Tag Archive | "economist"

Lifepreneurship


Lifepreneurship can help us adapt to change.  The recent message “How to Avoid Ruts” looked at the importance of ideas.

A recent Economist article “Authorpreneurship”  (1)  tells how authors today need “more than a bright idea and limpid prose“.

Here is a quote: “Authors need to become businesspeople as well, thinking strategically about their brand, and marketing themselves and their products. There is more competition for readers’ and reviewers’ attention, and fewer bookshops to provide a showcase for new titles. In 2013 some 1.4m print books were published in America, over five times as many as a decade earlier.

Even the most successful writers need to promote themselves.  Very few authors can live by books alone.  Even some of the most successful writers create a large part of their income from public speaking, consulting or teaching, and/or use the prestige gained from their books to justify higher fees.   An example is author Chris Anderson, who is paid tens of thousands of dollars for each lecture or Alain de Botton, a writer on philosophy.  His writing reputation  brings paying students to his School of Life.

The phrase on the article that captured my attention is “Authors are becoming more like pop stars, who used to make most of their money selling albums but who now use their recordings as promotional tools, earning a living mainly from concerts.”

Our readers have been learning how to counter this problem for several years because we combine courses on self publishing with how to earn from seminars and tours.  See more at Never Run Out of Money.

The Bigger Issue

The Authorpreneurship article touched on a more universal problem.  The article said:  “The trouble with many budding writers is that they are not cut out for this new world.  They are often introverts, preferring solitude to salesmanship.  Readers these days want to get to know the creators of the books they buy.  Diffident authors may feel uncomfortable with getting so close to their fans.”

The necessity of selling oneself grows in importance in every field of endeavor and yet for many of us this runs against the grain of our nature.  Merri and I are recluses so we know this problem well.  One way to overcome this trait is to sell our purpose, not our personality.

One shaman that Merri and I studied with used to say “Have a purpose instead of a goal.

I spent some time pondering this before it had meaning to me.  A purpose is the BIG idea in life.  A purpose is the foundation of all our goals.  Our purpose gives us wisdom, infinitely flexible, capable of rolling with punches and shifting with change.  It becomes our reason for being here.

The economic and lifestyle goals of many can suffer due to economic turbulence that is bound too be ahead.   Those who are strongly cemented in a purpose have an advantage.  They might be knocked sideways by changing financial tides, but they’ll get up… dust off and move on with their purpose… because a purpose is not limited by size… duration or magnitude.  We can move on with a purpose regardless of external events.

Winston Churchill’s October 16, 1938 speech, “The Defence of Freedom and Peace” summed up the power of ideas and purpose.  

Here is a short quote:  Arms are not sufficient by themselves.  We must add to them the power of ideas.  People say we ought not to allow ourselves to be drawn into a theoretical antagonism between Nazidom and democracy; but the antagonism is here now.  It is this very conflict of spiritual and moral ideas which gives the free countries a great part of their strength.  You see these dictators on their pedestals, surrounded by the bayonets of their soldiers and the truncheons of their police. On all sides they are guarded by masses of armed men, cannons, aeroplanes, fortifications, and the like – they boast and vaunt themselves before the world, yet in their hearts there is unspoken fear.  They are afraid of words and thoughts; words spoken abroad, thoughts stirring at home – all the more powerful because forbidden – terrify them.  A little mouse of thought appears in the room, and even the mightiest potentates are thrown into panic.  They make frantic efforts to bar our thoughts and words; they are afraid of the workings of the human mind. Cannons, airplanes, they can manufacture in large quantities; but how are they to quell the natural promptings of human nature, which after all these centuries of trial and progress has inherited a whole armoury of potent and indestructible knowledge?

That was an idea worth great value. This is the power of purpose as it launches us beyond our personalities.  Merri and I try to invest and do business with a purpose and always remember the quote I have framed on my desk… “Action is Thy Duty… Reward Not Thy Concern”.   Regardless of whether times are good or bad, we keep moving forward with our purpose without great concern where the currents carry our correct actions.

We are all connected.  We are all a part of infinite intelligence.  We all have a purpose so whenever change makes everything seem out of sort, we can turn on Lifepreneurship by asking, “What’s the big idea, what’s MY big idea?”  The answer gives us the power of purpose.

This is the greatest asset of all.

Gary

Missions Create Real Value Investments

Here are six predictions where profits are guaranteed.  They are absolute guarantees because I made these predictions over the past 49 years.  They were correct and had you invested in the six predictions you may have become unbelievably rich.  Each had a cycle so the really great opportunity is past.

You can still use these six predictions though, because they lead to the seventh prediction that I am investing in now.

See the six predictions to learn how to cash in on the seventh prediction.  Use my 49 years of global investing research to gain slow, profitable, worry free investing… plus discover how even your amazing investments could earn 1,237% more!

Prediction #1 – 1970s: Invest in the Hong Kong Stock market.  This prediction was in my first published report “Three Secrets for Investing Abroad”.  The Heng Seng Index was around 700.   Since then it has risen to over 21,000, an increase of  30 times.

Heng Seng chart from www. yahoo.com.  Click to enlarge.  Compare that to the Dow which has risen only 17 times.

Prediction #2 – early 1980s: Invest in London real estate.  Prices looked so good that Merri and I conducted London real estate tours.  The first house I bought in central London cost $35,000.  Today the average price in this area is almost 2.5 million dollars (1.6 million pounds).

Graph from Daily Mail.

Prediction #3 – later 1980s: Invest in Isle of Many Real Estate.  You could buy an ocean front  house for $20,000.  Merri and I shifted our seminars and tours from London to the Isle of Man.  By the 1990s that price had risen 10 times.  When the UK market crashed in the early 1990s, Manx values doubled. The average house price went from around $125,000 in 1995 to about $375,000 by 2007.

Prediction #4 – early 1990s: Borrow yen at low interest rates and deposit in dollars at high interest rates and related currencies.

See full chart at Fxtop.com

Three times, our predictions of when to borrow and or invest in yen created fortunes.

Prediction #5 – 1997  – Invest in Ecuador real estate.

Those who have been reading our site for some time know that beginning in the late 1990s through mid 2000s we sold much of our Florida real estate and began buying Ecuador property.  We ured readers to join in the adventure, fun and profit.

Prediction # 6 – 2009:  Invest in Smalltown USA.  In 2009 we switched strategies again. We started selling our Ecuador real estate and began buying back in small towns in Florida.

Wall Street Journal article (1)

Since then we have accumulated numerous rental properties in central Florida.  The Wall Street Journal recently reported: “Existing homes sales this year are expected to hit levels not seen since just after the peak, in 2006, driven by strong job growth, low interest rates and a gradual loosening of lending standards, according to the National Association of Realtors.”

The area we recommended and have written about is part of the fastest growing metropolitan area in the USA.  The New York Times article (2) said:  “The Villages, Florida: In 2014, its population rose more quickly than that of any other census area in the United States, climbing 5.4 percent, compared with 0.7 percent for the nation as a whole.”

Investing in each of these six predictions myself has created financial security.   I’ll share the investment I am making now in a moment.  First look at these three golden rules of investing because though I have achieved every financial goal that most people simply dream of, I know that all can be lost because of three golden rules of investing.

Experience taught me that these are the three most important rules of investing.

Investing Rule #1:  There is always something that you and I, nor anyone, does not know.

Investing Rule #2:  Human nature stacks the odds against us all.

Investing Rule #3:  Someone is always trying to steal from us all.

Because 2015 is the count down year of my 50th anniversary of talking and writing about savings and investments, I want to share vital information about these three golden rules and 47 more you.

The “50 Golden Rules of Investing” are the 50 best investing lessons I have accumulated from five decades of global travel, investing and business.  The stories mostly come from mistakes made, plus some decisions that reaped really rich rewards.  Before  I explain how you can have these 50 Golden Rules let’s look at the first three of “Golden Rules of Investing” in more detail.

Golden Rule of Investing #1: “There is always something we do not know”. 

History is littered with this fact.  The Titanic was called “unsinkable”.  There was “peace in our time” in 1938.  “Dewey Defeats Truman” in 1948.  The Edsel was produced in 1958.  In 1968 Business Week wrote:  “With over 50 foreign cars already on sale here, the Japanese auto industry isn’t likely to carve out a big slice of the U.S. market.”

After working in US investments for two years, I took my first flight to Hong Kong in 1968. I wished I had known then what I know now!   That’s not how life works though.   There is always something we do not know.  This rule applies to everyone, dumb and smart, young and old, big and small.

A late 1870 Western Union memo said:  “This ‘telephone’ has too many shortcomings to be seriously considered as a means of communication. The device is inherently of no value to us.”

Associates at RCA told David Sarnoff  in the 1920s:  The wireless music box has no imaginable commercial value. Who would pay for a message sent to nobody in particular?

The chairman of IBM said in the 1940s: “I think there is a world market for maybe five computers.”

Margaret Thatcher missed her own greatness, in 1974 she said: “It will be years — not in my time — before a woman will become Prime Minister.

A Boeing engineer missed knowing when after the first flight of the 247, a twin engine plane that holds ten people, he said:  “There will never be a bigger plane built.”

2015

So here we are.  We know what happened in the past.  Looking ahead is never quite so certain, but we have to invest anyway. To live without knowing for sure and with inaccurate beliefs is part of human nature.

The way we react to this certainty of uncertainty leads to Golden Rule of Investing #2.

Golden Rule of Investing #2: Human nature stacks the odds against us.

When we invest in the unknown, millenniums of human evolution kick in.  Doubts arrive, especially if the investment falters.  Our fears and doubts create an investor phenomenon called the “Behavior Gap”.

The behavior gap is the difference between the rate of return earned from a diversified portfolio that is rebalanced correctly and the rate of returns earned by investors who move their money around in an emotional response to market ups and downs.

Behavior gaps are among the biggest reasons why most investors fail (and few succeed).  Hasty, emotional decisions based on fear and greed cause portfolio to significantly under perform the market in which they invest.

A large body of psychological and physiology research, including magnetic resonance imaging, shows that most human beings do not  make the correct logical decisions  to overcome the power of emotion when making or losing money.  Neuroscientists have even shown that making money stimulates the brain with dopamine, almost like cocaine.   Financial loss however, or even the threat of loss, is like a physical attack.  Fear, anger and grief release adrenaline and cortisol.  The heart rate and blood pressure rise.  We sweat and become alert ready to fight or flee.

These reactions are hardwired into our bodies.  We cannot change this fact and only a minority of investors can overcome this biology through education, experience, or genetic good luck. Human evolution makes fear the more powerful motivator.  Fear and greed based investments create losses due to behavior gaps.  Fear motivates us more strongly than desire, so by nature we are risk adverse.

Risk aversion causes us to act oddly when it comes to spotting value.  Warren Buffet again highlights the problem by comparing behavior to the price of hamburgers at McDonalds versus shares.  If the price of a Big Mac falls, he doesn’t become afraid and worry.  He buys more and feels good that he’s paying less for the same hamburger.

Buffet acknowledges, however, that fighting fear is easier said than done. “There is no comparison between fear and greed.  Fear is instant, pervasive and intense.  Greed is slower.  Fear hits.”

Fear, as our most powerful motivator, creates a problem.  Every day, we are conditioned to have fear.  So much frightening information is thrown around that fear becomes a habit.  Fear is the norm.  Almost every establishment that structures our society tries to make us feel fear.   The system says, “Break the law (there are so many laws now) and we’ll put you in jail or make you a disgrace”.   Many medical, legal and insurance professionals use a lot of fear.  So too do law enforcement, education and governments.

We are so bombarded with bad news, risk and warnings that fear has an ingrained position in our routine.  The ritual of fear is hard to break when immersed in a daily flood of alarm.

Learn how to beat the behavior gap with trailing stops.  Trailing stops uses logic to create a discipline that increases emotional stability as they reduce risk and increase the potential for profit.

Let me share a real life example.  One of my long term investments has been in shares of Jyske Bank.

I had a passion and purpose for investing in Jyske shares.  I knew the bank, their structure and staff well.  This is a bank that does not pay its staff bonuses.  The CEO does not make that much more than the staff.  There are no corporate limos, jets or or other such extravagances.  I believe strongly in this type of financial ethics structure and wanted to promote the idea of more ethical financial institutions.  My purpose of promoting ethical financial institutions gave me the courage to hold onto Jyske shares during downturns.  Because I did not support those  beliefs with the mathematics, I gave up huge amounts of profit.  I earned 257,679 kroner instead of 1,056,069.   I lost this because of the behavior gap.

My original investment turned 100,000 Danish kroner into 357,679 Danish kroner.  This has been a great return but the investment could have grown to 1,156,069 Danish kroner instead if I had enhanced my purpose by using a system of trailing stops.

We invested in Jyske shares at DKK96.50 on 2nd September 2002.  We sold half in April 2006 at DKK352.50.  The share price of the remaining shares we hold have never dropped below our purchase price.  As of May 2015  the share price was DKK329.

My passion to support for institutional ethics made me feel better than the profit about this investment.  I gained enormous enjoyment visiting Copenhagen and gained friendships and immense knowledge  from many of the bank’s management and staff.  These assets were priceless.

Could I have also gained a better profit if I had combined these benefits with a mathematical process?  Great benefits gained from 50 years of investing are many wonderful friends who know more about parts of investing than I do.  I contacted one of these  friends Richard Smith, creator of the smart trailing stops system called Smart Stops 2.0.  I asked him to calculate the exact dates that his mathematical system would have created alerts that the Jyske shares were good value or not.  Here are the alerts his trailing stop system would have given for the Jyske shares I held:

Exit @ 325.50 on 6/13/2006.  All the shares are sold bringing in DKK337,218.

Buy @ 321.98 on 10/9/2006.  The DKK337,218 buys 1047 shares.

Exit @ 404 on 6/8/2007.   This sale grosses DKK422,988.

Buy @ 118.5 on 3/20/2009.  The DKK422,988 buys 3,569 shares

Exit @ 170 on 8/10/2011. This sale grosses DKK606,730.

Buy @ 173.40 on 2/1/2012.  The DKK606,730 buys 3,499 shares.

Still in @ 330.4 on 4/22/2015.  The share value at this time is DKK1,156,069.

Wow, what a difference.  If I had followed the trailing stops and buy signals, the investment would have been much safer, plus increased 11 times instead of 3.5 times.

To help increase profit and safety, based on these two golden rules, I have created a new course called “Purposeful Investing” (Pi for short).  Pi creates and studies in real time numerous portfolios based on differing investing strategies with and without trailing stops.

Pi helps you understand the pros and cons of each portfolios so learn how to customize a long term strategy for profit and safety that works best for you based on your own financial needs, assets and skills.

Pi also helps you reduce costs and protect your savings, pensions and investments against the third rule.

Golden Rule of Investing #3:  There is always someone trying to rob you.  Pi helps overcome the behavior gap and review of the costs and institutional risk of each strategy.

Thank you Merrill Lynch.  One great friendship and lesson gained at the beginning of my 50 year investing career was an accountant who worked with me and then became a broker  for Merrill Lynch, Pierce, Fenner & Smith in Hong Kong.  This friend was amazing with numbers. He shared with me his frustration over Merril’s commission system used to calculate his income.  He told me that Merrill  broke investments into categories and the category that paid the highest commissions often included the riskiest investments.  Even worse he complained that he was expected to sell a certain amount of the high risk category.  He quit after a short time due to what he called Merrill’s “irreconcilable ethics”.

That was a revelation!   Financial institutions who are supposed to care for our money do not always offer advice that is in our best interest. Over time I saw a correlation, the larger an investment firm, the less trustworthy they may be.

I am thankful for that lesson learned nearly 50 years ago.  Financial institutions look out for themselves first and their customers. second, if at all.

The investment industry is ripping off small investors.   More than half of all American households will not have enough retirement income to maintain the living standards they were accustomed to before retirement.  The standard solution to this problem is to save and invest more money.  This glosses over that fact that Wall Street is bleeding savers dry.

A research paper by John C. Bogle, founder and former chief executive of Vanguard Investment Managers shows that a big part of the problem is the failure of investors to earn their fair share of market returns.   The research found that advisers mostly recommended investment strategies that fit their own financial interests.  They reinforced their clients’ misguided biases, encouraging them to chase returns and advising against low-cost options like low-fee index funds.  Kent Smetters, an expert on finance at the University of Pennsylvania’s Wharton School, stated the problem succinctly,  “It is superslimy” he noted.  This leads us to the third Golden Rule.

Management Dilemma at Big Financial Institutions 

The intentions of management at most big financial institutions must be suspect.  The systems are focused on enhancing the girth of their own wallets rather than those of account holders.  The system encourages them to take risks.  If they win… they get huge bonuses.  If they lose, they get golden handshakes.  This is not a new trend… just one that is more exposed as excesses in the entire system are stretched by the nature of democracy and aging demographics.

Few rational people trust big bank and brokerage management anywhere.

Big banks and brokers use many ethically challenged techniques.  One example is “Spoofing”, a part of unethical computer “Frequency Trading”.  “Spoofing” was born when equity markets turned to computerized trading.  Spoofing has been made illegal in an attempt to close this loophole.

A New York Times article, “In Britain, Libor-Rigging Conspiracy Case Is Also a Test for Regulators” shows that spoofing is only one way that the financial industry has been ripping off many of its investors.

The article tells how British authorities have charged one 35-year-old former trader from Citigroup and UBS with eight counts of conspiracy to commit fraud.  This trader was not acting alone. The indictment claims he was a ringleader among more than a dozen traders engaged in manipulating the London Interbank Offered Rate, or Libor, a reference rate used to set various others, including those for student loans and mortgages.

These were not back street shady operators either.  UBS, Citbank, Barclays, Deutsche are some of the banks who have paid more than $9 billion to settle allegations that some of their traders manipulated Libor and other related interest rate benchmarks.  Is this a one off incident?  The article says: In total, banks have paid more than $160 billion since 2009 to settle charges related to issues such as rigging interest rate benchmarks, manipulating currencies, mis-selling insurance, packaging toxic mortgages and evading taxes, among others.

The allegation is that traders intentionally moved the rates close to the time of the fix to benefit their own trading books.  The traders even joked about this and in one email, a trader said, “If you ain’t cheating, you ain’t trying.”

This is one more example of  greed dominating the history of investment trading.  Since equity trading began there has been a never ending battle between authorities and unethical trading.  Every time a loophole is closed, another is found.  We cannot depend on the authorities to totally protect us as investors.  Nor can we expect our banks and brokers to protect us either.

The New York Times best seller “Flash Boys: A Wall Street Revolt” by Michael Lewis tells the tale of how big banks and brokers have been ripping off investors.  The book shows how since the late 1800s banks and stock brokers and traders have been legally stealing (and sometimes illegally) from investors by front runningFront running is the practice of a bank, stockbroker, trader or someone taking advantage of advance knowledge of your order to buy or sell a stock or bond.  The front runner executes an order for its own account and immediately resells at a higher (or lower if you are selling) price to you.

The slice in each case is small but it is estimated that these high frequency traders are pulling as much $5 billion per year, perhaps as much as $15 billion per year or even higher.  Those billions are dollars out of your pocket (and mine) and every other investor who is trying to make an honest investment.

Flash Boys shows how much of the financial industry is geared up only for their profit rather than yours.   The system creates a gap between investors and the market, a group of middlemen who earn fees, commissions, and rebates from order flow and volume.  They add little actual value to the market but take huge amounts of pay.

The day after the book’s release the Federal Bureau of Investigation announced an investigation into high frequency trading, in particular about possible front running, market manipulation, and insider trading.  On May 1, 2014 the SEC announced a $4.5 million fine for the New York Stock Exchange and two affiliated exchanges, on charges related to Lewis’ book.

Stock Exchange excesses are just a tiny fraction of the problem.  Alayne Fleischmann, a securities lawyer for Chase JP Morgan,  became a whistle blower in one of the biggest cases of white-collar crime in American history, exposing secrets that it is claimed JPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon paid $9 billion to keep the public from hearing.  This was pointed out when she said: “I could lose everything.  But if we don’t start speaking up, we’re going to get the biggest financial cover-up in history.  It was like watching an old lady get mugged on the street, I thought, ‘I can’t sit by any longer.'”

This one rip off is just the tip of the iceberg that has been chilling our investment, savings and pensions for 17 years.   The SEC website (4) shows a list of over 170 fines levied on some of the biggest financial institutions that mislead their customers into bad investments.  The SEC site says that they charged Citigroup’s principal U.S. broker-dealer subsidiary with misleading investors about a $1 billion.  Just a few of the other banks and brokers you’ll read in that list include names you see every day.  Merrill Lynch, Bank of America, Wachovia, Wells Fargo, UBS Securities, Goldman Sachs, Credit Suisse Securities (USA), Morgan Stanley are a few.  These same firms that tout “We are here to help your finances,” have really been out to rob you.

The book says: No matter what regulators did, some other intermediary found a way to react so there would be some form of front running.  If you read the book, you’ll see that your chances of knowing what really goes on with your investments are pretty slim.

Pi looks at how to protect against shady investment advice, unreasonable and hidden fees as well as how to protect us from our “Behavior Gap”.

Most of all Pi helps you gain the ultimate form of financial security, investments with purpose and profit.   When you subscribe to Pi I will include you in the “50 Golden Rules of Investing Program,” without any additional cost or obligation.  Each month in “Pi” we’ll delve more deeply into four or five “Golden Rules of Investing”.

The greatest benefit if Pi is learning the seventh prediction right now.

The Seventh Prediction.  In the 1980s.  A remarkable set of economic circumstances helped anyone who spotted them become remarkably rich.  Some of my readers made enough to retire.   Others picked up 50% currency gains.

Then the cycle ended.  Warren Buffet explained the importance of this ending in a 1999 Fortune magazine interview.  He said: Let me summarize what I’ve been saying about the stock market: I think it’s very hard to come up with a persuasive case that equities will over the next 17 years perform anything like—anything like—they’ve performed in the past 17!

I did well then, but always thought, “I should have invested more”!  Now those circumstances have come together and I am investing in them again.

Beat the robbers with 50% profits.

Despite the predators on Wall Street who are waiting to take big gouges out of your savings and wealth, equities are still the best place to invest for the long term.  This chart from the 24 page Keppler Asset Management 2014 Asset Allocation Review shows that over the past 80+ years equities have dramatically outperformed other types of investments.

Click on chart to enlarge.

Because of the predators on Wall Street (and every stock market in the world) the search for good investments requires a relentless search for value.   Your investments have to be good enough to reap an outstanding profit even after the parasites siphon off part of the profit.

To take advantage of the once every 17 year circumstances, I chose to track Keppler Asset Management who continually researches developed and emerging markets globally.  Keppler is one of the best market statisticians in the world and numerous very large fund managers use his analysis to manage funds such as State Street Global Advisors.  Keppler compares the value of each share in each market based on current book to price, cash flow to price, earnings to price, average dividend yield, return on equity and cash flow return.  From this study of monumental amounts of data Keppler develops a Good Value Stock Market Strategies.  The analysis is based on long term, rational, mathematical facts and does not worry about short term ups and downs.

From Keppler I learned that market timing is not the way to get these high profits.  Another graphic from the 2014 Keppler Asset Allocation Review explains why.

Click on image to enlarge.

A dollar invested 88 years ago in Treasury bills rose to $20.58.  The same dollar invested in U.S. stocks over the 88 years grew to be was worth $4,677, UNLESS you missed the best 43 months.  Literally all of the the Dow’s growth in 1,056 months came in 43 of those months.   Your odds have been one in 24, better than roulette perhaps, but not good enough.  Plus even after these odds, the predators are going to take their cut.  You have to ask, “Am I that good at timing?”

The better alternative to timing is investing long term indexing based on value.  Long term strategic investing in market indices reduces the amount of trading.  Low trading activity is important because trades are where you are most vulnerable to predatory tactics.

A part of the long term strategic trading is to invest in low fee diversified Index ETFs.  This simplifies your search for value because it focuses your research into lumps.

A comparison of US versus German stock market indexes gives an example of lump research and you can create good value, low cost, diversified portfolios that offer maximum potential for profit as they reduce risk.

Keppler’s research shows that Germany’s stock market is a good value market.   Keppler lumps all the shares (or at least 85% of the shares) into the calculations.  There is no attempt to select any one specific share. Keppler’s research shows that the US stock market index (a lump of about 85% of all the US shares) is now a bad value.

Germany has the world’s fourth largest economy.  The country is the third largest exporter in the world and in 2013 recorded the highest trade surplus in the world making it the biggest capital exporter globally.  Yet German shares have been overlooked.  German share prices are cheap.

The German Stock Market as of January 2015 in terms of US dollars has a relative price to book value ratio of  .78,  a relative price earnings ratio of  0.87 and a relative dividend yield of 1.12.  The US Stock Market has a much higher relative price to book value ratio of 1.29, a relative price earnings ratio of 1.07 and a relative dividend yield of 0.81.  German shares cost much less, compared to the values and earnings, than US shares.  German shares pay much higher dividends as well.

Keppler predicts that the US Stock Market (which is ranked as a sell market by Keppler) will have an annual index gain for the next five years of  3.1% and a total return (with dividends) or a total five year return of 21.7%.  The same calculations for the German Market predicts an average annual index gain over the next five years of 7.5% and a total return (with dividends) or a total five year return of 47.3%.

Which would you rather buy,  a 47.3% return sold for 78 cents on the dollar or a 21.7% return sold for $1.29 on the dollar?

You can forget about any specific share in the US or Germany and invest into an index (in this case the Morgan Stanley Capital Index) which represents about 85% of all the shares traded on the exchange.

You can invest in ETFs that passively invest in all the shares of the index in stock markets that offer good value.  iShares investment company for example has  an ETF that invests in 85% of the shares traded on Wall Street.

This ETF icalled the iShares USA (symbol EUSA) has risen from 22.91 to 43.40 or 89% in the past five years.

iShares also offers an ETF that invests in about 85% of the stocks listed on the German Stock Exchange (Symbol EWG).  EWG has risen from 19.70 to 28.13  or 42% in the past five years.

Keppler’s lump reseach shows that Germany is a good value market.   One simple (even very small) investment in iShares Germany MSCI Index ETF gives you a portfolio  of almost all the shares traded on Germany’s largest stock exchange in Frankfurt.  This ETF is a share traded on the New York Stock Exchange. The ETF invests in 85% of the shares in Germany.  This ETF is a passive fund that does not try to outperform the growth of the German Stock Market. The managers simply track the investment results of the MSCI Germany Index.  This makes it easy to capture the powerful economic circumstances that are unfolding now.

Just investing in Germany is not enough.  There are currently ten good value developed markets, Australia, Austria, France, Germany, Hong Kong, Italy, Japan, Norway, Singapore and the United Kingdom.  Plus there are 12 good value emerging markets. You can easily create a diversified portfolio in each or all of these countries with Country Index ETFs.

Investing in many stock markets through ETFs gives you opportunity in the second economic wave, a rising US dollar.  Preserving the purchasing power of your earnings, savings and wealth requires currency diversification.

The current strength of the US dollar is a second remarkable similarity to 30 years ago.  The dollar rose along with Wall Street.  Profits came quickly over three years. Then the dollar dropped like a stone, by 51%  in just two years.  A repeat of this pattern is growing and could create up to 50% extra profit if you start using strong dollars to accumulate good value stock market ETFs in other currencies.

Chart from snbchf.com   Click on chart to enlarge.

Look at that dollar spike against the Swiss franc in 1985.  The dollar rose then against the yen, the German mark, British pound and all major currencies.  Imagine the profit you could have made, had your known that the greenback was set to fall 50% in the next two years.

Conditions for a dollar downfall are set again.

For example because of fears about the euro, EWG, the German ETF is down 9 percent over the last 12 months and down 8 percent over the last six months.  These declines are created by currency concerns.  When the euro regains strength, the shares have the potential to appreciate even more.

This is the most exciting opportunity I have seen since we started sending our reports on international investing ideas more than three decades ago.  There is so much more to write and the trends are so clear that I have created a short, but powerful report “Three Currency Patterns For 50% Profits or More.”  This report shows how to earn an extra 50% from currency shifts with even small investments.  I kept the report short and simple, but included links to 153 pages of Keppler Asset Stock Market and Asset Allocation Analysis so you can keep this as simple or as complex as you desire.

The report shows 22 good value investments and a really powerful tactic to use that allows you to accumulate these bargains now even in very small amounts (even $5,000).  There is extra profit potential of at least 50% so the report is worth a lot.

Research shows that most people worry about having enough money if they live long enough.  I never thought of that.  I just wanted to live long enough to see the remarkable economic opportunity that started in 1980 start again and those that continue to offer opportunity.  This powerful profit wave has begun. I made it and am glad you did too.  Even more I look forward to the next 17 years and sharing how to have more than enough money for the rest of your life.

Triple Guarantee

Enroll in Pi.   Get the first monthly issue of Pi, the first five “Golden Rules of Investing” and the report “Three Currency Patterns For 50% Profits or More” right away.

#1:  I guarantee you’ll learn ideas about investing that are unique and that can rescue stress as they help you enhance your profits through slow, worry free purposeful investing.

If you are not totally happy, simply let me know.

#2:  I guarantee to cancel your subscription and refund your subscription fee in full, no questions asked.

#3:  I guarantee you can keep the golden rules of investing you have received and “Three Currency Patterns For 50% Profits or More” report as my thanks for trying.

You have nothing to lose except the fear.  You have the ultimate form of financial security to gain.

Subscribe to Pi and save $102 (Pi is priced at $299 per year but we have an introductory discount available now; only $197 for the first year), plus received the “50 Golden Rules of Investing” and “Three Currency Patterns For 50% Profits or More” report” free.

Save $131.95.   Subscribe to the Pi for $197.

Gary

(1)  WSJ Real Estate Moving on up

(2)   The Giant Retirement Community That Explains Where Americans Are Moving

(3)  Rollingstone article on Chase JP Morgan misleading its customers

(4)  Sec.gov website showing fines of banks and brokers misleading their customers

(1)  www.economist.com Authorpreneurship

(2) www.winstonchurchill.org The Defence of Freedom and Peace

 

Economist Markets & Data


These are the economic indicators I use to help me spot currency distortions and value.

economist Data

www.economist.com/news/economic-and-financial-indicators/21629473-trade-exchange-rates-budget-balances-and-interest-rates

economist Data

(click on images to enlarge)

www.economist.com/news/markets-and-data/21629525-retail-sales-producer-prices-wages-and-exchange-rates

Learn how to use these statistics with our Multi Currency Report “Borrow Low Deposit High”.

Multi Currency Value Investment Seminar

Invest Better than a Hedge Fund Manager.

Gain a one two punch on profits… experience and math at our October 17-18, 2015 Value Investment Seminar.  I’ll be joined by Michael Keppler.  Michael is one of the world’s foremost equity mathematical and statistical analysts.  Between us, we have almost 100 years of equity research experience.

Learn how to protect and increase your savings and wealth with easy to start, very slow trading, safe and secure, worry and stress free portfolios that provide proven long term profit potential.  Avoid the ups and downs that stock markets will see in the months ahead.

For example, many investors are surprised that shares seem wobbly now that the the US economy is looking so good?

Experienced investors however would be surprised if the markets were not shaken!

During the seminar we’ll share five reasons why we should expect a pull back in the US stock market now.

One reason for a stock crash is that the economic cycle is entering the boom stage.

economic cycle

There are three phases in the economy, recession, recovery and boom.   During the boom phase, there is rising inflation.  Short rates are pushed up.  Bond yields rise.  There is falling unemployment and P/E multiples expand.  This is a good time to take profits.

Another reason for declines in September and October is seasonality.

A Keppler study shows that most appreciation in most major equity markets, is achieved from the beginning of November through the end of May.

Michael wrote: “Gary, We have done extensive research on seasonality and I am proud to announce that a shortened version of a major study which I have coauthored with our Director of Research, Dr. Xing Hong Xue, will be published in the Winter Issue of the Journal of Investing.  Our research shows that basically in all major equity markets, nearly all returns are achieved from the beginning of November through the end of May.  All the best to you and Merri. Michael

Michael showed that over 30 Years Dow the Dow grew 8.16% overall.

There was 8.36% Growth in the months November through April.  There was 0.37 growth in the months May  to October.  $100 invested in the Dow grew to $848 overall over the 3o years.
$100 invested in the Dow grew to $1,067 if it were invested only in the months of November through April.  $100 invested in the Dow dropped to $79 if it were invested only in the months of May to October.

Historically the worst months for stock markets are September and October.   This week, the best chances for equity losses this year, have just begun.  Think risk aversion now and think ahead for profit making in November.

As a run up to my 50th year of speaking and writing about savings and investments around the world I asked my mathematical and tax genius friends to share a weekend with us to cut through the fog of rapid change and show us ways to invest better than hedge fund managers.

Hedge Funds were the fashionable place to invest in the 1990s, but since then their performance has been falling.

However some hedge fund managers succeeded for one simple reason… experience.  A Telegraph article “How can we avoid the next financial crisis?  Urgently listen to those who foresaw this one” explains why  a few managers succeeded, when it said:  It’s no coincidence that the biggest winners of the downturn – John Paulson, Paolo Pellegrini and Jeffrey Greene – were approaching 50 years of age. They retained vivid memories of past real-estate problems.  Youth was a detriment to pulling off the greatest trade ever and to preparing for the downturn.  

The successful hedge fund investors succeeded where most failed because of their experience.

I’ll provide the 50 years of experience at the seminar.  I have been through the rise of gold to over 800 an ounce (in the 1970s) and silver to $48.  I experienced the stock market’s bear that began in 1968, the Black Monday crash in 1987 when the Dow had its biggest one day drop ever and the dotcom bubble as well as the collapse in 2008.  I worked my way though the first dollar devaluation in 1971, the Plaza Accord arranged dollar collapse and two major downturns in the Japanese yen, plus invested through the 1970s, 1980s and late 2000 recessions.

We’ll share how these experiences prepares us for our investments now.

Michael Keppler provides the Math.

The idea of using math to find good value equity investments led me to ask mathematical analyst, Michael Keppler, to join us in the Blue Ridge for the seminar.

Fwd: keppler

Michael is a brilliant mathematician.  We have tracked his analysis for over 20 years.   He continually researches international major stock markets and compares their value based on current book to price, cash flow to price, earnings to price, average dividend yield, return on equity and cash flow return.  He compares each stock market’s history.  From this, he develops his Good Value Stock Market Strategy.  His analysis is rational, mathematical and does not cause worry about short term ups and downs.

Red Lining Your Investments

According to Keppler’s analyses, an equally-weighted combination of good value markets offers the highest expectation of long-term risk-adjusted performance.  His mathematical predictions have been eerily accurate as the red line below shows.

Each quarter Michael shares with me (and other professional investors) his “Total Return Predictions”.

Screen Shot 2015-07-16 at 7.23.02 PM

Click on chart to enlarge.

This chart shows the entire real-time forecasting history of Keppler for the KAM Equally-Weighted World Index, he started in 1993.  Keppler continually shows what his mathematical formulas predict for markets four years ahead.  These numbers are based on mathematical relationships between price and value over the previous 15 years moving forward in monthly increments.  In this way Keppler uses numbers to continually adjust to the ever-changing market norm.

Keppler’s chart includes two remarkable episodes.  The first in the period when global equity markets peaked and crashed over a five-year period from 1997  to 2001.  Keppler’s Equally-Weighted World Index predictions stayed above the upper forecast band and accurately predicted the recovery and how much global markets would rise.

The second remarkable period started in October 2008, when again Keppler’s forecasts accurately showed where markets would reach as they fell below the lower forecast band.

Imagine the extra profit professional investors have today when they invested in these depressed good value markets before they again rose.

Keppler’s projections now indicate that global markets are expected to rise from between 2.1%  and 13.0 % in the next three to five years.

Learn about Keppler’s projections and about Asset Allocation from Michael Keppler in person at our Value Investing Seminar October 17 & 18 in Jefferson, North Carolina.  

jefferson Landing

Our October seminar will be at the Jefferson Landing Country Club.

Enjoy the autumn leaf change and learn how to survive and prosper with value investments.

garyascott- leaf - change

Jefferson leaf change view.

Learn amazing tax benefits as well.  I have invited my tax preparer, Conrad Oertwig, to join us.  

Seven of tax secrets that Conrad will share include:

* How Dutch-treat entertainment allows you to deduct your own meals.

* How to entertain for business and help the charity of your choice because a charity sporting event produces double the deduction of a business meal.

* How one magic word can allow you to deduct your daily transportation costs between your home and another work location.

* How to earn an extra $11,425  by using antiques as office equipment.

* How to gain $12,976 by using two vehicles for business.

* How to reduce tax by having a second office in the home.

* How to travel by cruise ship and deduct up to $680 a day.

Plucking common sense from the tax law is time consuming and difficult work.  For more than 25 years, Conrad has gained great satisfaction by helping his clients extract tax dollars from the tax law.   He has over 400 tax savings tips and will share some of  the most important lessons at the seminar.

To help you get an early start on tax savings, I will send you Conrad’s report “7 Secrets to Paying Less Tax… for the One-Owner Business” when you enroll in the seminar.  I’ll also send you “The Silver Dip 2015” as soon as it is released.

Join Michael Keppler, Conrad Oertwig, Merri, and me, plus video presentations by Leslie Share, Eric Roseman, Thomas Fischer and Richard Smith.   The “Value Investing Seminar” looks at how to protect purchasing power and pensions with value investing.  The course teaches how to add safety and create profits by spotting multi currency and global equity cycles through good value mathematics.

Get “7 Secrets to Paying Less Tax & The Silver Dip 2015”.  Join us Saturday, Sunday, October 17-18, 2015, Jefferson, North Carolina.  Enroll here $499. Couple $799.

Hear from other speakers via video.  The seminar will include online presentations including:

One way to protect our wealth and freedom is to have a good attorney who understands how to use appropriate planning so you can also be protected rather than hurt by the tax laws.

Leslie Share:  How to use and benefit from US tax law living overseas and for wealth preservation.

les-share

Leslie has been our friend and adviser of more than 30 years, and I have asked him to speak to the seminar online at the October Value Investing seminar.  Leslie is an attorney in Coral Gables, Florida who specializes in general, corporate and international taxation, estate and gift tax planning, internal revenue service matters at the agent and appeals level plus most important, he specializes in wealth preservation.

He has the highest possible Peer Review Rating by Martindale-Hubbell, Florida Super Lawyers and The Best Lawyers in America.

Leslie is the type of attorney who can help gain asset and wealth protection if you live in the US or abroad.

The best way for boomers to protect their wealth is with good value income producing shares.  Not everyone can wait for their assets to grow.  Many need investments that create income now.

Eric Roseman: How to select good value income producing shares.

erci roseman

Eric Roseman

I have worked with Eric for decades and use his ability to select good value income producing shares.  Understanding the intrinsic value of any equity is an elusive concept, but one of the best ways to assess value is by looking at the income it generates.  Eric is a master at sniffing out the shares that provide a good income now as well as potential appreciation later.  Learn from his strategic ideas for current market conditions.

Thomas Fischer:  The impact of  multi currency leverage leverage on portfolios.

thomas-fischer

Thomas Fischer has been a friend and investment adviser for nearly two decades.  As a former currency trader in Germany and London, he has a keen sense of currency fundamentals and how and when to use leverage.

Richard Smith: How to overcome the behavior gap with Trailing Stops.

dr richard smith

Dr. Richard Smith, founder and CEO of TradeStops.  Richard earned a PhD in Math and Systems Science, and even he had to learn the hard way that it takes more than intelligence to win in the game of investing.  He has spent the last 10 years researching and developing algorithms and services that give individual investors the tools they need to remain in their personal investing comfort zone, and to succeed!  With his background in mathematical theories of uncertainty combined with his own investing and trading experience, Dr. Smith understands risk management and how to use it as a self-directed investor to master the market.

Finally at the seminar I’ll review the 50 Golden Rules of Investing.  Learn how to protect against shady investment advice, unreasonable and hidden fees.  Learn how to protect yourself from your own emotions.  Learn when it is best to buy shares and determine which type of share is best for you.  Find out how to avoid the loss fear syndrome and stop getting caught by great sounding stories that can rob your wealth.

In 1986 I wrote  a report called the Silver Dip that showed how to borrow 12,000 British pounds (US$18,600) and use the loan to buy 3835 ounces of silver at around US$4.85 an ounce.

Silver had crashed in 1986, I mean really crashed, from $48 per ounce.   As prices decreased from early 1983 into 1986, total supply had fallen to  449.7 million ounces in 1986.  Mine production was restricted by the low prices at this time, with silver reaching a low for this period of $4.85 in May 1986. Secondary recovery also was constricted by these low prices.

Then silver’s price skyrocketed to over $11 an ounce within a year. The 12,000 pound loan purchased silver that rose to be worth $42,185.

The loan was in pounds and in May 1986 the dollar pound rate was 1.55 dollars per pound.  So the 12,000 pound loan had purchased $18,600 of silver.  The pound then crashed to  1.40 dollars per silver.  The loan could be paid off  for  $13,285 immediately creating a $5,314 profit.  So the profit grew to $47,499 in just a year.

This is why the “Silver Dip 2015” will be one of the seven portfolios, the most speculative, we will study at our October 17-18 Investment Seminar in Jefferson, North Carolina..

This is also why I am releasing a new “Silver Dip 2015” report.  The same conditions are in place for gold and the Silver Dip looks at both speculations in silver and gold.

There is also another, much safer, once every 30 year opportunity that I have described in a short, but powerful report “Three Currency Patterns for 50% Profits or More.”  This report shows how to earn an extra 50% from currency shifts with even small good value investments.  The mathematics behind the idea of this investment strategy are currently extraordinary.  Currency diversification has always been important for safety, but right now a multi- currency opportunity is brewing and has more profit potential than we have seen in over three decades.

Our Investing Seminars started 32 years ago when one of the best set of three currency and equity conditions ever existed.  Over these decades, our semi annual seminars have updated what’s going on in global investment markets and what to do.  Yet in all those years, few times have conditions offered as much long term opportunity as in 1982.   The Dow alone rose from 1,000 to 14,000 in that period.

Then the cycle ended.  Warren Buffet explained the importance of this ending in a 1999 Fortune magazine interview.  He said: Let me summarize what I’ve been saying about the stock market: I think it’s very hard to come up with a persuasive case that equities will over the next 17 years perform anything like—anything like—they’ve performed in the past 17!

Now three of the great economic conditions have returned.

Conditions have come together just as we saw at our first seminars in the 1980s.  The US dollar, the US stock market and the price of oil are acting almost exactly as they did in the early 1980s.  Knowing these conditions and why they have merged and what to do about them can help you create a fortune.

Learn how to gain this potential (we’ll review three ways to accomplish this at the seminar) in the Keppler Good Value Country Strategy with ETFs (Country Index Exchange Traded Funds).  For example there are currently ten good value developed markets, Australia, Austria, France, Germany, Hong Kong, Italy, Japan, Norway, Singapore and the United Kingdom.  You can easily create a diversified portfolio in each or all of these ten countries with Country Index ETFs.

We review Country Index ETFs at the seminar and look at specific portfolios you can create to tap into these three economic conditions.

Share my 50 years of experience. Gain advice that is sterling as we head towards my golden anniversary of writing about saving, finance and investing.  Our value investing seminars are filled with valuable information but we have fun and take time to relax and socialize as well.

We look forward to joining us this October.

Gary

Saturday, Sunday, October 17-18, 2015, Jefferson, North Carolina.

Join Michael Keppler, Conrad Oertwig, Merri and me.  Enroll here $499. Couple $799.

 

 

 

 

Terror as Life Moves in Cycles


Many investment markets are moved by terror because life moves in cycles. Everything is built on a simple ternary principle of… creation…  stability and transformation. Some call it birth, life and death.  Let’s think about how this can create terror and what it can mean to our wealth… health and happiness.

First, a reminder…  there are only four days left to order Christmas Roses from Ecuador.

ecuador roses

Order fresh Ecuador Christmas roses here.

Consider  the following socio-economic cycle. The industrial complex we call the USA, Western Europe and Japan… brought along by the Marshall and North Korean War were in the creative stage from the 1940s through 1970s.

After World War II the United States and Canada were the only major industrial bases that had not been destroyed. They had expanded rapidly during the war and by 1947 had retooled to produce consumer goods, stimulated by a boom in consumer spending.

Exports had been a small factor in the American economy. The rebuilding of the Marshall Plan changed that as Europeans rebuilt with manufactured goods and raw materials from the United States.

Japan was pulled along as well, when in 1950 the Korean War turned Japan into the main staging area for the United Nations.  The Korean War brought Japan even more money than the Marshall Plan sent to any country in Europe.

In the 1970s this entire socio economic union began shifting into the maintenance phase.

The chart below from an Economist article “Chinese Takeovers, Being Eaten by the Dragon” shows the Foreign Direct Investment as a percent of the global economy.  For example in 1914 Britain was the largest empire ever controlling 1/4th of all nations in the world and 45% of the world’s FDI.

The Economist article explains when it says:  Control of the world’s stock of foreign direct investment (FDI), which includes takeovers and companies’ greenfield investments, tends to reflect a country’s economic muscle. Britain owned 45% of the world’s FDI in 1914; America’s share peaked at 50% in 1967. Today China, including Hong Kong and Macau, has a share of just 6%.

We should not be surprised that the USA is losing market share of FDI and losing it faster than previous empires.  This shift appears by almost any measure as part of our universal pattern and in perfect harmony.

So we should not be upset as these areas now move onto transformation.

Yet markets fear change and the simultaneous shift of the US, Western Europe and Japan economies to this new (and what can be a very positive) phase create terror in investment markets.

Terror creates errors.  Errors create distortions. Distortions create opportunity.

The video below shares some thoughts about how to embrace change and gain opportunity from these cycles.

In this 13-minute video, there is a discussion on how life naturally moves in cycles and how we can stay in balance and benefit from these natural cycles of change. You may expand the video to full-screen by clicking the double-arrow to the bottom right of the video screen.

Gary

We have added a new date for Super Thinking + Spanish.  Learn Spanish in four days this January 13 to 16.

spanish-course

Sunrise at our house outside Mt. Dora.

We are limiting the numbers keeping this one small so we can conduct it at our house as this will be the first seminar in which we add our teacher training.  See details here.

Funky Micro Business Ideas Over the Moon


See Funky Micro Business Idea below:  Over the Moon.

micro-business-idea

First… yesterday’s message was a micro business idea about good health shoes. I linked that article to the shoe website but got the link wrong. This was my fault for working too late and not doing the full job!

Here is the correct link to Walk the Walk Shoes.

Next.  Before we look at the over the moon micro business idea let’s remember a problem about this era’s change… that opportunity for most in big business is dead.

An excerpt from the New York Times article “American Dream Is Elusive for New Generation” by Louis Uchitelle reminds us of this fact when it says:
GRAFTON, Mass. — After breakfast, his parents left for their jobs, and Scott Nicholson, alone in the house in this comfortable suburb west of Boston, went to his laptop in the living room. He had placed it on a small table that his mother had used for a vase of flowers until her unemployed son found himself reluctantly stuck at home.

The daily routine seldom varied. Mr. Nicholson, 24, a graduate of Colgate University, winner of a dean’s award for academic excellence, spent his mornings searching corporate Web sites for suitable job openings. When he found one, he mailed off a résumé and cover letter — four or five a week, week after week.

Over the last five months, only one job materialized. After several interviews, the Hanover Insurance Group in nearby Worcester offered to hire him as an associate claims adjuster, at $40,000 a year. But even before the formal offer, Mr. Nicholson had decided not to take the job. Rather than waste early years in dead-end work, he reasoned, he would hold out for a corporate position that would draw on his college training and put him, as he sees it, on the bottom rungs of a career ladder.

“The conversation I’m going to have with my parents now that I’ve turned down this job is more of a concern to me than turning down the job,” he said.
He was braced for the conversation with his father in particular. While Scott Nicholson viewed the Hanover job as likely to stunt his career, David Nicholson, 57, accustomed to better times and easier mobility, viewed it as an opportunity. Once in the door, the father has insisted to his son, opportunities will present themselves — as they did in the father’s rise over 35 years to general manager of a manufacturing company.

“You maneuvered and you did not worry what the maneuvering would lead to,” the father said. “You knew it would lead to something good.”

Complicating the generational divide, Scott’s grandfather, William S. Nicholson, a World War II veteran and a retired stock broker, has watched what he described as America’s once mighty economic engine losing its pre-eminence in a global economy. The grandfather has encouraged his unemployed grandson to go abroad — to “Go West,” so to speak.

“I view what is happening to Scott with dismay,” said the grandfather, who has concluded, in part from reading The Economist, that Europe has surpassed America in offering opportunity for an ambitious young man. “We hate to think that Scott will have to leave,” the grandfather said, “but he will.”
The grandfather’s injunction startled the grandson. But as the weeks pass, Scott Nicholson, handsome as a Marine officer in a recruiting poster, has gradually realized that his career will not roll out in the Greater Boston area — or anywhere in America — with the easy inevitability that his father and grandfather recall, and that Scott thought would be his lot, too, when he finished college in 2008.

In this era, cradle to grave corporate opportunity has been dramatically diminished and all types of corporate career employment severely reduced. Technology reduces the need for a lot of middle management and technology has also created a global economy that makes other nations more competitive.

Examples of this fact we see here in North Carolina include Thomasville the furniture manufacture and Cannon Mills the largest maker of towels in the USA. Faced with rising labor costs Thomasville moved most of its operation to China. Many US jobs were lost.

Cannon stuck to their cradle to the grave with the US approach and went bust.

The end result?  In both examples US jobs were lost.

When we embrace change,  the technology that has destroyed the old era can make our lives even better because this technology enhances profits in micro businesses.

Micro businesses can be better than a job! With a micro you are the boss and can choose how to have self fulfillment…  and your business can be fun and can be unusual… funky… even off the wall.

This is why we created our Hall of Funky Micro Business ideas.

Here is a new funky business idea we can add to the hall.

Create  a funky tour business.

How odd can your tours be?

Very odd indeed… such as shown by this excerpt from a June 25, 2010 article in National Geographic entitled Mooning Over Solar Eclipses.

Tse2008_200_mo1
Photo (Composed of 55 Calibrated Images): Miloslav Druckmuller, Peter Aniol, Vojtech Rusin.

As day plunges into night, the faithful gaze skyward, murmuring in awe. They wear Mylar glasses, hoist cameras, join hands. They are “eclipse chasers,” and their numbers have been growing since the 1970s. Total solar eclipses occur every 18 months or so and are visible for just a few minutes from any one spot. As knowledge about them has trumped superstition, legions of fans have been flocking to the narrow strips on Earth where the moon can best be seen obscuring the sun.

This year Melita Thorpe, owner of an astronomy-themed travel agency, saw a hundred slots fill up by spring for a $6,000 July freighter trip to the South Pacific; dozens more devotees signed up for a sunset viewing of the same eclipse in Patagonia. Her biggest crowd in the agency’s 26 years: the 700 people she ferried to view a 1991 eclipse off the coast of Mazatlán, Mexico.

I have used this as an example only to show how esoteric one’s micro business ideas can be.  We do not encourage looking at eclipses. In Ecuador’s shamanic wisdom (and in India’s as well) being in an eclipse is really bad for one’s energy.

If paying $6,000 to look at the moon is not odd enough, how about paying $200,000 to fly over the moon?

Well maybe not over the moon… but into outer space at least.
micro-business-idea
Richard Branson and Virgin Galactic created a tour business to take people into outer space.
According to the company’s website 340 customers (the company calls them Virgin Galactic astronauts) have purchased tickets that cost $200,000 and deposits start from $20,000.
The Hobby Space website (see link below) has an article entitled “Space Tourism Personal Spaceflight for you” that says:

In April of 2001, Dennis Tito became the first traveler to pay for a trip to space with money out of his own pocket. He decided to do it and then just did it. That’s what tourism is all about. Since then four other “personal spaceflight participants” have traveled to the ISS. The trips were arranged by the company Space Adventures which has also set up the trip for Richard Garriott in the fall of 2008.

In October of 2004, Burt Rutan’s SpaceShipOne won the X PRIZE and thereby started a new race to develop the first vehicle that will provide suboribtal space rides to paying customers. Suborbital generally refers to an up-and-down ( i.e. mostly vertical) flight that reaches an altitude of around 100km or more but does not go into orbit around the earth.

Market studies by NASA and many other organizations have shown that there are sizable markets for space tourism, both suborbital and orbital, and that the markets will grow rapidly as the cost of sending a person into space drops from current levels.

Adventure tourism, such as trips to Antarctica or Mount Everest, has long been a profitable business. This can involve packages with prices as high as $100k range and even higher. (my bold)

What can be funkier than that… $100,000 to nearly reach space on a mountain top… or $200,000 to get in a space ship and do it.

Embrace change. If you have a micro business idea… no matter how odd… you may be able to gain fun… fulfillment and financial security creating your own micro tour business.

Gary

How We Can Serve You

2015 Schedule

Schedule 2015  Seminars and Courses

We conduct our Investment seminar at Jefferson Landing in Jefferson North Carolina.

Join Merri and me for all the courses and seminars that we’ll conduct to help you gain positive solutions to your economic, financial and lifestyle concerns.

Here is the courses we currently have scheduled in 2015. 

Invest Better than a Hedge Fund Manager.

Gain a one two punch on profits… experience and math at our October 17-18, 2015 Value Investment Seminar.  I’ll be joined by Michael Keppler.  Michael is one of the world’s foremost equity mathematical and statistical analysts.  Between us, we have almost 100 years of equity research experience.

Learn how to protect and increase your savings and wealth with easy to start, very slow trading, safe and secure, worry and stress free portfolios that provide proven long term profit potential.  Avoid the ups and downs that stock markets will see in the months ahead.

For example, many investors are surprised that shares seem wobbly now that the the US economy is looking so good?

Experienced investors however would be surprised if the markets were not shaken!

During the seminar we’ll share five reasons why we should expect a pull back in the US stock market now.

One reason for a stock crash is that the economic cycle is entering the boom stage.

economic cycle

There are three phases in the economy, recession, recovery and boom.   During the boom phase, there is rising inflation.  Short rates are pushed up.  Bond yields rise.  There is falling unemployment and P/E multiples expand.  This is a good time to take profits.

Another reason for declines in September and October is seasonality.

A Keppler study shows that most appreciation in most major equity markets, is achieved from the beginning of November through the end of May.

Michael wrote: “Gary, We have done extensive research on seasonality and I am proud to announce that a shortened version of a major study which I have coauthored with our Director of Research, Dr. Xing Hong Xue, will be published in the Winter Issue of the Journal of Investing.  Our research shows that basically in all major equity markets, nearly all returns are achieved from the beginning of November through the end of May.  All the best to you and Merri. Michael

Michael showed that over 30 Years Dow the Dow grew 8.16% overall.

There was 8.36% Growth in the months November through April.  There was 0.37 growth in the months May  to October.  $100 invested in the Dow grew to $848 overall over the 3o years.
$100 invested in the Dow grew to $1,067 if it were invested only in the months of November through April.  $100 invested in the Dow dropped to $79 if it were invested only in the months of May to October.

Historically the worst months for stock markets are September and October.   This week, the best chances for equity losses this year, have just begun.  Think risk aversion now and think ahead for profit making in November.

As a run up to my 50th year of speaking and writing about savings and investments around the world I asked my mathematical and tax genius friends to share a weekend with us to cut through the fog of rapid change and show us ways to invest better than hedge fund managers.

Hedge Funds were the fashionable place to invest in the 1990s, but since then their performance has been falling.

However some hedge fund managers succeeded for one simple reason… experience.  A Telegraph article “How can we avoid the next financial crisis?  Urgently listen to those who foresaw this one” explains why  a few managers succeeded, when it said:  It’s no coincidence that the biggest winners of the downturn – John Paulson, Paolo Pellegrini and Jeffrey Greene – were approaching 50 years of age. They retained vivid memories of past real-estate problems.  Youth was a detriment to pulling off the greatest trade ever and to preparing for the downturn.  

The successful hedge fund investors succeeded where most failed because of their experience.

I’ll provide the 50 years of experience at the seminar.  I have been through the rise of gold to over 800 an ounce (in the 1970s) and silver to $48.  I experienced the stock market’s bear that began in 1968, the Black Monday crash in 1987 when the Dow had its biggest one day drop ever and the dotcom bubble as well as the collapse in 2008.  I worked my way though the first dollar devaluation in 1971, the Plaza Accord arranged dollar collapse and two major downturns in the Japanese yen, plus invested through the 1970s, 1980s and late 2000 recessions.

We’ll share how these experiences prepares us for our investments now.

Michael Keppler provides the Math.

The idea of using math to find good value equity investments led me to ask mathematical analyst, Michael Keppler, to join us in the Blue Ridge for the seminar.

Fwd: keppler

Michael is a brilliant mathematician.  We have tracked his analysis for over 20 years.   He continually researches international major stock markets and compares their value based on current book to price, cash flow to price, earnings to price, average dividend yield, return on equity and cash flow return.  He compares each stock market’s history.  From this, he develops his Good Value Stock Market Strategy.  His analysis is rational, mathematical and does not cause worry about short term ups and downs.

Red Lining Your Investments

According to Keppler’s analyses, an equally-weighted combination of good value markets offers the highest expectation of long-term risk-adjusted performance.  His mathematical predictions have been eerily accurate as the red line below shows.

Each quarter Michael shares with me (and other professional investors) his “Total Return Predictions”.

Screen Shot 2015-07-16 at 7.23.02 PM

Click on chart to enlarge.

This chart shows the entire real-time forecasting history of Keppler for the KAM Equally-Weighted World Index, he started in 1993.  Keppler continually shows what his mathematical formulas predict for markets four years ahead.  These numbers are based on mathematical relationships between price and value over the previous 15 years moving forward in monthly increments.  In this way Keppler uses numbers to continually adjust to the ever-changing market norm.

Keppler’s chart includes two remarkable episodes.  The first in the period when global equity markets peaked and crashed over a five-year period from 1997  to 2001.  Keppler’s Equally-Weighted World Index predictions stayed above the upper forecast band and accurately predicted the recovery and how much global markets would rise.

The second remarkable period started in October 2008, when again Keppler’s forecasts accurately showed where markets would reach as they fell below the lower forecast band.

Imagine the extra profit professional investors have today when they invested in these depressed good value markets before they again rose.

Keppler’s projections now indicate that global markets are expected to rise from between 2.1%  and 13.0 % in the next three to five years.

Learn about Keppler’s projections and about Asset Allocation from Michael Keppler in person at our Value Investing Seminar October 17 & 18 in Jefferson, North Carolina.  

jefferson Landing

Our October seminar will be at the Jefferson Landing Country Club.

Enjoy the autumn leaf change and learn how to survive and prosper with value investments.

garyascott- leaf - change

Jefferson leaf change view.

Learn amazing tax benefits as well.  I have invited my tax preparer, Conrad Oertwig, to join us.  

Seven of tax secrets that Conrad will share include:

* How Dutch-treat entertainment allows you to deduct your own meals.

* How to entertain for business and help the charity of your choice because a charity sporting event produces double the deduction of a business meal.

* How one magic word can allow you to deduct your daily transportation costs between your home and another work location.

* How to earn an extra $11,425  by using antiques as office equipment.

* How to gain $12,976 by using two vehicles for business.

* How to reduce tax by having a second office in the home.

* How to travel by cruise ship and deduct up to $680 a day.

Plucking common sense from the tax law is time consuming and difficult work.  For more than 25 years, Conrad has gained great satisfaction by helping his clients extract tax dollars from the tax law.   He has over 400 tax savings tips and will share some of  the most important lessons at the seminar.

To help you get an early start on tax savings, I will send you Conrad’s report “7 Secrets to Paying Less Tax… for the One-Owner Business” when you enroll in the seminar.  I’ll also send you “The Silver Dip 2015” as soon as it is released.

Join Michael Keppler, Conrad Oertwig, Merri, and me, plus video presentations by Leslie Share, Eric Roseman, Thomas Fischer and Richard Smith.   The “Value Investing Seminar” looks at how to protect purchasing power and pensions with value investing.  The course teaches how to add safety and create profits by spotting multi currency and global equity cycles through good value mathematics.

Get “7 Secrets to Paying Less Tax & The Silver Dip 2015”.  Join us Saturday, Sunday, October 17-18, 2015, Jefferson, North Carolina.  Enroll here $499. Couple $799.

Hear from other speakers via video.  The seminar will include online presentations including:

One way to protect our wealth and freedom is to have a good attorney who understands how to use appropriate planning so you can also be protected rather than hurt by the tax laws.

Leslie Share:  How to use and benefit from US tax law living overseas and for wealth preservation.

les-share

Leslie has been our friend and adviser of more than 30 years, and I have asked him to speak to the seminar online at the October Value Investing seminar.  Leslie is an attorney in Coral Gables, Florida who specializes in general, corporate and international taxation, estate and gift tax planning, internal revenue service matters at the agent and appeals level plus most important, he specializes in wealth preservation.

He has the highest possible Peer Review Rating by Martindale-Hubbell, Florida Super Lawyers and The Best Lawyers in America.

Leslie is the type of attorney who can help gain asset and wealth protection if you live in the US or abroad.

The best way for boomers to protect their wealth is with good value income producing shares.  Not everyone can wait for their assets to grow.  Many need investments that create income now.

Eric Roseman: How to select good value income producing shares.

erci roseman

Eric Roseman

I have worked with Eric for decades and use his ability to select good value income producing shares.  Understanding the intrinsic value of any equity is an elusive concept, but one of the best ways to assess value is by looking at the income it generates.  Eric is a master at sniffing out the shares that provide a good income now as well as potential appreciation later.  Learn from his strategic ideas for current market conditions.

Thomas Fischer:  The impact of  multi currency leverage leverage on portfolios.

thomas-fischer

Thomas Fischer has been a friend and investment adviser for nearly two decades.  As a former currency trader in Germany and London, he has a keen sense of currency fundamentals and how and when to use leverage.

Richard Smith: How to overcome the behavior gap with Trailing Stops.

dr richard smith

Dr. Richard Smith, founder and CEO of TradeStops.  Richard earned a PhD in Math and Systems Science, and even he had to learn the hard way that it takes more than intelligence to win in the game of investing.  He has spent the last 10 years researching and developing algorithms and services that give individual investors the tools they need to remain in their personal investing comfort zone, and to succeed!  With his background in mathematical theories of uncertainty combined with his own investing and trading experience, Dr. Smith understands risk management and how to use it as a self-directed investor to master the market.

Finally at the seminar I’ll review the 50 Golden Rules of Investing.  Learn how to protect against shady investment advice, unreasonable and hidden fees.  Learn how to protect yourself from your own emotions.  Learn when it is best to buy shares and determine which type of share is best for you.  Find out how to avoid the loss fear syndrome and stop getting caught by great sounding stories that can rob your wealth.

In 1986 I wrote  a report called the Silver Dip that showed how to borrow 12,000 British pounds (US$18,600) and use the loan to buy 3835 ounces of silver at around US$4.85 an ounce.

Silver had crashed in 1986, I mean really crashed, from $48 per ounce.   As prices decreased from early 1983 into 1986, total supply had fallen to  449.7 million ounces in 1986.  Mine production was restricted by the low prices at this time, with silver reaching a low for this period of $4.85 in May 1986. Secondary recovery also was constricted by these low prices.

Then silver’s price skyrocketed to over $11 an ounce within a year. The 12,000 pound loan purchased silver that rose to be worth $42,185.

The loan was in pounds and in May 1986 the dollar pound rate was 1.55 dollars per pound.  So the 12,000 pound loan had purchased $18,600 of silver.  The pound then crashed to  1.40 dollars per silver.  The loan could be paid off  for  $13,285 immediately creating a $5,314 profit.  So the profit grew to $47,499 in just a year.

This is why the “Silver Dip 2015” will be one of the seven portfolios, the most speculative, we will study at our October 17-18 Investment Seminar in Jefferson, North Carolina..

This is also why I am releasing a new “Silver Dip 2015” report.  The same conditions are in place for gold and the Silver Dip looks at both speculations in silver and gold.

There is also another, much safer, once every 30 year opportunity that I have described in a short, but powerful report “Three Currency Patterns for 50% Profits or More.”  This report shows how to earn an extra 50% from currency shifts with even small good value investments.  The mathematics behind the idea of this investment strategy are currently extraordinary.  Currency diversification has always been important for safety, but right now a multi- currency opportunity is brewing and has more profit potential than we have seen in over three decades.

Our Investing Seminars started 32 years ago when one of the best set of three currency and equity conditions ever existed.  Over these decades, our semi annual seminars have updated what’s going on in global investment markets and what to do.  Yet in all those years, few times have conditions offered as much long term opportunity as in 1982.   The Dow alone rose from 1,000 to 14,000 in that period.

Then the cycle ended.  Warren Buffet explained the importance of this ending in a 1999 Fortune magazine interview.  He said: Let me summarize what I’ve been saying about the stock market: I think it’s very hard to come up with a persuasive case that equities will over the next 17 years perform anything like—anything like—they’ve performed in the past 17!

Now three of the great economic conditions have returned.

Conditions have come together just as we saw at our first seminars in the 1980s.  The US dollar, the US stock market and the price of oil are acting almost exactly as they did in the early 1980s.  Knowing these conditions and why they have merged and what to do about them can help you create a fortune.

Learn how to gain this potential (we’ll review three ways to accomplish this at the seminar) in the Keppler Good Value Country Strategy with ETFs (Country Index Exchange Traded Funds).  For example there are currently ten good value developed markets, Australia, Austria, France, Germany, Hong Kong, Italy, Japan, Norway, Singapore and the United Kingdom.  You can easily create a diversified portfolio in each or all of these ten countries with Country Index ETFs.

We review Country Index ETFs at the seminar and look at specific portfolios you can create to tap into these three economic conditions.

Share my 50 years of experience. Gain advice that is sterling as we head towards my golden anniversary of writing about saving, finance and investing.  Our value investing seminars are filled with valuable information but we have fun and take time to relax and socialize as well.

We look forward to joining us this October.

Gary

Saturday, Sunday, October 17-18, 2015, Jefferson, North Carolina.

Join Michael Keppler, Conrad Oertwig, Merri and me.  Enroll here $499. Couple $799.

 

See the Hobby Space website here.

See the VirginGalactic website here.

Read  American Dream Is Elusive for New Generation

Smalltown USA – 4th Front Expands


Last week’s message looked at the benefits of being in Smalltown USA due to a war on four fronts.

The third front appears to be expanding in part at least to the concerns we commented on last week… excessive police force.

Excerpts from a Los Angeles Times article entitled “Mexico protests shooting death of teen at Texas border” by Tracy Wilkinson and Richard A. Serrano confirms this when it says:

The second border death in two weeks roils U.S.-Mexican relations. U.S. officials say a Border Patrol agent was attacked while trying to arrest suspected illegal immigrants and opened fire.

Alejandro Bringas / Reuters

Reporting from Mexico City and Washington — For the second time in less than two weeks, the death of a Mexican national at the hands of U.S. border agents is outraging Mexicans and testing relations between the two countries.

The Mexican government Wednesday vigorously protested the shooting this week of a 15-year-old boy at Mexico’s border with Texas. The boy, Sergio Hernandez Guereca, died of a wound to the face. U.S. officials say he died after a Border Patrol agent opened fire Monday night on a group of Mexicans throwing rocks at the agent, who was attempting to arrest suspected illegal immigrant

Mexican President Felipe Calderon said Tuesday that his government “will use all resources available to protect the rights of Mexican migrants.”

The government “reiterates its rejection to the disproportionate use of force on the part on U.S. authorities on the border with Mexico,” the president added in a statement.

It’s about the Money!

I have no strong opinion on increased regulation on the border.  This is a complex issue.  I do not live there so I am not one to judge.

However I do see that there are economic consequences that affect me… and just about everyone in the world.  The US is spending more and more on security, defense and regulation and less and less on education, health advances and infrastructure.   We have hundreds of miles of fence on the border but our bridges are falling down… our roads have potholes.  Even cutting back in these vital areas… the nation’s spending far overshadows its income. This deficit and the huge debt accumulated so far will affect the US dollar… cause inflation and social disorder.  Which by the way, may create increased stress which will lead to increased drug use… which will lead to… I think you get the picture.

In short, the money will affect all of our ifestyles.

There has always been a movement of people.

One of life’s great ironies, is that the immigration problem in the US is creating immigration concerns in other countries when  Americans leave the US.

A reader commented on this when she wrote:  “Gary, I’ve received your email newsletter for about six months now.  I have been interested in real estate in Ecuador for about a year.  I’ve been to Ecuador twice in the past year, and am going again July 1.  On the one hand I understand your enthusiasm for Ecuador, but on the other I wonder how pushing Ecuador real estate will impact the local population?  Obviously if you are a property holder, it’s a good thing; but if you’re not, but hope to be, outside money could push many locals out of the market.  Is this creating any kind of animosity toward outsiders?  I’d appreciate your insight on this.  I am an economist with a focus on international finance, so I enjoy all aspects of your writings.  Regards.”

My reply was that this movement of people has been a never ending story since the beginning of time..everywhere, neighborhood to neighborhood, city to city, county to county and country to country.

So far the majority of Ecuadorians love us….as much or more as our neighbors here in North Carolina’s Blue Ridge mountains.

Most Ecuadorians cannot afford property because the locals were pushed out of the market by the Spanish about 500 years ago…just as American natives in the US were pushed out by the English, Germans, Irish, Scots, Italians, Chinese and others who arrived here.

Our arrival in Ecuador creates jobs, hope and a chance that many more Ecuadorians will be able to own their own land.

However the problem goes beyond just a few investors arriving from the US, Canada, Span, Italy and many from Colombia and Peru.   This is a time of transition for Ecuador with the final phase of the colonial hierarchal system nearing its end.  Whether the locals in Ecuador like it or not…just as people in many other countries do not like it, we all live in a global economy.   Many Americans did not like selling so much property to the Japanese in the 1980s.  The Floridians gripe when the Snowbirds come south. Yet they sell. they take the Snowbirds’ money and if they are too fed up, the Floridians move to North Carolina… where the North Carolinians gripe about the inflow of Floridians.

I am a full blooded American…born and raised in the USA…as you can get yet for most of my life have been an immigrant. First I was a long nose foreign devil in Hong Kong.  Then a Yank in England… then a Snowbird in Florida… then a gringo in Ecuador and a Floridiot in North Carolina.

I wear an all American wardrobe beginning with my American Converse tennis shoes (made in China), my American Wrangler jeans (made in Mexico), my American Fruit of the Loom underwear (made in El Salvador) and my American Van Heusen shirt (made in Bangladesh).

So even if I had stayed in my hometown, unless I had planned on running around shoeless and naked, I would have encroached on people in other countries…pushed up property prices for factories… created jobs… helped feed families… but also created pollution in third world nations.

My first book “Passport to International Profit” was published in the early 1970s and included a chapter on “border blindness.”  This chapter looked at how political borders are illusions that support hidden agendas for the few who encourage them. 

It said: Borders are transcended by almost all human emotions. Get a pretty Italian and handsome Irishman together and they will fall in love. Put a Mexican with a cheaper tomato next to a hungry Canadian and the Canadian will get out his loonies and buy the tomato. Put an Englishman and Frenchman in a sinking ship and they will both bail water.

The market place of humanity tramples borders. The deepest nature of our existence supports free trade and free movement of all to anywhere in the world.

I have never argued for or against globalization and or people crossing borders… legally or illegally.   I do believe though that right or wrong… human nature being what it is… globalization will continue to expand.  Also the poor will continue to move to places where they can work and earn.

I also believe that excessive expenditures to try and stop the tide of these forces can put a currency, economy and even an entire country at risk.

Modern communications and transportation have made globalization even more likely.   For example in Ecuador broadband has changed the way we can live in Cotacachi. 

We are, at the deepest level of our being, all citizens of the world.  It is logical and correct that we trade with those who serve us best…whether they bring products to us (like the tomatoes, shirts, shoes, pants and even underwear) or we go to the product (real estate abroad).

I have found that if one treats people with fairness and respect, these courtesies will be returned.  This was as true when we moved from Hong Kong to England to Florida to Ecuador to Ashe County, North Carolina…where Floridians are called “Floridiots” by many Blue Ridge locals.  Also, I’d like to note that on our real estate tours for over 6 months, we see properties being sold from month to month…AND the interesting thing is that these properties are being bought by Ecuadorians themselves!

How would I like to see this globalization evolve?

I can sum this up by quoting some dialogue from my novel the “65th Octave”.

In this book, the hero and heroine, Robin MacAllen and Talking Panther, stumble across a group of Controllers who try to gain control of the world’s economy. These Controllers accumulate huge amounts of shares and dump them after creating terror in the marketplace. With their extensive cash hoards, they buy up the market for pennies on the dollar. Released well before the September attack on freedom, I worried the premise was far fetched. Now the plot hardly seems dramatic enough!

Here is one of Talking Panther’s dialogues.

“In the beginning, we were one. We were in the middle and this was good. All knew the other and all were in harmony with nature. Then some of us wandered and left the middle. Some went west. Others east. We lost touch.

“In the east and the west as they settled, they forgot that there was a middle. For their sons, the east and the west became the middle. Those in the west saw the sunrise and called it the beginning as those in the east saw the same sun setting and called it the end. The difference was confusing and the confusion made the difference an issue.

“In the beginning we were one. We were united by all that was common.  Then as we moved we became united by all that was different. Spread apart the view was beyond the vision of the eagle and it became easier to look at the horizon than beyond.

“Few could see that we are still part of a whole.

“This was the beginning of ignorance and its son fear. Fear made each feel less and made each want to be more. Fear blinded the truth that all are equal and that we really are all one.”

My preference is that we all got along… we are all honest… we get rid of most rules and regulations and live by a few simple ideals based on self respect and respect for others.  I however am not expecting this to happen anytime soon.

I expect the border situation to deteriorate. I expect more rules… more regulations and a reduced lifestyle for most.  The recent events on the border reinforces this belief.

My solutions are to look for good value investments in commodities, shares and real estate… diversified globally.  Plus to work hard at keeping a micro business that is fun, fulfilling and makes a positive contribution to society and the world.

Why Micro a Business?

Small is now more beautiful than ever before.

Every other year Jyske Bank has a wonderful summer investment seminar and I have had the privilege to speak at these seminars for many years.  Merri and I have been invited again for this summer’s learning and festivities.   We look forward to Jyske’s August 17, 2010 seminar.

The seminar always begins at the Copenhagen headquarters in a grand old building in the center of town where the bankers speak a little and feed us a lot of beautiful, fresh food in the company dining room.

I am always impressed that the bankers themselves wait on tables and serve us.

The building’s history gives us a bit of architectural awe and since Jyske are not normal bankers they really do work hard to entertain. Normally there are 70 to 100 delegates from all over the world. I have met Australians, Ecuadorians, Swiss, Germans, Danes, Swedes, Taiwanese, Canadians, French, Austrians,  Ukrainains. Bulgarians, Ghanans, Spanish, British and  South Africans to name a few and we all have a genuinely fun time as well as learn a lot.

I was especially impressed with a speaker at one Jyske, Ian Pierson, the head futurist for British Telecom. He is really a bright guy, but I was a bit astounded when he said “British Telecom is working on the premise that we won’t pay for telephone calls in a decade”.

I am less amazed now.

Ian was author of the book “Business 2010″ as well and  one comment he made was, “In the future a company’s value will be its ideas, less its size and experience”.

Let me clarify that small can still be  profitable.

Merri and I continually pride ourselves for having one the the smallest but most profitable web based businesses.

How rich can you become by starting small?

We have probably more cash in the bank than we’ll ever spend. We have our 252 acre farm with two houses and five cabins in the Blue Ridge… owned free and clear.

We have our Florida home with a 12 acre orange grove… our Ecuador beach apartment… Ecuador beach condos… a Cotacachi house and apartments there plus our hotel.

ecuador-passion

Our Ecuador beach condo balcony.

Plus we have the hotel.

Cotacachi-dining

 All of this is owned free and clear..  paid for and supported by our small micro web business.

We have no debt in Ecuador… or anywhere… period.

Yet we are one of the tiniest businesses around.  Merri and I work from home offices deep in the woods of the Blue Ridge, or tucked into our Florida grove and in hidden deep in Ecuador. Our hotel has staff yes. So too does our farm… but our web business has just Merri, me, one part time and our webmaster.

The point? You do not have to have a huge operation to earn and live very well.

And we try to stay that way! Small (but profitable). This keeps life simple… easier to enjoy.

Plus small businesses tend to attract less rules, regulations and government interference.

Your own business greatly increases your chance of becoming financially independent even when your business remains small.

Join Merri and me in Copenhagen for another big value.  The strong US dollar makes this the year to enjoy Europe. The rising US dollar  for Jyske’s August seminar in Copenhagen dropped the fee from about $2,050 to $1,700, a 15% discount.

See details about Jyske’s bi annual Copenhagen seminar here Global Wealth Management Seminar.

Gary

How We Can Serve You

2015 Schedule

Schedule 2015  Seminars and Courses

We conduct our Investment seminar at Jefferson Landing in Jefferson North Carolina.

Join Merri and me for all the courses and seminars that we’ll conduct to help you gain positive solutions to your economic, financial and lifestyle concerns.

Here is the courses we currently have scheduled in 2015. 

Invest Better than a Hedge Fund Manager.

Gain a one two punch on profits… experience and math at our October 17-18, 2015 Value Investment Seminar.  I’ll be joined by Michael Keppler.  Michael is one of the world’s foremost equity mathematical and statistical analysts.  Between us, we have almost 100 years of equity research experience.

Learn how to protect and increase your savings and wealth with easy to start, very slow trading, safe and secure, worry and stress free portfolios that provide proven long term profit potential.  Avoid the ups and downs that stock markets will see in the months ahead.

For example, many investors are surprised that shares seem wobbly now that the the US economy is looking so good?

Experienced investors however would be surprised if the markets were not shaken!

During the seminar we’ll share five reasons why we should expect a pull back in the US stock market now.

One reason for a stock crash is that the economic cycle is entering the boom stage.

economic cycle

There are three phases in the economy, recession, recovery and boom.   During the boom phase, there is rising inflation.  Short rates are pushed up.  Bond yields rise.  There is falling unemployment and P/E multiples expand.  This is a good time to take profits.

Another reason for declines in September and October is seasonality.

A Keppler study shows that most appreciation in most major equity markets, is achieved from the beginning of November through the end of May.

Michael wrote: “Gary, We have done extensive research on seasonality and I am proud to announce that a shortened version of a major study which I have coauthored with our Director of Research, Dr. Xing Hong Xue, will be published in the Winter Issue of the Journal of Investing.  Our research shows that basically in all major equity markets, nearly all returns are achieved from the beginning of November through the end of May.  All the best to you and Merri. Michael

Michael showed that over 30 Years Dow the Dow grew 8.16% overall.

There was 8.36% Growth in the months November through April.  There was 0.37 growth in the months May  to October.  $100 invested in the Dow grew to $848 overall over the 3o years.
$100 invested in the Dow grew to $1,067 if it were invested only in the months of November through April.  $100 invested in the Dow dropped to $79 if it were invested only in the months of May to October.

Historically the worst months for stock markets are September and October.   This week, the best chances for equity losses this year, have just begun.  Think risk aversion now and think ahead for profit making in November.

As a run up to my 50th year of speaking and writing about savings and investments around the world I asked my mathematical and tax genius friends to share a weekend with us to cut through the fog of rapid change and show us ways to invest better than hedge fund managers.

Hedge Funds were the fashionable place to invest in the 1990s, but since then their performance has been falling.

However some hedge fund managers succeeded for one simple reason… experience.  A Telegraph article “How can we avoid the next financial crisis?  Urgently listen to those who foresaw this one” explains why  a few managers succeeded, when it said:  It’s no coincidence that the biggest winners of the downturn – John Paulson, Paolo Pellegrini and Jeffrey Greene – were approaching 50 years of age. They retained vivid memories of past real-estate problems.  Youth was a detriment to pulling off the greatest trade ever and to preparing for the downturn.  

The successful hedge fund investors succeeded where most failed because of their experience.

I’ll provide the 50 years of experience at the seminar.  I have been through the rise of gold to over 800 an ounce (in the 1970s) and silver to $48.  I experienced the stock market’s bear that began in 1968, the Black Monday crash in 1987 when the Dow had its biggest one day drop ever and the dotcom bubble as well as the collapse in 2008.  I worked my way though the first dollar devaluation in 1971, the Plaza Accord arranged dollar collapse and two major downturns in the Japanese yen, plus invested through the 1970s, 1980s and late 2000 recessions.

We’ll share how these experiences prepares us for our investments now.

Michael Keppler provides the Math.

The idea of using math to find good value equity investments led me to ask mathematical analyst, Michael Keppler, to join us in the Blue Ridge for the seminar.

Fwd: keppler

Michael is a brilliant mathematician.  We have tracked his analysis for over 20 years.   He continually researches international major stock markets and compares their value based on current book to price, cash flow to price, earnings to price, average dividend yield, return on equity and cash flow return.  He compares each stock market’s history.  From this, he develops his Good Value Stock Market Strategy.  His analysis is rational, mathematical and does not cause worry about short term ups and downs.

Red Lining Your Investments

According to Keppler’s analyses, an equally-weighted combination of good value markets offers the highest expectation of long-term risk-adjusted performance.  His mathematical predictions have been eerily accurate as the red line below shows.

Each quarter Michael shares with me (and other professional investors) his “Total Return Predictions”.

Screen Shot 2015-07-16 at 7.23.02 PM

Click on chart to enlarge.

This chart shows the entire real-time forecasting history of Keppler for the KAM Equally-Weighted World Index, he started in 1993.  Keppler continually shows what his mathematical formulas predict for markets four years ahead.  These numbers are based on mathematical relationships between price and value over the previous 15 years moving forward in monthly increments.  In this way Keppler uses numbers to continually adjust to the ever-changing market norm.

Keppler’s chart includes two remarkable episodes.  The first in the period when global equity markets peaked and crashed over a five-year period from 1997  to 2001.  Keppler’s Equally-Weighted World Index predictions stayed above the upper forecast band and accurately predicted the recovery and how much global markets would rise.

The second remarkable period started in October 2008, when again Keppler’s forecasts accurately showed where markets would reach as they fell below the lower forecast band.

Imagine the extra profit professional investors have today when they invested in these depressed good value markets before they again rose.

Keppler’s projections now indicate that global markets are expected to rise from between 2.1%  and 13.0 % in the next three to five years.

Learn about Keppler’s projections and about Asset Allocation from Michael Keppler in person at our Value Investing Seminar October 17 & 18 in Jefferson, North Carolina.  

jefferson Landing

Our October seminar will be at the Jefferson Landing Country Club.

Enjoy the autumn leaf change and learn how to survive and prosper with value investments.

garyascott- leaf - change

Jefferson leaf change view.

Learn amazing tax benefits as well.  I have invited my tax preparer, Conrad Oertwig, to join us.  

Seven of tax secrets that Conrad will share include:

* How Dutch-treat entertainment allows you to deduct your own meals.

* How to entertain for business and help the charity of your choice because a charity sporting event produces double the deduction of a business meal.

* How one magic word can allow you to deduct your daily transportation costs between your home and another work location.

* How to earn an extra $11,425  by using antiques as office equipment.

* How to gain $12,976 by using two vehicles for business.

* How to reduce tax by having a second office in the home.

* How to travel by cruise ship and deduct up to $680 a day.

Plucking common sense from the tax law is time consuming and difficult work.  For more than 25 years, Conrad has gained great satisfaction by helping his clients extract tax dollars from the tax law.   He has over 400 tax savings tips and will share some of  the most important lessons at the seminar.

To help you get an early start on tax savings, I will send you Conrad’s report “7 Secrets to Paying Less Tax… for the One-Owner Business” when you enroll in the seminar.  I’ll also send you “The Silver Dip 2015” as soon as it is released.

Join Michael Keppler, Conrad Oertwig, Merri, and me, plus video presentations by Leslie Share, Eric Roseman, Thomas Fischer and Richard Smith.   The “Value Investing Seminar” looks at how to protect purchasing power and pensions with value investing.  The course teaches how to add safety and create profits by spotting multi currency and global equity cycles through good value mathematics.

Get “7 Secrets to Paying Less Tax & The Silver Dip 2015”.  Join us Saturday, Sunday, October 17-18, 2015, Jefferson, North Carolina.  Enroll here $499. Couple $799.

Hear from other speakers via video.  The seminar will include online presentations including:

One way to protect our wealth and freedom is to have a good attorney who understands how to use appropriate planning so you can also be protected rather than hurt by the tax laws.

Leslie Share:  How to use and benefit from US tax law living overseas and for wealth preservation.

les-share

Leslie has been our friend and adviser of more than 30 years, and I have asked him to speak to the seminar online at the October Value Investing seminar.  Leslie is an attorney in Coral Gables, Florida who specializes in general, corporate and international taxation, estate and gift tax planning, internal revenue service matters at the agent and appeals level plus most important, he specializes in wealth preservation.

He has the highest possible Peer Review Rating by Martindale-Hubbell, Florida Super Lawyers and The Best Lawyers in America.

Leslie is the type of attorney who can help gain asset and wealth protection if you live in the US or abroad.

The best way for boomers to protect their wealth is with good value income producing shares.  Not everyone can wait for their assets to grow.  Many need investments that create income now.

Eric Roseman: How to select good value income producing shares.

erci roseman

Eric Roseman

I have worked with Eric for decades and use his ability to select good value income producing shares.  Understanding the intrinsic value of any equity is an elusive concept, but one of the best ways to assess value is by looking at the income it generates.  Eric is a master at sniffing out the shares that provide a good income now as well as potential appreciation later.  Learn from his strategic ideas for current market conditions.

Thomas Fischer:  The impact of  multi currency leverage leverage on portfolios.

thomas-fischer

Thomas Fischer has been a friend and investment adviser for nearly two decades.  As a former currency trader in Germany and London, he has a keen sense of currency fundamentals and how and when to use leverage.

Richard Smith: How to overcome the behavior gap with Trailing Stops.

dr richard smith

Dr. Richard Smith, founder and CEO of TradeStops.  Richard earned a PhD in Math and Systems Science, and even he had to learn the hard way that it takes more than intelligence to win in the game of investing.  He has spent the last 10 years researching and developing algorithms and services that give individual investors the tools they need to remain in their personal investing comfort zone, and to succeed!  With his background in mathematical theories of uncertainty combined with his own investing and trading experience, Dr. Smith understands risk management and how to use it as a self-directed investor to master the market.

Finally at the seminar I’ll review the 50 Golden Rules of Investing.  Learn how to protect against shady investment advice, unreasonable and hidden fees.  Learn how to protect yourself from your own emotions.  Learn when it is best to buy shares and determine which type of share is best for you.  Find out how to avoid the loss fear syndrome and stop getting caught by great sounding stories that can rob your wealth.

In 1986 I wrote  a report called the Silver Dip that showed how to borrow 12,000 British pounds (US$18,600) and use the loan to buy 3835 ounces of silver at around US$4.85 an ounce.

Silver had crashed in 1986, I mean really crashed, from $48 per ounce.   As prices decreased from early 1983 into 1986, total supply had fallen to  449.7 million ounces in 1986.  Mine production was restricted by the low prices at this time, with silver reaching a low for this period of $4.85 in May 1986. Secondary recovery also was constricted by these low prices.

Then silver’s price skyrocketed to over $11 an ounce within a year. The 12,000 pound loan purchased silver that rose to be worth $42,185.

The loan was in pounds and in May 1986 the dollar pound rate was 1.55 dollars per pound.  So the 12,000 pound loan had purchased $18,600 of silver.  The pound then crashed to  1.40 dollars per silver.  The loan could be paid off  for  $13,285 immediately creating a $5,314 profit.  So the profit grew to $47,499 in just a year.

This is why the “Silver Dip 2015” will be one of the seven portfolios, the most speculative, we will study at our October 17-18 Investment Seminar in Jefferson, North Carolina..

This is also why I am releasing a new “Silver Dip 2015” report.  The same conditions are in place for gold and the Silver Dip looks at both speculations in silver and gold.

There is also another, much safer, once every 30 year opportunity that I have described in a short, but powerful report “Three Currency Patterns for 50% Profits or More.”  This report shows how to earn an extra 50% from currency shifts with even small good value investments.  The mathematics behind the idea of this investment strategy are currently extraordinary.  Currency diversification has always been important for safety, but right now a multi- currency opportunity is brewing and has more profit potential than we have seen in over three decades.

Our Investing Seminars started 32 years ago when one of the best set of three currency and equity conditions ever existed.  Over these decades, our semi annual seminars have updated what’s going on in global investment markets and what to do.  Yet in all those years, few times have conditions offered as much long term opportunity as in 1982.   The Dow alone rose from 1,000 to 14,000 in that period.

Then the cycle ended.  Warren Buffet explained the importance of this ending in a 1999 Fortune magazine interview.  He said: Let me summarize what I’ve been saying about the stock market: I think it’s very hard to come up with a persuasive case that equities will over the next 17 years perform anything like—anything like—they’ve performed in the past 17!

Now three of the great economic conditions have returned.

Conditions have come together just as we saw at our first seminars in the 1980s.  The US dollar, the US stock market and the price of oil are acting almost exactly as they did in the early 1980s.  Knowing these conditions and why they have merged and what to do about them can help you create a fortune.

Learn how to gain this potential (we’ll review three ways to accomplish this at the seminar) in the Keppler Good Value Country Strategy with ETFs (Country Index Exchange Traded Funds).  For example there are currently ten good value developed markets, Australia, Austria, France, Germany, Hong Kong, Italy, Japan, Norway, Singapore and the United Kingdom.  You can easily create a diversified portfolio in each or all of these ten countries with Country Index ETFs.

We review Country Index ETFs at the seminar and look at specific portfolios you can create to tap into these three economic conditions.

Share my 50 years of experience. Gain advice that is sterling as we head towards my golden anniversary of writing about saving, finance and investing.  Our value investing seminars are filled with valuable information but we have fun and take time to relax and socialize as well.

We look forward to joining us this October.

Gary

Saturday, Sunday, October 17-18, 2015, Jefferson, North Carolina.

Join Michael Keppler, Conrad Oertwig, Merri and me.  Enroll here $499. Couple $799.

 

Mexico protests shooting death of teen at Texas border

Ecuador Stock Market


See below why I am not buying into the Ecuador stock market… or any stock market at all.

First, let me be clear… there is not much of an Ecuador  stock market… never has been and probably won’t be for quite a while.

Merri and I do own a few Ecuador shares… in Cemento, an Ecuador cement company,  but these were purchased years ago when Ecuador had a stock market beginning to boom. Then the economy and sucre collapsed and all the Ecuador banking shares (including the ones we held) rushed to zero.

The Ecuador cement shares were all that was left… along with a lesson learned.

Yet there are two other reasons why you’ll not see many Ecuador equities in my portfolio.

In fact, you won’t see many stocks in our portfolio at all.  A review of my recent total asset allocation shows that I hold only 3% in equities.

An excerpt from our recent Multi Currency Update shows that I do not hold many shares at all and why I am not buying more now.

Last week my account adviser at Jyske Global Asset Management sent me this note.

Gary, The USD on the move!  The main focus this week has been on the FX market. We have had a long period of a declining US Dollar against most other currencies. The market participants have been waiting for an excuse to take profits. The market got its excuse last week, where we for the first time saw better than expected US unemployment figures. The non-farm payrolls where better than expected and the unemployment rate dropped to 10%. When the numbers hit the market the EUR/USD was trading above 1.5000 and during this week the USD strengthened approximately 5%, currently trading at 1.4350.

The correction of the EUR/USD also indicates that the psychology in the market could have changed. During 2009 improving economic figures led to a risk-on scenario where investors began  to diversify in to  more speculative markets and at the same time exiting the USD safe-haven. The change in psychology has resulted in a focus on possibly increasing interest rates as the economies worldwide begin to improve. The US economy shows signs of improvement and investors are thus beginning to focus on being long USD assets.

The FED however announced no change in the FED funds after their meeting on Wednesday. Bernanke told the market on the following press conference that the interest rate would remain unchanged until the economy is back on track and we see a significant drop in the unemployment rate. We therefore believe that the current strength in USD is temporary and we do expect the EUR/USD to turn around and once again go toward our target of 1.5500.

The main focus in Europe during the week has been on the down grading of the sovereign debt of Greece to BBB+, by both FITCH and S&P. Both rating agencies, still have Greece on a negative watch. The 10 year government bond of Greece now pays a historical 250 bps more than a 10 year German government bond.

Norway once again increased their interest rate with 25 bps, from 1.5% to 1.75%. Norway has seen an increase in the private consumption and a hot real estate market. The Central bank of Norway thus chose to increase the interest rate, even though the industrial production in Norway still suffers.

That note from my adviser cemented my thinking that the greenback’s upswing creates a good time to further reduce US dollar positions. I am reducing my euro positions as well.

The global economy continues to upswing and eventually interest rates will be heading up…. bit equities are at risk due to the chances of another economic slowdown and massive government economic stimulation that has supported high risk speculation.

So last week I added more emerging currencies with higher interest rates by liquidating my Jyske Invest Danish Bond Fund and Jyske Invest Euro Bond Fund.

I used the proceeds to purchase higher interest rate bonds away from the euro and mostly into the dollar zone but not the US dollar itself.

I purchased:

NOK 4% Rabo Bank 29.05.2013 (AAA)     101,25   3,60% p.a.
CAD 4,95% KFW October 2014  (AAA)      109,60  2,80% p.a.
EUR 7,25% Bombardier 15.11.2016 (BB+) 102,25  6,70% p.a.
AUD 6,00% EIB 14.08.2013 (AAA)            101,60   5,50% p.a.
NZD 6,50% EIB 10.09.2014 (AAA)            104,50   5,39% p.a
MXN 8% Bonos 19.12.2013 (A+)               103,60   6,97% p.a.
BRL 11,25% EIB 14.02.2013 (AAA)           104,75   9,41% p.a.

I also sold my Hungarian government bonds and bought the Polish bond below with the proceeds.

PLN 6,50% EIB 12.08.2014   (AAA)            107,00   4,77% p.a.

I see any period of US dollar strength as an opportunity to exit the greenback and accumulate other currencies.

Learn how to get my regular portfolio updates.

The personal reasons why I do not invest much in shares is based on three cornerstones in Merri’s and my lifestyle and investing philosophy.

Cornerstone #1:   Know Thyself.

Cornerstone #2: Be True to Thyself.

Cornerstone #3: Turn Your Passion into Profit.

Merri and I love our business. We earn more than enough from it and…  we gain enormous fulfillment from serving others.

Plus we love buying and fixing up real estate. If you have been sharing this site from long you have read our escapades buying real estate in North Carolina, Ecuador and now again in Florida.

We love fixing up real estate in Ecuador and…

Ecuador-house-for-sale

on our North Carolina farm…

golden-mean

and…

ecuador-future

at the lakefront in Florida.

On the dark side, we hate accounting. We cannot read balance sheets… nor do we trust them much… so we tend to avoid equities… which historically overall are the best investments of all…. if… you ignore the three cornerstones.

We only have two shares… Bank of Florida and Jyske Bank…. because we know (and like) the people and the concepts involved.  Plus we understand the financial business.  Otherwise the most we do in shares… even though we have helped others make many millions in the stock market… is buy ETFS or mutual funds.

When we invest in shares there are three factors we continually look for…

Investing Factor #1: Contrasts.

Investing Factor #2: Trends.

Investing Factor #3: Value.

We are always looking for contrasts in value that will eventually create trends.

This is why we began buying real estate in Florida and are not investing in many equities now.  A recent New York Times article “New Slip in Housing Prices Undercuts Fragile Optimism” by David Streitfeld explains why.  Here is an excerpt:

Just as the economy is finally beginning to strengthen, the real estate market is showing new signs of deterioration.  Prices slipped in many cities in October, new figures show, despite low mortgage rates and a generous tax credit meant to spur sales. Now rates are starting to rise, making it harder for many buyers to afford a house, and the tax credit seems to be losing its capacity to lure them into the market.

The renewed worries about housing come against a backdrop of improvement in the broader economy.  Surveys suggest consumers are growing more confident. That better mood probably helped improve holiday retail sales. The number of people joining the ranks of the jobless is dwindling, while the hiring of temporary workers is up, a traditional harbinger of recovery.

Still, economic growth for the third quarter was more modest than originally reported; it was revised down to an annual rate of 2.2 percent from 2.8 percent. Many economists are fretting that housing could drag down the tenuous recovery.

The figures released Tuesday showed that the Standard & Poor’s/Case-Shiller home price index, a widely watched measure of housing markets in 20 metropolitan areas, rose 0.4 percent in October from the previous month on a seasonally adjusted basis.
It was the fifth consecutive month that prices were up, but the rate of increase has dropped sharply from the impressive gains of the summer. Prices in nine of the 20 cities were flat or down.

“I’m worried. Everyone’s worried,” said Karl E. Case, the Wellesley College economist who helped design the housing index that provided fresh cause for alarm on Tuesday. “If prices sink 15 percent from here, which is a possibility, and the 2008 and 2009 loans go bad, then we’re back where we were before — in a nightmare.”

One might think why invest in real estate… not stocks… when real estate seems down.

Due to the last economic downturn… many governments… led by the US… spent trillions flooding the market with easy money… for big banks.

These big banks in turn borrowed the money and poured that money into stock markets.  This made the banks look profitable and pushed stock markets up… at the expense of currencies around the world.

Government spending rarely works efficiently as evidenced by the multi billions spent of security that missed a Nigerian, whose father’s warning to the US Embassy validated a risk… that the CIA had already picked up… even though he was on a risk list… and after buying a ticket for cash…. and arriving without luggage… he was allowed to walk onto a plane headed for the US with a bomb in his underwear.

This post 9-11 security may not have been such a great government investment.

Just imagine that the economic spending from the governments of the world have created the same situation… making the public feel better when  the reality is… the risk is the same… or actually worse… because of the government’s heavy handed involvement.

If the economy once again stalls…  the stock markets… many of which are thinly traded… will collapse like a house of cards. All that government money (actually your money and mine) will be gone.

Repayment of the loss will most likely be made via inflation.  Stock portfolios will be wiped out.

This concerns me.  Jyske Global Asset Managers are concerned as well.  Their low risk managed account for US investors has only 17.5% in equities and they are only in seven investments… of which five are major Blue Chips.

Electricite De France France’s electric company.

Siemens AG a global powerhouse in electronics and electrical engineering, operating in the industry, energy and healthcare sectors.

Bayer AG, a global enterprise with companies in almost every country.

G4S Plc the world’s leading international security solutions group, operating in over 100 nations.

Novartis AG Reg.  the largest producer of insulin.

Only a very small portion of the portfolio is in other equities, iShares II BRIC and Jyske Invest IT Equities.

If we see a double dip recession, then real estate will remain depressed perhaps for a bit.  However there is real utility in real estate and the very inflation that could ruin so many investors will benefit those who hold real estate (and can hold on) plus those who hold commodities and have their own business.

There is no doubt still some good individual shares but overall shares offered good value early last year… not now so investors should beware.

Gary

We hope you will join us for seminars and tours in 2010.

If you plan to join us at six or more seminars and tours in Ecuador, Florida or  North Carolina in 2010 you can save as an International Club member

See details about each of our seminar and tours below… then see our December special that allows you to attend as many of these courses you like at a huge savings.

For International Investing and Business.

For Super Thinking + Spanish

For Ecuador Shamanic Tour

For Ecuador Export

For North Andes, Imbabura & Cotacachi

For Manta & Mid Coast

For Quito & Mindo

For Salinas & South Coast

For Cuenca

You gain discounts by attending multiple seminars and tours.

Here are our multi tour adventure discounts.

Two Pack… 2 seminar courses & tours $998 Couple  $1,349 Save $149 on couple

Three Pack… 3 seminar courses & tours   $1399 Couple  $1,899 Save $98 single or $348 on a couple or more

Four Pack… 4 seminar courses & tours   $1,699 Couple $2,299 Save $98 single or $697 on a couple or more

Five Pack… 5 seminar courses & tours  $1,999 Couple $2,699 Save $496 single or $1,046 on a couple or more

Six Pack… 6 seminars courses & tours  $2,199 Couple $3,099 Save $795 single or $1,395 on a couple or more

But our 2009 International Club membership which allows you and a guest to attend as many of the 56 courses and tours we’ll sponsor and conduct in 2010  (fees would be $40,947 for all these courses individually) is only $2,999.

The International club fee rises to $3,500 in January 2010. Enroll in the International Club now at the original fee of $2,999. Save $501.

International Club 2010

Attend our 56 investment, business, Spanish, real estate and export, courses and tours in 2010 with one small enrollment fee.

International Club 2010 Membership Enroll here

Here are the 56 courses and tours you can attend free. Plus there is even one more savings you will see below.

Jan.   8-11     Ecuador Export Tour
Jan. 13-14     Imbabura Real Estate Tour
Jan. 15-18     Coastal Real Estate Tour
Jan. 19-20    Quito-Mindo Real Estate Tour
Jan. 21-23    Cuenca Real Estate Tour

Join us in February or March.

Feb. 11-14   Quantum Wealth Florida -International Investing & Internet Business, Mt. Dora, Fl.

Feb. 15-16   Travel to and visit Quito
Feb  17         Travel to Manta
Feb. 18-19   Coastal Real Estate Tour
Feb. 20        Travel to Cotacachi
Feb. 21-22   Imbabura Real Estate Tour
Feb. 23-24  Quito-Mindo Real Estate Tour
Feb. 26-27  Cuenca Real Estate Tour

Mar. 11-14     Super Thinking + Spanish Course, Mt. Dora, Fl.
Mar. 15-16    Travel to Quito and Andes
Mar. 17-18     Imbabura Real Estate Tour
Mar. 19-20    Cotacachi Shamanic tour
Mar. 22-23    Coastal Real Estate Tour
Mar. 25-26    Cuenca Real Estate Tour
Mar. 28-29   South Coast Real Estate Tour

Apr. 12-15   Ecuador Export Tour ($499 or couple $749)
Apr. 17-18   Imbabura Real Estate Tour ($499 or couple $749)
Apr. 20-21  Coastal Real Estate Tour ($499 or couple $749)
Apr. 23-24  Quito-Mindo Real Estate Tour ($499 or couple $749)
Apr. 26-27  Cuenca Real Estate Tour ($499 or couple $749)

May  13-14     Ecuador Shamanic Minga  ($499 or couple $749)
May  16-17    Imbabura Real Estate Tour  ($499 or couple $749)
May  19-20    Coastal Real Estate Tour ($499 or couple $749)
May  22-23    Quito-Mindo Real Estate Tour  ($499 or couple $749)
May  25-26    Cuenca Real Estate Tour  ($499 or couple $749)
May  28-29    South Coast real Estate Tour ($499 or couple $749)

June 24         Quantum Wealth North Carolina
June 25-27    International Investing and Business North Carolina  ( $749 or couple $999)
June 28-29   Travel to Ecuador and Andes
June 30-Jy 1 Imbabura Real Estate Tour  ($499 or couple $749)
July 3-4          Coastal Real Estate Tour   ($499 or couple $749)
July 6-7          Quito-Mindo Real Estate Tour    ($499 or couple $749)
July 9-10        Cuenca Real Estate Tour   ($499 or couple $749)

Sept.   3-6      Ecuador Export Tour  ($499 or couple $749)
Sept.   8-9      Imbabura Real Estate Tour  ($499 or couple $749)
Sept. 11-12     Coastal Real Estate Tour   ($499 or couple $749)
Sept. 14-15     Cuenca Real Estate Tour    ($499 or couple $749)
Sept. 17-18     Ecuador Shamanic Minga  ($499 or couple $749)
Sept 20-21      South Coast Real Estate tour ($499 or couple $749)

Oct.    7          Quantum Wealth North Carolina
Oct.   8-10     International Investing & Business North Carolina ($749 or couple $999)
Oct.   11-12    Travel to Quito and Andes
Oct.  13-14     Imbabura Real Estate Tour ($499 or couple $749)
Oct.  16-17     Coastal Real Estate Tour ($499 or couple $749)
Oct.  19-20    Quito-Mindo Real Estate Tour ($499 or couple $749)
Oct. 22-23     Cuenca Real Estate Tour ($499 or couple $749)

Nov.    4-7        Super Thinking + Spanish Course Florida ($749 or couple $999)
Nov.    8-9       Travel to Quito and Andes
Nov. 10-11       Imbabura Real Estate Tour ($499 or couple $749)
Nov. 13-14      Coastal Real Estate Tour ($499 or couple $749)
Nov. 16-17      Quito-Mindo Real Estate  ($499 or couple $749)
Nov. 19-20     Cuenca Real Estate Tour ($499 or couple $749)
Nov  22-23      South Coast Real Estate Tour (($499 or couple $749)

Dec.   3-5       Ecuador Shamanic Mingo  ($499 or couple $749)
Dec.   7-8       Imbabura Real Estate Tour ($499 or couple $749)
Dec.  10-11    Coastal Real Estate Tour ($499 or couple $749)
Dec. 13-14     Quito-Mindo Real Estate Tour ($499 or couple $749)
Dec. 16-17      Cuenca Real Estate Tour ($499 or couple $749)

If you join the International Club, the entrance fee for 2010 is $2,999 (until January 2010).  Your attendance fees at all courses will be waived. You and your guest can attend courses worth $40,947.

You can calculate the savings as our schedule of all 2010 courses is shown below.

Arrival dates are always one or two days earlier. Please double check with us before booking flights.

I invite you to be a member of the International Club which allows you and your guest of your choice to attend all of these courses which are valued at $40,947!

International Club 2010 Membership Enroll here

You may well wonder why I would make such an offer and ask why the cost is so low? Let me answer this question frankly and from the heart.

First, it helps us do a better job for you. We feel greatly enriched when we can really help our clients improve their lives. We have learned through years of experience the best way to do this is to meet with you regularly. We can best help you learn how to improve your health and wealth through continual expansion of knowledge.

Second, we gain enormous fulfillment from the many friendships we form through the years. Our friends have enriched our lives tremendously. Let me explain this in more detail.

As a member, you will be part of our international family that meets intensively over the next year to examine ways we can make our lives better. Our goal is beyond just having money. Our goal is to have quantum wealth… good health… wealth and fulfillment through service.

Though I give all course delegates my very best, I cannot help but to do a better job for those who come again and again. As we meet often; your particular wants, needs and desires become clear, and it is easier for me to point you in the right direction.

Another phenomenon is that repeat delegates help each other! They get to know one another, help each other learn, share their insights, make contacts and gain more wealth.

Out associates in Ecuador, are experienced business people who live or work and conduct our real estate and export courses.  They can also act as your local backup for the business.

Lifestyle for Two. There is more! I have learned at my courses that many repeat delegates were couples.

We want couples! As a member of the program, you are entitled to bring another person to every single course or tour. The cost for that extra person will be ZERO!  You can bring whomever you wish. Bring your spouse, a friend, son or daughter, partner, accountant, adviser. You can bring the same person each time or a different person, whomever you choose to accompany you. (Accommodations and air fares relating to the courses are not included for members, delegates or their guests.)

Won’t you join us in this exciting club and share Merri’s and my lifestyle for the next year? We look forward to seeing you at as many courses as possible and sharing this wonderful world of abundance and well being with you!

Gary

International Club 2010 Membership  Enroll here

Read the entire article New Slip in Housing Prices Undercuts Fragile Optimism

International Business & Investing Expanded


There is expanded international business and opportunity because wage earners and retirees in most of the Western world are being set up. This can create great international business and investing opportunity for you.

ecuador-real-estate

In a moment see why this Ecuador property offers such good value.

Whether this “set up” is on purpose, or not, is a subject of lively contention… but the intention doesn’t really matter much.   The results… created innocently or intentionally will be the same.  Disaster for the middle class.  However opportunities in international business, investing and lifestyles mean that you do not have to share in the loss.

We can begin to understand this fact with three simple thoughts.

The first thought is that the US is currently experiencing deflation. You can see from this graph from the Bureau of Labor Statistics.

small-business-statistics

The December 2008 message Multi Currency Inflation at this site, asked the question… will there be inflation or deflation.

Now we know.

The second thought is that the deflationary forces are creating inflationary fundamentals like we have never seen before. The inflation stage is set. This is a formula that means disaster for most… but this does not have to apply to you.

One reader just wrote:  I’m thinking a ‘creative way’ to fix a problem and work through one’s passion will not handle the whole situation.  I hope I’m wrong and you have an even better idea. Medicine and doctors.  Savings stripped.  Destruction of people’s lives and stability.  All done with intention.

The dollar is  going down the toilet, and the best option I see the Fed and Government taking (for themselves, not for us) is to have a debit system.  The debit system would pay people, and would pay others from the people’s account.  People would no longer research to save taxes.  Their accounts would automatically be debited with whatever the government deems able to be taken.  The funds would filter through the Central Bank to be certain the funds are going only where the government it should go.

There is no more representative republic.  There is no more self determinism.  There are no more freedoms as you can be controlled through your debit card.  If government decides you are an ‘unworthy person’ they can easily take all of your nest egg.  If Congress can so thoroughly devastate us overnight one time, they can do it again.  I have a real hard time thinking about a creative way to generate income.  I trust not a congressman.  I certainly do not trust the current administration.  I don’t think they’re through with us.  Best Wishes to you Gary.

Many readers share thoughts like this. I know that so many of you are suffering. Yet I must say: economics will get worse. Fortunately they will then get better.

This leads us to the third thought… which is “the common person who will bear the brunt of the upcoming inflation.”

Yet you do not have to suffer.

A USA Today article “Wages could hit steepest plunge in 18 years
 by Dennis Cauchon and Paul Overberg” explains the problem. Here is an excerpt:  A bad economy and low inflation are starting to drag down wages for millions of everyday workers and freeze benefits for millions of retirees.
Average weekly wages have fallen 1.4% this year for private-sector workers through September, after adjusting for inflation, to $616.11, a USA TODAY analysis of Bureau of Labor Statistics data found. If that trend holds, it will mark the biggest annual decline in real wages since 1991.
“Wages are usually the last thing to deteriorate in a recession,” says economist Heidi Shierholz of the liberal Economic Policy Institute. “But it’s happening now, and wages are probably going to be held down for a long time.”

Yet falling income for wage earners and retirees is meeting huge potential inflation according to the October 16, 2009  New York Times article  “$1.4 Trillion Deficit Complicates Stimulus Plans” by Jackie Calmes.

Here is an excerpt: The Obama administration said Friday that the federal budget deficit for the fiscal year that just ended was $1.4 trillion, nearly a trillion dollars greater than the year before and the largest shortfall relative to the size of the economy since 1945.  The shortfall for the fiscal year 2009, which ended Sept. 30, translates to 10 percent of the economy.  Economists generally agree that annual deficits should not exceed 3 percent of the G.D.P., and that is the level President Obama had vowed to reach by the end of his first term in 2013.  At 10 percent of the gross domestic product, the 2009 deficit is the highest since the end of World War II, when it was 21.5 percent. At the same time, many Americans are demanding further help, confronting forecasts that job losses will not peak until mid-2010.  Representative John A. Boehner of Ohio, the Republican minority leader in the House, rejected that position. “It is irresponsible for Democrats to continue spending taxpayers’ money we don’t have to fund an agenda that would destroy the jobs we need to get our economy moving again,” Mr. Boehner said.

The problem looks even worse according to another October 16 2009 USA Today article entitled “Obama team makes it official: Budget deficit hits record. By a lot.” Excerpts say: The Obama administration has released new deficit numbers, and they are not pretty.  The deficit for Fiscal Year 2009, which ended Sept. 30, came in at a record $1.42 trillion, more than triple the record set just last year.  In addition, future deficits are currently projected to total $9.1 trillion in the coming decade.

Yet while the wage earner suffers… others are becoming rich according to an October 17, 2009 New York Tines article entitled
“Bailout Helps Fuel a New Era of Wall Street Wealth” by Graham Bowley.

Excerpts say:  Even as the economy continues to struggle, much of Wall Street is minting money, many Americans wonder how this can possibly be. How can some banks be prospering so soon after a financial collapse, even as legions of people worry about losing their jobs and their homes?
It may come as a surprise that one of the most powerful forces driving the resurgence on Wall Street is not the banks but Washington. Many of the steps that policy makers took last year to stabilize the financial system — reducing interest rates to near zero, bolstering big banks with taxpayer money, guaranteeing billions of dollars of financial institutions’ debts — helped set the stage for this new era of Wall Street wealth.  A year after the crisis struck, many of the industry’s behemoths — those institutions deemed too big to fail — are, in fact, getting bigger, not smaller.  Now, the industry has new tools at its disposal, courtesy of the government.  With interest rates so low, banks can borrow money cheaply and put those funds to work in lucrative ways, whether using the money to make loans to companies at higher rates, or to speculate in the markets. Fixed-income trading — an area that includes bonds and currencies — has been particularly profitable
.

Here is why you do not have to suffer and can profit like the big banks.

Messages at this site have repeatedly shown that four ways to beat inflation are to invest in equities, real estate, your own business and commodities.

Commodities are riskiest in the deflationary times.

Equities have skyrocketed this year… as have bonds treated like equities.

This is as an excerpt from a recent  update in our Multi Currency course shows that 61% of my liquid portfolio is in bonds!

Here is the excerpt:

As of October, my current liquid asset allocation is:

Equities

Jyske Invest  Turkey Equity Fund          TRY-EUR        1%

Jyske Invest  European Equity                EUR-                2%

Jyske Bank Share                                       DKK                 2%

Bank of Florida                                          US$                  1%

Total Equity Position                                               6%

Emerging Bonds

Jyske Invest Emerg Bonds Fund          EMCS              8%

EuroInvest Bank Bond                             TRY               4%
Brazil Government Bond                         BRL               8%
Hungary Government Bond                    HUF              6%

EMCS (emerging market currency spread)

Emerging Bonds Total                                         26%

Bonds

Jyske Invest Danish Bond Fund                DKK            14%

Jyske Invest  European  Bond Fund          EUR           12%

Caisse D’Amort Dette Bond                        EUR             5%

Jyske Invest Swedish  Bond Fund              SEK             4%

Total Bonds                                                                 35%

Cash

US$                                                                                      15%

GBP                                                                                       8%

EUR                                                                                      7%

CAD                                                                                      2%

NZD                                                                                     2%

Total Cash                                                                 34%

Our multi currency subscribers have been able to  fight the dismal economy just like the big banks.

You can learn how to enroll in our multi currency course here.

US dollar denominated real estate also offers extra value now.  The dollar has fallen which reduces the price of real estate. This is why I am heavily invested in US and Ecuador property.

Take this acreage and farm house as an example.  This offers great value because it is an investment in real estate… a business and commodities (food)

ecuador-real-estate

Here is the farm house.  From the front porch there are…

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views of the acreage.

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including…

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animal pens…

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crops…

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storage area…

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rental unit and…

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small local canteen the owner operates.  This is a…

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great value at $79,000 asking.

Ecuador Living subscribers have been sent a full report on this property.  Learn more about Ecuador Living here.

You can see the property (until it sells) above on our Imbabura real estate tours shown below.

The greatest asset of all is the ability to labor at what you love wherever you live. This brings everlasting wealth.

This is why we are providing a special three for one offer with our  course Tangled Web… How to Have an Internet Business

This course can help you create your own internet business.

Our emailed course “Tangled Webs We Weave – How to Have Your Own Web Based Business” is a continuing educational program.  You receive the first 28 lessons when you enroll and a new lesson every week or two.

This course teaches how to create a web based business and is developed from the ongoing experiences that we have from our successful and profitable internet business.

This course is well worth the enrollment fee of $299… but currently you also receive two additional courses FREE.

The other two courses are #1: International Business Made EZ, and #2: Self Fulfilled – How to be a Self Publisher.

These two courses have sold for $398 and thousands have paid this price. We add them to your course, at no added cost, as I believe they will help you develop a better business in these crucial times..

Even Better Get All three Courses Free

To make this offer even more compelling,  I am giving everyone who enrolls in all our seminars or tours for any one month, October, November or December, “Tangled Web… How to Have an Internet Business Course,”  “Self Fulfilled- How to be a Self Publisher” and “International Business Made EZ” free.

Inflation is coming and will hit wage earners and retirees hardest of all.  Yet you can succeed. We look forward to sharing ideas on how to succeed with real estate, multi currency bonds and equities and your own business.

Gary

Head south to Ecuador!

Here is the balance of our 2009 Ecuador real estate tour schedule…  plus Blaine Watson’s Beyond Logic and our last Ecuador Shaman Mingo of the year.

Nov. 9-10 Imbabura Real Estate Tour

Nov. 11-14 Ecuador Coastal Real Estate Tour

December 6-8 Blaine Watson’s  Beyond Logic & Shamanic Tour

December 9-10 Imbabura Real Estate Tour

December 11-13 Ecuador Coastal Real Estate Tour

Join us in 2010.   Attend more than one seminar and tour and save even more plus get the three emailed courses free.

Our multi seminar-tour discounts have grown!

See the 2010 winter schedule below.

2 seminar courses & tours

3 seminar courses & tours   $1199 $1,749

4 seminar courses & tours   $1,399 $2,149

5 seminar courses & tours  $1,599 $2,499

(Be sure to show in the comments section which courses and tours you are attending)

International Club attend up to 52 courses and tours in 2010 free.

ecuador-exports

Jan.   8-11     Ecuador Export Tour ($499) Couple $749
Jan. 13-14     Imbabura Real Estate Tour
Jan. 16-17     Coastal Real Estate Tour
Jan. 19-20    Quito-Mindo Real Estate Tour
Jan. 22-23    Cuenca Real Estate Tour

Feb. 11-14   Quantum Wealth Florida -International Investing & Internet Business, Mt. Dora, Florida ($749) Couple $999
Feb. 15-16   Travel to Quito and Andes
Feb  17-18   Imbabura Real Estate Tour
Feb. 20-21  Coastal Real Estate Tour
Feb. 23-24  Quito-Mindo Real Estate Tour
Feb. 26-27  Cuenca Real Estate Tour

Mar. 11-14     Super Thinking + Spanish Course, Mt. Dora, Florida ($749) Couple $999
Mar. 15-16    Travel to Quito and Andes
Mar. 17-18     Imbabura Real Estate Tour
Mar. 19-20    Cotacachi Shamanic Tour
Mar. 22-23    Coastal Real Estate Tour
Mar. 25-26    Cuenca Real Estate Tour

We have been conducting Ecuador real estate tours for a decade longer than any others.   Our success has grown because we do not accept commissions on Ecuador estate shown on these tours.   Our goal is to help you know how to find the best deals on  Ecuador real estate.

The pictures below show some of the property we’ll view on the Ecuador real estate tours.

Delegates see two and three bedroom Andean condos like this.

ecuador-real-estate

with views like this…

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In the $50,000 range.

Large square footage, fixer upper’s like this…

ecuador-real-estate

with large gardens and …

ecuador-real-estate

this view are offered at…

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$30,000… asking.

We see luxury townhouses at $75,000

ecuador-real-estate

We view mansions…

ecuador real estate

inside and…

ecuador real estate

out.

ecuador-real-estate

Gated communities are visited.

ecuador-shots

Coastal land, houses and condos on the beach… near the beach and with views are seen.

ecuador-real-estate

We see beach front penthouses with these views.

ecuador-real-estate

Ultimate luxury…

ecuador-real-estate

Ecuador beach properties are…

ecuador-real-estate

seen.

Plus rustic houses with…

ecuador-real-estate

perfect beach position are found.  I am told that a delegate purchased this house on our last tour.

ecuador-real-estate

Here it that rustic house, on the right of Merri and me walking the beach with a friend and our hound.

ecuador-real-estate

These brand new beach view condos are $89,000 (some of these units for sale are mine and are offered at $79,000 for Ecuador Living subscribers).

ecuador-real-estate

We see luxury condos but also rustic beach B&B opportunities like the one below at $60,000… asking.

ecuador-real-estate

We’ll even see commercial Ecuador real estate opportunity like this hotel… and

ecuador-real-estate

even this Ecuador golf course on a lake that is for sale with…

two restaurants.

P1030417

with 144 seats and…

P1030525

rental units on…

ECUADOR-PROPERTY

this lake.

P1030427

We hope to serve you well with Ecuador real estate.

Gary

Read the entire articles:  Wages could hit steepest plunge in 18 years

$1.4 Trillion Deficit Complicates Stimulus Plans

Obama team makes it official: Budget deficit hits record. By a lot

Bailout Helps Fuel a New Era of Wall Street Wealth  by Graham Bowley

Small Business Tangled Idea


Here is a tangled small business idea that can untangle complications in your life and career.

Cotacachi-Otavalo

See how this woman may help make your life better… and you hers.

This tangled thought begins with two of the major themes at this site… “turn your passion into profit” and “embrace change”.

Yet momentum off us keeps us locked in a rut… until something like the recent economic crash breaks or ends our routine or job.

Such seeming problems can lead us to our real passions and desires.

otavalo-Ecuador

People like this can make a new business for you fun… and you theirs.

Excerpts from a recent USA Today article “For some, hard times are a gateway to new careers” by Rick Hampson explains how (the bolds are mine): To  cope with the recession, people like Sussy Deleon are coming up with creative ways to make a buck. Listen to Deleon, who was in real estate, describe her new business: selling pinatas handcrafted by artisans in Guatemala.

For millions of Americans, the recession has been a curse. For a relative few, it’s something more complicated: A catalyst for change. An opportunity to grow.  A kick in the butt.

In some cases, economic necessity has been the mother of re-invention. It has forced people to pursue careers they might never have considered if they hadn’t gotten — or quit before getting — the ax.  Their optimism is based on two convictions: That even in hard times, people still will spend on things like their dogs, their kids and their looks; and that things such as flexible hours, casual dress and a shorter commute are worth a few lost dollars.  Above all, they agree that if they hadn’t been pushed, they never would have made the leap.

Andrea Kay, author of Life’s a Bitch and Then You Change Careers, says many people hang onto jobs they don’t like, oblivious to the fact that their unhappiness — which they mistakenly think they can hide — hurts their performance and attitude.

It’s the same in every economic downturn, says David Kyvig, a Northern Illinois University historian who wrote Daily Life in the United States, 1920-1940: “When things are going well, we tend to stay with what’s working. When they don’t, we explore something new.”  In a surprising number of cases, we’re happier — “if, after the shock, anger and fear, someone is willing to see there’s an opportunity to do something different,” Kay says. “Then they ask, ‘Why did I wait so long?’ “

Research indicates that workers who change jobs generally are more satisfied in their new positions than their old ones, even though they often take cuts in salary and benefits, AARP economist Sara Rix says.

A new idea

Sussy Deleon got her idea for a recession-proof business at her son’s first birthday party.  The young guests couldn’t break the piñata to get at the goodies. The piñata, made in China, was cardboard, not wire-and-tissue paper like those in Deleon’s native Guatemala.  When the recession dried up her real estate sales practice in Providence, she decided to import piñatas handcrafted by Guatemalan artisans in designs ranging from animals to clowns to spaceships. Deleon, 39, sells them at her new shop, the Piñata Center, for $40 to $50.  “People still have some money to spend, and they’re going to spend it on their kids” — particularly on special occasions, she says.  After four months in business, Deleon’s begun to make enough to cover her costs.

A passion Caroline Blake knew what she didn’t like — her job — and what she did — animals. The result was a new career in pet care.  A year ago, Blake, 29, of Kenilworth, N.J, was a recruiter for an IT consulting firm that was laying people off. Fearing she was next, she quit. She bought a Fetch! Pet Care franchise for $10,000. Some friends were skeptical. “You’re leaving a good-paying job to walk dogs?” she says one asked.

Blake often works seven days a week, starting as early as 6:30 a.m., with a last walk at 11 p.m. She went three months this summer without a Sunday off.  She has integrated pet care into her lifestyle — while sunbathing around the pool or watching TV. She’ll even jog with a dog.
She charges $18 for a 30-minute visit and $55 a night to keep a dog overnight at her home. She also provides overnight sitters. She says she still makes a fine living, about 75% of what she earned as a consultant. “Smartest thing I’ve ever done,” she says. “Every day, a different dog.”

Trying something different Springs, 45, was laid off in April. In her next job she wanted security, and she wanted to make things with her hands. After considering more gender-typical jobs — nursing, teaching — she settled on a six-month welding program at Central Piedmont Community College, with $4,000 in tuition and fees covered by federal stimulus money.  She’s the only woman enrolled in the six-month program. Her first welding job should pay $28 to $32 an hour, about twice what she made as a driver.  “When you get knocked down, you brush yourself off and get up,” Springs says. “My daughter’s watching my response. Does she see me wallow in pity or try something different?”

This is why we are providing a special three for one offer with our  course Tangled Web… How to Have an Internet Business

This course can help you create your own internet business or how to market your prodcut or service over the internet.

Our emailed course “Tangled Webs We Weave – How to Have Your Own Web Based Business” is a continuing educational program.  You receive the first 28 lessons when you enroll and a new lesson every week or two.

This course teaches how to create a web based business and is developed from the ongoing experiences that we have from our successful and profitable internet business.

This course is well worth the enrollment fee of $299… but currently you also receive two additional courses FREE.

The other two courses are #1: International Business Made EZ, and #2: Self Fulfilled – How to be a Self Publisher.

These two courses have sold for $398 and thousands have paid this price. We add them to your course, at no added cost, as I believe they will help you develop a better business in these crucial times.

Cotacachi-Otavalo

Meet these Otavalo textiles producers  at our next Ecuador export tour Oct. 21-24 Ecuador Import Export Tour

Help these wonderful people expand their businesses as you begin yours.

Or come to our January 2010 Ecuador export tour.

May I add that we have done  a pretty good job helping readers start their own business already? Here are a few examples of small businesses that have been started with our help.

From Sandra, a restaurant owner:

“Dear Gary and Merri, yes I did it! Without you and your wonderful writing class I would not have been able to see my potential!! I THANK YOU BOTH! You told me to write about what I know and I did. Thank you for all the encouragement. Starting today, we are taking orders and I wanted you to be the first to know! So here goes…..I have some exciting news to share! I have just written my first book and very much appreciate your help. This book would make a great gift for any bride-to-be or even the parents of the bride (especially if they’re paying the bill)! Please check it out. I genuinely appreciate you helping me spread the word! Thank you!! Sandra”

Recently Sandra wrote again: Hi dear ones,  I just wanted to share an update with you.  Look what we are doing for Feed The Children and introducing our hCard Program to their schools!  Remember it was at your meeting, that Marvin and I met.  He is now our vice president!

Remember the book I wanted to write while attending your class in the mountains…….I did finish it and now it has been “purchased” as an online downloadable version. for a network marketing company.  Learn more about Feed the children and Sandra’s book form Sandra Burnett at sburn10@aol.com.

From Jerusha, an anthropologist:

“Hello Gary and Merri. I am the first in the class to publish! I published a calendar!

“I posted the lulu site on the forum because it looks like a good place to start for people. It is a lot of fun and very easy to do. Jerusha”

From Todd, a wedding photographer:

“Thanks, Gary and Merri name recognition is beginning. Here is my new photoletter that your program helped me develop. I’m getting more clear about my own marketing now, so I may be able to better advantage of it. I am planning now to send out an email once a week showcasing new photos and creating awareness for my products and services. By mid July, I will place my first greeting card order (with a printing company Merri recommended in Cotacachi). So, I will soon have an inexpensive product to offer along with the more expensive prints that I sell. So far, I’ve got 60 opt-on subscribers to my email list, and I am telling everyone I know about it, so it’s starting to grow nicely. My first goal is to have 1000 readers. I’ll see how quickly I can accomplish it. Take care, Todd” Learn more about Todd’s business at todd@toddsmithphotography.com

From Mickey, a real estate broker:

“I want to say thank you for the inspiration and encouragement that I received through your publishing program. I recently published a 28 page booklet” Naples is Priceless “. This FREE booklet is being distributed through the Chamber of Commerce, banks, hotels etc. With over 25 years as a Naples Realtor I can now let potential real estate buyers gain knowledge and inside tidbits about this beautiful area. Again, thank you for helping me develop my potential. Micky”

From Michelle who was on disability: “Hi Guys, I have been working my tail off applying the stuff that I learned from both your publishing seminar. Amazing how much meat I keep pulling out of those conferences! I want you to be the first ones to know that I just finished my first e-book: “A Practical Guide to Social Security Disability Benefits”. I am very excited!

“You have no idea how much I have learned and continue to learn from both of you and how my life has changed since I met you. Having learned from you the basic premise of diversification, how to follow your passion and tap into your personal knowledge base, I seem to have one opportunity after another present itself and I am making the best of it. The really exciting thing is that this has allowed me to build a foundation which I continue to use to launch my new endeavors. The possibilities are endless!

“Here’s an Update : “I get on average 368 – 522 visits per day! And I rank in the top 2 pages of Google search for tons of keywords below are just a few:  holistic living tips 1 and 2 out of 1,620,000 – definition healthy spirit 1 and 2 out of 1,840,000 – emotional healthy living 1 out of 2,060,000 – benefits of Healthy Living 6 and 7 out of 2,420,000 -holistic wealth 3 out of 1,810,000 – definition of healthy 7 out of 2,910,000 – healthy holistic living 2 and 3 out of 1,980,000 – holistic living Google 14 out of 2,300,000 – holistic health tips 10 out of 1,960,000

“ Gary you are right the internet is the Great Equalizer! See what I have published,  My best to you as always, Michelle”

Since sending that note Michelle’s site has grown to over 1,000 visits a day! Learn more about Michelle’s business from her at mtoole2@tampabay.rr.com

We hope to help you take advantage of the great economic shifts we are experiencing now create your own business which is why I am making a special offer below.

Gary

The greatest asset of all is the ability to labor at what you love wherever you live. This brings everlasting wealth.

You can now get Tangled Web, How to Have an Internet Business  and my other two business courses described above free.

I am giving everyone who enrolls in all our seminars or tours for any one month, October, November or December 2009, the online courses “Tangled Web… How to Have an Internet Business Course,”  “Self Fulfilled- How to be a Self Publisher” and “International Business Made EZ” free.

Yet there is even more.

Join our Ecuador courses and tours October, November or December…. but you do not have to.

Head south. Experience Ecuador or…

Oct. 21-24 Ecuador Import Export Tour

Otavalo-art

Meet Ramiro on the export tour.

Otavalo-art

We like his style and…

Otavalo-art

have purchased…

Otavalo-art

many of his works ourselves.

Oct. 21-24 Ecuador Import Export Tour

Oct. 25-26 Imbabura Real Estate Tour

Nov. 9-10 Imbabura Real Estate Tour

Nov. 11-14 Ecuador Coastal Real Estate Tour

December 6-8 Beyond Logic Shamanic Tour

December 9-10 Imbabura Real Estate Tour

December 11-13 Ecuador Coastal Real Estate Tour

Attend any two Ecuador seminar or tours in a calendar month…$949 for one.  $1,349 for two.

Attend any three Ecuador courses or tours in a calendar month…$1,199 for one.  $1,799

If you cannot attend a 2009 seminar or tour sign up for the three online courses for $299 now and I’ll give you full credit of this amount on any of our seminars or tours in January, February or March 2010.

Global Investment Advantage


The big advantage to global investments is that the sun always shines somewhere.

ecuador-opportunity

Follow the sun… and the opportunity… like this (a Galapagos Ecuador sunset actually).  There is opportunity here.  See why below.

Ecuador real estate offers great opportunity, but lets expand our investing view globally… then we’ll see more Ecuador real estate.

Recently, on the anniversary of the bankruptcy of Lehman Brothers, Ben Bernanke said that the US recession is probably over but the economy will remain weak for some time due to unemployment.

He said, “From a technical perspective, the recession is very likely over,”  He said the consensus is the economy is growing yet added that the economy would still feel “very weak” to Americans concerned about job security.   The stock market was not impressed and Wall Street fell  lower.

According to Jyske Global Asset Management, (JGAM) retail sales jumped 2.7% in August, the fastest rise in more than 3 years, but much of the spending came from the “cash for clunkers” boost and “back to school” month related sales. They question if Bernanke is correct.

JGAM also pointed out that the US dollar continued to slide hitting a 2009 low at 1.4748 to the euro while gold rise above $1,000 oz.

JGAM’s managed portfolios have performed very well.  Year–to-date they have risen between 8.7% and 28.7% depending on the risk profile and portfolio.

What can one do?

First, remember that the sun always shines somewhere as evidenced by a September 17, 2009 New York Times article entitled “Recovery Picks Up in China as U.S. Still Ails” by Keith Bradsher.

Here are some excerpts:  Investors’ interest in the real estate market is picking up as economic growth returns across the Chinese economy.

Just eight months ago, thousands of Chinese workers rioted outside factories closed by the global downturn.

Now many of those plants have reopened and are hiring again. Some executives are even struggling to find enough temporary staff to fill Christmas orders.

The image of laid-off workers here returning to jobs stands in sharp contrast to the United States, where even as the economy shows signs of improvement, the unemployment rate continues to march toward double digits.

In China, even the hardest-hit factories — those depending on exports to the United States and Europe — are starting to rehire workers. No one here is talking about a jobless recovery.

Even the real estate market is picking up. In this industrial town 90 miles northwest of Shanghai, prospective investors lined up one recent Saturday to buy apartments in the still-unfinished Rose Avenue complex. Many of them slept outside the sales office all night.

“The whole country’s economy is back on track,” said Shi Yingyi, a 34-year-old housewife who joined the throng. “I feel more confident now.”

The confidence stems from China’s three-pronged effort — a combination of stimulus, liberal bank lending and broad government support for exports.

The Chinese Central Bank said the country’s economy surged at an annualized rate of 14.9 percent in the second quarter. The United States’ economy shrank at an annual rate of 1 percent in that period.

“So often China and the U.S. are mixed together as being in the same situation, and that is totally wrong,” said Xu Xiaonian, an economist in Beijing with the China Europe International Business School.

But with more economic planning than the United States, China has been able to disburse its stimulus much faster, turning it into new rail lines and highways.

The state-controlled banking system here — which breezed through the global financial crisis with minimal losses as American financial institutions reeled — unleashed $1.2 trillion in extra lending to Chinese consumers and businesses in the first seven months of this year. That money is financing everything from a boom in car sales, up 82 percent in August from a year earlier, to frenzied factory construction.

To be sure, not all the laid off workers throughout China have been hired back.

“Some plants reduced worker numbers by 20 to 30 percent, now they hire back 10 percent,” said Stanley Lau, deputy chairman of the Federation of Hong Kong Industries, which represents export-oriented factories employing 10 million Chinese workers.

Global investors can kill two birds with one stone… invest in a faster growing economy and diversify out of the US dollar by investing in Chinese equities.

One way to invest in China is with the Jyske Invest China Equities Fund. This fund is available to non US residents and can be contained in portfolios of US residents managed by JGAM.

Jyske Invest recently wrote at its web site:

Market Comments, Q2 2009

Still signs that the economy will improve. For the second quarter, the fund generated a return of 38.01%, outperforming the benchmark by 0.21 percentage point. For the year to date, the fund posted a return of 40.71%, underperforming the benchmark by 1.38 percentage points.

Review

Over the past quarter the economic indicators continued the good trend. The PMI indicator, reflecting the general economic development, has now increased in six out of the latest seven months. When the PMI indicator is above 50, it is an indication that the economy is growing, which was the case in the past three months. The improvement of the economy has occurred earlier than expected.

Consumption indicators also show a positive trend. This is clearly reflected in the fund’s equities within consumption. Prices of several of the fund’s producers of sport equipment and cars such as China Dongxiang and Dongfeng Motor increased in particular.

There are clear indications of a turnaround in the real estate sector. The number of transactions increases sharply and the number of unsold apartments is on the decline. Our allocation to Chinese real estate companies has been high, which had a favourable impact on the relative return.

Outlook

We expect the favourable economic development to continue into the last six months of the year and that the government will continue to pursue a relaxed policy. The risk is that the policy is tightened again, which will adversely affect the equity market.
The market is no longer undervalued. Perhaps the valuation is fairer. A positive economic development and increasing earnings must drive equity prices higher now. The development in earnings estimates will be followed closely.

Jyske Invest adds that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. The value of and return on your investment may fall, and you may not get back the full amount invested.

The fund invests chiefly directly and indirectly in equities issued by companies which are based in China including Hong Kong or which pursue more than 50% of their activities (by sales or production) in China including Hong Kong.

Risk factors

The fund’s investments have a high risk profile and may see substantial fluctuations in the market value of the fund’s assets. The objective is to obtain a higher average return over time.

Performance of the fund for the last five years is below:

china-fund

Returns by year.

china-fund

Recent major investments.

china-fund

An ETF traded on the New York Stock Exchange that investors can use to invest in China is the SPDR S&P China Fund (symbol: GXC).  Any investors can buy this through Jyske or most stock brokers.

This fund aims to track the S&P Citigroup BMI China Index, a market capitalization weighted index that defines and measures the investable universe of publicly traded companies domiciled in China.  This is an easy way to hold the equivalent of a broad spread of Chinese shares.

Here is a chart from finance.yahoo.com showing the movement since inception of this ETF.

china-fund

For investors who want to invest in the Chinese yuan but not the Chinese stock market the WisdomTree Dreyfus Chinese Yuan Fund  Investment ETF  is listed on the New York Stock Exchange (symbol: CYB).

This ETF  seeks to earn current income reflecting money market rates in China, as well as provide exposure to the movement of the Chinese Yuan relative to the U.S. Dollar.

For more information US investors can contact Thomas Fischer at Jyske Global Asset Management at fischer@jgam.com

Non US investors contact Rene Mathys at Jyske Bank Private Bank at mathys@jbpb.dk

Investors in China and/or the yuan should exercise caution and recognize that there can be short term volatility.   There are huge amounts of borrowed dollars invested in China and any time there is a wave of fear or profit taking this thinly traded market and the yuan can drop rapidly.  For example in August 2009 18.4%, or nearly 500 billion yuan of the funds in the market were pulled as investors locked in profits on the Chinese stock market.

There had been months of gains, so the sudden pull back was not surprising as doubts about valuations and the sustainability of the economic recovery began to grow with rising prices.   Shanghai’s stock market declined 21.8% in one month.  There can be sudden and sharp pressure any time investors turn cautious.  However after the 21% drop in this market, autumn may be a better time to buy.

There is an Ecuador agricultural opportunity… in the Galapagos.

ecuador-opportunity

Here is an aerial view.

ecuador-opportunity

Stay tuned as I’ll introduce this in an upcoming message.

Gary

The greatest asset of all is the ability to labor at what you love wherever you live. This brings everlasting wealth.

This is why we are providing a special three for one offer with our  course Tangled Web… How to Have an Internet Business

This course can help you create your own internet business.

Our emailed course “Tangled Webs We Weave – How to Have Your Own Web Based Business” is a continuing educational program.  You receive the first 28 lessons when you enroll and a new lesson every week or two.

This course teaches how to create a web based business and is developed from the ongoing experiences that we have from our successful and profitable internet business.

This course is well worth the enrollment fee of $299… but currently you also receive two additional courses FREE.

The other two courses are #1: International Business Made EZ, and #2: Self Fulfilled – How to be a Self Publisher.

These two courses have sold for $398 and thousands have paid this price. We add them to your course, at no added cost, as I believe they will help you develop a better business in these crucial times..

Even Better Get All three Courses Free

To make this offer even more compelling,  I am giving everyone who enrolls in our Ecuador International Business & Investing seminar in November all three courses, “Tangled Web… How to Have an Internet Business Course,”  “Self Fulfilled- How to be a Self Publisher” and “International Business Made EZ” free.

Head south to Ecuador!

ecuador-hotel

Oct. 21-24 Ecuador Import Export Tour

Oct. 25-26 Imbabura Real Estate Tour

ecuador-hotel

In Cotacachi the weather is always Spring like.  Here is the village plaza near our hotel Meson de las Flores.

Join us with Peter Laub of Jyske Global Asset Management in Ecuador. Learn more about global investing, how to have an international business at the seminar.

Nov. 6-8 IBEZ Ecuador Seminar

ecuador-hotel

Let our friendly staff at Meson de las Flores serve you.

Nov. 9-10 Imbabura Real Estate Tour

Nov. 11-14 Ecuador Coastal Real Estate Tour

ecuador-hotel

This shorts weather photo was taken from our beach penthouse in February.

December 6-8 Beyond Logic Shamanic Tour

December 9-10 Imbabura Real Estate Tour

December 11-13 Ecuador Coastal Real Estate Tour

Join us in the mountains and at the sea.  Attend more than one seminar and tour and save even more plus get the three emailed courses free.

Attend any two Ecuador seminar or tours in a calendar month…$949 for one.  $1,349 for two.

Attend any three Ecuador courses or tours in a calendar month…$1,199 for one.  $1,799

Read the entire article “Recovery Picks Up in China as U.S. Still Ails” here

How to Make Money in the Multi Currency Era


The US and Ecuador property market offers a rare opportunity to make money in this multi currency era. Here is an excerpt from a recent multi currency update.

Two economic forces have come together to create extra special profits.

I know because the same  combination occurred in London during the late 1970s and allowed me to increase an investment eleven times in two years by buying property then.

Earlier in 1970 I had lived in London, England for a year, then moved to Hong Kong. During that time I also maintained a home outside of San Francisco, California.

This was a time of great inflation. My homes in California and in Hong Kong appreciated greatly. In the mid 1970s, when I moved from Hong Kong back to London, I noticed that London real estate was priced about the same as it had been in 1970. This puzzled me. Why had London property prices remained flat despite inflation?

On investigation, I learned that there had been a huge real estate crash in 1970 which continued to dampen real estate prices six years later despite the rampant global inflation. I felt this was a great distortion as European property prices had risen, but London prices had not. Yet London offered the best utility as the center of the English speaking world. This, to my way of thinking, created a huge distortion.

It’s late 1976. Britain faced  a sterling crisis. In less than two years the pound has fallen from $2.40 to $1.60. Investors had no faith in the British economy, or the government that ran it. The government’s budget was a mess.  Investors  were ditching the pound.

The plummeting pound pushed the economy to breaking point. Prime Minister Callaghan, in desperation borrowed as much as possible, £2.3 billion from the IMF.

At that time, the British pound collapsed to its lowest level ever (a pound per dollar for a short time) so the distortion widened. This meant in US dollar terms London property had dropped almost 50% while property in other major cities of the western world had increased in price by three or four times.

london-house

The house I bought was right next door and very similar to this house in Bedford Park, London W4.

This house in West London was 34,000 pounds, 9,000 pounds down (then $9,000).   I took a mortgage for 25,000 pounds ($25,000).  I lived in the house and three years later the pound had recovered to 2.2 dollars per pound plus London real estate had caught up with property in other major western centers. I sold the house for 115,000 pounds or $253,000 a profit of $244,000 on a $9,000 investment.

Now it’s the US dollar that is very low.

You will have seen articles something like the the September 7, 2009 Bloomberg article “Weak Dollar? Currency, at 10-Year Low, May Fall More” by Bo Nielsen.

An excerpt says: Anyone who says the dollar is weak after it fetched a record-low $1.3681 against the euro and the fewest pence against the pound in 25 years is expressing a euphemism.

The currency may decline at least another 10 percent by the end of 2008, say Jay Bryson, an economist at Wachovia Corp., and Kenneth Rogoff, the former chief economist at the International Monetary Fund. The dollar has only fallen 3.4 percent in the past two years to a 10-year low, according to a Federal Reserve index that weighs trade with 38 countries including China, Mexico, Canada and countries in Europe. It tumbled 30 percent in the three years ended 1988.

“Dollar weakness will be broad-based and could last for years,” said Bryson, a global economist at Charlotte, North Carolina-based Wachovia who previously analyzed currencies at the Federal Reserve.

Investors are dumping dollars, lured by higher returns elsewhere. The U.S. will grow more slowly than Europe for the first time since 2001 and Japan for the first time in 16 years, the IMF forecasts. The difference in yield between 10-year German bonds and Treasuries has shrunk to the smallest since 2004.

Those who read this site regularly or subscribe to our multi currency course know that I reported my personal portfolio and recommended getting out of the US dollar in February 2009. See that recommendation here.

I showed that my portfolio was 86% out of the greenback.

My liquid portfolio currency allocation was reported as Brazilian real  4%,
 Denmark kroner  33%
,  euro 31%
, British pound 10%
, Turkey lira 8%
, US$ 14%.

I also mentioned in February that I was going to start buying Florida real estate.

So Merri and I began looking and in our research found that there appears to be a hole in the market for Central Florida property selling in the million to $750,000 range.  There seems to be no buyers at all. We have been watching prices tumble hundreds of thousands.

We are viewing one property next week that started at $800K+. It just dropped $100,000 last week from $395,000 and is now down to $295,000.

This is about a 25% drop in that house’s price in six months. That’s pretty good!

Now look at what this means in depreciated dollar terms.

dollar-chart

Here is a chart of the euro to US dollar from yahoo.finance.com from February 2009 to September 10, 2009 when this was written.

In February a US dollar bought .80 euro so that house at $395,ooo cost 319,200 euro.  Now a US dollar buys about .68 euro so this house at $295,000 costs about 200,000 euro.

That is a drop in that house price of 37% in six months in terms of euro. That’s even better!

Here is the magic in this hidden, built-in profit.  For most of the market, the profit is hidden.  Most investors are not comparing currencies and real estate prices.  Yet these distortions will filter through. Eventually European investors…. or those like me who are holding currencies other than dollars will see this distortion and cash in.

I, and now you, just have an advantage because we are always looking at both markets… currency and real estate.

Ecuador Real Estate Cheaper as Well

This also creates better value on Ecuador real estate. Take for example one penthouse property I am selling at $139,000.

This is a perfect property for those who want peace… quiet…and instant access to miles of empty, warm Pacific beach.

ecuador beach rentals

This two room, top floor penthouse is at Palmazul and includes use of the the swimming pool, tennis courts… and spa.   You can dine here, one floor below.

ecuador beach rentals

The units are fully equipped… kitchen…

Ecuador beach rentals

with full size fridge.

Living room…

Ecuador beach rentals with a view…

Ecuador beach rentals leading…

Ecuador beach rentals to large private balconies…

Ecuador beach rentals with these views…

ecuador beach rentals

and sunsets to kill for.

ecuador beach rentals

Long walks on the beach… you can amble at low tide for ten miles and not see a soul.

ecuador-seminars

Luxury bathrooms with bathtub…

Ecuador beach rentals

and a king size bed with view and caressed by the ocean breeze.

Ecuador beach rentals

This unit would have cost 111,000 euro in February. Now the price has dropped to 94,500 euro… just from the dollar’s fall.

The US and Ecuador property markets offers a rare opportunity to make extra profit now because of hidden added value from the US dollar’s fall. History suggests that real estate is a real asset so its price rises as the currency its counted in falls.

These corrections take time because most property owners do not calculate their property in multi currency terms.  Those of us who watch this can gain extra profit now.

The article above is an excerpt from a recent Multi Currency update. Learn more about multi currency investing. Subscribe to our multi currency course.

Gary

The greatest asset of all is the ability to earn globally in many currencies.

This is why we are providing a special three for one offer with our  course Tangled Web… How to Have an Internet Business. This can help you create your own internet business.

Our emailed course “Tangled Webs We Weave – How to Have Your Own Web Based Business” is a continuing educational program.  You receive the first 28 lessons when you enroll and a new lesson every week or two.

This course teaches how to create a web based business and is developed from the ongoing experiences that we have from our successful and profitable internet business.

This course is well worth the enrollment fee of $299… but currently you also receive two additional courses FREE.

The other two courses are #1: International Business Made EZ, and #2: Self Fulfilled – How to be a Self Publisher.

These two courses have sold for $398 and thousands have paid this price. We add them to your course at no added cost as I believe they will help you develop a better business in these crucial times.

Even Better Get All three Courses Free

To make this offer even more compelling,  I am giving everyone who enrolls in our North Carolina or Ecuador International Business & Investing seminar in October or November all three courses, “Tangled Web… How to Have an Internet Business Course,”  “Self Fulfilled- How to be a Self Publisher” and “International Business Made EZ” free.

Join us with Jyske Bank and my webmaster David Cross in West Jefferson North Carolina. Learn more about global investing, how to have an international business at the seminar.

Oct. 9-11 IBEZ North Carolina with our webmaster  David Cross & Thomas Fischer of JGAM

Or head south to Ecuador!

October 16-18 Ecuador Southern coastal tour

Oct. 21-24 Ecuador Import Export Tour

Oct. 25-26 Imbabura Real Estate Tour

Join us with Peter Laub of Jyske Global Asset Management in Ecuador. Learn more about global investing, how to have an international business at the seminar.

Nov. 6-8 IBEZ Ecuador Seminar

Nov. 9-10 Imbabura Real Estate Tour

Nov. 11-14 Ecuador Coastal Real Estate Tour

Join us in the mountains and at the sea. Attend more than one seminar and tour and save even more plus get the three emailed courses free.

Attend any two Ecuador seminar or tours in a calendar month…$949 for one.  $1,349 for two.

Attend any three Ecuador courses or tours in a calendar month…$1,199 for one.  $1,799

Read the entire articles:

Weak Dollar? Currency, at 10-Year Low, May Fall More

Dollar Is Near Lowest in Almost Year as Borrowing Costs Plunge