Tag Archive | "China"

$645 billion here… $645 billion there


Forget about politics when it comes to health care.

The big battle over health care has one big problem at its root.

That problem is not political.  The problem is not ethical.  Nor is it availability of service or quality of facilities and skills.

The problem is…”Where is the money to pay for it?”

The cost of health care as the Western world envisions it is simply demographically unsound…. we are too many… too old.

A recent New York Times article “States Need $645 Billion to Pay Full Health-Care Costs” shows that the Federal health care problem is just the tip of the iceberg.

This article says:  States and cities around the country will soon book similar losses because of new, widely followed accounting guidelines that apply to most governments starting in fiscal 2018.

The new Governmental Accounting Standards Board principles urge officials to record all health care liabilities on their balance sheets instead of pushing a portion of the debt to footnotes.

The adjustments will show that U.S. states as a group have promised hundreds of billions more in retiree health benefits than they have saved up. The shortfall amounts to $645 billion, according to a new report from The Pew Charitable Trusts based on 2015 data. That is in addition to the $1.1 trillion states need to pay for future pension benefits, according to Pew.

The new level of transparency around retiree health expenses for public workers could lower municipal bond prices and force new decisions to reduce or scrap retiree health benefits as a way of coping with ballooning future costs, some analysts and researchers said.

Most states have almost no money saved up for future retiree health care costs and treat the benefits as an operating expense. States had just $48 billion in assets set aside as of 2015 as compared with $693 billion in liabilities, according to Pew.

This is a global problem:  counties, cities, states, nations.

All of these institutions have too much debt.

Recently Standard & Poor’s lowered China’s sovereign credit rating from AA- to A+ and revised its outlook to stable from negative.  The US credit rating was lowered from AAA to AA+ over five years ago.  The UK dropped to AA after Brexit.

S&P also lowered their rating on three foreign banks with large exposure in China, saying HSBC China, Hang Seng China and DBS Bank China Ltd. would be unlikely to avoid default should China default on its sovereign debt.

Standard & Poor’s warned that China has piled on too much debt and done it too quickly.  The steep rise in borrowing threatens to destabilize the country’s financial system.

China’s growth has been the single biggest driver of global growth for a decade.

There has been excessive borrowing by local Chinese governments and companies but China’s consumers, who were previously known for saving are now quickly taking on debt.

Chinese consumer debt has doubled since the start of 2016.  This borrowing is expected to grow higher: The International Monetary Fund expects Chinese personal debt as a percentage of its economic output to double by 2022.

This growing debt in the US and China, the world’s two largest economies, means we will certainly see the loss of the dollar’s and yuan’s purchasing power.  Inflation is the easiest way to reduce debt without really paying it back in full.

What to do?

There are several steps one can take to protect against such loss.

If you are investing in bonds, consider buying bonds denominated in the currencies of the 11 lucky countries that still have a AAA credit rating at the sovereign level.

Countries with AAA Sovereign rating: Australia – Canada – Denmark – Germany – Liechtenstein – Luxembourg – Netherlands – Norway – Singapore – Sweden – Switzerland.

Interest rates will be low… some even negative, but  the currencies will remain strong.

Second, if investing in equities consider shares in these countries if they are also good value markets.

Good value AAA rated equity markets: Australia – Canada – Germany – Norway – Singapore.

Learn more about these good value markets here.

Third, find low cost, but effective ways to look after your good health naturally.

Health and wealth are so connected that it’s hard to think about one without considering the other.  Human nature has a hard time with delaying gratification. Filling desires quickly with loans create innumerable social, economic and health problems that are all exacerbated by excessive debt.

We cannot change the world’s economy nor this fact of human nature, but we can change ourselves so we put more money into our health bank, than we take out.  We invest financially in low debt places that offer good value.

Gary

(1) www.wsj.com:  States need 645 billion to pay for health care promises

The Art of Speculation


After 50 years of global investing, my chief mantra is “There is always something we don’t know!”   

This fact rules the price of gold and precious metals which is why I look at owning them is never an investment but a speculation.  Precious metals are financial insurance against inflation for sure.  But isn’t all insurance a speculation ?  I have never had a fire in my house, yet fire insurance does make sense.

So let’s look at how to refine the process of buying, selling and owning precious metals a bit more.   For example see why the Kunlun mountains (below) can have an impact on the price of gold, that’s not even related to mining.

india

The Kunlun Mountains.

In February and March 2017, a significant economic event took place that can have an impact on the price of gold.

Updates in our Purposeful investing Course look at ideal speculative opportunities in precious metals.   One ideal condition we track is the gold platinum ratio when the price of platinum is lower than the price of gold.

Platinum dropping below gold is a historical distortion that rarely happens.

Unless there has been a most basic change in the relationship between these two precious metals, whenever platinum costs less than gold, we speculate on the simple fact that platinum’s price will rise faster than gold’s until this distortion has equalized.

Yet the facts that dictate the prices of precious metals are rarely simple.

For example, there is conjecture that the growth of electric cars will reduce the need for platinum in catalytic converters.  This could be since about half of platinum’s demand has been for this purpose.  Yet let’s keep in mind, it is estimated, that one-fifth of everything we use either contains platinum or requires platinum in its manufacture.  Plus the gold platinum relationship existed well before catalytic converters and platinum still sold for more than gold.

Another example is that the price of gold could drop.  Platinum’s price could rise faster than gold, but if gold is plunging, platinum could outperform gold but stagnate or drop as well.

The relationship between gold and platinum is simple, but there are many factors that have an impact on the price of gold.  European interest rates, US and global inflation, US interest rates, US dollar strength, US job market, US economic growth, US trade deficit, crude oil are a few.   The chart below shows the importance of gold to interest rates.  So the current rising trend of US interest rates could hinder a rise in the price of gold.

gold

Chart from Marketrealist.com (1).

An article at Marketrealist.com:  “Why real interest rates impact gold prices?” (1)  helps explain why US interest rates matter to the price of gold.

Gold is used as an investment alternative.  Investors think that it protects money’s purchasing power.  As an investment, it has to compete against other investments that are available in the market.  The interest rate is a big factor here because it determines the attractiveness of those investment alternatives.  As real interest rates rise—interest rates adjusted for inflation—other investments usually become more attractive.  This reduces the demand for gold and vice versa.  Gold usually has an inverse relationship with real interest rates.

Rising US interest rates are a downwards pressure for gold prices and gold-backed exchange-traded funds (ETFs).  Since gold and platinum (and silver) are related, US interest rates also have an impact on these precious metals.

What many investors miss is the fact that Chinese and Indian interest rates are also important factors that affect the price of gold.  Both Chinese and Indian cultures have a historical leaning towards trusting and owning gold.  They are becoming increasingly important factors as China and India become larger parts of the global economy. 

If one eliminates Switzerland (the biggest importer of gold with over 70 billion worth of gold imports), Asia is the largest importer of gold (90 + billion worth compared to Europe’s 30 + billion).  China and India are the two largest Asian importers by far.

Increasing yuan and rupee real interest rates will stimulate investors to build up savings in those currencies instead of gold.  This is a downward pressure on gold prices and gold-backed ETFs.

After more than a year of steady interest rates, in both February and March 2017, the People’s Bank of China raised yuan interest rates.

yuan

Indian interest rates continue to fall, but should also be watched.

indian interest

Indian Rupee interest rate – both charts from www.tradingeconomics.com (2)

Here is another interesting question.  If interest rates in these Asian countries impact gold’s price, what would be the impact of an Indian/Chinese conflict or war?  China and India have long had border tensions.  There was a Sino-Indian War in 1962 over disputed Himalayan borders.  At that time, the Chinese launched offensives in Ladakh and across a line (McMahon Line) regarded by India as the legal national border that disputed by China.  Disagreements have remained since that time.

The book “Why India Is Not a Great Power (Yet)” by Bharat Karnad, outlines a number of events that could lead to a Chinese Indian conflict. One of the causes could be these tensions that include border skirmishes. Tibetan protests and maritime disputes are others.

Karnad, a professor of National Security Studies at the Centre for Policy Research in New Delhi, suggest that India should be more aggressive to increase its position on the world stage.

His suggestions include nuclear land mines in the Himalayan passes, arming China’s neighbors like Vietnam with cruise missiles and atomic weapons, and actively assisting armed uprisings in Tibet.

Could any of these steps create a spike in the price of gold and consequently silver and platinum?

Screen Shot 2017-04-10 at 9.11.49 AM

Learn more about “Why India is not a great power (yet)?”

This image from India.org (3) shows a meeting between Chinese and Indian military at a conflicted border.  What happens if minor arguments as described in the article turn into something more serious?

Screen Shot 2017-04-10 at 9.20.36 AM

The distance of Tibet to the US east cost is about 8,500 miles.  What events, so many miles and times zones away, might be taking place that can have a serious impact on our wealth?

The answer is that we do not know and this is why ownership of precious metals is a speculative proposition.  Rising interest rates in China and India could cause prices to fall, but a skirmish or two or the planting of a few atomic mines and precious metal prices could skyrocket like they are nuclear powered.  Well, in a way they would be.

There is always something we do not know which is why when we speculate, especially in precious metals, we never risk more than we can afford to lose.  We leave plenty of time for the investments to mature.  Our recent Pi Update explains how to calculate profit and loss in precious metal speculations.

Gary

(1) Tradingeconomics.com:  Yuan interest rate

(2) Marketrealist.com:  What rising US real interest rates mean to gold investors

(3) Zeenews.india.com  China upset by reported hut demolition on India border

Rosaspamba Our Ecuador Sanctuary


Here is a shot taken from the front yard of our Ecuador sanctuary in the Andes.

andean-sanctuary

This land is part of a cloud forest and we are often truly above the clouds!

andean-sanctuary

Many valleys in Ecuador are famous for the longevity of the residents. Our search for such valleys led us to understand that we can use more than landscape to live better, richer and longer.

This article was written on May 2, 2009, on the 41st anniversary of starting my international business.  Yet I plan to keep writing and sharing information for 41 more years!

This was more than an idle boast.  The promise was made from a belief and understanding that  began to grow when we first arrived  in Ecuador and began searching for the longevity valleys there.

We purchased the 962 acre Hacienda Rosaspamba and lived and studied there for nearly a year with a Taita Yatchak and his apprentices.

Ecuador-longevity

Here is another shot at Rosaspamba of one of the yatchak’s apprentices.

ecuador-longevity

Mountain mists are important to longevity.  One Ecuador shaman taught us that the hydrogen ions in the mists bond with free radicals on the skin to cleanse the body from the outside in.

Up here in these mountains people in decades and centuries past labored, breathed clean air, drank pure water and ate fresh food. These were hardy mountain people who worked hard, had little, ate little and with that made the most. Life was simple and they kept it that way.

The life here is healthy.

rosaspamba

There is fresh water.  Here is the yatchak at one of Rosaspamba’s water falls.

ecuador-hacienda

Another waterfall at Rosaspamba.

rosaspamba

At the hacienda you are always walking up or down.

rosaspamba

Accommodations are primitive and…

rosaspamba

The property is very isolated.

rosaspamba

Here we are building some extra huts.

rosaspamba

Hiking from the top to the bottom.

rosaspamba

This is a grove of pineapples in the lower property.

rosaspamba

The land is remote about and hour and a half from Quito.

rosaspamba

The road in is primitive.

 

 

What’s in a Lavender Panda?


There is more than lavender and fur in a lavender panda.   There are lessons and profits we can gain about tapping into the National Psyche. In today’s world, we can tap into the “Global Psyche”.

An example of the riches the Global Psyche can bring is described in a Wall Street Journal article entitled “Maker of ‘Bobbie Bear’ Can’t Keep Up With Demand; Tapping the Psyche of 30-Year-Old Chinese Ladies”  by Dinny McMahon.

WSJ image

Image from Wall Street Journal Article “Maker of ‘Bobbie Bear’ Can’t Keep Up With Demand”

The Panda shows that problems create 0pportunity when we tap into the Global Psyche. 

The article on Bobbie Bear Panda shows a most unusual way that a problem pyramid in China created a global opportunity in Tasmania.   The most populous nation in the world needs economic expansion.  This expansion creates pollution.  This pollution leads to a change in the psyche for greater purity.

The article says: NABOWLA, Tasmania—Starting weeks before Christmas, Robert Ravens had to ration sales of teddy bears to people visiting his lavender farm in this remote corner of Australia to one per customer. Demand was so fierce that as soon as each furry purple Bobbie Bear shell was stuffed with a mixture of lavender and wheat, it was rushed straight to the gift store.

Mr. Ravens had already stopped shipping overseas and interstate. He had stopped taking Internet orders. His small staff at Bridestowe Lavender Estate couldn’t keep up with demand coming almost solely from one place: China.

“We’re not aiming to dominate the world of fluffy bears. Our business is fine lavender,” said Mr. Ravens. “But somehow we’ve tapped the cultural psyche of 30-year-old Chinese ladies.”

The rush on Bobbie Bears is what happens when suddenly insatiable Chinese demand meets limited supply. Mr. Ravens said the farm—where a spacious gift shop overlooks trim rows of lavender, an hour’s drive through quiet farmland from the closest airport—has seen “near riot” conditions since the rationing began. The annual number of visitors has nearly tripled in six years to 60,000 in 2013.

Bobbie Bears have tapped into Chinese consumers’ desire for peace of mind after recurring food and product safety scandals at home.

“Anything natural from somewhere with blue skies and clean air and water is dreamy for Chinese consumers.”

Session Six of our Global Economic Webinar shows three types of opportunity that arise from problems.  Take the environment as an example.  Environmental problems offer three forms of opportunity:

#1: Adaptation

#2: Mitigation

#3: Structural Change

In this example, the Bobby Bear Panda has helped people in China adapt their attitudes toward purity.

What problems in the world do you see?  There are plenty.  Next time you see a problem, think it through. How will humanity react.  In this way you can find fulfilling, profitable opportunities that help the world.

Gary

Maker of ‘Bobbie Bear’ Can’t Keep Up With Demand; Tapping the ‘Psyche of 30-Year-Old Chinese Ladies

Opportunity in the Měi guó Mèng


Měi guó Mèng is a translation of “The American Dreamin Mandarin . Here is an example of how this can create opportunity.

chinese-rv

Opportunity in the Chinese RV?

The global economic pivot has accelerated due to the S&P’s downgrading of Americas debt.

The USA is not in this pickle alone.

The US debt problem is only one of three  problems.  First, the global economy has a GDP that is estimated to be 62 trillion US dollars in 2010 according to the IMF. The economy of the European Union generated a GDP of over US$16.2 trillion in 2010 Compared to 14.6 trillion for the US, 5.8 trillion for China and 5.4 trillion for Japan.

Japan’s economy has been in the doldrums for well over a decade.

Europe suffered when the insolvency of several of its small nations, Greece and Ireland especially became apparent.  Now Italy and Spain appear to be in trouble as well.  Italian and Spanish insolvency are more than just another small European economy being in trouble. Italy and Spain are the third and fourth largest economies in the union. Their problem creates a new era stage in the Euro Financial Crisis.

Europe, the US and Japan’s economies represent 36.2  trillion or near 60% of the world Gross Domestic Product.

The second problem is that a majority of the population are not in agreement with the way the problems are being handled.  A new CBS News/New York Times poll last week revealed that 82% of Americans disapprove of the way Congress is doing its job – the highest disapproval rating since polling began in 1977. Just 14% approve of Congress’ performance.

By a ratio of more than two to one, Americans said that creating jobs should be a higher priority than spending cuts.

Europeans are rioting over austerity measures and in America Congress simply stalled making the hard decision and passed the responsibility to a commission instead.  Such a huge majority of voters are locked into Social Security and Medicare that it will be hard politically for the US to make shifts in these core programs.

Third, so many people are afraid that government’s of the world have reacted.   Yesterday’s New York Times article said:  The European Central Bank signaled on Sunday that it would intervene more aggressively in bond markets to protect Spain and Italy, and leading finance ministers conferred about the mounting threats to the world’s economies, as policy makers sought to calm markets unnerved by deteriorating public finances and slow economic growth.

The shock of the downgrade Friday of long-term United States government debt and the worsening situation in Europe added new urgency to the efforts to restore confidence and prevent an extension of the stock market slide that began last week.

Shortly afterward, finance officials from the Group of 7 nations — including Treasury Secretary Timothy F. Geithner and the Federal Reserve chairman, Ben S. Bernanke — held a conference call to discuss the United States downgrade and other challenges. In a statement issued after the nearly two-hour meeting, the group said it was ready to “take all necessary measures to support financial stability and growth.”

This is the root of the shift.  Western governments have been “taking all necessary measures to support financial stability and growth” for so long that now when the balance has been so thrown out of kilter and bad math has become so distorted that it can no longer hide, the world has to face the fiscal music in an extra tough way.

The problem is that governments no longer have any money to take necessary steps to protect markets or create jobs.  “All necessary measures”  mean “borrow more money”.   Western debt is such that these “measures” will be counter productive.

Expect these three problems to reduce the purchasing power of Western currencies.

What to do.

We look regularly at five ways to overcome the loss of purchasing power created by the global economic pivot. investing in multi currencies, invest in good value real estate, invest in good value equities, live in low cost places and have your own international micro business.

Finding Distortions and Spotting Trends for International Micro Business Ideas and Měi guó Mèng:
Having your own international micro business does not necessarily mean you have to move or be abroad.

There are ways to be locally international.

Take for example the RV industry.  An August 5, 2011 article “Decline of a powerhouse” in a local Oregon newspaper, special.registerguard.com  shows how the RV industry has been decimated when it says: It’s a historic bust for Lane County’s RV industry.  Navistar International’s decision to move 450 jobs to Indiana from its Monaco RV motor coach plant in Coburg will reduce employment in Lane County’s transportation equipment manufacturing sector by half.

That’s terrible news for a local economy that has grown numb from similar blows. Even before Navistar’s announcement Tuesday, employment in the sector, mostly recreational vehicle manufacturing, had fallen 80 percent from its peak in 2005.
Lane County’s RV-makers employed 4,600 workers in 2005, according to the Oregon Employment Department, having added more than 1,000 jobs in just two years.

Eugene and Springfield had become bedroom communities for Coburg and Junction City, the industry’s leading production points.

Then the bottom fell out. A credit crunch, a deep economic downturn and high gas prices all came at once.

Here is a distortion created by two trends. Most people think the RV industry is dead and maybe it is… in the USA, but in China it is just beginning to boom!   The Chinese consumer wants Měi guó Mèng… the American Dream.

An article at rvbusiness.com entitled “China Holding 1st RV Rally and Camping Show” says:  The China RVing & Camping Rally 2010 and RV Camping Show, to be held Aug. 6-8 in Beijing, is sponsored by 21RV (www.21RV.com), which provides the RVers, RV enthusiasts and camping fans a place to enjoy and share RVing and camping together.  Following is a news release provided to RVBUSINESS.com to promote the event:

“Holding this rally is to sound the industry’s horn assembly, to gather the RVers, RV lovers, campers dispersed in different regions of China, who are at this moment in little quantity”.

chinese rvs

Photo of Chinese family in China pursuing the American Dream from article at USA Today.

An August 6 USA TODAY article entitled “Road trip: Chinese rev up the RVs” by Calum Macleod says: Loading up the Winnebago and seeing the country via its highways, byways, campgrounds and tourists traps is a classic American summertime pursuit. And now it’s come to China.

Chinese tourists check out the recreational vehicles on display at the RV rally held in Fangshan, a suburb of Beijing.

“We’ve done all the usual kinds of travel,” says Beijing businesswoman Liu Xiaofan, who though only 40 has just retired. “Now we want to enjoy our lives, and our RV can help us live a happy and healthy life.”

On Thursday, they drove their Chinese-made Zhongtian recreational vehicle, bought recently for $93,000, to join hundreds of other RVing fans at a campsite rally in Fangshan, a southwestern district of China’s capital.

The Lius want to go well beyond a cross-China excursion: They hope one day to drive to Europe and eventually travel coast-to-coast across the USA.

After more than three decades of dramatic economic growth, China’s better-off citizens are busy testing new lifestyles and leisure pursuits, from horse riding and skiing to golf and overseas travel. RV camping is another recent trend here, promoted by entrepreneurs and a central government keen to boost domestic tourism and consumer spending.

In a nation of 1.3 billion people, where car ownership remains a dream for most Chinese, RV owners number 5,000, with just a few dozen RV camps, according to the China RV & Camping Association. Approximately 8.9 million households own an RV in the USA, according to the Recreation Vehicle Industry Association, and there are thousands of RV camps in the country.

Change is coming fast in China, says Wang Jidong, the RV association’s secretary general, as local governments and businesses build hundreds of RV camps nationwide.

Americans still can’t grasp the fast pace of development in China, says Lu Jun, 41, general manager of the Beijing International Automotive Camping Park, which opens later this month in south Beijing.

“When I talk to U.S. RV suppliers, they ask if I want to buy three or four vehicles,” says Lu of imported RVs costing over $70,000 each. His reply? “I want to buy 1,000” to fill the 100 camps his company will build within two years.

Do you see the distortion? 

The US has the supply capability and the branding benefit. China has growing demand.  There are many ways to be involved, but this message is not to suggest that you invest in RVs.  Our core message is always “Do what you love and start from what you know”.

The point of this thinking is the global economic pivot is creating many distortions.  Look for distortions in a sector or industry you love and know. Invest or create a business in it!

In this case, we in the Western world all know “The American Dream”.

Take an an area of business or investing that interests you.  Relate it to The American Dream. Look for aspects of this business that are suffering in the West that may be on the rise in the emerging world.   This review may create a perfect investing or business opportunity for you.

Change is always with us and always has been.  The pace of change happens to be accelerated now. Most will see this with fear.  Yet this accelerated change will created amazing riches for those who embrace the shifts and spot trends that create distortions and contrasts.

Gary

Here are ways we are helping readers overcome the lost of purchasing power.

#1: Live and earn in a lower cost environment: See new idea on how to earn with Ecuador agriculture and exports .


manabi-ecuador-farm

Start your won Micro Business. We have started a program to help our readers create their own micro business working with these businesses as introducers, dealers and distributors.

We have been writing for years about numerous products that we use and love. Now we have started programs so readers can  work with and earn globally with these unique global businesses tied together with our communication system that can bring all this: training…. communicating and networking.

We are starting with these five businesses first.

#1: Jyske Global Asset Management  (JGAM) for those interested in multi currency investing.
#2: Bio Wash for those interested in eliminating a toxic environment.
#3: Candace Newman Essential Oils for those interested in natural health.
#4: Fresh cut Ecuador Roses for those who love flowers and decorating.
#5: Ecuador Imbabura Export Products for those who love to travel and want to help the poor.

Our October 7-8-9 International Business and Investing Seminar will feature initial training for these programs.

Enrolling in any of our online business development courses and attending one seminar provides full qualification to apply for all programs we provide for a year.

International Business Made EZ

Self Fulfilled – How to be a Self Publisher

Event – Full How to Earn With  Your Own Seminars 

Early enrollment for our October 7-9 North Carolina Course click here for details.

This International Business Service provides many benefits:

#1: Connect you via our our online course “International Business Made EZ” to here and now specific business opportunities.

#2: Keep you in touch with other readers in the program, share business tips, ideas contacts and even website support in some instances.

Here is how you can apply for this program.

Satisfaction Guaranteed.  Three Guarantees.

First Guarantee. Regarding the online course International Business Made EZ.  Enroll in this course. Take it and if you are not satisfied for any reason within 30 days… let us know and we’ll give you a full refund.

Second Guarantee. Enroll in our October 7-8-9 International Business & Investing Seminar.  I’ll send you a recording of the June seminar now so you better understand what these seminars are and how they help you.  If you are not happy with what you hear, let us know within 30 days and we’ll give you a full refund. You keep the recorded seminar as our thanks.

Enrollment for our October 7-9 North Carolina Course click here for details.

Read RV Articles:

It’s a historic bust for Lane County’s RV industry

China Holding 1st RV Rally and Camping Show

Road trip: Chinese rev up the RVs by Calum Macleod, USA TODAY

Ecuador Currency


Ecuador’s currency is the US dollar.

When Merri and I first arrived in Ecuador the currency was the sucre and it took 3,000 sucre to buy one dollar.  About five years after we arrived the sucre had dropped to about 8,000 sucres to buy a US dollar.  Then a decade ago the Ecuadorian economy went into self destruct and the sucre collapsed all the way to 25,000 sucres per dollar.

ecuador-real-estate-for-sale

The dollar still goes a long way in Ecuador. You can still buy beach condos like this for under $24,000.

This created incredible real estate bargains.  I began buying Ecuador real estate which is one reason I can sell Ecuador real estate now at below the market and still make a decent profit.

ecuador-real-estate

Large fixer upper houses like this in the Andes can still sell for less than $29,000.

However getting out of the sucre into the greenback was in a way like jumping out of the frying pan into the fire…. because since then the US dollar has dropped a lot in value compared to other currencies such as the euro.  Excerpts from our latest Multi Currency portfolio report show this fact.  Here is what that message said:

Since we are beginning a new decade it makes sense to look back a decade at the past multi currency action.

A reader just sent this note:  Dear Gary, I am worried by the breaking news that the “Bolivarian Alliance” is creating its own currency.

The news says:   “Countries of the Bolivarian Alliance for the Peoples of Our America (ALBA) agreed to introduce regional common currency, the SUCRE…”During the ALBA summit on Dec. 13 (In Cuba), nine member countries including Antigua and Barbuda, Bolivia, Cuba, Dominica, Ecuador, Honduras, Nicaragua, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, and Venezuela announced the introduction of new virtual currency in January 2010.”  Thanks.

These countries have been announcing this type of stuff for quite some time.

You can see a 2007 article I wrote about this at Ecuador Currency Opportunity.

Announcements by governments are easy.  Actions not so much so.  Getting all these countries to actually do something together is not such an easy task.  Not much has happened from the 2007 announcement and I do not expect much to happen from the 2009 announcement.

Most of the countries above face enormous social and economic challenges in the decade ahead.  Keeping their own currency stable will be hard enough.  Creating a new one easy… but maintaining it hard.  Getting all these nations to work together to create one currency seems pretty unlikely.

The European Union and euro whose nations enjoyed  much greater economic success and stronger political stability, than the nations above took decades to create. The euro was driven by a real fear… a repeat of WW I and WWII.   Yet the euro has taken many decades to form.

Should we expect quick action for a union by Antigua and Barbuda, Bolivia, Cuba, Dominica, Ecuador, Honduras, Nicaragua, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, and Venezuela? Remain watchful but do not expect anything too soon.

A better way to answer the US dollar dilemma  is to invest in the best value BRIC countries (Brazil, Russia, India and China) and speculate on the ups and downs of their value.

Here are excerpts from a recent Multi Currency Update I sent to our multi currency portfolio subscribers.

BRIC currencies make sense because these countries are still viewed as emerging markets… but they now are major economies.

Together, these four countries generate approximately 27% of the world´s Gross Domestic Product (GDP).

The BRIC economies are also growing faster than in the Western world.  The average annual GDP growth of a BRIC nation was greater than 7% before the recession, as compared to approximately 2% for a G-7 nation.

The future growth of the global economy depends largely on the BRIC economies continuing growth.

The simplest way to invest in BRIC economies is with a BRIC ETF like iShares MSCI BRIC Index Fund. This ETF tracks the MSCI BRIC Index and invests in about 260 different companies in these four countries.  Invest and leave the investment alone for long term growth.

Jyske Global Asset Management recommends BRIC allocation as below :

If you have a Low Risk profile                  : up to 5%
If you have a Medium Risk profile          : up to 10%
If you have a High Risk profile                : up to 15%

A more complicated but potentially more profitable approach is to weight your investments more heavily in the good value BRIC countries and sell shares in the BRICS with poor value.

Heavier speculation  could buy the good value BRICS and short the low value BRICS.

For example you can see below why right now may be a good time to sell investments in India and invest in China.

Learn how to read this entire update on why to sell these BRICS now as a Multi Currency subscriber.

A March 2009 report entitled “Ecuador Economic Worries” shows why the dollar’s fate is not so important to Ecuador when it says:

A number of readers have sent questions about Ecuador economic worries. One regular Ecuador economic worry I receive is that Ecuador will stop using the US dollar as its currency.

There is little doubt that Ecuador’s economy is in a mess.

Which economy is not?

We’ll look at this Ecuador economic worry in a moment, but to put this worry into perspective, may I share some other economic worries at the same time… plus post some photos from our friend, Dennis Goff… such as this shot from a boutique hotel in Manta, Ecuador where you can stay for $52 a night.

ecuador-economic-ideas

Ecuador has economic worries, yes, but are they worse than the economic worries in Europe or the US?   The photos show that while we worry we can be in paradise on a shoestring budget.

Read the entire article Ecuador Economic Worries here.

Learn more about BRICS. Join Merri and me along with Thomas Fischer and my portfolio manager, Anders Nielsen, at our February 11-14 IBEZ seminar.

Learn more at  Quantum Wealth Florida -International Investing & Internet Business, Mt. Dora, Fl.

Gary

If you plan to join us at six or more seminars and tours in Ecuador, Florida or  North Carolina in 2010 you can save as an International Club member.

See details about each of our seminar and tours below… then see our December special that allows you to attend as many of these courses you like at a huge savings.

For International Investing and Business.

For Super Thinking + Spanish

For Ecuador Shamanic Tour

For Ecuador Export

For North Andes, Imbabura & Cotacachi

For Manta & Mid Coast

For Quito & Mindo

For Salinas & South Coast

For Cuenca

You gain discounts by attending multiple seminars and tours.

Here are our multi tour adventure discounts.

Two Pack… 2 seminar courses & tours $998 Couple  $1,349 Save $149 on couple

Three Pack… 3 seminar courses & tours   $1399 Couple  $1,899 Save $98 single or $348 on a couple or more

Four Pack… 4 seminar courses & tours   $1,699 Couple $2,299 Save $98 single or $697 on a couple or more

Five Pack… 5 seminar courses & tours  $1,999 Couple $2,699 Save $496 single or $1,046 on a couple or more

Six Pack… 6 seminars courses & tours  $2,199 Couple $3,099 Save $795 single or $1,395 on a couple or more

But our 2009 International Club membership which allows you and a guest to attend as many of the 56 courses and tours we’ll sponsor and conduct in 2010  (fees would be $40,947 for all these courses individually) is only $2,999.

The International club fee rises to $3,500 in January 2010. Enroll in the International Club now at the original fee of $2,999. Save $501.

International Club 2010

Attend our 56 investment, business, Spanish, real estate and export, courses and tours in 2010 with one small enrollment fee.

International Club 2010 Membership Enroll here

Here are the 56 courses and tours you can attend free. Plus there is even one more savings you will see below.

Jan.   8-11     Ecuador Export Tour
Jan. 13-14     Imbabura Real Estate Tour
Jan. 15-18     Coastal Real Estate Tour
Jan. 19-20    Quito-Mindo Real Estate Tour
Jan. 21-23    Cuenca Real Estate Tour

Join us in February or March.

Feb. 11-14   Quantum Wealth Florida -International Investing & Internet Business, Mt. Dora, Fl.

Feb. 15-16   Travel to and visit Quito
Feb  17         Travel to Manta
Feb. 18-19   Coastal Real Estate Tour
Feb. 20        Travel to Cotacachi
Feb. 21-22   Imbabura Real Estate Tour
Feb. 23-24  Quito-Mindo Real Estate Tour
Feb. 26-27  Cuenca Real Estate Tour

Mar. 11-14     Super Thinking + Spanish Course, Mt. Dora, Fl.
Mar. 15-16    Travel to Quito and Andes
Mar. 17-18     Imbabura Real Estate Tour
Mar. 19-20    Cotacachi Shamanic tour
Mar. 22-23    Coastal Real Estate Tour
Mar. 25-26    Cuenca Real Estate Tour
Mar. 28-29   South Coast Real Estate Tour

Apr. 12-15   Ecuador Export Tour ($499 or couple $749)
Apr. 17-18   Imbabura Real Estate Tour ($499 or couple $749)
Apr. 20-21  Coastal Real Estate Tour ($499 or couple $749)
Apr. 23-24  Quito-Mindo Real Estate Tour ($499 or couple $749)
Apr. 26-27  Cuenca Real Estate Tour ($499 or couple $749)

May  13-14     Ecuador Shamanic Minga  ($499 or couple $749)
May  16-17    Imbabura Real Estate Tour  ($499 or couple $749)
May  19-20    Coastal Real Estate Tour ($499 or couple $749)
May  22-23    Quito-Mindo Real Estate Tour  ($499 or couple $749)
May  25-26    Cuenca Real Estate Tour  ($499 or couple $749)
May  28-29    South Coast real Estate Tour ($499 or couple $749)

June 24         Quantum Wealth North Carolina
June 25-27    International Investing and Business North Carolina  ( $749 or couple $999)
June 28-29   Travel to Ecuador and Andes
June 30-Jy 1 Imbabura Real Estate Tour  ($499 or couple $749)
July 3-4          Coastal Real Estate Tour   ($499 or couple $749)
July 6-7          Quito-Mindo Real Estate Tour    ($499 or couple $749)
July 9-10        Cuenca Real Estate Tour   ($499 or couple $749)

Sept.   3-6      Ecuador Export Tour  ($499 or couple $749)
Sept.   8-9      Imbabura Real Estate Tour  ($499 or couple $749)
Sept. 11-12     Coastal Real Estate Tour   ($499 or couple $749)
Sept. 14-15     Cuenca Real Estate Tour    ($499 or couple $749)
Sept. 17-18     Ecuador Shamanic Minga  ($499 or couple $749)
Sept 20-21      South Coast Real Estate tour ($499 or couple $749)

Oct.    7          Quantum Wealth North Carolina
Oct.   8-10     International Investing & Business North Carolina ($749 or couple $999)
Oct.   11-12    Travel to Quito and Andes
Oct.  13-14     Imbabura Real Estate Tour ($499 or couple $749)
Oct.  16-17     Coastal Real Estate Tour ($499 or couple $749)
Oct.  19-20    Quito-Mindo Real Estate Tour ($499 or couple $749)
Oct. 22-23     Cuenca Real Estate Tour ($499 or couple $749)

Nov.    4-7        Super Thinking + Spanish Course Florida ($749 or couple $999)
Nov.    8-9       Travel to Quito and Andes
Nov. 10-11       Imbabura Real Estate Tour ($499 or couple $749)
Nov. 13-14      Coastal Real Estate Tour ($499 or couple $749)
Nov. 16-17      Quito-Mindo Real Estate  ($499 or couple $749)
Nov. 19-20     Cuenca Real Estate Tour ($499 or couple $749)
Nov  22-23      South Coast Real Estate Tour (($499 or couple $749)

Dec.   3-5       Ecuador Shamanic Mingo  ($499 or couple $749)
Dec.   7-8       Imbabura Real Estate Tour ($499 or couple $749)
Dec.  10-11    Coastal Real Estate Tour ($499 or couple $749)
Dec. 13-14     Quito-Mindo Real Estate Tour ($499 or couple $749)
Dec. 16-17      Cuenca Real Estate Tour ($499 or couple $749)

If you join the International Club, the entrance fee for 2010 is $2,999 (until January 2010).  Your attendance fees at all courses will be waived. You and your guest can attend courses worth $40,947.

You can calculate the savings as our schedule of all 2010 courses is shown below.

Arrival dates are always one or two days earlier. Please double check with us before booking flights.

I invite you to be a member of the International Club which allows you and your guest of your choice to attend all of these courses which are valued at $40,947!

International Club 2010 Membership Enroll here

You may well wonder why I would make such an offer and ask why the cost is so low? Let me answer this question frankly and from the heart.

First, it helps us do a better job for you. We feel greatly enriched when we can really help our clients improve their lives. We have learned through years of experience the best way to do this is to meet with you regularly. We can best help you learn how to improve your health and wealth through continual expansion of knowledge.

Second, we gain enormous fulfillment from the many friendships we form through the years. Our friends have enriched our lives tremendously. Let me explain this in more detail.

As a member, you will be part of our international family that meets intensively over the next year to examine ways we can make our lives better. Our goal is beyond just having money. Our goal is to have quantum wealth… good health… wealth and fulfillment through service.

Though I give all course delegates my very best, I cannot help but to do a better job for those who come again and again. As we meet often; your particular wants, needs and desires become clear, and it is easier for me to point you in the right direction.

Another phenomenon is that repeat delegates help each other! They get to know one another, help each other learn, share their insights, make contacts and gain more wealth.

Out associates in Ecuador, are experienced business people who live or work and conduct our real estate and export courses.  They can also act as your local backup for the business.

Lifestyle for Two. There is more! I have learned at my courses that many repeat delegates were couples.

We want couples! As a member of the program, you are entitled to bring another person to every single course or tour. The cost for that extra person will be ZERO!  You can bring whomever you wish. Bring your spouse, a friend, son or daughter, partner, accountant, adviser. You can bring the same person each time or a different person, whomever you choose to accompany you. (Accommodations and air fares relating to the courses are not included for members, delegates or their guests.)

Won’t you join us in this exciting club and share Merri’s and my lifestyle for the next year? We look forward to seeing you at as many courses as possible and sharing this wonderful world of abundance and well being with you!

Gary

International Club 2010 Membership  Enroll here

Ecuador Residence & Triple Protection


Ecuador residence may be good idea for many… but I do not recommend investing everything in Ecuador.

Our recent article Ecuador and the US dollar outlined how I am short the US  dollar via dollar loans and hold euros, emerging currencies and Ecuador real estate.

ecuador-sunrise

The sunshine always shines somewhere.  Sunrise from our condo in Cotacachi.

After reading this, one might wonder why such a spread?

The first book I wrote in the 1970s was “Passport to International Profit”… not “Passport to Ecuador Profit”… not “Passport to US Profit”… not “Passport to European Profit”.

The core message in “Passport to International Profit” was become a one man multinational with a six point command posture which is to:

Live in one country
Bank in a second country
Invest in many countries
Earn in two or more countries
Use a company incorporated in a fifth country
Take a second residence

Let’s take this one step further. To have a fulfilling six point lifestyle posture:

Live in one country you love.
Bank in a second country that is safe and that you really enjoy.
Invest in many countries you would like to explore or feel good about.
Earn in two or more countries you would like to explore or feel good about.
Use a company incorporated in a fifth country that best fits your circumstances.
Take a second residence in a place where you love and want to be.

Merri and I have followed this advice throughout our business career.

ecuador-sunrise

The sun always shines in more than once place.  Sunset from our apartment in San Clemente Ecuador.

We have always had a place in the US…  always in small towns by the way… Naples Florida when it was a small fishing village… Murphy and Lansing North Carolina and now Mt. Dora Florida.

A recent article Smalltown USA Revisted said: Finally we get to revisit Smalltown USA. As Merri and I begin our 42nd year of international investing and business seminars and publishing, we gain great comfort and enthusiasm from the  feel of how our efforts in this last seven year cycle progressed. 

First we are excited that in this upcoming seven years we can expand our focus on Small town USA as well as global investing and Ecuador.

I doubt things will get so bad in the US that Merri and I would not want to live there anymore.

ecuador-sunrise

Follow the sun.  Sunrise from our Blue Ridge North Carolina house.

I have options because I am diversified. Yet the options fit my particular lifestyle and do not cost me anything if events where I live, as expected turn out positive.

The US is central to our family.  Our new home in Florida was chosen in part because it is near our eldest grandson who we feel at age seven can benefit from quality time with us.  The US is a country we love and know and as US citizens we have certain rights even if they have greatly diminished.  Plus the US can be a great place to be.

ecuador-sunrise

Follow your sun. Lake County Florida sunset… our newest home.

However Ecuador is wonderful as well. Ecuador is 3 hours and 45 minutes from the US and we enjoy being in Ecuador for many reasons.

Ecuador gives us great weather in the winter and we love the people and the place. Ecuador is not a bunghole we have chosen because  we dislike or fear some other place.  Ecuador is a place we love.

I doubt that things will get so bad in Ecuador that we will not want to live there.  I doubt even more that things will get so bad in BOTH Ecuador and the US that Merri and I could not stay.

There is always something we do not know, sooo…  just in case, here is a photo from my passport.  This is the stamp you get when you are allowed to reside permanently in the UK.

I can always live in the UK and from there, because of European regulations,  I can pretty well live anywhere in the European Union.

Life in Europe would be our third choice.

ecuador-sunrise

The sun does shine in England… as evidenced by this shot our son Jake took near his home in Bristol.

This also fits into our lifestyle.  Merri and I have both lived there for years. We are both multi lingual… me a bit, Merri more than me.  She can get by in Spanish, German or French.  We have children who live in England and expect to have grandchildren living there some day.

Yet if Europe is our third choice…why are euros our first choice currency that is so overweighted in our portfolio?

We do not have to invest in the country where we live.  I believe that the huge US debt and deficits will drag the US dollar down.   I have even less confidence in the Ecuadorian government’s fiscal capability.

Here is the interesting part of my currency choice. I do not particularly like the euro either.

So why so many euros?

The euro to me is the best of several bad choices.

As shown above. The euro represents the biggest economy in the world.  This is one reason for the choice.  The alternatives are BRIC currencies (Brazil, Russia, India and China).  They are represented (and are likely to increase) in the emerging portion of my portfolio.   But I cannot gain enough confidence in these countries to go beyond a 25% weighting.

So the euro wins by default.

I also like the fuddled aspect of European politics… as I do Ecuadorian politics.  Both have so many diverse interests pulling in opposite directions that the political process is slowed.

No government action seems to be much better than efficient bad activity such as we have seen in the US.

We live in a time of incredible opportunity and freedom. There are probably dozens of places where each of us could enjoy living, investing and doing business.  There is no need to look for the one perfect place.  In fact, such a Utopia probably does not exist.

There are however many places like Smalltown USA, Ecuador and Smalltown Europe where one can enjoy living full or part time and gain lifestyle diversification.

Also do not look for the perfect place to live, or the one and only business to do or the best investment of all forever.   Our circumstances and countries, institutions and relations change.

Diversification gives us a greater ability to change too.

The greatest asset for diversification is the ability to earn wherever you live and to keep your investments safe.

This is why we offer our course Tangled Web… How to Have an Internet Business as well as this multi currency service.

A clear mind and sound body is also a vital tool for embracing change which is why we have added an optional, extra day (at no added cost) to our upcoming International Investing and Business course. The one day Quantum wealth workshop looks at how to gain super thinking and better health to assist in making wiser investing and business decisions.

We hope you will join us.

Feb. 11-14   Quantum Wealth Florida -International Investing & Internet Business, Mt. Dora, Florida ($749) Couple $999

Gary

How We Can Serve You

Ecuador & the US Dollar


Ecuador and the US dollar.

A Canadian reader recently sent this question about Ecuador and the US dollar.

I am hoping our Canadian dollar gains on the US dollar so we stretch our purchasing power in Ecuador.  Could you give me a better idea of the potential for this?

An excerpt from one of our recent Multi Currency updates outlines my belief that long term the US dollar will fall. I sent my multi currency readers this note:

With my recent US dollar loans the currency allocation in my liquid portfolio is:

US$  -2.0%
CAD  6.0%
NZD  6.0%
AUD   6.0%
$ Bloc   16.0%

GBP   8.0%
DKK  10.0%
SEK   4.0%
EURO 39.0%
Euro bloc 61.0%

TRY 6.0%
HUF 7.0%
BRL 6.0%
EMCS 6.0%
Emg Curr  25.0%

This represents a large overweighting in the euro and related currencies.

A recent note from a British reader explains why I have so many euros.   The  reader sent this note:

We Europeans wake with a new President elect tomorrow: President van Rompuy (currently Belgian Prime minister).

He may not have quite the charisma of President Obama but he will now lead the European Union, the largest economic power in the world. Consider:

-The European Union’s GDP ($18.9trillion) is larger than the United States ($14.5 trillion) and China ($4.3 trillion) COMBINED
-van R represents 492 million citizens
-EU is the world’s largest aid donor
-world’s second longest coast-line helping establish it as the world’s largest importer and exporter
-Home to more global cities than any other region in the world

Yet…

We have not had a chance to vote for van Rompuy of course, no surprise as the EU is the world’s largest elite driven technocracy that is (in my humble opinion) transforming Westminster, the mother of all Parliaments into a regional Assembly and squeezing the life out of accountable democracy like a giant multi-headed serpent that speaks 145 different languages.

Consider:

-75% of new environmental law comes from the EU
-EU law is now supreme law and trumps national law in all EU countries
-Do you know who your MEP is or what they get up to in Brussels?
-The EU elite has largely refused to let its citizens vote via referenda on the relentless expansion of EU powers and effective end of national soverignty (and where there have been referenda i.e. Ireland: have refused to take no for an answer, bullying second referenda until they say Yes)

So, awake and all hail President elect van the man Rompuy, a new global Giant, the dawn of a new era. A thrilling day for the Euro Elite, a sad day for democracy.  Thanks God.  At least it wasn’t Tony Blair.

You can enroll in our Mutli Currency Course here.

I believe the Canadian dollar will appreciate against the US dollar… but not as much as emerging and European currencies.  To protect the purchasing power of one’s currency… diversify out of the US dollar.   My portfolio above shows that I am voting with my money as well as my mouth.

Here is a chart from finance.yahoo.com of the Canadian dollar versus the US dollar.

ecuador-dollar

Here is the US dollar versus the euro for the past five years.

ecuador-dollar

Whichever currencies you choose for diversification… the charts are pretty clear.  The US dollar is headed down and has not yet reached its previous low.

However to not forget that I believe that all currencies will lose purchasing power. This is why I have Ecuador houses and…

Cotacachi-Adobe-house-Rental-lounge

Ecuador office buildings…

Cotacachi-condos

Ecuador hotels…

ecuador-dollar

and Ecuador condos in my portfolio.

ecuador-dollar

There are four ways to combat the loss of global currency purchasing power.  Invest in global shares… commodities… real estate and/or have your own business.  This is why we offer our emailed course “Tangled Web… How to Have Your Own Internet Business”.

Gary

Join us in Ecuador or Florida or Both. See the best Ecuador property for you.  Find the best real estate offers.  Know more of Ecuador. To help you experience a bigger adventure in this wonderful nation, to broaden your horizons, to expand your awareness of all Ecuador offers, we are providing deep discounts in 2010 for those who sign up for multiple tours.

Join us at our upcoming courses and tours.

December 6-8 Blaine Watson’s  Beyond Logic & Shamanic Tour

December 9-10 Imbabura Real Estate Tour

December 11-13 Ecuador Coastal Real Estate Tour

Join us in 2010. See our winter Ecuador real estate tours below.

Jan.   8-11     Ecuador Export Tour $499 Couple  $749

Jan. 13-14     Imbabura Real Estate Tour   $499 Couple $749
Jan. 15-18     Coastal Real Estate Tour $499 Couple $749
Jan. 19-20    Quito-Mindo Real Estate Tour  $499 Couple $749
Jan. 21-23    Cuenca Real Estate Tour  $499 Couple $749

Enjoy extra savings with our special early bird fees (if you enroll in November 2009)

Join us in February or March.

Feb. 11-14   Quantum Wealth Florida -International Investing & Internet Business, Mt. Dora, Florida ($749) Couple $999

Feb. 15-16   Travel to and visit Quito
Feb  17         Travel to Manta
Feb. 18-19   Coastal Real Estate Tour   $499 Couple $749 or discounted fee for multiple tours below.
Feb. 20        Travel to Cotacachi
Feb. 21-22   Imbabura Real Estate Tour  $499 Couple $749 or discounted fee for multiple tours below.
Feb. 23-24  Quito-Mindo Real Estate Tour $499 Couple $749 or discounted fee for multiple tours below.
Feb. 26-27  Cuenca Real Estate Tour  $499 Couple $749 or discounted fee for multiple tours below.

Mar. 11-14     Super Thinking + Spanish Course, Mt. Dora, Florida $749 Couple $999

Mar. 15-16    Travel to Quito and Andes
Mar. 17-18     Imbabura Real Estate Tour   $499 Couple $749 or discounted fee for multiple tours below.
Mar. 19-20    Cotacachi Shamanic Tour      $499 Couple $749 or discounted fee for multiple tours below.
Mar. 22-23    Coastal Real Estate Tour        $499 Couple $749 or discounted fee for multiple tours below.
Mar. 25-26    Cuenca Real Estate Tour        $499 Couple $749 or discounted fee for multiple tours below.

Enjoy extra savings with our special early bird fees (if you enroll in November 2009)

2 seminar courses & tours $949 Couple  $1,399

3 seminar courses & tours   $1199 Couple  $1,749

4 seminar courses & tours   $1,399 Couple $2,149

5 seminar courses & tours  $1,599 Couple $2,499

6 seminars courses & tours  $1,999 Couple $2,999

(Be sure to show in the comments section which courses and tours you are attending)

International Club attend up to 52 courses and tours in 2010 free.

See our entire 2010 seminar and tour schedule here

New International Investing Era


A new international investing era could be created by a destructive scientific fundamental that is now so powerful it could overwhelm all other factors determining our wealth. This danger has such power that it could destroy most investors and much worse… end civilization as we know it.

electromagnetic-pulse

Photo from Wikepedia report on Electromagnetic pulse weapons.

The most frightening part is that this force could unleash its destruction on us… now… at any time!

I want to share what, why and when this disaster could happen.

Then, I want to share how you can be protected rather than ruined.  We’ll even see how this, with luck, could be the creator of untold wealth which you, I, and a handful of cautious, insightful investors could share.

Before I explain how to safeguard your family from this possible upcoming disaster, let me explain that I first began to understand the magnitude of the risk after reading the New York Times best selling novel “One Second After” written by bestselling author, William R. Forstchen.

The story had extra meaning for me because it shows life in a small North Carolina town (similar to where Merri and I live during the summer) after an electro magnetic pulse is detonated by terrorists over the United States.

In the story the electrical grid and anything using a computer stopped working due to an Electromagnetic Pulse (EMP) created by just three small nuclear devices, launched from container ships and detonated high above the USA.

Without central communication and distribution, mass devastation and chaos ensued immediately.   The agony was terrible and life almost unfathomably complicated.

What made this fiction meaningful is that the book really documents and details the West’s dangerous reliance on technological systems which are so extensive that no one even recognizes them any more.

Adding to the terror of this book is a forward by Newt Gingrich and and afterword by Captain Bil Sanders (USN) one of the foremost experts on EMP. His comment  on how an EMP exploded over the US would create the Compton effect and how it would have “devastating consequences on our country” should be examined and understood.

It was Captain Sanders’ deep understanding of EMPs that made the warning in this book so powerful.

In a moment we’ll share ways to protect against this disaster… that could happen to all of us… suddenly… at any time.

First here are three facts that you should know.

EMP Fact #1: Many countries, including the US have EMP weapons that have nothing to do with a nuclear bomb and are quite small. They essentially put out a high energy very sharp spike of energy – high frequency and very short wavelength, short duration pulse.

However it is the nuclear EMP device that creates the greatest risk.  These are nuclear bombs that DO NOT CREATE DAMAGE FROM THEIR BLAST, HEAT OR NUCLEAR FALLOUT.   Instead the weapons create an electrical wave that fries just about anything with a computer.  A survey of open sources over the past decade finds that knowledge about EMP and EMP attack is evidenced in at least Britain, France, Germany, Israel, Egypt, Taiwan, Sweden, Cuba, India, Pakistan, Iraq under Saddam Hussein, Iran, North Korea, China and Russia.

Russian and Chinese military scientists in open source writings have shown how to design nuclear weapons that generate an extra powerful EMP effect called Super-EMP that can destroy even the best protected military and civilian electronic facilities.

electromagnetic-pulse

EMP Fact #2:  This risk has grown to such an extent that America’s electrical grid is so vulnerable to terrorist attack that the Homeland Security Committee Chairman Bennie Thompson is pushing a bill to give the energy commission broad authority for “true emergency situations.”

This is explained in a recent USA Today article entitled “Electrical grid vulnerable to terrorist attack”  by Thomas Frank.  Here are excerpts from that article: It sounds like a science-fiction disaster: A nuclear weapon is detonated miles above the Earth’s atmosphere and knocks out power from New York City to Chicago for weeks, maybe months.

electromagnetic-pulse

This graphic is from the USA Today article linked below.

Experts and lawmakers are increasingly warning that terrorists or enemy states could wage that exact type of attack, idling electricity grids and disrupting everything from communications networks to military defenses.

An expert panel that Congress created to study such an attack says it would halt banking, transportation, food, water and emergency services and “might result in defeat of our military forces.”

“The consequences would be catastrophic,” said Joseph McClelland, director of the energy commission’s Office of Electric Reliability. Full recovery could take up to 10 years, he said.

The scenario involves a phenomenon called an “electromagnetic pulse,” or EMP, which is essentially a huge energy wave strong enough to knock out systems that control electricity flow across the country.

The immediate effect would resemble a blackout. Although blackouts can be restored quickly, an EMP could damage or destroy power systems, leaving them inoperable for months or longer.

House Homeland Security Committee Chairman Bennie Thompson, D-Miss., is pushing a bill to give the energy commission broad authority.

At a committee hearing in July, Steve Naumann of energy giant Exelon said the authority should be limited to “true emergency situations.”

The commission studying the threat says the U.S. is ill-prepared to prevent or recover from an EMP, a vulnerability could invite an attack.

“We are not well-protected at all,” said Michael Frankel, who was executive director of the commission.

EMP Fact #3:  If an EMP event takes place, the Western World could quickly run out of food. Here is an excerpt of a transcript of a speech given by Professor Sir John Beddington, chief scientific adviser to the British government, at the GovNet SDUK09 event.  This has become know as “The Perfect Storm” speech.

I spoke here last year at about the same time about the issue of the food crisis and the burgeoning increases in food prices that were being driven by population growth, use of biofuels and so on.

The first problem here is that we really have a major issue. This graph takes a little bit of explanation; it is the ratio of our reserves to our consumption. What it is showing is that last year is the lowest level of reserves that we have had as a proportion of our consumption in years, since 1970 and actually since records were taken of this sort.

electromagnetic-pulse

That means that we’ve got somewhere like reserves of around 14% of our consumption, that implies, give or take, 38 or 39 days of food reserves if we don’t grow any more.

As you can see, it’s the lowest level that we’ve actually had.  Is that a problem?  Well the answer is yes it is going to be a problem.  We saw the food spike last year; prices going up by something in the order of 300%, rice went up by 400%, we saw food riots, we saw major issues for the poorest in the world, in the sense that the organisations like the World Food Programme did not have sufficient money to buy food on the open market and actually use it to feed the poorest of the poor.

But this is England, not North America.  Right?

Beddingdon’s note shows that North America might not be able to rely on Europe for much food assistance and…

America’s food reserves are even worse as explained in this excerpt from last year’s article “The US has no grain reserves” published in the Tri State Observer, Milford, PA. The excerpt says:  Larry Matlack, President of the American Agriculture Movement (AAM), has raised concerns over the issue of U.S. grain reserves after it was announced that the sale of 18.37 million bushels of wheat from USDA’s Commodity Credit Corporation (CCC) Bill Emerson Humanitarian Trust.

“According to the May 1, 2008 CCC inventory report there are only 24.1 million bushels of wheat in inventory, so after this sale there will be only 2.7 million bushels of wheat left the entire CCC inventory,” warned Matlack. “Our concern is not that we are using the remainder of our strategic grain reserves for humanitarian relief. AAM fully supports the action and all humanitarian food relief.

Our concern is that the U.S. has nothing else in our emergency food pantry. There is no cheese, no butter, no dry milk powder, no grains or anything else left in reserve. The only thing left in the entire CCC inventory will be 2.7 million bushels of wheat which is about enough wheat to make 1⁄2 of a loaf of bread for each of the 300 million people in America.” (MY BOLD)

The CCC is a federal government-owned and operated entity that was created to stabilize, support, and protect farm income and prices. CCC is also supposed to maintain balanced and adequate supplies of agricultural commodities and aids in their orderly distribution.

“This lack of emergency preparedness is the fault of the 1996 farm bill which eliminated the government’s grain reserves as well as the Farmer Owned Reserve (FOR),” explained Matlack.

This is backed up by a Scienceblog article that says: “The US Government Has Zero Grain Reserves.”

In 1996, the Federal Agriculture Improvement and Reform Act of 1996 (“Freedom to Farm Act”) called for elimination of government stockpiles of grain.  I’m sure someone thought it made sense, at the time.

Now, the United States government has no reserves of butter, cheese, dry milk, barley, corn, oats, sorghum, soybeans, wheat, rice, sugar, honey, peanuts, canola seed, crambe, flaxseed, mustard seed, rapeseed, safflower seed, sunflower seed, peas, lentils, chickpeas, and cotton.  [Source: US Farm Service Agency, Current CCC Inventory (PDF file)]

The book, “One Second After”, clearly and very dramatically (but I am not sure how accurately) drives home the point that unless a person takes a unique financial stance that his finances, and maybe even his or her life, could be wiped out.   Many military and scientific studies support this monumental economic, social and life threatening risk.

Yet you do not have to ruined by EMP.  You may even find that this potential weapon will create extra ordinary wealth that a few investors will share.  Here is how and why.

First, there is no proof that an EMP event as described above would create quite the havoc mentioned above.

Here is how one scientist whom I have known for years and trust completely, explains this.

“I’m not sure how large an effect the nuclear device would have above the atmosphere — the pulse might dissipate somewhat along the earth’s electromagnetic field.  It would probably take out a lot of communications and military satellites.

“Electronic devices that are not attached to any power source and that do not have an antenna when the EMP pulse hits could survive – even better with some shielding material.”

EMPs could be the driving force for the next investing era.

Just like the nuclear threat in the Cold War…  an EMP attack may never happen.   Yet because it could… the perception of risk… has created a huge rush by many governments to develop new weapons and forms of protection… just as during the Cold War.

This site and our multi currency site have repeated many times how stock market bulls and bears are based on cycles of human interaction, war, technology and productivity.

These cycles are intricately connected with the new waves of productivity that grow from the great human platform of combat. The cycle goes like this.

An economic downturn enhances a war or threat of war. Struggles for survival in the war (like the Civil War, WWI, WWII and the Cold War (WWIII), super charge inventiveness that creates new forms of productivity…the steam engine, the internal combustion engine,  production line processes, jet engines, TV, farming techniques, plastics, telephone, computer and lastly during the Cold War, the internet.

Each new invention helped win a war.  Shifting the technology to domestic use… after the war… created a boom.

Each boom leads to excess.

Each excess led to a correction.  The correction creates an economic downturn.

The economic downturn enhances a war or threat of war.

Here we are… in the correction again… at the correct time when we should expect that another war (or threat of war such as the Cold War) should begin to build!   This latest downturn started almost exactly (1998), 16 years after the last boom began (1982)…which began after the last great human struggle called the Cold War.

If the cycle repeats, the struggle should build now due to the poor economy.

The key for spotting the greatest investment opportunities is to spot the next big invention… the technology that will spin out of WWIV.

The key is that a problem must have such severe consequences (such as losing the war and being destroyed) that all stops… all logics of return on investment are ignored.  Technology and research are pushed full steam ahead regardless of cost. The threat must be real and serious… like EMP.

There are seven steps you can take to assure that you are not destroyed by an EMP.

#1:  Move well away from the USA…. to an agriculturally based country.  This is one reason Merri and I have been active in Ecuador for nearly 15 years.

#2: Move to Small Town USA.  Our sites have been looking at the benefits of this for years and why we live on agricultural property.

#3:  Create your own source of food.

#4: Create a local source of hardened energy and communications.  This is one reason our newest real estate purchase is also agricultural property and already has a HAM radio tower installed.

#5: Keep some gold and or silver on hand.

#6: Know how to take care of your own health.

#7:  Hold some assets outside of North America.

Merri and I have already taken six of these seven steps… and are well on our way to completing the seventh step.  From this we learned one really important point.

You should not suffer in the process of  gaining this protection either.

Merri and I did not move to the country… buy our Blue Ridge farm… set up our own food supply… start our garden… buy agricultural land in Florida… get a ham radio tower… buy gold and silver… organize assets out of the US and become involved in taking care of our own health naturally because we were worried about EMPs.  We did so because we wanted to.

Chances are that an EMP attack will NOT take place.  During the Cold War nuclear bomb shelters were not required!

Yet can we take a chance?  Ignoring this risk and with no action is not the answer either.

Instead let’s share ways and lifestyle alterations that protect as they provide joy, satisfaction, better health and enhanced wealth.

You may not be able to (or want) to move your home abroad or to a rural area.   Yet gardening, even in urban areas,  can be healthy and fun.  Holding some precious metals is probably a good investment anyway.  We should be taking care of our health even when their is no threat of war.

When it comes to holding assets abroad… our multi currency course can help.

Since mankind began, every generation has endured some great threat or risk.  Yet here we are… still growing!  Only time will tell whether EMP will create havoc or the greatest new wave of wealth we have seen.  Whichever, Merri and I will be here to share the experience with you.

Gary

The greatest asset of all is the ability to earn wherever you live, which brings everlasting wealth.

This is why we offer our course Tangled Web… How to Have an Internet Business.

A clear mind and healthy body are also a vital assets… plus a second language is a powerful diversification tool.

This is why I am giving everyone who enrolls in our North Carolina or Ecuador International Business & Investing seminar in October or November our “Tangled Web… How to Have an Internet Business Course” (offered at $299) free.

Here are comments from a reader about the way we help:  Thank you for your inspiration and information outlining foreign banking and retirement.  Your comments and suggestions are welcome for planning the steps to evaluate the early stages of living abroad.

Nov. 9-10 Imbabura Real Estate Tour

Nov. 11-14 Ecuador Coastal Real Estate Tour

December 6-8 Blaine Watson’s  Beyond Logic & Shamanic Tour

December 9-10 Imbabura Real Estate Tour

December 11-13 Ecuador Coastal Real Estate Tour

Join us in 2010.   Attend more than one seminar and tour and save even more plus get the three emailed courses free.

Our multi seminar-tour discounts have grown!

See the 2010 winter schedule below.

To Enroll click below.

1 real estate tour  $499 Couple $749

2 seminar courses & tours $949 Couple  $1,399

3 seminar courses & tours   $1199 Couple  $1,749

4 seminar courses & tours   $1,399 Couple $2,149

5 seminar courses & tours  $1,599 Couple $2,499

(Be sure to show in the comments section which courses and tours you are attending)

International Club attend up to 52 courses and tours in 2010 free.

Jan.   8-11     Ecuador Export Tour ($499) Couple $749
Jan. 13-14     Imbabura Real Estate Tour
Jan. 16-17     Coastal Real Estate Tour
Jan. 19-20    Quito-Mindo Real Estate Tour
Jan. 22-23    Cuenca Real Estate Tour

Feb. 11-14   Quantum Wealth Florida -International Investing & Internet Business, Mt. Dora, Florida ($749) Couple $999
Feb. 15-16   Travel to Quito and Andes
Feb  17-18   Imbabura Real Estate Tour
Feb. 20-21  Coastal Real Estate Tour
Feb. 23-24  Quito-Mindo Real Estate Tour
Feb. 26-27  Cuenca Real Estate Tour

Mar. 11-14     Super Thinking + Spanish Course, Mt. Dora, Florida ($749) Couple $999
Mar. 15-16    Travel to Quito and Andes
Mar. 17-18     Imbabura Real Estate Tour
Mar. 19-20    Cotacachi Shamanic Tour
Mar. 22-23    Coastal Real Estate Tour
Mar. 25-26    Cuenca Real Estate Tour

See our entire 2010 seminar and tour schedule here

Read the entire articles:

Electrical grid vulnerable to terrorist attack

The US has no grain reserves” published in the Tri State Observer, Milford, PA.

Small Business Tangled Idea


Here is a tangled small business idea that can untangle complications in your life and career.

Cotacachi-Otavalo

See how this woman may help make your life better… and you hers.

This tangled thought begins with two of the major themes at this site… “turn your passion into profit” and “embrace change”.

Yet momentum off us keeps us locked in a rut… until something like the recent economic crash breaks or ends our routine or job.

Such seeming problems can lead us to our real passions and desires.

otavalo-Ecuador

People like this can make a new business for you fun… and you theirs.

Excerpts from a recent USA Today article “For some, hard times are a gateway to new careers” by Rick Hampson explains how (the bolds are mine): To  cope with the recession, people like Sussy Deleon are coming up with creative ways to make a buck. Listen to Deleon, who was in real estate, describe her new business: selling pinatas handcrafted by artisans in Guatemala.

For millions of Americans, the recession has been a curse. For a relative few, it’s something more complicated: A catalyst for change. An opportunity to grow.  A kick in the butt.

In some cases, economic necessity has been the mother of re-invention. It has forced people to pursue careers they might never have considered if they hadn’t gotten — or quit before getting — the ax.  Their optimism is based on two convictions: That even in hard times, people still will spend on things like their dogs, their kids and their looks; and that things such as flexible hours, casual dress and a shorter commute are worth a few lost dollars.  Above all, they agree that if they hadn’t been pushed, they never would have made the leap.

Andrea Kay, author of Life’s a Bitch and Then You Change Careers, says many people hang onto jobs they don’t like, oblivious to the fact that their unhappiness — which they mistakenly think they can hide — hurts their performance and attitude.

It’s the same in every economic downturn, says David Kyvig, a Northern Illinois University historian who wrote Daily Life in the United States, 1920-1940: “When things are going well, we tend to stay with what’s working. When they don’t, we explore something new.”  In a surprising number of cases, we’re happier — “if, after the shock, anger and fear, someone is willing to see there’s an opportunity to do something different,” Kay says. “Then they ask, ‘Why did I wait so long?’ “

Research indicates that workers who change jobs generally are more satisfied in their new positions than their old ones, even though they often take cuts in salary and benefits, AARP economist Sara Rix says.

A new idea

Sussy Deleon got her idea for a recession-proof business at her son’s first birthday party.  The young guests couldn’t break the piñata to get at the goodies. The piñata, made in China, was cardboard, not wire-and-tissue paper like those in Deleon’s native Guatemala.  When the recession dried up her real estate sales practice in Providence, she decided to import piñatas handcrafted by Guatemalan artisans in designs ranging from animals to clowns to spaceships. Deleon, 39, sells them at her new shop, the Piñata Center, for $40 to $50.  “People still have some money to spend, and they’re going to spend it on their kids” — particularly on special occasions, she says.  After four months in business, Deleon’s begun to make enough to cover her costs.

A passion Caroline Blake knew what she didn’t like — her job — and what she did — animals. The result was a new career in pet care.  A year ago, Blake, 29, of Kenilworth, N.J, was a recruiter for an IT consulting firm that was laying people off. Fearing she was next, she quit. She bought a Fetch! Pet Care franchise for $10,000. Some friends were skeptical. “You’re leaving a good-paying job to walk dogs?” she says one asked.

Blake often works seven days a week, starting as early as 6:30 a.m., with a last walk at 11 p.m. She went three months this summer without a Sunday off.  She has integrated pet care into her lifestyle — while sunbathing around the pool or watching TV. She’ll even jog with a dog.
She charges $18 for a 30-minute visit and $55 a night to keep a dog overnight at her home. She also provides overnight sitters. She says she still makes a fine living, about 75% of what she earned as a consultant. “Smartest thing I’ve ever done,” she says. “Every day, a different dog.”

Trying something different Springs, 45, was laid off in April. In her next job she wanted security, and she wanted to make things with her hands. After considering more gender-typical jobs — nursing, teaching — she settled on a six-month welding program at Central Piedmont Community College, with $4,000 in tuition and fees covered by federal stimulus money.  She’s the only woman enrolled in the six-month program. Her first welding job should pay $28 to $32 an hour, about twice what she made as a driver.  “When you get knocked down, you brush yourself off and get up,” Springs says. “My daughter’s watching my response. Does she see me wallow in pity or try something different?”

This is why we are providing a special three for one offer with our  course Tangled Web… How to Have an Internet Business

This course can help you create your own internet business or how to market your prodcut or service over the internet.

Our emailed course “Tangled Webs We Weave – How to Have Your Own Web Based Business” is a continuing educational program.  You receive the first 28 lessons when you enroll and a new lesson every week or two.

This course teaches how to create a web based business and is developed from the ongoing experiences that we have from our successful and profitable internet business.

This course is well worth the enrollment fee of $299… but currently you also receive two additional courses FREE.

The other two courses are #1: International Business Made EZ, and #2: Self Fulfilled – How to be a Self Publisher.

These two courses have sold for $398 and thousands have paid this price. We add them to your course, at no added cost, as I believe they will help you develop a better business in these crucial times.

Cotacachi-Otavalo

Meet these Otavalo textiles producers  at our next Ecuador export tour Oct. 21-24 Ecuador Import Export Tour

Help these wonderful people expand their businesses as you begin yours.

Or come to our January 2010 Ecuador export tour.

May I add that we have done  a pretty good job helping readers start their own business already? Here are a few examples of small businesses that have been started with our help.

From Sandra, a restaurant owner:

“Dear Gary and Merri, yes I did it! Without you and your wonderful writing class I would not have been able to see my potential!! I THANK YOU BOTH! You told me to write about what I know and I did. Thank you for all the encouragement. Starting today, we are taking orders and I wanted you to be the first to know! So here goes…..I have some exciting news to share! I have just written my first book and very much appreciate your help. This book would make a great gift for any bride-to-be or even the parents of the bride (especially if they’re paying the bill)! Please check it out. I genuinely appreciate you helping me spread the word! Thank you!! Sandra”

Recently Sandra wrote again: Hi dear ones,  I just wanted to share an update with you.  Look what we are doing for Feed The Children and introducing our hCard Program to their schools!  Remember it was at your meeting, that Marvin and I met.  He is now our vice president!

Remember the book I wanted to write while attending your class in the mountains…….I did finish it and now it has been “purchased” as an online downloadable version. for a network marketing company.  Learn more about Feed the children and Sandra’s book form Sandra Burnett at sburn10@aol.com.

From Jerusha, an anthropologist:

“Hello Gary and Merri. I am the first in the class to publish! I published a calendar!

“I posted the lulu site on the forum because it looks like a good place to start for people. It is a lot of fun and very easy to do. Jerusha”

From Todd, a wedding photographer:

“Thanks, Gary and Merri name recognition is beginning. Here is my new photoletter that your program helped me develop. I’m getting more clear about my own marketing now, so I may be able to better advantage of it. I am planning now to send out an email once a week showcasing new photos and creating awareness for my products and services. By mid July, I will place my first greeting card order (with a printing company Merri recommended in Cotacachi). So, I will soon have an inexpensive product to offer along with the more expensive prints that I sell. So far, I’ve got 60 opt-on subscribers to my email list, and I am telling everyone I know about it, so it’s starting to grow nicely. My first goal is to have 1000 readers. I’ll see how quickly I can accomplish it. Take care, Todd” Learn more about Todd’s business at todd@toddsmithphotography.com

From Mickey, a real estate broker:

“I want to say thank you for the inspiration and encouragement that I received through your publishing program. I recently published a 28 page booklet” Naples is Priceless “. This FREE booklet is being distributed through the Chamber of Commerce, banks, hotels etc. With over 25 years as a Naples Realtor I can now let potential real estate buyers gain knowledge and inside tidbits about this beautiful area. Again, thank you for helping me develop my potential. Micky”

From Michelle who was on disability: “Hi Guys, I have been working my tail off applying the stuff that I learned from both your publishing seminar. Amazing how much meat I keep pulling out of those conferences! I want you to be the first ones to know that I just finished my first e-book: “A Practical Guide to Social Security Disability Benefits”. I am very excited!

“You have no idea how much I have learned and continue to learn from both of you and how my life has changed since I met you. Having learned from you the basic premise of diversification, how to follow your passion and tap into your personal knowledge base, I seem to have one opportunity after another present itself and I am making the best of it. The really exciting thing is that this has allowed me to build a foundation which I continue to use to launch my new endeavors. The possibilities are endless!

“Here’s an Update : “I get on average 368 – 522 visits per day! And I rank in the top 2 pages of Google search for tons of keywords below are just a few:  holistic living tips 1 and 2 out of 1,620,000 – definition healthy spirit 1 and 2 out of 1,840,000 – emotional healthy living 1 out of 2,060,000 – benefits of Healthy Living 6 and 7 out of 2,420,000 -holistic wealth 3 out of 1,810,000 – definition of healthy 7 out of 2,910,000 – healthy holistic living 2 and 3 out of 1,980,000 – holistic living Google 14 out of 2,300,000 – holistic health tips 10 out of 1,960,000

“ Gary you are right the internet is the Great Equalizer! See what I have published,  My best to you as always, Michelle”

Since sending that note Michelle’s site has grown to over 1,000 visits a day! Learn more about Michelle’s business from her at mtoole2@tampabay.rr.com

We hope to help you take advantage of the great economic shifts we are experiencing now create your own business which is why I am making a special offer below.

Gary

The greatest asset of all is the ability to labor at what you love wherever you live. This brings everlasting wealth.

You can now get Tangled Web, How to Have an Internet Business  and my other two business courses described above free.

I am giving everyone who enrolls in all our seminars or tours for any one month, October, November or December 2009, the online courses “Tangled Web… How to Have an Internet Business Course,”  “Self Fulfilled- How to be a Self Publisher” and “International Business Made EZ” free.

Yet there is even more.

Join our Ecuador courses and tours October, November or December…. but you do not have to.

Head south. Experience Ecuador or…

Oct. 21-24 Ecuador Import Export Tour

Otavalo-art

Meet Ramiro on the export tour.

Otavalo-art

We like his style and…

Otavalo-art

have purchased…

Otavalo-art

many of his works ourselves.

Oct. 21-24 Ecuador Import Export Tour

Oct. 25-26 Imbabura Real Estate Tour

Nov. 9-10 Imbabura Real Estate Tour

Nov. 11-14 Ecuador Coastal Real Estate Tour

December 6-8 Beyond Logic Shamanic Tour

December 9-10 Imbabura Real Estate Tour

December 11-13 Ecuador Coastal Real Estate Tour

Attend any two Ecuador seminar or tours in a calendar month…$949 for one.  $1,349 for two.

Attend any three Ecuador courses or tours in a calendar month…$1,199 for one.  $1,799

If you cannot attend a 2009 seminar or tour sign up for the three online courses for $299 now and I’ll give you full credit of this amount on any of our seminars or tours in January, February or March 2010.