess we only really know when we reach 120!

This still leaves a 13 year gap between the age 63 retirement and the age 50 retirement mentioned in Leviticus.

Another reader from England makes a suggestion about this and writes:

Hello Gary, I have a couple of thoughts. At the time Leviticus was written, 50 could have been a very great age. Most of the text (return to your property: ashes to ashes?; you shall not sow, reap, or harvest; take only what the land provides–could this all be an indication that you are soon to be returning to those already departed and that you shall contribute to the land once again.) suggests this as a possible meaning.

I’ve spend most of my professional life with those at least a generation older than me. I often encounter a resignation to the way things are, however bad. I realize that I’ve made a couple of jumps of thought here but my professional experience suggests that we do start to let go. Perhaps with greater longevity expectations, 50 is the age where we really realize that we’ll ‘never be President’ or attain goals once thought possible. I have definitely changed in the last few years (53 now) and realize that we are meant to be obsolescent and that the vigor of youth is NECESSARY to accommodate an ever changing environment. This is not to say that we at this age are incapable, only that we are less likely to embrace much of the new perhaps because we’ve seen the old tricks before (think politics) and really don’t want to jump thru the same hoops. As an independent entrepreneur, you have had different experiences/expectations than many (also a case of think or swim?) so I probably only speak for a minority.

In any case, thanks for a good article. The idea of advancing up the chakras (from base desires to enlightenment) is surely an idea that has merit, especially when the idea of higher purpose is not a mainstream concern. Your reader in London.

Another reader from Japan also outlined where there could be a one year gap in our thinking.

Hi Gary, Interesting e-mail. As an editor and sub-editor, I couldn’t help noticing this:

“What does appear in many religions and philosophies is a major shift at age 50.

“You shall have the trumpet sounded throughout all your land. And you shall hallow the fiftieth year and you shall proclaim liberty . . .”

No sir, that is at age 49. When you started your second year of life, you were one year old. When you started your 50th, you were 49. And to “hallow the fiftieth year” — that must be the sounding of the trumpets to greet its arrival. (Damn — just for the moment I can’t think of the musical term for a short passage which announces a change and a new direction.) So, you could argue that this too fits the seven-year cycle. Seven squared, in fact. Best wishes from a dull and drizzly Tokyo

Others just outlined how they changed in life during different seven year cycles. One reader from South Carolina shared this thought.

Dear Gary, From age 21 to 28, I lived mostly on an old sailboat (I have already written you about this). Maybe I can help with age 28. At that age, or perhaps late 27, I returned to the U.S. and visited all of my college friends. I had not been in a motor car for years, and I immediately smelled their stink. I got serious about my life and applied to Emory for medical school. My friends, all in fear of age 30, started drinking, doing drugs (more than they had before). At least five of them either dropped girl friends or divorced wives. Actually, I think it was more people than this. Several were killed in motorcycle accidents. Some died in Vietnam , although I don’t remember the precise age I was when this occurred because in many cases it took me years to find out. Hope my experience helps with age 28. I remember that Winston Churchill wrote that his twenties were the “best years of my life” Cordially Yours.

Here is an important point I believe that this reader stumbled across. Modern Western society is so youth oriented and so materialistic that it surrounds and bombards us with the idea that success relates to production and consumption and how much stuff we have and how many things we do and places we go. Western doctrine is all about the outward stroke. Thus inward urgings are met with resistance at every level. Those who start shifting within have zero support. They feel out of odds with society, out of odds with everything they have been told and out of odds with the flow of everything surrounding them. This creates enormous tension when our correct natural path gets out of odds with the way everyone tells us we should be. This could be what causes this phenomenon, when people go off the deep end and do something crazy, so often called the seven year itch.

This reader from Poland gave some great food for thought.

Dear Gary, Allow me to share few of my experiences regarding life circles. I agree with you that the life shifts every 7 years. In my case generally there is a small shift every 7 years and a bigger one every 14 years. I seem to have some in-between periods, where there is a lot of shift.

At 21/22, I officially moved away from Poland to Japan . At 29 my mother passed away – she was a very strict lady. Her death freed me to start walking my path. In the 7th year of my procedure I managed to get Japanese passport.

After studying, for 14 years, what I thought, at that time, to be spirituality, I made a 180 turn and jumped into business world.

After working for 7 years in a top Japanese company, I was delegated to Central Europe (Poland and Czech Rep.). Again after 7 years in Central Europe, I am going back to Japan . The result of these 14 years? I seem to have finally developed my own model for business that should allow me to become self-employed.

Next year I will turn 50. A really huge transition seems to be happening.

During the last 7 years, I was working to finally understand spirituality. I was differentiating everyday life from spirituality. This is the idea I heard from my birth for over 30 years. At 49, I finally accepted that the highest spirituality is to live everyday life, but live it with full consciousness. Every move, every thought, every emotion, every deed is to come from the spirituality within.

Our education is teaching us to look outside for spirituality. This actually is the biggest mistake. The real spirituality is within us. So-called “Heaven” is not somewhere in the stars. To get there flying to the stars, would take as long as all satellites or spacecrafts need to travel. Far too long.

The surprising thing is: when we start focusing inward, not only within ourselves, but when we go with our mind and spirituality into Earth, there is a shortcut to the Moon, Sun and Stars.

I am developing a coaching system for discovering the Inner Strength (Peace) within. The system is called WaKiDo.

At present I have a short sabbatical, in favor of first developing a more tangible subject. At my 50th birthday, I would love to be able to announce becoming self-employed.

In my case, I didn’t develop chakra by chakra. (By the way, There are far more charkas then 9, but this is not the important subject.) In my case the top chakra was overactive for 49 years. Finally at 50, I seem to be reaching the overall balance.

It might seem to negate your theory that after 50 people tend to move away from pure money making, into more spiritual side of work. Actually it does not. Spirituality that I was taught was a special, holy, world detached state of mind that did not really recognize holiness of the everyday life. If we talk about this kind of outside spirituality, then yes this understanding would contradict your theory.

Best regards,

I am sorry if this reader misunderstood my thoughts on detachment in the second seven year cycle. Merri and I are well into our second cycle and getting busier every year. But the business is not about the financial bottom line any more. I could not agree more that our work everyday life and work can be our holiness and especially agree with this reader’s comment:

At 49, I finally accepted that the highest spirituality is to live everyday life, but live it with full consciousness. Every move, every thought, every emotion, every deed is to come from the spirituality within.

I could not have said it better!

Until next message, may all you deeds come from great wisdom within.

Gary

You can see Cotacachi property like this on our next Cotacachi real estate Ecuador information tour.

Here is that swimming pool and another shot of the Barro Viejo renovation just down the street from our hotel.

Plus here is the Barro Viejo team with the owners of this renovation who so kindly allowed our group to tromp through their beautiful home.

The American Dream Goes South at Florida Investment Seminar


I’ll focus on how the American dream is heading south at JGAM’s multi currency seminar in Florida this May.

If looked at one way… the American dream is dead. Let’s ramble through economic history for a moment to see why.

In the early 1980s the US had a challenge… a severe recession from July 1981 to November 1982.  Inflation was high so the Fed  slowed the rate of growth of the money supply and raised interest rates. The federal funds rate rose to 20% by June 1981. The prime interest rate, at the time a highly important economic measure, eventually reached 21.5% in June 1982. Businesses went broke by the drove… 50 percent over the previous year.  Especially hard hit were farmers and real estate developers.

The recession was the most serious recession since the Great Depression.

This was tough but inflation eased and the economy rebounded.  Growth took off again… real growth without bad inflation because the real estate overhang and subsequent bankruptcy of the Savings & Loan industry was dealt with by the Resolution Trust Corporation.

RTC liquidated via auction and a massive sell off to private business, the real estate that had been assets of savings and loan associations that were insolvent.

The US government had the sense then not to try and control these assets.  Entrepreneurs bought the assets for pennies on the dollar and turned the property into viable deals in ways that no government agency ever could.

Japan then had a serious recession and the same opportunity.  There was a real estate and stock bubble in Japan in the 1980s.   Then in 1989 there was a massive withdrawal of confidence. Investment collapsed, causing the Nikkei index to fall more than 60 percent.

The Japanese government however decided that it could provide a fix. the Japanese felt they could not let big Japanese businesses go broke.  Between 1992 and 1995, Japan tried six spending programs totaling 65.5 trillion yen. They cut  taxes in 1994. In 1998 they cut taxes again and launched stimulus packages worth more than 40 trillion yen.,  A year later… another stimulus program. In 2000 11 trillion yen more was spent to stimulate the economy.

Over a decade the Japanese government provided 10 stimulus packages worth more than a 100 trillion yen.   The main result was to ruin the Japanese government’s credit with public debt that exceeds 100 percent of GDP. This is the highest percent of debt of all major nations.

Any other results?  Here is evidence… the main Japanese stock index the Nikkei 225 from 1989 till 2009.  Japanese society is indebted for life and the stock exchange has fallen from over 35,000 to  7,600 in 20 years.

Wow that really worked well… so

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now the US government has decided to do the same thing.

Last week the government  offered another $30 billion in funds to A.I.G. insurance.  This is the fourth round of aid to the American International Group. The government already owns nearly 80 percent of the insurer’s holding company. How much more can they buy?

This sounds like a good investment since the insurance giant was about to report a $62 billion loss after the government has already given a $60 billion loan, a $40 billion purchase of preferred shares and purchased $50 billion of the company’s toxic assets.

Behind this, the government has invested $50 billion in Citigroup… $45 billion in Bank of America.  The Us auto bailout could cost another 100 billion. More on that in a later message.

This is all taking place as the US economy spirals down at an accelerated pace.

Yet the current administration is basing its spending on calculations that suggest vigorous rates of economic growth in years to come.

They have suggested this economic growth will come in 2010.

I wonder?

There seems to  a disconnect between the Federal projections and fiscal reality.   Current conditions are not yet at the level of the 1980s, when unemployment exceeded 10 percent, but they could be soon.

Moody’s chief economist now places the odds of “a mild depression” at 25 percent. In that view, the unemployment rate would reach 10.5 percent by the end of 2011 — up from 7.6 percent at the end of January — average home prices would fall 20 percent on top of the 27 percent they have plunged already, and losses in the financial system would more than triple, to $3.7 trillion.

Yet President Obama calls this a “once in a generation” opportunity and proposed a 10-year budget that overhauls health care, arrests global warming and expands the federal role in education.

How to pay for it?   Tax more corporations and the wealthiest taxpayers.

Wrong!  Higher tax will simply kill business or drive it abroad.  What a  good idea to chase away the last of the success.

The President said  he would shrink annual deficits.  His explanation is that he will increase revenue from rich individuals and polluting industries, reduce war costs and assume a good rate of economic growth by 2010.

The rich will stop working or leave the US.  The polluters will move to Mexico or China or wherever.   The high rate of economic growth will not appear.  Stopping the war will help… but not enough.

Technology means that politicians can no longer ignore the global market and tax its citizens to death.

Take for example what is happening in Ecuador.  Remittances sent by  Ecuadorians who work abroad fell 22 percent in the last quarter of 2008.

$643.9 million was sent from October to December 2008. This is $181.7 million less than in Oct.to Dec.2007.

A similar drop was experienced in the third quarter of 2008 and is caused by the global financial crisis and especially the economic slowdown in the United States, where it is estimated 1.5 million Ecuadorians live and work.

The U.S. employment rate has crashed especially in manufacturing and construction which employ a large number of Ecuadorians.

The same is true in  Spain – where 600,000 Ecuadorians live. this is the second-leading destination for Ecuadorians.

This means that there are more Ecuadorians to serve for less in Ecuador.  This forces the Ecuador cost of living down down.

So if you are an American who is about to be super taxed… where would you choose to live?  Our farm manager sent us this note recently, “We had 4 inches of snow in China Grove.”

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Would you rather live there and pay more tax or…

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enjoy open air dining as Merri and are doing here in our Cotacachi hotel courtyard with Dan Prescher and Suzan Haskins or…

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would you rather enjoy a mountain train ride as these…

multi-currency-investing-florida-course new Cotacachi residents are doing…  passing through green mountains  and blue skies.  Getting a sun burn.

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The is the train from Ibarra to Salinas Ecuador.  Would you rather be taxed extra to be in this pool or…

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be here on Ecuador’s coast with tax advantages?

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Which view will the rich prefer?  This in the US or…

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this… especially if this San Clemente Ecuador ocean view costs much, much less?

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Where would I prefer to walk with my hound?  Here in sub zero temperatures or

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here in Cotacachi Ecuador…especially if I am taxed less and the cost of living is much lower and government interference in my life is less?

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Technology and the global market gives us as individuals enormous power to live where and as we choose that politicians can no longer ignore.

The government’s attitude to increase taxes on those who work hard could turn the existing brain drain from the US into a brain torrent.

In short there are many reasons I see that suggest the economic mess will  last for years in the US,  just as it has in Japan.

Recently, Warren Buffett wrote in his company’s annual report that “the economy will be in shambles, throughout 2009, and, for that matter, probably well beyond.”

This is not the picture we expect of the American dream.  However the picture is not bad for all.  Not all Italians became poor when Rome fell.  Italy is still a great place to live.  There are still millions of Japanese who have thrived over the past 15 years of Japanese recession.  The end of the America dream does not have to be the end of your dream.

In the US we can expect the rich to get richer… the poor poorer.   We can see why from our study of Power Distance Index.  We looked at PDI, and what it is, in a recent message about JGAM’s multi currency seminar.

There is more about Power Distance Index at http://www.clearlycultural.com which says:

Hofstede’s Power Distance Index measures the extent to which the less powerful members of organizations and institutions (like the family) accept and expect that power is distributed unequally. This represents inequality (more versus less), but defined from below, not from above. It suggests that a society’s level of inequality is endorsed by the followers as much as by the leaders.

For example, Germany has a 35 on the cultural scale of Hofstede’s analysis. Compared to Arab countries where the power distance is very high (80) and Austria where it very low (11), Germany is somewhat in the middle. Germany does not have a large gap between the wealthy and the poor, but have a strong belief in equality for each citizen. Germans have the opportunity to rise in society.

On the other hand, the power distance in the United States scores a 40 on the cultural scale. The United States exhibits a more unequal distribution of wealth compared to German society. As the years go by it seems that the distance between the ‘have’ and ‘have-nots’ grows larger and larger.

The trick then is to not accept the PDI from the lower end. Let me explain.

Excerpts from 2007 article by a Stefan Bach , Giacomo Corneo  and Viktor Steiner at www.voxeu.org entitled German income inequality outlines an idea.  The article says:

Paul Krugman frequently mentions that America’s super rich make the 19th Century wealthy look poor. “We know what John D. Rockefeller, the richest man in Gilded Age America, made in 1894 … $1.25 million, almost 7,000 times the average per capita income in the United States at the time.” Krugman wrote. ”But that makes him a mere piker by modern standards … James Simons, a hedge fund manager, took home $1.7 billion, more than 38,000 times the average income.”

Surely such extremes cannot happen on Continental Europe with its social market economics and social solidarity. The authors of Policy Insight No. 4 shows that although income inequality in Germany is a long way from reaching US proportions, the trend is in that direction. Germany rich are getting richer, and its super-rich are getting super-richer.

In other words as a society progresses, those with power get richer while the majority of  the population become poorer.

Note above that power is determined  from below, not from above. It suggests that a society’s level of inequality is endorsed by the followers as much as by the leaders.”

Power is an illusion that keeps most investors and business people depressed while a few gain from this social falsification.

The internet destroys this illusion. The web gives us all power!  Today we have as much opportunity as the rich to gain from the changes that this economic correction will bring.

This is why Merri, our webmaster and I have created a new course on how to build a web business with a webmaster.  More on this in a moment.

First what you can do as an investor or with your own business.

One answer we saw above is to live in a better lower cost environment like Ecuador.

Another answer is to be a multi currency investor. Despite America’s government spending , the dollar has been gaining, particularly against European currencies. The euro slipped to under $1.26, nearing a two-year low and down from a high of almost $1.60. This is caused as fearful investors jump into 10-year Treasury bonds… which have been shown to be terrible long term investments.   All the US government spending means that the US dollar will fall. But against what?

The euro is not a trustworthy currency now. A March 1, 2009 New York Times article by Steven Erlanger and Stephen Castle entitled “Growing Economic Crisis Threatens the Idea of One Europe” explains why.  Here is an excerpt from that article:

The leaders of the European Union gathered Sunday in Brussels in an emergency summit meeting that seemed to highlight the very worries it was designed to calm: that the world economic crisis has unleashed forces threatening to split Europe into rival camps.

With uncertain leadership and few powerful collective institutions, the European Union is struggling with the strains this crisis has inevitably produced among 27 countries with uneven levels of development.

Whether Europe can reach across constituencies to create consensus, however, has been an open, and suddenly pressing, question.

“The European Union will now have to prove whether it is just a fair-weather union or has a real joint political destiny,” said Stefan Kornelius, the foreign editor of the German newspaper Süddeutsche Zeitung. “We always said you can’t really have a currency union without a political union, and we don’t have one. There is no joint fiscal policy, no joint tax policy, no joint policy on which industries to subsidize or not. And none of the leaders is strong enough to pull the others out of the mud.”

Thomas Klau, Paris director of the European Council on Foreign Relations, an independent research and advocacy group, said, “This crisis affects the political union that backs the euro and of course the E.U. as a whole, and solidarity is at the heart of the debate.”

“All of that is in doubt if the cornerstone of the E.U. — its internal market, economic union and solidarity — is in question,” said Ronald D. Asmus, a former State Department official who runs the Brussels office of the German Marshall Fund.

If the the euro is a good currency for diversification, which currencies are?

Our multi currency course helps you learn how to diversify into safe currencies.  Our studies currently suggest that the Danish, Swedish, Norwegian kroner and Canadian dollar make sense. For example beginning in March the Swedish kroner hit a new record low. The Eastern European problems are having an adverse impact on the Swedish banks.   Also the Norwegian currency is a good technical buy.

You can join us to understand why these currencies make sense by subscribing to our on line multi currency course.

You can also join us for a currency review at JGAM’s Naples Florida investment course May 29 to 31, 2009.  This course is $499 ($750 for two) but free to those who have subscribed to our on line multi currency course.

Another way you can attend JGAM Florida seminar free is to subscribe to our course on how to have a web based business.   You can enroll in this special course for $299 and attend the JGAM course in Naples free.

Here is a special offer on this course “Tangled Web – How to Have a Web Business“.

Or join us for an upcoming course in North Carolina or Ecuador.

Gary

Future 2009 courses

May 29-31  JGAM Multi Currency investment Seminar Naples Florida

June 12-14 Shamanic Mingo Tour
June 16-17 Imbabura Real Estate Tour
June 18-21 Ecuador Coastal Real Estate Tour

July 3-6 Ecuador Import Export Expedition
July 8-9 Imbabura Real Estate Tour
July 10-13 Ecuador Coastal Real Estate Tour

July 24-26 IBEZ North Carolina

Sept. 17-21 Ecuador Spanish Course
Sept. 23-24 Imbabura Real Estate Tour
Sept. 25-28 Ecuador Coastal Real Estate Tour

Oct. 9-11 IBEZ North Carolina

Oct. 21-24 Ecuador Import Export Expedition

Nov. 6-8 IBEZ Ecuador
Nov. 9-10 Imbabura Real Estate Tour
Nov. 11-14 Ecuador Coastal Real Estate Tour

Attend any two Ecuador courses or tours in a calendar month…$949 for one.  $1,349 for two.

Attend any three Ecuador courses or tours in a calendar month…$1,199 for one.  $1,799 for two

Power Distance Index Profits


Power can bring profits in many ways… the first via the Power Distance Index.

I recently wrote in Ecuador shamans and truth how Merri and I have been drawn more and more back to the USA.   We have enjoyed phenomenal success in Ecuador but we are pioneers… Our investments and business are early in and early out. Ecuador is now really well on its way and for us this is not so fun.

We’ll look at how the Power Distance Index makes Ecuador living better.  First more on PDI.

We’ll still enjoy time in Cotacachi and on the Pacific, but we are arranging for others to take over the day to day so we can  head off on a new adventure.

Part of our next horizon is to make our North Carolina farm much more self sustainable and to share what we learn in the process.

Thinking about this leads me to share some other thoughts on power and the Power Distance Index.

One powerful investing and business idea is to invest in countries with a low Power Distance Index (PDI).

Malcom Gladwell explains this in his newest book “Outliers” a book about what makes  success.

One part of the book looks at the importance of the Power Distance Index in each nation.  This is vital information because it explains how countries differ in their approach to dealing with risk and uncertainty.  The ability to handle risk and uncertainty  in changing times is vital.

Here is how the website www.kwintessential.co.uk describes PDI.

The Power Distance Index (PDI) is one of the five intercultural dimensions developed by Hofstede. In short this cultural dimension looks at how much a culture does or does not value hierarchical relationships and respect for authority.

Examples of cultures with high PDI scores include Arabic speaking countries, Russia, India and China. Those with low scores include Japan, Australia and Canada. See a world map of power distance index scores.

So how does this manifest in a culture or country?

In a high power distance cultures the following may be observed:

. Those in authority openly demonstrate their rank.
. Subordinates are not given important work and expect clear guidance from above.
. Subordinates are expected to take the blame for things going wrong.
. The relationship between boss and subordinate is rarely close/personal.
. Politics is prone to totalitarianism.
. Class divisions within society are accepted.

In a low power distance culture:

. Superiors treat subordinates with respect and do not pull rank.
. Subordinates are entrusted with important assignments.
. Blame is either shared or very often accepted by the superior due to it being their responsibility to manage.
. Managers may often socialize with subordinates.
. Liberal democracies are the norm.
. Societies lean more towards egalitarianism.

The Power Distance Index is a measure of the attitude toward hierarchy.  In short the PDI shows how much people overall, in a country, respect authority.

This index is really important in this rapid changing world because authority almost always lags behind reality.  Authority resists required change to adapt in altering conditions.  Countries with a high PDI suffer from change.

For example the US has a low PDI. Russia has a very high PDI.  Thus during the changing 1980s the Soviet Union disintegrated while the US rebounded and thrived.  PDI differences were not the only reasons for this but when a nation’s leadership cannot communicate with its people…  it cannot sense reality as times shift.

On the subject of the 1980s. Many readers are worried about the current economic downturn.  Current conditions are not as poor as during the twin recessions of the 1980s, when unemployment exceeded 10 percent.  This downturn is on track to be worse… but not yet.

Gladwell writes in “Outliers::  In low power index countries, power is something is something in which power holders are almost ashamed and will try to underplay.  In Austria (a low PDI country)  Prime Minister Bruno Kreiskt was known to sometimes take a streetcar to work.

Here are six countries with high PDIs:
Brazil
South Korea
Russia
Mexico
Philippines
Uruguay

Six Countries with low PDIs:
Austria
Denmark
United States
Ireland
Australia
New Zealand

A low PDI can help a country adapt faster and better to change, so look for investments in countries with low PDIs. 

This message is an excerpt from our latest multi currency lesson.  You can read what to do now as a multi currency subscriber. Learn how to subscribe here.

However countries with high PDIs are often better for living.

I was thinking about this one recent morning while visiting Quito.  This is one of the world’s beautiful cities so I rose to watch the dawn.  The day broke in glorious rose patina.

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Like the days ahead…  the view was obscured until the light began…

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to reveal Quito’s beauty.

Ecuador’s Power Distance Index in Ecuador is a bit high. This does not stop a great city from growing. I loked out and saw that there was plenty here.  Riches enough.  All the …

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creature comforts…

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glowing in the daybreak.  Every material thing a person could want…

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As the light spread, i dressed and rode up to the hotel restaurant.

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I’ll looked out at Quito again in the light of day.

power-distance-index

There is amazing wealth here. The hotel restaurant is opulent.

power-distance-index

With amazing views around the city.  yet the prices here are low in part because…

power-distance-index

poor government is created with the help of a high Power distance Index. This  keeps most of the people in Ecuador poor.  This means that we can help bring and spending our money here.   This who do, help Ecuador’s poor and are rewarded with good living at a low price.

This reinforces what I wrote in “Multi Currency Bank Safety

Live in one country
Bank in a second country
Invest in many countries
Earn in two or more countries
Use a company incorporated in a fifth country
Take a second residence

On the subject of banking abroad Denmark has the second lowest PDI in the world (Austria is number one) so it is not surprising that for the last 20 years my major bankers have been in Copenhagen and Vienna.  I like the autonomy that investment advisers have in low PDI countries.

This is in my estimation one reason why Jyske Bank (Denmark’s second largest bank) was not caught in the sub prime or Madoff scandals.

Bank’s in countries with a low PDI are more likely to use the wisdom of their entire organization to head off trouble at the pass.

Organizations have enormous wisdom.

The book, “The Wisdom of Crowds, Why the Many are Smarter than the Few and How Collective Wisdom Shapes Business, Economies and Societies and Nations” by James Surowiecki tells how potent the wisdom of a group can be.

The book begins by telling how at the annual West of England Fat Stock and Poultry Exhibition in the fall of 1906, a British scientist became interested in a weight judging competition. 800 people, smart, dumb, old, young in all types of professions guessed the weight of two dressed oxen. The correct answer was 1,197 pounds. The scientist’s research found that the collective estimate was incredibly close, 1,198 pounds.

The book suggests that there is an uncanny and generally unconscious collective intelligence at work. The book shows how clouds of birds seem to move in one mind but actually are each acting on their own following four simple rules:

#1) Stay as close to the center as possible.

#2) Stay two body lengths away from your neighbor.

#3) Do not bump into another bird.

#4) If a predator dives at you get out of the way.

The book suggests that rather than crowds being mindless mobs that the many are weirdly smart and effective even when many of the group are average or below in intelligence or experience.

A key point that the article makes is that there is incredible effectiveness in a diversity of individual intelligences and this is why we are sharing ideas about trends at this site. There are thousands of us reading these messages so perhaps our problem solving ability grows to the 4000th power.

However if a high PDI disconnects its leaders from this wisdom… the organization’s wisdom is wasted.

Bank safety is vital now and PDI can count. Here is a wonderful shot taken by our friend Dennis Goff.  Placid… yet most travel accidents… in air and by oat are caused by a high PDI. The Captain does not listen to his crew!

When you travel… wen you bank… when you invest look for low PDI!

High Energy Sunrise

This is why you may want to join me with the staff of Jyske Global Asset Management in Naples Florida to learn more about where in the world to invest now.  Learn how to attend this course free and save $499 to $750.

Until next message good global investing!

Gary

One of the best ways to prosper in this downturn is with your own internet business. You can enroll in our email internet course here for $299. However if you sign up for all three courses in June or later in 2009, I’ll send it free. You save $299. Learn more here

Get our web based course FREE if you join us in Ecuador. Learn more here.

Attend any two Ecuador courses or tours in a calendar month…$949 for one.  $1,349 for two.

Attend any three Ecuador courses or tours in a calendar month…$1,199 for one.  $1,799 for two

Future 2009 courses

May 29-31  JGAM Florida Investment Course

June 12-14 Shamanic Mingo Tour
June 16-17 Imbabura Real Estate Tour
June 18-21 Ecuador Coastal Real Estate Tour

July 3-6 Ecuador Import Export Expedition
July 8-9 Imbabura Real Estate Tour
July 10-13 Ecuador Coastal Real Estate Tour

July 24-26 IBEZ North Carolina

Sept. 17-21 Ecuador Spanish Course
Sept. 23-24 Imbabura Real Estate Tour
Sept. 25-28 Ecuador Coastal Real Estate Tour

Oct. 9-11 IBEZ North Carolina

Oct. 21-24 Ecuador Import Export Expedition

Nov. 6-8 IBEZ Ecuador
Nov. 9-10 Imbabura Real Estate Tour
Nov. 11-14 Ecuador Coastal Real Estate Tour

Earn in Ecuador


Many readers write asking for ways to earn in Ecuador.

They want to come to Ecuador… but need to earn here to stay.

This is a global problem.  More and more people…especially those of my  era…near the age where Westerners think they should retire will need to earn more in Ecuador or somewhere.   The economic downturn has ruined their pension and/or savings.

There is a lot of good in this.  Most of us should want to keep on earning… regardless of where we go or live, Ecuador or not.

Our friend and adviser,  Blaine Watson,  recently sent me an article entitled  “Author/physician Shigeaki Hinohara” written by Judit Kawaguchi that explains why it is good to remain employed well beyond what the norm calls retirement years.

The article says:  At the age of 97 years and 4 months, Shigeaki Hinohara is one of the world’s longest-serving physicians and educators. Hinohara’s magic touch is legendary: Since 1941 he has been healing patients at St. Luke’s International Hospital in Tokyo and teaching at St. Luke’s College of Nursing. After World War II, he envisioned a world-class hospital and college springing from the ruins of Tokyo; thanks to his pioneering spirit and business savvy, the doctor turned these institutions into the nation’s top medical facility and nursing school. Today he serves as chairman of the board of trustees at both organizations. Always willing to try new things, he has published around 150 books since his 75th birthday, including one “Living Long, Living Good” that has sold more than 1.2 million copies. As the founder of the New Elderly Movement, Hinohara encourages others to live a long and happy life, a quest in which no role model is better than the doctor himself.

In the article it explains that the Doctor says that energy comes from feeling good, not from eating well or sleeping a lot.  He says to plan ahead. His schedule is already booked ahead until 2014 with lectures and usual hospital work. In 2016 he plans to attend the Tokyo Olympics and says there is no need to ever retire. The doctor  but if one must, it should be a lot later than 65. The current retirement age was set at 65 half a century ago, when the average life-expectancy in Japan was 68 years and only 125 Japanese were over 100 years old. Today, Japanese women live to be around 86 and men 80, and we have 36,000 centenarians in our country. In 20 years Japan will have about 50,000 people over the age of 100.

Hinohara says. Share what you know.  He  gives 150 lectures a year, some for 100 elementary-school children, others for 4,500 business people.  He usually speaks for 60 to 90 minutes, standing, to stay strong.

This is why Merri, our webmaster and I have created a new course on how to build a web business with a webmaster.  Here is a special offer on this new course

Delegates have been gaining from our Ecuador courses on how to earn in Ecuador or elsewhere… in money and more.

Take Todd Smith as an example.  Todd attended one of our courses on how to earn via internet publishing. He started his own website. This is a photo on his home page.

earn-in-Ecuador

This is a worthwhile read because authenticity and transparency are two of the most important factors for earnings success in your own business.

Knowing our clients can have a dramatic impact on earnings and there is a growing trend of people wanting to see the whole picture.

For example, when people previously went for a cup of coffee they wanted the best coffee, served in the least expensive, fastest, most convenient way.  Now more and more buyers want more.  They want to know where the coffee was grown, what type of coffee… what did the growing process do to the environment…  how were the processors and growers of the coffee treated?

They ask what will the coffee do to the body and environment? Was the cup organic? Is the cup recycled and so forth?

We can see how this is affecting the market place in a Reuters news release some time back entitled, Starbucks Seeks More Socially Responsible Coffee.

This article told how Starbucks had launched an aggressive plan to ensure that its coffee came from environmentally friendly farms paying workers a fair wage.

They were setting up strict rules on everything from forestation to pesticides to labor practices.

Starbucks made this move because they have suffered bad publicity from coffee drinkers who wanted more than just a cup of coffee.

People today:

*See a bigger picture.
*Consume and invest in values not just material value.
*See connections.
*Are highly sensitive to being mislead.
*Are willing to pay a bit more for a whole product.
*Want authenticity.
*Are getting organized.

Micki and George Jacobs attended one of our courses on how to earn in Ecuador and globally just wrote:

We have finally gotten our website up and running for selling Bayardo’s paintings. Our webmaster (like you, he’s our son-in-law), made it attractive but simple to use. If you could mention it sometime in your news letter to get some interest started, George and I would really appreciate it. We really hope to sell enough of them to place regular orders, and maybe even increase the number of paintings ordered if sales take off.   Thanks for any help you can offer us. We hope to see you and Merri when we are down there in late March/early April.
Hugs to both of you, Micki.

Micki and George fell in love with Ecuador, and wanted to buy original art.   The watercolors of Bayardo Monteros stood out above everything else… unbelievable detail in the feathers of the birds he paints was captivating.

Here is an example of his work.

earn-in-Ecuador

Plus these Blue Footed Boobies

earn-in-Ecuador

You can see them better with more examples at George and Micki’s site.

earn-in-Ecuador

Here is our friend Monteros.

earn-ecuador

They decided it would be a great idea to regularly buy small batches of his paintings to sell in the U.S. Not only would the extra sales vastly improve Bayardo’s situation and expose his work to a larger audience, but it would also give others a chance to purchase an original piece of Ecuadorian art without the expense of traveling to Ecuador. They started this website, EcuadorianWildlife.com

So whether you want to earn in Ecuador or elsewhere our internet course can help. This is why Merri, our webmaster and I have created a new course on how to build a web business with a webmaster.  Here is a special offer on this new course

Even more important than the money is the great pleasure one can gain.  Malcolm Gladwell’s new book, “Outliers-The Story of Success”, explains what numerous studies have shown.  Those who have a fulfilling business are happier and healthier as well as better off financially.

The three keys for a business to be satisfying are:

#1: Autonomy.

#2: Complexity

#3: A direct relationship between effort and reward.

This is why earning in Ecuador or globally offers such satisfaction.  This method of earning fits all three requirements.

So if you have discovered that due to, what seems like misfortune, you have to work more… be happy. You may live longer, healthier and happier. There are more explanations about why it is good to remain active are below.

Until next message, good earning to you.

Gary

A special art form called Mazipan, made from bread dough is made into almost everything and is a favorite export. Here is it is as tiny fruits…made into pins, fridge magnets and such.

ecuador-earning

Here is it is masks.

ecuador earning

Primitive art painted on sheep skin is another favorite.   This art form evolved from drum making.

ecuador earning

Intricate carving on gourds are special.

ecuador earning

Plus many wood carvings are exported to earn in Ecuador. This is a favorite workshop.

ecuador earning

See our January 2010 Export tour schedule below:

Gary

Join us at our upcoming courses and tours on international investments and business.

Nov. 9-10 Imbabura Real Estate Tour

Nov. 11-14 Ecuador Coastal Real Estate Tour

December 6-8 Blaine Watson’s  Beyond Logic & Shamanic Tour

December 9-10 Imbabura Real Estate Tour

December 11-13 Ecuador Coastal Real Estate Tour

Jan.   8-11     Ecuador Export Tour ($499) Couple $749

Jan. 13-14     Imbabura Real Estate Tour
Jan. 16-17     Coastal Real Estate Tour
Jan. 19-20    Quito-Mindo Real Estate Tour
Jan. 22-23    Cuenca Real Estate Tour

Feb. 11-14   Quantum Wealth Florida -International Investing & Internet Business, Mt. Dora, Florida ($749) Couple $999
Feb. 15-16   Travel to Quito and Andes
Feb  17-18   Imbabura Real Estate Tour
Feb. 20-21  Coastal Real Estate Tour
Feb. 23-24  Quito-Mindo Real Estate Tour
Feb. 26-27  Cuenca Real Estate Tour

Mar. 11-14     Super Thinking + Spanish Course, Mt. Dora, Florida ($749) Couple $999
Mar. 15-16    Travel to Quito and Andes
Mar. 17-18     Imbabura Real Estate Tour
Mar. 19-20    Cotacachi Shamanic Tour
Mar. 22-23    Coastal Real Estate Tour
Mar. 25-26    Cuenca Real Estate Tour

Join us in 2010.   Attend more than one seminar and tour and save even more plus get the three emailed courses free.

Our multi seminar-tour discounts have grown!  See the 2010 winter schedule below.  To Enroll click below.

1 real estate tour  $499 Couple $749

2 seminar courses & tours $949 Couple  $1,399

3 seminar courses & tours   $1199 Couple  $1,749

4 seminar courses & tours   $1,399 Couple $2,149

5 seminar courses & tours  $1,599 Couple $2,499

(Be sure to show in the comments section which courses and tours you are attending)

International Club attend up to 52 courses and tours in 2010 free.

See our entire 2010 seminar and tour schedule here

Dr Hinohara aso said about longevity:  My inspiration is Robert Browning’s poem “Abt Vogler.” My father used to read it to me. It encourages us to make big art, not small scribbles. It says to try to draw a circle so huge that there is no way we can finish it while we are alive. All we see is an arch; the rest is beyond our vision but it is there in the distance.

I have copied that poem Abt Vogler below:

1  Would that the structure brave, the manifold music I build,
2  Bidding my organ obey, calling its keys to their work,
3 Claiming each slave of the sound, at a touch, as when Solomon willed
4  Armies of angels that soar, legions of demons that lurk,
5  Man, brute, reptile, fly,–alien of end and of aim,
6  Adverse, each from the other heaven-high, hell-deep removed,–
7  Should rush into sight at once as he named the ineffable Name,
8  And pile him a palace straight, to pleasure the princess he loved!

9  Would it might tarry like his, the beautiful building of mine,
10  This which my keys in a crowd pressed and importuned to raise!
11   Ah, one and all, how they helped, would dispart now and now combine,
12   Zealous to hasten the work, heighten their master his praise!
13   And one would bury his brow with a blind plunge down to hell,
14   Burrow awhile and build, broad on the roots of things,
15   Then up again swim into sight, having based me my palace well,
16   Founded it, fearless of flame, flat on the nether springs.

17   And another would mount and march, like the excellent minion he was,
18   Ay, another and yet another, one crowd but with many a crest,
19   Raising my rampired walls of gold as transparent as glass,
20   Eager to do and die, yield each his place to the rest:
21   For higher still and higher (as a runner tips with fire,
22  When a great illumination surprises a festal night–
23  Outlining round and round Rome’s dome from space to spire)
24  Up, the pinnacled glory reached, and the pride of my soul was in sight.

25   In sight? Not half! for it seemed, it was certain, to match man’s birth,
26   Nature in turn conceived, obeying an impulse as I;
27   And the emulous heaven yearned down, made effort to reach the earth,
28   As the earth had done her best, in my passion, to scale the sky:
29   Novel splendours burst forth, grew familiar and dwelt with mine,
30   Not a point nor peak but found and fixed its wandering star;
31   Meteor-moons, balls of blaze: and they did not pale nor pine,
32   For earth had attained to heaven, there was no more near nor far.

33   Nay more; for there wanted not who walked in the glare and glow,
34   Presences plain in the place; or, fresh from the Protoplast,
35   Furnished for ages to come, when a kindlier wind should blow,
36   Lured now to begin and live, in a house to their liking at last;
37   Or else the wonderful Dead who have passed through the body and gone,
38   But were back once more to breathe in an old world worth their new:
39   What never had been, was now; what was, as it shall be anon;
40   And what is,–shall I say, matched both? for I was made perfect too.

41    All through my keys that gave their sounds to a wish of my soul,
42    All through my soul that praised as its wish flowed visibly forth,
43    All through music and me! For think, had I painted the whole,
44    Why, there it had stood, to see, nor the process so wonder-worth:
45    Had I written the same, made verse–still, effect proceeds from cause,
46    Ye know why the forms are fair, ye hear how the tale is told;
47     It is all triumphant art, but art in obedience to laws,
48    Painter and poet are proud in the artist-list enrolled:–

49   But here is the finger of God, a flash of the will that can,
50   Existent behind all laws, that made them and, lo, they are!
51    And I know not if, save in this, such gift be allowed to man,
52    That out of three sounds he frame, not a fourth sound, but a star.
53    Consider it well: each tone of our scale in itself is nought;
54    It is everywhere in the world–loud, soft, and all is said:
55    Give it to me to use! I mix it with two in my thought:
56    And, there! Ye have heard and seen: consider and bow the head!

57    Well, it is gone at last, the palace of music I reared;
58    Gone! and the good tears start, the praises that come too slow;
59    For one is assured at first, one scarce can say that he feared,
60   That he even gave it a thought, the gone thing was to go.
61    Never to be again! But many more of the kind
62    As good, nay, better, perchance: is this your comfort to me?
63   To me, who must be saved because I cling with my mind
64    To the same, same self, same love, same God: ay, what was, shall be.

65    Therefore to whom turn I but to thee, the ineffable Name?
66    Builder and maker, thou, of houses not made with hands!
67    What, have fear of change from thee who art ever the same?
68    Doubt that thy power can fill the heart that thy power expands?
69    There shall never be one lost good! What was, shall live as before;
70    The evil is null, is nought, is silence implying sound;
71     What was good shall be good, with, for evil, so much good more;
72     On the earth the broken arcs; in the heaven, a perfect round.

73     All we have willed or hoped or dreamed of good shall exist;
74    Not its semblance, but itself; no beauty, nor good, nor power
75    Whose voice has gone forth, but each survives for the melodist
76    When eternity affirms the conception of an hour.
77    The high that proved too high, the heroic for earth too hard,
78    The passion that left the ground to lose itself in the sky,
79    Are music sent up to God by the lover and the bard;
80    Enough that he heard it once: we shall hear it by and by.

81     And what is our failure here but a triumph’s evidence
82    For the fulness of the days? Have we withered or agonized?
83    Why else was the pause prolonged but that singing might issue thence?
84    Why rushed the discords in, but that harmony should be prized?
85    Sorrow is hard to bear, and doubt is slow to clear,
86    Each sufferer says his say, his scheme of the weal and woe:
87    But God has a few of us whom he whispers in the ear;
88    The rest may reason and welcome; ’tis we musicians know.

89     Well, it is earth with me; silence resumes her reign:
90     I will be patient and proud, and soberly acquiesce.
91     Give me the keys. I feel for the common chord again,
92     Sliding by semitones till I sink to the minor,–yes,
93     And I blunt it into a ninth, and I stand on alien ground,
94    Surveying awhile the heights I rolled from into the deep;
95    Which, hark, I have dared and done, for my resting-place is found,
96    The C Major of this life: so, now I will try to sleep.

Profit From the 2011 Economic Disaster


Are We 33 Months From Real Economic Disaster?

Dear International Friend,

Many investors worry about the current economic downturn…yet there is a destructive investment fundamental that is now so powerful it overwhelms all other factors that affect investing.  It has such power it could destroy most investors in North America and make the current recession pale in comparison. The frightening part is it could unleash its destruction as soon as October 2011!  I want to share what, when and when this disaster could happen.

Then I want to share how you can make a fortune from NOW THROUGH 2012 and during this crash.

Before I explain how you can reap profits never before imagined and sidestep the upcoming disaster that will wipe out so many investors…..we need to look at some facts.

These are facts, figures and statistics that will truly horrify anyone who even keeps a modest checkbook.  The figures give rise to such great concern that we can see the horrible predicament into which we are being led.

Let me prepare you by assuring you that every economic crash is simply a shifting of fortunes.  Just as the depression of the 1930s created many millionaires, so will this crash.  Once you understand the problems, you can find easy ways to protect against them and become one of those who are enriched rather than ruined during the transition.

Part of this debacle will come because the US dollar is now near a major fall…in fact an unprecedented crash is a better term what will happen to the dollar.  We now know, having seen the Dow fall 50% in a year, that US institutions are not invincible from unparalleled drops.

There may be ups for the US Dollar.  For every period of a rising dollar, there will be longer periods when dollars fall.  For every upward move, there will be an ever greater fall,  Each rising will be weaker and shorter, each fall, longer and deeper.

In this knowledge lies a fortune!  Here is why this fact is so sure.

In 1964, the year Lyndon Johnson became president, the total national debt was  $316 billion. By the time, Ronald Reagan left office that debt had climbed to $2.6 trillion.  The interest cost alone was $214 billion.  By 1990 the debt had risen to $3.2 trillion and interest costs for just the one year were $242.9 billion. Interest was the largest single government cost after Social Security, even greater than defense spending.  That was when the economic problem began as US debt moved towards a precipice where recovery becomes impossible.

Flash forward 18 years and read this excerpt from a December 2008 Washington Post article.

“President Bush has nearly doubled the national debt during his eight years in the White House.  Mr. Bush is on track to add $5 trillion to the $5.73 trillion national debt he inherited when he took office. According to Treasury Department data, the number was $10.66 trillion at the end of November, and it has been rising at an astronomical rate.”

That’s bad enough…but the future gets worse as the article says that during fiscal 2008, which ended Sept. 30, 2008 the national debt increased by more than $1 trillion, breaking the previous fiscal year record of more than $600 billion.

The government’s debt situation is about to get worse as the Post outlines that
Federal debt should increase by $2 trillion in fiscal year 2009 alone!

Given an average interest rate of 4 percent, that $5 trillion of extra debt requires extra $200 billion per year from taxpayers in interest on that debt – in perpetuity.

The Post article points out,  “During October, the first month of fiscal 2009, the national debt increased by a staggering $549 billion. That was approximately three-quarters of $1 billion every hour of every day, or more than $12 million per minute and more than $200,000 per second.”

This is a lot of debt even for America’s 14 trillion a year economy.

Then the news gets worse.

Excerpts from an August 2008 US News & World report says:  “Welcome to America’s $2 Trillion Budget Deficit.  Barack Obama has already said that America’s ‘investment deficit’ will take priority over its budget deficit.

A rough estimate of the cost of this New New Deal would be close to $500 billion a year, maybe $775 billion if Uncle Sam is to completely offset the drop in consumer spending predicted by Rosenberg. Now, as it is, the government is expected to run a $500 billion deficit next year. So the S&S plan would put that budget deficit at over $1 trillion. And if you tack on a potential $500 billion to $1 trillion bailout of the banking industry, that $1 trillion deficit could conceivably double to $2 trillion.

But a $2 trillion budget deficit would be, like, 15 percent of GDP. That would be the highest level since World War II and more than twice as high as the postwar peak of 6 percent in 1983.

I can’t believe the global bond and currency market vigilantes wouldn’t completely freak, sending U.S. financial markets into chaos. Talk about a worst—though entirely possible—case scenario.

How much worse could the situation get… a one year deficit that is 15% of Americas fourteen trillion dollar a year economy?

The answer is much worse…in fact five times worse… because…
all of these government estimates are skewed.

If US debt is now 10 trillion and Obama’s administration borrows 2 billion more in 2009, that makes the debt look like 12 trillion.

Yet according to excerpts a USA Today article, “Taxpayers on the hook for $59 trillion” by Dennis Cauchon.  The federal government’s debt is five times worse if corporate-style accounting standards are used.

The article says:  “Modern accounting requires that corporations, state governments and local governments count expenses immediately when a transaction occurs, even if the payment will be made later.

“The federal government does not follow the rule, so promises for Social Security and Medicare don’t show up when the government reports its financial condition.

“Bottom line: Taxpayers are now on the hook for a record $59.1 trillion in liabilities, a 2.3% increase from 2006. That amount is equal to $516,348 for every U.S. household.”

With such fundamentals, it is hard to be anything but pessimistic about the US dollar.  This is why, with the information I am about to share, you can reap profits again and again.

Take for example the financial power that comes from understanding the value of the US dollar to the Japanese yen.

Despite the crash of 2008, long term investors in the US stock market have done well.  January  1, 1982, the Dow Jones Industrial Average was 896.  January 1, 2009 it was  8,515.  That is a rise of 9.5 times in 26 years or about 36% (9% compounded) return a year…even after the 2008 crash!   $10,000 invested has grown to $95,000.

So, it seems.

Now, let’s look at the yen.  During the first half of the 1980s, the yen failed to rise in value even though current account surpluses returned and grew quickly. From ¥221 in 1981, the average value of the yen actually dropped to ¥239 in 1985.

When the Dow was 896, a US dollar bought 230 yen.

Today, 26 years later, January 1, 2009, a dollar buys about 90 yen. Imagine this. 2,300,000 yen purchased $10,000 in 1982 which grew to $95,000.   The $95,000 buys 8,550,000 yen.

The excellent Dow profit looks downright lousy, an increase of only 3.7 times in 26 years.  61% percent of all the Dow profit in the last 26 years has been lost due to US dollar erosion.  And the dollar’s fall will grow worse!

This is powerful profit knowledge…IF…you know what to.

US government debt has passed the short term point of no return.  Three bold steps were needed two decades ago, a reduction of entitlement costs (Social Security, Medicare, Medicaid, etc.), reduced defense spending and a reduction of the existing debt.  The government moved in the opposite direction… in all three cases.

There are many ill omens as our new government still does not take this incredible problem seriously. The proposed new plans might cost trillions more. These are trillions that the US government does not have.  Nor are we likely to see any increases in tax revenues during the current economic downturn.

America must borrow to spend and the deeper the US debt, the greater the dollar’s fall.

The government’s refusal to create a plan to balance the budget shows no solution is in sight.  It is menacing to see how the government plans to spend more now.

The US Treasury only has 33 months left before a tsunami of expense rushes over  the government.   By the time (if ever) the government finally recognizes this problem, for most investors, it will be too late.  If it takes a terrible crash of the US dollar to finally wake the government, it could wipe out millions of families’ saving, capital and spending power in the process.

All these facts are omens of ill winds ahead.  There are already tens of millions of Americans who have been financially wiped out….but the worst has not even begun.

We will see hyper inflation, massive unemployment and a free fall of the greenback that will affect currencies and investing everywhere.  This crash will make the current downturn…even the last great 1930s depression look like a Sunday picnic.

You do not have to be alarmed because the resolution which I am about to share is so simple, anyone can act and can prepare for this disaster without inconvenience or trouble.

You do not have to participate in the great fall of the US dollar.  All you have to do is learn how to be a multi currency investor.

The time for international investing is right.  Global diversification has already created fortunes for a few sophisticated investors because this obvious problem of the US government debt actually makes it easier to make money, if you know how to invest abroad.

Let me explain why big problems can mean big profits, then let me explain why no one has been around to tell you how to invest abroad but why there is not a solution that can make multi currency investing totally easy for you.

First, let’s look at the big problem. It’s a sad reality that US government debt has actually been ruining US investments for over 40 years.  The big bankruptcy that’s coming is just the end.  The bankruptcy really started in 1971 and has been building steadily since.

Until 1971 the US dollar was the kingpin currency for the world.  Then it was “temporarily” suspended from the gold standard.  This “temporary” move, like our debt today, was ignored by the government. Since that time (the dollar was never reinstated to the gold standard), the buck has fallen and fallen. Though you may have read about a strong dollar lately, the reality of the greenback’s slide continues.

Don’t get me wrong, the dollar has not dropped every day.  It has enjoyed some short term rises over the past 37 years, but to see the real picture all you have to do is look at the dollar’s value in any major currency in 1971 and then look at its value today.

In 1972 for example the US $ was worth over 4.25 Swiss francs, 4.00 German marks and nearly 400 Japanese yen.  Today, as you can see from the yahoo.the same dollar has dropped as low as 1 dollar per Swiss franc, .65 euro (related to the German mark) and only 90 yen.  In other words, if you had $10,000 in 1971, it was worth about 4,000,000 yen.  If you invested those dollars safely clear back in the 1970s and earned a 4% compound return, by 2008 those dollars were worth over $40,000.  You might well feel the investment had gone well.

The sad truth is those $40,000 are now worth only 3,800,000 yen!  All US dollar investments have lost over 4% compounded each and every year for the past 22 years.  Your 4% return was a real loss by hard currency standards, but this loss has been hidden and the real facts about your wealth have been kept from you.

On the other hand, had you invested in Japan, Switzerland, Germany or most other major currencies, your investment would have tripled or quadrupled in dollar terms even before you started making profits!

There is another fact that is even more spectacular.  Most stock and bond markets abroad (in addition to the currency gains) have been better than in the US.

For example had you invested in the Dow in 1978, the ow was standing at 865. Today, mid December 2008 is is 8,500.  $10,000 invested in the Dow in 1978 would have grown to about $100,000…even after the global stock market crash.

Not bad?

If instead you had invested $10,000 in an investment as simple as the Templeton World Fund which started in 1978 and invests in stock markets al over the world, the $10,000…after the 2008 global crash…is still worth $352,080.

Look at the performance of bond markets as well.

Right now you receive 1.96% on the U.S. Treasury bonds that mature 2013.

Yet good quality Danish bonds of about the same term pay 4.53%  in Danish kroner.

Norwegian kroner bonds pay 3.70%
Swedish government bonds pay 2.74%
British Treasury bonds pay 3.18%
Mexican Government US dollar bonds 5.10%
Peru Government US dollar bonds 7.57%
South African bonds in euro pay 8.61%
Indonesian bonds in US dollars pay 11.57%
Hungarian Government Florin bonds 12.35%
Brazilian Government Real bonds 14.78%

Plus all of the currencies above (though depressed lately) have appreciated as much as 50% versus the dollar in recent years.

These statistics show how US government debt has invisibly, but relentlessly, destroyed the value of our investments in North America.  These statics come from my multi currency investment course, that can help you prosper even though the US dollar falls.

I’ll explain the course but first let me explain why, even though the US dollar has fallen so dramatically over the past 37 years, no one has been knocking on your door to tell you how to invest abroad.

It is the very weakness of the US dollar that has stopped North American banks, brokers and other financial institutions from telling you about the problem. These facts have been hidden from you because they have been afraid if US investors knew how bad the dollar has been that no one would deal with them.  They have, short and simple, been afraid of losing business.

Now let me tell you about this simple easy-to-use investment course called Multi Currency Investing  (MCI) and how you can have it on a no risk basis.

First, let me explain that the course is designed for anyone.  It is even for those who have never invested abroad, even if they are small investors with only a few thousand or a small amount to invest monthly.  MCI explains how investments can be made overseas for small amounts.  It even explains how to invest out of the US dollar right her in the US and never leave your home of office.

However, MCI also gives sophisticated information that you might not know even if you have been investing all over the world.  Some of my readers and course delegates are billionaires who own dozens of companies and invest all over the world!

Sleepy, Safe Portfolios Can Earn Over 100% Per Year

Multi currency investing does not require any fast trading techniques.  Multi currency portfolios are normally slow and sleepy investments…not currency contracts or futures speculations.  Most multi currency positions are aimed with a five year horizon…pretty sleepy compared to people who trade currencies (an entirely different and far riskier technique). For most of us, slow and sleepy mean SAFE!

Yet multi currency portfolios can be really profitable as well.

How sleepy and how safe?

Let’s look first at sleepy.

In 2006 we created an Asian multi currency portfolio consisting of just five award winning mutual funds.

We did not touch the entire portfolio for an entire year. Then after one year we made just five changes…dropping two mutual funds and adding three other mutual funds. Then we did not make another single change. That’s pretty sleepy, choosing a handful of mutual funds and making only five changes in two years.

Okay. Here is the big question. How profitable?

In the first year (2006) this portfolio rose 114.16%. Then we made the five changes mentioned (two funds dropped and three added). In 2007 this portfolio rose 122.62%.  2008 was a disaster year and the portfolio lost 79%. But when your portfolio is up over 236% in two years, it takes a lot of disaster to lose…so this portfolio is well ahead even after the great 2008 crash.

Year one up 114%
Year two up 122%
Year three down 79%

Total in three years…up 157% or an average of over 52% per annum for three years…even after the 2008 crash.

May I hasten to add that the portfolios published in the portfolio are not published recommendations.  These are portfolios we study to learn why they rise or fall. More on this in a moment.

First let’s examine safety.  How safe?

The portfolios were chosen with the help of one of the world’s safest banks and the mutual funds were all subsidiaries of that bank.

That safe bank is a Danish bank. That’s good because in recent years Denmark has been rated by Standard & Poor’s as one of the safest country in the world in which to bank.

The bank is Jyske Bank…well established with a history of over 100 years. Jyske is Denmark ’s second largest bank, with 450,000 clients in Denmark and over 30,000 abroad.

Jyske Bank has over 23 billion euros in assets and also happens to be one of the leading currency traders in the world. The Danes have always been big currency traders because as a small naval country surrounded by England, Sweden, Finland, Russia, Germany, Norway and other countries…they have always had to deal in many currencies.

This historically gained expertise means that unlike most banks (that trade only eight hours a day) Jyske maintains a 24 hour global currency and commodity dealer service. Many other large banks use Jyske to handle their off hour currency positions. This means that Jyske is huge when it comes to multi currency activity. In fact their turnover reaches $50 billion dollars a day.

Let’s address this issue of safety in more detail. Normally this is a pretty moot point. Right now everyone is concerned. Is a bank safe or not? I like Jyske from a bank safety point of view because there are three bank safety points, from the top down.

Bank Safety Point #1: A recent Yahoo Canada article shows a survey by the World Economic Forum listed five safest countries in which to bank.

Canada
Sweden
Luxembourg
Australia
Denmark

So Denmark is a safe place to bank. Now let’s look at Jyske Bank’s safety rating.

Bank Safety Point #2: Jyske Bank is Denmark’s second largest bank.
On October 10 2008, Moody’s affirmed Jyske Bank’s long-term Aa2 rating stable rating. This decision came despite the deteriorated economic prospects in Denmark, particularly in respect of the property market.

Bank Safety Point #3: Also on Friday 10 October 2008, the Danish Parliament passed a bill that secured all deposits and unsecured claims against losses in Danish financial institutions. The rating of the Kingdom of Denmark is Aaa/AAA with Moody’s and Standard & Poor’s respectively.

These are common sense bankers. They had minimal sub prime exposure when that scandal broke. Jyske had zero Madoff exposure.

That’s safe!

I happen to know Jyske Bank because I began using them (as my bank) over 20 years ago. They are one of the few banks that offers a special multi currency portfolio service for investors from almost anywhere in the world…including US investors through their Jyske Global Asset Management.

I was one of the first writers and publishers to begin writing about multi currency investing. Jyske bank was one of the first banks to offer a multi currency portfolio service…and they were my bank.

Not surprising we got together and have created a symbiotic relationship that can help you learn how to create multi currency portfolios that suit you.   Jyske Bank assists by providing information that only a huge global bank trading 50 billion dollars of currencies and contracts a day (as Jyske does) can afford.   My symbiotic relationship with Jyske allows me to combine my experience with this bank’s incredible knowledge, real time information capability and expertise so you learn in a most practical way from some of the greatest multi currency experts in the world.

Now let’s look at both the up and down side of these high performing portfolios and how they work?

The goal of MCI is not to recommend investments for you, but to help you learn how to be a multi currency investor so you are better at directing your broker,  banker or investment advisor.

To accomplish this goal, the course provides three levels of education.

Part one of MCI is an extensive beginner’s guide to developing multi currency portfolios.  This entire primer is sent to you when you begin the course.  This portion of the course takes nothing for granted and walks you step by step through every part of international investing.

Take, one of the primer lessons as an example. It explains theory on some of the reasons why currencies move, but taking nothing for granted it also explains what the currencies of the world are and gives their history, so before you learn why the euro doubled versus the US dollar, you get to know these currencies and the their underlying fundamentals.

Another lesson in the primer gives case studies that are real examples of how the theory has been put to use in the past.  This lesson covers theory on why currencies move and how to spot the hot currencies months ahead of time. Then it gets down to brass tacks and explains how to open bank accounts overseas to hold the hot currencies…or even how to invest abroad through US banks and brokers.

Everything about how to bank abroad and hold the currencies is covered.  How to open accounts, how to send money abroad all the laws relating to overseas accounts, taxation, etc. plus the most important part, which is how to spend the money when you need it from overseas accounts.

Then the course gives a real, live case study that show how the theory works in reality. It tells about an investor who opened an account, got a  checkbook and credit card and how he used them both and held several currencies for higher returns that he gained with US dollars.

Finally you also get valuable contacts in the course.  These are vitally important. There are names and addresses of institutions and source of information you can use to turn your knowledge into action!

Here is the syllabus of the primer you will receive in MCI.

* Why Currencies Move.

* How to Bank Abroad.

* How to Buy Stocks and Bonds Overseas.

* How to Choose Currencies.

* Why Currencies Rise and Fall.

* How to Borrow Low and Deposit High.

* How to Buy Mutual Funds That Invest Abroad.

* ETFS. Why They are Often Better Than Managed Funds.

* How to Find Bonds that are Like and Often Better than Shares

* How and When to Capture Recoveries.

* Global Portfolio Diversification Theory.

* When Leveraged Low Risk Portfolios Are Safer and Perform Better Than High Risk Portfolios.

The primer deals with the past…but as we so vividly saw in 2008…markets are always in a state of change so…

Part two studies global markets in real time.  Your MCI course comes in regular emailed lessons usually emailed every two or three days.  Though at times you’ll get a lesson every day for many days in a row. Other times nothing will come for a week because these lessons are based on real time market activity.  MCI studies currencies and global investment markets and reports to you on their value and why that value occurs.

This portion of the course studies the current performance of portfolios that Jyske bank creates…plus examines the portfolios of several globally diversified mutual funds….for both small and large investors.   This portion of your course gives you an overall, up-to-date understanding of market and currency moves.

Part three of MCI shares my portfolio and where I invest.  This is an unusual feature…so let me explain why MCI regularly reviews my personal investment portfolio and how this can be of value to your investing.

First this is honest.nd we have fund that for us…honesty pays.

As we recently learned from the Madoff scam…investors must always be on guard.  This is our 41st year of educating about international investing.  This is all we do and our great long term success has been based on placing our readers ahead of all other considerations.   We do not sell investments. We do not give individual advice.  We have no hidden agendas that could lead investments astray.

We want you to see and know what we are doing based on our own advice so you can trust the data we share.  Otherwise the lessons do little good.  You the reader are the only way we earn.  We do not receive commissions…or any form of remuneration for selling shares or accounts etc.   We hope to work with you for life…rather than make some type of quick killing by advising you to invest in something we d not really believe in.

We feel that by letting you know how we actually invest helps accomplish this long term bond.

This is vital because we often invest exactly the opposite of the market.

Take for example the five 2007 portfolios we studied in MCI:

Portfolios             12 Month Rise
Swiss Samba           53.32%
Emerging Mkt        122.62%
Dollar Short             48.19%
Dollar Neutral          38.67%
Green                    266.30%

This is performance you will rarely see duplicated…anywhere…at any time.

Yet these were model portfolios…not meant to be yours….not meant to be mine.  I do not invest in these portfolios because…they do not suit my lifestyle and my unique personal financial needs.  One of the key lessons that MCI focuses on…again and again is “there is no perfect portfolio for you”… except one designed uniquely for you.

My portfolio is not perfect for you either…yet seeing “how” I adapt my portfolio to our virtual real time portfolio reviews can help you learn how to adapt your personal portfolio  as well.

So even though our study portfolios were enjoying world class performance, exploding upwards like rockets,  I was reducing leverage and getting out of markets.  On August 17, 2007…well before the 2008 collapse began I posted the note in an MCI lesson on why I was getting out of leverage and equities.

“Such historical measures are so inexact that we cannot predict just from them what will happen in the short term. The numbers are close enough that we could be entering the fourth sub cycle down (similar to 1976 to 1978). If so expect a sustained drop in markets for two to three years.”

Even though the portfolios MCI studied continued to rise, I sent another danger lesson to the course on September 21, 2007. “Equity markets dropped again violently last month. Now these markets have recovered again. Yet this may be a last gasp party.”

I began increasingly concerned for myself and on October 14 sent this lesson  “Periods of high performance are followed by times of low returns. We never know for sure when an upwards cycle will stall. Fundamentals look good for a bright 2008 in emerging and equity markets, but this can change quickly so to give our readers a better perspective, this year we are reducing leverage and adding a sixth portfolio with no leverage to study”.

The Oct. 15, 2007 lesson said: “Okay it’s time to turn the burner down and offered a “leverage dwindling” warning.  On Oct. 26 I explained to readers that I had eliminated even my modest leverage and wrote: “There is a final reason I liquidated my leverage now…to lead by example. Too many readers are thinking that the dollar short or dollar neutral Portfolios are only up 38% or 48% for the year. When one thinks that way they could be headed for trouble, so I hope investors will follow my lead and take greater care with their leverage.”

I did not stop. The November 8, 2007 was a Black Friday interim message that warned again about all the points above and more.

This created one plain and simple fact.   The 2008 stock market crash drop did not surprise those enrolled in MCI.

Right now at the end of 2008, I am adding leveraged bonds to my portfolio. Here is an excerpt from the December 28, 2008 MCI lesson:

There are many similarities between the US economy and the US government’s response to the downturn with Japan’s slowdown in the early 1990s and the Japanese  government’s response then.   Readers made fortunes borrowing yen as they may make fortunes borrowing dollars now.

Watch especially now for ways to borrow dollars at low rates for investing in high yield, short term dollar bonds like:

Currency                      Bond                               Yield

USD    9.125   19/05/2009    SOUTH AFRICA     6.04%

USD    10.25   17/06/2013     BRAZIL REP OF     6.24%

USD     8.25     31/03/2010     RUSSIA                   5.93%

This type of bond has no currecny risk if leveraged in US dollars.  Your only major risk is default.

Bonds denominated in euro are even more to my liking because they pay higher interest and have a potential forex gain if the dollar drops again verus the euro.

Yet our lessons are objective and provide warnings of risk as well.  This type of leveraged investment also has a chance of loss if the dollar rises verus the euro. Do not borrow more than you can afford to lose!

There is even more yield potential in bonds denominated in euro.

EUR      5.75   02/07/2010     ROMANIA             10.81%

EUR    8.5     24/09/2012     BRAZIL REP OF      7.49%

EUR    5.25     16/05/2013     SOUTH AFRICA     8.61%

These three bonds yield an average 8.97%. They represent a diversification into Europe, Latin America and Africa.   If you invest $100,000 and also invest another borrowed $100,000 at 4%, your total annual return is 13.94%  before  any forex gains or loss.

MCI provides you with bank contacts who  lend in many currencies often at very low rates, to leverage investments.

Multi Currency Investing helps you enjoy the ultimate form of financial security.

From the very first lesson, you expand your knowledge about investing abroad.  You gain contacts that can bring you solid profits and safety when most investors are being silently robbed blind by the steady deterioration of the US economy and the US dollar.

I want to give my readers an answer to relieve the anxiety they faced from this awesome dollar problem that I don’t think is going to get solved.

I originally started this course just for my readers.  Tens of thousands enrolled and we have shared how to invest globally for deades.

Now due to the 2008 global economic crash, I am rewriting the entire course.  This
crash has changed everything and I would like to share how to profit in 2009 with you.

Everyone needs to know how to have multi currency diversification. But in case this course does not help you, we provide a 30 day “completely satisfied or your money back” guarantee that we have offered our hundreds of thousands of readers for more than 20 years.

Our Multi Currency Educational Service is normally a mere $249 for a very long and educational year!

Won’t you share this exciting world of wealth accumulation with us and our readers around the world?

Subscribe here or see below how to join us in Ecuador or North Carolina and receive this course FREE.

Gary Scott

P.S.   As previously mentioned, the portfolios we tracked in 2007 had the following results:

Portfolios             12 Month Rise
Swiss Samba           53.32%
Emerging Mkt        122.62%
Dollar Short             48.19%
Dollar Neutral          38.67%
Green                    266.30%

You can imagine performance like this attracted quite a bit of attention…and it did.

However these high returns were not the important benefit our readers gained.

MCI does not recommend nor manage portfolios.  We did not suggest that readers invest in these portfolios. We created and tracked them because they were educational.

The courses is designed so you can work with your own investment manager to create your own multi currency portfolio that suits your own special, individual needs.  The multi currency investment course is designed to help you learn how to manage your manager… nothing more.  Yet this is a lot because Jyske Bank can provide a stable and safe institution for those who wish to employ a multi currency strategy.

The course will help you guide  any investment adviser or investment manager who understands how to invest in more than one currency.

The course also helps you manage risk. The incredible portfolio performance above was achieved because the portfolios were leveraged using a tactic we call a multi currency sandwich. Investors borrow low and invest in yielding or growth portfolios. The portfolios used loans in Japanese yen and Swiss francs to magnify profits in good times.

Plus we learned how leverage pushes losses faster in bad times and that leverage can help recovery at the end of bad times as well.

Here is an interesting multi currency fact that provides us with a valuable investing idea.   In 2009 we are tracking three Jyske portfolios.

Low Risk Multi Currency Portfolio invests in:  Fixed Income 70%,  Equities 20%,  Alternatives 5%,  Cash 5%.

Medium Risk Multi Currency Portfolio invests in: Fixed Income, 40%,  Equities 50%,  Alternatives 5%, Cash 5%.

High Risk Multi Currency Portfolio invests in:  Fixed Income  10%, Equities 80%,  Alternatives 5%,  Cash 5%.

Our studies to date have shown that the low risk portfolio, with some leverage, can be safer and perform better than a non leveraged high risk portfolio.

MCI continually reviews these portfolios so we can earn real time from their performance.

Subscribe here or see below how to join us in Ecuador or North Carolina and receive this course FREE.

Here is what a few others from around the world have said about our services and reports on international investing.

“ Gary , I am a long time subscriber in various media, and while cleaning out my files today I found some old ‘Gary A. Scotts World Reports’. In particular, the April 1988 issue provided the info that made me over a million dollars. Just wanted to say a belated ‘thank you’ and please continue the excellent work. Warm regards,”
From an Unknown Reader

“Dear Gary, I would like to give thanks to you for introducing me to Jyske Bank two years ago.

“I have been a long-time client of Merrill Lynch, but am in the process of re-evaluating my relationship with the largest brokerage company in the world. My problem is that when I compare Merrill to Jyske, Jyske outshines Merrill (or other major U.S. brokerage firms) in most categories as follows:

“1) Even though Jyske is much smaller, it has a much more global perspective which is critical in an evermore global investment environment.

“2) In order to maximize their own individual revenue, the brokers at Merrill prefer to outsource the day-to-day management of their accounts to various fund managers and hence, ‘manage the managers’. In contrast, I can call my Account Manager at Jyske and he can discuss every aspect of my account in detail with me.

“3) I attribute this difference in #2 to the fact that Jyske’s employees are not compensation driven, but instead are focused on satisfying their customers. That is why Jyske’s clients stay with the Bank on average for 12 years, which is phenomenal by Wall Street standards.

“4) Jyske’s security is far more stringent than that of Merrill’s. In addition to the standard account code and password, to pass through Jyske’s security one has to enter a Key Card number and also a randomly-generated 4-digit number from said Key Card.

“5) Having an account offshore allows me to sleep better given the anxious times we live in. Since I report the existence of the account and pay all taxes due, I am fully compliant with the law. However, such an account gives me and my family a ‘financial life boat’ should events in our own country ever get out of hand.

“As Dorothy Parker once said, ‘You can lead a horse to water, but you can’t make them THINK’. Jyske is a thinking person’s bank. My only complaint is the time zone difference since I live in California . However, since I am an early riser and my Account Manager is very responsive to my emails, this problem is very small relative to the HUGE benefits.

“Again, many thanks for introducing me to Jyske Bank. Given the ‘dumbing down’ that occurs in the popular media today, your ezine and its recommendations are ever more important. Please continue your good work to enlighten your readership.  Warm regards,”
C.M. CALIFORNIA Businessman

“I was so overwhelmed with information I received I had to spend several days reading, sorting and filing it! I have decided to move my modest investment capital overseas.”
B.W. MONTREAL CANADA Professor

“Send me your report on safe banks lending at 7% for redeposit at 13% or more.” B.V. ADDIS ABADA ETHIOPIA Economic Commission United Nations

“A number of new and significant contacts were made. It would be extremely helpful if you could supply us with WORLD REPORTS.” I.M. TORONTO , CANADA Banker

“You are as good as your word which is rare these days. I look forward to attending one of your seminars.” C.K. GENEVA , SWITZERLAND Banker

“In spite of my marketing experience, your information really got me going!” M. C. LONDON, ENGLAND Marketing Consultant

“Thanks for the three reports. They are very interesting and should find many readers here in Japan .” M.A. Tokyo , JAPAN Computer Programmer

“I would like to say how much I enjoyed the information I received.” A.B. Providenciales TURKS & CAICOS Accountant

“First let me say how much we enjoyed the investment seminar.” W.J. SAUDI ARABIA Oil Engineer

“Once again thanks for all the great information.” G.K. PERTH , AUSTRALIA Insurance Executive

“Your letter of November 8th warned me to beware of the market just a week before the 120 point crash on November 15th!” T.G. N. CAROLINA Pilot”

Yet global economics 2008 have changed everything.   So I am now offering this course to a wider audience who have indicated their concern with the state of the US economy.

Before I make this offer to a wider audience however, I want to make a special December offer to you.

This course has been and is normally offered for $249.

To begin, I am reducing that price to $175…a savings of $74…yet there is much more because you can enjoy this course FREE.

You can enroll here…now and save $74

Here is how to receive this course FREE.

In 2009 I will work with Jyske Bank to conduct four  courses  about how to be a multi currency investor.

Two of these courses will be conducted in Ecuador

February 13 -15 and Nov. 6 to 8, 2009

The other two courses will  be conducted in North Carolina.

July 24-26 and  Oct. 9-11, 2009

Simply sign up for any of the four courses above and you receive the Multi Currency Course in 2009 FREE.