Is a Gold Bull About to Begin?


Where is the price of gold heading?

I have worked with our friends, Michael and Rich Checkan, at Asset Strategies International (1) for almost 30 years.  Here are some important thoughts in a recent interview Rich conducted about the price of Gold.

Latest Gold Report Heralds a Bull Market by Rich Checkan 

You may remember Ronald-Peter Stoeferle, Founder of Incrementum Asset Management and author of In Gold We Trust, from our previous interviews with him. Ronald has just published the 11th Edition of the In Gold We Trust Report, and we’ll be discussing the shattering flaws caused by the current economic euphoria and how we may very well be in a gold bull market.

Rich: In your 11th edition on the state of the economy and the prospects for the future, you use the term monetary surrealism to describe the present situation. Can you elaborate?

Ronald: I refer to the strategies used by Central Banks to create false liquidity by simply printing money. In the first quarter of 2017, the world’s largest Central Banks created the equivalent of 1 trillion U.S. dollars. This liquidity supernova allowed investors to pump billions into equities, forming the illusion of prosperity, to which we seem addicted.

Rich: You report we are in the earliest stages of a gold boom. Can you connect the dots between your premise and the actions of Central Banks?

Ronald: Everything seems rosy when you manipulate the economy, but the moment there is a printed money pullback, we will have recession. Analyst Jesse Felder—founder, editor, and publisher of The Felder Report—calls the current euphoria “an everything bubble.” When this happens, gold will be king. It is for this reason that we say: This is already the moment for gold.

Rich: The Federal Reserve seems so confident in the economy that it plans to raise interest rates. Won’t better rates turn some investors away from gold?

Ronald: The Fed is ignoring any possibility of recession. But, it knows the truth. In Q1 2017, the economy expanded by only 1.2%, with 2% inflation. These hikes are a gesture to show false confidence, and we believe rate increases will only be temporary. Remember this—since 1914 there have been 19 rate times like these; 16 of them were followed by recession.

Rich: Despite your recessionary stance, how do you explain the position of most analysts that the stock market will continue to boom?

Ronald: Out of 89 analysts at the big banks, whose opinion is followed and published by Bloomberg, none of them predict a recession in the next three years. Why? They are all in stocks. The ratio of financial assets to real assets like gold and tangibles is the lowest since 1925! This myopia will only deepen the crisis when it occurs, and it will be an interesting moment for gold.

Rich: The Federal Reserve uses different types of ‘fiscal stimulus’ to prevent recession. Won’t they be able to prevent another recession?

Ronald: The strategies get more and more desperate. The Federal Reserve may actually buy stocks as did the Japanese, to avoid a crisis. This can only worsen our economy. In any healthy economy, recessions are normal and make us stronger. The longer we avoid recession, the more disastrous the next burst of the bubble will be.

Rich: How do you think people have responded to the current economic climate?

Ronald: There is a rise of popularism throughout the globe. We see this as a symptom of disenfranchisement, of an economy not doing well for the majority. It is a disturbing fact that between 2005 and 2014 in the United States, three quarters of the households had stagnating income. It is a bad sign when people vote for change. The wealthy investors are propping up the market, but they don’t understand what’s happening in rural areas. Despite market euphoria, these are not good times.

Rich: What does the present rise of popularism and market euphoria mean for gold?

Ronald: The present euphoria is based on soft data and economic confidence. But the hard data, like tax receipts, are very weak. When there is such a gap between what is really happening and what investors think is happening, it’s time to buy gold. You need to shore up the crisis side of your portfolio.

Rich: In your report, you include a must-read chapter citing Trump, Pence, and an interview with Dr. Judy Shelton, advisor to Trump’s economic transition team and Director of Sound Money Project at the Atlas Network. Can you give us a brief overview?

Ronald: Vice President Pence made a wonderful speech on the importance of sound money. Trump himself speaks of the flaws in the U.S. dollar and a centralized system. He believes that to re-industrialize the United States, we need to weaken the U.S. dollar.

Gold flourishes when the dollar is weak and inflation is high. We have heard President Trump say he would like to increase inflation by 45%. This means rising prices for the average man and rising gold prices for the smart investor. It could also mean stagflation, inflation with low growth. This is what happened in the 1970s. It was a terrible decade for investors and the best for gold.

Dr. Shelton alludes to a “dependable dollar” and has submitted a proposal for a gold-linked treasury bond. An administration that connects monetary policy to real economics and seeks a weakened dollar to promote trade leaves gold in a desirable position for investors against the dollar.

Rich: Let’s address the elephant in the room. Gold has not skyrocketed this year, but equities have taken off. Do you see a turnaround coming?

Ronald: Yes, gold is cheap right now. But, last year commodities made a turnaround, mining companies learned to operate most efficiently, and we are in the very early stages of a new bull market in gold. On average, gold is up 5.88% since the beginning of the year, and the influx of gold into ETFs is increasing since 2016. Investors must have the foresight to buy early before the herd.

Rich: You also touch on Bitcoin in your report. What is its relevance to gold?

Ronald: Bitcoin and other digital trading units are competitive alternatives to fiat currency. That’s a positive development in our estimation for gold. It shows that in general, there is less confidence in money printed by governments than ever before. Bitcoin may be a game changer for which gold is the role model. But, they are two separate asset classes. Bitcoin’s $66 billion cannot compare to gold’s $7 trillion market capitalization. That makes gold the alternative currency of choice for conservative investors to steady their portfolio, while Bitcoin and other crypto-currencies are part of your risk dynamic.

Rich: Let’s talk about Black Swans and Gray Swans—unexpected events that herald a rise in gold.

Ronald: First, look at artificial asset price inflation, consumer debt, and stagnating tax revenues—all of which spell recession. These represent the unimaginable Black Swan for most. Then, there is the Grey Swan of China facing a credit crisis. When turmoil happens in any country, gold shines. As I believe your readers will see in the year to come, these Black and Grey Swans are likely, and all point to the value of gold, now.

As Stoeferle argues, the current economic climate and the strength of the U.S. dollar suggest another recession could be on the way. One of the best ways to protect yourself and your loved ones from economic downturn is with gold. Throughout the centuries, gold has always been a reliable and valuable source of wealth worldwide. If we look to the past as a reference, we could very well be on our way to another economic shift.

For an exclusive copy of Ronald’s report, click here.

Learn more about gold investments at assetstrategies.com/

Silver Dip 2017 is Better Than Silver

Because of a dip in the price of silver, the Silver Dip 2015 returned 62.48% profit in just nine months.   In 2017 another precious metal speculation is even better.

silver chart

SLV share chart from www.yahoo.finance.com (1).

Imagine investing ahead of a spike like the silver spike shown above.  A new spike, but in another metal, is looming ahead.

In September 2015, I prepared a special report “Silver Dip 2015” about a silver speculation, leveraged with a British pound loan, that could increase the returns in a safe portfolio by as much as eight times.  The tactics described in that report generated 62.48% profit in just nine months.

I have updated this report and added how to use the Silver Dip Strategy with platinum.   The “Silver Dip 2017” report shares the latest in a series of long term lessons gained through 40 years of speculating and investing in precious metals.  I released the 2015 report, when the gold silver ratio slipped to 80 and the price of silver dropped below $14 an ounce.  I knew I needed to share this experience with readers immediately.

In September 2015 I wrote, “The low price of silver offers special value now as silver’s price could begin to rise at any time”.

Here is what happened in the next nine months:

Shares in SLV (a silver ETF) rose from $13.50 to $19.35.  There was also a forex profit.  The British pound moved almost exactly as it did 30 years ago falling from 1.55 dollars per pound to 1.34 dollars per pound.

pound chart

Pound dollar chart at finance.yahoo.com (2)

6,451 pounds borrowed 9 months earlier at 1.55 converted to $10,000 to invest in the silver ETF SLV.   At 1.34 it only required  $8,644 to pay back the loan.  This created an extra forex profit.

This position has not run out of steam.  The price of SLV is likely to rise more though British pounds are no longer the currency to borrow.  The “Silver Dip 2017” report shows why replacing pound leverage with US dollar leverage is better.

There is a Better Metal to Speculate in Now

“Silver Dip 2017” has been written to show how to determine good value in precious metals and ways to use gold, silver, platinum or other precious metals to spice up returns in safe, diversified stock portfolios.

Here is some history of the Silver Dip strategy.   “The Silver Dip” report of 1986 was the first specific investment report I ever published.  Silver had crashed in 1986, I mean really crashed, from $48 per ounce to $4.85 an ounce.  After I wrote that 1986 report, silver’s price skyrocketed to over $11 an ounce within a year.  The 1986 Silver Dip described how to turn a $12,000 ($18,600) British pound loan (investors only had to put up $250 and no other collateral) into $42,185.

Circumstances relating to precious metals in 2015 were similar to those of 1986.  In May 1986, the dollar pound rate was 1.55 dollars per pound.  The pound then crashed to 1.40 dollars per pound.   The loan could be paid off for $13,285 immediately creating an extra $5,314 profit or total profit of $47,499 in just a year.

Imagine how my interest was aroused when in 2015, silver was in a similar crashed position and the British pound was again worth $1.55.  Low priced silver (compared to gold) and a 1.55 dollar per pound forex parity created an ideal condition for a speculation in silver.

The Silver Dip is only exercised when conditions are absolutely ideal.  Value investors never push this rule.  Investment and speculative markets are full of rumor, conjecture (a lot of it false) and hidden agendas.  The Silver Dip relies instead on a really simple theory… gold should rise about the same rate as other basic goods and the rise and fall of silver’s price should maintain a parity with gold.

Gold is the cornerstone of the Silver Dip.  When silver prices are too high or low versus gold, then the conditions become ideal for a silver speculation, if gold’s price is stable or too low.

Yet gold is one of the hardest assets to value.  As a gold bug who has been investing in gold since the mid 1970s, I know this is true.  I have seen too many predictions over the decades that have been wrong and I doubt that this will change in our lifetimes.

In early 2017, when the “Silver Dip 2017” report was released, gold did not fit the ideal criteria for speculation.  Gold was simply fairly valued.  A study in the “Silver Dip 2017” shows that the same amount of gold is needed today to buy a car, go to a movie or rent a home as was required in 1942.  The price of gold has risen 33 times since 1942, but since 1942 US median income increased 29 times.  House prices rose from 1942 until 2016 47 times.  Cars jumped 36 times.  This is true of going to a movie, up 33 times or renting an apartment.  Apartment rentals are up 34 times.  Had you stored a pile of the precious metals away in 1942 to buy a car today, you could do it.

Gold in the $1,200 range in January 2017 is a little low, but about where we would expect it should be.  Silver offers better opportunity than gold.  When the price of gold is 80 times (or more) higher than the price of silver history suggests that silver is very undervalued to gold and will rise faster than gold.  Rarely has the ratio been as high as 80, only three times in 36 years.  The gold silver ratio was in the 70s at the beginning of 2017, an indicator that silver prices may rise faster than gold, but this ratio of 70, is not high enough to be called ideal.

Platinum conditions are ideal

Since 2014 the price of platinum has fallen below the price of gold and at the beginning of this year reached a historical low.  The distorted gold platinum spread suggests that platinum is a very good value.

The “Silver Dip 2017” explains how to speculate in platinum plus outlines the following:

  • How to use the Silver Dip strategy in platinum without adding a penny of cash if you already have investments.
  • How to invest as little as a thousand dollars in platinum if you do not have a current investment portfolio.
  • Why this is a speculation, not an investment and who should and should not speculate and how to limit losses and take profits.
  • Three reasons conditions are better for a Platinum Dip now.
  • Three different ways to invest and speculate in gold, silver or platinum in the US or abroad.
  • How to buy gold and silver or platinum with or without dollar leverage margin accounts.

The “Silver Dip 2017” also contains four matrices that calculate profits and losses so investors can determine cut off positions in advance to protect profits and/or losses.  The report also looks at how to switch time horizons for greater safety.

Rising interest rates make the stock market highly dangerous in the short term. “The Silver Dip 2017” shows how to create a safe, diversified good value stock portfolio and use it to generate much higher returns with a little controlled speculation in platinum.

Learn how to get platinum loans for as low as 1.58%.  See why to beware of  certain brokers and trading platforms, how to choose a good bank or broker and how platinum profits are taxed.

The report includes a complex comparison of gold and silver with other costs of living from 1942 to today to help determine the real value of gold, silver and platinum.

Finally, learn why and how to use advisers to manage profits from the gold and silver dips.

Current circumstances could cause the price of platinum to rise rapidly at any time.  Do not delay reading this report.

The Silver Dip sold for $79 in 1986.  Due to savings created by online publishing (we have eliminated the cost f paper and postage), we are able to offer this report for $39.95.

Order now by clicking here.  Silver Dip 2017  $39.95

Gary

(1) finance.yahoo.com echarts slv

(2) http://finance.yahoo.com echarts gbp-usd

 


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