Tag Archive | "oil crisis"

More Electric Investing Ideas


Will the Volt put voltage back into General Motors shares?

electric-car

Will the new Chevy Volt add energy into an electric investment portfolio?

Probably not… because small is beautiful.

In this era of rapid change a company’s value is its idea… less its size and experience.   A monster organization like GM… even trimmed down comes from the muscle car experience. Changing course from the “Giddiyap 409” attitude to “Go Green” requires enormous effort.

Yet who will come out ahead?

Chinese? South Koreans…. even Japanese?  Europeans?

The Japanese and Europeans have the benefit with their small, crowded nations, narrow and winding roads. They have always had to think smaller than in the US, where soft big and fast were the norm.

Japan’s gas prices are almost double those in the US and Europe’s are sometimes triple…. so when America’s cars were getting bigger… Europe’s and Japan’s were shrinking.

The Chinese and South Koreans are relatively new to the game so their mindset may not be as formed.

Americans did not learn much from the 1980s oil crisis.  Americans made pretty crappy, small cars at that time… the Dodge Reliant…  yuck!  No wonder Chrysler went broke.

non-electric-car

The Ford Mustang had fallen from its great beginning to a miserable low and the Chevy Malibu wasn’t any better.  We should not be surprised that the Japanese grabbed so much market share.

non-electric-car

GM rebounded with the Suburban.  Ford watched F150 pickup sales soar. Chrysler  made the minivan an every day affair and American drivers moved from gas guzzling muscle cars to gas guzzling SUVS and trucks.

Here are reader comments from our last message about green investing.

Greetings Gary, Thank you for printing the electric engineer’s letter. He is a smart guy, and used good illustrations. In his passion for reminding us that a battery is like a bucket [of course he is right] he managed to throw out the benefits of the battery out the window.  I hope he doesn’t impede you from reporting on new tech you hear about in the future. We all knew what you intended. The real point is reducing our grid use [via wind solar, whatever] and being able to store it economically. If this battery works it is the breakthrough you reported.  Please don’t lose your passion, tell us as many of the details of the vision you see, please. Happy Trails, and keep up the good work.

No chance I’ll lose my passion! I have grand kids and my children are really passionate about this so they push me right along. From the investing point of view, I know that big problems create big opportunity and there are few bigger problems than environmental pollution.

Here is another reader:  In response to the solar battery section of this post, it may interest you to access National Geographic’s August’s “Picture of the Month”.  Scout around the site until you find the series of photos from their recent article on the current state of solar power technology.

You may know that the WSJ recently had an article about a meeting Correa had with a Russian delegation to discuss Russian help building a nuclear energy plant in Ecuador. The WSJ (which hates Correa) was on red alert. But the general feeling in other media is that the Russians are meddling in “our” backyard in response to us meddling in “their” former sphere of influence, particularly those missiles in Eastern Europe.  I continue to be puzzled why no one in Ecuador, or interested in Ecuador, is looking at developing a solar power industry. Apart from the obvious abundance of stable and intense year-round solar radiation, a distribution system along the north/south axis of the Andes would avoid all the problems of moving oil and gas through mountains and volcanoes from the eastern Amazon basin west to the Pacific ports for trans-shipment.

The lack of solar would seem a puzzle until one thinks it through. Solar power is still costly and poor nations tend to go with the least expensive choice.   Plus who would help?  Solar could make Ecuador independent and no one seems to have that on their agenda.

Mankind must become greener. This is a huge problem and because problems create opportunity, demand for electric cars that help the environment may continue to grow.

When looking at investment ideas in electric cars think small… the winners are not likely go come from America’s… big (mostly busted) three.

See Jyske Bank’s Financial Friday including an interview about electric investing in cars.

Gary

The greatest asset of all is the ability to earn globally in many currencies.

This is why we are providing a special three for one offer with our  course Tangled Web… How to Have an Internet Business that can help you create your own internet business.

Our emailed course “Tangled Webs We Weave – How to Have Your Own Web Based Business” is a continuing educational program.  You receive the first 28 lessons when you enroll and a new lesson every week or two.

This course teaches how to create a web based business and is developed from the ongoing experiences that we have from our successful and profitable internet business.

This course is well worth the enrollment fee of $299… but currently you also receive two additional courses FREE.

The other two courses are #1: International Business Made EZ, and #2: Self Fulfilled – How to be a Self Publisher.

These two courses have sold for $398 and thousands have paid this price. We add them to your course at no added cost as I believe they will help you develop a better business in these crucial times..

Even Better Get All three Courses Free

To make this offer even more compelling,  I am giving everyone who enrolls in our North Carolina or Ecuador International Business & Investing seminar in October or November all three courses, “Tangled Web… How to Have an Internet Business Course,”  “Self Fulfilled- How to be a Self Publisher” and “International Business Made EZ” free.

Join us with Jyske Bank and my webmaster David Cross in West Jefferson North Carolina. Learn more about global investing, how to have an international business at the seminar.

Oct. 9-11 IBEZ North Carolina with our webmaster  David Cross & Thomas Fischer of JGAM

Or head south to Ecuador!

October 16-18 Ecuador Southern coastal tour

Oct. 21-24 Ecuador Import Export Tour

Oct. 25-26 Imbabura Real Estate Tour

Join us with Peter Laub of Jyske Global Asset Management in Ecuador. Learn more about global investing, how to have an international business at the seminar.

Nov. 6-8 IBEZ Ecuador Seminar

Nov. 9-10 Imbabura Real Estate Tour

Nov. 11-14 Ecuador Coastal Real Estate Tour

December 6-8 Beyond Logic Shamanic Tour

December 9-10 Imbabura Real Estate Tour

December 11-13 Ecuador Coastal Real Estate Tour

Join us in the mountains and at the sea. Attend more than one seminar and tour and save even more plus get the three emailed courses free.

Attend any two Ecuador seminar or tours in a calendar month…$949 for one.  $1,349 for two.

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Multi Currency Strategy


A multi currency strategy is important now because extensive research on seasonality shows that basically in all major equity markets, nearly all returns are achieved from the beginning of November through the end of May. This means we are approaching the best time when equities will rise.

However a year ago, a global financial crisis began. So before we jump headlong into more security investments we need to ask, “What happens now?”

This week we will look at the strategic multi currency economic outlook developed by Jyske Bank’s strategy and research team.

The most important part of investing is to create a realistic match of your portfolio to your own wants, needs and desires.

Next, you need to invest in good value.

An overview of global economics is vital to help you spot good value.

I review my personal portfolio and how I have responded to the crisis of the last year and what I am planning ahead for subscribers of our Multi Currency Course.

Jyske’s report begins:

“It has now been a year since the international financial crisis really took off. The Fed as well as the European Central Bank have had to render assistance in the form of additional liquidity, and there is still a shortage of liquidity today – a year later.

At this point in time – a year after the onset of the crisis – the economic slowdown and the high commodity prices (particularly the oil price) have added to the financial crisis and the global economy is still facing big challenges.

What about the current situation? Well, it can be said that fear of low growth has now replaced the fear of high inflation. This development has taken place after the oil price fell by more than 20% from the peak in mid-July while at the same time we are being inundated with poor economic data for Europe, the UK, Japan, while the emerging markets are also seeing a somewhat weakening development.

What are the forces behind the global economic slowdown in addition to the weak US economy?

Global shocks = Global effects

Drastically rising food and energy prices have put a damper on the consumers’ purchasing power globally and reduced growth by 50% relative to the level in 2007. At the same time, the companies’ earnings are under pressure due to rising commodity prices and wages.

The reaction on the part of the authorities:

Despite the housing-market crisis, financial crisis, oil crisis at full blast in the US, it seems that the US economy saw stronger growth in H1 than the Japanese as well as European counterparts. An important reason for that is that the US authorities did all they could to avoid a slowdown in growth. The Central Bank lowered its interest rate markedly to 2%, and tax relief in the amount of USD 100bn were granted. Europe has seen an interest-rate hike and no easing on the part of the authorities.

Prepared for the worst:

A new development was that already at the beginning of 2008, the US companies seemed to have begun reducing inventories and cutting labour costs in preparation of the bad times ahead. Apparently they were better prepared than the companies in Europe and Asia, which will have to make deeper cuts in production to adapt to the new weaker demand.

Investment Conclusion:

A general theme for investors is positioning for continued weakening of growth outside the US. Therefore, among other things, we now see a markedly stronger dollar as the trend has been reversed. That we prefer US equities to European ones and that European bond yields will fall towards the US level.

On the whole we keep the risk unchanged in the portfolio by maintaining neutral weight for equities. Our considerations with respect to the future are that we will rather prefer to increase the proportion of equities than to reduce it.

This autumn, equities may be boosted by the lower inflation level. Moreover, the many global investors have reduced their holdings considerably. They may gain some appetite for equities when they see the favourable effect from the lower oil prices.

However, the challenges for the equity market is that slow growth will spread from the US to the rest of the world and put pressure on the companies’ earnings and, moreover, the financial crisis is still not over.

Tomorrow’s message by looking at each analysis by Jyske of each currency zone.

Until then, good global investing!

Gary

Join me and with Thomas Fischer from Jyske Bank at our upcoming international investing course in North Carolina. International Investing and Business Made EZ North Carolina October 3-5

Sunny Multi Currency Investments


Sunny multi currency investments are here. Yet many multi currency investors are missing the opportunity because of dark clouds created by oil.

“The price of sex is death.”

One must ask what does this have to do with multi currency investing?

This was the opening statement in a health seminar conducted some years ago at our farm by Dr. Jay Glaser. Jay is an MD, Ayurvedic physician and one of the best healers I know.

Every year we try to sponsor a course conducted by some great teacher. one year we had an Ecuador Yatchak, Alberto Taxco. Another year a Vedic Priest, Dr. D.S. Dixit spoke. Our astrologer Blaine Watson taught a course another year and last year Vaidya R.K. Mishra taught a course. Once Bob Shane a scientist taught a course on quantum healing. Here is Blaine Watson and Vaidya Mishra teaching at our farm.

Multi-currency-courses

Here Thomas Fischer teaches multi currency investing.

multi-currency-teacher

Delegates enjoy a coffee break on our front porch

multi-currency-delegates

This year Susan Stanton, a business intuitive, also an attorney instructed a group here at the farm.

Merri and I cook and take care of our guests, plus gain the benefit of listening in as we work.

One interesting aspect has emerged from every one of these courses, the underlying truth of frequency…the idea of a start that concludes with a transformation…a beginning followed by an epic struggle that denies an end. The life of everything, living, business…technology…nations is ruled by this process…birth, growth, stability and finally transformation.

This is a universal truth…the kind that wise investors seek when they invest.

When we see something in the establishment breaking down, we have two choices.

#1: We can be afraid and try to stop or ignore nature’s inevitable evolution.

#2: We can ask what is being born from this death? What Phoenix lays n the ashes?

There is opportunity in every part of the cycle but nature gives greater rewards from creation.

Creation is the universal driving force!

Henry Ford made a bigger fortune from the end of the horse and buggy than collectors who preserved buggies and are holding gold mines in their collectables now.

This brings me to the oil crisis. There is a lot of fuss about how society is going to survived if we have reached peak oil. The noise about this risk reminds me vaguely of the “how will we survive Y2K” ruminations of the late 1990s.

To many forget that every evolution creates fear. Even the oil slurping automobile had trouble in its infancy. In England (The best early car designs were all in Europe and England…not the USA) there was stiff opposition from companies running horse-driven coaches.

These horse and buggy businesses then were the establishment. They felt threatened just as the oil using establishment does now.

In the mid-1800s toll fees for “early cars” were steeply hiked. Britain’s Red Flag Act was passed in 1865. The Act limited speeds to about four miles per hour required that every “road locomotive” have three attendants – one to steer, one to stoke and one to walk 150 feet ahead of the vehicle, bearing a red flag, signaling the driver when to stop.

Another auto act passed 13 years later did away with the red flag, but still required a man on foot to warn horse-driven wagons.

Now Opec and associates may have shot themselves in the foot by letting oil prices rise too far. Eventually oil consumption has to be reduced…because of supply and environmental fundamentals.

The recent high cost of crude oil may have accelerated the shift.

Headlines are appearing about multi currency companies like:

“GM eyes electric car future, joins with power companies on Volt technology”

“Prius to get solar-powered air conditioning”

“Toyota promises plug-in hybrid vehicle”

A recent article by Paul Davidson, in USA TODAY is especially important. This article says:

“Semiconductor companies are rushing into the solar power business faster than a Pentium-driven computer, promising to turn a niche form of renewable energy into a mass-market product.

“Since May, computer powerhouses Intel (INTC), IBM (IBM) and National Semiconductor (NSM) have barreled into solar energy, joining hundreds of fellow technology mainstays. Virtually every chipmaker is weighing a solar play, says Rhone Resch, head of the Solar Energy Industries Association.

“We have a classic Silicon Valley land rush,” says T.J. Rodgers, CEO of Cypress Semiconductor (CY), which owns 56% of SunPower.

“Drawing the stalwarts is solar’s 40% annual growth, says Gartner analyst Jim Hines. The 50-year-old chip business is expanding only about 5% annually after years of torrid growth.

“Like the computer chip, solar cells use silicon or another semiconducter as a basic part. By replicating the chip industry’s high-volume automated manufacturing, tech companies can deliver solar at prices competitive with grid power faster than the industry’s current 2010-15 target, he says.

“IBM, in May unveiled a breakthrough concentrated photovoltaic (CPV) system that magnifies sunlight to 10 times the energy from today’s CPV units, cutting the number of solar panels needed. A liquid metal absorbs heat so the semiconductor doesn’t melt, technology IBM developed to cool high-power computer chips. IBM last month announced a new technique for thin-film solar — which uses 1% of the semiconductor in standard panels — to cut costs and boost efficiency. IBM says it will license both technologies.

“Intel. The No. 1 chipmaker this month said it’s investing $38 million in German solar panel maker Sulfurcell. That followed the June spinoff of its own fledgling solar unit.

“National Semiconductor. The chip giant last month said its new technology can boost energy output in solar panels by minimizing losses from shade. It drew from its expertise in power management in cellphones. Executive Ralph Muenster wants to make passive solar systems “smarter.”

The big guns are moving into solar energy. Watch for multi currency investments in this field.

We’ll see more on why and how this can bring profit to multi currency investors in tomorrow’s message.

Until then, Good multi currency investing.

Gary

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