The leaf change has begun in the North Carolina woods… first a few frosts and and walks on crispy roads of crimson and gold. There is no mystery in that but not far from our house there is…
a darker woods with a cabana that contains a hot tub.
This redwood Japanese soaking tub has spring water filled for each use. The water is heated by an immersed wood stove that sits in the tub.
When you sit in the warm water… surrounded by floating autumnal leaves you look…
down into a small creek and then straight up a hill that rises a hundred feet or so and ends on a ridge.
As Merri and I recently sat there… in cool autumnal air but warmed by the heated water I looked up and asked… “What’s up there?”
Ignore the fact that we have sat in this tub for over a decade and never wondered. The question just popped up!
Where is that ridge?
Merri thought it was just off the upper farm road. I thought not. A mystery! Next day I hiked up to be sure. I had missed this piece of land…. despite my scouring and hiking our farm from top to bottom for going on two decades… this was a spot where I had not tread!
This ridge is protected by a cove of forest and I started to hike in… saw that it is a long flat ridge filled with animal trails and mysterious wonder. I stopped dead.
The entrance to Mystery Ridge.
I turned around and left. My plan is not to hike the mystery ridge. Maybe I will later… or better ask Merri and the kids to spread my ashes there when that day comes because this mystery is a gift.
We all need a sense of mystery at the center of our being. What could be better… a secret copse… a hidden glen… some wild potential for adventure… just sitting… quite unknown… exactly in the middle of our farm.
Most readers at this site seek the next great adventure in their lives and here I have one hidden just footsteps from my doorstep. What a gift!
Looking ahead… for the rest of this year there are many opportunities for adventure. Merri and I are conducting Spanish courses and writing camps in Florida and Super Spanish teachers are conducting Super Thinking + Spanish courses north and south.
You can see the entire schedule below but I have asked our Super Spanish teachers to each share a bit about why there may be adventure at their next course.
Suzanne Bandick explains why Puerta Adventuras Mexico might be a great place to learn Super Thinking and Spanish.
The top 10 reasons to visit Puerto Aventuras, Mexico
By: Suzanne Bandick
Shawn and I live in Puerto Aventuras, Mexico and are conducting a Super Thinking + Spanish course there November 26, 27 and 28th, 2012.
Not that anyone really needs more reasons to visit a tropical paradise like Puerto Aventuras or the Mayan Riviera but here are a few reasons that maybe you have not even thought of…
1. Better mental health – Everyone needs a holiday! When you combine sunshine, relaxation, yoga on the beach, watching the boats go by and taking the time to read a good book under a palm tree with your feet in the sand your mental health becomes stronger by the second.
Dolphin in lagoon at Puerto Adventuras, Mexico
2. Better physical health – any of the following is quite good exercise: walking a few uneven sidewalks, dodging bicycles on the pedestrian path, dodging pedestrians on the bicycle path, swimming in really cold fresh water swimming holes in caves called cenotes (needing to raise your body temperature burns calories), body surfing the waves in that gorgeous ocean and don’t forget swimming with the dolphins or diving with the fishes.
3. The wonder of ”what if ”… what if you hadn’t visited here and you missed out on something? You would miss drinking your fruit punch out of a coconut or pineapple for one thing. I don’t know about you, but I wouldn’t want to die wondering what that was like.
Puerto Aventuras Beach
4. Satisfaction to yourself – you can check it off as something you wanted to do in your lifetime. Checking things off a list is hugely satisfying. Out of curiosity, what’s next? Wrestling crocks in the Amazon?
5. A gift of energy – visiting Puerto Aventuras and the Mayan Riviera can give you more energy than you have ever known. In fact it gives you so much energy that you must take frequent hammock breaks to decide what to do with all this new found energy.
6. Discovery for any reason! The fact that today is Thursday works… or that you saw a butterfly, a parrot fly by, an iguana, a dolphin, or a sea turtle.
Shops at Puerto Adventuras
7. A gift of youthful skin– the slight humidity is to thank for that. The cosmetics companies are still trying to find a way to bottle it. We get it for free.
8. Precious, delicious seafood – mouth watering shrimp tacos, shrimp burritos, shrimp sautéed in garlic butter, shrimp ceviche, and shrimp with avocado. I don’t know why but I am suddenly dying to eat some shrimp. It is a good thing I live here. By the way, you can substitute mouth watering pork, beef, chicken, fish or beans in any of those dishes.
Puerto Aventuras Restaurant
9. Having fun – you can’t doubt that after reading numbers one to eight. Plus you have many famous ruins to visit nearby like Tulum, Coba and one of the new 7 Wonders of the World – Chitzen Itza. You can swim, snorkel, dive and frolic in cenotes (fresh water caves). Play in Xcaret, Xelha or Xplore adventure parks, swim with the dolphins and zipline through the jungle!
Puerto Aventuras Lagoon waterfall
10. A great bonus …you can have fun learning Spanish in 3 days! Then you can practice during your vacation. The locals will love it and you. You’ll go home with a tan and be smarter! Now that’s win/win.
Puerto Aventuras is on the Caribbean coast of Mexico and is a one hour drive south from the Cancun airport. Hasta Pronto (Spanish for ‘see you soon!’ But you are going to know that and lots more in Spanish soon!) Suzanne.
How appropriate Puerto Aventuras… the Port of Adventure!
Mystery is the heart of adventure. We offer to you in the months ahead a way to “Embarcarse en una aventura”… Set off on an adventure. Hope to see you down there… Suzanne Bandick
I really like these qualities from Suzanne and suggest that you combine your next adventure with learning… and growth at any Super Thinking seminars and courses in Ecuador, Canada, Mexico, Panama, Uruguay or Smalltown USA this winter and fall.
2015 ScheduleSchedule 2015 Seminars and Courses
We conduct our Investment seminar at Jefferson Landing in Jefferson North Carolina.
Join Merri and me for all the courses and seminars that we’ll conduct to help you gain positive solutions to your economic, financial and lifestyle concerns.
Here is the courses we currently have scheduled in 2015.
Never Run Out of MoneyJoin Merri and me for our October 17-18 Quantum Wealth Seminar.
The seminar goes beyond just finding value investments. The seminar will review inflation of major life items since 1942. See how the price of gold and silver shows why food costs will rise even more and how investing in a portfolio of strong multinational good value companies can create strong profits.
See how to gain profits on currency distortions. For example at the 2012 October seminar it became obvious that the Japanese yen was overvalued.
That led me to post a note at this site “Multi Currency Sandwich” suggesting shorting the Japanese yen and investing the loan in dollars and euro.
What a ride! The dollar appreciated over 12% versus the yen in one quarter. This rise was far higher than the skyrocketing Dow Jones Industrial average (red line in chart below).
Those who learned how to borrow yen and invest in the Dow Jones industrial average… earned both the 9.5% and 12% profit or 21.5%… in three months.
US dollar versus yen and comparison to Dow Jones Industrial average chart from www.finance.yahoo.com. Click on chart to to enlarge.
That yen loan is not safe at this time. At the seminar we will look at the risk reward scenarios for numerous currencies to see which is likely to bring the greatest profit next. More importantly you learn how to continually monitor currency values after the seminar.
We conduct the seminar in October because September and October are important months to our wealth.
These months (September and October) also pose the greatest risk to our wealth.
A study by Michael Keppler shows that most profits in most major equity markets, is achieved from the beginning of November through the end of May.
Michael wrote: “Gary, We have done extensive research on seasonality and I am proud to announce that a shortened version of a major study which I have coauthored with our Director of Research, Dr. Xing Hong Xue, will be published in the Winter Issue of the Journal of Investing. Our research shows that basically in all major equity markets, nearly all returns are achieved from the beginning of November through the end of May. All the best to you and Merri. Michael”
Michael showed that over 30 Years, the Dow grew 8.16% overall.
Historically the worst months for stock markets are September and October. This week, the best chances for equity losses this year, have just begun. Think risk aversion now and think ahead for profit making in November.
We’ll be joined by our guest speaker, Michael Keppler. Michael is one of the world’s foremost equity mathematical and statistical analyst. Between us, we have almost 100 years of equity research experience. He will speak about time, asset allocation and how to determine good value markets.
Learn how to protect and increase your savings and wealth with easy to start, very slow trading, safe and secure, worry and stress free portfolios that provide proven long term profit potential. Avoid the ups and downs that stock markets will see in the months ahead.
As a run up to my 50th year of speaking and writing about savings and investments around the world I asked my mathematical and tax genius friends to share a weekend with us to cut through the fog of rapid change and show us ways to invest better than hedge fund managers.
Hedge Funds were the fashionable place to invest in the 1990s, but since then their performance has been falling.
However some hedge fund managers succeeded for one simple reason… experience. A Telegraph article “How can we avoid the next financial crisis? Urgently listen to those who foresaw this one” explains why a few managers succeeded, when it was said: It’s no coincidence that the biggest winners of the downturn – John Paulson, Paolo Pellegrini and Jeffrey Greene – were approaching 50 years of age. They retained vivid memories of past real-estate problems. Youth was a detriment to pulling off the greatest trade ever and preparing for the downturn.
The successful hedge fund investors succeeded where most failed because of their experience.
I’ll provide the 50 years of experience at the seminar. I have been through the rise of gold to over 800 an ounce (in the 1970s) and silver to $48. I experienced the stock market’s bear that began in 1968, the Black Monday crash in 1987 when the Dow had its biggest one day drop ever and the dotcom bubble as well as the collapse in 2008. I worked my way through the first dollar devaluation in 1971, the Plaza Accord arranged dollar collapse and two major downturns in the Japanese yen, plus invested through the 1970s, 1980s and late 2000 recessions.
We’ll share how these experiences prepare us for our investments now.
Michael Keppler provides the Math.
The idea of using math to find good value equity investments led me to ask mathematical analyst, Michael Keppler, to join us in the Blue Ridge for the seminar.
Michael is a brilliant mathematician. We have tracked his analysis for over 20 years. He continually researches international major stock markets and compares their value based on current book to price, cash flow to price, earnings to price, average dividend yield, return on equity and cash flow return. He compares each stock market’s history. From this, he develops his Good Value Stock Market Strategy. His analysis is rational, mathematical and does not cause worry about short term ups and downs.
Red Lining Your Investments
According to Keppler’s analyses, an equally-weighted combination of good value markets offers the highest expectation of long-term risk-adjusted performance. His mathematical predictions have been eerily accurate as the red line below shows.
Each quarter Michael shares with me (and other professional investors) his “Total Return Predictions”.
Click on chart to enlarge.
This chart shows the entire real-time forecasting history of Keppler for the KAM Equally-Weighted World Index, he started in 1993. Keppler continually shows what his mathematical formulas predict for markets four years ahead. These numbers are based on mathematical relationships between price and value over the previous 15 years moving forward in monthly increments. In this way Keppler uses numbers to continually adjust to the ever-changing market norm.
Keppler’s chart includes two remarkable episodes. The first in the period when global equity markets peaked and crashed over a five-year period from 1997 to 2001. Keppler’s Equally-Weighted World Index predictions stayed above the upper forecast band and accurately predicted the recovery and how much global markets would rise.
The second remarkable period started in October 2008, when again Keppler’s forecasts accurately showed where markets would reach as they fell below the lower forecast band.
Imagine the extra profit professional investors have today when they invested in these depressed good value markets before they again rose.
Keppler’s projections now indicate that global markets are expected to rise from between 2.1% and 13.0 % in the next three to five years.
Learn about Keppler’s projections and about Asset Allocation from Michael Keppler in person at our Value Investing Seminar October 17 & 18 in Jefferson, North Carolina.
Our October seminar will be at the Jefferson Landing Country Club.
Enjoy the autumn leaf change and learn how to survive and prosper with value investments.
Jefferson leaf change view.
Learn amazing tax benefits as well. I have invited my tax expert, Conrad Oertwig, to join us.
Seven of tax secrets that Conrad will share include:
* How Dutch-treat entertainment allows you to deduct your own meals.
* How to entertain for business and help the charity of your choice because a charity sporting event produces double the deduction of a business meal.
* How one magic word can allow you to deduct your daily transportation costs between your home and another work location.
* How to earn an extra $11,425 by using antiques as office equipment.
* How to gain $12,976 by using two vehicles for business.
* How to reduce tax by having a second office in the home.
* How to travel by cruise ship and deduct up to $680 a day.
Plucking common sense from the tax law is time consuming and difficult work. For more than 25 years, Conrad has gained great satisfaction by helping his clients extract tax dollars from the tax law. He has over 400 tax savings tips and will share some of the most important lessons at the seminar.
To help you get an early start on tax savings, I will send you Conrad’s report “7 Secrets to Paying Less Tax… for the One-Owner Business” when you enroll in the seminar. I’ll also send you “The Silver Dip 2015” as soon as it is released.
Join Michael Keppler, Conrad Oertwig, Merri, and me, plus video presentations by Leslie Share, Eric Roseman, Thomas Fischer and Richard Smith. The “Value Investing Seminar” looks at how to protect purchasing power and pensions with value investing. The course teaches how to add safety and create profits by spotting multi currency and global equity cycles through good value mathematics.
Hear from other speakers via video. The seminar will include online presentations including:
One way to protect our wealth and freedom is to have a good attorney who understands how to use appropriate planning so you can also be protected rather than hurt by the tax laws.
Leslie Share: How to use and benefit from US tax law living overseas and for wealth preservation.
Leslie has been our friend and adviser of more than 30 years, and I have asked him to speak to the seminar online at the October Value Investing seminar. Leslie is an attorney in Coral Gables, Florida who specializes in general, corporate and international taxation, estate and gift tax planning, internal revenue service matters at the agent and appeals level plus most important, he specializes in wealth preservation.
He has the highest possible Peer Review Rating by Martindale-Hubbell, Florida Super Lawyers and The Best Lawyers in America.
Leslie is the type of attorney who can help gain asset and wealth protection if you live in the US or abroad.
The best way for boomers to protect their wealth is with good value income producing shares. Not everyone can wait for their assets to grow. Many need investments that create income now.
Eric Roseman: How to select good value income producing shares.
I have worked with Eric for decades and use his ability to select good value income producing shares. Understanding the intrinsic value of any equity is an elusive concept, but one of the best ways to assess value is by looking at the income it generates. Eric is a master at sniffing out the shares that provide a good income now as well as potential appreciation later. Learn from his strategic ideas for current market conditions.
Richard Smith: How to overcome the behavior gap with Trailing Stops.
Dr. Richard Smith, founder and CEO of TradeStops. Richard earned a PhD in Math and Systems Science, and even he had to learn the hard way that it takes more than intelligence to win in the game of investing. He has spent the last 10 years researching and developing algorithms and services that give individual investors the tools they need to remain in their personal investing comfort zone, and to succeed! With his background in mathematical theories of uncertainty combined with his own investing and trading experience, Dr. Smith understands risk management and how to use it as a self-directed investor to master the market.
Finally at the seminar I’ll review the 50 Golden Rules of Investing. Learn how to protect against shady investment advice, unreasonable and hidden fees. Learn how to protect yourself from your own emotions. Learn when it is best to buy shares and determine which type of share is best for you. Find out how to avoid the loss fear syndrome and stop getting caught by great sounding stories that can rob your wealth.
In 1986 I wrote a report called the Silver Dip that showed how to borrow 12,000 British pounds (US$18,600) and use the loan to buy 3835 ounces of silver at around US$4.85 an ounce.
Silver had crashed in 1986, I mean really crashed, from $48 per ounce. As prices decreased from early 1983 into 1986, total supply had fallen to 449.7 million ounces in 1986. Mine production was restricted by the low prices at this time, with silver reaching a low for this period of $4.85 in May 1986. Secondary recovery also was constricted by these low prices.
Then silver’s price skyrocketed to over $11 an ounce within a year. The 12,000 pound loan purchased silver that rose to be worth $42,185.
The loan was in pounds and in May 1986 the dollar pound rate was 1.55 dollars per pound. So the 12,000 pound loan had purchased $18,600 of silver. The pound then crashed to 1.40 dollars per silver. The loan could be paid off for $13,285 immediately creating a $5,314 profit. So the profit grew to $47,499 in just a year.
This is why the “Silver Dip 2015” will be one of the seven portfolios, the most speculative, we will study at our October 17-18 Investment Seminar in Jefferson, North Carolina..
This is also why I am releasing a new “Silver Dip 2015” report. The same conditions are in place for gold and the Silver Dip looks at both speculations in silver and gold.
There is also another, much safer, once every 30 year opportunity that I have described in a short, but powerful report “Three Currency Patterns for 50% Profits or More.” This report shows how to earn an extra 50% from currency shifts with even small good value investments. The mathematics behind the idea of this investment strategy are currently extraordinary. Currency diversification has always been important for safety, but right now a multi- currency opportunity is brewing and has more profit potential than we have seen in over three decades.
Our Investing Seminars started 32 years ago when one of the best set of three currency and equity conditions ever existed. Over these decades, our semi annual seminars have updated what’s going on in global investment markets and what to do. Yet in all those years, few times have conditions offered as much long term opportunity as in 1982. The Dow alone rose from 1,000 to 14,000 in that period.
Then the cycle ended. Warren Buffet explained the importance of this ending in a 1999 Fortune magazine interview. He said: Let me summarize what I’ve been saying about the stock market: I think it’s very hard to come up with a persuasive case that equities will over the next 17 years perform anything like—anything like—they’ve performed in the past 17!
Now three of the great economic conditions have returned.
Conditions have come together just as we saw at our first seminars in the 1980s. The US dollar, the US stock market and the price of oil are acting almost exactly as they did in the early 1980s. Knowing these conditions and why they have merged and what to do about them can help you create a fortune.
Learn how to gain this potential (we’ll review three ways to accomplish this at the seminar) in the Keppler Good Value Country Strategy with ETFs (Country Index Exchange Traded Funds). For example there are currently ten good value developed markets, Australia, Austria, France, Germany, Hong Kong, Italy, Japan, Norway, Singapore and the United Kingdom. You can easily create a diversified portfolio in each or all of these ten countries with Country Index ETFs.
We review Country Index ETFs at the seminar and look at specific portfolios you can create to tap into these three economic conditions.
Share my 50 years of experience. Gain advice that is sterling as we head toward my golden anniversary of writing about saving, finance and investing. Our value investing seminars are filled with valuable information but we have fun and take time to relax and socialize as well.
We look forward to joining us this October.
Saturday, Sunday, October 17-18, 2015, Jefferson, North Carolina.