Lincoln City, Oregon… a great place to enjoy nature. Merri and I go there often with my sister and mom.
Or at least it was and we did.
An article in the Yamhill Valley News Register entitled “Oregon bracing for tsunami debris” by Mark Floyd says: As the one-year anniversary of the devastating March 11, 2011, Japanese earthquake approaches, and debris from the ensuing tsunami moves closer to the West Coast, a group of Oregon agencies, university scientists, political staff, non-governmental organizations and others is preparing for its arrival.
This week, the group held a conference call to review Oregon’s response to the potential arrival of the debris and to chart a communication strategy to educate West Coast residents about what may happen. Questions directed at state and county leaders, Oregon State University Extension experts, the OSU Hatfield Marine Science Center and others are increasing daily.
When will the debris arrive? Where will it land? Is there any danger of radioactivity?
What shall we do if we find something?
Jack Barth, an OSU oceanographer and expert in ocean currents, said the debris is still months away from arriving on the West Coast, though it is possible that strong winds may push some floating items that rise high above the surface more quickly to the North American shore. Floats from Japanese fishing nets have washed up on the Washington coast in recent weeks, but those haven’t been tied directly to the tsunami.
“Material from Asia washes up on the West Coast routinely,” Barth said. “It doesn’t necessarily mean it is tsunami-related. A Russian ship discovered a small Japanese fishing boat in the waters north of Hawaii in October that was definitively tied to the tsunami – and it was about where we thought it should be, given the currents.” NOAA reports no radiation was detected on the fishing boat.
Barth, who is the associate dean of OSU’s College of Earth, Ocean, and Atmospheric Sciences, has met with U.S. Sen. Ron Wyden, and representatives of the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration and various Oregon agencies and organizations in recent weeks. He said it is difficult to calculate how much debris remains in the ocean, and what exactly will arrive on our shore.
When and how it arrives is a matter of ocean physics, he pointed out.
“What remains should arrive here at the end of 2012, or the beginning of 2013,” he added. “If it arrives in the fall and winter, it will get pushed up north by the currents to Washington, British Columbia and even Alaska. Debris arriving in late spring and summer will hit Oregon and be swept south into California waters.”
What does arrive is unlikely to be dangerous, according to Kathryn Higley, professor and head of the Department of Nuclear Engineering and Radiation Health Physics at OSU. Higley was one of the most widely cited scientists following the incidents at Japan’s Dai-ichi nuclear plant after the earthquake. She says the lag time between the tsunami and the nuclear incident, coupled with the vastness of the ocean, makes it unlikely that the debris will carry any danger from radiation.
“The major air and water discharges of radioactive material from the Dai-ichi plants occurred a few days after the debris field was created by the tsunami,” Higley pointed out. “So the debris field was spread out at the time the discharges occurred. This would have diluted the radiological impact.
“Secondly, wind, rain and salt spray have been pummeling this material for months,” she said. “The key radionuclides are composed of iodine and cesium – which are chemically a lot like chlorine and sodium. Most of the iodine has gone because of radioactive decay. The radioactive cesium, to a great extent, will be washed off and diluted in the surrounding ocean.
“Therefore, while we may be able to detect trace amounts of radioactive material on this debris, it’s really unlikely that there will be any substantial radiation risk,” Higley said.
NOAA is monitoring the debris from a national perspective and has a website that can educate the public and keep interested persons updated. It is at http://marinedebris.noaa.gov/. The agency suggests that beachcombers and others who find material they think may be from Japan report it at firstname.lastname@example.org – and use common sense.
They write: “As with any outdoors activity, it is important to follow common sense and put safety first. Avoid picking up debris that you are not well-equipped and trained to handle. For example, be careful of sharp objects that could cut yours hands; avoid picking up sealed containers of chemicals – they may crack or break and spill the content on you; likewise, report any full drum on the beach, and avoid handling it yourself. If you are uncomfortable handling any debris item, leave it where it is.”
Patrick Corcoran, an OSU Extension Sea Grant specialist for the North Coast, said the focus thus far has been on research and “building the capacity to respond” to the arrival of the debris. Specific information on Oregon resources and contacts will be forthcoming, he said.
We can be pretty sure that debris will arrive from the Japan Tsunami in the USA.
The problem is we cannot trust what we hear when it comes to telling us about the radiations.
I know. I have proof and think this has affected my health since I was a kid.
This article is NOT about whether nuclear energy is good or bad. Instead it focuses on these three points….
#1: radiation is dangerous and we need to protect ourselves against it.
#2: There is a lot of radioactive material and waste around and more is being produced every day.
#3:Governments almost everywhere have a history of misinformation about the risks.
Industrialized lifestyles surround mankind with increased pollution of all types. One of the worst forms of pollution is radiation. This creates health risks and economic and lifestyle problems and adds to the growing cost of health care.
Now the risks of increased radioactive exposure may enhance this concern.
Regretfully radiation exposure is not new and this report outlines how my wife and I, just in the normal course of life have been exposed to radioactive materials again and again.
I was born in Portland, Oregon in 1946 and grew up on the Columbia River… an area that has great beauty… where everything was natural and pristine.
Rooster Rock State Park Oregon
As a child, on the hot muggy days of summer I used to accompany my family to Rooster Rock State Park (about a 15 minute drive from our home) and soak for hours in the Columbia River on this wonderful beach. Surrounded by nature… swimming in the cool water… running on the warm sandy beach.
Columbia River at Rooster Rock State Park.
This seemed wonderful for our well being and health.
Turns out this was not exactly correct.
A report “Radionuclides in the Columbia River” published by the Washington State Department of Health shows how beginning in the 1950s “For more than 40 years, the U.S. government produced plutonium for nuclear weapons at the Hanford Site in south central Washington state.”
The report outlines how that river I swam in every day was radiated. Even worse it goes to tell how this information was not released.
The Hanford site from http://www.hanford.gov
The Hanford Site is now a mostly decommissioned nuclear production complex on the Columbia River in the U.S. state of Washington, operated by the United States federal government. Established in 1943 as part of the Manhattan Project in the town of Hanford in south-central Washington, the site was home to the B Reactor, the first full-scale plutonium production reactor in the world. Plutonium manufactured at the site was used in the first nuclear bomb, tested at the Trinity site, and in Fat Man, the bomb detonated over Nagasaki, Japan.
Before we go further let me state again that this article is not arguing the good or bad pints of nuclear energy. I know that this plant on one hand may have saved my life… or rather allowed it to begin. My dad was a Seabee attached to the marines in WWII and was wounded in Iwo Jima. He was sent to Hawaii to recuperate but was then scheduled to return for the invasion of Japan. He told me that all his friends were really dreading this invasion. They dropped the bombs and the invasion disappeared and my dad came home. Hence I came along (with 60 million other boomers) instead of more war. Just maybe had they not had the bomb… I would never have existed….who knows?
Nuclear energy is a complicated issue… and maybe the government has a reason to lie about radiation. The point here though is not to argue the pros or cons but to simply point out that they do… lie about risks. Or at least it has been proven again and again that they have lied… so what would make us expect they will be honest about radiation now?
When the government says there is no radiation risk from the Tsunami… we can’t just take their word for it.
Besides the tsunami radiation may be the least of our problems as we’ll see below.
Let’s return to Hanford on the Columbia River. During the Cold War, the project was expanded to include nine nuclear reactors and five large plutonium processing complexes, which produced plutonium for most of the 60,000 weapons in the U.S. nuclear arsenal.
Many of the early safety procedures and waste disposal practices were inadequate, and government documents have since confirmed that Hanford’s operations released significant amounts of radioactive materials into the air and the Columbia River, which threatened the health of residents and ecosystems.
A huge volume of water from the Columbia River was required to dissipate the heat produced by Hanford’s nuclear reactors. From 1944 to 1971, pump systems drew cooling water from the river and, after treating this water for use by the reactors, returned it to the river. Before being released back into the river, the used water was held in large tanks known as retention basins for up to six hours.
Longer-lived isotopes were not affected by this retention, and several terabecquerels entered the river every day. These releases were kept secret by the federal government. Radiation was later measured downstream as far west as the Washington and Oregon coasts.
That is the soup I used to swim in daily and at that time my lymph system went wonky. I have worked on keeping swollen lymph nodes in check for the rest of my life. Doctors say it is has affected the entire left side of my body. Maybe that’s the cause or not… no one can prove this one way or the other though there have been numerous class action suits over this which I believe are still in litigation.
What we do know is the government misled the public… dumped radiation into the river and did not tell us.
The Problem Grows.
Caption of this photo from http://www.hanford.gov
An excavator carefully picks up a drum overpack at the of the 618-10 Burial Ground, one of Hanford’s most hazardous. The overpack is used to encapsulate materials found in the burial ground so it can be evaluated and properly disposed.
The most significant challenge at Hanford is stabilizing the 53 million U.S. gallons of high-level radioactive waste stored in 177 underground tanks. About a third of these tanks have leaked waste into the soil and groundwater.
2.8 million U.S. gallons (10,600 m3) of liquid waste, together with 27 million U.S. gallons (100,000 m3) of salt cake and sludge, remains in the single-shelled tanks. That waste was originally scheduled to be removed by 2018. The revised deadline is 2040.
Nearby aquifers contain an estimated 270 billion U.S. gallons of contaminated groundwater as a result of the leaks. As of 2008, 1 million U.S. gallons of highly radioactive waste is traveling through the groundwater toward the Columbia River. This waste is expected to reach the river in 12 to 50 years if cleanup does not proceed on schedule. The site also includes 25 million cubic feet of solid radioactive waste.
The Hanford site represents two-thirds of the nation’s high-level radioactive waste by volume.
Yet a USA TODAY January 18, 2012 article entitled “Problems plague cleanup at Hanford nuclear waste site” by Peter Eisler, says: HANFORD SITE, Wash. – Seven decades after scientists came here during World War II to create plutonium for the first atomic bomb, a new generation is struggling with an even more daunting task: cleaning up the radioactive mess.
Hanford’s Reactor B made plutonium for the first atomic bomb ever detonated. It also produced the plutonium for the bomb dropped on Nagasaki, Japan, in World War II. It was shut down in 1968.
The U.S. government is building a treatment plant to stabilize and contain 56 million gallons of waste left from a half-century of nuclear weapons production. The radioactive sludge is so dangerous that a few hours of exposure could be fatal. A major leak could contaminate water supplies serving millions across the Northwest.
The cleanup is the most complex and costly environmental restoration ever attempted.
And the project is not going well.
A USA TODAY investigation has found that the troubled, 10-year effort to build the treatment plant faces enormous problems just as it reaches what was supposed to be its final stage.
In exclusive interviews, several senior engineers cited design problems that could bring the plant’s operations to a halt before much of the waste is treated. Their reports have spurred new technical reviews and raised official concerns about the risk of a hydrogen explosion or uncontrolled nuclear reaction inside the plant. Either could damage critical equipment, shut the facility down or, worst case, allow radiation to escape.
The plant’s $12.3 billion price tag, already triple original estimates, is well short of what it will cost to address the problems and finish the project. And the plant’s start-up date, originally slated for last year and pushed back to its current target of 2019, is likely to slip further.
“We’re continuing with a failed design,” said Donald Alexander, a senior U.S. government scientist on the project.
The Problem Does Not Stop in the West as it Moves East
Yet attempts to expand nuclear waste Eastward grows. A 2011 article from the Billings Gazette by Joan Barron says: CHEYENNE, Wyo. — A special task force studying ways to bring nuclear power to Wyoming wrapped up its work Monday but left the more controversial bills for another day.
The contentious bills that were set back included a proposal to authorize construction of one temporary high-level-radioactive-waste storage facility in Wyoming if at least one nuclear power-generating facility is operating in the state.
It Got Worse and Then Really All Went South
South to the Savannah River.
Photo from New York Times article “Cleaning the Savannah River Site”
The NYT article says: The Savannah River nuclear site in Aiken, S.C., received one of the biggest stimulus awards — $1.6 billion — to clean up the radioactive waste from the production of nuclear materials for the nation’s weapons stockpile. Nearly a quarter of the money will be used to seal off two reactors that were built in the early 1950s to produce plutonium and tritium, including the P-Reactor, shown here.
The Savannah River Site is a nuclear reservation in of South Carolina, located on land in Aiken, Allendale and Barnwell Counties adjacent to the Savannah River, 25 miles southeast of Augusta, Georgia. The site was built during the 1950s to refine nuclear materials for deployment in nuclear weapons. It covers 310 square miles (800 km2) and employs more than 10,000 people.
A major focus was cleanup activities related to work done in the past for the nation’s nuclear buildup. However the site still has some operations as it is also home to the Savannah River National Laboratory and the nation’s only operating radiochemical separations facility. Its tritium facilities are also the United States’ only source of tritium, an essential component in nuclear weapons. And, the nation’s only mixed oxide fuel (MOX) manufacturing plant is being constructed at site. When operational, the MOX facility will convert legacy weapons-grade plutonium into fuel suitable for commercial power reactors.
Security is provided by Wackenhut Services, Inc.
Then last September a huge problem began. Because of the controversy about storing radioactive waster at Yucca Mountain Nevada the Under Secretary of State for Arms Control Ellen Tauscher said on Monday, September 19, 2011, that high-level nuclear waste once destined for the Yucca Mountain repository will be sent, instead, to the Department of Energy’s Savannah River Site.
Good thinking, moving the waste from a remote place into the center of one of the most populated parts of the cuntry.
Savannah River project is at the marker.
A September 29th, 2011 article by Susan Trento entitled “Savannah River Site Gets Nuclear Waste – National Academy of Sciences Draft Report Confirms Nuclear Weapons Testing Not Needed: says:
The decision to use the Savannah River Site in South Carolina as a permanent storage facility is controversial. It is the most radioactive site in the United States. Aiken County, in which part of the site is located, sued the Department of Energy unsuccessfully when the Obama Administration decided not to use the multi-billion-dollar Yucca Mountain facility in Nevada for high-level nuclear waste storage that was supposed to be removed from SRS.
Currently, millions of gallons of high-level nuclear waste are stored in 49 leaking tanks on the site as well as huge amounts of surplus plutonium. Deadly chemicals and radiation will contaminate the facility for thousands of years. “The Bomb Plant,” as locals refer to the site, is uniquely unsuitable for a permanent nuclear waste repository, according to leading geologists. It sits on an earthquake fault and one of the most important aquifers in the South. The sandy soil and swampy conditions make it highly vulnerable to waste.
Protect Against Radiation Report
We need our own defenses against radiation which is why I created the Emailed Report: “Seven Steps to Protect Against Radiation Poisoning“.
Industrialization and the western lifestyle means we are now surrounded with increased pollution of all types. One of the worst forms of pollution is radiation and as we can see the risks of increased radioactive exposure may enhance this concern.
Regretfully radiation exposure is not new and this report outlines how my wife and I, just in the normal course of life have been exposed to radioactive materials again and again.
The report outlines how I swam in the Columbia River during the 1950s every day and have dealt with health issues since .
Then the report shares how Merri and I were later radiated during the Chernobyl fallout.
Learn the seven steps we took to restore our good health after a serious radiation exposure from the Chernoyl nuclear accident and how this may help you if North America receives fallout from the nuclear accident in Japan or problems at the Hanford or Savannah sites.
Emailed Report: “Seven Steps to Protect Against Radiation Poisoning”. See details of “Seven Steps to Protect Against Radiation Poisoning“.
When you order the report at our site we’ll email the report to you right away with our full satisfaction or money back guarantee.
Or you can order this report for your Kindle reader at Gary Scott at Amazon.com
The nuclear issue is complex. Nuclear energy has good and bad points. Whether nuclear energy should or will be eliminated is not the issue here.
There are three facts.
#1: Radiation is dangerous and we need to protect ourselves against it.
#2: There is a lot of radioactive material and waste around and more is being produced every day.
#3: Many governments have a history of lying about the risks of radiation.
So each of us should protect ourselves from radiation. Hopefully our radiation report can help.
See below links to articles mentioned in this message and three online radiation tracking tools.
Two pluses for Ecuador… no nuclear plants and far from the waste from Japan.
2015 ScheduleSchedule 2015 Seminars and Courses
We conduct our Investment seminar at Jefferson Landing in Jefferson North Carolina.
Join Merri and me for all the courses and seminars that we’ll conduct to help you gain positive solutions to your economic, financial and lifestyle concerns.
Here is the courses we currently have scheduled in 2015.
Turn $250 into $51,888… in Four Years or Less.One (of eleven) sessions at our October 17-18, 2015 Value Investment Seminar is about silver and gold and how conditions that created fortunes in 1986 are much the same now.
Turn $250 into $51,888… in Four Years or Less. If someone offers you this, I would normally say “Run from them as fast as you can!”
Yet in 1986. This is exactly what I wrote in a report that told how to borrow to buy silver.
I have to admit. I was wrong. Readers who followed the report made more than that amount in less than four years.
Here is a photo of that ad in 1986.
Conditions for silver’s recovery are similar to 1986 now.
The offer in 1986 was for a report called the Silver Dip that showed how to borrow 12,000 British pounds (US$18,600) and use the loan to buy 3835 ounces of silver at around US$4.85 an ounce.
This chart from Kitco (1) tells the story.
Silver had crashed in 1986, I mean really crashed, from $48 per ounce. As prices decreased from early 1983 into 1986, total supply had fallen to 449.7 million ounces in 1986. Mine production was restricted by the low prices at this time, with silver reaching a low for this period of $4.85 in May 1986. Secondary recovery also was constricted by these low prices.
Then silver’s price skyrocketed to over $11 an ounce within a year. The $12,000 was now worth $42,185.
The loan was in pounds and in May 1986 the dollar pound rate was 1.55 dollars per pound. So the 12,000 pound loan purchased $18,600 of silver. The pound then crashed to 1.40 dollars per silver. The loan could be paid off for $13,285 immediately creating a $5,314 profit. So the profit grew to $47,499 in just a year.
British 12,000 pounds gets US$22,800. Then the pound crashed again to $1.50 and could be paid off at $15,700 for another $7,660 profit or a total profit of $55,099 in only three years. Of course there was interest on the 12,000 pound loan, but this was less than 10% or $3,600 for the three years. In other words, there was $51,599 profit in three years. That’s remarkably close to the promise.
Yet there is a really big question. Would we have made this profit, had we taken the loan and invested in the silver?
There was plenty of potential for loss as well as profit. After rising from $4.85 to $11 per ounce, the silver price crashed again, clear back to below $5.00 an ounce and the investment was again worth about $12,000. The British pound fluctuated dramatically against the US dollar so there was plenty of room for loss as well as profit in the currency shifts.
Silver & gold charts from stockcharts.com
This historical chart of silver shows why conditions may be set for a spike in the price of silver. Note in the chart above that the huge profit in 1986 came from the second spike in a head and shoulders pattern. The bubble peaked in the late 1970s, but traders and commodity conditions sucked speculators back in for what is called a “Dead Cat Bounce”. This type of price recovery comes for no reason other than the price has fallen so much.
The dead cat bounce created huge and quick profits in 1986. We have the same scenario for silver prices now.
The price of silver reached a speculation driven historic high (over $50 an ounce) about four years ago and has since plummeted to prices that are almost back to 1987 levels.
If history repeats itself, expect silver prices to rise sharply in the next one to three years. Then there is a great risk that the price will crash again. Investors can again expect to double, triple, even quadruple their speculation in as little as a year.
But then investors must take that profit! The profits in silver will be quick and history suggests that these profits will not last long.
This is why the “Silver Dip 2015” will be one of the seven portfolios, the most speculative, we will study at our October 17-18 Investment Seminar in Jefferson, North Carolina..
This is also why I am releasing a new “Silver Dip 2015” report.
This report is exclusively available to subscribers of our Purposeful Investment Course and our Value Investing Seminar delegates.
This silver speculation is so time sensitive with such fast profit (but also loss) potential that I will not offer it to readers who have not received the education in Pi or at the seminar. We will cover when and who should and should not speculate and how to limit losses and take profits.
The same conditions are in place for gold and the Silver Dip looks at both speculations in silver and gold.
There is also another, much safer, once every 30 year opportunity that I have described in a short, but powerful report “Three Currency Patterns for 50% Profits or More.” This report shows how to earn an extra 50% from currency shifts with even small good value investments. The mathematics behind the idea of this investment strategy are currently extraordinary. Currency diversification has always been important for safety, but right now a multi- currency opportunity is brewing and has more profit potential than we have seen in over three decades.
Our Investing Seminars started 32 years ago when one of the best set of three currency and equity conditions ever existed. Over these decades, our semi annual seminars have updated what’s going on in global investment markets and what to do. Yet in all those years, few times have conditions offered as much long term opportunity as in 1982. The Dow alone rose from 1,000 to 14,000 in that period.
Then the cycle ended. Warren Buffet explained the importance of this ending in a 1999 Fortune magazine interview. He said: Let me summarize what I’ve been saying about the stock market: I think it’s very hard to come up with a persuasive case that equities will over the next 17 years perform anything like—anything like—they’ve performed in the past 17!
Now three of the great economic conditions have returned.
Conditions have come together just as we saw at our first seminars in the 1980s. The US dollar, the US stock market and the price of oil are acting almost exactly as they did in the early 1980s. Knowing these conditions and why they have merged and what to do about them can help you create a fortune.
Learn how to gain this potential (we’ll review three ways to accomplish this at the seminar) in the Keppler Good Value Country Strategy with ETFs (Country Index Exchange Traded Funds). For example there are currently ten good value developed markets, Australia, Austria, France, Germany, Hong Kong, Italy, Japan, Norway, Singapore and the United Kingdom. You can easily create a diversified portfolio in each or all of these ten countries with Country Index ETFs.
We review Country Index ETFs at the seminar and look at specific portfolios you can create to tap into these three economic conditions.
We’ll review seven portfolios at the seminar, starting with a Primary Portfolio which consists of equal amounts of country ETFs in each of Keppler’s good value ranked markets, with a weighting of 70% in developed markets and 30% in emerging markets. This is, an easy to start, very slow trading, safe and secure, worry and stress free portfolio that still has excellent profit potential.
The second and third and fourth portfolios are the Primary Portfolio with trailing stops. One portfolio uses a 25% trailing stop, one 20% trailing stop and one uses the smart stop system created by Dr. Richard Smith. This system uses algorithms that provide alerts when to sell and when to reenter shares.
The fifth is a derivative of the Primary Portfolio that replaces ETFs with and or includes income producing equities.
The sixth is a Disaster Portfolio to protect wealth if events around the world become really unglued. The seventh portfolio is the higher risk, leveraged portfolio that includes some speculation in currencies and commodities.
The goal of this study is not to recommend any one portfolio or approach but to help subscribers to understand the characteristics of each so they can better determine how to invest themselves based on their financial means, needs, experience and skills.
Gain the importance of experience & mathematics. Invest better than a hedge fund manager.
As a run up to my 50th year of speaking and writing about savings and investments around the world I decided to ask my friends who are mathematical and legal geniuses to share a weekend with us to cut through the fog of rapid change and learn how to beat the systems that can seem so bewildering.
Hedge Funds were the fashionable place to invest in the 1990s, but since then their performance has been falling.
However some hedge fund managers succeeded for one simple reason. A Telegraph article “How can we avoid the next financial crisis? Urgently listen to those who foresaw this one” explains why a few managers succeeded, when it said: It’s no coincidence that the biggest winners of the downturn – John Paulson, Paolo Pellegrini and Jeffrey Greene – were approaching 50 years of age. They retained vivid memories of past real-estate problems. Youth was a detriment to pulling off the greatest trade ever and to preparing for the downturn.
The successful hedge fund investors succeeded where most failed because of their experience.
I’ll provide the 50 years of experience at the seminar. I have been through the rise of gold to over 800 an ounce (in the 1970s) and silver to $48. I experienced the stock market’s bear that began in 1968, the Black Monday crash in 1987 when the Dow had its biggest one day drop ever and the dotcom bubble as well as the collapse in 2008. I worked my way though the first dollar devaluation in 1971, the Plaza Accord arranged dollar collapse and two major downturns in the Japanese yen, plus invested through the 1970s, 1980s and late 2000 recessions.
We’ll share how these experiences which prepares us for our investments now.
Michael Keppler provides the Math.
The idea of using math to find good value equity investments led me to ask mathematical analyst, Michael Keppler, to join us in the Blue Ridge for the seminar.
Michael is a brilliant mathematician. We have tracked his analysis for over 20 years. He continually researches international major stock markets and compares their value based on current book to price, cash flow to price, earnings to price, average dividend yield, return on equity and cash flow return. He compares each stock market’s history. From this, he develops his Good Value Stock Market Strategy. His analysis is rational, mathematical and does not cause worry about short term ups and downs.
Red Lining Your Investments
According to Keppler’s analyses, an equally-weighted combination of good value markets offers the highest expectation of long-term risk-adjusted performance. His mathematical predictions have been eerily accurate as the red line below shows.
Each quarter Michael shares with me (and other professional investors) his “Total Return Predictions”.
Click on chart to enlarge.
This chart shows the entire real-time forecasting history of Keppler for the KAM Equally-Weighted World Index, he started in 1993. Keppler continually shows what his mathematical formulas predict for markets four years ahead. These numbers are based on mathematical relationships between price and value over the previous 15 years moving forward in monthly increments. In this way Keppler uses numbers to continually adjust to the ever-changing market norm.
Keppler’s chart includes two remarkable episodes. The first in the period when global equity markets peaked and crashed over a five-year period from 1997 to 2001. Keppler’s Equally-Weighted World Index predictions stayed above the upper forecast band and accurately predicted the recovery and how much global markets would rise.
The second remarkable period started in October 2008, when again Keppler’s forecasts accurately showed where markets would reach as they fell below the lower forecast band.
Imagine the extra profit professional investors have today when they invested in these depressed good value markets before they again rose.
Keppler’s projections now indicate that global markets are expected to rise from between 2.1% and 13.0 % in the next three to five years.
Learn about Keppler’s projections and about Asset Allocation from Michael Keppler in person at our Value Investing Seminar October 17 & 18 in Jefferson, North Carolina.
Our October seminar will be at the Jefferson Landing Country Club.
Enjoy the autumn leaf change and learn how to survive and prosper with value investments.
Jefferson leaf change view.
Learn amazing tax benefits as well. I have invited my tax preparer, Conrad Oertwig, to join us.
Seven of tax secrets that Conrad will share include:
* How Dutch-treat entertainment allows you to deduct your own meals.
* How to entertain for business and help the charity of your choice because a charity sporting event produces double the deduction of a business meal.
* How one magic word can allow you to deduct your daily transportation costs between your home and another work location.
* How to earn an extra $11,425 by using antiques as office equipment.
* How to gain $12,976 by using two vehicles for business.
* How to reduce tax by having a second office in the home.
* How to travel by cruise ship and deduct up to $680 a day.
Plucking common sense from the tax law is time consuming and difficult work. For more than 25 years, Conrad has gained great satisfaction by helping his clients extract tax dollars from the tax law. He has over 400 tax savings tips and will share some of the most important lessons at the seminar.
To help you get an early start on tax savings, I will send you Conrad’s report “7 Secrets to Paying Less Tax… for the One-Owner Business” when you enroll in the seminar. I’ll also send you “The Silver Dip 2015” as soon as it is released.
Join Michael Keppler, Conrad Oertwig, Merri, and me, plus video presentations by Leslie Share, Eric Roseman, Thomas Fischer and Richard Smith. The “Value Investing Seminar” looks at how to protect purchasing power and pensions with value investing. The course teaches how to add safety and create profits by spotting multi currency and global equity cycles through good value mathematics.
Hear from other speakers via video. The seminar will include online presentations including:
One way to protect our wealth and freedom is to have a good attorney who understands how to use appropriate planning so you can also be protected rather than hurt by the tax laws.
Leslie Share: How to use and benefit from US tax law living overseas and for wealth preservation.
Leslie has been our friend and adviser of more than 30 years, and I have asked him to speak to the seminar online at the October Value Investing seminar. Leslie is an attorney in Coral Gables, Florida who specializes in general, corporate and international taxation, estate and gift tax planning, internal revenue service matters at the agent and appeals level plus most important, he specializes in wealth preservation.
He has the highest possible Peer Review Rating by Martindale-Hubbell, Florida Super Lawyers and The Best Lawyers in America.
Leslie is the type of attorney who can help gain asset and wealth protection if you live in the US or abroad.
The best way for boomers to protect their wealth is with good value income producing shares. Not everyone can wait for their assets to grow. Many need investments that create income now.
Eric Roseman: How to select good value income producing shares.
I have worked with Eric for decades and use his ability to select good value income producing shares. Understanding the intrinsic value of any equity is an elusive concept, but one of the best ways to assess value is by looking at the income it generates. Eric is a master at sniffing out the shares that provide a good income now as well as potential appreciation later. Learn from his strategic ideas for current market conditions.
Thomas Fischer: The impact of multi currency leverage leverage on portfolios.
Thomas Fischer has been a friend and investment adviser for nearly two decades. As a former currency trader in Germany and London, he has a keen sense of currency fundamentals and how and when to use leverage.
Richard Smith: How to overcome the behavior gap with Trailing Stops.
Dr. Richard Smith, founder and CEO of TradeStops. Richard earned a PhD in Math and Systems Science, and even he had to learn the hard way that it takes more than intelligence to win in the game of investing. He has spent the last 10 years researching and developing algorithms and services that give individual investors the tools they need to remain in their personal investing comfort zone, and to succeed! With his background in mathematical theories of uncertainty combined with his own investing and trading experience, Dr. Smith understands risk management and how to use it as a self-directed investor to master the market.
Finally at the seminar I’ll review the 50 Golden Rules of Investing. Learn how to protect against shady investment advice, unreasonable and hidden fees. Learn how to protect yourself from your own emotions. Learn when it is best to buy shares and determine which type of share is best for you. Find out how to avoid the loss fear syndrome and stop getting caught by great sounding stories that can rob your wealth.
Share my 50 years of experience. Gain advice that is sterling as we head towards my golden anniversary of writing about saving, finance and investing. Our value investing seminars are filled with valuable information but we have fun and take time to relax and socialize as well.
We look forward to joining us this October.
Saturday, Sunday, October 17-18, 2015, Jefferson, North Carolina.
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