Tag Archive | "Inflation"

How to Survive Selective Inflation


The worst kinds of inflation are unreasonable rises in the costs of basics such as  food, shelter and medicine.   There are times when due to income, inequality or legal inefficiency, inflation becomes a form of extortion.  Take the case of shelter, various anti discrimination laws are used to stop landlords from abusing their power to provide  shelter (such as asking for sex to reduce or forego rent), but the practice is all too common.

We don’t have to look far to see legal extortion in medicine.  There has been an outrage about the rise in the price of a decades-old drug called Daraprim.   A new company, Turing Pharmaceuticals, bought the drug and promptly increased the price from $13.50 per tablet to $750 per tablet — a 5,000 percent jump!  However this new company is just following the example of Valeant Pharmaceutical which has a business model of buying existing drugs and raising prices aggressively, rather than trying to develop new drugs.  In essence these companies are extorting (currently in a legal way) unreasonable profits with the threat, “Pay up or die”.

Valeant Drug Prices

This image from the New York Times article on rising drug prices (1) shows how in 2015 alone, Valeant raised prices on its brand-name drugs an average of 66 percent.

Selective inflation is likely to apply to the even more basic item-food.  Here is why I think selective inflation could hurt hundreds of millions of people, especially those on a fixed income.

I recently researched inflation beyond the Consumer Price Index for my report, “The Silver Dip 2015”.   What I found is that since 1942 US median income increased 29 times.  House prices rose from 1942 until 2015 47 times. The cost of cars jumped 36 times.  Gold is up 33 times its value in 1942.  Silver rose 38 times in the same period.

This means that gold and silver were reasonable hedges against some forms of inflation.  Had you stored a pile of the precious metals away in 1942 to buy a car  or house today, you could do it.   This is true of going to a movie, up 33 times or renting an apartment.  Apartment rentals are up 34 times.

The metals have done even better when it comes to eating.  The price of bread has risen 21 times.  Sugar is up 10 times. Hamburger about 13 times.  Coffee  11 times.  Eggs 13 times increase.  Milk 16 times.

Ideally this means that food companies have been good about not gouging consumers.  Regretfully in the face of growing income inequity, failing corporate ethics and rising food prices we might be a bit cynical and not count on this.  The more likely fact is that food processors will see the lag as an excuse to let food prices catch up.

Last May the Labor Department indicated that Americans should be prepared for food prices to remain relatively high.

Meats have seen the steepest rise in price along with dairy products.

Rising food prices can continue to a be a source of stress worldwide as internationally traded food prices rose by a steep 4.0%. Corn and wheat, in particular, contributed to the rise.  The commodities each increased 12% and 18% worldwide this year through the middle of the year despite record grain harvests.

Living standards will suffer as more is spent on grocery store bills, leaving less for discretionary spending.

According to an article at cheatsheets.com (2) The World Bank says that already high food prices have become “the new normal,” and writes that, in less developed nations, families cope with rising prices by “pulling their children out of school and eating cheaper less nutritious food, which can have severe life-long effects… one-third of all child deaths globally are attributed to under-nutrition.”

There are numerous reasons for the increasing cost of food, climate change, drought, increased demand, rising labor costs and worker shortages all which create price pressure.

The largest price pressure comes from industry consolidation.  As processors and packagers merge, reduced competition creates higher food prices.

The best way to overcome selective inequality inflation such as rising food prices is to make sure your income and savings rise faster than prices.

The price comparisons in my research show that gold has outperformed nine of 14 inflation standards reviewed.  Silver outperformed 12 of the standards.  This suggests that gold and silver have done pretty well in maintaining value as real money.

However, this comparison also suggests that gold and silver are not necessarily badly undervalued either.  Beware of claims of $2,000 or $5,000 an ounce gold!  The price of gold and silver are likely to continue rising and falling along their medians.  If the conclusions of the inflation comparison are correct, any time silver drops much below $14, it is perhaps under valued. Gold below $1,150 is also likely a good deal.

This suggests that the price of silver and gold may not rise as fast as the price of medicine or food.  This is why I have written two reports, one on value investing in currency patterns,  “Three Currency Patterns For 50% Profits or More” and on how to use leverage with silver, “Silver Dip 2015“.

Integrating equity and currency value investing with leverage and precious metals can increase profits to help us stay abreast of selective inequality inflation.

Gary

Gain From Election Volatility

Here we are again… another election on its way… all the robo calls from politicians… the dirty tricks and the innumerable amounts of nonsense this vital process brings.

However America’s politics turn out, one thing is sure.  There will be volatility in stock markets during the election process.

The first reason markets will bounce has nothing to do with politics or policies.   A market correction is due regardless of the party or the person in office.

Second the new politics has created an uncertain era.  Everyone has been shaken over the past three years whether they are pleased with the government or not.

Nothing frightens markets like uncertainty.

Third if we see rising interest rates, this will push markets down.

Despite these pitfalls, there is a way to profit using the strong US dollar and undervalue non dollar stock markets to pick up good value shares.

During nearly five decades of global investing I have noticed found that good value strategies are the best way to profit long term, through good politics and bad.  The steps to take are simple.

The first tactic is to seek safety before profit.

We can look at Warren Buffett’s investing strategy as an example.  Buffett success is talked about a lot, but rarely does anyone explain how he make so much money.  That was the fact until some researchers really stripped his operation bare.  They looked at everything and learned the deepest of Buffett’s wealth management secrets.  Fortunately they published all in a research paper at Yale University’s website. that reveals important truths about extending wealth.

This research shows that the stocks Buffett chooses are safe (with low beta and low volatility), cheap (value stocks with low price – to – book ratios), and high quality (stocks of companies that are profitable, stable, growing, and with high payout ratios).

The second tactic is to maintain staying power.  At times Buffet’s portfolio has fallen, but he has been willing and able to wait long periods for the value to reveal itself and prices to recover.

A 45 year portfolio study shows that holding a diversified good value portfolio (based on a  good value strategy) for 13 month’s time, increases the probability of outperformance to 70%.

However those who can hold the portfolio for five years gain a 88% probability of beating the bellwether in the market and after ten years the probability increases to 97.5%.

Time is your friend when you use a good value strategy.  The longer you can hold onto a well balanced good value portfolio the better the odds of outstanding success.

The Buffett strategy integrates time and value for safety and profit.

A third tactic is using limited leveraging, tactic in the strategy boosts profit.  Buffett leverages his portfolio at a ratio of approximately 1.6 to 1.   The Yale published research paper shows the leveraging methods used by Warren Buffett to amass his $50 billion fortune.  The researchers found that the returns from Buffett’s investment company, Berkshire Hathaway, far outweighed those achieved by any rival that has operated for 30 years or more.  The research shows that neither luck nor magic are involved.  Instead, the paper shows that Buffet’s success hinges on using leverage at the rate of 1.6.

To sum up the strategy, Buffet uses limited leverage to invest in large purchases of “cheap, safe, quality stocks”.  He limits leverage so he can hold on for very long periods of time, surviving rough periods where others might have been forced into a fire sale or a career shift.

Stated in another way buffet uses logic (buy good value) to have the conviction, wherewithal, and skill to invest with leverage over many decades.

What do we do when we are not Warren Buffett?

May I introduce the Purposeful Investing Course (Pi) for those who want to invest like Warren Buffet, but know they are not.  This course is based on my 50 plus years of investing experience combined with wisdom gained from some of the world’s best investment managers and economic mathematical scientists.

Enjoy Extending Wealth

Pi’s mission is to make it easy for anyone to create a three point strategy, like Buffett’s even though they do not have a lot of time for or knowledge about investing.

Pi reveals investing secrets and the sciences that make investing easy, safer, less time consuming and increases the chances of profit.

One secret is to invest with a purpose beyond the cash.  One tactic as mentioned is staying power.  This means not being caught short and having to sell during a period of loss.  This also means having enough faith in a strategy that we stick to the plan.  When we invest with purpose, doing what we love, we enjoy the process more and are more likely to hold on during down times, when most poor investors panic and sell.

Slow, Worry Free, Good Value Investing

Stress, worry and fear are three of an investor’s worst enemies.  They create the Behavior Gap, a trait exhibited by most investors, that causes them to underperform any market sector they choose.  The behavior gap is created by natural human responses to fear.   Pi helps create profitable strategies that avoid losses from this gap.

Spanning the Behavior Gap

Behavior gaps are among the biggest reasons why so many investors fail.  Human evolution makes fear the second most powerful motivator.  (Greed is the third.)  Fear creates investment losses due to behavior gaps.  Fear motivates us more strongly than desire.  By nature investors are risk adverse.

Winning investors though embrace risk because they have a plan based on good value.

Purpose is the most powerful motivator,  stronger than fear and greed, so a strategy with purpose is the most powerful of all.

Combine your needs and capabilities with good value secrets and the math to back up your value selections through the Pifolio – The Pi Model Portfolio

Lessons from Pi are based on the creation and management of a Primary Pi Model Portfolio, called the Pifolio.  There are no secrets about this portfolio except that it ignores the stories (often created by someone with vested interests) and is based entirely on good math.

The Pifolio is a theoretical portfolio of MSCI Country Benchmark Index ETFs that cover all the good value markets using my (almost) 50 years of global experience and my study of the analysis of four mathematical investing geniuses (and friends).

The Pifolio analysis begins with a continual research of international major stock markets that compares their value based on:

#1:  Current book to price

#2: Cash flow to price

#3: Earnings to price

#4: Average dividend yield

#5: Return on equity

#6: Cash flow return.

#7: Market history

We follow this research of a brilliant mathematician and have tracked this analysis for over 20 years.    This is a complete and continual study of international major and emerging stock markets.

This analysis forms the basis of a Good Value Stock Market Strategy.   The analysis is rational, mathematical and does not worry about short term ups and downs.   This strategy is easy for anyone to follow and use.  Pi reveals the best value markets and provides contacts to managers and analysts and Country Index ETFs so almost anyone can create and follow their own strategy.

A country ETF provides diversification and cost efficiency by spreading one simple, even small investment into a basket of equities in a good value stock market.  The costs are low and this type of ETF is one of the hardest for institutions to cheat.  Expense ratios for most ETFs are lower than those of the average mutual fund.

Little knowledge, time, management or guesswork are required.  The investment is simply a diversified portfolio of good value indices.  Investments in an index are like investments in all the shares of a good value market.

Pi matches this mathematical certainty with my fifty years of experience. This opens insights to numerous long term cycles that most investors miss because they have not been investing long enough to see them.

For example in the 1980s, a remarkable set of two economic circumstances helped anyone who spotted them become remarkably rich.  Some of my readers made enough to retire.  Others picked up 50% currency gains.  Then the cycle ended.  Warren Buffett explained the importance of this ending in a 1999 Fortune magazine interview.  He said:  Let me summarize what I’ve been saying about the stock market: I think it’s very hard to come up with a persuasive case that equities will over the next 17 years perform anything like—anything like—they’ve performed in the past 17!

I did well then, but always thought, “I should have invested more!”  Now those circumstances have come together and I am investing in them again.

The circumstances that created fortunes 30 years ago were an overvalued US market (compared to global markets) and an overvalued US dollar.

The two conditions are in place again!  There are currently ten good value (non US) developed markets,  plus 10 good value emerging markets.

Pi shows how to easily create a diversified, worry free portfolio in some of these good value markets using Country Index ETFs.

The current strength of the US dollar is a second remarkable similarity to 30 years ago.   The dollar rose along with Wall Street.  Profits came quickly over three years.  Then the dollar dropped like a stone, by 51%  in just two years.  A repeat of this pattern is growing and could create up to 50% extra profit if we start using strong dollars to accumulate good value stock market ETFs in other currencies.

This is the most exciting opportunity I have seen since we started sending our reports on international investing ideas more than three decades ago.  There is so much more to write and the trends are so clear that I have created a short, but powerful report “Three Currency Patterns For 50% Profits or More.”   This report shows how to earn an extra 50% from currency shifts with even small investments.  I kept the report short and simple, but included links to 153 pages of  Good Value Stock Market research and Asset Allocation Analysis.

The report shows 20 good value investments and a really powerful tactic that shows the most effective and least expensive way to accumulate these bargains in large or even very small amounts (less than $5,000).  There is extra profit potential of at least 50% so the report is worth a lot.

This report sells for $29.95 but you’ll receive the report “Three Currency Patterns For 50% Profits or More” FREE when you subscribe to Pi.

Leverage

Pi also explains when leverage provides extra potential without undo risk.  For example in 1986 I issued a report called “The Silver Dip” that showed how to borrow 12,000 British pounds (at almost 1.6 to 1 dollars per pound the loan created US$18,600) and use the loan to buy 3835 ounces of silver at around US$4.85 an ounce.

Silver had crashed, I mean really crashed from $48 per ounce.  As prices decreased from early 1983 into 1986, total supply had fallen to 449.7 million ounces in 1986.  Mine production was restricted by the low prices at this time, with silver reaching a low for this period of $4.85 in May 1986.  Secondary recovery also was constricted by these low prices.

Then silver’s price skyrocketed to over $11 an ounce within a year.  The $18,600 loan was now worth $42,185.

The loan was in pounds and in May 1986 the dollar pound rate was 1.55 dollars per pound.  So the 12,000 pound loan purchased $18,600 of silver.  The pound then crashed to 1.40 dollars per silver.  The loan could be paid off for $13,285 immediately creating an extra $5,314 profit.  The profit grew to $47,499 in just a year.

Conditions for the silver dip have returned.  The availability of low cost loans and silver are at an all time low.  The price of silver has crashed from nearly $50 an ounce to below $14 as did shares of the iShares Silver ETF (SLV).

finance.yahoo.com chart SLV

iShares Silver Trust (symbol SLV) from www.finance.yahoo.com

Imagine investing in a spike like this… with leverage!

At the same time the silver gold ratio hit 80, a strong sign to invest in precious metals.

I have updated a special report “Silver Dip 2019” about a leveraged silver speculation that can increase the returns in a safe portfolio by as much as eight times.  The purpose of the report is to share long term lessons gained through 30 years of speculating and investing in precious metals.  While working on the report, when the gold silver ratio slipped to 80 and the price of silver dropped below $14 an ounce, I knew I needed to share this immediately.

I released a new report “Silver Dip 2015” so readers were able to take advantage of these conditions and leverage 1.6 times as a speculation.  That report generated profits as high as 212% and a revised 2019 issue has been produced.

“The Silver Dip 2109”  sells for $39.95 but  you receive  “Silver Dip 2019” FREE when you subscribe to Pi.

Save

Subscribe to the first year of The Personal investing Course (Pi).  The annual fee is $299, but to introduce you to this online, course that is based on real time investing, I am knocking $102 off the subscription.  Plus you receive the $29.95 report “Three Currency Patterns For 50% Profits or More” and the $39.95 report “The Silver Dip 2019” free.

Triple Guarantee

Enroll in Pi.   Get the first monthly issue of Pi, and the report “Three Currency Patterns For 50% Profits or More” and “The Silver Dip 2019” right away.

#1:  I guarantee you’ll learn ideas about investing that are unique and can reduce stress as they help you enhance your profits through slow, worry free purposeful investing.

If you are not totally happy, simply let me know.

#2:  I guarantee you can cancel your subscription within 60 days and I’ll refund your subscription fee in full, no questions asked.

#3:  I guarantee you can keep “Three Currency Patterns For 50% Profits or More” and “The Silver Dip 2109” report as my thanks for trying.

You have nothing to lose except the fear.   You have the ultimate form of financial security to gain.

Subscribe to the Pi for $197.   You Save $158.95.

Gary

 

 

 

(1)  www.nytimes.com – Valeants drug price strategy

(2) www.cheatsheet.com – Price pressures from farm to table

How to Avoid Swiss Francs During Inflation


Inflation is important.  Some parts of the cost of living have been rising much faster than statistics suggest.  Anyone who visits the grocery store quickly learns this fact.

The last time this economic phenomenon happened my investments earned extra profits so I have been preparing to react to this particular type of inflation. Intelligent investments can create extra earnings that will offset the costs.  My investment will not include many Swiss francs, if any at all.

swiss franc

In the past, inflation protection was easier because other major governments were not involved in excessive government spending.  One could get out of the US dollar and invest in German marks, Japanese yen or Swiss francs and expect to make a profit.

This tactic no longer works.  The German mark is gone, so we have to invest in euro to get a German investment.  The euro has great potential versus the dollar but nothing like a German mark would have.

The Swiss franc, was a great currency for protection for many decades, but the fundamentals no longer are so strong.

First of all, Switzerland’s economy is simply too small for the franc to be a reserve currency.   In eras past, only a small portion of the world’s wealth (held by the richest) had access to Swiss francs.  In modern times, a huge population had access to investing in the franc.  Yet Switzerland’s population at 6 million people is the size of Philadelphia or Dallas, Houston or Washington, DC.

Switzerland needs to keep its currency pegged somewhere close to the euro as Germany is its largest export country.

There is good information about Switzerland’s exports at a MIT University site. (1)

mit swiss franc data

This chart from the MIT site shows Switzerland’s main exports.

Gold                                                                     $52,519,814,522     20% of all exports
Packaged Medicaments                                   $29,809,689,115     11% of all exports
Human or Animal Blood                                 $16,366,090,711        6.2% of all exports
Watches                                                              $21,895,590,400      8.3% of all exports
Orthopedic Appliances                                    $6,274,875,494         2.4% of all exports
Jewelry                                                                $5,861,875,912          2.2% of all exports
Nitrogen Heterocyclic Compounds               $4,813,692,968.35    1.8% of all exports

Some investors make the mistake of looking at the Swiss franc as it was decades ago. I have warned against this for many years.

Years ago in a different world, Switzerland was isolated and fiercely independent. Its mountainous terrain and well-organized citizen’s army gave strength to claim and enforce neutrality.

The small population (about 6 million) believed in personal and hence banking privacy. The people were incredibly conservative and highly efficient. They did not believe in government debt and demanded that their national bank keep a large amount of gold as a reserve for their currency.  This made Switzerland an ideal banking center in those days plus made Switzerland a refuge in times of turmoil. Swiss francs in a Swiss bank account were considered one of the ultimate forms of financial safety.

This all changed. The computer, new tactics in war and the global economic community turned everything upside down. The computer was like the Colt .45, a great equalizer, making bankers in England, Italy or Spain, etc. as efficient as the Swiss. New instruments of war, intercontinental and cruise missiles, nuclear weapons, etc. dramatically reduced Switzerland’s natural defences.

Most of all, the global economic community forced Swiss banks to deal in US dollars, British
pounds, Japanese yen and German marks. Swiss banks had to open centers abroad and hence became vulnerable to other country’s laws. They lost much of their independence!

Today Swiss banks are affected by what happens in the US and other countries.  More importantly, the Swiss franc can no longer be allowed to be the reserve currency of last resort. Switzerland is a poor country in terms of natural resources lacking oil, minerals and the ability to feed itself.

Switzerland is a trading nation and must have its currency at parity with other nations which allows them to export goods.  It must export to survive. A large segment of its exports go to Germany. When the Swiss franc becomes too strong, especially against the euro, the Swiss react quickly to force its parity down.

During the 1970s recession when investors began flocking to the franc, the Swiss National Bank imposed a 12% per quarter negative tax on Swiss franc accounts over 100,000 SFR held by overseas investors.

In the last five years, the Swiss franc appears to have really strengthened versus the Euro as this chart (2) from Xe.com shows.

swiss franc chart

Click on image to enlarge.

This chart shows a special risk in the Swiss franc. The Swiss National Bank protects the SFR and has a nasty habit (see 2011 and 2015) of manipulating the SFR exchange rate. The sharp drop of the franc earlier this year is like a spring ready to push the parity of the Swiss franc back down versus the euro.

This also gives a distorted view of the Swiss franc Euro relationship.  The Swiss franc has simply switched its parity with the US dollar and as the chart (3) shows.  The franc has maintained its value with the dollar now for five years.  I believe this is because someone at the Swiss National Bank is smart enoughj to know that the dollar is too strong and when it corrects, the francs parity will move back closer to the euro.

This was really bad for speculators who were long in Swiss francs, a brilliant move on the part of the Swiss National Bank.  Investors will think twice about jumping into the Swiss franc thinking they can make an automatic profit.

swiss franc chart

Since the US dollar is seriously overbought, the suggestion is that when the greenback corrects versus the euro, so too will the Swiss franc.

Switzerland is a good banking center, yes.  The Swiss franc may be a strong, stable currency, yes, but the Swiss cannot afford to let the franc rise too high and the profit potential on Swiss franc investments is extremely low.  The Swiss SNI Stock Market index has risen 33% in the last five years, compared to a rise of over 60% in the Dow Jones Index.  Since the currency parities have remained equal, investors in the SNI have earned half the profits as investors in the Dow.

Why choose a currency that is not likely to go anywhere when you are not getting paid a handsome income return?

I have shared this information for at least fifteen years warning not to invest too much in Swiss francs, especially when it is strong and overall this has been correct.  I have not changed my opinion on this.  If you find a good value investment denominated in Swiss francs, go for it, but overweighting a portfolio in this currency runs the risk of muddled returns at best.

Gary

Learn how to master inflation.

To help you gain mastery over your investments and all your important goals in life, this week only Amazon.com has a countdown special on the Kindle edition of Bob Gandt and my new book MASTERY for only $2.99.   The print list price $13.99, the Kindle regular price $6.99.  Download it directly to your Kindle reader or onto your PC, Mac or tablet on an app from the Amazon page.

mastery

Order MASTERY (this week only) at Amazon.com for $2.99

Gain From Election Volatility

Here we are again… another election on its way… all the robo calls from politicians… the dirty tricks and the innumerable amounts of nonsense this vital process brings.

However America’s politics turn out, one thing is sure.  There will be volatility in stock markets during the election process.

The first reason markets will bounce has nothing to do with politics or policies.   A market correction is due regardless of the party or the person in office.

Second the new politics has created an uncertain era.  Everyone has been shaken over the past three years whether they are pleased with the government or not.

Nothing frightens markets like uncertainty.

Third if we see rising interest rates, this will push markets down.

Despite these pitfalls, there is a way to profit using the strong US dollar and undervalue non dollar stock markets to pick up good value shares.

During nearly five decades of global investing I have noticed found that good value strategies are the best way to profit long term, through good politics and bad.  The steps to take are simple.

The first tactic is to seek safety before profit.

We can look at Warren Buffett’s investing strategy as an example.  Buffett success is talked about a lot, but rarely does anyone explain how he make so much money.  That was the fact until some researchers really stripped his operation bare.  They looked at everything and learned the deepest of Buffett’s wealth management secrets.  Fortunately they published all in a research paper at Yale University’s website. that reveals important truths about extending wealth.

This research shows that the stocks Buffett chooses are safe (with low beta and low volatility), cheap (value stocks with low price – to – book ratios), and high quality (stocks of companies that are profitable, stable, growing, and with high payout ratios).

The second tactic is to maintain staying power.  At times Buffet’s portfolio has fallen, but he has been willing and able to wait long periods for the value to reveal itself and prices to recover.

A 45 year portfolio study shows that holding a diversified good value portfolio (based on a  good value strategy) for 13 month’s time, increases the probability of outperformance to 70%.

However those who can hold the portfolio for five years gain a 88% probability of beating the bellwether in the market and after ten years the probability increases to 97.5%.

Time is your friend when you use a good value strategy.  The longer you can hold onto a well balanced good value portfolio the better the odds of outstanding success.

The Buffett strategy integrates time and value for safety and profit.

A third tactic is using limited leveraging, tactic in the strategy boosts profit.  Buffett leverages his portfolio at a ratio of approximately 1.6 to 1.   The Yale published research paper shows the leveraging methods used by Warren Buffett to amass his $50 billion fortune.  The researchers found that the returns from Buffett’s investment company, Berkshire Hathaway, far outweighed those achieved by any rival that has operated for 30 years or more.  The research shows that neither luck nor magic are involved.  Instead, the paper shows that Buffet’s success hinges on using leverage at the rate of 1.6.

To sum up the strategy, Buffet uses limited leverage to invest in large purchases of “cheap, safe, quality stocks”.  He limits leverage so he can hold on for very long periods of time, surviving rough periods where others might have been forced into a fire sale or a career shift.

Stated in another way buffet uses logic (buy good value) to have the conviction, wherewithal, and skill to invest with leverage over many decades.

What do we do when we are not Warren Buffett?

May I introduce the Purposeful Investing Course (Pi) for those who want to invest like Warren Buffet, but know they are not.  This course is based on my 50 plus years of investing experience combined with wisdom gained from some of the world’s best investment managers and economic mathematical scientists.

Enjoy Extending Wealth

Pi’s mission is to make it easy for anyone to create a three point strategy, like Buffett’s even though they do not have a lot of time for or knowledge about investing.

Pi reveals investing secrets and the sciences that make investing easy, safer, less time consuming and increases the chances of profit.

One secret is to invest with a purpose beyond the cash.  One tactic as mentioned is staying power.  This means not being caught short and having to sell during a period of loss.  This also means having enough faith in a strategy that we stick to the plan.  When we invest with purpose, doing what we love, we enjoy the process more and are more likely to hold on during down times, when most poor investors panic and sell.

Slow, Worry Free, Good Value Investing

Stress, worry and fear are three of an investor’s worst enemies.  They create the Behavior Gap, a trait exhibited by most investors, that causes them to underperform any market sector they choose.  The behavior gap is created by natural human responses to fear.   Pi helps create profitable strategies that avoid losses from this gap.

Spanning the Behavior Gap

Behavior gaps are among the biggest reasons why so many investors fail.  Human evolution makes fear the second most powerful motivator.  (Greed is the third.)  Fear creates investment losses due to behavior gaps.  Fear motivates us more strongly than desire.  By nature investors are risk adverse.

Winning investors though embrace risk because they have a plan based on good value.

Purpose is the most powerful motivator,  stronger than fear and greed, so a strategy with purpose is the most powerful of all.

Combine your needs and capabilities with good value secrets and the math to back up your value selections through the Pifolio – The Pi Model Portfolio

Lessons from Pi are based on the creation and management of a Primary Pi Model Portfolio, called the Pifolio.  There are no secrets about this portfolio except that it ignores the stories (often created by someone with vested interests) and is based entirely on good math.

The Pifolio is a theoretical portfolio of MSCI Country Benchmark Index ETFs that cover all the good value markets using my (almost) 50 years of global experience and my study of the analysis of four mathematical investing geniuses (and friends).

The Pifolio analysis begins with a continual research of international major stock markets that compares their value based on:

#1:  Current book to price

#2: Cash flow to price

#3: Earnings to price

#4: Average dividend yield

#5: Return on equity

#6: Cash flow return.

#7: Market history

We follow this research of a brilliant mathematician and have tracked this analysis for over 20 years.    This is a complete and continual study of international major and emerging stock markets.

This analysis forms the basis of a Good Value Stock Market Strategy.   The analysis is rational, mathematical and does not worry about short term ups and downs.   This strategy is easy for anyone to follow and use.  Pi reveals the best value markets and provides contacts to managers and analysts and Country Index ETFs so almost anyone can create and follow their own strategy.

A country ETF provides diversification and cost efficiency by spreading one simple, even small investment into a basket of equities in a good value stock market.  The costs are low and this type of ETF is one of the hardest for institutions to cheat.  Expense ratios for most ETFs are lower than those of the average mutual fund.

Little knowledge, time, management or guesswork are required.  The investment is simply a diversified portfolio of good value indices.  Investments in an index are like investments in all the shares of a good value market.

Pi matches this mathematical certainty with my fifty years of experience. This opens insights to numerous long term cycles that most investors miss because they have not been investing long enough to see them.

For example in the 1980s, a remarkable set of two economic circumstances helped anyone who spotted them become remarkably rich.  Some of my readers made enough to retire.  Others picked up 50% currency gains.  Then the cycle ended.  Warren Buffett explained the importance of this ending in a 1999 Fortune magazine interview.  He said:  Let me summarize what I’ve been saying about the stock market: I think it’s very hard to come up with a persuasive case that equities will over the next 17 years perform anything like—anything like—they’ve performed in the past 17!

I did well then, but always thought, “I should have invested more!”  Now those circumstances have come together and I am investing in them again.

The circumstances that created fortunes 30 years ago were an overvalued US market (compared to global markets) and an overvalued US dollar.

The two conditions are in place again!  There are currently ten good value (non US) developed markets,  plus 10 good value emerging markets.

Pi shows how to easily create a diversified, worry free portfolio in some of these good value markets using Country Index ETFs.

The current strength of the US dollar is a second remarkable similarity to 30 years ago.   The dollar rose along with Wall Street.  Profits came quickly over three years.  Then the dollar dropped like a stone, by 51%  in just two years.  A repeat of this pattern is growing and could create up to 50% extra profit if we start using strong dollars to accumulate good value stock market ETFs in other currencies.

This is the most exciting opportunity I have seen since we started sending our reports on international investing ideas more than three decades ago.  There is so much more to write and the trends are so clear that I have created a short, but powerful report “Three Currency Patterns For 50% Profits or More.”   This report shows how to earn an extra 50% from currency shifts with even small investments.  I kept the report short and simple, but included links to 153 pages of  Good Value Stock Market research and Asset Allocation Analysis.

The report shows 20 good value investments and a really powerful tactic that shows the most effective and least expensive way to accumulate these bargains in large or even very small amounts (less than $5,000).  There is extra profit potential of at least 50% so the report is worth a lot.

This report sells for $29.95 but you’ll receive the report “Three Currency Patterns For 50% Profits or More” FREE when you subscribe to Pi.

Leverage

Pi also explains when leverage provides extra potential without undo risk.  For example in 1986 I issued a report called “The Silver Dip” that showed how to borrow 12,000 British pounds (at almost 1.6 to 1 dollars per pound the loan created US$18,600) and use the loan to buy 3835 ounces of silver at around US$4.85 an ounce.

Silver had crashed, I mean really crashed from $48 per ounce.  As prices decreased from early 1983 into 1986, total supply had fallen to 449.7 million ounces in 1986.  Mine production was restricted by the low prices at this time, with silver reaching a low for this period of $4.85 in May 1986.  Secondary recovery also was constricted by these low prices.

Then silver’s price skyrocketed to over $11 an ounce within a year.  The $18,600 loan was now worth $42,185.

The loan was in pounds and in May 1986 the dollar pound rate was 1.55 dollars per pound.  So the 12,000 pound loan purchased $18,600 of silver.  The pound then crashed to 1.40 dollars per silver.  The loan could be paid off for $13,285 immediately creating an extra $5,314 profit.  The profit grew to $47,499 in just a year.

Conditions for the silver dip have returned.  The availability of low cost loans and silver are at an all time low.  The price of silver has crashed from nearly $50 an ounce to below $14 as did shares of the iShares Silver ETF (SLV).

finance.yahoo.com chart SLV

iShares Silver Trust (symbol SLV) from www.finance.yahoo.com

Imagine investing in a spike like this… with leverage!

At the same time the silver gold ratio hit 80, a strong sign to invest in precious metals.

I have updated a special report “Silver Dip 2019” about a leveraged silver speculation that can increase the returns in a safe portfolio by as much as eight times.  The purpose of the report is to share long term lessons gained through 30 years of speculating and investing in precious metals.  While working on the report, when the gold silver ratio slipped to 80 and the price of silver dropped below $14 an ounce, I knew I needed to share this immediately.

I released a new report “Silver Dip 2015” so readers were able to take advantage of these conditions and leverage 1.6 times as a speculation.  That report generated profits as high as 212% and a revised 2019 issue has been produced.

“The Silver Dip 2109”  sells for $39.95 but  you receive  “Silver Dip 2019” FREE when you subscribe to Pi.

Save

Subscribe to the first year of The Personal investing Course (Pi).  The annual fee is $299, but to introduce you to this online, course that is based on real time investing, I am knocking $102 off the subscription.  Plus you receive the $29.95 report “Three Currency Patterns For 50% Profits or More” and the $39.95 report “The Silver Dip 2019” free.

Triple Guarantee

Enroll in Pi.   Get the first monthly issue of Pi, and the report “Three Currency Patterns For 50% Profits or More” and “The Silver Dip 2019” right away.

#1:  I guarantee you’ll learn ideas about investing that are unique and can reduce stress as they help you enhance your profits through slow, worry free purposeful investing.

If you are not totally happy, simply let me know.

#2:  I guarantee you can cancel your subscription within 60 days and I’ll refund your subscription fee in full, no questions asked.

#3:  I guarantee you can keep “Three Currency Patterns For 50% Profits or More” and “The Silver Dip 2109” report as my thanks for trying.

You have nothing to lose except the fear.   You have the ultimate form of financial security to gain.

Subscribe to the Pi for $197.   You Save $158.95.

Gary

 

 

 

(1) https://atlas.media.mit.edu/en/profile/country/che/

(2) http://www.xe.com/currencycharts/?from=EUR&to=CHF&view=5Y

(3) http://www.xe.com/currencycharts/?from=USD&to=CHF&view=5Y

How to Prosper in the Worst Times


Many readers send me notes about our political system that sounds like sour grapes (frustrated).  Other notes I receive are more like the grapes of wrath (angry).   Many readers are angry, many are frustrated and most are a little afraid.

Let’s remind ourselves of some basics and remember even rotten grapes can be turned into sweet wine.  See below a way to earn extra profit with a falling US dollar.

grape pie

Concord grapes from our little vineyard at Merrily Farms.

A reader sent this note:  Hi Gary,  If the USD is replaced as the world’s “go to” currency, we’ll have a major crash in this country.  I believe it’s inevitable.  So what references can you offer to help us prepare for the worst?  Your input will be greatly appreciated.  Please tell Merri hello and give her our best.

My reply:  First, a weak dollar is not a bad thing for Americans.  Imports cost more but the US still has the largest domestic economy in the world by far.  Here are the stats from the IMF for 2014 (1).

Rank   Country                 GDP   $ Millions

1          United States           17,418,925
2         China                         10,380,380
3         Japan                          4,616,335
4         Germany                    3,859,547
5         United Kingdom      2,945,146
6         France                        2,846,889
7         Brazil                          2,353,025

Right now there is a very good case for diversifying out of the US dollar into the Euro.  This ten year chart of the Euro shows how it has been dropping in waves versus the US dollar since 2008.  The dollar’s strength since late 2013 suggests that the green back is very overbought.  The Euro zone has lower debt as a percent of GDP, a smaller deficit and a much better trade balance.  All of these fundamental strengths give the euro a good reason to surge.

US dollar

Chart from www.xe.com (1)

Our reports  “3 Economic Conditions for 50% Profits or More” and  “Silver Dip 2015”  both show how to to profit when the US dollar falls.

The loss of purchasing power of all currencies are a growing global problem.  The US dollar has been losing purchasing power since I began traveling and investing in the late 1960s.  Today almost every currency is under pressure because almost every government has used the same overspending tactics as has the US.

Winston Churchill outlined the crux of the problem when he said: “If the Almighty were to rebuild the world and asked me for advice, I would have English Channels round every country.  And the atmosphere would be such that anything which attempted to fly would be set on fire.

The opposite has evolved.  Modern communications and technology have allowed a growing population that is increasingly connected.

Technology creates greater wealth.  Communications allow even the poorest to know about (and desire) this wealth.  As always, the extra wealth is not distributed equally or fairly but in the modern world technology allows the poor to express their frustration in deadly ways, if they don’t get enough of the added affluence.

This is why no one is isolated from the Syrian problem.  This is why a very small number of people at ISIS can affect most of us wherever we are in the world.  This is why no one country can (or should) be allowed to crash.

Inflation is one way of creating soft landings to these equality distribution problems.

Here are some of the steps we have taken to reduce the effects of inflation and gain from currency fluctuations..

First, we have expanded our investments in rental real estate.   We reduced our equity position, almost totally eliminated bonds and added rental income property.  Rental property is a lot more work than investments in CDS or bonds (not enough return) or buying US shares (hard to find value).

We aimed for a sweet spot, two and three bedroom houses that rent for about $1000 a month.  Our renters are mostly working professionals, teachers, police, foremen and retired couples.  The reasoning is that these are stable renters and rents will rise with inflation and provide a sufficient income.

In stock investing we are investing in value markets outside the USA  (explained in the report “3 Economic Conditions for 50% Profits or More” and  and speculating in precious metals as in our report “Silver Dip 2015”.

Second, we have moved to remote places away from the madding crowd and more out of harms way from traffic jams, noise, pollution, riots and such.  I want to point out that this decision was not made because we think the world or the US dollar is coming to an end.  Life is just better out here in nowhere for us.  If we loved shopping and concerts, theater, socializing, dining in restaurants. etc. our decision might be different, but we do not. We love land, fresh air, lots of water and space and we like to stay at home or with our children and grandchildren.

Third, we stay away form the US medical system as much as we can and work at maintaining good natural health.  Fortunately, we really like to garden so I get good exercise growing some of our own food.  This provides a double benefit, the exercise and truly ripe, organic food picked right off the vine eaten with fish from the creek or lake.

grape pie

Finally, I am very picky about reading the news, never at night and only looking at specific items that might relate to what we are doing.  So much of the global medias is aimed at instilling and/or enhancing fear.  What a shame to live in more fear than is required!

The world, governments and the currencies they issue have changed a lot in the last 45 years that I have been multi currency investing.  The almighty may not have listened to Winston Churchill for evolutionary planning, but we have been given two key economic essentials, that are the very basics of all economics, more demand, (a growing population) and  more supply (increased productivity).

There are plenty of distortions and displacements caused by unequal distribution of wealth.  These errors remain and will remain cause of concern and of inflation.  The overall trend however is of greater wealth. When we achieve mastery at selecting currencies and live in a peaceful healthy way, we can increase our share of this wealth.

grape pie

Grape pie we recently baked from grapes off our vines at the farm.  It was not sour. Nor was there any wrath involved!

To help you gain mastery over all your important goals in life, this week only Amazon.com has a countdown special on the Kindle edition of Bob Gandt and my new book MASTERY for only $2.99.   The print list price $13.99, the Kindle regular price $6.99.  Download it directly to your Kindle reader or onto your PC, Mac or tablet on an app from the Amazon page.

mastery

Order MASTERY (this week only) at Amazon.com for $2.99

Gary

Gain From Election Volatility

Here we are again… another election on its way… all the robo calls from politicians… the dirty tricks and the innumerable amounts of nonsense this vital process brings.

However America’s politics turn out, one thing is sure.  There will be volatility in stock markets during the election process.

The first reason markets will bounce has nothing to do with politics or policies.   A market correction is due regardless of the party or the person in office.

Second the new politics has created an uncertain era.  Everyone has been shaken over the past three years whether they are pleased with the government or not.

Nothing frightens markets like uncertainty.

Third if we see rising interest rates, this will push markets down.

Despite these pitfalls, there is a way to profit using the strong US dollar and undervalue non dollar stock markets to pick up good value shares.

During nearly five decades of global investing I have noticed found that good value strategies are the best way to profit long term, through good politics and bad.  The steps to take are simple.

The first tactic is to seek safety before profit.

We can look at Warren Buffett’s investing strategy as an example.  Buffett success is talked about a lot, but rarely does anyone explain how he make so much money.  That was the fact until some researchers really stripped his operation bare.  They looked at everything and learned the deepest of Buffett’s wealth management secrets.  Fortunately they published all in a research paper at Yale University’s website. that reveals important truths about extending wealth.

This research shows that the stocks Buffett chooses are safe (with low beta and low volatility), cheap (value stocks with low price – to – book ratios), and high quality (stocks of companies that are profitable, stable, growing, and with high payout ratios).

The second tactic is to maintain staying power.  At times Buffet’s portfolio has fallen, but he has been willing and able to wait long periods for the value to reveal itself and prices to recover.

A 45 year portfolio study shows that holding a diversified good value portfolio (based on a  good value strategy) for 13 month’s time, increases the probability of outperformance to 70%.

However those who can hold the portfolio for five years gain a 88% probability of beating the bellwether in the market and after ten years the probability increases to 97.5%.

Time is your friend when you use a good value strategy.  The longer you can hold onto a well balanced good value portfolio the better the odds of outstanding success.

The Buffett strategy integrates time and value for safety and profit.

A third tactic is using limited leveraging, tactic in the strategy boosts profit.  Buffett leverages his portfolio at a ratio of approximately 1.6 to 1.   The Yale published research paper shows the leveraging methods used by Warren Buffett to amass his $50 billion fortune.  The researchers found that the returns from Buffett’s investment company, Berkshire Hathaway, far outweighed those achieved by any rival that has operated for 30 years or more.  The research shows that neither luck nor magic are involved.  Instead, the paper shows that Buffet’s success hinges on using leverage at the rate of 1.6.

To sum up the strategy, Buffet uses limited leverage to invest in large purchases of “cheap, safe, quality stocks”.  He limits leverage so he can hold on for very long periods of time, surviving rough periods where others might have been forced into a fire sale or a career shift.

Stated in another way buffet uses logic (buy good value) to have the conviction, wherewithal, and skill to invest with leverage over many decades.

What do we do when we are not Warren Buffett?

May I introduce the Purposeful Investing Course (Pi) for those who want to invest like Warren Buffet, but know they are not.  This course is based on my 50 plus years of investing experience combined with wisdom gained from some of the world’s best investment managers and economic mathematical scientists.

Enjoy Extending Wealth

Pi’s mission is to make it easy for anyone to create a three point strategy, like Buffett’s even though they do not have a lot of time for or knowledge about investing.

Pi reveals investing secrets and the sciences that make investing easy, safer, less time consuming and increases the chances of profit.

One secret is to invest with a purpose beyond the cash.  One tactic as mentioned is staying power.  This means not being caught short and having to sell during a period of loss.  This also means having enough faith in a strategy that we stick to the plan.  When we invest with purpose, doing what we love, we enjoy the process more and are more likely to hold on during down times, when most poor investors panic and sell.

Slow, Worry Free, Good Value Investing

Stress, worry and fear are three of an investor’s worst enemies.  They create the Behavior Gap, a trait exhibited by most investors, that causes them to underperform any market sector they choose.  The behavior gap is created by natural human responses to fear.   Pi helps create profitable strategies that avoid losses from this gap.

Spanning the Behavior Gap

Behavior gaps are among the biggest reasons why so many investors fail.  Human evolution makes fear the second most powerful motivator.  (Greed is the third.)  Fear creates investment losses due to behavior gaps.  Fear motivates us more strongly than desire.  By nature investors are risk adverse.

Winning investors though embrace risk because they have a plan based on good value.

Purpose is the most powerful motivator,  stronger than fear and greed, so a strategy with purpose is the most powerful of all.

Combine your needs and capabilities with good value secrets and the math to back up your value selections through the Pifolio – The Pi Model Portfolio

Lessons from Pi are based on the creation and management of a Primary Pi Model Portfolio, called the Pifolio.  There are no secrets about this portfolio except that it ignores the stories (often created by someone with vested interests) and is based entirely on good math.

The Pifolio is a theoretical portfolio of MSCI Country Benchmark Index ETFs that cover all the good value markets using my (almost) 50 years of global experience and my study of the analysis of four mathematical investing geniuses (and friends).

The Pifolio analysis begins with a continual research of international major stock markets that compares their value based on:

#1:  Current book to price

#2: Cash flow to price

#3: Earnings to price

#4: Average dividend yield

#5: Return on equity

#6: Cash flow return.

#7: Market history

We follow this research of a brilliant mathematician and have tracked this analysis for over 20 years.    This is a complete and continual study of international major and emerging stock markets.

This analysis forms the basis of a Good Value Stock Market Strategy.   The analysis is rational, mathematical and does not worry about short term ups and downs.   This strategy is easy for anyone to follow and use.  Pi reveals the best value markets and provides contacts to managers and analysts and Country Index ETFs so almost anyone can create and follow their own strategy.

A country ETF provides diversification and cost efficiency by spreading one simple, even small investment into a basket of equities in a good value stock market.  The costs are low and this type of ETF is one of the hardest for institutions to cheat.  Expense ratios for most ETFs are lower than those of the average mutual fund.

Little knowledge, time, management or guesswork are required.  The investment is simply a diversified portfolio of good value indices.  Investments in an index are like investments in all the shares of a good value market.

Pi matches this mathematical certainty with my fifty years of experience. This opens insights to numerous long term cycles that most investors miss because they have not been investing long enough to see them.

For example in the 1980s, a remarkable set of two economic circumstances helped anyone who spotted them become remarkably rich.  Some of my readers made enough to retire.  Others picked up 50% currency gains.  Then the cycle ended.  Warren Buffett explained the importance of this ending in a 1999 Fortune magazine interview.  He said:  Let me summarize what I’ve been saying about the stock market: I think it’s very hard to come up with a persuasive case that equities will over the next 17 years perform anything like—anything like—they’ve performed in the past 17!

I did well then, but always thought, “I should have invested more!”  Now those circumstances have come together and I am investing in them again.

The circumstances that created fortunes 30 years ago were an overvalued US market (compared to global markets) and an overvalued US dollar.

The two conditions are in place again!  There are currently ten good value (non US) developed markets,  plus 10 good value emerging markets.

Pi shows how to easily create a diversified, worry free portfolio in some of these good value markets using Country Index ETFs.

The current strength of the US dollar is a second remarkable similarity to 30 years ago.   The dollar rose along with Wall Street.  Profits came quickly over three years.  Then the dollar dropped like a stone, by 51%  in just two years.  A repeat of this pattern is growing and could create up to 50% extra profit if we start using strong dollars to accumulate good value stock market ETFs in other currencies.

This is the most exciting opportunity I have seen since we started sending our reports on international investing ideas more than three decades ago.  There is so much more to write and the trends are so clear that I have created a short, but powerful report “Three Currency Patterns For 50% Profits or More.”   This report shows how to earn an extra 50% from currency shifts with even small investments.  I kept the report short and simple, but included links to 153 pages of  Good Value Stock Market research and Asset Allocation Analysis.

The report shows 20 good value investments and a really powerful tactic that shows the most effective and least expensive way to accumulate these bargains in large or even very small amounts (less than $5,000).  There is extra profit potential of at least 50% so the report is worth a lot.

This report sells for $29.95 but you’ll receive the report “Three Currency Patterns For 50% Profits or More” FREE when you subscribe to Pi.

Leverage

Pi also explains when leverage provides extra potential without undo risk.  For example in 1986 I issued a report called “The Silver Dip” that showed how to borrow 12,000 British pounds (at almost 1.6 to 1 dollars per pound the loan created US$18,600) and use the loan to buy 3835 ounces of silver at around US$4.85 an ounce.

Silver had crashed, I mean really crashed from $48 per ounce.  As prices decreased from early 1983 into 1986, total supply had fallen to 449.7 million ounces in 1986.  Mine production was restricted by the low prices at this time, with silver reaching a low for this period of $4.85 in May 1986.  Secondary recovery also was constricted by these low prices.

Then silver’s price skyrocketed to over $11 an ounce within a year.  The $18,600 loan was now worth $42,185.

The loan was in pounds and in May 1986 the dollar pound rate was 1.55 dollars per pound.  So the 12,000 pound loan purchased $18,600 of silver.  The pound then crashed to 1.40 dollars per silver.  The loan could be paid off for $13,285 immediately creating an extra $5,314 profit.  The profit grew to $47,499 in just a year.

Conditions for the silver dip have returned.  The availability of low cost loans and silver are at an all time low.  The price of silver has crashed from nearly $50 an ounce to below $14 as did shares of the iShares Silver ETF (SLV).

finance.yahoo.com chart SLV

iShares Silver Trust (symbol SLV) from www.finance.yahoo.com

Imagine investing in a spike like this… with leverage!

At the same time the silver gold ratio hit 80, a strong sign to invest in precious metals.

I have updated a special report “Silver Dip 2019” about a leveraged silver speculation that can increase the returns in a safe portfolio by as much as eight times.  The purpose of the report is to share long term lessons gained through 30 years of speculating and investing in precious metals.  While working on the report, when the gold silver ratio slipped to 80 and the price of silver dropped below $14 an ounce, I knew I needed to share this immediately.

I released a new report “Silver Dip 2015” so readers were able to take advantage of these conditions and leverage 1.6 times as a speculation.  That report generated profits as high as 212% and a revised 2019 issue has been produced.

“The Silver Dip 2109”  sells for $39.95 but  you receive  “Silver Dip 2019” FREE when you subscribe to Pi.

Save

Subscribe to the first year of The Personal investing Course (Pi).  The annual fee is $299, but to introduce you to this online, course that is based on real time investing, I am knocking $102 off the subscription.  Plus you receive the $29.95 report “Three Currency Patterns For 50% Profits or More” and the $39.95 report “The Silver Dip 2019” free.

Triple Guarantee

Enroll in Pi.   Get the first monthly issue of Pi, and the report “Three Currency Patterns For 50% Profits or More” and “The Silver Dip 2019” right away.

#1:  I guarantee you’ll learn ideas about investing that are unique and can reduce stress as they help you enhance your profits through slow, worry free purposeful investing.

If you are not totally happy, simply let me know.

#2:  I guarantee you can cancel your subscription within 60 days and I’ll refund your subscription fee in full, no questions asked.

#3:  I guarantee you can keep “Three Currency Patterns For 50% Profits or More” and “The Silver Dip 2109” report as my thanks for trying.

You have nothing to lose except the fear.   You have the ultimate form of financial security to gain.

Subscribe to the Pi for $197.   You Save $158.95.

Gary

 

 

 

(1) IMF GDP Stats

(2)  Euro Dollar Chart at www.xe.com

Beat Inflation – Reduce Tax


A micro business in writing can create income that beats inflation as it reduces tax.

Money does not guarantee happiness but up to about $75,000 a year of income, money does help.  If you are turning your passion into profit, then it is even easier to be content with your labors.   The value of labor rises with inflation.  That $75,000 threshold will be worth $38,126 in ten years if inflation is 7%.  $75,000 of today’s purchasing power will require $147,536.

Good labor is not drudgery and does not have to be work.

The beauty of learning to serve in a fulfilling way is the process of earning can be fun.

Take the example of Denis Malloy’s new book  “Eat Local Anywhere”.   Our  course “Self Fulfilled How to be a Self Publisher” helped Denis write this book.

eat local anywhere

Denis’s guide is for local restaurants in different parts of the world that are not specifically designed to attract tourists.  They are restaurants featuring authentic, local cuisine for local residents.  The moderate prices on their menus and the authentic representation make these great places to eat as you travel.

Learn more about Denis Malloy’s “Eat Local Anywhere” at Amazon.com

To research this book, here are a few of the places Denis had to travel so eat in many of the restaurants there.

Brussels, Belgium

Buenos Aires, Argentina

Quito, Ecuador

Punta Del Este, Uruguay

Santiago, Chile

Montevideo, Uruguay

Paris, France

Sait Jean de Luz, Pyrenees-Atlantiques,  France

Sheboygan, Wisconsin

Del Ray Beach, Florida

Do you think his research was drudgery?  Look at the service he provided, a valuable guide to good restaurants offering great food and low prices. here is a bigger social element here.  By helping promote local restaurants that serve good local food, Denis is helping short circuit big agri business and  chains that increasingly dominate commerce and pollute our bodies and the environment.

In addition Denis gained enormous tax advantages.

Fight inflation, reduce tax, help the world, be fulfilled.  Never give up the ability to serve.

Our upcoming Value Investing Seminar features many cash savings ideas via tax reduction.

Gary

Learn Fun & Profitable Tax Secrets

Imagine this, micro businesses are such good ways to create wealth and reduce tax that even cruises can be tax deductible.

Small family owned businesses have some of the best tax benefits.

Micro businesses have huge tax savings using really conservative strategies.

conrad oertwig

Conrad Oertwig (far right) after a seminar when delegates visit our North Carolina home.

This is why I am delighted that our tax preparer, Conrad Oertwig, who is a master of tax savings information, has agreed to speak at our October 17-18, 2015 Value Investment Seminar.

Conrad Oertwig can assist you on tax matters.  IN FACT THIS FALL, Conrad will be offering a course and personal service on ways that one-person and family business owners can have more cash via tax savings.   Conrad is offering a report on seven ways to put more cash on the table when you earn and is releasing a course on how to save taxes this fall.

Conrad’s report is “7 Secrets to Paying Less Tax… for the One-Owner Business”.  He sent me this note to share with you about the report.

From: Conrad Oertwig

One hard fact of life is that taxes are cash.  It’s a mistake to think of taxes as taxes.  If you want to create more net worth, you need to think of taxes as cash.

How much tax cash are you leaving on the table? Thousands? Tens of thousands?

Here are just three of seven secrets I will share with Gary Scott readers at the October 17-18 Value Investment Seminar and in my report.   Learn how to pay less tax, have more cash, and build your net worth.

Secret # 1: Gain $12,976 by using two vehicles for business.  In the past, your tax adviser likely told you to drive one vehicle for business and the other vehicle for personal purposes. This old advice made it easier to claim the one car as a business car because no business mileage log was required back then. But that’s no longer true.

Today, tax law requires you to keep a mileage log to prove business use. That changes the game. With today’s rules, you gain nothing by using only one car. But the new mileage log rule gives you a possible opportunity to increase your tax deductions.

First, you might ask: Will the IRS allow me to use more than one vehicle for business?

Yes! The IRS official method for computing business use of a single vehicle is to divide business miles by total miles driven. IRS Form 4562, which is filed by proprietorships and corporations, contains spaces for up to six vehicles. In other words, yes, the IRS recognizes that you can drive more than one vehicle.

Here are the two basics that make the two-vehicle strategy work:
1:  You drive more miles than your spouse, and
2:  Both vehicles are somewhat close in adjusted basis.
To see if you can benefit from this two-vehicle strategy, and by how much (the minimum amount, really), apply the arithmetic from the before-and-after example below to your vehicles.

Before. You drive 2,000 personal and 28,000 business miles on your vehicle (93% business). Your spouse drives 8,000 personal miles on vehicle 2. Each vehicle has an adjusted basis of $24,000. Your maximum depreciation and/or Section 179 deduction is $22,400 (93% times $24,000) on the one vehicle you currently drive for business.

After. You switch vehicles with your spouse every week. You now have 73.7% business use of vehicle 1 and 73.7% business use of vehicle 2. This produces $35,376 in maximum depreciation and/or Section 179 deductions (73.7% x 2 x $24,000).

You gain $12,976 in new deductions ($35,376 minus $22,400). You did not have to drive one mile further or spend one additional penny. You simply had to know (as you learned here) that this strategy could work for you.

Secret #2:  Have a second office in the home.

Have you been told that because you have an office outside your home that you may not have an office in the home?  That’s wrong!

IRS publication 463 states, “You can have more than one business location, including your home, for a single trade or business.”  Learn why in the free report due to IRS publication 587 you want your office in the home to qualify as an administrative office.

Secret #3: Travel by cruise ship and deduct up to $680 a day.

When you know the rules, it’s easy to travel to a business meeting by cruise ship rather than by airplane or other mode of transportation.  Tax law provides various ways for you to deduct a cruise.  The free report shows an example of a trip to St. Thomas in the Virgin Islands from California or New York.

Learn about IRS Regulation 1.274-4 that gives you two one-owner business friendly rules that you can use to your benefit:

1:  The United States means the 50 states and the District of Columbia.
2: Transportation cost to a foreign destination for seven days or less, excluding the day of departure, is not subject to an allocation between business and personal days.

In the example if you fly to Miami, Florida, board a cruise ship that will take five days to arrive at St. Thomas your deductions will include the cost of:

1 :  Travel to Miami
2:   Cruise ship fare to St. Thomas (not to exceed tax law’s luxury boat limits that range in 2014 from a low of $566 to $680 per day, depending on the dates of travel)
3:   Food and lodging in St. Thomas
4:   Airfare to Miami
5 :  Travel from Miami to home

You have to admit, tax knowledge can be fun which is why I want to send you this free report.

I specialize in “nuts and bolts” tax strategies that bring tax law to life so that business taxpayers and professional tax advisers can put the law to work for them.  In fact, my mission is to clarify taxes so that you take control of your money.

Plucking common sense from the tax law is time consuming and difficult work.  Yet, after more than 25 years, I still get great satisfaction when I can clarify and extract tax dollars from the tax law not only for your pockets but also to add to your net worth.  In fact I have extracted over 400 tax savings tips and would like to share the most important lessons with you so am creating a course that will share seven tax secrets each month for the next year.

Sincerely,

Conrad Oertwig

Learn how to have a tax advantaged one person or family owned micro business.

Conrad has dozens of tax savings secrets he will explain at our October 17-18 Value Investment Seminar.   To help you get an early start, we will send you Conrad’s report “7 Secrets to Paying Less Tax… for the One-Owner Business”, when you enroll in the seminar.

Get seminar details here

 

Medical Inflation


What has the worst potential to ruin quality of life?   I believe it is medical inflation.  This problem of rising cost and lowered quality goes beyond just destroying our health.  The horrifying statistics below show why.

chicago tribune

Chicago Tribune 1942.

I came across this information while researching my latest report, The Silver Dip 2015.  I wanted to answer the question, “What is the real value of  silver?”

There are so many pros and cons about whether precious metals will rise or fall, that I wanted to keep the process simple.  I figured the easiest way to see real value is by comparing purchasing power.  I wanted to see how many ounces of silver it took to buy certain basics in the past compared to now.  If a hundred ounces of silver would buy a car or a tenth of a house 75 years ago, what would it buy now?  If it bought more then, it is likely undervalued.   If it bought less, then the price of silver would be too high.

My research had me looking at the cost of everything over many time periods. The goal was to get a handle on real inflation so this one article in the March 31, 1942 issue of the Chicago tribune (1) intrigued me.

The article says:  Randolph Paul, tax adviser to Secretary of the Treasury Henry Morganthau suggested that deductions be permitted for extraordinary medical excesses.  He mentioned that 5 percent of net income as a normal medical outlay .

Normal health care costs were 5% of an American family’s outlay at that time.  Today this percentage is stated to be between 18% and rising.  How could this be?

A US Bureau of Labor Statistics report entitled  “100 years of price change” (2) shows that after WWII health care was the fastest rising annualized increase of selected components in the cost of living from 1951–1968:

Food, 1.3 percent
Rent, 2.0 percent
Apparel, 1.2 percent
Medical care, 3.8 percent
Transportation, 2.1 percent
Services, 3.2 percent
Commodities, 1.1 percent
Gasoline, 1.9 percent

Medical care continued to have one of the highest rates of inflation in 1968-1983:

Food, 7.1 percent
Energy, 9.9 percent
All items less food and energy, 7.0 percent
Rent, 5.7 percent
Apparel, 4.2 percent
Medical care, 8.4 percent
Transportation, 7.3 percent
Services, 8.2 percent
Commodities, 6.6 percent
Gasoline, 9.1 percent

Then medical care costs really took off.   Here are some overall numbers from justfacts.com (3)

Between 1960 and 2009, healthcare spending in the United States increased:

• from a yearly average of $147 per person to $8,086 (by 55 times).

• from a yearly average of $1,082 per person in inflation-adjusted 2010 dollars to $8,218 (by 7.6 times).

• from 5.2% of the nation’s gross domestic product (GDP) to 17.8% (by 3.4 times).

Let’s think about this.  In 1942, the price for a maternity room averaged around $7.00 per day or about $100 a day if adjusted for inflation.  Today, the price for a maternity room can zoom up to $1,500 per day.

This appears to be getting worse!

A recent Finance.yahoo article shows that in 2015 there was “An eyebrow-raising jump in the prices of medical care that helped boost the Consumer Price Index” (4).   The jump was so high it surprised economists and health-care experts, who could not figure out what’s driving the large increase.

One expert told CNBC that after looking at a decade’s worth of data, and after speaking to half a dozen economists and health-care analysts about the medical care cost increase in April 2015, a major cause appeared to be hikes in the prices of hospital services.

The medical care index rose 0.7 percent in April compared to the overall Consumer Price Index rising just 0.1 percent for the month.  Hospital services rose 1.9 percent for the month which equals a nearly 24 percent annual rate of hospital services inflation.

However, rising unacceptable costs in US medical services have not brought us better medical care.  According to the Commonwealth Fund survey, US healthcare ranks dead last compared to 10 other developed countries. (5)   Americans pay more and get less.  This fact is growing worse.  This is why learning how to avoid the health care system and maintain natural good health grows in importance for a good quality of life.

Gary

Good health is a vital component in everlasting wealth.  This is why our Value Investing Seminar has one session on how to have good natural health.

Gain From Election Volatility

Here we are again… another election on its way… all the robo calls from politicians… the dirty tricks and the innumerable amounts of nonsense this vital process brings.

However America’s politics turn out, one thing is sure.  There will be volatility in stock markets during the election process.

The first reason markets will bounce has nothing to do with politics or policies.   A market correction is due regardless of the party or the person in office.

Second the new politics has created an uncertain era.  Everyone has been shaken over the past three years whether they are pleased with the government or not.

Nothing frightens markets like uncertainty.

Third if we see rising interest rates, this will push markets down.

Despite these pitfalls, there is a way to profit using the strong US dollar and undervalue non dollar stock markets to pick up good value shares.

During nearly five decades of global investing I have noticed found that good value strategies are the best way to profit long term, through good politics and bad.  The steps to take are simple.

The first tactic is to seek safety before profit.

We can look at Warren Buffett’s investing strategy as an example.  Buffett success is talked about a lot, but rarely does anyone explain how he make so much money.  That was the fact until some researchers really stripped his operation bare.  They looked at everything and learned the deepest of Buffett’s wealth management secrets.  Fortunately they published all in a research paper at Yale University’s website. that reveals important truths about extending wealth.

This research shows that the stocks Buffett chooses are safe (with low beta and low volatility), cheap (value stocks with low price – to – book ratios), and high quality (stocks of companies that are profitable, stable, growing, and with high payout ratios).

The second tactic is to maintain staying power.  At times Buffet’s portfolio has fallen, but he has been willing and able to wait long periods for the value to reveal itself and prices to recover.

A 45 year portfolio study shows that holding a diversified good value portfolio (based on a  good value strategy) for 13 month’s time, increases the probability of outperformance to 70%.

However those who can hold the portfolio for five years gain a 88% probability of beating the bellwether in the market and after ten years the probability increases to 97.5%.

Time is your friend when you use a good value strategy.  The longer you can hold onto a well balanced good value portfolio the better the odds of outstanding success.

The Buffett strategy integrates time and value for safety and profit.

A third tactic is using limited leveraging, tactic in the strategy boosts profit.  Buffett leverages his portfolio at a ratio of approximately 1.6 to 1.   The Yale published research paper shows the leveraging methods used by Warren Buffett to amass his $50 billion fortune.  The researchers found that the returns from Buffett’s investment company, Berkshire Hathaway, far outweighed those achieved by any rival that has operated for 30 years or more.  The research shows that neither luck nor magic are involved.  Instead, the paper shows that Buffet’s success hinges on using leverage at the rate of 1.6.

To sum up the strategy, Buffet uses limited leverage to invest in large purchases of “cheap, safe, quality stocks”.  He limits leverage so he can hold on for very long periods of time, surviving rough periods where others might have been forced into a fire sale or a career shift.

Stated in another way buffet uses logic (buy good value) to have the conviction, wherewithal, and skill to invest with leverage over many decades.

What do we do when we are not Warren Buffett?

May I introduce the Purposeful Investing Course (Pi) for those who want to invest like Warren Buffet, but know they are not.  This course is based on my 50 plus years of investing experience combined with wisdom gained from some of the world’s best investment managers and economic mathematical scientists.

Enjoy Extending Wealth

Pi’s mission is to make it easy for anyone to create a three point strategy, like Buffett’s even though they do not have a lot of time for or knowledge about investing.

Pi reveals investing secrets and the sciences that make investing easy, safer, less time consuming and increases the chances of profit.

One secret is to invest with a purpose beyond the cash.  One tactic as mentioned is staying power.  This means not being caught short and having to sell during a period of loss.  This also means having enough faith in a strategy that we stick to the plan.  When we invest with purpose, doing what we love, we enjoy the process more and are more likely to hold on during down times, when most poor investors panic and sell.

Slow, Worry Free, Good Value Investing

Stress, worry and fear are three of an investor’s worst enemies.  They create the Behavior Gap, a trait exhibited by most investors, that causes them to underperform any market sector they choose.  The behavior gap is created by natural human responses to fear.   Pi helps create profitable strategies that avoid losses from this gap.

Spanning the Behavior Gap

Behavior gaps are among the biggest reasons why so many investors fail.  Human evolution makes fear the second most powerful motivator.  (Greed is the third.)  Fear creates investment losses due to behavior gaps.  Fear motivates us more strongly than desire.  By nature investors are risk adverse.

Winning investors though embrace risk because they have a plan based on good value.

Purpose is the most powerful motivator,  stronger than fear and greed, so a strategy with purpose is the most powerful of all.

Combine your needs and capabilities with good value secrets and the math to back up your value selections through the Pifolio – The Pi Model Portfolio

Lessons from Pi are based on the creation and management of a Primary Pi Model Portfolio, called the Pifolio.  There are no secrets about this portfolio except that it ignores the stories (often created by someone with vested interests) and is based entirely on good math.

The Pifolio is a theoretical portfolio of MSCI Country Benchmark Index ETFs that cover all the good value markets using my (almost) 50 years of global experience and my study of the analysis of four mathematical investing geniuses (and friends).

The Pifolio analysis begins with a continual research of international major stock markets that compares their value based on:

#1:  Current book to price

#2: Cash flow to price

#3: Earnings to price

#4: Average dividend yield

#5: Return on equity

#6: Cash flow return.

#7: Market history

We follow this research of a brilliant mathematician and have tracked this analysis for over 20 years.    This is a complete and continual study of international major and emerging stock markets.

This analysis forms the basis of a Good Value Stock Market Strategy.   The analysis is rational, mathematical and does not worry about short term ups and downs.   This strategy is easy for anyone to follow and use.  Pi reveals the best value markets and provides contacts to managers and analysts and Country Index ETFs so almost anyone can create and follow their own strategy.

A country ETF provides diversification and cost efficiency by spreading one simple, even small investment into a basket of equities in a good value stock market.  The costs are low and this type of ETF is one of the hardest for institutions to cheat.  Expense ratios for most ETFs are lower than those of the average mutual fund.

Little knowledge, time, management or guesswork are required.  The investment is simply a diversified portfolio of good value indices.  Investments in an index are like investments in all the shares of a good value market.

Pi matches this mathematical certainty with my fifty years of experience. This opens insights to numerous long term cycles that most investors miss because they have not been investing long enough to see them.

For example in the 1980s, a remarkable set of two economic circumstances helped anyone who spotted them become remarkably rich.  Some of my readers made enough to retire.  Others picked up 50% currency gains.  Then the cycle ended.  Warren Buffett explained the importance of this ending in a 1999 Fortune magazine interview.  He said:  Let me summarize what I’ve been saying about the stock market: I think it’s very hard to come up with a persuasive case that equities will over the next 17 years perform anything like—anything like—they’ve performed in the past 17!

I did well then, but always thought, “I should have invested more!”  Now those circumstances have come together and I am investing in them again.

The circumstances that created fortunes 30 years ago were an overvalued US market (compared to global markets) and an overvalued US dollar.

The two conditions are in place again!  There are currently ten good value (non US) developed markets,  plus 10 good value emerging markets.

Pi shows how to easily create a diversified, worry free portfolio in some of these good value markets using Country Index ETFs.

The current strength of the US dollar is a second remarkable similarity to 30 years ago.   The dollar rose along with Wall Street.  Profits came quickly over three years.  Then the dollar dropped like a stone, by 51%  in just two years.  A repeat of this pattern is growing and could create up to 50% extra profit if we start using strong dollars to accumulate good value stock market ETFs in other currencies.

This is the most exciting opportunity I have seen since we started sending our reports on international investing ideas more than three decades ago.  There is so much more to write and the trends are so clear that I have created a short, but powerful report “Three Currency Patterns For 50% Profits or More.”   This report shows how to earn an extra 50% from currency shifts with even small investments.  I kept the report short and simple, but included links to 153 pages of  Good Value Stock Market research and Asset Allocation Analysis.

The report shows 20 good value investments and a really powerful tactic that shows the most effective and least expensive way to accumulate these bargains in large or even very small amounts (less than $5,000).  There is extra profit potential of at least 50% so the report is worth a lot.

This report sells for $29.95 but you’ll receive the report “Three Currency Patterns For 50% Profits or More” FREE when you subscribe to Pi.

Leverage

Pi also explains when leverage provides extra potential without undo risk.  For example in 1986 I issued a report called “The Silver Dip” that showed how to borrow 12,000 British pounds (at almost 1.6 to 1 dollars per pound the loan created US$18,600) and use the loan to buy 3835 ounces of silver at around US$4.85 an ounce.

Silver had crashed, I mean really crashed from $48 per ounce.  As prices decreased from early 1983 into 1986, total supply had fallen to 449.7 million ounces in 1986.  Mine production was restricted by the low prices at this time, with silver reaching a low for this period of $4.85 in May 1986.  Secondary recovery also was constricted by these low prices.

Then silver’s price skyrocketed to over $11 an ounce within a year.  The $18,600 loan was now worth $42,185.

The loan was in pounds and in May 1986 the dollar pound rate was 1.55 dollars per pound.  So the 12,000 pound loan purchased $18,600 of silver.  The pound then crashed to 1.40 dollars per silver.  The loan could be paid off for $13,285 immediately creating an extra $5,314 profit.  The profit grew to $47,499 in just a year.

Conditions for the silver dip have returned.  The availability of low cost loans and silver are at an all time low.  The price of silver has crashed from nearly $50 an ounce to below $14 as did shares of the iShares Silver ETF (SLV).

finance.yahoo.com chart SLV

iShares Silver Trust (symbol SLV) from www.finance.yahoo.com

Imagine investing in a spike like this… with leverage!

At the same time the silver gold ratio hit 80, a strong sign to invest in precious metals.

I have updated a special report “Silver Dip 2019” about a leveraged silver speculation that can increase the returns in a safe portfolio by as much as eight times.  The purpose of the report is to share long term lessons gained through 30 years of speculating and investing in precious metals.  While working on the report, when the gold silver ratio slipped to 80 and the price of silver dropped below $14 an ounce, I knew I needed to share this immediately.

I released a new report “Silver Dip 2015” so readers were able to take advantage of these conditions and leverage 1.6 times as a speculation.  That report generated profits as high as 212% and a revised 2019 issue has been produced.

“The Silver Dip 2109”  sells for $39.95 but  you receive  “Silver Dip 2019” FREE when you subscribe to Pi.

Save

Subscribe to the first year of The Personal investing Course (Pi).  The annual fee is $299, but to introduce you to this online, course that is based on real time investing, I am knocking $102 off the subscription.  Plus you receive the $29.95 report “Three Currency Patterns For 50% Profits or More” and the $39.95 report “The Silver Dip 2019” free.

Triple Guarantee

Enroll in Pi.   Get the first monthly issue of Pi, and the report “Three Currency Patterns For 50% Profits or More” and “The Silver Dip 2019” right away.

#1:  I guarantee you’ll learn ideas about investing that are unique and can reduce stress as they help you enhance your profits through slow, worry free purposeful investing.

If you are not totally happy, simply let me know.

#2:  I guarantee you can cancel your subscription within 60 days and I’ll refund your subscription fee in full, no questions asked.

#3:  I guarantee you can keep “Three Currency Patterns For 50% Profits or More” and “The Silver Dip 2109” report as my thanks for trying.

You have nothing to lose except the fear.   You have the ultimate form of financial security to gain.

Subscribe to the Pi for $197.   You Save $158.95.

Gary

 

 

 

(1)  archives.chicagotribune.com 1942 tax credit for unusual medical costs

(2) www.bls.gov One hundred years of price change

(3)  www.justfacts.com healthcare costs

(4) Finance.yahoo.com medical cost inflation hits 8 year high

(5)  www.forbes.com us healthcare ranked dead last

Two Most Important Financial Tips


The two most important financial tips have nothing to do with investing at all.   These tips have to do with a part of our lives that has serious inflation.  Starting last April, (2015)  there was an eyebrow-raising jump in the prices of medical care. This jump was so high it surprised economists and health-care experts, who can’t figure out what’s driving the large increase.  The first monthly blip up 1.9% in one month, is an annual rate of 24% per annum.

The first first tip is “avoid medical expenses.”

medical cost inflation

Portion of income spent on health care chart from justfacts.com (1).  [Click on chart to enlarge.]

Recently I was combing through some old papers of my mom’s and found a receipt from the Providence Hospital in Portland, Oregon for my birth.  $65.  I recall paying for my first daughter’s birth, a C-section, $630.

According to justfacts.com, “In 1942, the price for a maternity room at Christ Hospital in Jersey City, NJ was $7.00 per day.  Adjusting for inflation, this amounts to $97.29 in 2011 dollars.  In 2011, the price for a maternity room at the same hospital was $1,360 per day.”

According to whattoexpect.com (2) “A 2014 study by the University of California, San Francisco found that hospital charges for an uncomplicated delivery ranged from $3,296 to $37,227, depending on the hospital.  For a C-section, costs ranged from $8,312 to nearly $71,000.”

Medical expenses have more potential to ruin your wealth than any other cost.

The second tip is “Have good health”.   One of our most powerful financial assets is good health, energy and a calm excitement  that starts every day. 

One of the best ways to create this positive mood is a morning self massage with essential oils.  Research confirms that self-massage produces oxytocin.  This Nona peptide produced by the hypothalamus linked to feelings of well being and release of stress.

A self massage balances the immune system, modulates hormones, makes the skin look and feel good as it improves our mood.  Using essential oils enhance these effects, because we can go one step further and target the mood we want to balance.

Many health sciences look at good health as being the correct interaction between three elements of the body viewed as (1) air, (2) fire and (3) water.   These elements represent motion (air), digestion (fire), and the solid form in which we exist (water).  When any of these three elements are out of balance, the imbalance creates dis – ease.

The two fastest and most powerful ways to shift these elements is through the skin or the lungs.

The Indian science of life, Ayurved, suggests a 20 minute self massage of the head, face and ears, neck, arms, hands, fingers, back and spine, legs and feet.

If you are like me, you rarely have time for that!

I already do 35 minutes of meditation, 15 minutes of exercise and a 15 minute sauna.  By that time I am ready to get going.  So I hit the important points, the face, neck, ears especially,  joints, knees, elbows and lastly the feet.   The feet and ears are considered especially important.

During the massage, I focus my thoughts on gratitude, love and am as aware and focused on each  stroke.  We are what we think and science produces evidence that the more attention we give each stroke, the more oxytocin is produced.

Four ways to avoid higher health costs.

There is a simple way to decide which oil to use because our emotions give us clues about any imbalance.  If we feel angry, the imbalance is fire, anxious is air and depressed is water.

There are four essential oil blends that Merri and I use all created by our friends, Candace and John Newman.  For years Candace traveled with Merri and me to Ecuador and visited us at our North Carolina farm to study shamans and their use of these oils… known as aqua flora.

We purchase all our oils from her because her pure essential oils are gathered from around the world and are of the highest quality to insure their medicinal properties.

She uses no synthetic fragrances.  Her blends are of the highest quality ingredients and her formulas include base ingredients such as Organic Golden Jojoba, aloe and coconut oil.  The four balancing blends are:

Soother Blend:    Cedarwood, Geranium, Patchouli, Orange, Ylang YlangThe Soother Blend pacifies an air imbalance when feeling anxious or jittery.  This blend has the grounding oils of Cedarwood, Patchouli; balancing nerves with deep sweet Geranium combined with the sweet, uplifting touch of Orange and Ylang Ylang.

Balancer Blend:    Lavender, Orange, Peppermint, Roman Chamomile.  The Balancer Blend eases fire when feeling anger or resentment.

Stimulator Blend:  Eucalyptus, Cypress, Lemon, Lavender, Rosemary.  The Stimulator Blend shakes up water, gets the rivers moving and clears with Eucalyptus, Lemon, Cypress, Rosemary. A touch of Lavender adds balance to the whole mix.

Comforter Blend:  Lavender, Rose Otto, Frankincense.  When the need for feeling just fine, the Comforter Blend keeps the balance.

Each of these four blends is available individually in a healing cobalt glass bottle with pump top for home or office.

essential oil

Learn more about these blends at Candace and John’s website.

Soother 4 oz

Balancer 4 oz

Stimulator 4 oz

Comforter 4 oz

essential oil

This chart shows how to use these essential oil blends to maintain a good natural health balance.

Hidden high inflation, especially medical costs and low interest rates create great threats to our wealth and health.  Avoid high medical costs and have good health by balancing the body with essential oils.

Gary

(1)  https://www.justfacts.com/healthcare.asp

(2)  http://www.whattoexpect.com/pregnancy/pregnancy-costs/

Learn Seven Ways to Reduce Health Care Costs at our Value Investing Seminar.  One session of the seminar covers shamanic health secrets that can help maintain good natural health.

Gain From Election Volatility

Here we are again… another election on its way… all the robo calls from politicians… the dirty tricks and the innumerable amounts of nonsense this vital process brings.

However America’s politics turn out, one thing is sure.  There will be volatility in stock markets during the election process.

The first reason markets will bounce has nothing to do with politics or policies.   A market correction is due regardless of the party or the person in office.

Second the new politics has created an uncertain era.  Everyone has been shaken over the past three years whether they are pleased with the government or not.

Nothing frightens markets like uncertainty.

Third if we see rising interest rates, this will push markets down.

Despite these pitfalls, there is a way to profit using the strong US dollar and undervalue non dollar stock markets to pick up good value shares.

During nearly five decades of global investing I have noticed found that good value strategies are the best way to profit long term, through good politics and bad.  The steps to take are simple.

The first tactic is to seek safety before profit.

We can look at Warren Buffett’s investing strategy as an example.  Buffett success is talked about a lot, but rarely does anyone explain how he make so much money.  That was the fact until some researchers really stripped his operation bare.  They looked at everything and learned the deepest of Buffett’s wealth management secrets.  Fortunately they published all in a research paper at Yale University’s website. that reveals important truths about extending wealth.

This research shows that the stocks Buffett chooses are safe (with low beta and low volatility), cheap (value stocks with low price – to – book ratios), and high quality (stocks of companies that are profitable, stable, growing, and with high payout ratios).

The second tactic is to maintain staying power.  At times Buffet’s portfolio has fallen, but he has been willing and able to wait long periods for the value to reveal itself and prices to recover.

A 45 year portfolio study shows that holding a diversified good value portfolio (based on a  good value strategy) for 13 month’s time, increases the probability of outperformance to 70%.

However those who can hold the portfolio for five years gain a 88% probability of beating the bellwether in the market and after ten years the probability increases to 97.5%.

Time is your friend when you use a good value strategy.  The longer you can hold onto a well balanced good value portfolio the better the odds of outstanding success.

The Buffett strategy integrates time and value for safety and profit.

A third tactic is using limited leveraging, tactic in the strategy boosts profit.  Buffett leverages his portfolio at a ratio of approximately 1.6 to 1.   The Yale published research paper shows the leveraging methods used by Warren Buffett to amass his $50 billion fortune.  The researchers found that the returns from Buffett’s investment company, Berkshire Hathaway, far outweighed those achieved by any rival that has operated for 30 years or more.  The research shows that neither luck nor magic are involved.  Instead, the paper shows that Buffet’s success hinges on using leverage at the rate of 1.6.

To sum up the strategy, Buffet uses limited leverage to invest in large purchases of “cheap, safe, quality stocks”.  He limits leverage so he can hold on for very long periods of time, surviving rough periods where others might have been forced into a fire sale or a career shift.

Stated in another way buffet uses logic (buy good value) to have the conviction, wherewithal, and skill to invest with leverage over many decades.

What do we do when we are not Warren Buffett?

May I introduce the Purposeful Investing Course (Pi) for those who want to invest like Warren Buffet, but know they are not.  This course is based on my 50 plus years of investing experience combined with wisdom gained from some of the world’s best investment managers and economic mathematical scientists.

Enjoy Extending Wealth

Pi’s mission is to make it easy for anyone to create a three point strategy, like Buffett’s even though they do not have a lot of time for or knowledge about investing.

Pi reveals investing secrets and the sciences that make investing easy, safer, less time consuming and increases the chances of profit.

One secret is to invest with a purpose beyond the cash.  One tactic as mentioned is staying power.  This means not being caught short and having to sell during a period of loss.  This also means having enough faith in a strategy that we stick to the plan.  When we invest with purpose, doing what we love, we enjoy the process more and are more likely to hold on during down times, when most poor investors panic and sell.

Slow, Worry Free, Good Value Investing

Stress, worry and fear are three of an investor’s worst enemies.  They create the Behavior Gap, a trait exhibited by most investors, that causes them to underperform any market sector they choose.  The behavior gap is created by natural human responses to fear.   Pi helps create profitable strategies that avoid losses from this gap.

Spanning the Behavior Gap

Behavior gaps are among the biggest reasons why so many investors fail.  Human evolution makes fear the second most powerful motivator.  (Greed is the third.)  Fear creates investment losses due to behavior gaps.  Fear motivates us more strongly than desire.  By nature investors are risk adverse.

Winning investors though embrace risk because they have a plan based on good value.

Purpose is the most powerful motivator,  stronger than fear and greed, so a strategy with purpose is the most powerful of all.

Combine your needs and capabilities with good value secrets and the math to back up your value selections through the Pifolio – The Pi Model Portfolio

Lessons from Pi are based on the creation and management of a Primary Pi Model Portfolio, called the Pifolio.  There are no secrets about this portfolio except that it ignores the stories (often created by someone with vested interests) and is based entirely on good math.

The Pifolio is a theoretical portfolio of MSCI Country Benchmark Index ETFs that cover all the good value markets using my (almost) 50 years of global experience and my study of the analysis of four mathematical investing geniuses (and friends).

The Pifolio analysis begins with a continual research of international major stock markets that compares their value based on:

#1:  Current book to price

#2: Cash flow to price

#3: Earnings to price

#4: Average dividend yield

#5: Return on equity

#6: Cash flow return.

#7: Market history

We follow this research of a brilliant mathematician and have tracked this analysis for over 20 years.    This is a complete and continual study of international major and emerging stock markets.

This analysis forms the basis of a Good Value Stock Market Strategy.   The analysis is rational, mathematical and does not worry about short term ups and downs.   This strategy is easy for anyone to follow and use.  Pi reveals the best value markets and provides contacts to managers and analysts and Country Index ETFs so almost anyone can create and follow their own strategy.

A country ETF provides diversification and cost efficiency by spreading one simple, even small investment into a basket of equities in a good value stock market.  The costs are low and this type of ETF is one of the hardest for institutions to cheat.  Expense ratios for most ETFs are lower than those of the average mutual fund.

Little knowledge, time, management or guesswork are required.  The investment is simply a diversified portfolio of good value indices.  Investments in an index are like investments in all the shares of a good value market.

Pi matches this mathematical certainty with my fifty years of experience. This opens insights to numerous long term cycles that most investors miss because they have not been investing long enough to see them.

For example in the 1980s, a remarkable set of two economic circumstances helped anyone who spotted them become remarkably rich.  Some of my readers made enough to retire.  Others picked up 50% currency gains.  Then the cycle ended.  Warren Buffett explained the importance of this ending in a 1999 Fortune magazine interview.  He said:  Let me summarize what I’ve been saying about the stock market: I think it’s very hard to come up with a persuasive case that equities will over the next 17 years perform anything like—anything like—they’ve performed in the past 17!

I did well then, but always thought, “I should have invested more!”  Now those circumstances have come together and I am investing in them again.

The circumstances that created fortunes 30 years ago were an overvalued US market (compared to global markets) and an overvalued US dollar.

The two conditions are in place again!  There are currently ten good value (non US) developed markets,  plus 10 good value emerging markets.

Pi shows how to easily create a diversified, worry free portfolio in some of these good value markets using Country Index ETFs.

The current strength of the US dollar is a second remarkable similarity to 30 years ago.   The dollar rose along with Wall Street.  Profits came quickly over three years.  Then the dollar dropped like a stone, by 51%  in just two years.  A repeat of this pattern is growing and could create up to 50% extra profit if we start using strong dollars to accumulate good value stock market ETFs in other currencies.

This is the most exciting opportunity I have seen since we started sending our reports on international investing ideas more than three decades ago.  There is so much more to write and the trends are so clear that I have created a short, but powerful report “Three Currency Patterns For 50% Profits or More.”   This report shows how to earn an extra 50% from currency shifts with even small investments.  I kept the report short and simple, but included links to 153 pages of  Good Value Stock Market research and Asset Allocation Analysis.

The report shows 20 good value investments and a really powerful tactic that shows the most effective and least expensive way to accumulate these bargains in large or even very small amounts (less than $5,000).  There is extra profit potential of at least 50% so the report is worth a lot.

This report sells for $29.95 but you’ll receive the report “Three Currency Patterns For 50% Profits or More” FREE when you subscribe to Pi.

Leverage

Pi also explains when leverage provides extra potential without undo risk.  For example in 1986 I issued a report called “The Silver Dip” that showed how to borrow 12,000 British pounds (at almost 1.6 to 1 dollars per pound the loan created US$18,600) and use the loan to buy 3835 ounces of silver at around US$4.85 an ounce.

Silver had crashed, I mean really crashed from $48 per ounce.  As prices decreased from early 1983 into 1986, total supply had fallen to 449.7 million ounces in 1986.  Mine production was restricted by the low prices at this time, with silver reaching a low for this period of $4.85 in May 1986.  Secondary recovery also was constricted by these low prices.

Then silver’s price skyrocketed to over $11 an ounce within a year.  The $18,600 loan was now worth $42,185.

The loan was in pounds and in May 1986 the dollar pound rate was 1.55 dollars per pound.  So the 12,000 pound loan purchased $18,600 of silver.  The pound then crashed to 1.40 dollars per silver.  The loan could be paid off for $13,285 immediately creating an extra $5,314 profit.  The profit grew to $47,499 in just a year.

Conditions for the silver dip have returned.  The availability of low cost loans and silver are at an all time low.  The price of silver has crashed from nearly $50 an ounce to below $14 as did shares of the iShares Silver ETF (SLV).

finance.yahoo.com chart SLV

iShares Silver Trust (symbol SLV) from www.finance.yahoo.com

Imagine investing in a spike like this… with leverage!

At the same time the silver gold ratio hit 80, a strong sign to invest in precious metals.

I have updated a special report “Silver Dip 2019” about a leveraged silver speculation that can increase the returns in a safe portfolio by as much as eight times.  The purpose of the report is to share long term lessons gained through 30 years of speculating and investing in precious metals.  While working on the report, when the gold silver ratio slipped to 80 and the price of silver dropped below $14 an ounce, I knew I needed to share this immediately.

I released a new report “Silver Dip 2015” so readers were able to take advantage of these conditions and leverage 1.6 times as a speculation.  That report generated profits as high as 212% and a revised 2019 issue has been produced.

“The Silver Dip 2109”  sells for $39.95 but  you receive  “Silver Dip 2019” FREE when you subscribe to Pi.

Save

Subscribe to the first year of The Personal investing Course (Pi).  The annual fee is $299, but to introduce you to this online, course that is based on real time investing, I am knocking $102 off the subscription.  Plus you receive the $29.95 report “Three Currency Patterns For 50% Profits or More” and the $39.95 report “The Silver Dip 2019” free.

Triple Guarantee

Enroll in Pi.   Get the first monthly issue of Pi, and the report “Three Currency Patterns For 50% Profits or More” and “The Silver Dip 2019” right away.

#1:  I guarantee you’ll learn ideas about investing that are unique and can reduce stress as they help you enhance your profits through slow, worry free purposeful investing.

If you are not totally happy, simply let me know.

#2:  I guarantee you can cancel your subscription within 60 days and I’ll refund your subscription fee in full, no questions asked.

#3:  I guarantee you can keep “Three Currency Patterns For 50% Profits or More” and “The Silver Dip 2109” report as my thanks for trying.

You have nothing to lose except the fear.   You have the ultimate form of financial security to gain.

Subscribe to the Pi for $197.   You Save $158.95.

Gary

 

 

 

 

What We Don’t Know


There is always something we do not know.  Financial leaders from the world’s 20 biggest economies have been meeting in Ankara, Turkey this last weekend.   News reports say these G-20 leaders agreed to step up efforts to increase growth.  They say ultra-low interest rates will not be enough to accelerate economic expansion.  The news is that the big economies came to many agreements.

We cannot depend on this news, though, because there is always something that we (and the leaders) do not know.  See how to protect against the unknown below.

WSJ image

The chart above from a recent Wall Street Journal article, “U.S. Lacks Ammo for Next Economic Crisis” says that the government is short on ways to battle the next recession.

Another recession is not imminent but is inevitable.  The current US economic expansion is now 16 months longer than the average expansion since World War II.  No US economic expansion has lasted longer than ten years.

During recessions, the U.S. government usually injects cash into the economy by cutting interest rates, reducing tax and increasing federal spending.

Lowering interest rates will be harder this time because interest rates are near zero.

Increased government spending and tax reduction will be complicated by the existing high levels of government debt and growing entitlement spending on retired baby boomers.

The U.S. is not near recession yet but Japan’s economy has shrunk for two quarters.  Europe’s growth is slow and China is suffering a slowdown.  The U.S. is the only major economy bolstering the global outlook.

In addition, China’s currency devaluation could start a currency and trade war.  The G-20 leaders in Ankara agreed not to start a round of currency devaluations.  Watch to see who might break this agreement.  There is always something we do not know!

If a trade war begins, the US dollar may rise even more in the face of currency uncertainty.   The Fed may experiment with negative interest rates and Congress may stop trying to reduce the Federal deficit and crank up the spending machine.

If a stronger dollar, lower interest rate and more government spending, all take place at once, real inflation will rise even more.

Rising costs will be harder to overcome with investments.  Low and falling interest rates make traditionally safe investments (deposits, bonds, annuities) guaranteed purchasing power losers.  Investors, seeking better returns, will pay too much for equities and push share prices to dangerous, poor value levels.

What can we do when all these conditions turn against purchasing power?

The economic scenario, where inflation rises, interest rates fall and stock markets become more volatile and risky, requires a three prong strategy.  Part one, invest in better value shares.  Part two earn through service.  Part three, reduce tax.

According to the press, the US economy looks good.  Japan, China and Europe expansions are not so good.  The G-20 appears in agreement.   Yet we cannot depend on just the media.  Good investing and lifestyle tactics that support a personal three step program to maintaining and improving our purchasing power is a good idea. There is always something we do not know.

Gary

Learn how to implement a three prong purchasing power strategy.

Learn Fun & Profitable Tax Secrets

Imagine this, micro businesses are such good ways to create wealth and reduce tax that even cruises can be tax deductible.

Small family owned businesses have some of the best tax benefits.

Micro businesses have huge tax savings using really conservative strategies.

conrad oertwig

Conrad Oertwig (far right) after a seminar when delegates visit our North Carolina home.

This is why I am delighted that our tax preparer, Conrad Oertwig, who is a master of tax savings information, has agreed to speak at our October 17-18, 2015 Value Investment Seminar.

Conrad Oertwig can assist you on tax matters.  IN FACT THIS FALL, Conrad will be offering a course and personal service on ways that one-person and family business owners can have more cash via tax savings.   Conrad is offering a report on seven ways to put more cash on the table when you earn and is releasing a course on how to save taxes this fall.

Conrad’s report is “7 Secrets to Paying Less Tax… for the One-Owner Business”.  He sent me this note to share with you about the report.

From: Conrad Oertwig

One hard fact of life is that taxes are cash.  It’s a mistake to think of taxes as taxes.  If you want to create more net worth, you need to think of taxes as cash.

How much tax cash are you leaving on the table? Thousands? Tens of thousands?

Here are just three of seven secrets I will share with Gary Scott readers at the October 17-18 Value Investment Seminar and in my report.   Learn how to pay less tax, have more cash, and build your net worth.

Secret # 1: Gain $12,976 by using two vehicles for business.  In the past, your tax adviser likely told you to drive one vehicle for business and the other vehicle for personal purposes. This old advice made it easier to claim the one car as a business car because no business mileage log was required back then. But that’s no longer true.

Today, tax law requires you to keep a mileage log to prove business use. That changes the game. With today’s rules, you gain nothing by using only one car. But the new mileage log rule gives you a possible opportunity to increase your tax deductions.

First, you might ask: Will the IRS allow me to use more than one vehicle for business?

Yes! The IRS official method for computing business use of a single vehicle is to divide business miles by total miles driven. IRS Form 4562, which is filed by proprietorships and corporations, contains spaces for up to six vehicles. In other words, yes, the IRS recognizes that you can drive more than one vehicle.

Here are the two basics that make the two-vehicle strategy work:
1:  You drive more miles than your spouse, and
2:  Both vehicles are somewhat close in adjusted basis.
To see if you can benefit from this two-vehicle strategy, and by how much (the minimum amount, really), apply the arithmetic from the before-and-after example below to your vehicles.

Before. You drive 2,000 personal and 28,000 business miles on your vehicle (93% business). Your spouse drives 8,000 personal miles on vehicle 2. Each vehicle has an adjusted basis of $24,000. Your maximum depreciation and/or Section 179 deduction is $22,400 (93% times $24,000) on the one vehicle you currently drive for business.

After. You switch vehicles with your spouse every week. You now have 73.7% business use of vehicle 1 and 73.7% business use of vehicle 2. This produces $35,376 in maximum depreciation and/or Section 179 deductions (73.7% x 2 x $24,000).

You gain $12,976 in new deductions ($35,376 minus $22,400). You did not have to drive one mile further or spend one additional penny. You simply had to know (as you learned here) that this strategy could work for you.

Secret #2:  Have a second office in the home.

Have you been told that because you have an office outside your home that you may not have an office in the home?  That’s wrong!

IRS publication 463 states, “You can have more than one business location, including your home, for a single trade or business.”  Learn why in the free report due to IRS publication 587 you want your office in the home to qualify as an administrative office.

Secret #3: Travel by cruise ship and deduct up to $680 a day.

When you know the rules, it’s easy to travel to a business meeting by cruise ship rather than by airplane or other mode of transportation.  Tax law provides various ways for you to deduct a cruise.  The free report shows an example of a trip to St. Thomas in the Virgin Islands from California or New York.

Learn about IRS Regulation 1.274-4 that gives you two one-owner business friendly rules that you can use to your benefit:

1:  The United States means the 50 states and the District of Columbia.
2: Transportation cost to a foreign destination for seven days or less, excluding the day of departure, is not subject to an allocation between business and personal days.

In the example if you fly to Miami, Florida, board a cruise ship that will take five days to arrive at St. Thomas your deductions will include the cost of:

1 :  Travel to Miami
2:   Cruise ship fare to St. Thomas (not to exceed tax law’s luxury boat limits that range in 2014 from a low of $566 to $680 per day, depending on the dates of travel)
3:   Food and lodging in St. Thomas
4:   Airfare to Miami
5 :  Travel from Miami to home

You have to admit, tax knowledge can be fun which is why I want to send you this free report.

I specialize in “nuts and bolts” tax strategies that bring tax law to life so that business taxpayers and professional tax advisers can put the law to work for them.  In fact, my mission is to clarify taxes so that you take control of your money.

Plucking common sense from the tax law is time consuming and difficult work.  Yet, after more than 25 years, I still get great satisfaction when I can clarify and extract tax dollars from the tax law not only for your pockets but also to add to your net worth.  In fact I have extracted over 400 tax savings tips and would like to share the most important lessons with you so am creating a course that will share seven tax secrets each month for the next year.

Sincerely,

Conrad Oertwig

Learn how to have a tax advantaged one person or family owned micro business.

Conrad has dozens of tax savings secrets he will explain at our October 17-18 Value Investment Seminar.   To help you get an early start, we will send you Conrad’s report “7 Secrets to Paying Less Tax… for the One-Owner Business”, when you enroll in the seminar.

Get seminar details here

 

(1) wsj.com  US lacks ammo for next economic crisis

Anti Inflation Labor


Labor is good because inflation is beyond statistics.  Labor Day is a good time to remember the value of labor.  Real inflation is why we should never give up our ability to have a fulfilling passion to serve with a labor of love.

A recent Forbes article about how the Consumer Price Index  does not really reflect inflation (1) shows why the  government has incentives to keep inflation statistics as low as possible.  A higher CPI gives 80 million people cost of living rises for Social Security, food stamps, military and federal Civil Service retirees and survivors, and children on school lunch programs.

The article also shows how over the past 30 years, the government has changed the way it calculates inflation more than 20 times.  The Forbes article suggests that real inflation now is about 4.9% price rise per annum instead of the 0.2% reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.

A CNCB article says “Inflation is Actually Near 10% Using Older Measure” (2).

The CPI charts below from shadowstats.com (3) shows inflation estimates as if CPI was calculated in the 1980 and in the 1990 mode.  These estimates (about 4% from the 1990 calculations and 9% from the 1980 calculations) support the Forbes and CNCB articles.  Whatever the real number, all it takes is a trip to the grocery store to know this, “the cost of living for basics (food, clothing, shelter) is higher than the government stats suggest.

Inflation Charts

Click on charts from shadowstats.com to enlarge.

Real inflation is one of the most important statistics for our future financial well being.  If any of these figures above are correct, let’s forget the percentages and look at what inflation will do to the actual value of your purchasing power.

If we have $100,000 in savings and real inflation is 4%, in ten years your $100,000 will have the purchasing power of  $67,556.  We’ll need  $148,024 to have the purchasing power of $100,000 today.

If inflation is somewhere between 4% and 10%, say 7%, then our $100,000 will have the purchasing power of $50,834.   We’ll need $196,715 to have the same purchasing power in ten years.   If the 10%  estimate is correct, our $100,000 will have the purchasing power of today’s $38,554.  We’ll need $259,374 to buy today’s $100,000 worth of goods.

Look 20 years out and lookout!  At 4% inflation $100,000 buys $45,638 worth of goods. We need  $291,112 to be even with $100,000 of today’s purchasing power.  At 7% inflation $100,00 has $25,841 of today’s purchasing power and requires $396,968.   10% inflation reduces $100,000 to $14,864 and requires $672,749 to buy the same amount as today.

The simple reality is that most of us will have to both earn more than we spend and invest wisely to keep up and get ahead.  Fortunately the process can be fulfilling and fun.

Never Give Up the Ability to Serve and Sell in a Fulfilling Way.  The ability to serve is ultimate inflation fighting tool!  Avoid the three prong crunch that’s robbing most people of their purchasing power.  First, many stock markets are a poor value and September and October are the months when markets are mostly likely to fall.

Second, The US dollar has risen so high it offers a bad value.  Third, low interest rates mean supposed safe investment don’t come close to keeping up with inflation.

We are forced to assume more risk in our investing or let the system rip us off with inflation.  Plus most of us will also have to earn beyond our investments as well.   This is good because the process can make us happier when we have missions we love.

Advertisement: Learn how to gain mastery by creating missions Learn more at Amazon.com. Click here..

Labor’s Ability to Sell.  Labor’s Ability to Satisfy.  Labor’s Ability to Beat Inflation.

Money does not guarantee happiness but up to about $75,000 a year of income, money does help.  If you are turning your passion into profit, then it is even easier to be content with your labors.   The value of labor rises with inflation.  That $75,000 threshold will be worth $38,126 in ten years if inflation is 7%.  $75,000 of today’s purchasing power will require $147,536.

Good labor is not drudgery and does not have to be work.

The beauty of learning to serve in a fulfilling way is the process of earning can be fun.

Take the example of Denis Malloy’s new book  “Eat Local Anywhere”.   Our  course “Self Fulfilled How to be a Self Publisher” helped Denis write this book.

eat local anywhere

Denis’s guide is for local restaurants in different parts of the world that are not specifically designed to attract tourists.  They are restaurants featuring authentic, local cuisine for local residents.  The moderate prices on their menus and the authentic representation make these great places to eat as you travel.

Learn more about Denis Malloy’s “Eat Local Anywhere” at Amazon.com

To research this book, here are a few of the places Denis had to travel so eat in many of the restaurants there.

Brussels, Belgium

Buenos Aires, Argentina

Quito, Ecuador

Punta Del Este, Uruguay

Santiago, Chile

Montevideo, Uruguay

Paris, France

Sait Jean de Luz, Pyrenees-Atlantiques,  France

Sheboygan, Wisconsin

Del Ray Beach, Florida

Do you think his research was drudgery?  Look at the service he provided, a valuable guide to good restaurants offering great food and low prices. here is a bigger social element here.  By helping promote local restaurants that serve good local food, Denis is helping short circuit big agri business and  chains that increasingly dominate commerce and pollute our bodies and the environment.

In addition Denis gained enormous tax advantages.

Fight inflation, reduce tax, help the world, be fulfilled.  Never give up the ability to serve.

Our upcoming Value Investing Seminar features many cash savings ideas via tax reduction.

Gary

Learn Fun & Profitable Tax Secrets

Imagine this, micro businesses are such good ways to create wealth and reduce tax that even cruises can be tax deductible.

Small family owned businesses have some of the best tax benefits.

Micro businesses have huge tax savings using really conservative strategies.

conrad oertwig

Conrad Oertwig (far right) after a seminar when delegates visit our North Carolina home.

This is why I am delighted that our tax preparer, Conrad Oertwig, who is a master of tax savings information, has agreed to speak at our October 17-18, 2015 Value Investment Seminar.

Conrad Oertwig can assist you on tax matters.  IN FACT THIS FALL, Conrad will be offering a course and personal service on ways that one-person and family business owners can have more cash via tax savings.   Conrad is offering a report on seven ways to put more cash on the table when you earn and is releasing a course on how to save taxes this fall.

Conrad’s report is “7 Secrets to Paying Less Tax… for the One-Owner Business”.  He sent me this note to share with you about the report.

From: Conrad Oertwig

One hard fact of life is that taxes are cash.  It’s a mistake to think of taxes as taxes.  If you want to create more net worth, you need to think of taxes as cash.

How much tax cash are you leaving on the table? Thousands? Tens of thousands?

Here are just three of seven secrets I will share with Gary Scott readers at the October 17-18 Value Investment Seminar and in my report.   Learn how to pay less tax, have more cash, and build your net worth.

Secret # 1: Gain $12,976 by using two vehicles for business.  In the past, your tax adviser likely told you to drive one vehicle for business and the other vehicle for personal purposes. This old advice made it easier to claim the one car as a business car because no business mileage log was required back then. But that’s no longer true.

Today, tax law requires you to keep a mileage log to prove business use. That changes the game. With today’s rules, you gain nothing by using only one car. But the new mileage log rule gives you a possible opportunity to increase your tax deductions.

First, you might ask: Will the IRS allow me to use more than one vehicle for business?

Yes! The IRS official method for computing business use of a single vehicle is to divide business miles by total miles driven. IRS Form 4562, which is filed by proprietorships and corporations, contains spaces for up to six vehicles. In other words, yes, the IRS recognizes that you can drive more than one vehicle.

Here are the two basics that make the two-vehicle strategy work:
1:  You drive more miles than your spouse, and
2:  Both vehicles are somewhat close in adjusted basis.
To see if you can benefit from this two-vehicle strategy, and by how much (the minimum amount, really), apply the arithmetic from the before-and-after example below to your vehicles.

Before. You drive 2,000 personal and 28,000 business miles on your vehicle (93% business). Your spouse drives 8,000 personal miles on vehicle 2. Each vehicle has an adjusted basis of $24,000. Your maximum depreciation and/or Section 179 deduction is $22,400 (93% times $24,000) on the one vehicle you currently drive for business.

After. You switch vehicles with your spouse every week. You now have 73.7% business use of vehicle 1 and 73.7% business use of vehicle 2. This produces $35,376 in maximum depreciation and/or Section 179 deductions (73.7% x 2 x $24,000).

You gain $12,976 in new deductions ($35,376 minus $22,400). You did not have to drive one mile further or spend one additional penny. You simply had to know (as you learned here) that this strategy could work for you.

Secret #2:  Have a second office in the home.

Have you been told that because you have an office outside your home that you may not have an office in the home?  That’s wrong!

IRS publication 463 states, “You can have more than one business location, including your home, for a single trade or business.”  Learn why in the free report due to IRS publication 587 you want your office in the home to qualify as an administrative office.

Secret #3: Travel by cruise ship and deduct up to $680 a day.

When you know the rules, it’s easy to travel to a business meeting by cruise ship rather than by airplane or other mode of transportation.  Tax law provides various ways for you to deduct a cruise.  The free report shows an example of a trip to St. Thomas in the Virgin Islands from California or New York.

Learn about IRS Regulation 1.274-4 that gives you two one-owner business friendly rules that you can use to your benefit:

1:  The United States means the 50 states and the District of Columbia.
2: Transportation cost to a foreign destination for seven days or less, excluding the day of departure, is not subject to an allocation between business and personal days.

In the example if you fly to Miami, Florida, board a cruise ship that will take five days to arrive at St. Thomas your deductions will include the cost of:

1 :  Travel to Miami
2:   Cruise ship fare to St. Thomas (not to exceed tax law’s luxury boat limits that range in 2014 from a low of $566 to $680 per day, depending on the dates of travel)
3:   Food and lodging in St. Thomas
4:   Airfare to Miami
5 :  Travel from Miami to home

You have to admit, tax knowledge can be fun which is why I want to send you this free report.

I specialize in “nuts and bolts” tax strategies that bring tax law to life so that business taxpayers and professional tax advisers can put the law to work for them.  In fact, my mission is to clarify taxes so that you take control of your money.

Plucking common sense from the tax law is time consuming and difficult work.  Yet, after more than 25 years, I still get great satisfaction when I can clarify and extract tax dollars from the tax law not only for your pockets but also to add to your net worth.  In fact I have extracted over 400 tax savings tips and would like to share the most important lessons with you so am creating a course that will share seven tax secrets each month for the next year.

Sincerely,

Conrad Oertwig

Learn how to have a tax advantaged one person or family owned micro business.

Conrad has dozens of tax savings secrets he will explain at our October 17-18 Value Investment Seminar.   To help you get an early start, we will send you Conrad’s report “7 Secrets to Paying Less Tax… for the One-Owner Business”, when you enroll in the seminar.

Get seminar details here

 

(1)  www.forbes.com Real-Rate-of-Inflation Don’t Bother With the Cpi

(2) http://www.cnbc.com Inflation Actually Near 10% Using Older Measure

(3)  www.shadowstats.com Alternate Inflation Data

Never Give Up Service


Never give up the ability to serve.   This is the number one way to guarantee you’ll never run out of money.  By the way, this is also the best way to happy, healthy and content as well.  Stock markets rise and fall.  Gold and silver reach bubbles that burst.  Recessions and depressions drain pensions and the ability of governments at every level to keep their promises.

grandfather economic report

See the deadly impact of faltering stocks and a dangerous dollar below.  Chart from economic report on inflation (1)

For example Illinois has a very poor A- credit rating, the same as Botswana, Latvia and Slovenia, and even then is on a credit watch with negative implications.  This state has a $111 billion pension shortfall, $7 billion in unpaid bills and by 2013 had just 39.3 percent of assets needed to meet promises to retirees.

Pension funds all over the world face this type of problem.  Pensions have too many promises, too little cash and too little time until increased demand.   They have been forced to increase risk to fulfill growing obligations to retirees.  So far these pensions have seemed to mitigate the problem because they are heavily linked to the rise and fall of global stock markets.  These markets were on the rise.

No more!  As markets fall, a shift is taking place that creates a self reinforcing, downwards spiral.

For example, the board of America’s second-largest pension fund, California State Teachers’ Retirement System, is considering a significant shift away from some stocks and bonds.  The fund of $191 billion is considering a significant shift away from some stocks and bonds, because it currently has about 55% of its portfolio in stocks.

Hawaii Employees’ Retirement System, is also thinking of taking 10% to 20% of its $14.4 billion in assets out of stocks and certain bonds into what it considers to be safer bets of U.S. Treasurys.

What happens when an already weak market is faced with huge sell offs like this?  Even worse, what happens when these pensions shift into seemingly safe U.S. Treasuries and the US dollar crashes?  Maybe the pensions will be able to deliver promised numbers.

Advertisement:  “See How to Profit From Silver When the Stock Markets Dips

However, the question we must grapple with is do these numbers have any purchasing power?

Never give up the ability to serve.   That ability is the one value that is most likely to overcome the ravages of inflation.

bob gandt

Order Mastery by Bob Gandt and Gary A. Scott $6.99 at Amazon.com

This is why I was so happy to contribute to Bob Gandt’s book “Mastery, A Mission Plan for reclaiming a Life of Purpose, Fitness and Achievement”.

“Mastery”  provides a step by step plan for recovering the ability to restore health, restore enthusiasm and restore action.

“Mastery” points out an even more important reason why you should never give up the ability to serve.  Giving yourself over to the care of others can destroy the body as well as the soul.

Yesterday’s Wall Street Journal article “Seven VA Home Residents in Illinois Die of Legionnaires” (2) shows what can happen when people let others take over their care.  The realities of overworked, underfunded agencies is often far different than the promises of the past that politicians made.

A reader of Mastery sent this note that highlights the importance of  having missions and fulfill a purpose:

Bob, Got your email on Mastery and ordered in in print and downloads in Kindle.  Working in ministry to military, veterans and families, I view this as a valuable resource.  The suicide rate of my generation of fellow Vietnam Vets is staggering.  Despite the negative Hollywood portrayal, Vietnam vets were highly productive, educated and lived full and rewarding lives.  So why kill themselves after retirement? I’ve been speculating that it is because of lack of mission and purpose.  As kids going into the military, most quickly learned about mission and purpose.  That learning translated into the knowledge and tools that made them successful in civilian life.  Now retired, they have no mission and no purpose, allowing some of the horrors of war and the like, to flood their minds.  Mastery provides a guide to finding a mission and regaining a purpose in life.  The VA and ministries to veterans will find your book a great aid to regaining a full, productive and meaningful life. Bravo Zulu!

Never give up the ability to serve.  Have a purpose. Create missions.  You’ll live longer, happier and be more fulfilled.  You’ll have the best inflation fighter too.

Order “Mastery” By Bob Gandt and Gary A. Scott $6.99 at Amazon.com

Gary

Learn how to make value investments that earn at our October 17-18 Value Investing Seminar.

Gain From Election Volatility

Here we are again… another election on its way… all the robo calls from politicians… the dirty tricks and the innumerable amounts of nonsense this vital process brings.

However America’s politics turn out, one thing is sure.  There will be volatility in stock markets during the election process.

The first reason markets will bounce has nothing to do with politics or policies.   A market correction is due regardless of the party or the person in office.

Second the new politics has created an uncertain era.  Everyone has been shaken over the past three years whether they are pleased with the government or not.

Nothing frightens markets like uncertainty.

Third if we see rising interest rates, this will push markets down.

Despite these pitfalls, there is a way to profit using the strong US dollar and undervalue non dollar stock markets to pick up good value shares.

During nearly five decades of global investing I have noticed found that good value strategies are the best way to profit long term, through good politics and bad.  The steps to take are simple.

The first tactic is to seek safety before profit.

We can look at Warren Buffett’s investing strategy as an example.  Buffett success is talked about a lot, but rarely does anyone explain how he make so much money.  That was the fact until some researchers really stripped his operation bare.  They looked at everything and learned the deepest of Buffett’s wealth management secrets.  Fortunately they published all in a research paper at Yale University’s website. that reveals important truths about extending wealth.

This research shows that the stocks Buffett chooses are safe (with low beta and low volatility), cheap (value stocks with low price – to – book ratios), and high quality (stocks of companies that are profitable, stable, growing, and with high payout ratios).

The second tactic is to maintain staying power.  At times Buffet’s portfolio has fallen, but he has been willing and able to wait long periods for the value to reveal itself and prices to recover.

A 45 year portfolio study shows that holding a diversified good value portfolio (based on a  good value strategy) for 13 month’s time, increases the probability of outperformance to 70%.

However those who can hold the portfolio for five years gain a 88% probability of beating the bellwether in the market and after ten years the probability increases to 97.5%.

Time is your friend when you use a good value strategy.  The longer you can hold onto a well balanced good value portfolio the better the odds of outstanding success.

The Buffett strategy integrates time and value for safety and profit.

A third tactic is using limited leveraging, tactic in the strategy boosts profit.  Buffett leverages his portfolio at a ratio of approximately 1.6 to 1.   The Yale published research paper shows the leveraging methods used by Warren Buffett to amass his $50 billion fortune.  The researchers found that the returns from Buffett’s investment company, Berkshire Hathaway, far outweighed those achieved by any rival that has operated for 30 years or more.  The research shows that neither luck nor magic are involved.  Instead, the paper shows that Buffet’s success hinges on using leverage at the rate of 1.6.

To sum up the strategy, Buffet uses limited leverage to invest in large purchases of “cheap, safe, quality stocks”.  He limits leverage so he can hold on for very long periods of time, surviving rough periods where others might have been forced into a fire sale or a career shift.

Stated in another way buffet uses logic (buy good value) to have the conviction, wherewithal, and skill to invest with leverage over many decades.

What do we do when we are not Warren Buffett?

May I introduce the Purposeful Investing Course (Pi) for those who want to invest like Warren Buffet, but know they are not.  This course is based on my 50 plus years of investing experience combined with wisdom gained from some of the world’s best investment managers and economic mathematical scientists.

Enjoy Extending Wealth

Pi’s mission is to make it easy for anyone to create a three point strategy, like Buffett’s even though they do not have a lot of time for or knowledge about investing.

Pi reveals investing secrets and the sciences that make investing easy, safer, less time consuming and increases the chances of profit.

One secret is to invest with a purpose beyond the cash.  One tactic as mentioned is staying power.  This means not being caught short and having to sell during a period of loss.  This also means having enough faith in a strategy that we stick to the plan.  When we invest with purpose, doing what we love, we enjoy the process more and are more likely to hold on during down times, when most poor investors panic and sell.

Slow, Worry Free, Good Value Investing

Stress, worry and fear are three of an investor’s worst enemies.  They create the Behavior Gap, a trait exhibited by most investors, that causes them to underperform any market sector they choose.  The behavior gap is created by natural human responses to fear.   Pi helps create profitable strategies that avoid losses from this gap.

Spanning the Behavior Gap

Behavior gaps are among the biggest reasons why so many investors fail.  Human evolution makes fear the second most powerful motivator.  (Greed is the third.)  Fear creates investment losses due to behavior gaps.  Fear motivates us more strongly than desire.  By nature investors are risk adverse.

Winning investors though embrace risk because they have a plan based on good value.

Purpose is the most powerful motivator,  stronger than fear and greed, so a strategy with purpose is the most powerful of all.

Combine your needs and capabilities with good value secrets and the math to back up your value selections through the Pifolio – The Pi Model Portfolio

Lessons from Pi are based on the creation and management of a Primary Pi Model Portfolio, called the Pifolio.  There are no secrets about this portfolio except that it ignores the stories (often created by someone with vested interests) and is based entirely on good math.

The Pifolio is a theoretical portfolio of MSCI Country Benchmark Index ETFs that cover all the good value markets using my (almost) 50 years of global experience and my study of the analysis of four mathematical investing geniuses (and friends).

The Pifolio analysis begins with a continual research of international major stock markets that compares their value based on:

#1:  Current book to price

#2: Cash flow to price

#3: Earnings to price

#4: Average dividend yield

#5: Return on equity

#6: Cash flow return.

#7: Market history

We follow this research of a brilliant mathematician and have tracked this analysis for over 20 years.    This is a complete and continual study of international major and emerging stock markets.

This analysis forms the basis of a Good Value Stock Market Strategy.   The analysis is rational, mathematical and does not worry about short term ups and downs.   This strategy is easy for anyone to follow and use.  Pi reveals the best value markets and provides contacts to managers and analysts and Country Index ETFs so almost anyone can create and follow their own strategy.

A country ETF provides diversification and cost efficiency by spreading one simple, even small investment into a basket of equities in a good value stock market.  The costs are low and this type of ETF is one of the hardest for institutions to cheat.  Expense ratios for most ETFs are lower than those of the average mutual fund.

Little knowledge, time, management or guesswork are required.  The investment is simply a diversified portfolio of good value indices.  Investments in an index are like investments in all the shares of a good value market.

Pi matches this mathematical certainty with my fifty years of experience. This opens insights to numerous long term cycles that most investors miss because they have not been investing long enough to see them.

For example in the 1980s, a remarkable set of two economic circumstances helped anyone who spotted them become remarkably rich.  Some of my readers made enough to retire.  Others picked up 50% currency gains.  Then the cycle ended.  Warren Buffett explained the importance of this ending in a 1999 Fortune magazine interview.  He said:  Let me summarize what I’ve been saying about the stock market: I think it’s very hard to come up with a persuasive case that equities will over the next 17 years perform anything like—anything like—they’ve performed in the past 17!

I did well then, but always thought, “I should have invested more!”  Now those circumstances have come together and I am investing in them again.

The circumstances that created fortunes 30 years ago were an overvalued US market (compared to global markets) and an overvalued US dollar.

The two conditions are in place again!  There are currently ten good value (non US) developed markets,  plus 10 good value emerging markets.

Pi shows how to easily create a diversified, worry free portfolio in some of these good value markets using Country Index ETFs.

The current strength of the US dollar is a second remarkable similarity to 30 years ago.   The dollar rose along with Wall Street.  Profits came quickly over three years.  Then the dollar dropped like a stone, by 51%  in just two years.  A repeat of this pattern is growing and could create up to 50% extra profit if we start using strong dollars to accumulate good value stock market ETFs in other currencies.

This is the most exciting opportunity I have seen since we started sending our reports on international investing ideas more than three decades ago.  There is so much more to write and the trends are so clear that I have created a short, but powerful report “Three Currency Patterns For 50% Profits or More.”   This report shows how to earn an extra 50% from currency shifts with even small investments.  I kept the report short and simple, but included links to 153 pages of  Good Value Stock Market research and Asset Allocation Analysis.

The report shows 20 good value investments and a really powerful tactic that shows the most effective and least expensive way to accumulate these bargains in large or even very small amounts (less than $5,000).  There is extra profit potential of at least 50% so the report is worth a lot.

This report sells for $29.95 but you’ll receive the report “Three Currency Patterns For 50% Profits or More” FREE when you subscribe to Pi.

Leverage

Pi also explains when leverage provides extra potential without undo risk.  For example in 1986 I issued a report called “The Silver Dip” that showed how to borrow 12,000 British pounds (at almost 1.6 to 1 dollars per pound the loan created US$18,600) and use the loan to buy 3835 ounces of silver at around US$4.85 an ounce.

Silver had crashed, I mean really crashed from $48 per ounce.  As prices decreased from early 1983 into 1986, total supply had fallen to 449.7 million ounces in 1986.  Mine production was restricted by the low prices at this time, with silver reaching a low for this period of $4.85 in May 1986.  Secondary recovery also was constricted by these low prices.

Then silver’s price skyrocketed to over $11 an ounce within a year.  The $18,600 loan was now worth $42,185.

The loan was in pounds and in May 1986 the dollar pound rate was 1.55 dollars per pound.  So the 12,000 pound loan purchased $18,600 of silver.  The pound then crashed to 1.40 dollars per silver.  The loan could be paid off for $13,285 immediately creating an extra $5,314 profit.  The profit grew to $47,499 in just a year.

Conditions for the silver dip have returned.  The availability of low cost loans and silver are at an all time low.  The price of silver has crashed from nearly $50 an ounce to below $14 as did shares of the iShares Silver ETF (SLV).

finance.yahoo.com chart SLV

iShares Silver Trust (symbol SLV) from www.finance.yahoo.com

Imagine investing in a spike like this… with leverage!

At the same time the silver gold ratio hit 80, a strong sign to invest in precious metals.

I have updated a special report “Silver Dip 2019” about a leveraged silver speculation that can increase the returns in a safe portfolio by as much as eight times.  The purpose of the report is to share long term lessons gained through 30 years of speculating and investing in precious metals.  While working on the report, when the gold silver ratio slipped to 80 and the price of silver dropped below $14 an ounce, I knew I needed to share this immediately.

I released a new report “Silver Dip 2015” so readers were able to take advantage of these conditions and leverage 1.6 times as a speculation.  That report generated profits as high as 212% and a revised 2019 issue has been produced.

“The Silver Dip 2109”  sells for $39.95 but  you receive  “Silver Dip 2019” FREE when you subscribe to Pi.

Save

Subscribe to the first year of The Personal investing Course (Pi).  The annual fee is $299, but to introduce you to this online, course that is based on real time investing, I am knocking $102 off the subscription.  Plus you receive the $29.95 report “Three Currency Patterns For 50% Profits or More” and the $39.95 report “The Silver Dip 2019” free.

Triple Guarantee

Enroll in Pi.   Get the first monthly issue of Pi, and the report “Three Currency Patterns For 50% Profits or More” and “The Silver Dip 2019” right away.

#1:  I guarantee you’ll learn ideas about investing that are unique and can reduce stress as they help you enhance your profits through slow, worry free purposeful investing.

If you are not totally happy, simply let me know.

#2:  I guarantee you can cancel your subscription within 60 days and I’ll refund your subscription fee in full, no questions asked.

#3:  I guarantee you can keep “Three Currency Patterns For 50% Profits or More” and “The Silver Dip 2109” report as my thanks for trying.

You have nothing to lose except the fear.   You have the ultimate form of financial security to gain.

Subscribe to the Pi for $197.   You Save $158.95.

Gary

 

 

 

(1)  Grandfather Economic Report on Inflation

(2) www.wsj.com seven-va-home-residents-in-illinois-die-of-legionnaires

Cost of Food Creates Opportunity


We can see how problems create opportunity when we look at the rising cost of food.

familyfarmer.org

Inexpensive food, or not?  Image from the Family Farmer.org (1)  Click on images to enlarge.

Here is a short study on how to gain a micro publishing opportunity from a big problem.

Inflation statistics are skewed away from food commodities as food prices tend to be seasonal and more temporary than broad long-term inflation trends.

For example, right now broad measures of inflation have been below the Fed’s 2% target for over two years.  This spring, retail prices of ground beef  rose 10.4% from a year earlier.  Pork chop were up 12.7%.   Fresh fruit rose 7.3%.  Oranges rose 17.1%!

The cost of food has risen a lot, but this does not show up much in US inflation statistics because Americans do not spend a large portion of their income on food. (2)  This is a problem that is likely to grow and here is how this can create opportunity in publishing and writing.

If food prices rise, information on how to shop and eat well for less will grow in value.  The demand for this type of information can soar.

America spends a lower percentage of its income on food than any other country.   This is likely to change because the cost of food production has been passed onto other areas of American commerce.

The American agricultural subsidy program began to stabilize food supply and support farmers from the volatility of the 1930s depression.  This program morphed into subsidies for grains like corn and soy.  This along with cheap fuel, fertilizer and pesticides  supported huge agribusinesses and destroyed the family farm.

Big Agriculture subsidies around $261.9 billion between 1995 and 2010 (3) dramatically increased cheap corn, which in turn became cheap meat, milk, eggs, and sweets.  Thus the cost of cheeseburgers and soda, milkshakes and chicken nuggets remains low, if you do not take into account what they do to the nation’s health and energy.

This creates demand for ways to have healthy food without it being a luxury.

The American food production policy, to produce calories as cheaply as possible has several flaws, resistant disease and insects for one. New disease for which there are not cures.  Water shortages for another.  In just one of many examples, the Ogallala Aquifer, yields about 30 percent of the ground water used for irrigation in the United States.   Since 1950, agricultural irrigation has reduced the volume an estimated 9% and depletion is accelerating.  Certain aquifer zones are now empty and will take over 100,000 years to replenish naturally.  Some estimates indicate the remaining volume could be depleted as soon as 2028.

These hidden costs of American food allow the problem to sneak up on huge segments of the population.

This makes it likely that Americans will be somewhat surprised by a need to spend more on food. They’ll need to learn ways to eat better for less.  This is a huge problem.  There are many solution and examples because one can look at how other countries spend for their food.

economist chart

Chart from Economist article “Thought for food”  (4)

This is a simple yet powerful way to publish. I have done this for decades in financial publishing.  Because the US had the biggest economy, its banking and investing educational industry was ossified.   There were tons of other “How To” examples in other countries.  This has provided a powerful micro publishing business for me for decades.

The chart above shows that there are 42 countries where the people pay a bigger percentage of their income for food.  That’s 42 places to look for ideas and information to share and publish.

Gary

Join us for the Labor Day weekend and learn how to write and self publish.

Seven P Secrets of Self Publishing

When you write, you can work anywhere. 

gary-scott-image

Here I am working poolside in the winter, at our Florida farm.

gary scott

Here I am with our hound Ma, working during the summer at our North Carolina farm.

Learn how to earn everywhere, while living anywhere you choose.  I have been able to earn by writing in Hong Kong, England, the Isle of Man, Dominican Republic and Ecuador to name a few of the place I have lived.  Everywhere I have been… too numerous to share here, I have been able to work.

All I need is my laptop.

That’s all you need too… a laptop to be free!

Before computers, a pencil and pad did the job.

Freedom is just one benefit you can gain from writing.

Another benefit is income.   Writing has brought me both our farms, free and clear… plus a lot more.

Another good example of earning potential is my friend Hugh Howey.   He was working for $10 an hour in a book store when he self published his novel Wool, typing in a storage room during his lunch breaks.

Soon he was earning over $100,000 a month on Amazon.com.  This helped secure a six-figure book deal from Simon & Schuster, and an option for film by Ridley Scott, director of Blade Runner and Alien.

That’s what he’s doing now.

Hugh Howey

Sometimes Hugh and I get together at my  farm and play chess (he beats me badly).

Writers like High are great inspirations.

A couple of years ago Hugh  left Florida, and moved to South Africa.  He had a sailing catamaran built for him and now can sail the world while he continues to write.

Hugh explained it like this: And that’s the miracle of working as a writer: I can do it from anywhere and everywhere. The past few years, I’ve done a lot of writing from airplanes and airports while on business trips abroad.  SAND was entirely written overseas while traveling through seven different countries; I think it’s a better story because of those inspirations.  In upcoming years, I may be writing near your home port.

Hugh’s a super star writer and his success could not happen to a more deserving and talented person.  He pours enormous energy into being worthy of his readership.  But you do not have to be a million dollar a year earner or a traveler to benefit from writing.

The good news is… you do not need a huge success to have a rich and fulfilled lifestyle.  Self Publishing can bring you a life that most people only dream of, as a journeyman writer, instead of a super star.

May I hastily add that the path to stardom begins as a journeyman… so the journeyman’s path brings success without stardom… but can also lead to stardom.

What most success stories like Hugh’s rarely explain is the many hours of writing that was devoted before their self published book sales soared.   Hugh, like most writers were journeymen first.  Stardom came later.

Here are sevens secrets that can help you become a journeyman writer. 

The secrets are a writer’s armory of tools that allows almost anyone to create successful publications for income, freedom and fulfillment.

Take Merri’s and my publishing business as an example.  

Merri and I are not writing stars.  We are journeymen who have for more than 40 years, year in and year out, earned solid income writing and self publishing dozens of publications about multiple subjects.

Some years that income has been more than solid… over a million dollars.  Yet in terms of stardom, we are hardly known.

In a moment you’ll see why that’s fine for us and probably will be for you too.

First some history.

Merri became involved in self publishing over 40 years ago… first helping a veterinarian publish a book on a very specific market… animal acupuncture. Then she showed a needle point artist how to sell more books to an even more specific audience… “needle point enthusiasts”  about her needle point work to an audience larger than the population of the city she lived in.  This led Merri to eventually become Executive Editor of an award winning magazine in Florida.

My story allowed Merri and me to work and live from Hong Kong to London to Europe to Eastern Europe, then the Caribbean and then Ecuador… making millions in the process of following our adventures… having fun… while helping a large readership adapt to a rapidly changing world.

That’s what self publishing can bring, profit, adventure and fulfillment, a great feeling of worth and wonder.

Self Publishing has created exactly the lifestyle we desire allowing us to span the world and work with meaning and purpose.

Self Publishing has become a new business art form. 

The seven secrets can help you start your own self publishing business now.

Everything in publishing is new and exciting and changing.  Publishing is being recreated by the wonderful power of destructive technology.

Everything is new… except the seven secrets. 

Change in the publishing industry is disturbing many.   We love this evolution due to these seven secrets we call the 7Ps.  The 7 Ps are so fundamental to writing and publishing that new technology enhances rather than reduces their power.

The First P is Passion.

Whatever your passion, you can immerse yourself in it AND create income with self publishing.  This can be your direct ticket to the kind of fulfillment you’ve always wanted.

Whether you want to travel the world or live as a recluse, work 12 hours a day or not work much at all,  you can set your schedule to succeed, if you’re willing to learn these seven secrets.

You can start part-time with any dream, passion, and budget.  Once you’ve created a product, you’ll enjoy the “multiple effect” of producing profits over and over again.

So the question is… What do you love to do?

What’s Your Passion:  An example is that thirty years ago, a client of Merri’s had a passion to help people who were in pain?  He published a series of pamphlets explaining various chiropractic disorders in very simple terms.  For example: “What Is Whiplash?”

The pamphlets contained solid information, but were simple 5″ x 7″ brochures with drawings and explanations. He sold them with a rack to chiropractors, who put them in their offices for patients to read.  These little self-published items sold year in and year out for decades.

There are thousands of ideas of this sort that can lead to big business.  It’s just a matter of defining and then acting on your passion.

Although I can work when I please and go where I wish, for me the most important reason for being a publisher is the satisfaction it brings. 

I love the projects I take on, so work doesn’t feel like, well… work.

What do you love?  If you love golf, then you can write and sell publications about golf.  Love travel, fishing, dogs, dolls, or art?  Write and sell publications in these fields.

Are you concerned about crime, war, poverty or environmental issues?  You can publish information products that help reduce these concerns.

Would you like to help the world be a more spiritual place?  Publish a newsletter, write a book (or hire someone to write it for you), record a tape… publish something that enlightens people.

Whatever your passion, you can immerse yourself in it and earn income by publishing for ereaders, print on demand, CDs, lists, bound books, or any format you choose.

Be immersed in your passion and get paid well for it. 

This is why stardom is not the main goal for most writers and self publishers.  Extra income, more freedom and fulfillment are usually more than enough enough.

The seven Ps are:

#1: Passion

#2: Problem

#3: Person

#4: Profitably Priced Product

#5: Prospecting Pathway

#6: Promise

#7: Presentation

The first time I exposed others to the secrets in Self Publishing was in a weekend “Writer’s Camp” seminar.  We offered the camp for $1,500. 80 delegates enrolled.  People from all walks of life attended—chiropractors, businessmen, investors, doctors, realtors, inventors, airline pilots, engineers, and housewives.

Merri and I were so overwhelmed by the response, we decided to make it available to a larger audience.  We created a written course based on our current self publishing activity called “Self Fulfilled – How to be a Self Publisher.”  Then we recorded the weekend “Writer’s Camp” seminar.

Thousands have used the course as it has evolved over the decades.

You can receive both the written course and the recorded weekend seminar, in an MP3 file, in a special “Live Well and Free Anywhere” program I am making available to you.  The normal fee is $299 for the written course and $299 for the recorded workshop.   I’ll send you both the course and the recorded workshop and my course “International Business Made EZ (also $299) all for $299.  You save $598.

We are so confident that you’ll gain from this offer that if you are not fully satisfied, simply email us within 60 days for a full refund .

These courses are not theoretical.  They describe, step-by-step, how Merri and I built a million-dollar international business and how we are running this self publishing business right now.   We use the 7Ps today just as we did four decades ago to create a strong annual income.

This correspondence course is for those who would like their own international self publishing micro business for fun and profit. If you want fun, freedom, extra income and fulfillment with your own full or part time writing or want to build your existing business, by writing to sell you can profit from this course.  The course can help who want their own business or who want to have a business together or a family business.  This is the perfect course for those who can no longer find employment, who are looking for ways to earn abroad and who wish to retire and supplement their income.

Whether you are retired, an investor, chiropractor, doctor, dentist, professional or already own your own business, this offers another way to make money, to turn your passion into profit. We guarantee that we have shared all we know to help you start and run your own international business.  Enjoy and live a life of following your Passion to Profit… through writing.

Here is a special offer. 

We provide two emailed courses  “Self Fulfilled – How to Write to Sell and be a Self Publisher” and “International Business Made EZ”.

We include the “Self Fulfilled Writing and Self Publishing Course” because there are two reasons to write, when you have something to say or when you have something to sell.  In this day and age many of us want to do both, make a statement that makes the world a better place and earn something extra in the process. 

Whatever your passion, however you do business, chances are you’ll be writing either to create a product or to sell a product. 

You save more than $598 because you also receive a recorded webinar conducted by our webmaster David Cross (at no extra cost).

David-cross-images tags:"2012-4-20"

David Cross

David has been our webmaster since our website began in the 1990s.  He is Merri’s and my business partner. We could not run our business as we do without him.

Learn the tactics we use in our web business that condenses 27 years of practical experience about search engine optimization, and writing for search engines.

For the last 27 years David has worked with companies large and small – IBM, Agora Publishing, AstraZeneca and many small business owners.  He has worked in 22 countries, and lived in six of them.

David’s clients span the globe and represent companies and charities both large and small.  From corporate giants to small, one-woman businesses and everything from finance, healthcare, publishing, technology, real estate, veterinarians, alternative health centers and everything in between.

David is an essential part of our web based business.

Myles Norin, CEO of Agora, Inc.  wrote:  “I have found David’s knowledge and experience unmatched in the industry.  Without David’s expertise and guidance for the past 7 years, we would not be nearly as successful as we are.”

As Senior Internet Consultant to Agora Inc. in Baltimore, MD, he worked closely with Agora’s publishers and marketers and – over a 7-year period – helped to propel Agora’s online revenues from around $20 million to well over $300 million.

David’s webinar will help you gain benefits in your micro business that large internet marketing companies use.  In this practical recorded workshop you will learn valuable skills to help your micro business.

There has never been a time when the opportunity for small businesses abroad has been so outstanding.  Expand your borders now!  Increase your economic security freedom, independence and success.

If you are not fully satisfied that this offers you enormous value simply email us for a full refund within 60 days.  You can keep all three courses as our thanks for giving our courses a try.

You also receive a report  “How to use Relaxed Concentration to Brainstorm Business Ideas” and a recorded workshop “How to Become and Remain Rich With Relaxed Concentration” at no additional cost.

Plus you get more in the program.

You receive regular writing and self publishing updates for a year.  Businesses usually need to evolve.  Merri and I continue to publish and have our independent businesses.  Some basics have remained for decades, but new strategies occur all the time throughout the year.  We’ll be sending along updates that share our most recent experiences as we learn and continue to grow our international micro business from Smalltown USA.

My special offer to you in this “Live Well and Free Anywhere Program”, is that you receive:

  • “International Business Made EZ” course
  • “Self Fulfilled – How to Write to Sell” course
  • Video Workshop by our webmaster David Cross,
  • The entire weekend “Writer’s Camp” in MP3,
  • MP3 Workshop “How to Gain Added Success With Relaxed Concentration”
  • Any updates to any of the courses, workshops, reports or recordings for a year.

We are so confident that you’ll gain from this offer that if you are not fully satisfied, simply email us within the first three months for a full refund . 

Order “Self Fulfilled – How to Publish to Sell” and a quarter of update lessons $79.   Click Here.

Order “Self Fulfilled – How to Publish to Sell” and a full year of update lessons $299.  Click Here.      

See success stories from Self Publishers and a few who have attended the “Writer’s Camp” that you will receive on MP3.

 

(1)  www.familyfarmer.org/awg/

(2) online.wsj.com “As food prices rise fed keeps a wary eye”

(3) Mother Earth Jones “America Spends Less on Food Than Any Other Country”

(4)  Economist “Thought for food”