Tag Archive | "federal government"

Otavalo & Cotacachi Ecuador Food & Pie


Otavalo & Cotacachi Ecuador food is great.

Otavalo pie is magnificent!  This is Torte de Fresa or Strawberry Pie.

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More on Otavalo & Cotacahi Ecuador food… plus a vitally important Spanish lesson (so you will never starve in Ecuador) in a moment.

When Merri and I moved from South Florida about a dozen years ago, one of our great regrets was the distance this added between us and Flora & Ella restaurant in LaBelle, Florida.   This restaurant was started in 1933, by two sisters, Flora & Ella.   The developed a simple place…soda fountain style  where families would congregate and eat good food… and unbelievable pie.  Merri and I used to drive the hour from our home just for a slice.

Though the sisters are no longer there and the establishment as moved to a new building. It still is still a great restaurant…  nothing fancy  except the pie.

Last time we were there, a slice was $2.50. I don’t know the price now. I mourn few things… but missing that pie… sigh.

Some things in America, especially in small town America, have not changed like Flora and Ella.

However much has changed in the US and has been changing since 1969 as evidenced by Don McLean’s  1972 song  “Bye-bye, Miss American pie. Drove my Chevy to the levee, But the levee was dry. And them good old boys were drinkin’ whiskey and rye .”

Prophetic words written long ago but applying to American economics today.

Regrettably the Chevy should have been left on the levy rather than rescued by the government to the tune of billions and rising.

The levy may have been dry then but now it is awash with dollars printed by the Fed without any productivity or backing behind.  However, this creates opportunity in medium and long term gold investments.

There are others ways to have your pie and eat it too.

This growing flood of dollars has reduced its purchasing power. Those of you who remember the 25 cent piece of pie and 10 cent cup of coffee have seen what this means.

Yet I am pleased to announce that you can still have American pie (and at bargain prices) even when you are in Ecuador in Otavalo at…

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Shanandoa Pie Shop on the Plaza des los Ponchos market.

There is a story here… like Flora and Ella. I do not know it… but what I do know is that the pie is almost exactly the same as in La Belle… and delicious at a buck for a huge slice.  Here is the owner and her helper.

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Here is the vital Spanish lesson.  Torte = Cake or Pie.  Or you can also just say “pie”.

I took some shots at The Shanandoa to help with the lesson.

Torte de Manzanilla = Apple Pie.

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Torte de Moira = Blackberry Pie.

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Torte de Naranjilla = Naranjilla Pie  (like lemon meringue).

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Torte de Chocolate = Chocolate Pie.

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Torte de Banana = Banana Creme Pie.

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Now to my way of thinking you know most of  the important Spanish words required to survive. I have discovered that enthusiastic finger pointing works as well.

You also know why it might make sense to buy gold when it is below $900 an ounce.

Until next message, may all you investments and pie be golden!

Gary

How We Can Serve You

How to Have Real Safety

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There are only three reasons why we should invest.  We invest for income.  We invest to resell our investments for more than we had invested.  We invest to make our world a better place.

We should not invest for fun, excitement or to get rich quick, or in a panic due to market corrections.

This is why the core Pi model portfolio (that forms the bulk of my own equity portfolio) consists of 19 shares and this position has not changed in over two years.  During these two years we have been steadily accumulating the same 19 shares and have not traded once.

The portfolio has done well in 2017, up 22.6%, better than the DJI Index.

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However one or even two year’s performance is not enough data to create a safe strategy.

The good value portfolio above is based entirely on good value financial information and mathematically based safety programs developed around models that date back 91 and 24 years.

The Pifolio is a theoretical portfolio of MSCI Country Benchmark Index ETFs that cover all the good value markets developed combining my 50 years of investing experience with study of the mathematical market value analysis of Keppler Asset Management and the mathematical trend analysis of Tradestops.com.

In my opinion, Keppler is one of the best market statisticians in the world.  Numerous very large fund managers, such as State Street Global Advisers, use his analysis to manage over $2.5 billion of funds.

The Pifolio analysis begins with Keppler who continually researches international major stock markets and compares their value based on current book to price, cash flow to price, earnings to price, average dividend yield, return on equity and cash flow return.  He compares each major stock market’s history.

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Michael Kepler CEO Keppler Asset Management.

Michael is a brilliant mathematician.  We have tracked his analysis for over 20 years.   He continually researches international major stock markets and compares their value based on current book to price, cash flow to price, earnings to price, average dividend yield, return on equity and cash flow return.  He compares each stock market’s history.  From this, he develops his Good Value Stock Market Strategy and rates each market as a Buy, Neutral or Sell market.  His analysis is rational, mathematical and does not cause worry about short term ups and downs.  Keppler’s strategy is to diversify into an equally weighted portfolio of the MSCI Indices of each BUY market.

This is an easy, simple and effective approach to zeroing in on value because little time, management and guesswork is required.  You are investing in a diversified portfolio of good value indices.

A BUY rating for an index does NOT imply that any stock in that country is an attractive investment, so you do not have to spend hours of research aimed at picking specific shares.  It is not appropriate or enough to instruct a stockbroker to simply select stocks in the BUY rated countries.  Investing in the index is like investing in all the shares in the index.  You save time because all you have to do is invest in the ETF to gain the profit potential of the entire market.

To achieve this goal of diversification the Pifolio consists of Country Index ETFs.

Country Index ETFs are similar to an index mutual fund but are shares normally traded on a major stock exchange that tracks an index of shares in a specific country.  ETFs do not try to beat the index they represent.  The management is passive and tries to emulate the performance of the index.

A country ETF provides diversification into a basket of equities in the country covered.  The expense ratios for most ETFs are lower than those of the average mutual fund as well so such ETFs provide diversification and cost efficiency.

Here is the Pifolio I personally use.

70% is diversified into Keppler’s good value (BUY rated) developed markets: Australia, Austria, France, Germany, Hong Kong, Italy, Japan, Norway, Singapore and the United Kingdom.

30% of the Pifolio is invested in Keppler’s good value (BUY rated) emerging markets: Brazil, Chile, China, Colombia, the Czech Republic, South Korea, Malaysia and Taiwan.

The Pifolio consists of iShares ETFs that invested in each of the MSCI indicies of the good value BUY markets.

For example, the iShares MSCI Australia (symbol EWA) is a Country Index ETF that tracks the investment results the Morgan Stanley Capital Index MSCI Australia Index which is composed mainly of large cap and small cap stocks traded primarily on the Australian Stock Exchange mainly of companies in consumer staples, financials and materials. This ETF is non-diversified outside of Australia.

iShares is owned by Black Rock, Inc. the world’s largest asset manager with over $4 trillion in assets under management.

Pi uses math to reveal the best value markets then protects its positions using more math created by Richard Smith founder and CEO of Tradestops.com to track each share’s trend.

We use Smith’s  algorithms that calculate momentum of the good value markets.

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The Stock State Indicators at Tradestops.com act as a full life-cycle measure that indicates the health of each stock. They are designed to tell you at a glance exactly where any stock stands relative to Dr. Smith’s proprietary algorithms.

Kepppler’s analysis shows the value of markets.  The SSI signal indicates the current trend of each stock (performing well, or in a period of correction, or stopped out).

The SSI tells you one of five things:

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Akey component of the Stock State Indicator (SSI) system is momentum based on the latest 521 days of trading.  A stock changes from red to green in the SSI system only after it has already gone up a healthy amount and has started a solid uptrend.

How SSI Alerts Are Triggered

If the position has already moved more than its Volatility Quotient below a recent high, the SSI Stop Loss will trigger.  This is an indicator that the position has corrected more than what is normal for this stock.  It means to take caution.

Below is an example of how SSIs work.  This example shows the Developed Market Pifolio that we track at Tradestops.com.

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Equal Weight Good Value Developed Market Pifolio.

At the time this example was copied, all the ETFs in the Developed Market Pifolio (above) currently had a green SSI.

We do not know when the US market will fall.  We only do know that it will.  We also do not know if, when the US market corrects, global markets will follow or rise instead.

The fact that the Pifilios are invested in good value markets reduces long term risk.

Additional protection is added by using trailing stops based on the 521 day momentum of each stock in the Pifolio.

Take for example the graph below from our Tradestops account that shows the iShares MSCI United Kingdom ETF.  This ETF had a green SSI and a Volatility Index (VQ) of 13.26%.  This means the share can move 13.26% before there is a trend shift.

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iShares MSCI United Kingdom ETF (Symbol EWU)

Pi purchased the share at$31.26 and in this example the share was $34.43 and rising.  Tradestop’s algorithms suggested that if the price drops to $31.69 its momentum would have stopped and it would have shifted into trading sideways.   The stop loss price is currently $29.86.  If EWU continues to rise, both the yellow warning and the stop loss price will rise as well.

When the US stock market bull ends, know one knows for sure how long or how severe the correction will be.

When the bear arrives, what will happen to global and especially good value markets?

No  one knows the answer to this question.

What we do know is that the equally weighted, good value market Pifolios have the greatest potential long term and that math based trailing stops can be used to protect against a secular global stock market correction when it comes.

My fifty years of global investing experience helps take advantage of numerous long term cycles that are part of the universal math that affects all investments.

What you get when you subscribe to Pi.

You immediately receive a 120 page basic training course that teaches the Pi Strategy.   You learn all the Pi strategies, what they are, how to use them and what each can do for you, your lifestyle and investing.

You also begin receiving regular emailed Pifiolio updates and online access to all the Pifolio updates of the last two years.  Each update examines the current activity in a Pifolio, how it is changing, why and how the changes might help your investing or not.

Included in the basic training is an additional 120 page PDF value analysis of 46 stock markets (23 developed markets and 23 emerging stock markets).  This analysis looks at the price to book, price to earnings, average yield and much more.

You also receive two special reports.

In the 1980s, a remarkable set of two economic circumstances helped anyone who spotted them become remarkably rich.  Some of my readers made enough to retire.  Others picked up 50% currency gains.  Then the cycle ended.  Warren Buffett explained the importance of this ending in a 1999 Fortune magazine interview.  He said:  Let me summarize what I’ve been saying about the stock market: I think it’s very hard to come up with a persuasive case that equities will over the next 17 years perform anything like—anything like—they’ve performed in the past 17!

I did well then, but always thought, “I should have invested more!”  Now those circumstances have come together and I am investing in them again.

The circumstances that created fortunes 30 years ago were an overvalued US market (compared to global markets) and an overvalued US dollar.  The two conditions are in place again!

30 years ago, the US dollar rose along with Wall Street.  Profits came quickly over three years.  Then the dollar dropped like a stone, by 51%  in just two years.  A repeat of this pattern is growing and could create up to 50% extra profit if we start using strong dollars to accumulate good value stock market ETFs in other currencies.

This is the most exciting opportunity I have seen since we started sending our reports on international investing ideas more than three decades ago.  The trends are so clear that I have created a short, but powerful report “Three Currency Patterns for 50% Profits or More.”   This report shows how to earn an extra 50% from currency shifts with even small investments.  I kept the report short and simple, but included links to 153 pages of  Good Value Stock Market research and Asset Allocation Analysis.

The report shows 20 good value investments and a really powerful tactic that shows the most effective and least expensive way to accumulate these bargains in large or even very small amounts (less than $5,000).  There is extra profit potential of at least 50% so the report is worth a lot.

This report sells for $29.95 but in this special offer, you receive the report, “Three Currency Patterns for 50% Profits or More” FREE when you subscribe to Pi.

Plus get the $39.95 report “The Platinum Dip 2018” free.

With investors watching global stock markets bounce up and down, many missed two really important profit generating events over the last two years.  The price of silver dipped below $14 an ounce as did shares of the iShares Silver ETF (SLV).   The second event is that the silver gold ratio hit 80, compared to a ratio of 230 only two years before.

In September 2015, I prepared a special report “Silver Dip 2015” about a silver speculation, leveraged with a British pound loan, that could increase the returns in a safe portfolio by as much as eight times.  The tactics described in that report generated 62.48% profit in just nine months.

I have updated this report and added how to use the Dip Strategy with platinum.   The “Platinum Dip 2018” report shares the latest in a series of long term lessons gained through 40 years of speculating and investing in precious metals.  I released the 2015 report, when the gold silver ratio slipped to 80.  The ratio has corrected and that profit has been taken and now a new precious metals dip has emerged.

I have prepared a new special report “Platinum Dip 2018” about a leveraged speculation that can increase the returns in a safe portfolio by as much as eight times.

You also learn from the Value Investing Seminar, our premier course, that we have been conducting for over 30 years.  Tens of thousands of delegates have paid up to $999 to attend.  Now you can join the seminar online FREE in this special offer.

This three day course is available in sessions that are 10 to 20 minutes long for easy, convenient learning.   You can listen to each session any time and as often as you desire.

The sooner you hear what I have to say about current markets, the better you’ll be able to cash in on perhaps the best investing opportunity since 1982.

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Tens of thousands have paid up to $999 to attend.

In 2018 I celebrate my 52nd anniversary in the investing business and 50th year of writing about global investing.  Our reports and seminars have helped readers have better lives, with less stress yet make fortunes during up and down markets for decades.  This information is invaluable to investors large and small because even small amounts can easily be invested in the good value shares we cover in our seminar.

Stock and currency markets are cyclical.  These cycles create extra profit for value investors who invest when everyone else has the markets wrong.  One special seminar session looks at how to spot value from cycles.  Stocks rise from the cycle of war, productivity and demographics.  Cycles create recurring profits.  Economies and stock markets cycle up and down around every 15 to 20 years as shown in this graph.

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The effect of war cycles on the US Stock Market since 1906.

Bull and bear cycles are based on cycles of human interaction, war, technology and productivity.  Economic downturns can create war.

The chart above shows the war – stock market cycle.  Military struggles (like the Civil War, WWI, WWII and the Cold War: WW III) super charge inventiveness that creates new forms of productivity…the steam engine, the internal combustion engine,  production line processes, jet engines, TV, farming techniques, plastics, telephone, computer and lastly during the Cold War, the internet.  The military technology shifts to domestic use.  A boom is created that leads to excess.  Excess leads to correction. Correction creates an economic downturn and again to war.

Details in the online seminar include:

* How to easily buy global currencies, shares and bonds.

* Trading down and the benefits of investing in real estate in Small Town USA.  We will share why this breakout value is special and why we have been recommending good value real estate in this area since 2009.

* What’s up with gold and silver?  One session looks at my current position on gold and silver and asset protection.  We review the state of the precious metal markets and potential problems ahead for US dollars.  Learn how low interest rates eliminate  opportunity costs of diversification in precious metals and foreign currencies.

* How to improve safety and increase profit with leverage and staying power.  The seminar reveals Warren Buffett’s value investing strategy from research published at Yale University’s website.  This research shows that the stocks Buffet chooses are safe (with low beta and low volatility), cheap (value stocks with low price-to-book ratios), and high quality (stocks of companies that are profitable, stable, growing, and with high payout ratios). His big, extra profits come from leverage and staying power.  At times Buffet’s portfolio, as all value portfolios, has fallen, but he has been willing and able to wait long periods for the value to reveal itself and prices to recover.

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This chart based on a 45 year portfolio study shows that holding a diversified good value portfolio (based on a  good value strategy) for 13 month’s time, increases the probability of out performance to 70%.  However those who can hold the portfolio for five years gain a 88% probability of beating the bellwether in the market and after ten years the probability increases to 97.5%.

Time is your friend when you use a good value strategy.  The longer you can hold onto a well balanced good value portfolio, the better the odds of outstanding success.

Learn how much leverage to use.  Leverage is like medicine, the key is dose.  The best ratio is normally 1.6 to 1.  We’ll sum up the strategy; how to leverage cheap, safe, quality stocks and for what period of time based on the times and each individual’s circumstances.

Learn to plan in a way so you never run out of money.  The seminar also has a session on the importance of having and sticking to a plan.  See how success is dependent on conviction, wherewithal, and skill to operate with leverage and significant risk.  Learn a three point strategy based on my 50 years of investing experience combined with wisdom gained from some of the world’s best investment managers and economic mathematical scientists.

The online seminar also reveals  the results of a $80,000 share purchase cost test that found the least expensive way to invest in good value.  The keys to this portfolio are good value, low cost, minimal fuss and bother.  Plus a great savings of time.  Trading is minimal, usually not more than one or two shares are bought or sold in a year.  I wanted to find the very least expensive way to create and hold this portfolio so I performed this test.

I have good news about the cost of the seminar as well.   For almost three decades the seminar fee has been $799 for one or $999 for a couple. Tens of thousands paid this price, but online the seminar is $297.

In this special offer, you can get this online seminar FREE when you subscribe to our Personal investing Course.

Save $468.90 If You Act Now

Subscribe to the first year of The Personal investing Course (Pi).  The annual fee is $299, but to introduce you to this online, course that is based on real time investing, I am knocking $102 off the subscription.  Plus you receive FREE the $29.95 report “Three Currency Patterns for 50% Profits or More”, the $39.95 report “Silver Dip 2017” and our latest $297 online seminar for a total savings of $468.90.

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Triple Guarantee

Enroll in Pi.  Get the basic training, the 46 market value report, access to all the updates of the past two years, the two reports and the Value Investing Seminar right away. 

#1:  I guarantee you’ll learn ideas about investing that are unique and can reduce stress as they help you enhance your profits through slow, worry free, easy diversified investing.

If you are not totally happy, simply let me know.

#2:  I guarantee you can cancel your subscription within 60 days and I’ll refund your subscription fee in full, no questions asked.

#3:  You can keep the two reports and Value Investing Seminar as my thanks for trying.

You have nothing to lose except the fear.   You gain the ultimate form of financial security as you reduce risk and increase profit potential.

Subscribe to Pi now, get the 130 page basic training, the 120 page 46 market value analysis, access to over 100 previous Pifolio updates, the “Platinum Dip 2018” and “Three Currency Patterns For 50% Profits or More” reports, and value investment seminar, plus begin receiving regular Pifolio updates throughout the year.

Subscribe to a Pi annual subscription for $197 and receive all the above.

Gary

Cotacachi Real Estate Protection


Cotacachi real estate protection and more.

Recent messages have looked at the growth potential of Ecuador real estate.

We have been at this area in Cotacachi where this dirt road is being paved…seeing its rapid progress.

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We’ll see more of the progress below. First  let’s look more at the process of  how I search for Cotacachi real estate… or actually property anywhere.

The principle of the search is vital because many people who thought of retiring will not be able to do so.  Those on fixed incomes are always those who fare worst during economic upheavals.

The US dollar is at considerable risk due to high US debt.  So too is Social Security.

In addition corporate pension are not looking good.  In the late 1990s our messages voiced a lot of concern about how corporate pensions were dramatically
underfunded.

Then the stock market recovery in the mid 2000s eased this problem.  2002 was  a low point for America’s pension funds.  The top 500 corporations had a combined  pension deficit exceeding $200 billion.   Thanks to a boom in the global economy  which allowed catch up contributions and strong stock market gains, this combined deficit turned into a combined surplus of $60 billion by the end of 2007.

The 2008 market and economic crash destroyed this surplus. It is estimated that the combined pensions of these same 500 company pensions have lost almost $265 billion in 2008.  The estimates are that 200 of these 500 pension funds are now less than 80 percent funded. They have less than 80 cents for every dollar of benefits promised.

The puts corporations between a rock and  hard spot. because The Pension Protection Act of 2006, passed due to a string of big corporate bankruptcies and pension failures in the early 2000s forces companies to fund pensions on a regular schedule.

The funded ratio s important because the 2006 law forces companies to bring their plans up to 100 percent funding in seven years, starting in 2008. They have to be t 92 percent funded this year, 94 percent next year etc.  That’s the rock.

The hard spot.  There are tow. The pensions values are way down due to stock market collapse and profits are now low or non existent.

Companies are asking Congress to excuse them from having to replenish the required amounts now and this is likely to happen.  The business reality is you cannot extract blood from a turnip nor make a corporation to pay money it does not have into a pension.

Forcing pension funding on man corporations will simply push the firms into bankruptcy.

Some firms will be bankrupt anyway and the federal government will have to insure their plans through the Pension Benefit Guaranty Corporation.  This insurance is limited so people can lose benefits.  Yet even the limited benefits are more than America can afford. This puts added pressure on the greenback thus reducing purchasing power of the pensions even more.

Yet what is the choice?  If companies are required to put new money into pensions they will not have the cash to keep business going.

This is  a serious concern for some firms like NCR Corporation, I.B.M., Rockwell Collins, the ITT Corporation, Northrop Grumman and the Pactiv Corporation.  Their pension obligations are five or six times larger than their next biggest liability.

In short pensions are millstones dragging these corporations down.  How can these firms grow and prosper in today’s competitive atmosphere when a huge chunk of their income is sucked into pension obligations rather than growth?

The bottom line…pensions lose.  History suggests they always have. Logic says they always will.

So what does one do?

#1:  Most important… stay fit… body and mind. You’ll have to keep earning your keep and you cannot do this without energy.  Do not just rely on the expensive pharmaceutical solutions either. This is why our upcoming courses have a health element.  See Beyond Logic.

#2: Diversify currencies. Usually the way pensions are ruined is through currency destruction rather than non payment.. Social Security and the Pension Benefit Guaranty Corporation will make sure you get exactly the dollars promised.  the only problem us that the dollars will by less.  Maybe much less.

#3: Diversify in global shares. History shows this is always the best long term investment.

Here is an excerpt from yesterday’s multi currency lesson on why diversifying into global shares now makes sense.

“We have not seen anything like this since the end of the 40s: dividend yields of 5 percent and more, while 10-year US government bonds offer yields of only 2.5 percent!

Will investors be emotionally able to take advantage of the stock market crash of 2008, or will recent losses make them succumb to a bear market psychology? Are there lessons to be learned from historical parallels to today’s markets?

Book value growth is the most important component of long-term stock market returns. It comprises not only the annual earnings growth but also the change in value of a company’s net assets. If the valuation of a stock does not change, book value growth and stock price performance are identical. However, as a rule, stock prices fluctuate much more strongly than the underlying book values due to changes in valuation.


The irrational investor comes into play here, driving prices up during times of euphoria or, as is currently the case, driving prices down during times of pessimism.


As a result, the first decade of the new millennium threatens to provide a negative return — during the first nine years, the return was  – 1.7 percent per year!
This would make it the first decade with negative nominal total returns after the quasi zero return for US stocks in the 30s.

Low valuations and a lack of investment alternatives

Interestingly, these negative returns have yet to reflect poor fundamentals: Over the past nine years, the companies included in the MSCI USA Index had an average annual earnings growth of 4.4 percent, cash flow growth of 6.7 percent, and dividend growth of 6.6 percent.

The decline in stock prices since the end of 1999 is due to valuations falling 50 percent over the same period. Therefore, the problem of low total returns is rooted in the past:

In December 1999, investors were willing to pay 31 times earnings and 5.8 times book value for US stocks included in the MSCI USA Index.

Today’s price/earnings ratio is 13.5 and the price to book value ratio is
1.7. These are not yet bargain valuations in absolute terms. What makes stocks attractive today is the lack of investment alternatives.

In other words, it is mainly opportunity costs, in particular the low yields of fixed-income securities, that make stocks interesting investments today.
The current price/earnings ratio of the MSCI USA Index of 13.5 implies an earnings yield of 7.4 percent (100/13.5). Even if one assumes the depression scenario of the 30s, i.e. flat stock prices over 10 years, and assumes that corporate earnings will shrink 1.5 percent per year on average for the next 10 years, the earnings yield of the MSCI USA Index would still be 6.5 percent at the end of 2018 — 2.6 times higher than today’s 10-year US government bond yields. Such a drastic earnings decline would correspond to the average drop in earnings of the companies contained in the S&P 500 Index during the decade of the depression ending in 1939 — a scenario that is overly pessimistic in my view.

Favorable outlook for US stocks

A more realistic assumption would be for book value to grow in the order of 6 to 8 percent over  the next 10 years. Based on this expectation, the Dow Jones Industrials Index stands a good chance of exceeding, over the next 10 years, its previous high of 14,164.53 reached on October 9, 2007.

From the year-end 2008 level of 8,776.39, this would require an average annual price return of only 4.9 percent (which is below the historical average), with a dividend yield of  currently 3 percent per annum thrown into the bargain.
The risk of losing money with US stocks over the next 10 years is therefore minimal from today’s perspective, while it is a certainty that investors will not earn more than 2.5 percent per annum with US government bonds over the next 10 years.

You can read this entire lesson and Keppler’s entire conclusion as a multi currency portfolio course subscriber.

#4: Diversify in real estate. History shows this is always the second best investment.

#5: Diversify residences and lifestyles… globally if you can.This is why Merri and I live in North Carolina and Ecuador. Each place has some problems and risks…but we have options as events unfold.

Remember globalization is really the way humanity should evolve.  The concept of nations, borders, superior races, cultures and creeds are fictions of the global imagination and liabilities we have inherited from our past.   Modern technology means we should deal with whoever…anywhere in the world serves us best.

As the world has evolved we have progressed but bad times hinder this type of growth. This creates opportunity if we stay focused on reality. Invest in globalization. Sell that which hinders globalization short!

Match your living to your investing.  Go where you choose. I like Ecuador for its sweet people, great weather, natural beauty, fresh food and low cost living. North Carolina offers small town USA benefits were we can enjoy nature and if necessary even feed ourselves in the worst times.  This is why Merri and I are in Ecuador. We love the lifestyle and the real estate opportunity. 

We also love the progress here in Cotacachi.  Here is that paved road today.

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They have turned the road and a great deal of the cross street is cobbled now as well.

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This work is done by sweet, humble people who just get to work and get the job done.   There is no crew of four, with one working and three standing round, here.cotacachi-real-estate

Learn more about Ecuador as an Ecuador Living subscriber.

#6: Hold some commodities as insurance.
We’ll probably never need it…but it makes us feel better. I keep more than enough gold socked away and expect my children will inherit it. So far it has been my worst investment over the last 30 years until I add in the value of sleeping well at night instead of worrying…”am I guessing wrong”!

#7: Remember that every day of life is a gift!
We do not need big cars, loads of shopping and new things and expensive materialism to be happy.  Turn your passion into profit and do what you love.  The prospect of working, serving and being useful beyond this age that society has determined we can be and should retire should be fun and exciting.

I look forward to sharing this excitement with you.

Gary

Join us in Cotacachi this February.

Feb 9-11 Beyond Logic Keys to More Wealth & Better Health

Feb. 13-15 International Business & Investing Made EZ

Feb. 16-17 Imbabura Real Estate Tour

Attend any two Ecuador courses or tours in a calendar month…$949 for one$1,349 for two

Attend any three Ecuador courses or tours in a calendar month…$1,199 for one$1,799 for two

Profit From the 2011 Economic Disaster


Are We 33 Months From Real Economic Disaster?

Dear International Friend,

Many investors worry about the current economic downturn…yet there is a destructive investment fundamental that is now so powerful it overwhelms all other factors that affect investing.  It has such power it could destroy most investors in North America and make the current recession pale in comparison. The frightening part is it could unleash its destruction as soon as October 2011!  I want to share what, when and when this disaster could happen.

Then I want to share how you can make a fortune from NOW THROUGH 2012 and during this crash.

Before I explain how you can reap profits never before imagined and sidestep the upcoming disaster that will wipe out so many investors…..we need to look at some facts.

These are facts, figures and statistics that will truly horrify anyone who even keeps a modest checkbook.  The figures give rise to such great concern that we can see the horrible predicament into which we are being led.

Let me prepare you by assuring you that every economic crash is simply a shifting of fortunes.  Just as the depression of the 1930s created many millionaires, so will this crash.  Once you understand the problems, you can find easy ways to protect against them and become one of those who are enriched rather than ruined during the transition.

Part of this debacle will come because the US dollar is now near a major fall…in fact an unprecedented crash is a better term what will happen to the dollar.  We now know, having seen the Dow fall 50% in a year, that US institutions are not invincible from unparalleled drops.

There may be ups for the US Dollar.  For every period of a rising dollar, there will be longer periods when dollars fall.  For every upward move, there will be an ever greater fall,  Each rising will be weaker and shorter, each fall, longer and deeper.

In this knowledge lies a fortune!  Here is why this fact is so sure.

In 1964, the year Lyndon Johnson became president, the total national debt was  $316 billion. By the time, Ronald Reagan left office that debt had climbed to $2.6 trillion.  The interest cost alone was $214 billion.  By 1990 the debt had risen to $3.2 trillion and interest costs for just the one year were $242.9 billion. Interest was the largest single government cost after Social Security, even greater than defense spending.  That was when the economic problem began as US debt moved towards a precipice where recovery becomes impossible.

Flash forward 18 years and read this excerpt from a December 2008 Washington Post article.

“President Bush has nearly doubled the national debt during his eight years in the White House.  Mr. Bush is on track to add $5 trillion to the $5.73 trillion national debt he inherited when he took office. According to Treasury Department data, the number was $10.66 trillion at the end of November, and it has been rising at an astronomical rate.”

That’s bad enough…but the future gets worse as the article says that during fiscal 2008, which ended Sept. 30, 2008 the national debt increased by more than $1 trillion, breaking the previous fiscal year record of more than $600 billion.

The government’s debt situation is about to get worse as the Post outlines that
Federal debt should increase by $2 trillion in fiscal year 2009 alone!

Given an average interest rate of 4 percent, that $5 trillion of extra debt requires extra $200 billion per year from taxpayers in interest on that debt – in perpetuity.

The Post article points out,  “During October, the first month of fiscal 2009, the national debt increased by a staggering $549 billion. That was approximately three-quarters of $1 billion every hour of every day, or more than $12 million per minute and more than $200,000 per second.”

This is a lot of debt even for America’s 14 trillion a year economy.

Then the news gets worse.

Excerpts from an August 2008 US News & World report says:  “Welcome to America’s $2 Trillion Budget Deficit.  Barack Obama has already said that America’s ‘investment deficit’ will take priority over its budget deficit.

A rough estimate of the cost of this New New Deal would be close to $500 billion a year, maybe $775 billion if Uncle Sam is to completely offset the drop in consumer spending predicted by Rosenberg. Now, as it is, the government is expected to run a $500 billion deficit next year. So the S&S plan would put that budget deficit at over $1 trillion. And if you tack on a potential $500 billion to $1 trillion bailout of the banking industry, that $1 trillion deficit could conceivably double to $2 trillion.

But a $2 trillion budget deficit would be, like, 15 percent of GDP. That would be the highest level since World War II and more than twice as high as the postwar peak of 6 percent in 1983.

I can’t believe the global bond and currency market vigilantes wouldn’t completely freak, sending U.S. financial markets into chaos. Talk about a worst—though entirely possible—case scenario.

How much worse could the situation get… a one year deficit that is 15% of Americas fourteen trillion dollar a year economy?

The answer is much worse…in fact five times worse… because…
all of these government estimates are skewed.

If US debt is now 10 trillion and Obama’s administration borrows 2 billion more in 2009, that makes the debt look like 12 trillion.

Yet according to excerpts a USA Today article, “Taxpayers on the hook for $59 trillion” by Dennis Cauchon.  The federal government’s debt is five times worse if corporate-style accounting standards are used.

The article says:  “Modern accounting requires that corporations, state governments and local governments count expenses immediately when a transaction occurs, even if the payment will be made later.

“The federal government does not follow the rule, so promises for Social Security and Medicare don’t show up when the government reports its financial condition.

“Bottom line: Taxpayers are now on the hook for a record $59.1 trillion in liabilities, a 2.3% increase from 2006. That amount is equal to $516,348 for every U.S. household.”

With such fundamentals, it is hard to be anything but pessimistic about the US dollar.  This is why, with the information I am about to share, you can reap profits again and again.

Take for example the financial power that comes from understanding the value of the US dollar to the Japanese yen.

Despite the crash of 2008, long term investors in the US stock market have done well.  January  1, 1982, the Dow Jones Industrial Average was 896.  January 1, 2009 it was  8,515.  That is a rise of 9.5 times in 26 years or about 36% (9% compounded) return a year…even after the 2008 crash!   $10,000 invested has grown to $95,000.

So, it seems.

Now, let’s look at the yen.  During the first half of the 1980s, the yen failed to rise in value even though current account surpluses returned and grew quickly. From ¥221 in 1981, the average value of the yen actually dropped to ¥239 in 1985.

When the Dow was 896, a US dollar bought 230 yen.

Today, 26 years later, January 1, 2009, a dollar buys about 90 yen. Imagine this. 2,300,000 yen purchased $10,000 in 1982 which grew to $95,000.   The $95,000 buys 8,550,000 yen.

The excellent Dow profit looks downright lousy, an increase of only 3.7 times in 26 years.  61% percent of all the Dow profit in the last 26 years has been lost due to US dollar erosion.  And the dollar’s fall will grow worse!

This is powerful profit knowledge…IF…you know what to.

US government debt has passed the short term point of no return.  Three bold steps were needed two decades ago, a reduction of entitlement costs (Social Security, Medicare, Medicaid, etc.), reduced defense spending and a reduction of the existing debt.  The government moved in the opposite direction… in all three cases.

There are many ill omens as our new government still does not take this incredible problem seriously. The proposed new plans might cost trillions more. These are trillions that the US government does not have.  Nor are we likely to see any increases in tax revenues during the current economic downturn.

America must borrow to spend and the deeper the US debt, the greater the dollar’s fall.

The government’s refusal to create a plan to balance the budget shows no solution is in sight.  It is menacing to see how the government plans to spend more now.

The US Treasury only has 33 months left before a tsunami of expense rushes over  the government.   By the time (if ever) the government finally recognizes this problem, for most investors, it will be too late.  If it takes a terrible crash of the US dollar to finally wake the government, it could wipe out millions of families’ saving, capital and spending power in the process.

All these facts are omens of ill winds ahead.  There are already tens of millions of Americans who have been financially wiped out….but the worst has not even begun.

We will see hyper inflation, massive unemployment and a free fall of the greenback that will affect currencies and investing everywhere.  This crash will make the current downturn…even the last great 1930s depression look like a Sunday picnic.

You do not have to be alarmed because the resolution which I am about to share is so simple, anyone can act and can prepare for this disaster without inconvenience or trouble.

You do not have to participate in the great fall of the US dollar.  All you have to do is learn how to be a multi currency investor.

The time for international investing is right.  Global diversification has already created fortunes for a few sophisticated investors because this obvious problem of the US government debt actually makes it easier to make money, if you know how to invest abroad.

Let me explain why big problems can mean big profits, then let me explain why no one has been around to tell you how to invest abroad but why there is not a solution that can make multi currency investing totally easy for you.

First, let’s look at the big problem. It’s a sad reality that US government debt has actually been ruining US investments for over 40 years.  The big bankruptcy that’s coming is just the end.  The bankruptcy really started in 1971 and has been building steadily since.

Until 1971 the US dollar was the kingpin currency for the world.  Then it was “temporarily” suspended from the gold standard.  This “temporary” move, like our debt today, was ignored by the government. Since that time (the dollar was never reinstated to the gold standard), the buck has fallen and fallen. Though you may have read about a strong dollar lately, the reality of the greenback’s slide continues.

Don’t get me wrong, the dollar has not dropped every day.  It has enjoyed some short term rises over the past 37 years, but to see the real picture all you have to do is look at the dollar’s value in any major currency in 1971 and then look at its value today.

In 1972 for example the US $ was worth over 4.25 Swiss francs, 4.00 German marks and nearly 400 Japanese yen.  Today, as you can see from the yahoo.the same dollar has dropped as low as 1 dollar per Swiss franc, .65 euro (related to the German mark) and only 90 yen.  In other words, if you had $10,000 in 1971, it was worth about 4,000,000 yen.  If you invested those dollars safely clear back in the 1970s and earned a 4% compound return, by 2008 those dollars were worth over $40,000.  You might well feel the investment had gone well.

The sad truth is those $40,000 are now worth only 3,800,000 yen!  All US dollar investments have lost over 4% compounded each and every year for the past 22 years.  Your 4% return was a real loss by hard currency standards, but this loss has been hidden and the real facts about your wealth have been kept from you.

On the other hand, had you invested in Japan, Switzerland, Germany or most other major currencies, your investment would have tripled or quadrupled in dollar terms even before you started making profits!

There is another fact that is even more spectacular.  Most stock and bond markets abroad (in addition to the currency gains) have been better than in the US.

For example had you invested in the Dow in 1978, the ow was standing at 865. Today, mid December 2008 is is 8,500.  $10,000 invested in the Dow in 1978 would have grown to about $100,000…even after the global stock market crash.

Not bad?

If instead you had invested $10,000 in an investment as simple as the Templeton World Fund which started in 1978 and invests in stock markets al over the world, the $10,000…after the 2008 global crash…is still worth $352,080.

Look at the performance of bond markets as well.

Right now you receive 1.96% on the U.S. Treasury bonds that mature 2013.

Yet good quality Danish bonds of about the same term pay 4.53%  in Danish kroner.

Norwegian kroner bonds pay 3.70%
Swedish government bonds pay 2.74%
British Treasury bonds pay 3.18%
Mexican Government US dollar bonds 5.10%
Peru Government US dollar bonds 7.57%
South African bonds in euro pay 8.61%
Indonesian bonds in US dollars pay 11.57%
Hungarian Government Florin bonds 12.35%
Brazilian Government Real bonds 14.78%

Plus all of the currencies above (though depressed lately) have appreciated as much as 50% versus the dollar in recent years.

These statistics show how US government debt has invisibly, but relentlessly, destroyed the value of our investments in North America.  These statics come from my multi currency investment course, that can help you prosper even though the US dollar falls.

I’ll explain the course but first let me explain why, even though the US dollar has fallen so dramatically over the past 37 years, no one has been knocking on your door to tell you how to invest abroad.

It is the very weakness of the US dollar that has stopped North American banks, brokers and other financial institutions from telling you about the problem. These facts have been hidden from you because they have been afraid if US investors knew how bad the dollar has been that no one would deal with them.  They have, short and simple, been afraid of losing business.

Now let me tell you about this simple easy-to-use investment course called Multi Currency Investing  (MCI) and how you can have it on a no risk basis.

First, let me explain that the course is designed for anyone.  It is even for those who have never invested abroad, even if they are small investors with only a few thousand or a small amount to invest monthly.  MCI explains how investments can be made overseas for small amounts.  It even explains how to invest out of the US dollar right her in the US and never leave your home of office.

However, MCI also gives sophisticated information that you might not know even if you have been investing all over the world.  Some of my readers and course delegates are billionaires who own dozens of companies and invest all over the world!

Sleepy, Safe Portfolios Can Earn Over 100% Per Year

Multi currency investing does not require any fast trading techniques.  Multi currency portfolios are normally slow and sleepy investments…not currency contracts or futures speculations.  Most multi currency positions are aimed with a five year horizon…pretty sleepy compared to people who trade currencies (an entirely different and far riskier technique). For most of us, slow and sleepy mean SAFE!

Yet multi currency portfolios can be really profitable as well.

How sleepy and how safe?

Let’s look first at sleepy.

In 2006 we created an Asian multi currency portfolio consisting of just five award winning mutual funds.

We did not touch the entire portfolio for an entire year. Then after one year we made just five changes…dropping two mutual funds and adding three other mutual funds. Then we did not make another single change. That’s pretty sleepy, choosing a handful of mutual funds and making only five changes in two years.

Okay. Here is the big question. How profitable?

In the first year (2006) this portfolio rose 114.16%. Then we made the five changes mentioned (two funds dropped and three added). In 2007 this portfolio rose 122.62%.  2008 was a disaster year and the portfolio lost 79%. But when your portfolio is up over 236% in two years, it takes a lot of disaster to lose…so this portfolio is well ahead even after the great 2008 crash.

Year one up 114%
Year two up 122%
Year three down 79%

Total in three years…up 157% or an average of over 52% per annum for three years…even after the 2008 crash.

May I hasten to add that the portfolios published in the portfolio are not published recommendations.  These are portfolios we study to learn why they rise or fall. More on this in a moment.

First let’s examine safety.  How safe?

The portfolios were chosen with the help of one of the world’s safest banks and the mutual funds were all subsidiaries of that bank.

That safe bank is a Danish bank. That’s good because in recent years Denmark has been rated by Standard & Poor’s as one of the safest country in the world in which to bank.

The bank is Jyske Bank…well established with a history of over 100 years. Jyske is Denmark ’s second largest bank, with 450,000 clients in Denmark and over 30,000 abroad.

Jyske Bank has over 23 billion euros in assets and also happens to be one of the leading currency traders in the world. The Danes have always been big currency traders because as a small naval country surrounded by England, Sweden, Finland, Russia, Germany, Norway and other countries…they have always had to deal in many currencies.

This historically gained expertise means that unlike most banks (that trade only eight hours a day) Jyske maintains a 24 hour global currency and commodity dealer service. Many other large banks use Jyske to handle their off hour currency positions. This means that Jyske is huge when it comes to multi currency activity. In fact their turnover reaches $50 billion dollars a day.

Let’s address this issue of safety in more detail. Normally this is a pretty moot point. Right now everyone is concerned. Is a bank safe or not? I like Jyske from a bank safety point of view because there are three bank safety points, from the top down.

Bank Safety Point #1: A recent Yahoo Canada article shows a survey by the World Economic Forum listed five safest countries in which to bank.

Canada
Sweden
Luxembourg
Australia
Denmark

So Denmark is a safe place to bank. Now let’s look at Jyske Bank’s safety rating.

Bank Safety Point #2: Jyske Bank is Denmark’s second largest bank.
On October 10 2008, Moody’s affirmed Jyske Bank’s long-term Aa2 rating stable rating. This decision came despite the deteriorated economic prospects in Denmark, particularly in respect of the property market.

Bank Safety Point #3: Also on Friday 10 October 2008, the Danish Parliament passed a bill that secured all deposits and unsecured claims against losses in Danish financial institutions. The rating of the Kingdom of Denmark is Aaa/AAA with Moody’s and Standard & Poor’s respectively.

These are common sense bankers. They had minimal sub prime exposure when that scandal broke. Jyske had zero Madoff exposure.

That’s safe!

I happen to know Jyske Bank because I began using them (as my bank) over 20 years ago. They are one of the few banks that offers a special multi currency portfolio service for investors from almost anywhere in the world…including US investors through their Jyske Global Asset Management.

I was one of the first writers and publishers to begin writing about multi currency investing. Jyske bank was one of the first banks to offer a multi currency portfolio service…and they were my bank.

Not surprising we got together and have created a symbiotic relationship that can help you learn how to create multi currency portfolios that suit you.   Jyske Bank assists by providing information that only a huge global bank trading 50 billion dollars of currencies and contracts a day (as Jyske does) can afford.   My symbiotic relationship with Jyske allows me to combine my experience with this bank’s incredible knowledge, real time information capability and expertise so you learn in a most practical way from some of the greatest multi currency experts in the world.

Now let’s look at both the up and down side of these high performing portfolios and how they work?

The goal of MCI is not to recommend investments for you, but to help you learn how to be a multi currency investor so you are better at directing your broker,  banker or investment advisor.

To accomplish this goal, the course provides three levels of education.

Part one of MCI is an extensive beginner’s guide to developing multi currency portfolios.  This entire primer is sent to you when you begin the course.  This portion of the course takes nothing for granted and walks you step by step through every part of international investing.

Take, one of the primer lessons as an example. It explains theory on some of the reasons why currencies move, but taking nothing for granted it also explains what the currencies of the world are and gives their history, so before you learn why the euro doubled versus the US dollar, you get to know these currencies and the their underlying fundamentals.

Another lesson in the primer gives case studies that are real examples of how the theory has been put to use in the past.  This lesson covers theory on why currencies move and how to spot the hot currencies months ahead of time. Then it gets down to brass tacks and explains how to open bank accounts overseas to hold the hot currencies…or even how to invest abroad through US banks and brokers.

Everything about how to bank abroad and hold the currencies is covered.  How to open accounts, how to send money abroad all the laws relating to overseas accounts, taxation, etc. plus the most important part, which is how to spend the money when you need it from overseas accounts.

Then the course gives a real, live case study that show how the theory works in reality. It tells about an investor who opened an account, got a  checkbook and credit card and how he used them both and held several currencies for higher returns that he gained with US dollars.

Finally you also get valuable contacts in the course.  These are vitally important. There are names and addresses of institutions and source of information you can use to turn your knowledge into action!

Here is the syllabus of the primer you will receive in MCI.

* Why Currencies Move.

* How to Bank Abroad.

* How to Buy Stocks and Bonds Overseas.

* How to Choose Currencies.

* Why Currencies Rise and Fall.

* How to Borrow Low and Deposit High.

* How to Buy Mutual Funds That Invest Abroad.

* ETFS. Why They are Often Better Than Managed Funds.

* How to Find Bonds that are Like and Often Better than Shares

* How and When to Capture Recoveries.

* Global Portfolio Diversification Theory.

* When Leveraged Low Risk Portfolios Are Safer and Perform Better Than High Risk Portfolios.

The primer deals with the past…but as we so vividly saw in 2008…markets are always in a state of change so…

Part two studies global markets in real time.  Your MCI course comes in regular emailed lessons usually emailed every two or three days.  Though at times you’ll get a lesson every day for many days in a row. Other times nothing will come for a week because these lessons are based on real time market activity.  MCI studies currencies and global investment markets and reports to you on their value and why that value occurs.

This portion of the course studies the current performance of portfolios that Jyske bank creates…plus examines the portfolios of several globally diversified mutual funds….for both small and large investors.   This portion of your course gives you an overall, up-to-date understanding of market and currency moves.

Part three of MCI shares my portfolio and where I invest.  This is an unusual feature…so let me explain why MCI regularly reviews my personal investment portfolio and how this can be of value to your investing.

First this is honest.nd we have fund that for us…honesty pays.

As we recently learned from the Madoff scam…investors must always be on guard.  This is our 41st year of educating about international investing.  This is all we do and our great long term success has been based on placing our readers ahead of all other considerations.   We do not sell investments. We do not give individual advice.  We have no hidden agendas that could lead investments astray.

We want you to see and know what we are doing based on our own advice so you can trust the data we share.  Otherwise the lessons do little good.  You the reader are the only way we earn.  We do not receive commissions…or any form of remuneration for selling shares or accounts etc.   We hope to work with you for life…rather than make some type of quick killing by advising you to invest in something we d not really believe in.

We feel that by letting you know how we actually invest helps accomplish this long term bond.

This is vital because we often invest exactly the opposite of the market.

Take for example the five 2007 portfolios we studied in MCI:

Portfolios             12 Month Rise
Swiss Samba           53.32%
Emerging Mkt        122.62%
Dollar Short             48.19%
Dollar Neutral          38.67%
Green                    266.30%

This is performance you will rarely see duplicated…anywhere…at any time.

Yet these were model portfolios…not meant to be yours….not meant to be mine.  I do not invest in these portfolios because…they do not suit my lifestyle and my unique personal financial needs.  One of the key lessons that MCI focuses on…again and again is “there is no perfect portfolio for you”… except one designed uniquely for you.

My portfolio is not perfect for you either…yet seeing “how” I adapt my portfolio to our virtual real time portfolio reviews can help you learn how to adapt your personal portfolio  as well.

So even though our study portfolios were enjoying world class performance, exploding upwards like rockets,  I was reducing leverage and getting out of markets.  On August 17, 2007…well before the 2008 collapse began I posted the note in an MCI lesson on why I was getting out of leverage and equities.

“Such historical measures are so inexact that we cannot predict just from them what will happen in the short term. The numbers are close enough that we could be entering the fourth sub cycle down (similar to 1976 to 1978). If so expect a sustained drop in markets for two to three years.”

Even though the portfolios MCI studied continued to rise, I sent another danger lesson to the course on September 21, 2007. “Equity markets dropped again violently last month. Now these markets have recovered again. Yet this may be a last gasp party.”

I began increasingly concerned for myself and on October 14 sent this lesson  “Periods of high performance are followed by times of low returns. We never know for sure when an upwards cycle will stall. Fundamentals look good for a bright 2008 in emerging and equity markets, but this can change quickly so to give our readers a better perspective, this year we are reducing leverage and adding a sixth portfolio with no leverage to study”.

The Oct. 15, 2007 lesson said: “Okay it’s time to turn the burner down and offered a “leverage dwindling” warning.  On Oct. 26 I explained to readers that I had eliminated even my modest leverage and wrote: “There is a final reason I liquidated my leverage now…to lead by example. Too many readers are thinking that the dollar short or dollar neutral Portfolios are only up 38% or 48% for the year. When one thinks that way they could be headed for trouble, so I hope investors will follow my lead and take greater care with their leverage.”

I did not stop. The November 8, 2007 was a Black Friday interim message that warned again about all the points above and more.

This created one plain and simple fact.   The 2008 stock market crash drop did not surprise those enrolled in MCI.

Right now at the end of 2008, I am adding leveraged bonds to my portfolio. Here is an excerpt from the December 28, 2008 MCI lesson:

There are many similarities between the US economy and the US government’s response to the downturn with Japan’s slowdown in the early 1990s and the Japanese  government’s response then.   Readers made fortunes borrowing yen as they may make fortunes borrowing dollars now.

Watch especially now for ways to borrow dollars at low rates for investing in high yield, short term dollar bonds like:

Currency                      Bond                               Yield

USD    9.125   19/05/2009    SOUTH AFRICA     6.04%

USD    10.25   17/06/2013     BRAZIL REP OF     6.24%

USD     8.25     31/03/2010     RUSSIA                   5.93%

This type of bond has no currecny risk if leveraged in US dollars.  Your only major risk is default.

Bonds denominated in euro are even more to my liking because they pay higher interest and have a potential forex gain if the dollar drops again verus the euro.

Yet our lessons are objective and provide warnings of risk as well.  This type of leveraged investment also has a chance of loss if the dollar rises verus the euro. Do not borrow more than you can afford to lose!

There is even more yield potential in bonds denominated in euro.

EUR      5.75   02/07/2010     ROMANIA             10.81%

EUR    8.5     24/09/2012     BRAZIL REP OF      7.49%

EUR    5.25     16/05/2013     SOUTH AFRICA     8.61%

These three bonds yield an average 8.97%. They represent a diversification into Europe, Latin America and Africa.   If you invest $100,000 and also invest another borrowed $100,000 at 4%, your total annual return is 13.94%  before  any forex gains or loss.

MCI provides you with bank contacts who  lend in many currencies often at very low rates, to leverage investments.

Multi Currency Investing helps you enjoy the ultimate form of financial security.

From the very first lesson, you expand your knowledge about investing abroad.  You gain contacts that can bring you solid profits and safety when most investors are being silently robbed blind by the steady deterioration of the US economy and the US dollar.

I want to give my readers an answer to relieve the anxiety they faced from this awesome dollar problem that I don’t think is going to get solved.

I originally started this course just for my readers.  Tens of thousands enrolled and we have shared how to invest globally for deades.

Now due to the 2008 global economic crash, I am rewriting the entire course.  This
crash has changed everything and I would like to share how to profit in 2009 with you.

Everyone needs to know how to have multi currency diversification. But in case this course does not help you, we provide a 30 day “completely satisfied or your money back” guarantee that we have offered our hundreds of thousands of readers for more than 20 years.

Our Multi Currency Educational Service is normally a mere $249 for a very long and educational year!

Won’t you share this exciting world of wealth accumulation with us and our readers around the world?

Subscribe here or see below how to join us in Ecuador or North Carolina and receive this course FREE.

Gary Scott

P.S.   As previously mentioned, the portfolios we tracked in 2007 had the following results:

Portfolios             12 Month Rise
Swiss Samba           53.32%
Emerging Mkt        122.62%
Dollar Short             48.19%
Dollar Neutral          38.67%
Green                    266.30%

You can imagine performance like this attracted quite a bit of attention…and it did.

However these high returns were not the important benefit our readers gained.

MCI does not recommend nor manage portfolios.  We did not suggest that readers invest in these portfolios. We created and tracked them because they were educational.

The courses is designed so you can work with your own investment manager to create your own multi currency portfolio that suits your own special, individual needs.  The multi currency investment course is designed to help you learn how to manage your manager… nothing more.  Yet this is a lot because Jyske Bank can provide a stable and safe institution for those who wish to employ a multi currency strategy.

The course will help you guide  any investment adviser or investment manager who understands how to invest in more than one currency.

The course also helps you manage risk. The incredible portfolio performance above was achieved because the portfolios were leveraged using a tactic we call a multi currency sandwich. Investors borrow low and invest in yielding or growth portfolios. The portfolios used loans in Japanese yen and Swiss francs to magnify profits in good times.

Plus we learned how leverage pushes losses faster in bad times and that leverage can help recovery at the end of bad times as well.

Here is an interesting multi currency fact that provides us with a valuable investing idea.   In 2009 we are tracking three Jyske portfolios.

Low Risk Multi Currency Portfolio invests in:  Fixed Income 70%,  Equities 20%,  Alternatives 5%,  Cash 5%.

Medium Risk Multi Currency Portfolio invests in: Fixed Income, 40%,  Equities 50%,  Alternatives 5%, Cash 5%.

High Risk Multi Currency Portfolio invests in:  Fixed Income  10%, Equities 80%,  Alternatives 5%,  Cash 5%.

Our studies to date have shown that the low risk portfolio, with some leverage, can be safer and perform better than a non leveraged high risk portfolio.

MCI continually reviews these portfolios so we can earn real time from their performance.

Subscribe here or see below how to join us in Ecuador or North Carolina and receive this course FREE.

Here is what a few others from around the world have said about our services and reports on international investing.

“ Gary , I am a long time subscriber in various media, and while cleaning out my files today I found some old ‘Gary A. Scotts World Reports’. In particular, the April 1988 issue provided the info that made me over a million dollars. Just wanted to say a belated ‘thank you’ and please continue the excellent work. Warm regards,”
From an Unknown Reader

“Dear Gary, I would like to give thanks to you for introducing me to Jyske Bank two years ago.

“I have been a long-time client of Merrill Lynch, but am in the process of re-evaluating my relationship with the largest brokerage company in the world. My problem is that when I compare Merrill to Jyske, Jyske outshines Merrill (or other major U.S. brokerage firms) in most categories as follows:

“1) Even though Jyske is much smaller, it has a much more global perspective which is critical in an evermore global investment environment.

“2) In order to maximize their own individual revenue, the brokers at Merrill prefer to outsource the day-to-day management of their accounts to various fund managers and hence, ‘manage the managers’. In contrast, I can call my Account Manager at Jyske and he can discuss every aspect of my account in detail with me.

“3) I attribute this difference in #2 to the fact that Jyske’s employees are not compensation driven, but instead are focused on satisfying their customers. That is why Jyske’s clients stay with the Bank on average for 12 years, which is phenomenal by Wall Street standards.

“4) Jyske’s security is far more stringent than that of Merrill’s. In addition to the standard account code and password, to pass through Jyske’s security one has to enter a Key Card number and also a randomly-generated 4-digit number from said Key Card.

“5) Having an account offshore allows me to sleep better given the anxious times we live in. Since I report the existence of the account and pay all taxes due, I am fully compliant with the law. However, such an account gives me and my family a ‘financial life boat’ should events in our own country ever get out of hand.

“As Dorothy Parker once said, ‘You can lead a horse to water, but you can’t make them THINK’. Jyske is a thinking person’s bank. My only complaint is the time zone difference since I live in California . However, since I am an early riser and my Account Manager is very responsive to my emails, this problem is very small relative to the HUGE benefits.

“Again, many thanks for introducing me to Jyske Bank. Given the ‘dumbing down’ that occurs in the popular media today, your ezine and its recommendations are ever more important. Please continue your good work to enlighten your readership.  Warm regards,”
C.M. CALIFORNIA Businessman

“I was so overwhelmed with information I received I had to spend several days reading, sorting and filing it! I have decided to move my modest investment capital overseas.”
B.W. MONTREAL CANADA Professor

“Send me your report on safe banks lending at 7% for redeposit at 13% or more.” B.V. ADDIS ABADA ETHIOPIA Economic Commission United Nations

“A number of new and significant contacts were made. It would be extremely helpful if you could supply us with WORLD REPORTS.” I.M. TORONTO , CANADA Banker

“You are as good as your word which is rare these days. I look forward to attending one of your seminars.” C.K. GENEVA , SWITZERLAND Banker

“In spite of my marketing experience, your information really got me going!” M. C. LONDON, ENGLAND Marketing Consultant

“Thanks for the three reports. They are very interesting and should find many readers here in Japan .” M.A. Tokyo , JAPAN Computer Programmer

“I would like to say how much I enjoyed the information I received.” A.B. Providenciales TURKS & CAICOS Accountant

“First let me say how much we enjoyed the investment seminar.” W.J. SAUDI ARABIA Oil Engineer

“Once again thanks for all the great information.” G.K. PERTH , AUSTRALIA Insurance Executive

“Your letter of November 8th warned me to beware of the market just a week before the 120 point crash on November 15th!” T.G. N. CAROLINA Pilot”

Yet global economics 2008 have changed everything.   So I am now offering this course to a wider audience who have indicated their concern with the state of the US economy.

Before I make this offer to a wider audience however, I want to make a special December offer to you.

This course has been and is normally offered for $249.

To begin, I am reducing that price to $175…a savings of $74…yet there is much more because you can enjoy this course FREE.

You can enroll here…now and save $74

Here is how to receive this course FREE.

In 2009 I will work with Jyske Bank to conduct four  courses  about how to be a multi currency investor.

Two of these courses will be conducted in Ecuador

February 13 -15 and Nov. 6 to 8, 2009

The other two courses will  be conducted in North Carolina.

July 24-26 and  Oct. 9-11, 2009

Simply sign up for any of the four courses above and you receive the Multi Currency Course in 2009 FREE.

Multi Currency Investing Value in Change


Multi currency investing in change creates opportunity if you stick to value as well.

We have a great rooster here at the farm.   Beautiful.

Blue-Ridge-rooster

So now we also have some new chicks!

Blue-ridge-chick

What fun!

Watching them started me thinking about multi currency investing cycles and evolution.

If we look, we can see mankind and our multi currency, global economy evolve in ways that make sense.

Yet the shift are often hard to see.

On a recent trip Merri and I were stuck next to a TV (we do not have this at the farm) and the show was called Mad Men…about ad men in the 50s.  The smoking everywhere, three martini lunches, incredible sexual harassment, gender, religious and racial bias.

Wow, consider how much we have progressed!  Perfection now? No.  Better than before…I think so and we are making progress.

How can we spot, and position ourselves for change?

The economic doldrums of today will create the life styles of tomorrow. High rising costs of energy…food and essentials are creating a more spiritual world.

People are learning to look within for their fulfillment rather than relying on the shopping cart of the material market place to bring them joy.

They are more likely to spend more time in their church, mosque, synagogue or other place of religious worship than in Wal Mart.

Is this bad?

They may enjoy more friends, family and their social community.  Perhaps spend more time hiking and in nature or contemplating…slowing down to enjoy life more.

Think, if nothing, else of the environmental good.

How do we prepare our lives, our business, our finances for this new way?

During the 40 years I have been investing abroad, I have observed seven golden investing trends.

#1: 1970s Gold & Silver.

#2: Japan , Germany , Switzerland , England , Australia and Hong Kong .

#3: 1980s. The Tigers, Taiwan , Singapore Malaysia and South Korea , & Turkey .

#4: Early 1990s. South America (which led me to Ecuador).

#5: Late 1990s and 2000s. China , India and Eastern Europe .

#6: Invest in Real Estate Throughout.

#7: Bet Against the US Dollar Throughout

Now an eighth powerful green trend is in force.

How do we tap into this new economic wave?

Good value investments in water, alternate energy and environmental salvation offer incredible opportunity…if you maintain a good sense of value.

Like with all huge shifts, there will be scams and over priced investments.

An article by Alex Williams entitled, “That Buzz in Your Ear May Be Green Noise” touches on this when it says:

“DESPITE the expense and the occasional back strain, Mary Burnham, a public relations consultant in San Francisco, felt good about the decision she made a few years ago to buy milk — organic, of course — only in heavy, reusable glass bottles. For the sake of the environment, she dutifully lugged them back and forth from the grocery store every week. Cutting out disposable paper cartons, she reasoned, meant saving trees and reducing waste.

“Or not. A friend, also a committed environmentalist, recently started questioning her good deed. ‘His argument was that paper cartons are compostable and lightweight and use less energy and water than the heavy bottles, which must be transported back to a plant to be cleaned and reused,’ she said. “I have no idea which is better, or how to find out.”

“Ms. Burnham, 35, recycles religiously, orders weekly from a community-supported farm, buys eco-friendly cleaning products and carries groceries in a canvas bag. But she admits to information overload on the environment — from friends, advice columns, news media, even government-issued reports. Much of the advice is conflicting.

“To say that you are confused and a little fed up with the often contradictory messages out there on how to live lightly on the earth is definitely not cool,” she said in an e-mail message. “But, heck, I’ll come out and say it. I’m a little overwhelmed.”

“She is, in other words, a victim of ‘green noise’ — static caused by urgent, sometimes vexing or even contradictory information played at too high a volume for too long.”

Green is good but as mankind learns and evolves, there will be plenty of spin. There will be more than enough turmoil and confusion about what is best and what will succeed.

The true guide that can guide you through the noise that is created during new economic waves is value.

For example investments in wind power make sense. T.  Boone Pickens has just announced that he will make a huge investment in wind power.

An NPR article said: “After decades investing in oil, T. Boone Pickens is now pouring billions of dollars into what he calls America’s biggest wind farm. Pickens envisions putting up 2,500 turbines in Texas to generate 4,000 megawatts of energy — enough to power 1.3 million homes.

“Pickens says America is living with oil prices of more than $140 per barrel and gasoline topping $4 per gallon because it didn’t plan for its energy future.

“The mistake was made because we didn’t have the leadership that stepped up and said, ‘We cannot continue to import foreign oil,'” Pickens tells Steve Inskeep.

“Wind currently generates a relatively small percentage of the nation’s power, with most coming from coal, nuclear and natural gas.

“Pickens says he would like to use more wind for power generation and shift natural gas for use as a transportation fuel.

“We’ve got plenty of natural gas,” he says. “That’s the beauty of it. Natural gas is cleaner, it’s cheaper, it’s abundant and it’s domestic.”

“He notes that the United States, with just 4 percent of the world’s population, uses 25 percent of the world’s oil supply — most of it imported.

“Pickens says he wants the government to extend a production tax credit for wind power for a period long enough to encourage investment in the technology.

“The federal government recently issued a report forecasting that 20 percent of U.S. power generation could come from wind energy by the year 2030. Pickens says that’s too long from now — he’ll be 102 years old.

“This has to happen quicker than that,” he says. “We’ll be broke if you wait for this to all take place by 2030.”

Wind investments may be good, but not all wind investments all the time. Yet not all wind investments may be good.

Jyske Bank recently placed a sell recommendation on one of the most successful recent shares we have tracked, Vestas, the wind and turbine maker. See why here.

Green is good now. Paying too much for an investment, regardless of its color is never good.   Even when you ride the wave always keep your eye on value.

Learn more about how to spot good value investments at

Until next message may all you values always be good.

Gary

Join us, stay at our farm and learn about intuitive investing for Susan Rotman’s business intuition course.
Or join me with Jyske Global Asset Management to learn more about value investing.

International Investing and Business Made EZ North Carolina

International Investing and Business Made EZ Ecuador