Golden Freedom


Merri and I always celebrate special freedoms in May, but this May is golden and special for us.  Let’s see if we can make it special for you.

There have been celebrations of freedom from winter as early as Roman times. The Romans celebrated the festival of Flora, the Roman goddess of flowers.  Ancient northern hemisphere spring festivals may have begun even earlier to celebrate the richness and fertility of this time of year.

A number of countries like Cuba and the former Soviet Union celebrate Workers’ Day on the first of May but May Day has been celebrated even earlier in the USA.  This day began in the 1880s when there was a drive to improve the lot of the working man.  Working conditions were severe.  10 to 16 hour days in unsafe conditions were common.  Frequent workplace death and injury led to books like Upton Sinclair’s “The Jungle” and Jack London’s “The Iron Heel”.

Workers felt that capitalism was for the benefit of their bosses.  The political process had become so controlled by big business and the bi-partisan political machines that tens of thousands of politicians left their parties, rebuffed the entire political process, which was seen as nothing more than protection for the wealthy, and created new groups throughout the country.

The goal was to put an end to the hierarchical structures (including government) that controlled industry and wipe away the bureaucratic political process. The aim was to give workers an eight hour work day and in the 1880s more than 300,000 workers in 13,000 businesses across the United States walked off their jobs in the first US May Day celebration.

Does that history sound familiar now?  Some things never change.

Politics have not changed all that much either.  The presidential election of 1880  (Republican, James A. Garfield – Democrat, Winfield Scott Hancock) began with the longest Republican convention in the party’s history.  There were three candidates but on the first ballot none were close to victory. After the thirty-fifth  ballot, two delegates switched their support to the new “dark horse” candidate, Representative James A. Garfield.  The bitterly divided Republicans chose Garfield.

The Presidential election was also highly contested but neither party had a clear plank on how they would improve the nation.  The contest was simply “Our man is better than your man”.

The Democrats campaigned on the character of the candidates and attacked Garfield for his connection with an earlier banking scandal.

The Republicans claimed that Hancock was uninformed on the issues, and gave critical speeches regarding his character.

Issues included:

* Immigration. This eventually led to the Chinese Exclusion Act, one of the most significant restrictions on free immigration in US history, prohibiting all immigration of Chinese laborers.

* Racial inclusion. The Republican party’s courtship of black voters threatened the white Democratic establishment.

* Labor rights and trade agreements.  Garfield’s campaigners called Democrats unsympathetic to the plight of industrial laborers, a group that benefited from a high protective tariff.

When all the ballots were counted, fewer than 2,000 votes separated Garfield and Hancock, the closest popular vote of any American presidential election before or since.

As Garfield entered office in March 1881, the Republican party schism that had been patched up for the election tore apart once more.  Within months Garfield was assassinated.

How does that history sound now?  Some things never change.

However many things do change as well, including my life when my global investing and business adventures began, five decades ago, when I joined Prudential Insurance Company in May 1966.

Then two years later, on May 1, 1968 I left the USA and arrived in Hong Kong May 2, 1968.

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Here is my my first passport  and the first stamp issued May 2, 1968, allowing me to stay in Hong Kong until June 2, 1968.

I arrived in Hong Kong in the night, the tropical air so soft it was a velvet mist.  Thick evening scents in the fragrant harbor and mellow insects purring in rhythm with the cacophony of the great city!  What a an exotic adventure.

Kai Tak was Hong Kong’s airport then and being American born and bred, I knew nothing about investing aboard.

That was my first airplane trip, first time out of Oregon. Portland to Vancouver, Tokyo to Hong Kong.  I melted in my heavy woolen blazer, was weary and afraid but excited too. An incredible global investing journey had begun… and continues to this day.

I gained sales training at Prudential and used this to develop sales teams in Japan, Korea, Taiwan, Thailand, Indonesia, Indonesia, Singapore and the Philippines at the same time so a month was plenty of time before I exited.

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Here is one of my first sales teams… this one in Hong Kong led by John So Kwok Kee (far left).   You can guess which one I am!

I built teams from the north in Japan down through Indonesia.

I was 21 years old and had no idea how that trip would lead me throughout Asia for almost ten years and eventually led me to business and investing in Europe, London, Isle of Man, Florida, The Dominican Republic, North Carolina’s Blue Ridge and Ecuador.

In the last 50 years there has been a lot of change in our freedoms, and our goal at this site has been to share ideas that enhance three basic qualities of real freedom.

The first quality of real freedom is natural health.  None of us can be truly free until we wrest ourselves from the grip of the big pharma fueled health care system.

The second quality of real freedom is the ability to earn through service.  So many promises, purchasing power of money, savings, pensions, health care, social security, financial security, privacy, have all been broken so many times that no promise made by big business or big government can be trusted.  The only true form of wealth is to have some value, to be able to serve (or produce) in a profitable way.

The third quality is to mathematically seek investment value.   The only clear understanding of value of investments is that derived from mathematical based financial news rather than speculation based economic news.

A continual evolution based on these three qualities have helped Merri and me, our readers and our income continually grow… through good times and bad.

The reason we have progressed amidst never ending change is because we recognize that details and technologies change, but the fundamentals remain immutable.  “Plus ce change plus ce la meme chose”… the more things change, the more they stay the same.

Our business is totally online now… but the basics are the same… “to provide interesting, useful information and contacts that help make people’s lives better as they prosper from change”.

Life is a trip and we have an entire globe to enjoy the ride. Expanding our horizons beyond the education we gained within our local borders can help our visions penetrate the mists of tomorrow so we can adjust to gain opportunity in change and avoid dangers ahead.  This philosophy has reaped millions for Merri and me.  More important this approach has helped us follow our purpose and feel that we are doing more for the world than just making a buck.

The increased pace of change leaves all of us with a lot to do.

We feel healthier and more energetic than 50 years ago.  I might not be wiser… but am more experienced and seem in a better position than when I took that first trip to Hong Kong 48 years ago today.

We’ll keep looking for better ways to improve our natural health, energy and desire so we can profitably serve and wisely invest for the future.

Merri and I look forward to the year ahead… and we look forward to sharing it with you!

Gary

Make Safe More Profitable With the Silver Dip

May 2017 will be my 51st anniversary of being in the investment & finance business.  This is the 49th year since I started talking about international investing, (I started a Hong Kong mutual fund business in May 1968).

Since that time, my investing goals have been based around spotting contrasts and trends.

One current trend is that the valuations of US shares are dramatically overpriced  in every fundamental way.   The Morgan Stanley MSCI Index USA currently sells for 2.81 times book value, compared to the MSCI Europe Index that sells for 1.68 times book value.   The US PE Ratio is 21.2 versus 18.2 in Europe and the average US dividend yield is 2.15% versus 3.69% in Europe.  Shares in Europe on average are a far a better value.

When you use a long time dimension and diversify correctly, investing in value such as this has always created the highest profits and greatest safety.

I use this strategy because using a value strategy also takes the least work and has the lowest stress!

Then I look for ways to add spice and extra profit short term distortions.

For example in 2015 I spotted two distortions.  They were contrasts that  had reaped huge rewards for me and many of my readers 30 years ago.  I quickly issued two reports, one for each trend.  After a  year one of the distortions has already returned 210.58% in the last year.

A new contrast has even more potential in 2017.

One of the reports released, “Silver Dip 2015” looked at potential profits in silver because when the US stock market falls, the price of gold and silver rise.  I have been a gold bug for almost 50 years and spotted this fact long ago.

The “Silver Dip 2016” report reviewed a way to profit from silver and gold because of a mathematical, historical fact.  When the silver/gold ratio rises over 80, silver is more likely to rise than gold.  That ratio is even higher now than it was in 2015 so silver may not create the extraordinary profits this year.

The “Silver Dip 2017” offers a new ideal speculation.

The second distortion, explained below, has greater long term potential and all but guarantees short term profits in gold, silver and the currenct hot speculation.

There is no question that a long term correction is coming.  Only the full timing can be in doubt.  The question we must ask is, “Could the big break come in 2017 and could it break upon us right now?”  The answer is “Yes”.  When the bubble bursts, it can cause the perfect economic storm that makes a few investors, who are ready, rich.

I have been warning readers about this stock market correction (and how to profit instead of lose), since  January 28, 2015.

Zero interest is the sucker punch that can devastate millions of investors.  This is a Ponzi scheme where governments rob money from the future and spend it badly in the here and now.  Each downward economic wave of the last 30 years has created a larger mountain of debt that brings the world closer to an economy where there is no more future money to steal.  The only way governments can afford to borrow more is to take it for nothing.  That’s zero interest.  In worst case scenarios, governments can charge you to borrow your own money.  In Europe some bonds now have negative interest.

shouldn’t pay us anything.  Even worse they could charge a negative interest rate on our bank accounts and lock our money into the system.  The alternative is to invest in a risky, over priced stock market and morbidly weak currency.

Over priced stocks and an over priced US dollar are the third sucker punch!

To date we have been able at least to choose where and in what currencies we invest.  This is where we encounter the one-two-three punch.  The zero or negative interest rate destroys the purchasing power of our savings.  Capital controls lock us into a weak currency or market so we cannot take profits or protect our purchasing power from this inflation and currency loss.

Our savings, pensions and wealth can be floored by a combination of a falling stock market, crashing US dollar and inflation.

The purchasing power of the US dollar will fall.   Trading down is working in many ways.  Even if  pensions can pay what they have promised, the money in dollars won’t buy as much.  Coffee isn’t free with meals.  Many ordinary foods (tomatoes, peppers, almonds and walnuts as an example) and yes, maple syrup become luxuries.

Social Security won’t be as useful either, if it is paid at all.  Could Social Security really default?  The answer is “Yes, it could”.  An October 8, 2013 Reuters article at finance.yahoo said:  “President Barack Obama warned last week that Social Security benefits might not go out ‘on time’ if Congress does not raise the debt ceiling.  Should seniors and disabled Americans really be worried about their benefits if the U.S. government runs out of borrowing capacity later this month?  The answer is YES.”

I can make these predictions based on 30 year trends because I have been writing and teaching global investing for almost 50 years.  Long term experience helps me spot distortions and cycles that have been building for even as long as 30 years.   This experience has helped me steer my readers in the right direction again and again.

I invite you to join me and a small selective group who for the next year will participate in an intensive program called the Purposeful investing Course (Pi). The purpose of Pi is finding value to protect our savings, pensions, income and wealth from these two devastating economic conditions.

I’ve been watching this 30 year distortion take shape and believe that 2017 could very well be the year of a huge shift.

Slow, Worry Free, Good Value Investing

Stress, worry and fear are three of an investor’s worst enemies.  They create a Behavior Gap, that causes investors to underperform in any market good or bad.  The behavior gap is created by natural human responses to fear.   Pi helps create profitable strategies that avoid losses from this gap.

Lessons from Pi are based on the creation and management of a Primary Pi Model Portfolio, called the Pifolio.  There are no secrets about this portfolio except that it ignores the stories from economic news (often created by someone with vested interests) and is based mainly on good math that reveals the truth through financial news.

The Pifolio is a theoretical portfolio of MSCI Country Benchmark Index ETFs that cover all the good value markets using my (almost) 50 years of global experience and my study of the analysis of four mathematical investing geniuses (and friends).

The Pifolio analysis begins with a continual research of international major stock markets that compares their value based on:

#1:  Current book to price

#2:  Cash flow to price

#3:  Earnings to price

#4:  Average dividend yield

#5:  Return on equity

#6:  Cash flow return

#7:  Market history

We combine the research of several brilliant mathematicians and money managers with my years of investing experience.

This is a complete and continual study of what to do about the movement of international major and emerging stock markets.  I want to share this study throughout 2017 into 2018 with you.

This analysis forms the basis of a Good Value Stock Market Strategy.  The analysis is rational, mathematical and does not worry about short term ups and downs.  This strategy is easy for anyone to follow and use.  Pi reveals the best value markets and provides contacts to managers and analysts and Country Index ETFs so almost anyone can create and follow their own strategy.

A country ETF provides diversification and cost efficiency by spreading one simple, even small investment into a basket of equities in a good value stock market.  The costs are low and this type of ETF is one of the hardest for institutions to cheat.  Expense ratios for most ETFs are lower than those of the average mutual fund.

Little knowledge, time, management or guesswork are required.  The investment is simply a diversified portfolio of good value indices.  Investments in an index are like investments in all the shares of a good value market.

Pi opens insights to numerous long term cycles that most investors miss because they have not been investing long enough to see them.

For example, in the 1980s, a remarkable set of two economic circumstances helped anyone who spotted them become remarkably rich.  Some of my readers made enough to retire.  Others picked up 50% currency gains.  Then the cycle ended.  Warren Buffett explained the importance of this ending in a 1999 Fortune magazine interview.  He said:  Let me summarize what I’ve been saying about the stock market: I think it’s very hard to come up with a persuasive case that equities will over the next 17 years perform anything like—anything like—they’ve performed in the past 17!

I did well then, but always thought, “I should have invested more!”  Now those circumstances have come together and I am investing in them again.

The circumstances that created fortunes 30 years ago were an overvalued US market (compared to global markets) and an overvalued US dollar.  The two conditions are in place again!   There are currently ten good value (non US) developed markets,  plus 10 good value emerging markets.

Pi shows how to easily create a diversified, worry free portfolio in some of these good value markets using Country Index ETFs.

The current strength of the US dollar is a second remarkable similarity to 30 years ago.   The dollar rose along with Wall Street.  Profits came quickly over three years.  Then the dollar dropped like a stone, by 51%  in just two years.  A repeat of this pattern is growing and could create up to 50% extra profit if we start using strong dollars to accumulate good value stock market ETFs in other currencies.

This is the most exciting opportunity I have seen since we started sending our reports on international investing ideas more than three decades ago.  The trends are so clear that I have created a short, but powerful report “Three Currency Patterns for 50% Profits or More.”   This report shows how to earn an extra 50% from currency shifts with even small investments.  I kept the report short and simple, but included links to 153 pages of  Good Value Stock Market research and Asset Allocation Analysis.

The report shows 20 good value investments and a really powerful tactic that shows the most effective and least expensive way to accumulate these bargains in large or even very small amounts (less than $5,000).  There is extra profit potential of at least 50% so the report is worth a lot.

This report sells for $29.95 but you’ll receive the report, “Three Currency Patterns For 50% Profits or More” FREE when you subscribe to Pi.

Plus get the $39.95 report, “The Silver Dip 2017” free.

With investors watching global stock markets bounce up and down, many missed two really important profit generating events.  The price of silver dipped below $14 an ounce as did shares of the iShares Silver ETF (SLV).   The second event is that the silver gold ratio hit 80 and has remained near this level.

These two events are a strong sign to invest in precious metals.

I updated the special report now “Silver Dip 2017” about a leveraged speculation that can increase the returns in a safe portfolio by as much as eight times.  The purpose of the report is to share my 30 years of experience speculating and investing in gold and silver.

The low price of one commodity offers special value now so I want to send you this report because the “Silver Dip 2017” reveals how to gain enormous profit potential in the year ahead.

Save $428.95 If You Act Now

Subscribe to the first year of the Personal investing Course (Pi).  The annual fee is $299, but to introduce you to this online course that is based on real time investing, I am knocking $102 off the subscription.  Plus you receive FREE the $29.95 report “Three Currency Patterns For 50% Profits or More”, the $27  report “Silver Dip 2015” and our latest $297 online Value Investing Seminar for a total savings of $428.95.

Triple Guarantee

Enroll in Pi.  Get the first monthly issue of Pi and the report “Three Currency Patterns For 50% Profits or More” and the online Value Investing Seminar right away. 

#1:  I guarantee you’ll learn ideas about investing that are unique and can reduce stress as they help you enhance your profits through slow, worry free purposeful investing.

If you are not totally happy, simply let me know.

#2:  I guarantee you can cancel your subscription within 60 days and I’ll refund your subscription fee in full, no questions asked.

#3:  I guarantee you can keep “Three Currency Patterns for 50% Profits or More” and “Silver Dip 2015” plus the Value Investing Seminar as my thanks for trying.

You have nothing to lose except the fear.   You gain the ultimate form of financial security as you reduce risk and increase profit potential.

Subscribe to a Pi annual subscription for $197 and receive all the above.

Gary