Tag Archive | "Wall Street Journal"

Will Bureau 121 Bring Wall Street Down?


Between the Lines-Health Care Muddle


Read between the lines.  Excerpts from a recent Wall Street Journal article show why health care reform is such a mess beyond politics.

The article said: The best laid plans of politicians often go awry, and then there’s Philadelphia’s soda tax.  A new Tax Foundation report finds that the 1.5-cent-an-ounce levy that took effect in January is hurting low-income workers and producing less revenue than promised, but at least it’s helping beer sales. Allow us to explain.

Between the lines:  Our culture has been indoctrinated to consume too many addictive beverages (soda and beer) that mess up the blood sugar level and that contributes to numerous other health imbalances.  Health insurance for a culture that thrives on illness producing habits will be expensive no matter how the law is set.

The article continues: Mayor James Kenney and the City Council sold the tax as a revenue boon that would finance universal pre-K education.  But the Tax Foundation reports that only 49% of the revenue is going to pre-K in practice in the first five years while the rest is going to fund government worker benefits and other city programs.

Between the lines:  Like so many government promises, this one has not been kept.  Less than half is going where it could really help, to educate children not to drink addictive disease creating beverages.  How can a cynical public be expected  to believe in and support a government that continually and blatantly lies?

These are just a couple of the problems that are not even looked at when it comes to health care reform.

If the following issues were addressed, perhaps some progress could be seen.

#1:  Lifestyle changes for the entire culture.  Better nutrition.  More exercise.  Reduction of stress.

#2: Change of tort law to reduce malpractice costs.

#3: Shift US pharmaceutical costs to match the rest of the world.

Don’t get me wrong.  None of these changes would be simple or easy to implement.  There would still be enormous challenges to overcome.  I will be surprised if any of them are introduced in health care legislation.

Between the lines:  Don’t expect health care reform to provide better health care or lower costs of  health care.

The only solution for each of us is to make our own lifestyle changes so we create our own natural good health and avoid the health care system as much as possible.

One of the largest health care websites, Mercola.com, shows why it is good practice to avoid the health care system.

His site says:  More Than Half of All Medical Procedures Are of No Benefit and Many Actually Cause Harm

Many common medical treatments are not helping patients at all—or are actually harming them. Of the studies that tested an existing standard of care, 40 percent reversed the practice, compared to only 38 percent reaffirming it. The remaining 22 percent was inconclusive.

This means that between 40 and 78 percent of the medical testing, treatments, and procedures you receive are of NO benefit to you—or are actually harmful—as determined by clinical studies.

There are no pharmaceuticals here…

Merri and I have never taken prescription drugs and we do not plan to take any either.  We take as much responsibility for our own health as we can.

We have disciplines for our nutrition, our exercise and our consciousness and believe this effort and expense is more important (and better for us at least) than traditional Western medicine routines.

We eat as much fresh food as we can and strengthen the nutrition with good eating habits (main meal at noon, little in the evening) and fortify this with numerous food supplements,  Omega 3, Trifala, Vitamin D and Ashwaganda at night and Vitality Force at dawn.

See more about Vitality Force below.

Sensible health care reform is not likely to take place in the immediate future.  Fortunately our bodies are adaptable and strong.  When we make better lifestyle decisions and take action, we can leave the muddle and health care quagmire to the politicians.

Gary

 

 

Stock Markets & Time


Is it time for the US stock market to fall? 

einstein

Albert Einstein on time and money:

Albert Einstein helped humanity understand that time is relative.  He also had something to say about time and money when he said this about compound interest.

Compound interest is the eighth wonder of the world. He who understands it, earns it … he who doesn’t … pays it.” – Albert Einstein

Einstein had a good point about compound interest but never considered zero and negative interest.  Compound returns over 30 or 40 years at zero return are still zero!  This fact has left us in stock value territory that is really unknown.

So let’s ask the question again…. Is it time for the US stock market to fall?

Maybe the market will rise.  Maybe it will fall.  No one knows, so let’s take time and look at stock market timing, the value of time in the market and most important, the value of time in our lives.

The Wall Street Journal article, “This Market Can’t Go on Much Longer” (1) seems to think the market is headed for a crash.

The article says:  The stock market has surged 20% since the election as much has gone right and little wrong. That hardly ever lasts.  The stock market has surged 20% since the election, making it expensive by almost any measure. The drivers of the rally are well-known: Strong corporate earnings, solid global growth, central bank stimulus and a relatively stable global geopolitical environment. These positives have made the market one of the calmest of all time, which has given investors more confidence and further boosted stocks.

Can those factors continue? In most cases-no, though the timing and size of the next shift is impossible to know. But these trends are interconnected and have reinforced one another on the way up. A crack in one could have an outsize impact on the rest. U.S. stocks have been the best performing asset class in the world for three years running, returning an average of nearly 16% annually.  This year is on track to top 20%.  To get here, lot of things have gone right and almost nothing wrong.  That hardly ever lasts.

This means it is time to get out of the US stock market.  Right?

Wait a minute…

Another Wall Street Journal article one day later, “Are Stock Prices Dangerously High?” (2), tells a different tale.

This article says:  It Depends How You Look at It.  These three P/E measurements are alarming. So why hasn’t it mattered?

Hot-Stock Rally Tests the Patience of a Choosy Lot: Value Investors.  Value funds around the globe are on track to post their worst performance since before the financial crisis.  U.S. stocks have set record after record this year, pleasing investors who might have expected a post election slump.  However, have prices soared to levels that are too risky?

Today, the P/E for the stocks in the S&P 500 index is about 24, meaning investors pay $24 for every $1 in corporate earnings. That’s quite high compared with the historical average of about 15 or 16, but not so high compared with some periods of crisis in the past—more than 40 around the dot-com bubble and above 100 after the financial crisis broke. To return to average, prices would have to tumble or earnings would have to skyrocket.

Some experts note, however, that it isn’t unusual, or particularly risky,  for the P/E to be somewhat higher than average when interest rates and inflation are unusually low.

So is the market going to fall or not?

We are not asking the right question…

These Golden Rules of Investing show us why:

#1: There is always something we do not know.   The only certainty is that periods of high performance are followed by periods of low performance and vice versa.

#2:  Invest in inexpensive equities that are paying a reasonable return.  Expect 7% to 10% annual return in the stock market as a function of global nominal GDP growth and long term earnings’ growth plus risk premium.  To attain higher growth, you must either increase risk or trust luck.

#3: The short term process of buying and selling takes too much time.  This short term process leaves too little time to analyze and forecast.  Markets move short term based on emotion and are unpredictable.  Markets move long term based on value and are predictable.  Place a higher priority on numbers rather than good stories.  Make your routine repeatable, so good shares can be found again and again.

We have 24 hours a day, a limited commodity that erodes minute by minute.  How will we spend it?  Time is potentially the most important factor in our life, so it makes sense to a repeatable routine that finds good shares again and again and takes as little time as possible.

Value funds around the globe are on track to post their worst performance since before the financial crisis.

The only certainty is that periods of high performance are followed by periods of low performance and vice versa.

We have seen a period of high performance in the US market.  We have seen a period of low performance in good value stock markets.  It’s time to save time and invest in country ETFs of good value markets.

Gary

(1) www.wsj.com: This market can’t go on much longer

(2) www.wsj.com: Are stock prices dangerously high. It depends on how you look at it

Hoo Are You?


Having a successful micro business requires a bird’s eye view.  That view begins with who you are.

One day we had extra  excitement at the farm.  Our help informed us that there was a screech owl in the barn and they wanted us to rush down and see it.

We did.

I took my camera along and these shots perfectly depict in pictures what our last two messages about bird’s eye view investing have tried to explain in words.

This is a bird’s eye view. Can you see the owl?

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Perhaps and you see the whole picture, the rafters the steps, the walls.

But a bird’s eye view requires a complete picture, many dots we can connect.

See the owl better now?

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Our fine feathered friend is easier to see. We know him better now.

Can we creep closer?

Yes.  This was one brave owl and now we feel like we really know him.

However I decided to take my chances and walk up the steps. This and a zoom lens let us really see “Mr. Wise One”.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

We see the color of his eyes and can literally count his feathers. This is what we wise owl micro business owners need to do… get all the details.  This is often our downfall.  Can we now see the wall?  Remember those rafters and the steps? Where are they now?

A bird’s eye view is a complete view seeing both the broad horizons as well as the narrow perspective.

Don’t get too caught up trying to see the trees and miss the forest.  Otherwise some of your investments may end up nasty surprises.

A recent Wall Street Journal article “The Four New Breeds of Entrepreneurs” (1) by Linda Rottenberg can help you understand what type of personality you might have. She says:  To run a successful start-up, figure out if you’re a diamond, a star, a transformer or a rocket ship.

This article points out that the big problem in starting your own business isn’t launching something, but is getting bogged down once you do.  By understanding who you are and evaluating your own strengths and weaknesses, you have a greater chance of success.

The article says:  Diamonds are charismatic evangelists who aim to revolutionize people’s lives.  The ultimate diamond was Steve Jobs. At every stage of his career, Jobs bent reality to fit his vision.

Dynamic trendsetters with big personalities, stars instinctively know what’s coming next. When stars go big, they can go global. But they’re often mercurial, one-person shows. Think Richard Branson, Estée Lauder, Martha Stewart and Jay Z.

Transformers are catalysts for social and cultural change—like Howard Schultz or Anita Roddick. They typically operate in old-line industries but aspire to modernize them. Change-making is admirable, but can it last?

In 1984, Roxanne Quimby, a single mom hitchhiking in Maine, was picked up by Burt Shavitz, a local beekeeper. The two became lovers, and Ms. Quimby started selling lip balm made from leftover beeswax. Soon Burt’s Bees was generating $3 million a year; it later sold to Clorox for $925 million.

Brilliant tinkerers who aspire to make their endeavors cheaper, faster and more efficient, rocket ships succeed using analytics but often stumble by failing to get creative.

Jeff Bezos is the quintessential rocket ship. When deciding whether to leave Wall Street for the Web, he created what he called a “regret minimization framework” to reduce his chances of second thoughts.

Technology that lets us know what’s going on all over the world makes it easy for individuals to have successful micro businesses.  Knowing what type of entrepreneur you might be helps you gain a more complete bird’s eye view.

Gary

(1)  The Four New Breeds of Entrepreneurs by Linda Rottenberg

 

Value From Utility Change on the Leading Edge


“What Value from Utility Change is Next?”   This is a question we should always ask.

This never ending search for the next good value has served me well.

portland oregon

Portland, Oregon 1950s image from, Wikipedia

Mount Hood stood directly east, looking out from our front door.  This was the early 1950s, on a dirt road, in an 837 square foot, prefabricated, semi finished house designed for returning WWII veterans.   Semi finished means there was no complete plumbing.  One of my early memories is of the dark and cold in the outhouse during Oregon’s winter months.

Our family home was on  NE 191st.  That’s 191 blocks from downtown Portland or about 13 miles  This was the outer ring suburb.  a small dairy farm and Douglas fir filled woods edged our back yard.  Forests and empty fields stretched beyond, hosting berry farms and bean fields.  Meadow Land and Alpenrose Dairy were nearby.  Fuji Farms offered summer work picking strawberries and raspberries. The soil was rich. the farming was good. The house building was better.

Then the fields were torn up.  Houses were built.  At my age 14 we moved further from Portland to a new subdivision on 198th. This is when I caught a glimmer that the best profits were offered by converting utility at the leading edge.  The great idea then was  to convert the utility of farmland to residential homes.  Later as traffic grew and congestion increased this idea lost value.  By then, at age 20,  in the mid 1960s, I had purchased a house and seven duplexes even further out of town.

That leading edge experience created an appetite, a sense of wonder about “What’s next?”   In the late 1960s, the alure of “what’s round the corner” led me to sell the Portland property and move to Hong Kong, then the leading edge of the emerging global community.

This led me to emerging stocks, then London real estate in the 1970s, then Isle of Man and Naples real estate in the 1980s.  Next in the early 1990s we invested in Dominican real estate and then Ecuador real estate in the mid 1990s.  Finally Central Florida real estate became the what’s next in 2009.

Now this low cost US housing “What’s next?” is gone.

A Wall Street Journal article entitled “Housing Investors Settle Into a Holding Pattern” by Robbie Whelan and Conor Dougherty sums up this fact.

Here are excerpts: After a buying binge that helped drive the housing recovery, big investors are being forced to rethink the home-rental business.

With bargains less plentiful, executives are slowing property purchases and turning their focus to generating steady income from tenants.

A spike in home prices over the past two years was quicker and more striking than many expected, squeezing returns and raising concerns about the industry’s growth prospects.

The companies jumped into distressed markets, buying foreclosed properties and other homes at depressed prices with plans to fix them up, rent them and eventually sell at a profit. But buyers have slowed their pace after acquiring roughly 140,000 homes worth about $20 billion.

The reason: the unexpectedly sharp recovery in the price of homes over the past two years.

“The distressed wave has largely passed,” said Jonathan Gray, head of real estate for New York-based Blackstone, which has spent $8.6 billion on some 45,000 homes and is the biggest player in the sector.

Many investors have decided to hold onto homes for longer than they originally expected because a larger proportion of investor returns is coming from rent instead of the home’s rising value.

Industry executives say there is plenty of money to be made from renting. They say more households became renters after the downturn because of the high rate of foreclosure and the inability or unwillingness of many to buy.

In 2009 we began recommending buying low cost US housing before the big investors crashed the party.  Merri and I bought a number of rental homes in Central Florida from 2009 to now.   We are still looking as bargains always appear in every market, but the big easy profit is now gone.

So the question is, “What’s next?”

What we are seeking is something that is interesting, fulfilling, profitable, good for us and the world health wise and that in some way serves a greater good.

One important utility that can affect the value of real estate faster than any other is water.

Order the seven part 2012 report on “Investing in Water” here FREE.

Ofuru is a Japanese soaking tub.

The free report “Investing in Water” you can order now mentions the deep woods Ofuru  at our North Carolina farm.

gary scott hot tub

Ofuru at Merrily Farms (click on image to enlarge)

Soaking in the deep woods ofuru  (Japanese Soaking Bath), fed from a sacred healing spring (the Indian’s Trough) is healthy and is a joy!  As you will see, there is more to that ofuru than just the pleasure.

Merri and I began looking for a farm with two goals, altitude (to avoid air conditioning in summer and mosquitoes anytime) and an abundance of water.  We attained both at Merrily Farms.

This is because we saw a growing problem in obtaining pure water.

When growing up in Portland, we didn’t think it special to be able to drink clear, clean Bull Run water fresh from the tap.

mt hood

This was the view of Mt. Hood from our front yard and the Cascade mountain range provided us with clear, healthy water.

We lived near Mount Tabor.

mt tabor

Mount Tabor reservoirs.

Access to pure water has changed.  Water in most metropolitan areas is not good.   Portland even recently had its first boil water notice (1) due to E-Coli in what had been pristine waters.

This is not just a problem in Portland.  Water quality is a global concern.

Problems create opportunity so investing in water is a natural.  But how? Where?

Another way to invest in water is to own land with water.  That’s why Merri and I decided to go to the source and buy land with bountiful springs . Each of our houses at Merrily Farms has its own gravity fed water supply from one of four separate artisian wells.  There are dozens of other springs on the land plus three rushing creeks.

We looked for land where we could drink and even be immersed in pure water.

Merrily Farm has…

gary-scott-hot-tub

a path leading to a  cabana that contains our Japanese soaking tub.

gary-scott-hot-tub

The granddaddy of all the springs is the “Indian Trough”. This is a huge spring where about three gallons a minute pours out of a large rock formation. It is a historic site because the natives here viewed it as sacred (when this land was their hunting ground). They gouged a trough in the rocks so they could drink from the spring face and their horses could water from the trough.

This redwood Japanese soaking tub has spring water filled for each use.   The water is heated by an immersed wood stove that sits in the tub.

gary-scott-hot-tub

When you sit in the warm water… surrounded by floating leaves you look down into a small creek and then straight up a hill that rises a hundred feet or so and ends on a ridge.

little-horse-creek

This Japanese soaking tub that is heated with a wood burning stove and refilled after each soak is designed so the water never requires chemicals but is always clean.

The water is said to be medicinal and the locals have come here to collect it for generations. Mainly for their health, but one neighbor said his father was a famous moonshiner and only used this water to make his moonshine!   Our neighbors still come up to collect it and a dear friend whose brother was passing asked for some to take to the hospice.  To drink this water was his brother’s dying wish.

We are blessed with this water and have built a wonderful Japanese Cedar Soaking Tub (the Japanese word is Ofuru deep in the woods.  The spring (which comes out at exactly 49 degree temperature year round) fills the 450 gallon tub (it can accommodate six people).  A wood burning snorkel stove with heat exchangers is immersed in the water and heats it to the temperature desired (usually a little under 100 degrees).  After the soak (and drinking lots of water while there) the tub is drained and filled again so no chemicals are ever needed.  We also have ten gallon oak barrels so we can drink it all over the farm as well.

Water is a key ingredient in life.  We are more than 60% water,  and we need pure water to be pure.

Gary

Order the seven part 2012 report on “Investing in Water” here FREE.

A focus on water is one reason I also like the shares of Sandalwood Plantation TFS Corp.

In 2014 Mount Romance, a wholly-owned subsidiary of TFS Corporation, was awarded the Western Australia Water Corporation’s Champion Award for its ongoing water saving measures. Since Mount Romance began its activities in 2010, the company has reduced its scheme water use by more than 80%, saving a massive 28-million litres of drinking water.  These savings have been thanks to a water recycling program that which uses bacteria to purify the water so that it is safe to reuse in the production process.

tfs share chart

TFS Corp shares have risen 284% from June 2013 to June 2014.   For readers who ordered the “Sandalwood Investing Report” at Amazon.com, I have posted a new update that reveals big news about TFS Corp’s sandalwood oil  being used to treat a highly contagious pox virus skin infection for which there are currently no approved prescription treatments.  Use the link in the “Sandalwood Investing Report” report to read this update.

If you have not ordered this report, and want the link, it is available at Amazon.com.

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Order the Sandalwood Investing Report for $2.99

Have a soak in the ofuru at our July Spanish Course, August Writer’s Camp or both

(1) Housing Investors Settle Into a Holding Pattern

(2)   Portland boil water notice

Trading Down Trend in Real Estate Value


A big trend in the US economy is trading down.   In America, since 1979 most income groups have barely grown richer, except the top 1 percent.  This top group has seen their income expand by four times.

Since the 2008-2009 recession 95% of the gains from the recovery have gone to that richest 1%.  The share of overall income of these top earners is near its highest level in a century.  According to one study by the OECD America is the fourth most unequal country in the rich world behind only Chile, Mexico and Turkey.

This is a distortion that creates a real estate value trend in rentals.

L1050220

This rental house is one of Merri’s and my new investments in the Florida real estate value trend.

One recommendation at this site, since 2009, has been to buy and rent Florida houses.

A March 9, 2014  Wall Street Journal article “Share of Housing Construction as Rental Apartments at Highest Level in at Least Four Decades” by Conor Dougherty reveals a bit more about this trend.

Here is an excerpt: The share of new homes being built as rental apartments is at the highest level in at least four decades, as an improving jobs picture spurs younger Americans to form their own households but tighter lending standards make it more difficult to buy.

Residential construction—a pillar of the economy and employment—is starting to ramp up again overall, but in previous years the growth was driven by single-family homes. Last year, according to census data, construction was started on a little less than one million new residential units, and about one in three of those was a rental in a multifamily building, the highest share since data began in the mid-1970s.

This trend of buying Florida real estate to rent is losing value now.  Many big banks, hedge funds and construction companies have jumped into the fray.  This is pushing up prices and reducing the return on rent.

Benjamin Graham’s great book “The Intelligent Investor” explains in Chapter Eight why the intelligent investor realizes that investments become more risky, not less, as their prices rise.  They become less risky, not more, as their prices fall.  Intelligent investors dread a bull market since it makes investments more costly to buy.   On the other hand the intelligent investor welcomes a bull market since it makes investments a better value.

Merri and I are still buying but prices are much higher now.  Rents are not rising to keep pace with these increases.  This is good for the houses we purchased earlier.  This means we have to work harder to find good value deals and we pass on many more places than we offer on.  When we offer the offer price is usually too low.

Bargains can still be found by knowing a market, continually watching and hard negotiating on the deals.  Do not fall in love with investing in property or any single property.  Always keep the numbers in mind.  The rental income, after costs, vacancies and tax is the driving value force.

Gary

Internet Business Haro


New micro internet business opportunities arise all the time… Your own small internet business is a great way to make money… but there is something more.

Cotacachi-Ecuador-Condo-Rent

Morning on Cotacachi Ecuador’s plaza may be foggy but the economy is sunny and bright… and

I was sitting on our balcony at our hotel Inn Land of the Sun (formerly Meson de las Flores) in Cotacachi Ecuador… looking at the sunrise view.

internet-business-view tags;

Mt. Cotacachi was on my left.

internet-business-view tags;

Mt. Imbabura on my right.

internet-business-view tags;

The time was 5:36 am and I began my first round of answering my email.

The first note opened had the subject Om Bir and the email said:  Hello sir,  Nameste. T his is lalit from Nepal. i m working from two yrs. in roses. as a farm supervisor. we are exporting roses to japan.i’ll write you more about company.looking forward your reply.  lalit  kathmandu

What a wonderful way to start the day… I am in a small mountain village getting blessings from someone in mountains half way around the world.  Namaste means “may that which is in God be within you.”

We offer a course to help our readers start their own web business. This freedom not only makes life more enjoyable but also reduces the cost of living.

Technology brings us so many blessings… the things we take for granted… air travel… electricity… computers… cars… the internet… would be considered miracles for 99% of mankind that has existed.

Yet we can with the push of a button gain blessings… and business from around the world.

This is why we are sharing a free course on how to create your own website without a webmaster written by Michelle Toole. Here is the 38th lesson in this course.

What’s HARO?  By Michelle Toole

So you’re interested in starting your own self publishing business on the internet? Or maybe you have a book that you wrote and want to make a name for yourself?    Well, I have a great tip for you…..actually, it’s a great tip for anybody wanting to establish themselves as an expert and this will help you build your own ‘brand of one.’

Editors, as Merri always reminds us, are “always looking for content” and the same goes for reporters, bloggers, radio hosts and pod cast hosts.   So, how do you connect with editors, reporters, bloggers, radio hosts and pod cast hosts that need you?  Good Question….

And I have a great answer…. HARO.  What’s HARO?

HARO stands for ‘Help a Reporter Out’, a web site (helpareporter.com) started by Peter Shankman and it is an excellent resource for those of us trying to build our own ‘brand of one.’

According to Peter, “I built this list because a lot of my friends are reporters, and they call me all the time for sources. Rather than go through my contact lists each time, I figured I could push the requests out to people who actually have something to say.  These requests only come from reporters directly to me.”

Once you sign up to Peter’s web site you will get 3 emails each day.  Each email will include a list of reporters, bloggers, radio hosts and pod cast hosts looking for sources for their stories.  Of course it’s not likely that you will find someone looking for your expertise on a daily basis, but I wouldn’t be surprised if you find something every other month.  It’s certainly worth your time and the best way to build your ‘brand of one’ is to put yourself out there.

Good Luck and happy Branding!…

You can check out Michelle’s web site at http://healthy-holistic-living.com and http://home-remedies-and-natural-cures.com.  To get more great tips, like the ones above and to see how and what tools she used to create a successful on-line business go to http://sitesell-sbi.comInternat Business Ideas

The sun always shines somewhere. Because many Americans are headed south… business is suffering in the north… but getting better n the sun!

Gary

The greatest asset of all is the ability to labor at what you love wherever you live. This brings everlasting wealth.

This is why we are providing a special three for one offer with our  course Tangled Web… How to Have an Internet Business. This can help you create your own internet business.

How We Can Serve You

ecuador-wine and cheese

We’ll have Ashe county wine tasting here at the New River Vineyard during our Blue Ridge seminars.

Or head south to Ecuador!

international-business-made-ez

Let our friendly staff at our Inn Land of the Sun (formerly Meson de as Flores) serve you.

otavalo-hotel-for-sale

In Cotacachi and surrounds the weather is always spring like.  Here are delegates taking a shirt sleeve, winter break at a hotel for sale on our Imbabura real estate tour.

ecuador-internet-business

Winter is shorts weather on Ecuador’s coast. Here I am working in February at our Ecuador coastal penthouse… shirtsleeves and shorts!

Join us in the mountains and at the sea. Attend more than one seminar and tour and save.

Power of Global Investing Diversification


There is great power in global investing diversification.

Investment-diversification

Sunrise at our North Carolina farm.  We diversify because the sun always shines somewhere.

Pure capitalistic theory says that in the long run… a global economy is good for everyone….overall.

Technology gives us the ability to buy from those who serve us best, wherever they are  in the world.  Why should we buy poorer quality goods locally at a higher price when someone from elsewhere can serve us better and for less.

Plus if we produce something better than anyone else we should be able to sell our product or service anywhere in the world as well.

Floridians and Californians buy apples from Oregon and North Carolina.

Oregonians and North Carolinians buy oranges from Florida or California because these areas each have special advantages… excellent conditions to produce and deliver those fruits clear across a continent, better and for less.

Global market advantages can be based on geography, infrastructure, skills sets, labor costs etc.

The theory of globalization is good but the process is not smooth. Globalization creates unemployment in many places and distorts many economies in the short term.  This usually pushes the process into the political arena and gets governments involved.  Governments often act based on political considerations rather than for good, long term economic reasons.

Plus business if given a chance… does not always encourage a free economy either.  Give big business a monopoly and they’ll tie up free trade even faster and much more efficiently than a government.

There is little, as businesses or investors, that we can do do to change these facts.

We are usually better off to adapt and take advantage of whatever situation exists instead.

This is what creates power in diversification.

Investment-diversification

Sunrise at our Ecuador hacienda.

The sun always shines somewhere. When our business and investments are diversified, we just have a better chance that our investments and business will be somewhere where there the business climate is sunny.

For example… a recent message Ecuador Beats Inflation looked at excerpts from a recent AOL.Money article by Jim Kuhnhenn entitled “White House Projects $9 Trillion Deficit”: In a chilling forecast, the White House is predicting a 10-year federal deficit of $9 trillion — more than the sum of all previous deficits since America’s founding. And it says by the next decade’s end the national debt will equal three-quarters of the entire U.S. economy.  But before President Barack Obama can do much about it, he’ll have to weather recession aftershocks including unemployment that his advisers said Tuesday is still heading for 10 percent.  Overall, White House and congressional budget analysts said in a brace of new estimates that the economy will shrink by 2.5 to 2.8 percent this year even as it begins to climb out of the recession. Those estimates reflect this year’s deeper-than-expected economic plunge.

Yet at the same time a Wall Street Journal article entitled “Ecuador Inflation To End ’09 Below 4%”  By Mercedes Alvaro shows that Ecuador’s economy is growing.
Here is an excerpt: QUITO (Dow Jones)–Ecuador’s inflation rate will end 2009 below 4% and the economy will grow close to 2% this year, President Rafael Correa said Wednesday.

“The annualized inflation will be below 4%,” Correa said late Wednesday in a radio and TV address. “There is not recession. Ecuador will have a growth of about 2%.”  “We have faced the biggest world crisis successfully,” Correa added. Early Wednesday the central bank said the Ecuadorian economy overall is poised to expand 1% in 2009.  Ecuador’s gross domestic product grew 6.52% in 2008 while inflation reached 8.83%.  According to central bank data, Ecuador’s liquid international reserves stood at $4.0 billion as of Aug. 21.  Last week, the central bank president, Carlos Vallejo, said that the government will repatriate in the coming days some $300 million of Ecuador’s liquid reserves invested abroad.  Ecuador’s liquid international reserves include public-sector deposits with the central bank, revenues from oil exports, loans from multilateral lenders and minimum reserve requirements from private banks.  In May, the central bank established a liquidity requirement forcing private banks to keep at least 45% of their assets and investments in Ecuador to draw back cash and boost domestic liquidity.

Investment-diversification

Sunrise on…

Investment-diversification

Sunrise over Mount Imbabura.

Because I am diversified in Ecuador, Georgia, Florida and North Carolina, in 2007, I was selling Florida property at the top of the market.  I was buying Ecuador real estate with those returns. Now that Florida  is down and Ecuador real estate has risen,  I am selling Ecuador real estate and buying in Florida.

A huge portion of all profits in business and investing come from timing.  Most commodity, stock and real estate markets go through ups and downs.  If you plan your investments and liquidity so you sell only at favorable times, global investing diversification enhances your chances of always having assets someplace where there is a seller’s market.

Investment-diversification

Sunrise shot from our hotel Meson de las Flores.

So when you think Ecuador… or Mexico or Panama… or wherever…. also thing diversification.  The sun always shines somewhere and your changes of financial suntans increase when you diversify.

Gary

The greatest asset of all is the ability to labor at what you love wherever you live. This brings everlasting wealth.

This is why we are providing a special three for one offer with our  course Tangled Web… How to Have an Internet Business

This course can help you create your own internet business.

Our emailed course “Tangled Webs We Weave – How to Have Your Own Web Based Business” is a continuing educational program.  You receive the first 28 lessons when you enroll and a new lesson every week or two.

This course teaches how to create a web based business and is developed from the ongoing experiences that we have from our successful and profitable internet business.

This course is well worth the enrollment fee of $299… but currently you also receive two additional courses FREE.

The other two courses are #1: International Business Made EZ, and #2: Self Fulfilled – How to be a Self Publisher.

These two courses have sold for $398 and thousands have paid this price. We add them to your course, at no added cost, as I believe they will help you develop a better business in these crucial times..

Even Better Get All three Courses Free

To make this offer even more compelling,  I am giving everyone who enrolls in our North Carolina or Ecuador International Business & Investing seminar in October or November all three courses, “Tangled Web… How to Have an Internet Business Course,”  “Self Fulfilled- How to be a Self Publisher” and “International Business Made EZ” free.

internet-business-idea We always conduct our autumn North Carolina course on the first weekend of October… the best time to enjoy  the leaf change.

Join us with Jyske Bank and my webmaster David Cross in West Jefferson North Carolina. Learn more about global investing, & how to have an international business at the seminar.

Oct. 9-11 IBEZ North Carolina with our webmaster  David Cross & Thomas Fischer of JGAM

ecuador-tours

You’ll see views like this on your way to West Jefferson for the October seminar.

Or head south to Ecuador!

ecuador-tours

October 16-18 Ecuador Southern coastal tour ONLY FOUR SPACES LEFT

Oct. 21-24 Ecuador Import Export Tour

Oct. 25-26 Imbabura Real Estate Tour

ecuador-hotel

In Cotacachi the weather is always spring like.  Here is the village plaza near our hotel Meson de las Flores.

Join us with Peter Laub of Jyske Global Asset Management in Ecuador. Learn more about global investing, how to have an international business at the seminar.

Nov. 6-8 IBEZ Ecuador Seminar

ecuador-hotel

Let our friendly staff at Meson de las Flores serve you.

Nov. 9-10 Imbabura Real Estate Tour

Nov. 11-14 Ecuador Coastal Real Estate Tour

ecuador-hotel

This shorts weather photo was taken from our beach penthouse in February.

Join us in the mountains and at the sea.  Attend more than one seminar and tour and save even more plus get the three emailed courses free.

Attend any two Ecuador seminar or tours in a calendar month…$949 for one.  $1,349 for two.

Attend any three Ecuador courses or tours in a calendar month…$1,199 for one.  $1,799

Read the entire article Ecuador Inflation To End ’09 Below 4%

Self Publishing Gift


A self publishing delegate sent the note below… a gift to me because I love seeing people have success… especially when they have  attended one of our courses.

internet-business-idea

Spring on our farm.  As we adjust to the seasons, we must adjust to changing economies and times.

See how Todd Smith’s note below can be a gift to you as well.

In October 2005, I attended Gary’s “Self-Fulfilled” course on how to become a self-publisher.  At the time, I was a successful wedding photographer in Richmond, VA, and while I enjoyed my work, it didn’t completely fulfill my creative desires.  There are things you never get to express when you are working for clients.

I wanted to create a photography job that would fulfill me as an artist and give me the potential to scale my income instead of working by the job as a wedding photographer.  In the end, there are only 52 weekends a year, which means there was a cap on my wedding income potential.

Gary’s course was packed with knowledge and practical tips of how he has created and run a self-publishing business for decades.  I loved his simple description of self-publishing:  “to inform.”  He encourages his students to pick something that they are passionate about and to make that the basis of their businesses.

I love nature photography, flowers, landscapes, travel etc.  I also love spirituality, and I was a monk for a number of years.  Combining these two loves I started a free email newsletter two years ago to share new photos and to share my own uplifting observations or experiences every week.

People tell me that they look forward to my email every Thursday… some call it therapy, others pray that it will never stop.  Everyone agrees that it is a highlight of the week.

“Beautiful newsletter!  Soft and lovely way to start the day.”  Jean Byrd Frederick, MD

“You are such an artist Todd, your words paint a picture!” Bernie Koftinoff, Kelowna, BC

This newsletter has become the basis of my business.  It accomplishes two things:  1. It gets me out taking new pictures every week and hones my writing skills.  2. It keeps my work in front of people who like seeing it.

When I first published a wall calendar two years ago I sent a message to my list of 120 readers and I sold 150 calendars! If you take care of your readers they will pay you for your efforts.  This year I printed 1000 calendars and have already sold 53 in just one week in the middle of August without strongly promoting it.

As I continue to build my business through search engine optimization and promotions to other lists my base of loyal customers is growing.  Gary detailed in his course everything I needed to know to make this happen.  From time to time I look back at the huge manual he gave us as part of the course material and I discover another creative way to improve my marketing.

Publishing is a very old profession, and it is all about marketing.  The biggest piece of advice I learned from Gary’s course was “write the marketing piece before you create the product.”  Gems like this have kept my business on target in early growth phase which devours many startups.  Thanks to Gary I’m not completely flying by the seat of my pants!

I love the way Gary uses publishing to create a lifestyle that is fulfilling to him.  I use it in the exact same way.  While there is a lot to do in the startup phase, everything I do is cumulative, allowing me more and more free time to do what I love:  take photographs and enjoy a pace of life which is not breakneck.  When I was on the course four years ago, I told him I wanted to step out of the rat race.  By becoming a self-publisher I have done just that.  I can speed up or slow down my business as I like and I can choose what I want to publish.  It is a business that allows maximum freedom in life.

If you like working for yourself on your own hours and are considering becoming a self-fulfilled publisher like me, I highly encourage you to take Gary’s course and learn from someone who has been doing this successfully for years.  He certainly gave me a boost, and I still use many of things I learned four years ago in my business today.  Todd

This is nice to read… a benefit to me.  There is a benefit for you as well.

As a special promotion to my readers Todd is offering a 10% discount on his 2010 photography calendar.

self-publishing-idea

You can purchase Todd’s calendars here.  Merri and I already have received ours that we ordered for friends on our list.

Just add the calendar to your cart and use the promotion code, “garyscott” to receive a 10% discount when you check out.

internet-business-idea

Summer on the farm.  When opportunity is hot we must seize it!

Knowing how to earn through your own internet business grows in importance as unemployment grows and more importantly as types of employment shifts.

Excerpts from the September 5, 2009 Wall Street Journal article, “Job Losses Weigh on Recovery Layoffs Slow but Unemployment Rate Hits 9.7%, Highest Since 1983” by Sudeep Reddy shows that getting a job is a diminishing option.

Here is the excerpt: Nonfarm payrolls fell by 216,000 jobs in the month, fewer than the 276,000 lost in July, the Labor Department said Friday. The economy has shed 6.9 million jobs since the recession began in December 2007. The data reinforced expectations that employers will begin adding jobs by early next year, though the pace of job creation remains uncertain.

The latest figures are consistent with an economy pulling out of the deepest downturn since the Great Depression. But rising unemployment portends persistent weakness in consumer confidence, income and spending, even as manufacturers start bouncing back and stocks revive. The construction and manufacturing sectors together accounted for more than half of August’s job losses. Losses in retail and business services narrowed. The biggest gains came in health care.

The rise in unemployment, after dipping to 9.4% in July, came as more Americans returned to the work force. Teenage unemployment hit 25.5%, the highest since the government began keeping records in 1948. Most economists expect the rate to top 10% in coming months and stay over 9% through 2010.

internet-business-idea

Autumn on the farm. When times change, we must embrace change.

Even more important is the fact that when the economy recovers the types of jobs available will have changed.  Older workers and graduating students may especially be affected.

Excerpts from a September 8, 2009 article “Job change takes on a new meaning”
in the Chicago Daily Herald show how greater skills will be required. The excerpt says: If this recession has taught us anything it’s the times they are a changin’, especially when it comes to business and the labor market. And, we must coach not only unemployed workers, but also high school and college students to recognize that and look to where the jobs will be in the future when considering a career.

The reason is pretty clear. Some bellwether corporations have gone bankrupt, entire industries are rethinking and reshaping their business plan; several traditional can’t miss careers are no longer sure things.

The American work force was sent reeling by corporate cutbacks. The jobless rate now flirts with 10 percent, and the economy has shed nearly 7 million jobs since the start of the recession.

Those numbers reflect laid off workers, but they also affect graduating students unable to start their career because no jobs are available.

And, that’s why workers – current and future – need to think change.

Energy jobs, especially at companies stepping up environmental initiatives, are expected to be an area of growth.

Do you have an interest in global business? It’s more important now than ever to ask two key questions when investigating a career choice: Where will the jobs be in the future? And what do I have to do to get one?

internet-business-idea

Winter on our farm. When times are harsh, we must bundle up, hibernate or move to warmer spots… like Ecuador (see below).

Merri and I love seeing people succeed.  We can all have success when we embrace change!

Please send your stories of job change success and see below how we can help you succeed.

Gary

The greatest asset of all is the ability to labor at what you love wherever you live. This brings everlasting wealth.

This is why we are providing a special three for one offer with our  course Tangled Web… How to Have an Internet Business

This course can help you create your own internet business.

Our emailed course “Tangled Webs We Weave – How to Have Your Own Web Based Business” is a continuing educational program.  You receive the first 28 lessons when you enroll and a new lesson every week or two.

This course teaches how to create a web based business and is developed from the ongoing experiences that we have from our successful and profitable internet business.

This course is well worth the enrollment fee of $299… but currently you also receive two additional courses FREE.

The other two courses are #1: International Business Made EZ, and #2: Self Fulfilled – How to be a Self Publisher.

These two courses have sold for $398 and thousands have paid this price. We add them to your course, at no added cost, as I believe they will help you develop a better business in these crucial times..

Even Better Get All three Courses Free

To make this offer even more compelling,  I am giving everyone who enrolls in our North Carolina or Ecuador International Business & Investing seminar in October or November all three courses, “Tangled Web… How to Have an Internet Business Course,”  “Self Fulfilled- How to be a Self Publisher” and “International Business Made EZ” free.

internet-business-idea We always conduct our autumn North Carolina course on the first weekend of October… the best time to enjoy  the leaf change.

Join us with Jyske Bank and my webmaster David Cross in West Jefferson North Carolina. Learn more about global investing, & how to have an international business at the seminar.

Oct. 9-11 IBEZ North Carolina with our webmaster  David Cross & Thomas Fischer of JGAM

internet-business-idea

You’ll see views like this on your way to West Jefferson for the October seminar.

Or head south to Ecuador!

ecuador-hotel

October 16-18 Ecuador Southern coastal tour

Oct. 21-24 Ecuador Import Export Tour

Oct. 25-26 Imbabura Real Estate Tour

ecuador-hotel

In Cotacachi the weather is always Spring like.  Here is the village plaza near our hotel Meson de las Flores.

Join us with Peter Laub of Jyske Global Asset Management in Ecuador. Learn more about global investing, how to have an international business at the seminar.

Nov. 6-8 IBEZ Ecuador Seminar

ecuador-hotel

Let our friendly staff at Meson de las Flores serve you.

Nov. 9-10 Imbabura Real Estate Tour

Nov. 11-14 Ecuador Coastal Real Estate Tour

ecuador-hotel

This shorts weather photo was taken from our beach penthouse in February.

Join us in the mountains and at the sea.  Attend more than one seminar and tour and save even more plus get the three emailed courses free.

Attend any two Ecuador seminar or tours in a calendar month…$949 for one.  $1,349 for two.

Attend any three Ecuador courses or tours in a calendar month…$1,199 for one.  $1,799

Read the entire articles: “Job Losses Weigh on Recovery
Layoffs Slow but Unemployment Rate Hits 9.7%, Highest Since 1983″

Job change takes on a new meaning

Investing Internationally


Investing internationally with thought about reflexivity can improve your wealth.

See three thoughts below that can help bring you everlasting wealth.

#1: George Soros’ thoughts on international investment reflexivity and how the power of thought affects investing and business internationally.

#2:  More on Ecuador’s government’s plan to take over a number of  TV and radio frequencies.

#3: An update on international emerging market values…

International Investments & Reflexivity

Investing internationally can bring everlasting wealth if your logic can adapt and focus in new and meaningful ways.  One way to focus your investing logic is by understanding reflexivity.

The term reflexivity was coined by George Soros.   His thinking on investment markets can help investors because the philosophy has proven success.

Part one of his book “The New Paradigm for Financial Markets” shows how we as investors and as a society need to think outside the box.  This section of the book makes seven points:

Point #1: Understanding world is inherently imperfect because we are part of the world.

Point #2: There are two functions in our thought… understanding the world … cognitive thought and having impact and taking advantage of the world… manipulative thought.

Point #3:  These two functions counteract one another. Manipulation requires intentions and predictions which are not fact.  So our beliefs and expectations can hinder our ability to see fact.

Soros writes in this book: “Take the stock market as an example People buy and sell stocks in anticipation of future stock prices, but those prices are contingent on the investors’ expectations. These expectations cannot qualify as knowledge.

Point #4:  Supply and demand are not independent of people’s expectations.  This means that the element of uncertainty cannot be be eliminated. Yet market theory that rules most investing and most government intervention in markets ignores this fact.

Point #5:  Social events have a different structure from natural phenomena.  Natural phenomena has a causal chain that connects one event directly to the next.  Human affairs include participant’s views. These views affect the causal effect and the participant’s views which creates self reinforcing loops.

Point #6: Natural events happen. Participants can affect what happens next with their decisions but cannot base their decisions on true knowledge because their decisions alter the truth.

Point #7:  At times reflexivity makes the abnormal normal.

Soros’ philosophy is supported by Heisenberg’s Uncertainty Principle that states that certain pairs of physical properties, like position and momentum, cannot both be known exactly.  The more precisely one property is known, the less precisely the other can be known. It is impossible to measure both position and velocity of a microscopic particle with any degree of accuracy or certainty. This is not only a statement about the limitations of a researcher’s ability to measure particular quantities of a system, it is a statement about the nature of the system itself… the fact that the act of measuring anything alters the very thing being measured.

This would make it seem that we cannot really gain an understanding of what will happen with any international investment or business.   This is true.

However there are ways we can come closer to understanding… because we are a part of nature, which by definition makes us part of and in touch with everything.

Access to this infinite knowledge is via our more subtle brain waves.

Access to these waves can come in many forms.

Soros claims to have many ways to access this greater knowledge but in his book his son wrote:  My father will sit down and give you theories to explain why he does this or that. But I remember seeing it as a kid and thinking, at least half of this is bullshit. I mean you know the reason he changes his position in the market is because his back starts killing him. It has nothing to do with reason. He literally goes into a spasm, and it’s his early warning sign.

Some would call it intuition, instinct, gut feeling and perhaps these are just ways of describing getting in touch with a deeper, non linear, infinite field of intelligence that all receive but few tune in.

We cannot define infinity and logical thought by definition must be linear.

Final decisions should be rational and should come from our logic… but logic by its nature must be focused on a very narrow path.  This means we need a way to let our intuition tell us when we need to shift the focus of our logic on a new path outside the box.

One way the yatchaks (means to know) of the Andes and wise people everywhere is to look for signs of nature.

One term used for these signs is totems.  For example, my totem is the Heron.

So let’s ask what in the heck do Herons have to do with international investments?

The answer is nothing and yet everything…

international-investment-thought

Here is an explanation about totems from Speaker for the Animals:

Heron – Aggressive – Self-Reliance – Self Determination  Heron links two worlds: the waters of life—the Unconscious, and the air—the realm of the conscious mind. He feeds on fishes, which symbolize the treasures of the Unconscious mind: spiritual nourishment for the Seeker. Yet he is also a creature of the Earth, so he is a grounding influence for people who spend too much time in their minds and who are called to ‘fish’ in the waters of the unconscious.

The legs of Heron are long to “stand” the deep waters of the Unconscious: the Waters of Lethe bring sleepiness and unconsciousness if one is not awake, aware and wary. Heron is a solitary fisher; if you call upon Heron to be your own totem, you must be able to stand alone as you seek, for there is no one to call on should you step into too-deep waters.

Heron’s strength for those of us who spend too much time ‘in our minds’ is that he brings one down to Earth. With Heron as your guide, he will bring you to ground to explore life here in the physical instead of just daydreaming or losing oneself in one’s imagination or dreams.

We’re unconventional, hearing our own inner drummer. We don’t worry about ‘keeping up with the Jones’s, doing what others do, believing what others believe, valuing what others value. If there is a weakness, it is that Heron works too hard at its fishing because he is a superb ‘stalker.’ He spends long hours standing and watching for a movement in the water, and needs sometimes to ‘loosen up’ and spend more time playing, courting lady herons or just snoozing in the Sun.

Most people, as Ted Andrews says in his book Animal Speak, would never choose to live this way: “It is not a structured way, and does not have a stability or security to it. It is though, just a matter of perspective. There is security in heron medicine, for it gives the ability to do a variety of tasks. If one way doesn’t work, then another will.”

Solitary in nature, Heron people follow their own path. They learn self-reliance. This is a valuable character trait in these times of conformity and homogenization of values. Heron people can stand alone, listen to their own inner wisdom, and go their own way when everyone else is conforming to society’s commands. In this way, they build their own ways to be as well as choose their own way of doing. They are individuals first.

Herons are active in my life and I have painted one (inspired by Audobon’s Heron) that hangs in the entrance to our house.

international-investent-thought

So when the Great Blue Heron that lives on Little Horse Creek flew from our high mountain bog right over this morning, I dug out my copy of Animal Speak.

international-investent-thought

I rethought my business and investments in contrast to the symbolism of the heron.  This never happens without my coming up with some worthy thought.  Today it related to a partnership I was looking into.  I reread Solitary in nature, Heron people follow their own path. They learn self-reliance.

This started me rethinking if Merri and I really want a partner. This started me looking at the business in a very different way.

Ecuador shamans and yatchaks use this process extensively and call it shape shifting. They place themselves in the spirit of their totem and this forces them to think about whatever subject they are concerned with in a different way… thinking like a heron or eagle or condor definitely puts you out of the box!

I did not come to any conclusions about my business decisions because I saw a heron.  The fact I saw a heron caused me to sit down and use my logic to rethink my plans in a different way.

Learn more about how to improve your thought process here.

Ecuador Radio and TV

On the subject of Ecuador, a previous message shared news about the Ecuadorian government’s plan to seize a number of radio and TV stations and promised to stay tuned to what happens.  I have asked many of my trusted sources in Ecuador for their opinions which we’ll share in various messages.  Here are two from businessmen in Ecuador.

The first contributor was quite negative when he wrote:  The first thing to take into account is that he is actually proposing control over the press not only within the countries but at a international
level. What he is saying is that countries like Venezuela, Bolivia, Ecuador and others, should create an international committee that will oversee what the media is saying about the governments.

Ecuador is following the Venezuelan model, so if you see that Chávez is pushing for a new legislation that control the media and whatever content they have that may “threaten” the nation security, Ecuador will follow that soon. Below is what Venezuela is doing, they actually want to sensor the information that the media exposes meaning that if who oversees the media thinks that this or that information is “bad” for the country, the media or the anchor will actually face justice and may even go to jail for at least four years. They closed 32 radio stations and 2 tv stations.

Rafael Correa, the President, said that his team was about to revoke some radio frequencies depending on the outcome of a report that his government is finishing. This will mean that whatever happens will be done in the next weeks. Critics claim that this was not done on a technical level but on a political one, opening the door for the government to possibly revoke the frequencies of radio stations or TV stations that oppose the government.   On this matter nothing is sure yet, but Conartel, which oversees the media, actually punished a TV station, Teleamazonas, that opposes the government.  The fines were applied to that TV station one time, by law the second time they must close for about 90 days and the third time they must close forever. They censored the Simpsons also from that TV station and there was a public outcry because Conartel and the government threaten to punish them.  We figure that since he started a new period, things will start to happen in the coming weeks, so far nothing is concrete yet.

He was not totally negative though and added: One thing although is that the government is not talking about taking over TV stations or radio stations, but revoking the frequencies. But take this into account, the government actually took over some private TV stations, they got them as part of a debt that Filanbanco, a bank, had with the government back in the crisis of 1999. This appears to be a separate thing. On the same takeover they got two TV stations plus a newspaper El Telégrafo.

The second contributor feels good about this new and wrote:  Hi Gary,  I have lived here full time for over 9 years and have seen the corruption and I believe that Correa’s intentions are more good than bad. I believe that many things that he does for a good reason while he is working on removing corruption are turned into bad press by the opposition. The same opposition that stole from the people of Ecuador throughout history, and want to regain control and steal from them again. I think that the Wall Street Journal article you wrote about says a lot. It says to me that he is going through the licenses one by one to find out if the licenses were granted illegally through corruption and payoffs. If they were granted legally, no problem…..and if they weren’t we are going to suspend the license and you will have a chance to prove that you obtained it legally.  A year or so ago, two television stations were taken over, with the same uproar in the press. But the truth is that they were taken over because the owners of those two stations were the owners of one of the banks that went under when they took all of the depositors money and went to Miami to live happily ever after. Well, Correa went after their assets ( a first for a president to go after someone like this) and some of those assets were the two tv stations. So we need to look past what the press says as many of them are owned by this type of opposition. I see Correa in a similar boat that President Vicente Fox of Mexico was in a few years ago, when His party was elected after over 100 years of severe corruption by the ruling party and he wanted to remove that corruption. He was also fought along the way by the opposition that wanted the power back to again steal from the people. It is a very difficult job that Correa has ahead of him, and I hope that he can succeed and become possibly the best president that Ecuador has ever had.  Regards.

We’ll be providing a full report on the radio and TV position to our Ecuador Living subscribers

Emerging Markets Update

We’ll share more comments about international investments in Ecuador in upcoming messages… but let’s use our logic here to look some more at international investments in all emerging markets.

One problem many investors have when using non linear approaches to international investments is that they forget the final logical step…. which is to come back and end in the logical mode.

Thinking outside the box does not mean we should just ignore what is in the box. We want to use our logic to reflect on “in-the-box-stuff” in different ways.  If we do not know what’s in the box then we won’t know when we are out of the box.   Boxes exist for a reason.  At times the box.. assuming the box is the norm… but Soros says “is abnormal.”    We need to conclude if the box is normal or abnormal which dictates that we do examine what’s in the box.

Thinking outside the box does not mean we should abandon logic.

So I may sit down and rethink everything… or something I am doing when I see a heron… but I add that to my traditional logical thought.

This is one reason why we regularly review Michael Keppler’s major and emerging market value analysis.  Kepler is a statistical genius and guru…. very institutional… logical mathematical .

What I search for are strokes of intuition supported by such logic.

This morning for example their were three crows grazing our front yard.

Stock market investors sometimes refer to three crows as a pattern of successive declining stock prices over three days often identified by overlapping candlestick patterns. Three crows are often seen as a warning of a period of powerful selling pressure on the stock market.

This does not mean I rushed out and sold all my shares. It does mean I looked at logical data like Keppler’s value analysis to see if the logic supports the intuition.

Here is an excerpt from our last multi currency portfolios update that shows Keppler’s mathematical logic.

Emerging Markets equities recorded their highest ever quarterly return. In the second quarter 2009, the MSCI Emerging Markets Total Return Index gained 34.7 % in US dollars and 27.5 % in euros.

This brings the year-to-date total return of the global Emerging Markets benchmark to 36 % in US dollars and 34.8 % in euros.

All markets covered here were up last quarter. Hungary (+69.7 %), India (+59.8 %) and Turkey (+56.6 %) had the most impressive returns.

Peru (+11.2 %), Israel (+15.8 %) and Morocco (+19.6 %) came in at the bottom of the performance range with what would be very desirable double-digit returns under normal circumstances.

In the second quarter 2009, the Emerging Markets Top Value Model Portfolio, which invests according to the Top Value Strategy and assumes index returns for each national market included in the strategy, gained 45.5 % in US dollars and 37.7 % in euros, outperforming the benchmark by 10.8 percentage points in US dollars and by 10.2  percentage points in euros.

There were two changes in our performance ratings last quarter: Korea was downgraded to “Sell” from “Neutral” and Brazil was upgraded to “Buy” from “Sell”.

The Top Value Model Portfolio now contains the eight “buy” rated markets: Brazil, Egypt, Hungary, Poland, Russia, Taiwan, Thailand and Turkey at equal weights.

It is unusual for a market to rise all the way from sell to buy as Brazil did this quarter. This is in keeping with our thoughts on Brazil Distortion Thoughts published in  April and June.

You can see the password protected pages and full emerging markets update and a warning about these values as a Multi Currency Portfolio subscriber.

Whether you plan to have international investments, an international business or non at all, it will become increasingly  important to think outside the box as change accelerates and new social and economic paradigms are required.  Whether you use backaches, gut feel, hunches, totems or meditation and prayer… new ways to focus your logic an help you have everlasting wealth.

Gary

Combining good international investing with the greatest asset of all, the ability to earn wherever you live, brings everlasting wealth.

This is why we offer our course Tangled Web… How to Have an Internet Business.

A clear mind and healthy body are also a vital assets… plus a second language is a powerful diversification tool.

This is why I am willing to pay you $300 to attend either our Ecuador Super Thinking plus Spanish seminar in September or our North Carolina International Business & Investing seminar in October.  Sign up for either seminar and I will email you our Tangled Web… How to Have an Internet Business Course (offered at $299) free plus I’ll knock an extra dollar off your seminar fee…. to round up the $300 savings.

See details of the two seminar below.

international-investments-seminar

Thomas Fischer teaching at our IBEZ seminar.

Join Merri, Thomas Fischer of JGAM, our webmaster David Cross and me in North Carolina this October and enroll in our emailed course on how to have a web business free.  Save $300.

Learn more about global investing, how to have an international business and diversification in Ecuador at the seminar.

Oct. 9-11 IBEZ North Carolina

Here is an email for a recent seminar delegate: Hello Gary and Merri,  I have wanted to write to tell you how much we enjoyed your IBEZ seminar, and to thank you both for inviting us all into your lovely home for lunch last Sunday.  Merri, again, thank you for taking the time to prepare foods especially for me; they were delicious, and I appreciate your effort!  Thank you for a thoroughly enjoyable, very well done, stimulating seminar.  I came away not only with all the notes provided, but also with many ideas which I plan to begin working on now that we are back home.  Wishing you all the best,

Or join us in Ecuador and learn more about living and retiring in Ecuador.

international-investing

We take delegates on our Ecuador seminars to Otavalo markets.  Many buy enough goods to resell in North America to pay for their entire trip.  Ecuador tiles are one great product attract many international businesses.

Here are comments from one seminar delegate about the followup from our course: Thanks so much.  I have been following the advice in your Multi Currency Course/International Investing monthly and have added selected suggested funds from your lists which are available in my Fidelity IRA.  Even though my transactions are in SMALL amounts for stock and ETFs I am almost back up to the total invested amount prior to the stock market dive of last year.   Your emails have given incentive to keep diversified investments when I know other people are selling out.

Sept. 17-21 Ecuador Super Thinking + Spanish Course
Sept. 23-24 Imbabura Real Estate Tour
Sept. 25-28 Ecuador Coastal Real Estate Tour

Oct. 21-24 Ecuador Import Export Tour

Nov. 6-8 IBEZ Ecuador Seminar
Nov. 9-10 Imbabura Real Estate Tour
Nov. 11-14 Ecuador Coastal Real Estate Tour

Attend any two Ecuador seminar or tours in a calendar month…$949 for one.  $1,349 for two.

Attend any three Ecuador courses or tours in a calendar month…$1,199 for one.  $1,799 for two.

See the entire explanation of herons at speakerfortheanimals